Exchange Rates
1     •   The exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another. It can be quoted in two ways. Example: In London, the USD is quoted
          as follows: 1 GBP = 1.6 USD. It could as well be quoted as follows: 1 USD = 0.625 GBP.
      •   There are two different exchange rate systems: Flexible (floating) exchange rates and fixed exchange rates.
2     Flexible exchange rates are determined by market forces. There are no interventions by the Government. We look at exchange rate USD per
      GBP in London.
21    Flexible exchange rate                    22     Appreciation                                23     Depreciation
      Fluctuations during a time period         If, for example, there are more UK-exports than    If, for example, interest rates are rising in the US
$ per £                                         before, demand in £ (and hence supply in $) are    (but not in the UK), more $ are demanded (and
                                                increased. Thus, the £ is appreciated; it has a    more £ supplied). Therefore, the £ is depreci-
                                                higher value in comparison with the $. More $      ated, it has a lower value in comparison with the
                                                are needed to buy 1 £, or to put it differently,   $. Money capital will leave the UK to look for
                                                more $ can be exchanged for 1 £.                   better returns in the US. Less $ are needed to
                                                                                                   buy 1 £, or to put it differently, less $ can be ex-
                                                                                                   changed for 1 £.
                                   Time
     Exchange rate at a certain moment                       Appreciation of the £                               Depreciation of the £
$ per £                                          $ per £                                            $ per £
                                  Supply (S)                                          S                                                     S1 £
                                  £                                                                                                                S2 £
                                                                                        D2 £
                                  Demand (D)
                                  £                                                  D1 £                                                  D£
                             Quantity £                                      Quantity £                                           Quantity £
EXCHRATE.DOC                                                      Page 1 (of 2)                                                    15th January 2010
3    There are different possibilities of fixed exchange rates, ranging from a monetary union to managed exchange rates. We assume a country
     X with the currency XM (X-Money). The country X has introduced a fixed exchange rate against the $ ($ 1 = 0.5 XM) with narrow margins of
     3 % on either side.
31   Fixed exchange rate                          32    Revaluation                                  33    Devaluation
      Fluctuations during a time period.          If the XM is appreciated, the Government should    If the XM is depreciated, the Government should
                                                  supply XM (and demand $) to move the ex-           demand XM (and supply $) to move the
                                                  change rate back to the range between 2.06         exchange rate back to the range between 2.06
$ per XM                                          and 1.94. The same effect could be obtained if     and 1.94. The same effect could be obtained if
                                                  interest rates in X (but not abroad) would fall.   interest rates in X (but not abroad) would rise.
                                           2.06                                      S1 XM                                       D2 XM
        2                                                         Demand XM                          $ per XM        D1 XM
                                           1.94                                          S2 XM
                                                   $ per XM
                                                                                            2.06                                              2.06
                                                           2                                                 2                                S XM
                                                                                            1.94                                              1.94
                                   Time
                                                                               Quantity XM                                        Quantity XM
     Exchange rate at a certain moment            If, however, there is a chronic appreciation,      If, however, there is a chronic depreciation, the
                                                  the exchange rate and the margins should be        exchange rate and the margins should be low-
                                                  increased. This increase is called revaluation.    ered. This decrease is called devaluation.
$ per XM      Demand XM          Supply XM                                          S XM
                                                   $ per XM                                           $ per XM        D XM
                                                                                            2.18
                                           2.06          2.12
        2                                                                                   2.06                                              2.06
                                           1.94            (2)                                               (2)                              S XM
                                                                                            (1.94)                                            1.94
                                                                                      D XM                                                    1.82
                            Quantity XM
                                                                       Quantity XM                                                Quantity XM
EXCHRATE.DOC                                                       Page 2 (of 2)                                                    15th January 2010