FWA
FWA
A summary of the methodology used for Level 1 estimates is presented in Section 2.2 of the Food
Waste Index (FWI) report. This appendix covers the details of this methodology, in particular:
• How existing food waste studies and estimates were identified and obtained (2.1)
• How the data found from these studies was evaluated to inform its inclusion and our level of
confidence in the estimate (2.2, 2.2.3, 2.2.4)
• Transformations and adjustments applied to data to increase comparability (2.2.2)
• The methods of calculation used to extrapolate data and create relevant estimates (2.3)
• Methods considered for extrapolation but rejected in favour of the one used (2.4)
Timeframe: When searching, we generally looked for papers which were published after 2005 in
order to find data which had been gathered no longer than 15 years ago. Despite having a cut-off
date of 15 years ago, most of the studies which were used came from the last five years. Many
countries which had studies pre-2010 have refined, repeated or updated those studies and latest
figures were used in the current research.
Material type: consistent with the FWI methodology, we searched for studies that quantified total
food waste: both edible parts (sometimes referred to as ‘avoidable’ or ‘wasted food’) and inedible
parts (unavoidable food waste). Studies did not need to separate these two parts from one another.
However, where a study only included the edible parts, this was collated and – where possible –
adjusted to account for the unquantified inedible parts (see Section 2.2.2.2).
Destinations: studies were sought that conformed to the destinations defined as food waste by the
FWI: co/anaerobic digestion; compost / anaerobic digestion; land application; controlled
combustion; sewer; litter / discards / refuse; or landfill. Studies were still collated if there were
discrepancies between the destinations covered by the study and those covered by the FWI: where
possible, adjustments were made (e.g., to remove food fed to animals from the estimate). This is
discussed in Section 2.2.2.7.
Sectors: studies were sought covering any of the following: Household, Retail 1, and Food Service. In
the case of Food Service, most studies reviewed did not make estimates for the entire sector. In
general, we pursued papers which from the title and abstract covered a sufficiently large portion of
the sector (i.e., restaurants, or canteens across a range of settings) but ignored those ones which
had a very particular and narrow view (e.g., studies focused on university canteens only).
The definitions of sectors are outlined in Section 3.2.1 of the FWI report according to International
Standard Industrial Classification of all Economic Activities (ISIC). There are occasional differences
between individual studies and these definitions. We applied judgement as to when a study’s
sectoral definition deviated too much from that our aim, with such studies being excluded. In many
cases, insufficient information on sectoral coverage was provided to make this assessment.
A large number of studies present waste data based not on its source but its destination, i.e.,
collection by Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) services and disposed of in landfills, incineration and
other waste destinations. Such studies were only included in situations where the MSW had been
disaggregated by waste source to a sector comparable to the sectors being used here. For a fuller
description of the approach to MSW papers, see Section 2.2.4.1.
Geographic coverage: Studies were considered for inclusion regardless of whether their waste
estimate was formed at a national or subnational level. This meant that subnational studies such as
scoping studies for municipal waste plans, which were not focused on food waste estimation but did
disaggregate waste to that level of detail, were considered. As a result, we may have included a
number of estimates which are otherwise overlooked in the food waste literature. Studies at this level
were particularly relevant for the Household sector, which was often their focus. A distribution of
datapoints by scope of study can be viewed in
1
Note: Wholesale is not covered by the Food Waste Index. Where estimates for retail have also
included wholesale, efforts were made to remove the wholesale estimate, where it was specified in the
study. In some cases, disaggregation was not possible, or it was unclear if wholesale was included in the
study. These were not adjusted further.
Table 2. The majority of studies at a regional level provided by-country estimates, these were
treated separately. Only one paper presented a multi-country sample in aggregated form, this was
not included (Malefors et al., 2019).
Often, the subnational estimate provided a per capita waste generation figure rather than a total
waste generation figure. As many subnational estimates were urban in nature, this per capita waste
may not be considered representative for the entire country. As a result, the confidence in estimates
from these studies is reduced. This is discussed in section 2.2.3.1.
Table 2: Number of datapoints, by sector and geographical scope of study
Methods and approaches: in this project, we were looking for studies which involve direct
measurement of food waste or use data from other studies that involved direct measurement. This
criterion is important as the purpose of the FWI is to track levels of food waste over time. This
purpose requires estimates to be reasonably accurate, collecting data from the relevant geographic
area and time period and using a methodology without substantial bias (or a methodology where
biases can be adjusted for).
Therefore, studies with the following methodologies were included: waste compositional analysis2,
direct weighing and scanning of wasted items. We also collated studies that involved diaries or
collated information using surveys. For studies focusing on Household food waste that used diaries,
adjustment was made to account for underestimation (see sections 2.2.2.3 and 2.2.2.4 for details),
but our confidence in the resulting estimate was lower than other methods included (see section
2.2.3.2). For surveys, estimates for household food waste obtained directly from surveys (e.g., asking
people to recall the amount of food waste generated) were not used. However, surveys of business
representatives asking them to report their waste generation were included. These surveys, and
data from industry more generally, were included due to the barrier to accessing commercial data.
In very few studies presenting such data was it clear how it was generated, i.e., whether the
businesses directly measured or estimated waste, and how robust measurements taken were. In the
interest of ensuring there was sufficient data, a level of trust that self-reported business estimates
were informed by measurement was therefore applied.
2
Many authors use the term ‘waste audit’, especially when examining the waste of a restaurant or
supermarket; all ‘waste audits’ have been coded as ‘waste composition analysis’ for simplicity.
Table 3 presents datapoints by methodology. For a discussion of method and its relation to
confidence levels, see Section 2.2.3.
Diaries 12
Literature 13 10 11
Mixed method 5 7 3
In the case of studies which combined waste generation factors with some other national statistic,
the determining factor was the origin of these waste generation factors. In some cases, the waste
generation factors were derived from direct observation in the relevant country (see for example,
the USA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 2020)); in others, it is derived from a modelled
estimate, typically using the FAO 2011 estimates (Gustavsson et al., 2011), often from data that is
old and / or from another country. The former would be accepted, and the latter would not for our
purposes.
In a number of countries, there are existing publications which aggregate studies across multiple
sectors for the purposes of estimating and reporting on food waste. In the last few years, a number
of ‘baseline’ studies have been published for this purpose (see, for example, Australia (Arcadis,
2019), Germany (Schmidt et al., 2019) or the United States (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
2020)). These typically took the form of meta-analyses for the study scaled by country-specific
factors. Where these studies were identified, they were taken as the authoritative source for the
country and we did not prioritise further searches for those countries, nor the primary data sources
on which the baseline was formed, unless some sectors were not covered by the publication. As a
result, for some countries there are many more studies on food waste than presented in this
database.
Existing review papers: As a starting point, certain literature reviews were used, notably the Xue et
al. (2017) meta-analysis. This paper collated national estimates of food waste for multiple sectors,
with extensive coverage of studies until approximately 2015, including meta-analyses published up
until that point. The database in the supplementary information of Xue et al. was analysed to
understand the degree to which studies referenced conformed to the required characteristics, as set
out in section 2.1.1. Studies that measured a specific foodstuff or commodity (e.g., wheat) were
excluded from further consideration. In contrast, studies that measured ‘Food & Drink’, ‘Food, Drink
& Tobacco’; ‘Food & Organic Waste’; ‘Total Food’ or ‘Total’ were retained for consideration. The Xue
et al. database was also filtered by measurement method (to remove any calculations using proxy
data) and sector to form a longlist of data that could potentially pass the current study’s criteria.
These papers were then accessed and read to obtain further methodological detail which would help
in determining studies to accept or not.
Several of the studies in the Xue et al. (2017) spreadsheet were listed as ‘Literature’ papers, i.e. the
food waste estimate was derived from a reference in the text. In these cases, the reference was
followed where possible to the original source in order to determine its suitability. Where possible,
the original source paper has been referenced directly in the current study.
In addition to the Xue et al. (2017) data, several other meta-analyses were used in the research
process. This included:
Searches of academic databases: Additionally, direct searches were conducted online. These were
conducted both using Google Scholar and the Sciences Po Bibliothèque, a dedicated social sciences
library with access to over 20,000 electronic journals. Numerous searches were conducted using
these engines, which combined search terms such as “food waste” and “quantification”,
“measurement”, “national estimate”, “wasted food” “food wastage” and “food loss”. These were
conducted both as time-limited searches after 2014 (to prioritise those papers not considered by
Xue et al. (2017)) and on other occasions, after 2005. These searches were conducted during July-
August 2020. Searches were conducted in English, with supplementary searches conducted in Arabic
and French. Studies identified in other languages were considered where found using online tools
Google Translate and DeepL to check for possible relevance.
The search terms present a huge number of results, many of which were not usable for our
purposes. Papers which were specifically about the potential valorisation of food waste and its
chemical composition were ignored, unless the title alluded to the collection of waste from a specific
geographic area. Similarly, a large number of papers were returned which focus on the demographic
and behavioural determinants of (self-reported) food waste, or food waste-related behaviours,
alongside a large number of papers documenting interventions in specific sectors to reduce food
waste. These papers are important for designing policy to reduce food waste and deliver SDG 12.3.
They were not, however, relevant for our purposes and so were filtered out.
During the review, papers were sought that mentioned a specific geographic area (whether national
or subnational, e.g., a city or a state), direct measurement of food waste, and specific sectors
(Household, Food Service, Retail). If the title, excerpt and/or abstract mentioned some or all of these
elements, it was downloaded and reviewed in more detail. In many cases, the paper reviewed at this
stage did not have an original estimate of food waste but referenced estimates from other papers,
which were then tracked down if perceived relevant. This led to a ‘snowball’ search from the studies
found through the online searches.
It should be noted that due to generic search strings such as “food waste” + “quantification” turning
up as many as 17,000 results on Google Scholar, it was not possible to review every page of search
results for every search conducted. After a few hundred results the search results tended to become
less relevant (e.g., focusing on chemical composition, anaerobic digestion or consumer attitudes).
Once this point was reached, no further citations were reviewed, and a new search was typically
started. Searches conducted using Sciences Po Bibliothèque were more precise and every page of
the search was therefore evaluated. Whilst it is a limitation that searches could not be pursued in
full, it was assumed that by reading the identified papers and following the references to other
estimates, those we did not find directly would be found through the bibliographies of other papers.
In September 2020, after the initial period of review, codifying and building the database, some
country-specific searches were conducted. These were to focus on two regions where no possibly
usable estimates had been identified: Northern Africa and Central Asia. Using Google Scholar and
the main Google search (to possibly include results from NGOs, local associations or government)
searches for [country name] + “food waste” OR “wasted food” OR “food wastage” were carried out
for each country in the regions. None of these searches returned usable estimates.
It should be noted that three other regions have no datapoints in them: Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia. Region-specific, rather than country-specific, searches were carried out and two notable
sources were found: a 2020 paper by Joseph and Prasad (2020) and a 2016 regional strategy
document (SPREP, 2016). The former provides waste compositional analysis information of MSW,
the latter an estimate of household generation but only providing an organic rather than food-
specific share. Whilst some combination of these two sources could provide a rough estimate of
household food waste generation, at least to identify the order of magnitude, MSW studies and
household studies reporting organic waste only were not used in the current study (see Section
2.2.4).
Waste-specific databases: As well as searches of academic databases, some data sources were
provided through personal contacts of the team which helped identify other sources of information.
One contact highlighted the JICA (Japanese International Cooperation Agency) database. Based on
the JICA studies already consulted by that point, “waste management” was searched across the last
ten years of publications on the database. This provided a fruitful avenue and several JICA studies
have been included. Whilst these studies were primarily designed as scoping to understand the scale
of waste problems more generally in a city or country, the inclusion of food-specific measurement
(rather than simply ‘organics’) in detailed, Household-level waste compositional analyses provided
usable data. Unfortunately, often the Retail and Food Service figures were either grouped in ways
we could not disaggregate (i.e., supermarkets and restaurants considered together) or were not
scaled beyond the waste per establishment, limiting their viability in producing an estimate for the
city or country in question without additional, unavailable data. This data gap is discussed more in
Boxes 2 and 4 of the main FWI report.
Based on the experience with the JICA database, it could be possible that other international
development organisations have databases with waste estimating studies. There is some evidence to
suggest that JICA are particularly unique: JICA papers were regularly referenced in the academic
literature, alongside which there was a notable absence of studies from comparable organisations.
Similarly, a UN Habitat study in Nairobi, Kenya (Takeuchi, 2019) based itself off a JICA study in the
same area (JICA, 2010) and replicated its methodology, implying that JICA presents a body of
expertise on this issue. It may still be possible that other development organisations present
‘untapped goldmines’ and this being signposted to the authors would help ensure in future updates
and revisions that these estimates are included.
Reaching out to the research community: Another use of contacts involved posting in a Google
Group for researchers on food waste3 explaining the nature of the review, the boundaries and what
3
The International Food Loss and Food Waste Studies Group: https://foodwastestudies.com/join-the-
discussion/
kind of papers we were looking for. This garnered several responses, especially for very recent
estimates, which were then reviewed for suitability if the paper had not already been identified.
The research group was also the avenue by which contact was made with a researcher, Zhengxia
Dou, whose recently published study (Dou & Toth, 2020) similarly focuses on direct measurements
of food waste. Prof. Dou very kindly shared the reference list of this unpublished study. This
comprehensive list of references served as both a helpful avenue to find some more studies but also
a confirmation of the approach taken up to that point, as most of the studies relevant to food waste
quantification had already been identified.
Key food waste researchers were also contacted individually to see if they were aware of additional
data. This included Felicitas Schneider, Gang Liu, Gustavo Porpino and several regional and sector
specialists at UNEP and FAO.
As previously mentioned, resource and time constraints meant it was not feasible to evaluate every
single page of search results from the Google and Google Scholar searches, given both the large
number of results and large number which were not relevant for our purposes here. Whilst it is
reasonable to assume that notable references should be accounted for through the combined
search and ‘snowball’ references method, it is possible that a small number of studies exist which
were not found. For example, many studies were identified through other strands of the search
strategy that were primarily studies evaluating Household solid waste rather than food waste, but,
on closer inspection, disaggregated food waste from other organic wastes, allowing a food-waste
estimate to be obtained. Many of these were at a subnational level. More studies of this nature may
exist that were not identified. Furthermore, there may be other ‘categories’ of study containing
relevant food-waste data that were not identified.
Although studies from a wide range of countries in a range of languages were obtained, there
remains the possibility of geographic bias. We hope that the publication of this study helps
understand whether there are studies, currently missed by this searching strategy, from poorly
represented countries and regions.
2.2 Data Extraction and Adjustment
This section contains details on:
• Geographic boundaries
• Time of study
• Sectors covered
• Methodological details, including sample size, length of sampling and representativeness
• A share estimate (e.g., x% of household solid waste was food waste, or y% of total national
food waste occurs in a particular sector).
• A total mass estimate for that sector and geography
• A normalised (per capita) mass estimate for that sector and geography
• The share of food waste which was considered edible or avoidable
• The share of organic waste which was food waste
• The waste destinations, particularly if included in the paper estimate was some waste which
goes to an avenue not considered waste in the FWI
Very few studies had all of the above information: in some cases, it was not relevant to the scope of
the study; in others the information was not reported in the publication. As much of the above list as
possible was captured.
All total and normalised mass estimates were input using the measurement scale used in the paper
(e.g., million tonnes / year, g / capita / day) and then adjusted for this study to a single comparable
figure for total mass (tonnes / year) and normalised mass (kg / capita / year).
In some cases, the original mass value was presented as multiple numbers (such as edible and
inedible waste separately) or required some calculation (such as where daily total waste generation
is presented alongside a percentage which was food waste, allowing daily food waste to be derived).
These calculations were carried out to ensure comparable figures.
We searched within papers for estimates of ‘food waste’, sometimes referred to as ‘kitchen waste’.
Definitional consistency was an issue in several papers: many studies used the terms ‘kitchen waste’,
‘organic waste’ and ‘food waste’ interchangeably within the same paper. In some cases, the term
‘organic’ would be used but only foodstuffs listed in the table describing the categories, on other
occasions the term ‘organic’ would be used in a table or graph with ‘food’ being used to label the
same category elsewhere in the paper.
To deal with these problems, we used the definitions applied by the authors. If they labelled a
category as food or kitchen waste (without further elaboration on the definition), this was
understood to mean edible and inedible food waste. In addition, most authors defined garden/yard
waste as a separate category. This presents the most notable bulky organic waste stream outside of
food, so its inclusion as a separate category increased confidence that what was labelled as ‘food’
was, indeed, food waste.
It remains possible that other, non-food wastes have been included in these categories: sanitary
waste such as nappies and animal excrement in particular vary substantially in the regularity with
which they are disaggregated in waste compositional analyses, and it is often unclear what category
they have fallen into (‘organic’, ‘general’, ‘other’ etc.). This is a limitation of the estimate which
unfortunately could not be avoided: we have tried to work as best we can with the data available
from the papers. For a discussion of the organic waste studies which were excluded, see section
2.2.4.2.
Some of the identified studies did not present waste as a per capita estimate, but rather total mass
for a specific sector and location. To enable scaling, these estimates were normalised to a per capita
estimate. For this, the same UN data source was used. As this data source does not provide a
continuous time series, a linear interpolation was made between available data points to infer the
population of intermediate years. This allowed an estimate of population in the year of each study to
be used to normalise the total mass estimate. Once expressed as a per capita waste estimate, it was
possible to scale these by 2019 population figures to form a country estimate.
A worked example: Japan’s total waste estimates (Food Industry Policy Office, 2017) come from
MAFF survey data for 2014. Population data was available from the above source for 2010 and 2019
only; 2014 population is inferred by linear interpolation between these two datapoints. The total
mass estimates are used to form per capita estimates from this figure. This normalised, per capita
figure is then multiplied by the 2019 population to form an estimate for 2019.
Some studies did not provide information as to the year the observation took place, or what year the
waste estimate refers to. In these cases, the year of observation was assumed to be two years prior
to the year of publication. In the case of subnational studies presenting total mass rather than per
capita, the population as listed in that study or paper was used to ensure consistency in the
boundaries used to define the area.
The definition of food waste used for the purposes of SDG 12.3 encompass both the edible and
inedible fractions of waste. In order to compare studies which only record the edible waste with
those which record edible and inedible parts, the omission of the inedible fraction required
adjusting. Many studies report both the edible and inedible waste (or the similar distinction between
‘avoidable’ and ‘unavoidable’ waste). These were taken to mean the same thing: whilst there are
subtle differences between ‘avoidable’ and ‘edible’, they were considered sufficiently comparable. 4
In the cases where ‘possibly avoidable’ was measured, this was divided into two and allocated
evenly between ‘avoidable’ (edible) and ‘unavoidable’ (inedible)5. The share of waste which was
edible or avoidable was then converted into a percentage share. From here, it was possible to create
sector-specific scaling figures through the following calculation:
1
𝑆𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟 𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑠𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑓𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟 =
𝑆𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟 𝑎𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒
Table 4: Edible share of waste only adjustment figure
For our purposes, the incomparability between diaries and waste compositional analysis presented a
problem as it would indicate that some countries or territories have lower waste than others when
4
(For a discussion of these definitions, see Section 2.1.2 of: WRAP, 2018)
5
The assumption behind this decision was based on the analysis in (WRAP, 2018)
this may in fact be a result of methodological differences. In order to correct for this, therefore, the
scaling factor presented in Quested et al. (2020) was used. They identify five studies where diary
estimates of HHFW can be directly compared to waste compositional analysis data and the amount
by which diaries underestimate actual waste (average: 30.2%). This is then converted to a scaling
factor as follows:
1
𝐷𝑖𝑎𝑟𝑦 𝑠𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑓𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟 =
(1 − 𝑑𝑒𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑢𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛)
which, when calculated using the average underestimation of 30.2%, comes to 1.43 (rounded). A
preliminary analysis of the (unadjusted) per capita waste data in our database suggested a similar
margin of error, giving us some increased confidence in the use of this figure.
Studies which calculated household food waste through a diary methodology were therefore
multiplied by this scaling factor to get an adjusted figure of waste generation.
Together, the adjustment factors for Household diary (1.43) and inedible waste (2.04) become a
total adjustment figure of 2.92. This nearly triples the initial estimated waste. Whilst this seems to
be a large increase, the final per capita estimates obtained from this adjustment do not become
unreasonably high, in fact they become more comparable with other countries (see sections 2.5.3
and 2.5.4 of the main FWI report) which would suggest that the level of adjustment is reasonable:
Where multiple estimates needed aggregating for the purposes of providing a single per capita
datapoint, the estimates for each socioeconomic group were weighted based on that socioeconomic
group’s share of the total sample. It was therefore assumed that the sampling attempted to mirror
the wider population; in many cases, this was explicitly described as the intention but in other cases
it was not mentioned at all. Therefore, there is a risk that some datapoints have been aggregated in
a way which does not reflect the distribution of socioeconomic groups in the country or territory in
question. This is a limitation but not one easily avoided: typically, studies in sub-national areas used
ad hoc, relative definitions of the socioeconomic groups based on variables such as income,
predominant housing type in an area, classification of a neighbourhood etc. As a result, finding
comparable data which could have been used to weight these estimates more accurately was not
viable, and the share of sample size was taken to be approximate to share of population.
The available disaggregated socioeconomic data and its implications for the report are discussed in
Box 1 of the main FWI report.
Food waste destined for animal feed is not considered waste as part of the FWI. A small number of
studies had estimates of the destinations for waste including that share which was going to animal
feed. In some cases, the authors had already removed this from the estimate which was reported as
waste. In other cases, the share going to animal feed was used to adjust the waste estimate used in
the present study. Similarly, food which is donated to charitable organisations for human
consumption is not considered waste and was removed where the authors had not already done so.
For the household sector, in order to ensure comparability, food waste disposed via the sewer was
removed where possible from studies. This applies to a very small number of studies which detailed
this information. This was primarily to improve comparability, as the majority of household studies
were explicitly conducted on the ‘solid’ waste streams (e.g. residual waste, separate food waste
collections, etc.). Sewer waste is included under the FWI definition and is included under Level 3
reporting (see Section 3.4 of the main FWI report).
To reflect our confidence in the datapoints, studies were grouped into two ‘tiers’ which correspond
to whether the estimate for a country is High or Medium confidence (for countries without
identified estimates and therefore requiring extrapolation, confidence levels are either Low or Very
Low, see 2.3). These correspond to methodological detail: datapoints in which we have higher
confidence involved more accurate quantification, estimated waste for the entire country and had a
sufficient, representative sample size. The datapoints in which we have Medium confidence
correspond to some studies which required adjustment, namely studies focusing on a specific sub—
national area, only measuring edible waste or using diaries. Similarly, referenced figures which were
unfindable, had unclear methodology or small sample sizes were typically classed as Medium
confidence. Where a High confidence paper was available for a specific country and sector, this was
used and any Medium confidence papers for the same country and sector were excluded from
further analysis. A full description of the boundaries between confidence levels for each sector
follows.
It should be noted that confidence ratings are an assessment – based on our understanding of the
study – of how robust the estimate of food waste is for tracking food waste in the given country,
not a judgement on the quality of the study undertaken. In many cases, food waste measurement
was not an aim of the original study. Hence many good studies will be classified at a Medium
confidence level (or even excluded from consideration altogether) as the aims of the paper did not
include national food waste tracking.
To see the full list of included datapoints and their confidence level, see Section 3.
As a result, all studies which were at a sub-national level were classified as Medium confidence with
regard to an estimate of national waste, regardless of whether they met the methodological criteria
for each sector (2.2.3.2, 2.2.3.3, 2.2.3.4) Where a sub-national estimate was identified alongside a
national estimate for the same sector, the national estimate was prioritized unless there was some
methodological reason to exclude it.
All studies are, to some degree, local in their sampling. When a study was in a specific locality but
the authors described this as being representative of the wider country and the authors weighted
their results by national distributions (of income, household size etc.), this was considered a
‘Nationwide’ rather than ‘Sub-national’ study, and therefore could be considered a High confidence
estimate (Hanssen et al. (2016) in Norway is a notable example here).
2.2.3.2 Household
For the Household sector, we have higher confidence in studies which involve the direct weighing
and measurement of food waste by an external researcher. This includes waste compositional
analyses, direct weighing of food-only waste streams and papers which combine waste
compositional analysis with other data for scaling purposes.
Within studies which directly weighed waste, sample size was used as a further determinant of our
confidence in the estimate. The figure of 700 household ‘waste-days’ (households sampled per day *
number of days sampled) was used as a cut-off point. Above this, nationwide studies were
considered High confidence, all papers under this were Medium confidence. In some papers, the
duration of sampling was not specified (see Grover & Singh (2014) in Dehradun, India, for example).
This ambiguity meant it was considered prudent to provisionally classify these as Medium confidence
unless more information were to become available. Choosing a boundary to classify studies is an
imperfect science and there is not a single answer as to whether a larger, more time limited or
smaller, longer sample is preferable for estimating food waste. The 700 waste-day figure was chosen
because it equates to 100 households sampled for a week-long period, which was a common
sampling approach and seems a reasonable benchmark for a sufficient sample within resource
constraints.
Other methodologies required adjustment to be comparable, namely food waste diaries or those
which measured only edible food waste (see 2.2.2.2 and 2.2.2.3). As a result of the uncertainty
stemming from these adjustments, the final waste estimates we use were considered Medium
confidence.
We judged ourselves to have High confidence in waste audit studies which met two criteria:
Many authors identified that chefs and managers were resistant or openly hostile to the prospect of
independent waste audits. In addition, some commercial bodies (particularly larger restaurant
chains or catering providers) may already measure their waste. As a result, surveys of businesses or
chefs are often employed. Surveys of chefs with over 100 respondents or carried out by an
authoritative trade or governmental body, and covering both commercial and non-commercial, were
also considered High confidence (notably, Danish Environmental Protection Agency (2014) from
Denmark). It should be noted that there is insufficient detail in papers to say with confidence that
waste was directly measured by Food Service organisations prior to responding to surveys, or indeed
to submitting their data to governmental auditors. Given the commercial imperative to measure
waste, but also the difficulty in initiating researcher-led audits, this uncertainty was considered
acceptable.
Estimates in which we only have Medium confidence relate to those which had any of the following
limitations:
• Only measured edible waste and therefore required adjustment (as per 2.2.2.2)
• Were referenced in secondary peer reviewed or governmental publications but with an
original source we were unable to trace or access
• Cover Food Service establishments in either commercial or non-commercial sectors only
The inclusion of this third category of paper, which represents an ‘incomplete Food Service’
estimate, means there is a downward bias to the results leading to substantial underestimation and
that actual waste across the Food Service sector is likely to be significantly higher. Some of the
challenges with Food Service measurement are discussed in Box 4 in the main FWI report.
The Food Service estimates have big limitations for three reasons:
Firstly, looking at waste in per capita terms may not be the most suitable metric for this sector.
Secondly, the sheer breadth of the out of home environments in which food waste could be
generated creates problems for quantification. Section 3.2.1 in the main FWI report demonstrates
the wide range of establishments which could be considered under the Food Service sector.
Measuring waste in all these locations is practically very difficult, and the relative scale of each
subsector will vary significantly based on the national context. This leads to an inconsistency in
scopes: to our knowledge, only the US (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 2020) and UK (WRAP,
2020) estimates include waste in sports stadia. Balancing an accurate estimate of out of home waste
with the limitations of practicality and resources remains a challenge.
Thirdly, food waste going down the sewer is inconsistently measured. In some settings, this could be
considerable.
2.2.3.4 Retail
Retail, like Food Service, has the problem of being considered commercially sensitive data, making it
more difficult for researchers to carry out audits or access existing records which may be carried out
internally. Whilst some supermarkets are publishing their data, a sufficient number of supermarkets
in any given country needs to do so for this to give insight into national waste.
The inconsistency with which sample information was provided meant that it could not be used to
form an assessment of confidence in the estimate. Instead, differences in methodology were
grouped. The High confidence estimates refer to those in which a waste audit was carried out by or
with the assistance of external researchers, whether weighing or using supermarket scanning
systems, and those estimates which involved the disclosure of internally collated supermarket data
to a relevant body, whether governmental surveys (for Japan, see Food Industry Policy Office
(2017)), industry agreements (for the UK, see WRAP (2020)) or other forms of public disclosure.
The estimates which were judged Medium confidence included studies with less transparency or
potentially less robust data, including any of the following limitations:
MSW will typically be dominated by household waste, but other wastes from litter bins on the
streets, commercial waste from small businesses including restaurants, retailers and street vendors
may make their way into the MSW. Furthermore, not all households or businesses will necessarily
have access to MSW collection rounds: their waste may be processed through informal or illegal
routes. As a result, papers which analyse MSW without disaggregating the source are difficult to use
in the current study. This includes information about waste samples from landfills or waste transfer
stations.
There were a few MSW-based papers that provided usable estimates. These were typically when a
residential solid waste specific estimate was provided (i.e., disaggregation of the total MSW
estimates). To provide an example: Denafas et al. (2014)’s waste compositional analyses in four East
European cities had three MSW estimates which were unusable and one residential solid waste
which was usable. For Kaunas, St Petersburg and Boryspil, the methodology describes taking a waste
sample from a transfer station or landfill. This sectoral uncertainty means it could not be used. By
contrast, the sample taken for Kutaisi in the same study was specifically a sample from residential
areas. By virtue of being residential only, it can be used as an estimate for household. This example
demonstrates how the specificities of method and where the sample was taken could be the
difference between inclusion and exclusion.
Some MSW papers claimed to be looking at the household share of MSW, without clarifying how
exactly that was determined (see Zhang et al. (2018), for example). In these cases, the claims of the
researchers have been trusted and they have been codified as Household estimates, although the
uncertainty means they are classified as Medium confidence (see 2.2.3).
By not including MSW papers, we are not able to use the insights provided by another big source of
waste data: the World Bank’s ‘What a Waste’ dataset (Silpa Kaza et al., 2018). This was searched
within for possibly relevant papers (see 2.1.2), but for the reasons described in this section, the data
could not be used directly.
▪ The average percentage of food waste in total organics varied widely between studies: the
lowest value was 24%; the highest 98%. (Mean = 81%; standard deviation 17%). This wide
variation likely reflects the factors affecting garden waste mentioned above and makes
applying an average value to obtain even an approximate estimate of food waste in a county
with an organic-only estimate problematic.
▪ If food waste estimates were to be estimated using this method, they are much more
scattered than those directly measured (even with other adjustments): of the 14 studies
identified that this method could be applied to, three of the resulting estimates of
households food waste would be conspicuously high (greater than 150 kg / person / year)
and another would be less than 1 kg / person / year). This is further illustrated by the
standard deviation: for the organics-based estimates (62 kg / person / year), it would be
around twice that of other estimates used.
Furthermore – and as mentioned in 2.2.1 – terminology used around these concepts is not
standardised. Some studies use the terms ‘kitchen waste’, ‘organic waste’ and ‘food waste’
interchangeably within the same paper.
For these reasons, we deemed that estimates obtained in this way (i.e., applying the average
percentage of organics waste which is food to studies with a total ‘organics’ category) insufficiently
accurate. We believed that it would be slightly more accurate to extrapolate from similar countries
than to use these calculations.
2.2.4.3 Surveys
Household surveys in which a representative of a household is tasked with recalling the waste they
or their household has generated over a period of time were considered too inaccurate and
incomparable with the other measurement methods considered here. As a result, no studies which
only distributed a survey to households were included. (Many studies distribute a survey alongside a
diary or waste compositional analysis.)6
6
(C Cicatiello, 2018; Delley & Brunner, 2018; Giordano et al., 2018; For discussions on survey methodology,
see: van Herpen et al., 2019)
2.2.4.4 Superseded studies
In order to make our estimate as relevant for 2019 as possible, we have used the latest available
estimate of food waste available in each country. As previously mentioned, a few countries have
repeated estimates of food waste to provide a time series (such as the UK (WRAP, 2020) or the
Netherlands(The Netherlands Nutrition Centre Foundation, 2019)). When an estimate for which we
have High confidence was available, this was taken and prior studies were not considered.
In the cases of Medium confidence estimates, if a study was a nationwide, direct repetition of a prior
study for comparison purposes (such as Hungary (Kasza et al., 2020), which uses a diary
methodology) only the most recent estimate was taken. In the cases where multiple Medium
confidence estimates exist but they are not directly comparable to one another (such as Iraq (Al-
Maliky & ElKhayat, 2012; Al-Mas’udi & Al-Haydari, 2015; Al-Rawi & Al-Tayyar, 2013; Sulaymon et al.,
2010; Yasir & Abudi, 2009) which has distinct studies across a range of cities) the average of all of the
relevant datapoints was taken to form the estimate.
As a result of this ‘superseding’ process, many studies are excluded from the calculations due to
their being older than comparable studies. Therefore, the total number of food waste quantification
studies originally considered is much higher than those in the final calculations. Similarly, due to
prioritising High confidence estimates (2.2.3), all Medium confidence estimates in countries and
sectors with High estimates were superseded, meaning a wealth of additional sub-national
estimates and Household diary studies exist beyond the final list of estimates.
• A study on household waste from rural Czechia, whilst very detailed and including an
ethnographic study, had a sample of seven households over the period of two weeks each
year across two years. As each year amounted to fewer than 100 ‘waste days’ (number of
households sampled * days of waste generation sampled), this was considered too small a
sample (Sosna et al., 2019).
• Numerous studies, including for example by JICA in Pakistan (JICA, 2015), collect a
reasonable waste sample (ten restaurants and institutions over a week) but the waste is
presented only in terms of the waste per establishment or member of staff. Such
information can be very useful and allow other forms of comparison between countries.
However, for our purposes extensive data on meals consumed out of home, the number of
restaurants in a country etc. would be required to scale the information to national
estimates. As a result, this data was not usable in our estimates.
• A study of a supermarket in Viterbo, Italy, focused on food that is recovered for charitable
purposes. ‘Rescued’ food for human consumption is not considered waste, and food taken
by a charitable organisation is not a proxy for waste generation. Furthermore, this study
looks only at a single establishment and extrapolates based on floor size. This was
considered too small a sample to have confidence in the conclusions at a national level
(Cicatiello et al., 2016).
2.3 Calculations: Quantifying food waste in each country
This section details the calculation methods used to obtain an estimate of food waste for each
country in the world, for each of the three sectors under consideration.
Multiple methods were trialled to explore their appropriateness to meet the objectives of this study.
The method in this section was assessed to be the most accurate and most appropriate given the
nature of the data collected. Other methods are outlined in (2.4), with discussion of why they were
deemed less appropriate to this study.
The method used for Household is different from the other three sectors, so is presented separately.
This reflects the low data coverage for non-household sectors outside the HIC bracket. This data
scarcity means that the estimates for the non-household sectors have low accuracy and therefore
have a confidence level of Very Low. This reflects the substantial assumptions required to obtain
these estimates. They are intended to give an approximate indication of the scale of the problem
where these assumptions hold true. Without more data, we cannot say with confidence whether
these estimates under- or over-state the true scale of the food waste problem.
2.3.1 Household
There are two broad approaches to obtaining a household-food waste estimate for a given country.
This depends on whether a country has an estimate of food waste (classified as either High or
Medium confidence, see 2.2.3.2) or no usable data for quantification purposes.
▪ Countries with data: For countries with a single usable estimate of household food waste,
this is taken as the estimate for that country. When a country has multiple estimates (e.g.
multiple household studies have been undertaken and we have a similar level of confidence
in each), the average (mean) of those estimates is taken. If High confidence estimates
existed for a country and sector, any Medium confidence estimates were removed, so
averaging only happens at the same confidence level. See 2.2.4.4 for detail on when studies
were superseded and when they were grouped. Only nationwide studies are considered
High confidence to reduce possible bias from sub-national studies overrepresenting specific
population groups, although sampling methodologies and in-country variation may still lead
to uncertainty in the results.
▪ Countries without data: For countries without a usable study, we calculate an extrapolation
using data from similar countries. For this calculation, two figures are calculated, and the
average taken:
The average waste (kg / capita / year) for data points from all countries with estimates in the
same income group as the country in question (using World Bank classification)7 and
7
As previously mentioned, income groups refer to World Bank classification, for the 2021 fiscal year.
There are four categories: Low-income countries (LIC), defined as those with Gross National Income
(GNI) per capita of $1,035 or less; lower middle-income economies (LMC), with GNI per capita
between $1,036 and $4,045; upper middle-income economies (UMC) with a GNI per capita between
$4,046 and $12,535; high-income economies (HIC), those with GNI per capita of $12,536 or more.
The average waste (kg / capita / year) for data points from all countries with estimates in the
same region of the country in question (using UNSD sub-region). For a list of all countries
and regions, see Appendix 4.
These two figures are averaged (i.e., combined with equal weight) to generate an estimate
for the country:
Due to the small number of estimates in Low-Income Countries (LICs), the income group average for
LICs is calculated by averaging the data points for Low-Medium Income Countries (LMCs) and LICs
into a single figure. Table 6 displays the average per capita waste by income group.
Because the income groups typically include more countries than the regions, in nearly all cases the
country has more estimates from similar income level countries than it does for countries within its
region. As a result, by applying the average of the region and income group evenly, each regional
estimate is given more weight than economic group estimates. The extent of the bias towards
regional estimates depends on the number of papers in each category. This is considered justifiable
as there are more likely to be regional similarities in diet and food culture (and thus food waste)
than there are between geographically dispersed countries of similar income.
Countries which are in both the same income group and region are counted twice, once in the
regional and once in the income average. As a result, this ‘double-weights’ the data from these
countries. This is again considered justifiable as the data is coming from countries most alike to that
in question.
We assess our confidence in the extrapolated estimates based on the number of countries which
inform the extrapolation. None of the extrapolations are considered High or Medium confidence
estimates, as these classifications are reserved for countries in which a study was identified.
Extrapolations with low confidence are those which are informed by at least ten countries in total of
which at least five must be countries from the same region. These are based on countries rather
than datapoints, so even if a country in the same region had five studies informing its estimate, this
would only count as one for the purposes of extrapolation. All extrapolations in LICs are Very Low
due to having to use averages largely derived from LMCs. For a summary of confidence ratings, see
Section 2.3.3.
▪ High-Income Countries without data: For HICs, there is sufficient data to extrapolate to
other HICs without data. This extrapolation uses the average (mean) per capita waste of HICs
with data. There is insufficient information in most regions to support the use of regional
estimates in this extrapolation. These estimates are classed as ‘low’ confidence.
▪ Other countries without data: For UMCs, LMCs and LICs the average per capita waste for all
countries with estimates is taken. This amounts to a very rough global average being used
for the extrapolation. These estimates have a Very Low confidence classification.
As previously mentioned, the method for non-HICs is will result in estimates with very low levels of
accuracy. For these countries, the global average used for extrapolation is mainly based on data
from HICs, which may not be suitable proxies, hence the Very Low confidence classification.
Table 8: Average per capita waste by sector, HIC and all countries combined
The confidence rating in this report is not a judgement on the quality of the study undertaken. It is
an assessment – based on our understanding of the study – of how robust the estimate of food
waste is for tracking food waste in the given country. In many cases, this was not an aim of the
original study. Hence many good studies will be classified at a Medium confidence level (or even
excluded from consideration altogether) as the aims of the paper did not include national food-
waste tracking.
2.4 Additional extrapolation methods considered for Household sector
Several different approaches were trialled for obtaining global estimates of food waste in each
sector. The most appropriate approach given the data is described in 2.3, with results in Section
2.4.3 of the main FWI report. However, those approaches trialled but rejected are listed below.
Firstly, it was important to note that had significant correlations been observed between levels of
food waste and potential explanatory variables for which there is good national coverage (such as
GDP per capita), that this relationship could be used to build a regression model, and extrapolation
to countries without data be informed by this model. However, none of the sectors had a discernible
relationship with a nation’s GDP / capita. In fact, Household waste, which might be expected to be
the one with the clearest association, had a very consistent clustering of results around the 60-100
kg/capita/year mark, regardless of GDP. The most notable change across the range of GDP per capita
was the spread of results: whilst the averages stayed largely consistent, the upper extremes varied
significantly. This can be viewed in Figure 5 in the main FWI report.
As a result, a model built from the correlation between these two figures was not considered
appropriate and more general approach were considered. Example values are given for the
Household sector.
Method 1: simple global mean (kg / capita / year) used for all countries, irrespective of whether they
had data. This simplistic approach assumes that average global data will be more appropriate for a
country, even if that country has a relevant study. As this assumption was known to be large, this
approach was more to provide a check to other methods. (Household estimate using method 1 =
635 million tonnes.)
Method 2: This approach repeats Method 1 but derives a median average rather than a mean in
order to quickly see the effect of outliers and their effect on the estimate. Like Method 1, this
applies the average to all countries, including those which already have datapoints, which are
replaced by the average. Again, this method was never intended as a serious ‘contender’ for use.
(597 million tonnes).
Method 3: This approach uses a country’s data where it is present. Where a country does not have
data, it uses a global average (mean), as in Method 1. All countries are scaled by their 2019
population figures. For households, this provided a similar estimate to the method eventually used,
illustrating the similarity in per capita food waste figures in countries of different income levels and
regions. (560 million tonnes.)
Method 4: As for method 3, but using a median average for countries without their own data. For
the household sector, as there were a few high values (potential outliers), this estimate is slightly
lower than method 3. (551 million tonnes).
Method 5: As for method 3, but the mean average applied to countries without data is calculated
from the dataset with high values (potential outliers) removed. For households, the threshold
applied was 120 kg / capita / year, which removed data from six of the 52 countries with data. The
resultant estimate was similar to method 4, and slightly lower than method 3 (544 million tonnes.)
Method 6: A forerunner to the method eventually adopted for household. For countries without
data, a combination of global average, regional average and average from countries in the UN
classification of Developed or Developing were used8. These three averages were then combined in
proportions depending on the number of data points that each average was calculated from.
Share of countries with estimate Regional Average Confidence Regional Confidence Weight
0 None 0
>0% Low 0.33
33% Medium 0.50
50% High 0.67
For each country, the weighted averages are summed to generate an estimate. This is summarised
below:
The value of food waste used for this report (569 million tonnes, method 7, Section 2.3.1) is very
similar to method 6 (567 million tonnes). Given the similarity between the results of the seven
different methods used for estimating a global average, the exact nature of the calculations has only
a small impact on the results. Therefore, we have focused on a method that is likely to yield the
most accurate results for each country (as presented in Section 2.3).
8
Later analysis within this project suggested that the four groups of income level, as per the World
Bank classification, were more appropriate. They provided more insight into the coverage of food
waste data and amounts of food waste generated.
3 Appendix: Available estimates / datapoints used for level 1
modelling
This section contains tables with the datapoints used with the Level 1 modelling. This includes:
It is important to note that the confidence rating in this report is not a judgement on the quality of
the study undertaken, it is an assessment – based on our understanding of the study – of how robust
the estimate of food waste is for tracking food waste in the given country. In many cases, this was
not an aim of the original study. Hence many good studies will be classified at a ‘Medium’
confidence level (or even excluded from consideration altogether) as the aims of the paper did not
include national food waste tracking.
India Rajam, 25 households from 5 different segments of Rajam town were given two bags; one for
wet and one for dry waste, collected each day. Segregated their waste for seven (Ramakrishna,
Andhra 57.84 Medium
consecutive days, which was then taken for sorting. 2016)
Pradesh Confidence
144 households from 11 major blocks of Dehradun city provided with waste bags in (Suthar & Medium
which to put their waste from a 24-hour period, which was then sorted and classified. 20.13
Dehradun Singh, 2015) Confidence
100 households in Surabaya were provided with bags in which to put all of their daily
(Dhokhikah et
Indonesia waste for a period of 8 consecutive days. This was then collected and sorted, including 77.37 Medium
al., 2015)
Surabaya into a separate food waste category. Confidence
20 families in Baghdad, a mixture of family sizes and income levels, weighed their
weekly purchases (this seems to have excluded meat) and kitchen waste on kitchen
scales and documented them for a period of 8 months. This has been adjusted to
(Al-Maliky &
account for diary bias. There is some uncertainty about the scope as the term kitchen
75.07 ElKhayat,
waste and leftovers are used interchangeably: this could possibly be looking at edible
2012)
waste only. Adjusting it as such would lead to an extreme food waste estimate, so this
has been assumed not to be the case, but this uncertainty prevents us from having high Medium
Baghdad confidence in the results. Confidence
60 households, 10 from each sector of Mosul were given plastic bags and told to
deposit their waste from a 24-hour period into it. It is unclear if this was repeated for
(Al-Rawi & Al-
individual houses or for how many days, though the paper does say that the study 84.66
Tayyar, 2013)
period was between February and July which would suggest it was repeated for Medium
Iraq Mosul households for some duration. A total of 1680 solid waste samples were collected. Confidence
70 households in Karbala distributed plastic bags in which to put their waste from a 24- (Al-Mas’udi &
hour period. Done once a month for three months in winter and three months in 141.61 Al-Haydari, Medium
Karbala summer. 2015) Confidence
80 households across three income groups in Al-Kut had their waste collected daily for
a period of one week, which was repeated one week per month for seven months.
Whilst this is a large sample, there remains some uncertainty around definitions as to (Sulaymon et
137.53
whether food or organic waste was measured, which could explain the quite al., 2010)
substantial waste generation. As a result, we cannot have high confidence in the Medium
Al-Kut City estimate. Confidence
65 households representing 417 people across three income groups in Nassiriya were
(Yasir & Abudi,
randomly selected. Distributed plastic bags in which to put waste which were collected 163.33 Medium
2009)
Nassiriya daily and replaced over a period of seven months. Confidence
Cited as being from the Irish Environmental Protection Agency (2015). The original
source and weight estimates were not found based on the bibliography information or
(Stenmarck et
Ireland direct searches. However, it was judged by Stenmarck et al. (2016) to be 'data of 54.70
al., 2016)
sufficient quality'. The inability to find the source paper means we cannot have high Medium
confidence. Confidence
192 households across three neighbourhoods in Eastern Haifa, primarily middle-class
households, provided with waste bags which were collected daily for the period of one (Elimelech et
Israel 94.18
week. Due to being a study within a specific unrepresentative area, we only have al., 2018) Medium
Haifa medium confidence. Confidence
Country Subnational Adjusted
study area kg/capita/year Confidence
(if relevant) Methodological Description estimate Source Level
The paper describes the figure as coming from "A comprehensive value chain model for
various food production and consumption stages was designed to assess food waste
and the potential for food rescue in Israel. The model is based on a bottom-up
approach, and includes analysis of data relevant to agricultural production, import,
export, industry, distribution and a sample of consumption patterns of 50 different
types of food." [...] "For each type of food, the volume of input and output was
measured in terms of gross agricultural product and loss rate for every stage of the
(Leket Israel,
value chain in the food production, distribution and consumption process." [...] "This 104.99
2019)
data is indicative and intended to serve as the basis for public debate, and for further
research and study".
As a result, it is not that clear exactly the calculation that has taken place nor the
original data sources, other than that they are 'bottom up'. Leket is a primary food
rescue organisation in Israel and this paper was referred to us by contacts in the region.
The lack of clarity on the methodological details means we cannot have high Medium
confidence in the estimate. Confidence
388 families completed a food diary in which they recorded food disposed over the
course of one week. The households were chosen by random stratified sampling and (Giordano et
Italy 67.05
were considered representative in terms of region and household size. As a diary al., 2019) Medium
estimate, it has been adjusted to account for methodological bias. Confidence
This presentation (in English) by the Food Industrial Policy Office presents statistics
from the MAFF statistical survey, estimating waste from each of the sectors: Household
(Food Industry
(solid waste); Restaurant (assumed to mean all Food Service) and Retail. Wholesale
Japan 64.32 Policy Office,
estimated separately, not included. Estimates are for the 2014 financial year. The
2017)
survey methodology is not presented. As a result of this methodological uncertainty, it Medium
is considered 'medium confidence' until more information is received. Confidence
150 households were sampled across five income groups (High, Middle, Low-Middle,
Low, Slum), which are grouped in Table 2.2.7 into three residential groups (High,
Middle, Low) with a subset of those sampled for composition. Total of 8 days collected 99.92 (JICA, 2010)
but the first one was discounted as not representing daily generation, so 7 days of Medium
Kenya Nairobi sample. A subset of this waste was then sorted and classified. Confidence
90 households across three income areas (high, middle, low) received plastic bags for
disposing daily waste. Total of 8 days collected but the first one was discounted as not (Takeuchi,
98.56
representing daily generation, so 7 days of sample. This waste was then sorted and 2019) Medium
Nairobi classified. Confidence
250 respondents completed a seven-day food waste diary in Beirut, alongside an
attitudinal survey which a total of 500 people completed. Neighbourhoods were
(Chalak et al.,
Lebanon selected to be representative of the wider population, but the sampling of households 104.66
2019)
within neighbourhoods was systematic random sampling. As a diary study, it has been Medium
Beirut adjusted for methodological bias. Confidence
This figure comes from a review paper which references a primary source (in German)
which is mentioned as being a waste composition study, although further (Caldeira et
90.57
methodological details are not provided. This estimate has been complemented by a al., 2019) Medium
Luxembour more recent study in the same country. Confidence
g Combination of waste statistics and a waste composition analysis undertaken in 2018- (Luxembourg
19, alongside other secondary and tertiary data. Further details are not known, but it is Environment
88.50
published by the Luxembourg Environment Administration. Ministry, Medium
2020) Confidence
Table 1 cites 'MHLG' (Ministry of Housing and Local Government) 2011, estimating food
(Jereme et al.,
waste generation by source. This was not findable by the bibliography nor through a 111.54 Medium
2013)
direct internet search. As a result, we cannot have high confidence in the estimate. Confidence
282 households were sampled across four neighbourhoods, which represent a mixture
of different housing types (terraced housing, bungalows, flats). All in an area of
Malaysia Selangor described as a typical suburban area in the Kuala Lumpur area. Waste from a
single day sampled in each area, sampling from the normal disposal routine rather than
(Watanabe,
asking households to dispose of their waste differently. Panel 3 has breakdown of food 71.35
2012)
into 'Unused food' (7.71% total household waste), 'General kitchen waste' (24.83%
total household waste), 'big fruit peels' (10.32% total waste).
Bandar Baru Although this has a large sample, it is geographically restricted to one area so can only Medium
Bangi have medium confidence when used for the whole of Malaysia. Confidence
Country Subnational Adjusted
study area kg/capita/year Confidence
(if relevant) Methodological Description estimate Source Level
The figure comes from a review paper which details the methodology of the original
(Caldeira et
Malta study. 700 households were randomly sampled for one week in each of July, October 129.00 High
al., 2019)
and April as part of a waste compositional analysis. Confidence
This figure combines a number of sources, detailed in Appendix 5 of the report. Studies
were identified in 3 states and 5 municipalities which directly measured the share of
waste which was food waste at the household level. This is then scaled up using figures
from the urban solid waste, which is primarily but not exclusively household waste: (Kemper et al.,
Mexico 93.90
some small businesses and some larger ones (operating illegally) dispose of waste in 2019)
the household municipal waste. The scale of non-household contamination is not
known. As a result, it is no more than a medium confidence estimate for household Medium
food waste that likely slightly exaggerates its extent (in urban solid waste). Confidence
The study combines multiple methods: 130 households across 13 municipalities had
(The
waste compositional analyses conducted, in order to determine solid waste; 1000
Netherlands
respondents to a consumer survey in order to determine waste destinations (i.e., how
Netherland Nutrition
much was composted, fed to animals etc.); 1013 respondents to an app used to 50.00
s Centre
document liquid waste. This is the same methodology as was applied in a 2016 study.
Foundation,
Avoidable and unavoidable waste were presented separately and have been summed. High
2019)
Liquid waste has not been included in our figure. Confidence
597 households across six different local authorities had their waste audited. This only (Sunshine
New considers the kerbside domestic waste. Yates
61.00
Zealand Consulting, High
2018) Confidence
100 households covering a total of 334 people were selected by stratified random
(Orhorhoro et
Nigeria sampling, all in the Sapele area. Waste was collected from households after seven days 188.80 Medium
al., 2017)
Sapele and sorted. Confidence
210 households in the Fredrikstad and Hallingdal areas were randomly selected for
(Hanssen et
Norway waste sampling. These areas were considered to be sufficiently representative of the 78.80 High
al., 2016)
wider population for scaling purposes. Confidence
60 urban households across three income groups (high middle and low). Provided with
plastic bags which were collected daily for 8 days, though the first bag was disregarded
for containing more than one day's waste. The sample was repeated across three
seasons to account for variation. Rural households were considered within the study, 87.55
these have been treated as a separate data point. As it is a study specific to a smaller
geographic area, it is considered medium confidence for analysing the whole of Medium
Pakistan Gujranwala Pakistan. (JICA, 2015) Confidence
10 households in rural areas provided with plastic bags in which to deposit waste.
Collected for 8 days but the first day was discounted due to covering more than a day's
waste. The survey was repeated across three different seasons to account for variation. 59.73
The small sample means we cannot have high confidence. Urban households were also Medium
Gujranwala studied but treated as a separate data point. Confidence
21 households, representing 83 people, were audited. None of them were involved in
agricultural production. They were provided with three bags for sorting (bio-waste,
(Steinhoff-
hygienic waste, all other waste) and had waste collected in each of the four seasons. It
Poland 55.94 Wrześniewska,
is unclear for how long during each season the measurement took place. As a result of
2015)
Surrounding small sample size and unknown length, we cannot have high confidence in the Medium
Wroclaw estimate. Confidence
The paper cites what is assumed to be a waste composition analysis by the Higher
School of Economics (which was not found when searched for) and data from Rosstat.
In addition, the shares of waste at each stage are calculations based on data from
Russian Russian Agriculture Ministry (2017). The estimate provides a total food waste estimate (Tiarcenter,
33.38
Federation as well as the amount of waste at each stage of the chain, these have been combined 2019)
to form sector-specific estimates. The inability to trace the original source data and the
lack of transparency on the calculations means we cannot have high confidence in this Medium
estimate. Confidence
90 households surveyed in 3 districts. For each district, 10 households from each
socioeconomic group (low, medium, high). Bags and scales were distributed to the
Rwanda households and they were told to separate food waste and other waste. The 164.36 (Mucyo, 2013)
households weighed this each day for a period of two weeks, but regularly received Medium
Kigali visits from the researchers. Confidence
Country Subnational Adjusted
study area kg/capita/year Confidence
(if relevant) Methodological Description estimate Source Level
This study forms the Saudi waste Baseline, conducted by Saudi Grains Organisation
(SAGO). 20,090 samples of domestic consumption were taken across 19 food products
across 13 regions in Saudi Arabia. It is unclear, however, from how many households
these samples arise. These were separated and weighed. This compositional analysis
Saudi
was supplemented by a behavioural study. The Household estimate is the share of 104.88 (SAGO, 2019)
Arabia
waste attributed to 'Consumption'. Additional information and images to supplement
the main study can be found here: https://www.macs-
g20.org/fileadmin/macs/Activities/2020_FLW_WS/4_Session_3_FW_at_HH_level_smal High
l.pdf Confidence
Data from the Slovenian Statistical Office, but the exact methodology is unclear. The
methodological explanation from the same site mentions three different annual (Republic of
surveys on waste collection, generation and recovery/disposal, alongside an ad-hoc Slovenia
32.83
questionnaire of public waste collection services. It is unclear to whom the surveys are Statistical
sent (i.e., to waste generators or to waste collection services) and if it requires Office, 2019) Medium
submission of observed data or some other form of self-reporting. Confidence
Slovenia
Data from the Slovenian Statistical Office, but the exact methodology is unclear. The
methodological explanation from the same site mentions three different annual (Republic of
surveys on waste collection, generation and recovery/disposal, alongside an ad-hoc Slovenia
35.58
questionnaire of public waste collection services. It is unclear to whom the surveys are Statistical
sent (i.e., to waste generators or to waste collection services) and if it requires Office, 2020) Medium
submission of observed data or some other form of self-reporting. Confidence
Richards 554 participants taking place in a face-to-face survey. They were asked to measure and
(Chakona &
Bay, Dundee record their waste for the 48hr before the survey. Survey across three towns of
17.69 Shackleton,
and Richards Bay, Dundee and Harrismith. Mixture of urban, peri-urban and rural Medium
2017)
Harrismith households. Confidence
This paper combines a literature review of waste compositional analyses disaggregated
by income group across three cities (Cape Town, Johannesburg and Rustenburg). These
(Nahman et
are then scaled by the waste generation of those specific income groups nationally. 27.33
al., 2012)
Due to the comparison with other datapoints from South Africa and their large Medium
variation, this was not considered an estimate in which we could have high confidence. Confidence
44,927 households across 74 collection routes in Johannesburg were sampled during a
6-week period, with random grab sub-samples from municipal waste collection trucks
in residential areas, which were then analysed for composition.
The result is particularly low which is notable when compared to other studies in 12.00
nearby countries. This could suggest that some other waste (such as from small
Johannesbur businesses, or illegal dumping) is being collected as part of the household waste Medium
g stream. (Oelofse et al., Confidence
20,439 households across 41 collection routes in Ekurhuleni were sampled during a 6- 2018)
week period, with random grab sub-samples from municipal waste collection trucks in
South residential areas, which were then analysed for composition.
Africa The result is particularly low which is notable when compared to other studies in 8.00
nearby countries. This could suggest that some other waste (such as from small
businesses, or illegal dumping) is being collected as part of the household waste Medium
Ekurhuleni stream. Confidence
123 households across 5 areas of Tshwane Metropolitan Municipality had their food
waste weighed. The food waste was collected separately and weighed on a weekly
basis for a period of 3 weeks. The sample of 123 are out of 133 respondents on a
survey who indicated that they wasted food. Another 77 respondents indicated that
they did not waste food, and were seemingly not asked to weigh their waste. This may
bias the results by only auditing those who self-describe themselves as someone who
wastes food, and not including measurements from much smaller waste generators.
The paper does not present a single waste figure. Instead, it has been derived from (Ramukhwath
133.85
Table 4.9 using the waste generation rate per household, number of people in o, 2016)
household and share of that household size in the sample to get a weighted per capita
estimate (the Sum of [household waste / number of people in household] * [share of
total sample which is this household size] for each household size).
Tshwane The paper does include some disposal method information but not enough to adjust
Metropolita the figures. For example, 14% of respondents claimed they fed food waste to pets, but
n this does not clearly translate to 14% of food waste being fed to animals. As a result, no Medium
Municipality adjustment was carried out. Confidence
Country Subnational Adjusted
study area kg/capita/year Confidence
(if relevant) Methodological Description estimate Source Level
The figure comes from a review paper which cites a study produced by the Spanish
Environment Ministry. It involved 4000 households doing an online waste diary survey,
2000 of which documented their shopping and waste with the other half used to 77.65
develop user profile and preferences. This only looks at edible waste so has been Medium
adjusted. (Caldeira et Confidence
Spain
The figure comes from a review paper which cites a study produced by the Spanish al., 2019)
Environment Ministry. It is similar to the other Spanish datapoint but involves a higher
number of households, with 12,000 considered for building the profile of shopping 77.00
habits and 4,000 doing the waste diary. This only looks at edible waste so has been Medium
adjusted. Confidence
The JICA study refers to a range of locally conducted surveys on waste generation units
and waste composition, combined with waste generation rates obtained by SATREPS
(Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development) in 2014, a
previous JICA project. The methodological details of the locally outsourced surveys are
118.28
not clear. Although the waste generation rates are captured at a household level, it
appears as though the compositional analysis may have been done at an aggregated
level, such as at the landfill. This and the methodological uncertainty reduce our Medium
Jaffna confidence in the estimates, so they are rated 'medium confidence' only. Confidence
The JICA study refers to a range of locally conducted surveys on waste generation units
and waste composition, combined with waste generation rates obtained by SATREPS
(Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development) in 2014, a
previous JICA project. The methodological details of the locally outsourced surveys are
95.37
not clear. Although the waste generation rates are captured at a household level, it
appears as though the compositional analysis may have been done at an aggregated
level, such as at the landfill. This and the methodological uncertainty reduce our Medium
Nuwara Eliya confidence in the estimates, so they are rated 'medium confidence' only. Confidence
The JICA study refers to a range of locally conducted surveys on waste generation units
and waste composition, combined with waste generation rates obtained by SATREPS
(Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development) in 2014, a
previous JICA project. The methodological details of the locally outsourced surveys are
94.79
not clear. Although the waste generation rates are captured at a household level, it
appears as though the compositional analysis may have been done at an aggregated
level, such as at the landfill. This and the methodological uncertainty reduce our Medium
Kataragama confidence in the estimates, so they are rated 'medium confidence' only. Confidence
Sri Lanka (JICA, 2016)
The JICA study refers to a range of locally conducted surveys on waste generation units
and waste composition, combined with waste generation rates obtained by SATREPS
(Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development) in 2014, a
previous JICA project. The methodological details of the locally outsourced surveys are
79.31
not clear. Although the waste generation rates are captured at a household level, it
appears as though the compositional analysis may have been done at an aggregated
Thamankadu level, such as at the landfill. This and the methodological uncertainty reduce our Medium
wa confidence in the estimates, so they are rated 'medium confidence' only. Confidence
The JICA study refers to a range of locally conducted surveys on waste generation units
and waste composition, combined with waste generation rates obtained by SATREPS
(Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development) in 2014, a
previous JICA project. The methodological details of the locally outsourced surveys are
78.47
not clear. Although the waste generation rates are captured at a household level, it
appears as though the compositional analysis may have been done at an aggregated
level, such as at the landfill. This and the methodological uncertainty reduce our Medium
Katunayake confidence in the estimates, so they are rated 'medium confidence' only. Confidence
The JICA study refers to a range of locally conducted surveys on waste generation units
and waste composition, combined with waste generation rates obtained by SATREPS
(Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development) in 2014, a
previous JICA project. The methodological details of the locally outsourced surveys are
74.78
not clear. Although the waste generation rates are captured at a household level, it
appears as though the compositional analysis may have been done at an aggregated
level, such as at the landfill. This and the methodological uncertainty reduce our Medium
Moratuwa confidence in the estimates, so they are rated 'medium confidence' only. Confidence
Country Subnational Adjusted
study area kg/capita/year Confidence
(if relevant) Methodological Description estimate Source Level
The JICA study refers to a range of locally conducted surveys on waste generation units
and waste composition, combined with waste generation rates obtained by SATREPS
(Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development) in 2014, a
previous JICA project. The methodological details of the locally outsourced surveys are
74.78
not clear. Although the waste generation rates are captured at a household level, it
appears as though the compositional analysis may have been done at an aggregated
level, such as at the landfill. This and the methodological uncertainty reduce our Medium
Kesbewa confidence in the estimates, so they are rated 'medium confidence' only. Confidence
The JICA study refers to a range of locally conducted surveys on waste generation units
and waste composition, combined with waste generation rates obtained by SATREPS
(Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development) in 2014, a
previous JICA project. The methodological details of the locally outsourced surveys are
74.78
not clear. Although the waste generation rates are captured at a household level, it
appears as though the compositional analysis may have been done at an aggregated
Dehiwala Mt level, such as at the landfill. This and the methodological uncertainty reduce our Medium
Lavinia confidence in the estimates, so they are rated 'medium confidence' only. Confidence
The JICA study refers to a range of locally conducted surveys on waste generation units
and waste composition, combined with waste generation rates obtained by SATREPS
(Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development) in 2014, a
previous JICA project. The methodological details of the locally outsourced surveys are
47.48
not clear. Although the waste generation rates are captured at a household level, it
appears as though the compositional analysis may have been done at an aggregated
level, such as at the landfill. This and the methodological uncertainty reduce our Medium
Kurunegala confidence in the estimates, so they are rated 'medium confidence' only. Confidence
The JICA study refers to a range of locally conducted surveys on waste generation units
and waste composition, combined with waste generation rates obtained by SATREPS
(Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development) in 2014, a
previous JICA project. The methodological details of the locally outsourced surveys are
20.60
not clear. Although the waste generation rates are captured at a household level, it
appears as though the compositional analysis may have been done at an aggregated
level, such as at the landfill. This and the methodological uncertainty reduce our Medium
Trincomalee confidence in the estimates, so they are rated 'medium confidence' only. Confidence
The estimate comes from Avfall Sverige (Swedish Waste management and Recycling
(Swedish
Association) data on the amounts of separate food waste collection and composition
Environmental
Sweden estimates for mixed municipal waste. Home composting is included in the separate 81.00
Protection
food waste estimate. The waste estimates are adjusted by a figure of 0.80 to account High
Agency, 2014)
for home-like business waste collected by municipalities. Confidence
Household data comes from a combination of data on the composition and weight of
residual and organic recycling schemes from Local Authorities. The share of waste
United which is disposed of via the sewer has been removed from the estimate, though the
Kingdom of waste composted at home has not.
Great
77.00 (WRAP, 2020)
Britain and
Northern
Ireland
High
Confidence
75 households in middle and low-income settlements, primarily in high population
density informal settlements. Provided with waste bags for three different days which
United
Kinondoni were collected and sorted. (Oberlin,
Republic of 119.09
municipality, 2013)
Tanzania
Dar es Medium
Salaam Confidence
US EPA synthesis of food waste consistent with the FLW protocol. Combines waste
(U.S.
United generation factors from other studies with relevant scaling statistics. 12 studies which
Environmental
States of directly measure waste were used to inform residential generation rate, nearly all of 58.83
Protection
America which were waste compositional analyses. 15% going to sewer / wastewater treatment High
Agency, 2020)
has been removed. Confidence
100 households across ten different sampling points were selected. The sample is
considered to be representative of Can Tho City in terms of household size. They had (Thanh et al.,
Viet Nam 85.38
Mekong their waste analysed at two points in time: once in the dry season for a month, once in 2010) Medium
Delta the rainy season for a two-week period. Confidence
Country Subnational Adjusted
study area kg/capita/year Confidence
(if relevant) Methodological Description estimate Source Level
120 households were sampled for the period of one week. They were provided with
(Vetter-
plastic bags in which to put household waste which were collected daily. Satellite
66.94 Gindele et al.,
imagery on the distribution of housing types in Da Nang were used to scale the data Medium
2019)
Da Nang according to those housing types and form an estimate for the city. Confidence
60 households across three areas (distinguished by housing density) sorted their waste
weekly for a period of one month. The households were given plastic containers for (Edema et al.,
Zambia 77.92
different wastes: food, plastics, paper, textile, grass and other wastes. They therefore 2012) Medium
Ndola separated it themselves but did not weigh or estimate it themselves. Confidence
3.2 Available estimates / datapoints: Food Service
Table 11: Available datapoints for Food Service, by country
Adjusted
Subnational study kg/capita/year Source (study
Country area (if relevant) Methodological Description estimate number) Confidence Level
This paper represents the national baseline
estimate for food waste commissioned by the
Australian government in order to be the basis for
measurement and reporting of progress on
Australia's National Food Waste Strategy 2017. The
figure was calculated through a number of surveys
and published figures for hospitality and food
service (commercial), and a range of small samples
Australia at institutions such as hospitals and universities. 21.68 (Arcadis, 2019)
These were scaled based on relevant figures such
as the number of students and inmates for schools
and prisons respectively. The authors highlight low
confidence in the institutional estimates due to
small samples. However, it represents wide
coverage and the low confidence is "not
considered material given the estimated scale of
food waste produced". High Confidence
50 establishments had waste compositional
analyses carried out (23 canteen kitchens, including
hospitals and nursing homes; 13 accommodation
establishments; 13 restaurants, 1 catering). This
(Environment
represents wide coverage of both commercial and
25.68 Agency Austria,
non-commercial out of home consumption. From
2017)
the compositional analyses, extrapolation was
based on food waste quantities per meals, number
Austria of meals per establishment type and number of
establishment types. High Confidence
The original paper referenced is in German. The
reference explains that 29 hospitality companies
including restaurants, hotels and canteen kitchens (Caldeira et al.,
31.09
recorded their food waste. This therefore has 2019)
coverage across both commercial and non-
commercial dining. High Confidence
The JICA study team conducted waste generation
source surveys in both the dry and wet season. The
exact number of restaurants is not known, only
that 50 non-households were sampled across 8
days in each season (this figure will include other
buildings, such as shops or offices). It was scaled to
the whole of Dhaka based on the Revenue
Department's licensing list. Being incomplete in its
Bangladesh 3.34 (JICA, 2005)
sectoral coverage and being quite a dated estimate
limit its robustness. Note: the JICA paper does also
estimate the waste for hotels, which would be
considered here, however the table defining the
share of food waste from hotels groups it with
shops, which would otherwise be considered retail.
To avoid this overlap they have not been Medium
Dhaka documented. Confidence
The data comes from a range of sources, many of
which are commercial and therefore not
transparently disclosed. The authors collaborated
with food chain partners (horeca Vlaanderen and
Unie Belgische Catering) and used existing surveys
including Annual Foodservice Monitor and the
(Flemish Food
Integrated Environmental Report. These sources
Supply Chain
Belgium allowed a per person daily waste to be derived, 19.70
Platform for Food
which was then scaled. It covers both hospitality
Loss, 2017)
(commercial) and catering (non-commercial).
Hospitality and catering are presented separately
in the paper, they are summed together here. Their
figures have been scaled for the whole of Belgium,
assuming that Flanders can be considered Medium
Flanders representative of the whole nation. Confidence
This paper aggregates a huge number of what they
term 'catering waste' papers. 47 of them in total
from various areas of China. It's a mixture of
surveys, official statistics, author's calculations etc.
to create data on catering food waste across
different regions. This is then associated to a 51.87
number of correlates which are used to predict
growing food waste in future. The authors worked
with datapoints from a range of years and other
data to form a 2019 estimate which is what we use
East China here. High Confidence
This paper aggregates a huge number of what they
term 'catering waste' papers. 47 of them in total
from various areas of China. It's a mixture of
surveys, official statistics, author's calculations etc.
to create data on catering food waste across
different regions. This is then associated to a 49.31
number of correlates which are used to predict
growing food waste in future. The authors worked
with datapoints from a range of years and other
data to form a 2019 estimate which is what we use
Middle China here. High Confidence
This paper aggregates a huge number of what they (Zhang et al.,
China term 'catering waste' papers. 47 of them in total 2020)
from various areas of China. It's a mixture of
surveys, official statistics, author's calculations etc.
to create data on catering food waste across
different regions. This is then associated to a 47.48
number of correlates which are used to predict
growing food waste in future. The authors worked
with datapoints from a range of years and other
data to form a 2019 estimate which is what we use
West China here. High Confidence
This paper aggregates a huge number of what they
term 'catering waste' papers. 47 of them in total
from various areas of China. It's a mixture of
surveys, official statistics, author's calculations etc.
to create data on catering food waste across
different regions. This is then associated to a
number of correlates which are used to predict
45.00
growing food waste in future. The authors worked
with datapoints from a range of years and other
data to form a 2019 estimate which is what we use
here. The total waste figure itself was not listed in
the text but was confirmed with the authors as
being 38 million tonnes. This refers only to urban
Urban China Total catering waste. High Confidence
This paper aggregates a huge number of what they
term 'catering waste' papers. 47 of them in total
from various areas of China. It is a mixture of
surveys, official statistics, author's calculations etc.
to create data on catering food waste across
different regions. This is then associated to a 34.33
number of correlates which are used to predict
growing food waste in future. The authors worked
with datapoints from a range of years and other
data to form a 2019 estimate which is what we use
Northeast China here. High Confidence
Electronic questionnaire studies were issues to
chefs among hotels, restaurants and canteens. 474
chefs reported information about their food waste.
The paper also refers to 53 businesses being
studied; it is unclear if this number includes out of (Danish
home consumption businesses or just retail. The Environmental
Denmark 20.64
authors claim it was designed to be as Protection
representative as possible. The figure taken is the Agency, 2014)
sum of Hotels (4), Restaurants (5), Institutions (6)
and Canteens (7). Confidence intervals of ±25 are
provided for hotels and restaurants, ±50 for
institutions and ±10 for canteens. High Confidence
20 catering institutions had waste audits run: 3
restaurants, 3 bars/pubs, 3 cafes, 4
canteens/buffets, 3 schools, 3 kindergartens, 1
hospital. This therefore offers a good variation of
(Moora, Evelin, et
Estonia commercial and non-commercial out of home 16.61
al., 2015)
consumption. Across 5 days, waste was measured
at preparation, serving, consumption and storing
food to provide waste generation figures which
was scaled up. High Confidence
References three different papers: from Katajajuuri
et al. (2014), Silvenoinen et al. (2014) and HSY
(2012). The Katajajuuri paper is also a separate
data point in this database. The first two only
estimate avoidable waste (80,000 tonnes), the
latter was used to estimate avoidable waste
(50,000 tonnes). This was done to make them more
(Stenmarck et al.,
comparable to other studies of all food waste. 24.04
2016)
Since this adjusted total food waste estimates
comes from Finland-specific data, it was judged
that leaving it as a separate data point to compare
and average with our generic edible share adjusted
figure would be prudent. The adjusted per capita
figures are highly comparable to one another, Medium
giving some confidence in our estimate. Confidence
Finland
This paper includes the results of two separate
studies, one on the commercial sector and one on
the non-commercial sector. The commercial sector
study involved 72 restaurants across 17 businesses
- a range of diners, cafes, restaurants, hotels etc. -
having their waste measured for a single day. The
non-commercial study involved 55 outlets
(Katajajuuri et al.,
representing three companies providing food for 22.57
2014)
day care, hospitals and workplace canteens,
measured over one week. Table 5 in the paper
refers to "avoidable food waste in the Finnish food
supply chain" suggesting that this did not measure
total food waste, only the avoidable share, and the
figure is therefore adjusted to estimate this Medium
inedible or unavoidable share. Confidence
Combination of studies across canteens and
restaurants. 22 canteens and 37 restaurants
interviewed. Most of these were self-estimation
without measurement, though some
measurements were taken independent of the
study. The study also conducted a waste audit in
one canteen and one restaurant. These were
compared to a similar 2011 Agriculture Ministry
study of out of home waste. They used this
31.60 (ADEME, 2016)
information to confirm the underestimation of out
of home actors to their own waste and prioritise
France the 'realised' measure over the actor estimate. The
waste per meal (including storage waste from
kitchen, not just plate waste) is scaled for the
respective commercial and non-commercial sector.
However, it only looks at edible waste (destined for
human consumption) and no preparation waste. Medium
This is therefore adjusted. Confidence
Estimate judged to be of 'sufficient quality' by
Stenmarck et al. (2016), it combines literature (BIO Intelligence
17.37
references from a Danish Environmental Ministry Service, 2010) Medium
Report (2010) and ADEME (2004). Confidence
This is an English summary paper of a study in
German, which means some of the details of the
methodology are unclear. They claim to use "the
best available data at the time of the study", which
will include papers in German. Figure S.1 shows the
admissible measurement methods and those which
were applied for each sector, which is in line with
the methods we are targeting here. However, the
(Schmidt et al.,
Germany English summary does not include detail on the 20.58
2019)
specific sources used so it is unclear how many of
each method there are. For out of home, they use
Direct Measurements; Waste Composition
Analysis; Records.
This paper forms the 2015 baseline for food waste
against which the national strategy for reducing
food waste will be measured, it is therefore the
preferred figure for Germany. High Confidence
Cited as being from the Irish Environmental
Protection Agency (2015). The original source and
weight estimates were not found based on the
bibliography information or direct searches. (Stenmarck et al.,
Ireland 56.15
However, it was judged by Stenmarck et al. (2016) 2016)
to be 'data of sufficient quality'. The inability to find
the source paper means we cannot have high Medium
confidence. Confidence
The paper describes the figure as coming from "A
comprehensive value chain model for various food
production and consumption stages was designed
to assess food waste and the potential for food
rescue in Israel. The model is based on a bottom-up
approach, and includes analysis of data relevant to
agricultural production, import, export, industry,
distribution and a sample of consumption patterns
of 50 different types of food." [...] "For each type of
food, the volume of input and output was
measured in terms of gross agricultural product
and loss rate for every stage of the value chain in (Leket Israel,
Israel 27.44
the food production, distribution and consumption 2019)
process." [...] "This data is indicative and intended
to serve as the basis for public debate, and for
further research and study".
As a result, it is not that clear exactly the
calculation that has taken place nor the original
data sources, other than that they are 'bottom up'.
Leket is a primary food rescue organisation in Israel
and this paper was referred to us by contacts in the
region. The lack of clarity on the methodological
details means we cannot have high confidence in Medium
the estimate. Confidence
This presentation (in English) by the Food Industrial
Policy Office presents statistics from the MAFF
statistical survey, estimating waste from each of
the sectors: Household (solid waste); Restaurant
(assumed to mean all Food Service) and Retail.
Wholesale estimated separately, not included. (Food Industry
Japan Estimates are for the 2014 financial year. The 14.75 Policy Office,
survey methodology is not presented. As a result of 2017)
this methodological uncertainty, it is considered
'medium confidence' until more information is
received. For Retail and Food Service, the figures
have been adjusted to account for the share going Medium
to animal feed, also included in the presentation. Confidence
Across retail and out of home consumption, 90
locations had their waste analysed for a period of
seven days, which was preceded by a one-day test
measurement, which was excluded from analysis.
Kenya The figure presented is the sum of Restaurants, 31.14 (JICA, 2010)
Hotels and Public Facilities, each of which had a
distinct waste generation rate and food waste
generation share. The original study scales this by Medium
Nairobi the number of institutions in Nairobi. Confidence
Combination of waste statistics and interviews and
(Luxembourg
surveys with enterprises. Further details are not
Luxembourg 20.90 Environment
known, but it is published by the Luxembourg Medium
Ministry, 2020)
Environment Administration. Confidence
Table 1 cites 'MHLG' (Ministry of Housing and Local
Government) 2011, estimating food waste
generation by source. This was not findable by the (Jereme et al.,
Malaysia 89.56
bibliography nor through a direct internet search. 2013)
As a result, we cannot have high confidence in the Medium
estimate. Confidence
References the research project KuttMatsvinn2020,
which focused on hotels, convenience stores and
employee cafeterias, sampling around 2000
catering outlets. Work on other subsectors such as
schools and restaurants is underway; as a result it
appears as though the estimate has not accounted
for these other sectors, making it an incomplete
Food Service estimate. Uses the ForMat definition (Stensgård et al.,
Norway 4.96
of food which only measures edible food waste, 2019)
not inedible parts. It has therefore been adjusted
to increase comparability. In this definition, food
sent to animal feed is considered waste. It was not
possible to adjust and account for this as the share
of food going to animal feed was only included for
the production stage; it is therefore assumed no Medium
food waste is going to animals at other stages. Confidence
Interviews conducted with approximately 100
hotels, restaurants and caterers to determine the
share of food waste at the stages of kitchen
preparation and plate waste. Unclear to what (Bogdanović, et
Serbia 6.00
extent survey respondents were estimating or al., 2019)
based on internal measurement. The waste
generation factors from this were applied to CEVES Medium
estimates on food purchases in Serbian HoReCa. Confidence
Data from the Slovenian Statistical Office, but the
exact methodology is unclear. The methodological
explanation from the same site mentions three
different annual surveys on waste collection, (Republic of
generation and recovery/disposal, alongside an ad- Slovenia
19.54
hoc questionnaire of public waste collection Statistical Office,
services. It is unclear to whom the surveys are sent 2019)
(i.e., to waste generators or to waste collection
services) and if it requires submission of observed Medium
data or some other form of self-reporting. Confidence
Slovenia
Data from the Slovenian Statistical Office, but the
exact methodology is unclear. The methodological
explanation from the same site mentions three
different annual surveys on waste collection, (Republic of
generation and recovery/disposal, alongside an ad- Slovenia
20.25
hoc questionnaire of public waste collection Statistical Office,
services. It is unclear to whom the surveys are sent 2020)
(i.e., to waste generators or to waste collection
services) and if it requires submission of observed Medium
data or some other form of self-reporting. Confidence
This estimate takes waste factors derived from two
different papers, both in Swedish. One is a
restaurant-specific factor taken from Jensen et al.
(2011) which was then scaled by waste per
employee. The other is a catering factor from Stare 21.00
et al. (2013), which has a factor of waste per
portion in schools. This has been applied to schools
and other catering facilities, including prisons and (Swedish
healthcare. Environmental High Confidence
Sweden
Protection
This estimate takes waste factors derived from two Agency, 2014)
different papers, in Swedish. One is a restaurant-
specific factor taken from Jensen et al. (2011)
which was then scaled by waste per employee. The
20.00
other is a catering factor from Stare et al. (2013),
which has a factor of waste per portion in schools.
This has been applied to schools and other catering
facilities, including prisons and healthcare. High Confidence
This paper cites Baier and Reinhard (2007) for food
service installations, and Andrini and Bauen (2005)
for restaurants. Both are in German and involved
(Beretta et al.,
Switzerland waste audits. 40 food service installations were 40.00
2013)
audited and 20 restaurants. These estimates have
been combined to create an estimate of total Out Medium
of Home waste. Confidence
United Food waste data remodelled based on WRAP's
Kingdom of 2013 analysis of food waste in the hospitality and
Great Britain food service sector, a study which employed waste 16.50 (WRAP, 2020)
and compositional analyses and analysis of DEFRA
Northern survey information. This data was re-weighted to
Ireland account for the change in number and size of
premises, number of pupils served by school
catering etc. High Confidence
US EPA synthesis of food waste consistent with the
FLW protocol. Combines waste generation factors
from other studies with relevant scaling statistics,
such as employees or revenue for a sector. Food
Service as an estimate which combines hospitality
(hotels, restaurants/food service; sports venues)
and institutional (healthcare, office buildings, (U.S.
United
military and prisons, schools and universities). 51 Environmental
States of 63.62
studies in total used to inform Food Service Protection
America
generation rate across the various subsectors. Agency, 2020)
Waste management pathways were provided for
the commercial and institutional subsectors
separately; only in the commercial hospitality
subsector was some surplus managed to a non-
waste destination (14% donated), this has been
accounted for. High Confidence
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4 Appendix: Level 1 data by country for all sectors
This section contains three tables – one for each sector – including estimates of food waste for all
countries. These estimates include those taken from one or more measured datapoints (classified as
High or Medium confidence) and those extrapolated from other countries’ data (classified as Low or
Very Low confidence).
It is important to note that the confidence rating in this report is not a judgement on the quality of
the study undertaken, It is an assessment – based on our understanding of the study – of how robust
the estimate of food waste is for tracking food waste in the given country. In many cases, this was
not an aim of the original study. Hence many good studies will be classified at a ‘Medium’
confidence level (or even excluded from consideration altogether) as the aims of the paper did not
include national food waste tracking.
4.1 Household
See Erreur ! Source du renvoi introuvable. in Section Erreur ! Source du renvoi introuvable..
Australia and New Zealand 554 New Zealand 26 122,256 Low Confidence
Eastern Asia 344 China, Hong Kong SAR 26 190,070 Low Confidence
South-eastern Asia 418 Lao People's Dem. Rep. 28 198,165 Very Low Confidence
Southern Asia 364 Iran (Islamic Republic of) 28 2,291,738 Very Low Confidence
Sub-Saharan Africa 140 Central African Republic 28 131,157 Very Low Confidence
Sub-Saharan Africa 180 Dem. Rep. of the Congo 28 2,398,890 Very Low Confidence
Sub-Saharan Africa 678 Sao Tome and Principe 28 5,945 Very Low Confidence
Sub-Saharan Africa 834 United Rep. of Tanzania 28 1,603,271 Very Low Confidence
Western Asia 760 Syrian Arab Republic 28 471,817 Very Low Confidence
Australia and New Zealand 554 New Zealand 3 14,923 High Confidence
Eastern Asia 344 China, Hong Kong SAR 13 95,255 Low Confidence
South-eastern Asia 418 Lao People's Dem. Rep. 16 112,122 Very Low Confidence
Southern Asia 364 Iran (Islamic Republic of) 16 1,296,672 Very Low Confidence
Sub-Saharan Africa 140 Central African Republic 16 74,209 Very Low Confidence
Sub-Saharan Africa 180 Dem. Rep. of the Congo 16 1,357,298 Very Low Confidence
Sub-Saharan Africa 678 Sao Tome and Principe 16 3,364 Very Low Confidence
Sub-Saharan Africa 834 United Rep. of Tanzania 16 907,135 Very Low Confidence
Western Asia 760 Syrian Arab Republic 16 266,955 Very Low Confidence
Waste stream Appropriate measurement methods Appropriate means for national government to obtain the
measurements from companies
It is possible that food manufacture companies keep records of their waste already. Companies may call it something other than waste e.g., leakage,
slippage, residue, etc. Therefore, a degree of relationship building and understanding between governments and food manufacturers/processors in the
country may need to be built before either understands whether it is possible to use company records to build a national picture.
Informal food processing may not be at the scale necessary to quantify under 12.3.1(b) but this should be an informed decision. It is possible that informal
processing occurs on farm or in some households as local business in rural areas. Food removed from the human supply chain in those cases may either be
picked up in 12.3.1(b) or as part of in-home consumption under ‘household’ studies. If the latter, it may be useful to use diaries or surveys to determine
how much food waste is likely to be discarded for that reason.
Table 16: Measurement methods for Retail
Waste stream Appropriate measurement Appropriate means for national government to obtain the measurements from
methods companies
The methods appropriate for formal and informal retail differ slightly. First, informal retail is unlikely to keep records so weighing or volume assessments
are necessary. Secondly, the manner of scaling any measurements for informal retail is likely to be difficult. If informal retail is a large proportion of food
retail in a country, an effort will have to be made to quantify the number and type of informal food retailers across different geographic areas. This will help
to determine a sample frame for the measurement studies and provide the basis for scaling. However, it is likely that the study on number and type of
informal retailers will need to be repeated as a country’s retail market changes between reporting periods.
Table 17: Measurement methods for Food Service
Waste stream Appropriate measurement methods Appropriate means for national government to obtain the
measurements from companies
Food waste in a container (single Use of records specifying volume or mass e.g., from
stream – not mixed with other wastes) waste contractor
Scanning items as they are wasted
Uncontained food waste (not mixed Weighing, via waste composition analysis or trial
with other wastes and not discharged weighing
to sewer) Volume assessment
The diversity of entity types within this sector is such that records are unlikely to cover them all. Larger public establishments like hospitals or schools may
have records or can be more easily regulated than private organisations. The restaurant sector is likely to be diverse and made up of majority small and
medium enterprises, many of which may be informal in certain countries. Appropriate methods for measurement are therefore likely to be volume
assessments or weighing in a sample study over a series of site visits. The same challenges for scaling such measurement studies apply here as for informal
retail; getting as accurate an understanding of the quantity of waste-producing entities as possible is as important as the measurement study and not likely
to be easy. This is directly linked to SDG 11.6.1 and could be measured as part of a waste composition analysis.
Table 18: Measurement methods for Household Sector
Waste stream Appropriate measurement methods Appropriate means for national government to obtain the
measurements from relevant organisations
Food waste in a container (mixed with Weighing, via waste composition analysis or trial Commission organisation to conduct studies and scale up on behalf of
other wastes) weighing (linked with SDG 11.6.1) governments
Weighing, via waste composition analysis or trial Directly commission studies and maintain oversight of estimates
Uncontained food waste (not mixed weighing (linked with SDG 11.6.1)
with other wastes and not discharged
Diaries
to sewer)
Volume assessment
Waste discharged to sewer (for Level 3)
Diaries
and food home composted, animal
Diversion and weighing
feed
Methods most appropriate for household food waste vary by the destination of that waste. If generation and collection are equivalent, then a synthesis of
waste composition analyses of samples of collected waste from around the country with the total waste collected figure can give a relatively accurate
picture of food waste generated in the home without conducting a household study. However, this will ignore the amount of waste composted at home.
These amounts, if likely to be a smaller part of the waste stream, are likely best quantified by a diary study and scaled via population demographic statistics
e.g., number of households. If they are likely to be a larger part of the food waste generated from households, a direct measurement study may be more
appropriate using in-home observers or measurement devices. This is directly linked to SDG 11.6.1 and could be measured as part of a waste composition
analysis.
6 Appendix: Destinations and food waste
Table 19: Definitions of food-waste destinations
Classified as
food waste for
Destination Definition
the purposes
of the FWI
Diverting material from the food supply chain 9 (directly or after
Animal feed N
processing) to animals.
Converting material into industrial products for food and non-food
purposes. Examples include creating fibres for packaging material;
Bio-based creating bioplastics (e.g., polylactic acid); making “traditional”
materials/ materials such as leather or feathers (e.g., for pillows); and rendering
N
biochemical fat, oil, or grease into a raw material to make products such as soaps,
processing biodiesel, or cosmetics. “Biochemical processing” does not refer to
anaerobic digestion or production of bioethanol through
fermentation.
Breaking down material via bacteria in the absence of oxygen. This
process generates biogas and nutrient-rich matter. Co-digestion refers
Codigestion/ to the simultaneous anaerobic digestion of FLW and other organic
anaerobic material in one digester. This destination includes fermentation Y
digestion (converting carbohydrates – such as glucose, fructose, and sucrose –
via microbes into alcohols in the absence of oxygen to create products
such as biofuels).
Composting/ Breaking down material via bacteria in oxygen-rich environments.
aerobic Composting refers to the production of organic material (via aerobic Y
processes processes) that can be used as a soil amendment.
Sending material to a facility that is specifically designed for
Controlled combustion in a controlled manner, which may include some form of
Y
combustion energy recovery (this may also be referred to as incineration or
thermal treatment).
Land Spreading, spraying, injecting, or incorporating organic material onto
Y
application or below the surface of the land to enhance soil quality.
Sending material to an area of land or an excavated site that is
Landfill Y
specifically designed and built to receive wastes.
Not
Leaving crops that were ready for harvest in the field or tilling them
harvested/ Not applicable
into the soil.
ploughed-in
Abandoning material on land or disposing of it in the sea. This includes
open dumps (i.e., uncovered, unlined), open burn (i.e., not in a
Refuse/
controlled facility), the portion of harvested crops eaten by pests, and Y
discards/ litter
fish discards (the portion of total catch that is thrown away or
slipped).
Sewer/
Sending material down the sewer (with or without prior treatment),
wastewater Y
including that which may go to a facility designed to treat wastewater.
treatment
Sending material to a destination that is different from the 10 listed
Other N
above. This destination should be described.
9
Excludes crops intentionally grown for bioenergy, animal feed, seed, or industrial use