Egypt Grand Challenges:: As Illustrated in
Egypt Grand Challenges:: As Illustrated in
Introduction
For a long time, Egypt has faced many
problems and challenges across various fields,
collectively known as grand challenges. There
are 11 grand challenges, as illustrated in
Figure 0.1, each encompassing multiple sub-
problems. These challenges significantly affect
the development and economy of Egypt.
Among them, are urban congestion:
Overcrowding in cities like Cairo causes traffic,
pollution, and strain on public services. the
need to improve the use of arid areas Rapid
population growth: The fast-growing Figure 0.1: This figure shows the main grand challenges
population strains resources like healthcare, that faces Egypt
education, and housing. the impact of climate change: Egypt is vulnerable to rising
sea levels, especially in the Nile Delta, impacting agriculture and communities. and
efficient waste recycling: Addressing waste management is crucial to reduce
environmental pollution and improve resource recovery.
Only 3.7% of Egypt's land is arable land, and it is mostly found in the delta of
the Nile River. These regions are greatly populated and strongly dependent on
food production, agricultural, and urban growth, according to Figure 1.1. The
limited amount of arable land is under increased strain, which has led to the
expansion into arid and semi-arid lands.
The great expansion of arid lands has brought many challenges that affect
both the environment and the economy. The bad climate in these arid and
semi-arid areas restricts agricultural productivity, making it difficult to
satisfy the food requirements of a growing population.
Desertification:
Desertification is the main cause of the challenges in Egypt’s arid
regions. According to The Palgrave Encyclopedia of Global Security Studies:
Desertification refers to the degradation of land and vegetation, soil erosion
and the loss of topsoil and fertile land in arid, semi-arid lands. Over 96% of
Egypt’s lands are deserts, and the expansion of desert conditions into the
arable land due to Desertification is a serious problem. Several causes of
desertification are poor farming practices, such as overgrazing and excessive
irrigation, accelerate soil degradation, leading to increased erosion. Egypt
ranks first in the world in the phenomenon of desertification, according to
what was announced in June 2011 by the
Executive Secretariat of the United Nations.
These processes reduce the fertility of the soil,
making it unsuitable for agriculture and
increasing the difficulty of reclaiming desert
land.
Water Scarcity:
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Economic Constraints:
Egypt's desert areas are hard to improve due to budgetary constraints.
Limited funding prevents the development of farming practices, necessary
infrastructure, and new technologies for land reclamation. Many farmers rely
on outdated tools and methods, which reduces their productivity.
Additionally, the costs of extracting water and setting up efficient irrigation
It's also expensive to collect water and install appropriate irrigation systems,
which makes it challenging to come up with workable alternatives.
but also mental well-being. Communities affected by food shortages often face
increased poverty, limited economic opportunities, and decreased
productivity,
Biodiversity Loss
The increasing arid lands in Egypt threaten Figure 1.3: This map demonstrates Egypt population
ecosystems and negatively impact biodiversity. The density and its distribution.
Nile River basin supports various species, including the hippopotamus and
Nile crocodile, while the Delta is vital for migratory birds (National
Geographic). Habitat fragmentation due to the lack of arable land endangers
endemic species like the Sinai ibex, forcing them to struggle for survival.
Projections suggest that urban growth could lead to up to an 80% loss of
wetlands in the Delta by 2050, further threatening food security and
livelihoods. According to Desert Research Center, the number of camels and
draught animals has decreased by 5.2% and 20%, respectively, due to
expanding arid areas and urbanization, further weakening traditional
agricultural practices. Consequently, biodiversity loss in Egypt presents
significant challenges to environmental sustainability and economic resilience.
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Egypt ranked 1st regionally and 14th globally in terms of recycling rates.
Egypt currently has 28 recycling factories, noting that the target is raising the
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Glass: recycling glass saves sand and other raw materials needed for
new glass production.
Paper: recycling paper reduces the demand for trees, helping preserve
forests.
Preservation of wildlife:
Recycling plays an important role in protecting wildlife, recycling helps
preserve wildlife in several ways:
Reducing habitat destruction: recycling decreases the need for
extracting raw materials like wood, which often involves activities like
logging, recycling one ton of paper can save 17 trees. So, recycling paper
reduces the need to cut down trees, which helps preserve forests
Decreasing pollution in natural habitats: landfill waste can leak harmful
chemicals into the soil and water, contaminating the natural habitats of
wildlife. Recycling reduces the amount of landfill waste in these places.
Reducing risk to wildlife from harmful materials: animals can ingest waste
materials like metal scraps and plastic bottles, which can damage them, and
recycling reduces the amount of waste in the environment.
Economic factors:
Cost saving: recycling can be less expensive than waste disposal, as it can
lower landfill costs and reduce the need for waste management services.
Job creation: the recycling industry creates jobs in collection, sorting, and
processing, providing economic benefits to communities.
There are now more than 8,000,000,000 people on planet earth. It took until
the early 1800s for the world
population to reach one billion. Now
we add a billion every 12-15 years.
According to the United Nations, the
global population will continue to grow
until the 2080s.
Fertility rates:
Increased conflicts
9,539,673 /3085 = about 3092 one person per square kilometer. The Figure 1.9
shows that the percentage change between the two years is about 13%.
Traffic congestion(One of the causes of urban
congestion) increases travel time, , Which one can number of road accident
deaths
benefit from to do useful things ,which increases costs
for most people and air pollution In addition, noise 7,200
levels increase due to traffic congestion , makes people 7,000
6,800
be angry and bored ,and increases accidents Figure 6,600
1.10 presents number of accident deaths In 2020, the 6,400
6,200
number of road accident deaths was about 6,160, but in 6,000
2021, the number of road accident deaths was about 5,800
5,600
7101, meaning that the rate of increase in deaths 2020 2021
between the two years is equal to 15.2% ,as this graph number of road zccident deaths
shows. Figure 1.10: This graph shows the number of road accident
deaths.
This traffic congestion reduces the aesthetic,
cultural appearance of Egypt and also disrupts many things that might save
someone, such a disrupting an ambulance from rescuing a critical case, disrupting
a police car from rescuing innocent people or It slows down a fire truck from
rescuing people from the fire, and this may lead to risking the lives of innocent
people and making the situation worse, whether such as worsening illness,
kidnapping, or death
Causes of Dealing with urban congestion and its consequences:
Traffic congestion:
Traffic congestion is a situation in which the
road becomes almost immobile or does not actually
move. As an Example to clarify, in Greater Cairo in
general, you find many roads moving slowly, and this
leads to the loss of a lot of time. The driver of the car
must take into account approximately twice the travel
time as a precaution, and this is considered a
precaution. The existing traffic is relatively small,
otherwise traffic congestion may lead to many
accidents. In the year 2021, the number of people injured in road accidents in
Dakahlia Governorate reached about 11,630 injured,
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Population density:
the increase in population density at its current size constitutes enormous
pressure on the state’s general budget, which will, against its will, go towards
meeting the needs and services of citizens instead of establishing more economic
and development projects that provide a decent life for citizens, improve the
investment climate and contribute to achieving the progress of the Egyptian state
and placing it among the ranks of developed countries. Despite the sincere
Egyptian efforts made by the state to solve and address the issue of increasing
population density since the 1930s, it is still unable to
and this graph will explain more.
Female unemployment
The average number of children for working or
student mothers decreases by 25%, to 1.8 children per
woman, while the average number of children for non-
working women increases to 2.4 children per woman,
because increasing women’s participation in the Figure 1.11: This graph shows the average number of
children and use of family planning methods among
workforce leads to delayed marriage Consequently, educated and uneducated groups
the number of births decreases, and the average rate of
use of family planning methods increases, as indicated by the Figure 1.11.
Impacts of Dealing with urban congestion and its consequences:
Consumed costs:
The economic costs of traffic congestion in Cairo could be as high as 4
percent of GDP yearly the economic costs of congestion are beyond travel delays,
and they include wasted fuel, health impacts due to poor air quality and accidents,
and impacts on economic productivity. When all combined, the yearly economic
cost of traffic congestion could reach up to 4% of Egypt’s GDP. This means an
economic cost to Egypt of up to EGP 50 billion a year (USD 8 billion/year)1.
World problem
Almost all large metropolises of the world pay a heavy price for congestion,
but Cairo’s costs are excessive. New York loses about USD 10 billion/year2 on
delays and wasted fuel alone, and Jakarta USD 5 billion/year3. Cairo’s losses are
particularly significant given the relative importance of the city to Egypt’s overall
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economy: New York’s losses relative to the US GDP are negligible (0.07%) while
Jakarta’s losses represent about 0.6% of Indonesia’s GDP; the relative cost of
Cairo’s congestion to Egypt’s GDP therefore stands high at 4%.
Noise pollution
From blaring car horns to wedding parties, light pollution in Cairo has
reached alarming levels around the clock, leading to health problems. Residents
living in the city center are exposed to noise levels of 90 decibels on average, and
it never drops below 70 decibels. A full day inside a factory. According to a study
conducted by the National Research Center in Egypt in 2007 about Cairo, the noise
levels in different streets at different times of the day are more than the limits
Developed by the Environmental Protection Agency, noise pollution can contribute
to many health problems.
Reduce and adapt to the effect of climatic change.
Climate change refers to long-term shifts in temperatures and weather
patterns. Such shifts can be natural, due to changes in the sun’s activity or large
volcanic eruptions. Climate change affects on economical field because it acts on
( Agriculture field and industrial field ) , climate change impact on agriculture field
because it controls precipitation patterns and weather events , which in turn control
growth of crops , As the years go by, climate change increasingly affects
agricultural crop growth, according to effect of climate change in Egypt , Wheat
yield will decrease by about 9% if the temperature rises by 2°C, and the decrease
rate will reach about 18% if the temperature rises by about 3.5°C. Water
consumption of this crop will increase by about 2.5% compared to its water
consumption under current weather conditions, Also Rice yield will decrease by
about 11% and water consumption will increase by about 16%.
Climate change affects on growth of agriculture crops, which in turn affects
on industrial field, industrial field very related to agriculture field because
agriculture provides industrial field with raw materials that responsible for
industry, that’s why climate change impact on industrial field.
Climate change impacts on medical field as shown as the static above there is a
decrease in crops production which in turn acts negatively on nutrition, also
climate change affects on human health due to warmer temperatures and shifting
weather patterns can worsen air quality, which can lead to asthma attacks and other
respiratory and cardiovascular health effects.
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Climate change affects on political field because it makes all countries collaborate
to find a solution to this global problem, and the evidence for that all countries
taking action to reduce emissions impose trade restrictions on countries with
weaker policies, leading to trade wars and increasing economic nationalism.
Causes of Reduce and adapt to the effect of climatic change.
Cutting down forests:
Cutting down forests is a severe
cause that leads to global warming which
results in climate change , forests
especially trees are very important for
overcoming climate change problem
because they participate in reduction of
carbon dioxide gas In air , as shown in
Figure 1.12: the percentage of carbon
dioxide gas increase every year that’s
because many governments release many Figure 1.12: This graph shows the average carbon dioxide
levels in the atmosphere worldwide from 1959 to 2023
forests in order to build Residential
facilities, commercial markets, companies and roads, and the evidence for that
There are some areas in Egypt witnessed a decrease in the area of agricultural land,
as a result of urban sprawl and other factors during the same period, by about 68.5
thousand acres.
Manufacturing goods:
Manufacturing and industry produce emissions, mostly from burning fossil
fuels to produce energy for making things like cement, iron, steel, electronics,
plastics, clothes and other goods. Mining and other industrial processes also release
gases, also from negative effects of manufacturing goods is the overuse of
resources, such as water and energy, and also it can cause air and water pollution.
Using transportation:
Most cars, lorries, ships and planes run
on fossil fuels, so That makes transportation a
major contributor of greenhouse gases,
especially carbon dioxide emissions. as shown
in Figure 1.13: the global world consumption
of energy is in continuous increase, Road vehicles account for the largest part, but
emissions from ships and planes continue to grow.
Generating power:
Generating electricity and heat by burning fossil fuels that belongs to non-
renewable energy such as: coal, oil and natural gas causes a large chunk of global
emissions. Most electricity is still produced from fossil fuels; only about a quarter
comes from wind, solar and other renewable sources.
Impacts of Reduce and adapt to the effect of climatic change.
Hotter temperature:
Now days the temperature is in continuous
increase , that’s because the increase in carbon
dioxide gas in atmosphere , as shown in Figure
1.14 , 2023 is the most higher temperature among all
last years , that leads to more moisture
Figure 1.14: This graph shows the annual average of temperature
evaporates , which exacerbates extreme since 1967.
rainfall and flooding , causing more
destructive storms, also hotter temperature leads to increase the temperature of
water that leads to separating oxygen from water of seas and lakes , as a result
many fishes can’t breath and die .
Increased drought:
Water is becoming scarcer in more regions due to evaporation of water in
lakes and seas, Droughts can stir destructive sand and dust storms that can move
billions of tons of sand across continents. Deserts are expanding, reducing land for
growing food. Many people now face the threat of not having enough water on a
regular basis.
A warming and rising ocean:
The ocean absorbs most of heat in the
air that conduct to melt large amount of ice
sheets which in turn raise sea level which
leads to floods and disappear of many
coastal countries, as shown as Figure 1.15:
the sea level is in continuous increase by
passage of years. Figure 1.15: This graph shows the global sea level
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Lack of food:
Changes in climate and increases in extreme weather events are among the
reasons behind a global rise in hunger and poor nutrition, due to death of plants
and animals because they can’t adapt with the high temperature.