Understanding Public Expenditure
Understanding Public Expenditure
Introduction
Dear learner! In previous unit you have learnt different aspects of public revenue, including
the sources, principles, and effects of public revenue in an economy. In this unit we will
discuss different aspects of public expenditure. Public expenditure is incurred by public
authorities-central and local governments-either for the satisfaction of collective needs of the
citizens or for promoting their economic and social welfare.
Thus, in this unit we will discuss different aspects of public expenditure, including meaning
and nature of public expenditure, classification of public expenditure, canons of public
expenditure, theories on why public expenditure increases over time, and effects of public
expenditure.
Objectives:
Upon completing your study in the unit you should be able to:
Overview
The public sector incurs different costs in fulfilling its objectives. Every government has to
maintain law and order, provide social services such as education; health care services etc., and
provide the low income section of the society with low-cost housing, and so on. All these
multifarious activities which are increasing every year require huge funds. Public expenditure,
thus occupies the same important place in the study of public finance as public revenue.
4.1: Meaning and nature of Public Expenditure
Section-1: In this section the meaning and reasons for public expenditure will be discussed.
What does public expenditure means? Why and for what purposes governments spend
societal scarce resources?
Public expenditure refers to the expense which a government incurs for:
A number of reasons can be enumerated for inherent long-term tendency recorded in history in
increasing public expenditure. Some of the reasons are:
Different Economists gave different reasons why the public sector has shown an increasing
tendency over time and as a consequence the public expenditure increases. According to Prof.
A.C. Pigou, government sector would grow with increasing levels of national income. That is,
with increasing wealth the optimum amount of public good is likely to rise. R.A. Musgrave also
presented similar thought. He argued that if the consumption of the public goods is non-rival, the
per capita cost of any given total supply will be less, the larger the number of consumers. Thus,
the relative price of the goods, i.e. the tax price confronting the individual taxpayer can be
expected to fall as the size of the population sharing the goods rises. Then, if the fall in the prices
of these goods stimulates a relatively large percentage increase in the demand for them (i.e. e p >
1), the result will be an increasing share of total expenditure directed at such goods. In general
the following are among the factors which contributed to the increase of public expenditure:
Wagner’s Hypothesis,
Wiseman-Peacock Hypothesis, and
Critical Limit Hypothesis.
4.4.1: Wagner’s Law of Increasing State Activities
Wagner believed that social progress was the basic cause of the relative rise of government in
industrializing economies. According to him, social progress leads to a growth in government
function/role, which, in turn, leads to the absolute and relative growth of governmental economic
activity. In nutshell, he emphasized on certain expenditures presented as below:
A. The traditional functions of the state (like defense, administration, justice, etc) were
expanding. Defense, administration, and justice were all getting expensive and expansive
as society progress.
B. The state activities were also increasing in coverage; that is, traditionally state activities
were limited to justice, law and order, maintenance of social order and defense. But with
the development of society and the growth of the state responsibilities government was
expanding its activities in the field of welfare sector including enrichment of the cultural
life of the society, and strengthening the social security systems, subsidies and direct
provision of merit goods.
C. The expansion of the sphere public goods; that is, the shifting of composition of national
produce in favor of public goods has been the trend for every progressive government
and recognized as the necessary line of action to increase the happiness of the largest
society. There is a continuous rise in public expenditure with respect to national income
(GNP) irrespective of ideological issues.
D. Population growth, urbanization, etc provide additional causes for public expenditure to
increase overtime.
This law is applicable to modern progressive sector only, in wich the state is interested in
expanding public sector of the economy. Wagner emphasize on long term forces rather than
short term change in public expenditure. He also more concerned with mechanism of increase in
public expenditure. It is consistent with the fact that in the future state expenditure will increase
at a rate lower than national income, though in the past it has increased at a faster rate.
That is, in the figure the real capita output of public goods is measured on the vertical axis and
real per capita income on the horizontal axis. Time is an important third dimension implicit to
the graph. Line PG1 represents a circumstance in which the public sector maintains a constant
proportion of the total economic production of the society over time. In other words, as real per
capita increases due to the economic development of the society, the real per capita output of the
public goods remains at the same proportion of total economic activity. This PG 1 may be used as
a reference point to the graphical presentation of the Wagner hypothesis depicted by line PG 2.
Along PG2, the proportion of resources devoted to the output of public goods is expanding over
time.
This implies that when the real capita output of public goods remains at the same proportion of
total economic activity, i.e. PG1, the equation is:
PGa/Ya = PG0/Y0, where the subscript a refers to the latter and 0 an earlier point of time.
But the proportion of resources devoted to the output of public goods is expanding over time, i.e.
PG2, the equation is:
In other words, the income elasticity of expenditure for public goods (Ye) is elastic.
The Wagner hypothesis implies that the proportion of real per capita of public goods to real per
capita income will tend to decline in the pre-industrialization and post-industrialization stages of
society’s economic evolution, but increases when society enters an industrialization stage. In the
pre-industrial stage, the goods which are mostly wanted are private goods like food, clothing,
shelter, etc, which are divisible goods and supplied by the private sector through market-type
arrangement. Hence, the real per capita output of private goods may well become a larger
proportion of real per capita income during the pre-industrial stage.
As real per capita income continues to increase, investment in social capital items such as
communications, transportation an education must take place as part of economic development
process. Since these goods tend to possess heavy fixed costs of production and collective
consumption characteristics, they are provided by the government. Thus, when the economy
enters an industrialization stage, the real per capita output of public goods becomes a greater
proportion of real per capita income over an extended period of time. This stage represents
Wagner hypothesis. And in the postindustrial stage sufficient public goods are provided. Need
for public goods become less urgent. Hence, the real per capita output of private goods may well
become a larger proportion of real per capita income during the post-industrial stage.
According to A.Wagner, in the initial stages of economic growth, the state finds that it has to
expand its activities quite as fast in several fields like education, health, civic amenities,
transport, communications, and so on. But when the initial deficiency is removed, then the
increase in state activities may be slowed down.
Do you have any idea about the Displacement, Inspection, and Concentration Effects?
The theory was forwarded by Alan T. Peacock & Jack Wiseman in their work published in 1961
“The Growth of Public Expenditure in the UK”. They stressed the time pattern of public
expenditure using British data for period of 1890 to 1955. According to them, public
expenditure does not increase in smooth and continuous manner, but it increases in “step-like
fashion”. At times, some social or other disturbances take place, creating a need for increased
public expenditure which the existing public revenue cannot meet. While earlier, due to an
insufficient pressure for public expenditure, the revenue constraint was dominating and
restraining an expansion in public expenditure, now under changed requirements such a restraint
gives way. The public expenditure increases and makes the inadequacy of the present revenue
quite clear to everyone. Thus, now government moves from the older level of revenue and
expenditure plateau to new revenue and expenditure plateau due to the social disturbances. Their
analysis involves three related elements:
A. Major social disturbances like war and depression cause a steep increase in public
expenditure. That is, a previous lower level of tax and public expenditure are now replaced or
displaced by
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(as a higher one. This is known as a Displacement
ture Effect. These disturbances create a displacement
effect by which the previous (lower) tax and
endi
New fiscal
exp
expenditure levels are replaced by new and
plateau
and
nue higher budgetary levels. After the social
reve Increase due to disturbance has ended, the new (higher) level of
ic social disturbance tax is tolerated and society thinks that it can bear
Publ the higher tax burden in order to support a
higher level public expenditure.
0 Time (years)
B. After the removal of the cause of the displacement effect (i.e. end of the war), a new level of
“tax-tolerance” is reached and maintained. This supports or sustains the higher plateau of
public expenditure. In this way the public expenditure get stabilized at a new level till
another disturbance occurs to cause the displacement effect. Moreover, war or other social
disturbances frequently forces people and their government to seek solution to important
long-standing and pending problems previously neglected which is refer to as Inspectional
Effects. Some of the new expenditures include, for instance, veterans’ benefits, debt
payments, rehabilitation activities, etc.
C. Finally, in addition to displacement and inspection effects Peacock and Wiseman also
describe the “concentration effect”. The concentration effect refers to the apparent
tendency for central government economy activity to become an increasing proportion of
total public sector economic activity, while a society is experiencing economic growth. In
other words, it refers to the apparent tendency of the central government economic
activity’s to grow faster than that of state and local level governments. This is inevitable
because the Central Government has to take a number of measures to sustain higher
economic activity.
This theory emphasize that the reoccurrence of abnormal situation cause sizable jumps of public
expenditure and revenue. It also emphasized that the public expenditure increases because of
displacement effect and concentration effect, which leads a pressure on tax structure of the
economy. The theory also established that public expenditure is increased because of economic
growth, civic awareness and state responsibilities to provide civic amenities and to get equal
distribution of wealth.
In general Peacock and Wiseman conclude that:
The relative growth of the public sector tends to occur on step-like basis
(displacement effect);
An inspection process occurs whereby existing problems are more clearly
defined with potential solutions more carefully studied during a major
disturbance; and
A concentration process exists whereby the central government becomes a
larger proportion of the aggregate public sector.
4.4.3: Colin Clark (Critical Limit) Hypothesis (CLH)
Based on the data from several Western Economies Clark concluded that inflation
necessarily occurs when the government sector, measured in terms of taxes and other
receipts, exceeds 25% of aggregate economic activity (even under the balanced budget). The
hypothesis is based on two institutional factors:
A. When taxes collected by the government reach the critical limit of 25% ratio of the
aggregate economic activity reflected in the gross national product, community
behavioral patterns change and people become less productive. This is because
income earners are affected by reduced incentives since increasing proportions of
additional income must be paid in taxes under a progressive tax system. In other
words, because of heavy burden of taxation, the incentive to produce is adversely
affected leading to a curtailed supply. This is supply side effect (since it reduces
supply).
B. On the other hand, demand effects of the government financing become quite strong even
if the budget remains balanced. People become less restraint to various inflationary
means of financing government expenditure.
The loss of incentives thus tends to reduce aggregate supply while the increased purchasing
power resulting from inflationary financing techniques tends to expand aggregate demand,
leading to inflationary situation in the economy.
Clark emphasized that the share of the government sector should not increase in most of the
countries. But due to political and economic reasons, the share of government sector is
increasing more than 25%, which is causing deficit budget, and thus deficit financing results
inflation in the economy.
In fact, a number of independent variables can be suggested to explain the positive theory
regarding theories of public expenditure growth, including:
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In a socialist country, the public sector directly produces most of the goods and services and
increases production and employment as stipulated in planed programs of the country. Further
inequality of income arising from property rights doesn’t arise since individual property rights
are abolished. But in mixed economy, where the private sector plays an important part, the public
sector influences production and employment mostly by indirect methods. This is particularly so
in developed countries where the private sector is sufficiently strong to maintain economic
efficiency. In underdeveloped countries, however, direct intervention by the government
becomes inevitable to transform the economy, though the private sectors play an important role
in the process of production. The scope of public expenditure in mixed economies can be stated
as follows:
A. The public sector produces some important public goods which the private sector can’t
produce since the benefits of these goods accrue collectively to the society.
B. The government may subsidize the private production of certain partial social goods for
increasing their output. In such cases, the external benefits are recognizable and
appropriable and the market can allocate these goods efficiently if certain subsidies are
given by the government so that their prices reflect marginal social cost.
C. In under developed countries, the public sector may have to produce certain private goods
which are considered important from the point of view of economic development which
the private sector is unable to produce due to lack of adequate resources, lack of
enterprise or technical know-how or lack of experience. The public sector may also
produce these goods to have strategic control over the economy.
D. Public expenditure may be used as a balancing factor or contra-cyclical measure to attain
full employment and maintain stability.
E. Public expenditure may bring about equitable distribution of income between different
sections of the community.
4.5.1: Impact of Public Expenditure on Production and Employment
Can you discuss the impact of public expenditure on production and employment?
(You can use the space left below to write your response.)
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If public expenditure is used as an indirect method for influencing production and employment,
it can:
increase the ability and willingness of the people to work, save and invest; and
help to divert economic resources between different uses and localities.
If public expenditure can increase the efficiency of a person to work, it will promote production
and national income. For example, public expenditure on education, medical services, cheap
housing facilities, etc., can increase the efficiency of persons to work. Again, all public
expenditure will increase the beneficiary’s ability to save in so far as it gives him any additional
margin of this kind. Ability to invest will also be increased if public expenditure places investible
funds in the hands of any agency whose business is to undertake capital expenditure. The effects
of public expenditure o the willingness to work, save and invest depend considerably on the
expectation of future benefits. In some cases, these benefits reduce the willingness to work, save
and invest. For instance, war pensions and interest on war loans will rarely increase the desire to
work and save. Particularly, fixed, periodical and unconditional grant will become disincentives.
But when the grant increases with an increase in effort, the desire to work and save will go up.
Public expenditure can have far-reaching effects on the utilization of resources. The government
can divert resources from one field and increase production in another. For example, the
government can reduce the production of currently consumable goods ad increase the
expenditure on defense. Alternatively public expenditure may bring about a better allocation of
economic resources between the present and the future. Unlike the private individuals, the
government makes investments in railways, irrigation projects, afforestation, etc., which don’t
yield immediate returns, but can provide social and economic benefits to the future generation.
The government also allocates resources among different regions to bring about balanced
regional development. This can be done through Central grants and regional planning. Further,
public expenditure can also modify the allocation of resources among various sectors and hence
influence the composition of GNP. For instance, an increase in public investment in highway
construction may stimulate automobile and allied industries, and this expansion in turn may
retard highway expansion.
The effect of public expenditure on the production of private goods and services depends on the
state of employment. With unemployment, government activities may not decrease the
production of private good and services. On the other hand, if there is full employment, the
output of the private sector of the economy may be reduced with the increase in that of the public
sector.
In under developed countries, where the government directly intervenes in the economy to
accelerate the process of growth, public expenditure is converted into public investment. This is
because there is no a change in the economic base of the country without additional government
investment. In fact, public expenditure determines both the scale and pattern of investment. The
more the public investment, the greater is the magnitude of saving and investment in the country
and so also the change in the rate of growth of income. However, the magnitude of investment is
limited by the availability of resources. The size of investment will, therefore, depend on the
resources that the government can raise for this purpose.
But once investment resources are known, the government can determine the pattern of
investment. Here the government has to make a choice between long-term growth or structural
change of the economy and short-term growth or providing immediate employment opportunities
and meeting the present needs of the community. Clearly, there is a clash between the
maximization of present output and consumption, and growth and output in future. The more
labor-intensive techniques are used the more output in the short-run maximized; but more
capital-intensive techniques provide a greater surplus for reinvestment for the future growth. But
in under developed countries, it is inevitable that public expenditures should have the dual role of
preparing the economy for structural change and at the same time of fulfilling the immediate
needs by proper allocation of existing resources.
Based on Keynesian Theory, can you explain how public expenditure is used for economic
stabilization?
(You can use the space left below to write your response.)
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The importance of public expenditure as an ‘economic stabilizer’ has its origin to the “General
Theory” of Maynard Keynes. Keynes could effectively prove that public expenditure can be used
as a balancing factor. If there was an imbalance between investments and savings thereby
causing recession or depression in a country, the government could control such a situation by
increasing expenditure on public works or transferring income from the rich to the poor whose
marginal propensity to consume is higher than that of the former.
In Keynes’ view, the peculiar characteristics of a developed monetary economy account for
unemployment. Even if the wage rates were perfectly flexible (which is not possible due to the
fact that trade unions and welfare legislations are now an integral part of modern democratic
countries), and commodity prices perfectly competitive, unemployment could still exist. Keynes,
therefore, sought a means to prosperity through monetary expansion, public investment and other
forms of government action, which is represented a complete departure from the traditional
policy of laissez faire (classical view). Due to this analysis, public expenditure assumed
tremendous importance as a contra-cyclical or compensatory device to maintain stability and
promote increased employment opportunities.
The importance of public expenditure in Keynesian economics could be seen in three lines of
thought:
Keynes advocated improvement in the distribution of income in favor of the poor for increasing
aggregate consumption since the MPC of the poor is assumed to be greater than that of the rich.
But he didn’t consider the question of equity in the distribution of income.
The optimal theory of distribution of income indicates that the ultimate allocation of income
among factors depends upon:
To sum up, the purpose of an economic policy should be to contribute towards achieving the
maximum social benefits. A shift towards equality may be achieved through various forms of
public expenditure, specifically those which are meant to help the poorer section of the society.
A number of welfare measures like, free education, health, potable water and other facilities can
be provided through government spending. In addition, numerous social security schemes can be
adopted whereby people are entitled to old-age pensions, unemployment relief, sickness
allowances and so on.
Unit-5: Government Budgeting
Dear Learner, it is well known that no government can afford to take taxation, borrowings,
expenditure and other fiscal decisions at random. On account of their inter-connection, all
decisions and polices must form a part of its over-all set of objectives. The whole approach has
to be quite systematic if chaos and wastage are to be avoided. Therefore, the government
describes its intentions and policies which it would take to pursue during forthcoming period
(usually a year) and draws up a financial plan corresponding to this scheme of things. Such a
financial plan contains the details of estimated receipts as also proposed expenditures and other
disbursements under various heads. Therefore, a budget enables the authorities to decide about
each individual item of revenue and expenditure in the over-all context of its policies. Thus, in
this unit we will discuss government budget in general and, more specifically, what a budget is,
classification of government budget, effects of public budget in an economy.
Unit Objectives:
Section-1: The budget is much more than a statement of income and expenditure of public
authorities. It is a reflection of not only taxation and public expenditure policy, but also of a plan
for future course of action. From the study of the budget, one can make an assessment as to the
extent to which it is designed to secure the normative ideals of allocation, distribution,
stabilization and growth. Thus in this section we will discuss the meaning and purposes of
government budget.
In general, a budget shows financial accounts of the previous year, the budget and revised
estimates of the current year, and the budget estimates for the forthcoming year. In addition, the
estimates for the forthcoming years are split up into two parts-those based upon the assumption
that existing taxes and their rates would continue, and those based upon the proposed changes
therein. A budget, in this sense, becomes both a description of the fiscal policies of the
government and the financial plans corresponding to them.
Though budget is a program for future action and is generally framed for a year, it presents a
picture of the details of expenditure, taxation and borrowings for three consecutive years, i.e., the
actual receipts and disbursements of the previous year, the budget and revised estimates of the
current year and the estimated receipts and expenditures of the coming fiscal year Though
budget estimates for the coming fiscal year contain proposals of taxation, borrowing and public
expenditure, the government in course of implementation of the budget programs might face
shortage of funds due to some important additions of activities and, hence, might be in the
necessity of fresh proposal of revenue receipts and expenditure which are made in what is called
a “Supplementary Budget”. In this way, the action plan of the original budget gets revised.
Budgeting process requires three ingredient elements:
The budget proposals should also be accompanied by an analytical description of the current
economic situation of the country as also the position of the Treasury. The budget proposals
become far more meaningful in the light of the above mentioned accounts and descriptions. And,
they enable the legislature and the public to see the relevance or otherwise of the budget
proposals and help the legislature in taking a more objective and rational stand in this
connection. Furthermore, the proposals themselves should be as clear as possible. They should
be clearly comprehensible so that correct judgment can be formed as to the way in which the
budget is expected to function in the coming year. Accordingly, detailed budget proposals must
accompany the proposals under major heads of receipts and expenditure. There should also be
various statements which highlight the particular aspects of the budget.
2.1.1: The Purpose of Budgeting: The purpose of government budget is varied. There are a
number of objectives which the budget seeks to attain simultaneously. The overall purpose is to
use the budget as instrument of government economic policy. The following are the chief
purpose of the budget.
To achieve any purpose, a planning is necessary. The government needs to achieve many goals
all of which cannot be attained at a time. A proper plan of action is, therefore, necessary. A
budget is such a plan which explicitly mentions the programs that are to be taken up in the course
of the fiscal year. Secondly, implementation of a program requires availability of necessary
funds. The extent of availability depends upon the budgetary sources of revenue. Hence, that
program-structure has to be built which can be supported by the funds. This is the most
important purpose of the government budget. Thirdly, to achieve efficiency in public
expenditure, physical targets of achievement are specified in the budget. In fixing the physical
targets, careful considerations is given to the factors of efficiency in course of implementation of
the programmes so that nearer the actual achievement at the close of fiscal year, the higher is the
efficiency of level of expenditure agencies. Fourthly, most of the countries, particularly in
developing world, today have taken up their task of their economic development in the phased
manner of five year plans and long-drawn perspective plans. In order that the planned targets are
achieved at the end of the plan period, resources have to be found. The annual government
budgets are framed with an eye to the provision of necessary funds for the purpose. Lastly, the
government budget serves the purpose of public accountability of funds to a considerable extent.
The first control is imposed at the budgeting framing level itself when the government asks
different departments to submit their own budgets. Because the departments know that their
programmes of expenditure will be scrutinized by the government level, they become careful to
observe economy in the budget. The next stage of control is imposed by the legislature which is
the ultimate authority to decide the size and extent of the budget. At the end of the financial year,
again, the government and its various departments are responsible to the legislature for their
action and budgetary performance. Hence, budget serves as a powerful weapon of financial
control in respect of both collection of revenues and disbursement of them.
Section-2: There are two theories of government budgeting, in this section we will discuss these
two theories.
Section Objectives:
Another justification of the balanced budget is that since deficit financing through borrowing is
easy, the practice of unbalanced budget will encourage expansion of government activities as
against the classical notion of small budgets. This will reduce the capacity of government to
spend for more important purposes because interest charges on borrowed funds have to be paid
in addition to repayment of the principal amount. Thus, public borrowings are expensive; they
require double payment in the form of debt charges as well as repayment.
There are two views regarding the balanced budget theory. According to one view, the
balancing of budget is brought about by equating current revenues with current expenditure.
There is no role of borrowing in the budget. Since total revenues are equal total expenditures,
the budget is balanced. In the other view of balanced budget, governmental receipts include
public debt also. The budget has, however, two parts – current budget and capital budget, both of
which are balanced. Thus, current expenditures are financed by current revenues while capital
expenditures are financed by public borrowing. Thus, the overall budget is balanced.
Modern Theory: As against the above, the modern theory of Managed Budget does not agree
with the classical assumption of full employment. The celebrated Keynesian theory of
underemployment equilibrium shows that full employment is only a limiting case and is not
automatically attained. It follows that the normal situation is one of less than full employment in
an economy. Hence, in order to ensure employment of unutilized and idle resources, a flexible
budgetary policy is needed.
Thus, when widespread unemployment exists, the classical system of balanced budget becomes
helpless. The modern economists like Keynes, Hansen, Dalton and others advocate that the
objective of budget policy should be to attain and maintain full employment. The modern
approach to flexible budget policy is essentially a counter measure against economic fluctuations
of business cycle to which advanced countries are subjected. When depression and
unemployment occurs in the economy due to deficiency of effective demand, the need is to inject
additional purchasing power into the economy so that effective demand, hence employment of
production factors are enhanced. This objective can be realized through a deficit budget policy;
because such a budget will put additional purchasing power into circulation and the aggregate
consumption expenditure will increase. This will raise prices and profit prospects of the business
community which will employ available unutilized production factors to increase production and
meet the increased demand. When the economy, on the other hand, suffers from inflation due to
excess purchasing power over and above the amount necessary to deal with the transaction of
available goods and services at prevailing prices, the necessity is to pump out the excess amount
from the economy. This can be done by surplus budget which will raise more revenues like
taxes and borrowings and lower down government expenditures. The process will cure the ills of
inflation and bring about economic stabilization. When there is neither inflation nor
unemployment, the budget should be balanced. Thus, there should be flexibility in the budget
policy according to the modern economists. Whether the budget should be balanced or a deficit
or a surplus should be decided by the prevailing economic circumstances. Hence, the modern
theory is called the principle of managed budget.
The main difference between classicists and modem economists in so far as the principle of
government budgeting is concerned lies with their views on savings and investment. To the
classical economists, saving is always equal to investment because the former is automatically
converted into the latter. In such a system, there is no unemployment. To the modem economists,
however, savings and investment need not be equal. They are determined by different factors
and, more normally, they are different. When savings become more than investment, deficiency
of effective demand develops and unemployment occurs due to fall in production. The economy
is then faced with depression. On the other hand, when investment becomes more than saving,
the aggregate purchasing power in the economy increases and the available output cannot absorb
it at the prevailing price level. Thus, there becomes inflation. It is only when savings are equal to
investment, the stabilization function of the economy remains undisturbed and the society suffers
neither form unemployment nor from inflation.
Under such circumstances, the modem theory argues, the budget policy of government should be
flexible, allowing for balanced budget when there is neither inflation nor unemployment i.e.,
when savings and investment are equal and for unbalanced budget when the economy suffers
from either inflation or unemployment, i.e., when savings and investment are unequal.
Learning Activities
Section-3: In old days, a budget was more or less only a statement of the financial plans of the
government. But now the importance of the government activities is fully recognized.
Government’s financial activities contribute a major portion to the flow of funds in the economy
and the government’s fiscal policy together with the financial flows has a wide impact on the
working of the economy. The actual role of the government transactions in the life and working
of the economy cannot be underestimated because of the immense impact which they have.
Accordingly, now various facets of budget estimates are presented to indicate the manner in
which the budget would be affecting the economy. Thus, in this section we will discuss different
classification of the government budget and the rationale for each of these classifications.
On the other hand, when past levels of expenditures are taken as given and only new additions to
or reductions from the past outlay are examined it is known as 'incremental budgeting' which
should not be allowed to be in vogue since it cannot ensure proper allocation of economic
resources. ‘Such a focus on increases and reductions can well lead to hardening of the
bureaucratic arteries, maintain old programmes that go unexamined simply because no
substantial changes are called for in the budget’. This deficiency of incremental budgeting is
done away with by ‘Zero-base budgeting’.
Since every outlay in the budget has some attainment objective, either short-run or long-run, it is
necessary to regularly examine the expenditure components in the light of anticipated results. In
the case of budgeted expenditure having been associated with long term objective, the time-
bound expected result-component should be examined occasionally. This is what is done by
Zero-base budgeting. It is not necessary, however, that each and every programme be reviewed
afresh or restructured anew every year under the zero-base budgeting, though such necessity
might arise in case of some of the programmes. But it does require that programmes should not
go unscrutinized in any case for a long period. Such budgeting is a new technique of bringing the
spending agencies under a regular scrutiny and accountability. Zero-base budget, therefore, acts
as a constant reminder of the necessity of utmost efficiency in public expenditure and in resource
allocation programmes.
There are many governmental functions on which expenditure is planned in the budget. To get a
fuller picture of the various implications of budget frame, a proper analysis is necessary. Modem
budgeting recognizes this need and attempts to classify the budget from different analytical
angles. The Economic Commission for Asia and Far East explains this necessity in the
following words. The systems of classification provide information on the working of budgetary
process. Since such a process has a multitude of functions and objectives, different types of
classification are needed, either singly or in combination, to serve the purpose of appropriation,
programme management and review, evaluation of plan implementation, and financial and
economic analysis. The various ways in which the public sector transactions can be classified
are (a) by organization, (b) by object, (c) by function, (d) by their economic character, (e) by
programme and (f) by origin of the purchases affected by the government.
Accordingly, from different analytical view points, we may classify the budget in the following
ways.
Similarly, capital expenditure is divided into five classes. viz., gross capital formation,
capital transfers, investment in shares, loans and advances and repayment of public debt.
Again gross capital formation, capital transfers and loans and advances are also sub-
divided into more significant categories as shown in the table.
Spending a particular set of resource for particular purpose (which may be called a project) is
known as Program Budgeting. Here it requires- first programming or a stage- wise sequence of
steps for executing it. Second, it requires tests for assessing the actual performance. When
budgeting covers these two aspects it is called Program and Performance Budgeting System
(PPBS). It is based upon activities, functions and projects of government.
Technically, the performance and program budgeting are similar but not identical with each
other. Program budgeting consists of three stages:
Defining the objectives of various fiscal measures and polices, and identifying the
programs out of which a selection is to be made.
Use of cost-benefit approach for assessing the comparative ranking of the identifying
programs and, subject to the availability of resources, selecting the best.
The third stage is ‘projective’, that is, in it current programs and policies are related to
their future benefits, problems, costs and other developments. Program budgets, by their
nature are forward looking. They belong to what is essentially a long-term planning
system under which budget is an allocative process between competing claims, and the
budget itself is a statement of policy for the appropriate planning period. Accordingly, an
effective implementation of a program budget should have a time schedule for financial
flows and other activities together with achievements of targets. A performance budget,
on the other hand, is to assess accomplishments and failures of a program budget.
Obviously, programming and performance budgets are interlinked and neither has any
useful meaning without the other.
The program approach stresses the end product, such as elimination of poverty in rural areas or
providing basic education, etc., relative to the goals of governmental activity, rather than the
inputs of various types of materials and manpower. The approach is designed to consider the
pursuit of policy objectives of government in light of all economic costs of the program.
Second, program budgeting stresses the relationship between various outputs or programs and
the inputs necessary to produce them. The work of each department is classified into programs,
which are broken into subcategories. Programs include all work seeking to attain the same
objective.
Under this classification, the budget would frame a program structure to attain a particular
objective and specify spending to attain it. We may think of all those expenditures allocated to
the set of programs under a particular objective as belonging to a total spending agency which is
responsible for attainment of the objective. If, for example, the objective is poverty removal,
these expenditures would constitute the poverty removal program. It is important to note that
since these expenditure agencies are inter-related, some programs expenditure would draw
support from a number of agencies. To explain the anatomy of program budgeting, let us take the
following example.
In this way, there may be as many specific objectives as would be helpful in securing the general
objective of purpose. A more detailed program budgeting will break down each of these program
into what are known as program elements. For example, 'Enrolment Incentive Program may be
broken down into such program elements as (a) supply of school uniform, (b) free tuition and
free supply of books, (c) scholarship scheme and (d) mid-day meal scheme. Such a program
element is considered as the smallest unit of analysis. A fully developed system of program
budgeting requires expenditure to be allocated against each of these program elements.
The primary advantage of the program budget structure is that it provides a more useful basis for
evaluation purpose.
Learning Activities:
Section-5: Budgetary or fiscal policy consists of steps and measures which the
government takes, both on the revenue and expenditure sides of its budget. Fiscal
policy means the use of taxation, public borrowing, and public expenditure for
purposes of stabilization and economic development. The detail analysis of fiscal
policy will be presented in another unit of this module, but in this section only the
effect of government budget in an economy will be discussed
(2) Provision of Infrastructure: One of the problems of the poor countries is absence of proper
economic infrastructure. Without proper transport and communication system, large scale
generation of electric power, establishment of basic and key industries and proper training
facilities for workers and entrepreneurs, industrial development is not possible. Similarly,
agricultural production and productivity cannot improve in the absence of proper irrigation
facilities, flood control measures, technological improvement with research and development
activities, etc. These facilities must be provided by the government. The cost of supplying these
services is heavy and cannot be raised directly from the beneficiaries. Therefore, these facilities
are supplied free of direct charges through the budgetary provisions. Thus, budget has a
tremendous influence on the industrial and agricultural development.
(3) Proper Allocation of Resources. Most efficient allocation of resources is given by the
equality between marginal cost and price which is possible only under perfect market
conditions. Underdeveloped countries seriously suffer from misallocation of resources. The
general market conditions in private sectors are set by existence of monopoly, monopolistic
competition and oligopoly. To correct this misallocation, the government has to interfere either
in the form of production subsidy or supply of goods and services by public authorities so that
the gap between average revenue (i.e. price) and the marginal cost is reduced as far as possible.
This is the reason why the heavy investment public welfare industries which are subjected to
decreasing cost conditions are increasingly coming under the fold of public sector.
(4) Balanced Economic growth. Underdeveloped countries suffer from regional imbalance in
economic development. If everything is Left to the private sector, which is motivated by profit
maximization, the industries will be located in the urban and already-developed areas. The
government can correct this geographical imbalance by setting up public sector industries in
backward areas. Moreover, the development of agriculture and small scale and village industries
can be secured through government patronage in the form of supply of infrastructure facilities
and various incentive or subsidy measures. This will develop the economy of rural areas.
(5) Income and Employment. Since underdeveloped countries are low income economics,
people live in poverty and, hence, saving and investment is very low. Income of the people can
be increased only through increased productivity and production. Budgetary provisions can go a
long way to achieve this. When agricultural technology is improved through budgetary
programmes, the income of the people engaged in agriculture rises. People get gainful
employment in the sector. Improvement in small scale industries in the rural areas and setting up
of public sector industries in the backward regions will increase employment opportunities in
these industries. The budgetary provisions of employment-related tax concessions can influence
creation of employment opportunity in the private sector also.
(7) Saving and Investment. In underdeveloped countries, the level of saving and investment is
very low. Moreover, without increased saving and investment, economic growth cannot be
achieved. Due to low level of income, marginal propensity to consume is very high and, hence,
the mass people cannot save. Public saving is, therefore, necessary. Taxation of various types
serves this purpose. The saving and investment of private individuals are also influenced by the
savings-investment-related tax concessions and other budgetary subsidy programmes. Capacity
and willingness to work, save and invest of the people is increased through various human
capital formation measures and creation of employment opportunities. These are all done
through budgetary expenditures.
(8) Full Employment and Price Stability. An important function of the budget is to secure the
objective of full employment and price level stability. We have seen how this should be done in
the case of depression and inflation. When the economy, on the other hand, suffers from neither
inflation nor deflation, the budget is to maintain full employment and prevailing prices through
judicious programmes of public expenditure and taxation. In this case, a balanced budget is
helpful in developed countries. In the underdeveloped economies where resources are not fully
employed public expenditure programmes and tax incentive measures are put into operation to
secure full employment.
Section objectives:
Public borrowing that generates additional productive capacity leads to economic growth and
hence they are productive. For instance, the funds raised by public borrowing for building up
economic infrastructure for the economy through schemes for the development of irrigation,
transport, power and communication are productive. Public borrowings for defense, war
financing, current consumption, etc are not directly productive. This, public debt raised from
consumption activities are called deadweight (non-productive) debt.
We should clearly distinguish economic effects of public borrowing from economic effects of
public debt. Borrowing refers to the method of securing funds, and it is one of the four
alternatives available to the government-the other sources being taxation, profits from State
enterprises and money creation. The effects of borrowing, therefore, relate to government expen-
diture financed through borrowing as different from the effects of a similar programmed
financed by taxation. On the other hand, the effects of public debt refer to the effects on the
economy which are caused by the existence of public debt, after it had been incurred.
Public borrowing from individuals and firms has effects on all aspects of economic life. In this
section different effects of public debt in an economy shall be discussed.
1. Effects on consumption. The effect of public debt on consumption depends upon how it
is financed by individuals. If they lend to the government out of their idle savings,
consumption is not affected. If they buy out of past savings it has only a limited impact
on present expenditure. But if they lend by cutting present savings, it may make them feel
less secure and so they may reduce consumption. But if the people feel that they have
invested in government securities which are considered safe investment, they may
actually increase their consumption.
2. Effects on Production and Investment. The effect of public debt on production depends
upon whether it affects private investment or not. If people buy government bonds by
selling their shares or debentures in private individual firms, there is an adverse effect on
private investment. But if the money borrowed by the government is for productive
purpose, overall production is not affected. But if it is used for wasteful or non-
productive purpose, total investment is affected negatively.
If people buy government bonds by taking away their bank deposits, bank’s lending
capacity is reduced and this again affects private investment. Private investment is not
affected only when it is financed by people out of their idle funds.
If the government uses the funds for productive purpose, it can repay it out of income
generated by these projects. But if public debt is used for unproductive purposes, it can
be repaid only by through additional taxation in future which affects future consumption
as well as production by reducing future disposable incomes. However, if public debt is
used for welfare schemes, it may increase people’s efficiency to work and thus improve
productive capacity.
3. Effects on Distribution. Public debt is bound to have effects on distribution of income
because it involves transfer of purchasing power from one sector to another. Usually
government bonds are purchased by the richer section. But the burden of tax to repay the
debt falls on all sections including the poor. To that extent the inequality of income will
increase. If the bondholder and taxpayers is the same people, theoretically there will be
no effect on redistribution of income. Hence redistribution of income effects of public
debt depends upon whether the taxpayers and the bond holders are the same people or
not.
However if the public debt is used for public welfare programmes especially the poor,
inequalities of income deceases. But if public borrowing creates inflation, the beneficial
effects of redistribution will be neutralized as prices rise.
4. Effects on National Income. Public debt has an adverse effect on national income only
if private investment is adversely affected. However if government expenditure is
incurred on capital goods, it gives incentive to greater production and this again increases
the income. Government investment financed by public debt will have a multiple effect
on national income. If public debt is financed by commercial banks and national banks,
the credit creation and the public expenditure from that will have a very large
expansionary effect on national income.
5. Effects on Resource Allocation. Unlike tax finance, public debt has little effect on
resource allocation. Public borrowing curtails business investment activities but the
decline of business investment varies from one industry to another. Allocation of
resources is not affected much.
6. Effects on Liquidity. Effect of public debt on liquidity is favorable because the
governments bonds are liquid assets which can be sold in the market whenever the bond
holders need money. So public debt increases the volume of liquid assets in the country.
Secondly the larger quantity of such liquid government bonds can result the failure of
monetary policy. For example, when national bank tries to control inflation through
monetary policy tools like bank rate, the commercial banks can increase their cash
reserves by selling government bonds.
7. Effects on Money Market. The government has to compete with the private sector for
fund. Usually if the rate of interest paid by private sector on borrowing is high, the
government also will have to raise its interest rate to attract public funds. On the other
hand if the state tries to borrow from commercial banks and national banks, more than
what is available at current rate of interest it results in currency expansion.
Learning Activities:
Section-4: A lot of discussion has taken place on this question in economic literature. The
classical philosophy of laissez faire equated a sound budgetary policy with that of private
budgeting. Just as a private economic unit cannot and should not run into a persistent deficit,
similarly, the government should avoid repeated deficits. In line with this philosophy, public debt
was often divided into productive and dead-weight categories. The general idea was that the
government should not raise loans for consumption activities; at the most, it may do so for the
investment activities only. The question is what if government runs into debt? In this section we
will discuss the burden of public debt in an economy.
Section objectives:
The following arguments can be cited with regard to the burden of internal debt:
a. According to Learner, the internal debt may not have any direct money burden on the
community as a whole, since the payment of interest and increased taxation to meet the
burden of debt involve simply a transfer of purchasing power from one group of person to
another, i.e. to the extent that bond holders(creditors) and taxpayers are the same, public
debt has no direct money burden. But to the extent the creditors (bond-holders) and
taxpayers belong to different income groups, the change is the distribution of income
among different sections of the community.
b. According to Domar, if interest on debt as a proportion of national income rises, the burden
of public dept increases since a larger portion of national income will have to be taxed to
pay the interest. This burden depends on two factors: First, it depends upon the wastage of
resources that take place in terms of administrative costs of administering tax collection
and interest payments). Second, it depends on the distributive effects that such a process
generates. If, for example, through this taxation and interest payment, the income
inequalities increases, public debt may be claimed to have added to the burden of the debt.
Increase in public debt may necessitate imposition of additional tax on enterprise which
may adversely affects the power as well as the willingness of individuals to work and save.
B. Burden of External Debt
In one sense, the burden of a foreign debt is similar to that of domestic debt. That is, the
government will have to pay it through additional taxation. But, while in domestic debt, interest
payments and the repayment of loans are available to local nationals; in the case of foreign debt
they are available to foreigners. In another sense, the total money burden of an external debt is
more because there is the additional transfer problem. That is, the government will have to find
necessary monetary resources to pay off the external debt and besides will have to secure foreign
currencies too (after all, foreigners will have to be paid in their currencies). The transfer problem,
therefore, requires that during the term of the loan, the balance of trade must become favorable.
In other words, a regular payment of interest and principal to foreign countries will be possible
only if the export value exceeds the import value by at least the obligations arising from the loan.
But external debt can mean a certain impoverishment of the economy. The payment of interest
and debt redemption to foreign Countries means a corresponding exhaustion of national income
and makes greater demand on the gold and foreign exchange resources of the country. This is
what has been referred to as the transfer problem in the previous paragraph. But properly
speaking, there is no impoverishment involved. What actually happens is this: originally, when
foreign loans were made, they entered the debtor country in the form of machinery, raw
materials and other essential goods, for which no corresponding exports were made at that time.
After the lapse of a certain time, the debtor country manages to secure excess of exports over
imports to pay for the external loan. In this case, there is no actual impoverishment of the
economy involved but goods are paid for goods. But if the external debt would really deprive the
citizens of a debtor country of a certain amount of, goods and services, this would be a net direct
real burden of an external loan.
However, there is one sense in which an external loan can be a source of trouble to a debtor
country. The transfer problem necessitating the creation of an export surplus means “an
exhaustion of the country’s future capacity to import,” which is of vital importance for
development. But if the foreign loans are floated only when it is absolutely essential and when
internal resources are utilized as far as possible, and if the foreign loans are used to increase the
total national product, including goods specially meant for export, there is no reason why the
debtor country should suffer in the future.
An underdeveloped country which borrows abroad for the development of social and economic
overheads and basic industries will find that the benefits outweigh the burden of repayment of
the loan. Thus, an external loan for development purposes is not a burden but a profitable
venture. This is exactly like an internal loan meant for development purposes.
Learning Activities:
Section-5: The public debt has a direct effect on people apart from higher rate of taxation.
Public debt mostly consists of unproductive debt. Anyway, the sooner it is paid off the
better for both the government and the people. Thus, in this section we will discuss
different method of debt redemptions and proper debt management from the government
side.
Section objectives:
Upon completing this section you should be able to:
Explain what debt redemption means
Discuss different methods of debt redemptions
Explain what debt management means
Describe different conditions that the government should follow in its debt
management.
6.5.1: Debt Redemption
What does debt redemption means?
Redemption refers to methods of repayment of loan.
There are varies methods available to the government to pay off debt:
1. Repudiation of debt! One simple way of ending the debt obligations is to repudiate
the debt. This refers to refusal by the government to pay the interest as well as the
principal debt. Normally government doesn’t repudiate its debt because it will shake
the confidence of the general public. However, in the extreme circumstances a
government may be forced to repudiate its internal or external debt of obligation. So
repudiation is the most extreme method of redemption.
2. Conversion of a loan! An old loan can be converted into a new loan, i.e. the
governments don’t pay loan but it simply substituted old by new one.
3. Serial Bond redemption! The government made the serial to pay earlier a certain
portion of the bond issued previously. This system enables a portion of the debt
being paid off every year:
4. Buying up loan! The government may redeem its debt from buying up its bond
whenever it has got a surplus income. This method is good if the government get
sufficient amount of surpluses, though it is not systematic.
5. Sinking fund! This is the most systematic method of redemption of debt. It refers to
the aggregation and gradual accumulation of funds which will be sufficient to pay off
the public debt. For instance, the government may float a loan for a construction of
road. The government also imposes taxes (or toll) for real payment of this loan. The
tax proceed which create funds for repayment of this loans is known as sinking funds.
6. Capital levying! This refers to a very heavy tax on property and wealth. It is another
method of debt redemption which is generally adopted for unproductive debt. This
method is generally adopted at the end of war or any natural calamities. It is a once-
for-all tax imposed on the capital assets to repay the unproductive war debt.
The term debt management refers to the formulation and implementation of a debt policy
designed to achieve certain objectives. According to the traditional philosophy, debt
management consists of keeping its interest cost to the minimum possible, and paying it off as
early as possible. However, a modern welfare states use debt management as a policy tool for
achieving various socio-economic objectives.
Therefore, debt management aims at proper timing and issuing of government bonds, stabilizing
their prices (the prices of bonds) and minimizing the cost of servicing debt. It is argued that
government should follow the policy of “low interest costs” in order to:
1. Restriction on credit
When a careful watch over prices is kept and prices are not allowed to rise beyond
what are considered reasonable limits, deficit financing may be considered as safe.
Therefore, to curb inflationary situation, restriction on bank credit is essential.
2. Control over prices
Prices of consumer goods and essential raw materials have to be effectively
controlled. To check diversion of scarce capital towards consumption goods sector,
the government should impose taxes on industrialists to encourage the diversion of
resources towards production goods sector which plays a pivotal role in industrial
development of the country.
3. Increase in Production of Public Sector
To check inflationary trend, the government should make its utmost efforts to
increase the production of public enterprises owned by it and provide incentives to
increase production in private sector. Emphasis should be laid to increase the
production of food grains, raw materials and consumer goods. This will increase the
supply of goods and will ultimately check inflation.