IA Sample-3
IA Sample-3
What is the Relationship between the Free Throw Success Rate and
Height/Weight of Basketball Players in the NBA?
1
INTRODUCTION
The National Basketball Association is the flagship league in the world of competitive
basketball. The NBA is a top tier league in the world of basketball and only the very best
players are able to compete at this level. We see that there are hundreds of players in this
association and as a result, they all belong to different ethnicities and races. Since this large
variation occurs, there are many players attempting free throws as well. Free throws are taken
by the player who was fouled and not by any specific player of the team at all times. A free
throw is an unimpeded attempt at a basket (worth one point) awarded to a player following a
foul or other infringement. As a result of the high number of individuals, the ranges of height
in the NBA is also extremely high and perhaps this same height could be a possible factor in
terms of shooting ability in terms of free throws for the players. Similarly, there will also be a
range of weight across the NBA and this too could be a possible factor that affects the
shooting ability of the player taking the free throw. This topic was extremely interesting as
the diversity of results was astounding and insightful about how sports is also highly affected
by mathematical data.
STATEMENT OF TASK
The main purpose of this investigation is to determine whether there is a relationship between
the height and/or weight of an NBA player and his shooting ability in terms of free throws.
The data that will be analysed and collected will be that of the various heights and weights of
the NBA players that took part in the 2015/16 season and the number of free throws they
attempted as well as the number of free throws they completed out of those attempts. The
range of the data shall be from the shortest players of the NBA (5 feet 9 inches) to the tallest
players of the NBA (7 feet 2 inches) and secondly ranging from the lightest players (161-170
pounds) to the heaviest players (281-290 pounds). All the data collected for the height
category will be split into 17 columns and that of weight into 13 columns.
PLAN OF INVESTIGATION
I will be investigating the relationship of the success rate of free throws of NBA players and
their height/weight. I will collect data on NBA players on the basis of their statistics for the
2015/2016 season. Using the collected data, various mathematical processes will be used to
analyse the said data. These will be the Standard Deviation Process, Pearson’s Correlation
Coefficient and the Scatter Plot Graphing system and the Chi-Squared Test. These processes
are being used in order to achieve a clear and accurate result for this investigation. Commented [K1]: Student produces a clear title , a
statement of task and a clear description of plan.
Criteria A
2
MATHEMATICAL INVESTIGATION
COLLECTED DATA
3
TABLE 2. Weight in relation to Free Throw Success %
This data was collected and amassed in order to allow the investigation of the suggested
correlation. The data has been collected as per the 2015/16 statistics of the NBA and has been
arranged in an increasing order of weight.
4
MATHEMATICAL PROCESSES
Standard Deviation
Purpose: The Standard Deviation process has been used in this investigation as the values
attained will allow further investigation on the nature of the variance of the data collected.
Table 1: Calculations for the Standard deviation for height and free throws made
The average number of free throws between the players was undertaken in order to
achieve accurate results about height may truly have an effect on the success rate of a
free throw as there is a large difference in the number of players present in each
category of height.
175.26 2 333
1 166.5 -22.7105882 515.7708164
180.34 3 359
2 119.6666667 -17.6305882 310.8376403
182.88 12 1261
3 105.0833333 -15.0905882 227.7258522
185.42 14 1564
4 111.7142857 -12.5505882 157.5172642
187.96 16 1517
5 94.8125 -10.0105882 100.2118761
5
6 190.5 30 4037 134.5666667 -7.4705882 55.80968805
Σ(𝑥𝑖 − 𝑥𝑚)2
√
𝑛
2741.550494
=√
17
6
Table 1: Calculations for the Standard deviation for weight and free throws made
The average number of free throws between the players was undertaken in order to
achieve accurate results about weight may truly have an effect on the success rate of a
free throw as there is a large difference in the number of players present in each
category of height.
225.5 72.02 50 0 0
7
Σ(𝑥𝑖 −𝜇)2
Calculations:√
𝑛
18200
√
13
As observed, we see that there is a large standard deviation in both cases suggesting there is a large
8
Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient
The purpose of using the Pearson’s correlation Coefficient is that it allows for an accurate
measurement of the possible correlations in the investigated factors of the collected data and
is key to reaching a concise conclusion for the investigation as to whether height and weight
are correlated to the success rate of free throws made by NBA players.
Σ𝑥𝑦
Formula:𝑟 =
√Σ𝑥 2 Σ𝑦 2
In this formula :
x denotes the difference between the individual values of height and the mean of all values of
height.
y denotes the difference between the average free throw success and the mean of the same.
number
AVG
HEIGHT of SUM x y xy 𝑥2 𝑦2
FTM
players
119.66666
180.34 3 359
67 -17.6305882 10.10732397 -178.1980667 310.8376403 102.1579978
105.08333
182.88 12 1261
33 -15.0905882 -4.476009367 67.54561413 227.7258522 20.03465985
111.71428
185.42 14 1564
57 -12.5505882 2.154943014 -27.04580237 157.5172642 4.643779395
134.56666
190.5 30 4037
67 -7.4705882 25.00732397 -186.8194193 55.80968805 625.366252
91.655172
193.04 29 2658
41 -4.9305882 -17.90417029 88.27809074 24.3107 320.5593136
125.86956
195.58 23 2895
52 -2.3905882 16.31022252 -38.99102549 5.714911942 266.0233586
100.05405
200.66 37 3702
41 2.6894118 -9.505288646 -25.56363545 7.23293583 90.35051224
100.21428
203.2 42 4209
57 5.2294118 -9.345056986 -48.86915127 27.34674777 87.33009007
9
79.522388
205.74 67 5328
06 7.7694118 -30.03695464 -233.3694698 60.36375972 902.2186441
95.583333
208.28 36 3441
33 10.3094118 -13.97600937 -144.0844359 106.2839717 195.3288378
101.94871
210.82 39 3976
79 12.8494118 -7.610624751 -97.79205148 165.1073836 57.9216091
100.03571
213.36 28 2801
43 15.3894118 -9.523628414 -146.5630395 236.8339955 90.69949817
143.85714
215.9 7 1007
29 17.9294118 34.29780016 614.9393829 321.4638075 1176.339096
T
O
T
A 1862.5088
L 3365.5 26 -1202.607867 2741.550494 9439.59189
M
E
A 109.55934
N 197.9705882 27
150
y = -0.4387x + 196.4
100
R² = 0.0559 AVG FTM
50 Linear (AVG FTM)
0
150 170 190 210 230
Height
Σ𝑥𝑦
𝑟=
√Σ𝑥 2 Σ𝑦 2
−1202.607867
=
√2741.550494 𝑋9439.59189
−1202.607867
=
√25879115.37
−1202.607867
= = -0.2364010097
5087.15199
10
Method 2: Graphic Display Calculator
11
Free Throws Made in Relation to
Weight
140
Average Free Thrrows Made
Σ𝑥𝑦
𝑟=
√Σ𝑥 2 Σ𝑦 2
3580.333553
=
√18200𝑋 3999.648084
3580.333553
=
√72793595
3580.333553
=
8531.916264
= 0.4196400249
12
We see that the correlation between height and shooting ability is weakly negative in
correlation showing that height has a negative effect on the success rate of an NBA player as
it increases.
The correlation between weight and height is positively correlated showing that weight has a
positive effect on the success rate of an NBA player as it increases.
Chi-square is a statistical test commonly used to compare observed data with data we would
expect to obtain according to a specific hypothesis.
(|𝒇𝒐 − 𝒇𝒆 | − 𝟎. 𝟓)𝟐
𝝌𝟐 =
𝒇𝒆
fo = observed frequencies
fe = expected frequencies
0 – 1000 2 0 1 3
1000 - 2000 3 0 1 4
2000 - 3000 0 3 1 4
3000 - 4000 0 1 4 5
4000 - 5000 1 3 0 4
5000 – 6000 0 1 1 2
TOTAL 6 8 8 Grand
Total = 22
Degrees of freedom
𝑑𝑓 = (𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑠 − 1)(𝑐𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑚𝑛𝑠 − 1)
13
𝑑𝑓 = (6 − 1)(3 − 1)
𝑑𝑓 = (5)(2)
𝑑𝑓 = 10
Null Hypothesis (H0): The shooting ability of NBA players is independent of their
height.
Alternative Hypothesis (H1): The shooting ability of NBA players is not independent of
their height.
14
Expected Values
15
1 1.818181818 -0.818181818 1.737603306 0.955681818
TOTAL 22.88125
(|𝒇𝒐 − 𝒇𝒆 | − 𝟎. 𝟓)𝟐
𝝌𝟐 𝒄𝒂𝒍 =
𝒇𝒆
𝝌𝟐 𝒄𝒂𝒍 =22.88125
1% = 23.21
5% = 18.31
10% = 15.99
Since the calculated Chi square value (𝜒 2 𝑐𝑎𝑙 = 22.88125) is more than the critical value at
1%, 5% and 10%, we will reject null hypothesis (𝑯𝑶 ), thus we can see that the shooting
ability of NBA players is dependent on their height. Commented [K8]: Poor understanding of Chi squared
test.
Criterion C↓
16
WEIGHT 165 - 205 205 - 245 245 - 285
FREE Total
THROWS
MADE
0 - 1000 1 0 2 3
1000 - 2000 1 0 1 2
2000 - 3000 0 0 0 0
3000 - 4000 0 1 1 2
4000 - 5000 3 2 1 6
5000 - 6000 0 0 0 0
6000 - 7000 0 1 0 1
Total 5 4 5 Grand
Total= 14
Degrees of freedom
𝑑𝑓 = (𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑠 − 1)(𝑐𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑚𝑛𝑠 − 1)
𝑑𝑓 = (7 − 1)(3 − 1)
𝑑𝑓 = (6)(2)
𝑑𝑓 = 12
Null Hypothesis (H0): The shooting ability of NBA players is independent of their
weight.
Alternative Hypothesis (H1): The shooting ability of NBA players is not independent of
their weight.
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CALCULATIONS FOR EXPECTED VALUES
FREE Total
THROWS
MADE
Total 5 4 5 Grand
Total= 14
EXPECTED VALUES
FREE Total
THROWS
MADE
2000 - 3000 0 0 0 0
5000 - 6000 0 0 0 0
18
6000 - 7000 0.3571428571 0.2857142857 0.3571428571 1
Total 5 4 5 Grand
Total= 14
0 0 0 0.25 0
0 0 0 0.25 0
0 0 0 0.25 0
0 0 0 0.25 0
0 0 0 0.25 0
0 0 0 0.25 0
19
1 0.285714286 0.714285714 0.045918367 0.160714286
0
0.357142857 -0.357142857 0.734693877 2.057142857
TOTAL 12.52083333
𝝌𝟐 𝒄𝒂𝒍 =12.52083333
1% = 26.22
10% = 18.55
50% = 11.340
Since the calculated Chi square value (𝜒 2 𝑐𝑎𝑙 = 12.52083333) is more than the critical value
at 50%, we will reject null hypothesis (𝑯𝑶 ), thus we can see that the shooting ability of NBA
players is partially dependent on their weight. Commented [K10]: Incorrect mathematical process
Because Yate’s continuity correction is applicable only if
the degree of freedom is 1.
Criterion C↓
DISCUSSION/ VALIDITY
Limitations
Throughout the investigation, there may have been limitations that could have had an effect
on the results.
One limitation is that the mean of the data measured had to be taken in order for the tests to
be carried out. The use of the mean may have hindered the results in a negative manner and
not allowed completely accurate results.
Another limitation could be that the ethnicities in the NBA have not been considered. There
may be certain races that may have genetic predispositions to sports and could act as
exceptions to the results which have not been considered in this investigation.
A third limitation of this investigation could be that there may be a lack of players in certain
height categories as there may not have been enough players in certain ranges of height
which may have prevented the results from being absolutely accurate. Due to the lack of
20
players in certain ranges of height, there is the possibility that the results may have been
adversely affected.
Another limitation could be that the factor that the data was collected from players only from
the NBA and not the rest of the world limits the results found to one category and cannot be
generalized to basketball players themselves.
The factor that the expected values in the measurement of the chi- squared test being less
than 5 reduces the validity of the investigation.
Lastly, there may have been several other factors that may have had an impact through
several other unaccounted factors on the results of the investigation. Commented [K11]: Criterion E↑
CONCLUSION
Despite the above stated limitations, the use of the Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient and the
Chi-Squared Test shows a definite correlation, positive in the case of weight and negative in
the case of height and hence we accept the original hypothesis of the investigation that the
success rate and free throw ability of an NBA player is dependent on his height and/or
weight. Commented [K12]: Student produces minimal
interpretations
Criterion D↓
Work Cited
"4. Critical Values Of Chi Square - CHI-SQUARED TEST_EVS." Google Sites. N.p., n.d.
Web. 15 Dec. 2016.
"Chi-Square Statistic: How to Calculate It / Distribution." Statistics How To. N.p., n.d. Web.
15 Dec. 2016.
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Mathematics Studies SL Project
Title: What is the Relationship Between the Free Throw Success Rate and
Height/Weight of Basketball Players in the NBA?
General comments
A Introduction: (2/3)
Student produces a clear title, a clear statement of task and a clear description of
plan.
B Information: (2/3)
Information contains secondary data. The Citation for secondary data is given in
the Bibliography.
C Mathematical process: (3/5)
Simple mathematical process has been carried out correctly.
E Validity: (1/1)
There is discussion of the validity on page no 20 and 21.
F Structure and communication: (1/3)
Some attempt has been made to structure the project.
G Notation and terminology: (1/2)
Inappropriate notation used on page no 5, 6, 7 and8.
Total 11 20
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