Industry Report
Industry Report
Industry Report On
Indian Value Retail Market
including Lifestyle & Home
6th March 2024
2
India is ranked fifth in the world in terms of nominal gross domestic product ("GDP") in FY 2023 and is the third
largest economy in the world in terms of purchasing power parity (“PPP”). Between FY 2014–2022, India’s
nominal GDP has grown at a CAGR of 9.5%, surpassing growth rates of USA and China. India is expected to be a
~USD 5.8 trillion economy by FY 2028, growing at a CAGR of 11.0% between FY 2022–2028.
Exhibit 1.1: GDP at current prices (In USD Tn) and GDP Ranking of Key Global Economies (CY 2023)
CAGR CAGR
CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY
Country (2013- (2021-
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023P 2027P
2021) 2027)
USA 16.8 17.5 18.2 18.7 19.6 20.6 21.4 20.9 23 25.5 26.9 31.4 4.00% 5.34%
China 9.6 10.5 11.1 11.2 12.3 13.9 14.3 14.7 17.5 18.1 19.4 22.3 7.79% 4.11%
Japan 5.2 4.9 4.4 5 4.9 5 5.1 5 4.9 4.2 4.4 4.9 -0.74% -0.10%
Germany 3.7 3.9 3.4 3.5 3.7 4 3.9 3.8 4.2 4.1 4.3 5.3 1.60% 4.05%
India* 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.9 3.4 3.7 5.8 9.53% 12.25%
UK 2.8 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.9 2.8 2.7 3.2 3.1 3.2 4.3 1.68% 5.19%
Brazil 2.5 2.5 1.8 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.6 -5.43% 8.65%
Russia 2.3 2.1 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.1 2.0 -3.02% 1.52%
Indonesia 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1 1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 2.0 3.66% 8.43%
Turkey 1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.5 -2.75% 11.05%
Saudi Arabia 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.68% 7.43%
South Africa 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.00% 1.79%
World 77.6 79.7 75.1 76.4 81.4 86.4 87.7 84.9 90.1 100.2 105.6 127.5 1.88% 5.96%
Source: World Bank Data, IMF, RBI; India Data from RBI, Future growth rate from OECD data, Technopak research
1 USD=INR 80
Data in CY
*For India, CY 2013 means FY 2014 and so on.
.
The robust consumption growth of India is outpacing the GDP growth. The re-opening of India’s economy gave
a boost to private consumption trends, and increased exports had a big impact on the GDP growth. Increasing
Urbanization which is driven by better standards of living and opportunities, higher Gross National Income (GNI),
nuclearization, digitalization and premiumization are the factors contributing to higher growth in GDP.
Since FY 2005, the Indian economy's growth rate has been nearly twice as that of the world economy and it is
expected to sustain this growth momentum in the long term. In the wake of COVID-19, India’s nominal GDP
contracted by 1.4% in FY 2021, followed by 18.4% growth in FY 2022 and 16.1% growth in FY 2023. It is expected
to reach USD 5.4 trillion by FY 2028. Between FY 2023 and FY 2030, India’s real GDP is expected to grow at a
CAGR of 6.6%. It is also expected that the growth trajectory of the Indian economy will position India among the
top 3 global economies in terms of nominal GDP by FY 2030, surpassing Germany and Japan. Several factors are
likely to contribute to long-term economic growth. These factors include favorable demographics, reducing
dependency ratio, rapidly rising education levels, steady urbanization, growing young & working population, IT
revolution, increasing penetration of mobile & internet infrastructure, government policies, increasing
aspirations and affordability etc.
4
70%
60% 65%
50%
40%
30%
20% 18%
17%17%16% 16%16% 16%
15%15%15% 15% 14%14% 15%
20% 11% 12% 12% 13% 12%14%13%11%10%12%11%11% 12%12%
8% 8% 8% 8.8%
6% -1%
10%
0% 9% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 8% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 9% 7%
5% 5% 7% 8% 8% 4% 6% 4% 5% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 4%
6.7%6.5%6.5%
1%
-10%
2024P
2027P
2030P
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
-6%
0.0 -5.0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024P2027P2030P
Source: RBI Data, Economic Survey, World Bank, EIU, IMF. 1 USD= INR 80.
Source: RBI Data, Economic Survey, World Bank, EIU, IMF. 1 USD= INR 80.
The Gross Domestic Product of key Indian states are mentioned below. The Eastern states of Bihar, Odisha and
West Bengal’s Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) CAGR of 10.3%, 11.9% and 10.1% respectively for the period
FY 2015 to FY 2023 is higher than the CAGR of 9.88% of India’s nominal GDP for the same period.
Exhibit 1.5: Gross State Domestic Product of key Indian states in FY (USD Bn) (Current Prices)
CAGR 2015-
Region States 2015 2020 2021 2022 2023
23
Delhi 62 99 95 113 130 9.8%
Haryana 55 92 93 109 124 10.3%
North Punjab 44 67 68 77 84 8.3%
MP 60 116 120 142 165 13.5%
UP 126 213 206 247 282 10.6%
Total Northern GDP 336 632 627 740 839* 12.1%
Bihar 43 73 71 81 94 10.3%
Chhattisgarh 28 43 43 51 57 9.5%
East Jharkhand 27 39 37 45 49 7.6%
Odisha 39 67 68 84 97 11.9%
West Bengal 90 147 144 170 194 10.1%
Total Eastern GDP 229 373 368 436 497 10.2%
Maharashtra 222 332 328 389 NA 8.3%
West Gujarat 115 202 202 242 NA 11.2%
Rajasthan 77 125 127 152 177 10.9%
Total Western GDP 415 659 658 783 NA 9.5%
Andhra Pradesh 66 116 120 142 165 12.2%
Telangana 63 119 118 141 164 12.7%
South Tamil Nadu 134 218 224 259 296 10.4%
Karnataka 114 201 203 245 280 11.9%
Kerala 64 102 96 117 NA 8.9%
Total Southern GDP 447 765 770 914 905* 10.8%
Arunachal NA
Pradesh 2 4 4 4 10.1%
Assam 24 43 44 52 62 12.2%
North- Manipur 2 4 4 5 NA 10.6%
Eastern Meghalaya 3 4 4 5 5 7.9%
Mizoram 2 3 3 3 NA 10.9%
Nagaland 2 4 4 4 NA 8.2%
Tripura 4 7 7 8 9 11.9%
Total North-Eastern GDP 40 69 69 81 NA 10.7%
India GDP 1,530 2,534 2,527 2,995 2531 6.5%
Source: RBI, 1USD= INR 80
Note: CAGR for Maharashtra, Gujarat, Kerala, Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur, Mizoram, Nagaland, Total Western States and Total North-Eastern States have
been calculated for 7-years from FY 2015 to FY 2022 due to unavailability of GSDP for FY 2023.
*- For 2023, the total for Northern states doesn’t include Chandigarh and Jammu & Kashmir’s GSDP and the total for Southern states doesn’t include Goa and
Kerala’s GSDP due to data unavailability. The CAGR is calculated based on the same number.
Note: Northern states (8) include- Chandigarh, Delhi, Haryana, Punjab, Madhya Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir and Uttar Pradesh
Note: Eastern states (6) include- Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Odisha, West Bengal, Sikkim
Note: Western states (3) include- Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan
Note: Southern states (6) include- Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Kerala, Goa
Note: North-Eastern states include (7)- Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Nagaland and Tripura.
6
Income growth, presented by the GNI (Gross National Income) is defined as the total amount of money earned
by a country’s businesses and individuals- as a proxy to benchmark prosperity. India’s income growth is one of
the strongest drivers for higher private consumption trend.
3,00,000 20.0%
2,00,000
10.0%
1,50,000 10.4% 9.8% 10.2% 10.1%
9.5%
7.8% 2,42,819 5.0%
1,00,000
5.2% 2,00,184 2,20,528
1,44,120 1,70,222
1,28,655 1,40,899 1,48,261 0.0%
50,000 1,06,096 1,17,131
98,405
-2.8%
- -5.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023P
2023 2024P 2025P
Year indicates FY
Source: RBI, IMF projections
India’s Per Capita GDP has almost doubled from FY 2015 to FY 2023, indicating that the Indian economy has
been growing at a fast pace. The per capita GDP for India stands at INR 1,72,761 in FY 2022 and is estimated to
reach INR 1,96,983 in FY 2023, marking a ~76% increase (CAGR of ~8.4%) from INR 98,135 in FY 2015 to FY 2022.
It is projected to grow with a CAGR of 10.0% between FY 2023 and FY 2030.
Exhibit 1.7: India’s Per Capita GDP (FY) and y-o-y growth rate (%) (FY)
4,50,000 20.0%
4,00,000 18.3%
3,50,000 15.0%
14.7%
14.0%
3,00,000 11.8%
10.7% 10.0%
2,50,000 9.3% 9.5% 10.3%
8.4%
3,82,684
1,50,000 4.5%
2,10,222
2.4% 3.4%
1,96,983
2.9%
1,72,761
1,49,701
1,46,087
1,42,328
1,07,280
1,17,427
1,27,292
1,00,000 0.0%
17,968
27,800
35,280
49,498
98,135
6,640
8,576
50,000 -2.4%
- -5.0%
1961 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024P2027P2030P
Source: Ministry of Statistics and Program Implementation, World Bank, IMF, Technopak Research & Analysis
Note: 1 USD= INR 80
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GDP growth in India is expected to be driven by the rising Private Final Consumption Expenditure. India is a
private consumption-driven economy, where the share of domestic consumption is measured as Private Final
Consumption Expenditure (PFCE). This private consumption expenditure comprises of both goods (food,
lifestyle, home, pharmacy etc.) and services (food services, education, healthcare etc.). The high share of private
consumption to GDP has the advantage of insulating India from volatility in the global economy. It also implies
that sustainable economic growth directly translates into sustained consumer demand for goods and services.
India’s domestic consumption has grown at a CAGR of 7.3% between FY 2016 and FY 2021, compared to 2.8%
and 4.7% in the USA and China, respectively during the similar period of CY 2015 and CY 2020.
In FY 2022, PFCE accounted for ~60% of India’s GDP. This was much higher than that in China (~39%), and
Germany (~50%), and comparable to that of US (~68%) and UK (~61%) in similar period of CY 2021. With the
rapidly growing GDP and PFCE, India is poised to become one of the top consumer markets globally. It is
estimated that the PFCE’s contribution to India’s GDP will be 60.1% for FY 2023.
Exhibit 1.8: Total Private Final Consumption Expenditure in CY (Current Prices USD Bn)
CAGR
CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY
Country 2020-
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
2022
U.S. 10,260 10,699 11,047 11,363 11,847 12,263 12,693 13,239 13,993 14,428 14,047 14,347 NA 2.8%
China 2,090 2,637 3,019 3,429 3,845 4,178 4,344 4,745 5,353 5,605 5,611 6,347 8,800 25.2%
Germany 1,872 2,036 1,937 2,036 2,075 1,778 1,829 1,918 2,068 2,018 1,951 1,924 2,680 17.2%
India* 411** 447** 749 863 966 1,084 1,215 1,344 1,505 1,641 1,542 1,718 2,130 17.5%
France 1,463 1,573 1,469 1,536 1,549 1,318 1,341 1,397 1,503 1,463 1,398 1,394 2,050 21.1%
Italy 1,296 1,401 1,279 1,304 1,309 1,116 1,128 1,179 1,258 1,202 1,093 1,108 1,500 17.1%
Brazil 1,330 1,577 1,514 1,526 1,546 1,153 1,154 1,331 1,239 1,216 906 1,230 1,580 32.1%
Indonesia 424 495 518 519 509 495 539 582 594 648 624 723 720 7.4%
Thailand 178 196 212 221 214 206 207 223 248 271 265 259 320 9.9%
Malaysia 123 143 156 167 177 163 165 177 206 218 205 226 280 16.9%
The Per Capita Final Consumption Expenditure had shown significant growth pre-COVID. In FY 2020, the average
Per Capita Final Consumption expenditure was valued to be around USD 1,161, a steep increase from USD 880
in FY 2015. Due to the emergence of COVID-19, there was an approximately 6% drop in the Per Capita Final
Consumption Expenditure, to USD 1,090 but it recovered at a rate of 10% to reach USD 1,203 in FY 2022, followed
by a 7% growth to reach USD 1,285 in FY 2023.
8
43,130 44,056
40,650 41,276
38,998 39,775 39,849
37,364 38,341
India has one of the youngest populations globally compared to other leading economies. The median age in
India is estimated to be 29.5 years for CY 2023 as compared to 38.9 years and 39.8 years in the United States
and China, respectively, and is expected to remain under 30 years until 2030. With a growing young population,
there is an increasing demand for premiumization. The younger population is naturally predisposed to adopting
new trends and exploration, given their educational profile and exposure to media and technology. This presents
an opportunity for domestic consumption in the form of branded products and organized retail.
Exhibit 1.10: Median Age: Key Emerging & Developed Economies in (CY 2023)
South
Country India China USA Singapore Russia Canada UK
Korea
Median Age (Yrs.) 29.5 39.8 38.9* 38.9 41.5 45 42.4 40.6
More than half of India’s population falls in the 15-49 years age bracket
As of April 2023, India was the most populated country in the world, home to 1.42 billion people, which is about
one-sixth of the world’s population. About 54% of the total population falls within the 15 to 49 years age group,
while 80% of the population is below 50 years old. This demographic distribution highlights that India’s youth
and working-age population contribute to positive demographics.
9
7%
13% 26%
18%
36%
Age wise Break-up of Female Population Age wise Break-up of Male Population
70+ 2% 70+ 1%
55-70 4% 55-70 4%
45-54 5% 45-54 5%
35-44 6% 35-44 7%
25-34 8% 25-34 8%
15-24 9% 15-24 10%
0-14 14% 0-14 16%
34.8%
77% 79% 75%
72% 34.1%
64% 59% 33.5% 33.8%
52% 51% 50% 49% 49% 48% 47%
32.2%
Source: Census of India 2011, World Bank, MOSPI; Age wise break up of population not adding up to 100% due to rounding off
Note: Dependency Ratio is in CY. CY 2017 for India refers to FY 2018 data and so on.
2. Women Workforce
The share of women workforce in the services sector has increased from 17.5% in CY 2010 to 25.1% in CY
2021. This increase of women in the workforce has seen a shift of patterns in terms of household activity,
including an upward trend towards purchase of branded products including fashion and lifestyle.
10
CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY
Sector
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Agriculture 67.0% 63.6% 60.0% 59.4% 58.7% 57.9% 57.2% 56.4% 55.5% 54.7% 53.6% 58.2%
Industry 15.5% 17.1% 18.8% 18.4% 18.2% 18.0% 17.7% 17.5% 17.3% 17.4% 17.9% 16.6%
Services 17.5% 19.3% 21.3% 22.2% 23.2% 24.1% 25.1% 26.1% 27.2% 28.0% 25.7% 25.1%
The percentage of Indian women labour force above 15 years of age has observed a slight increase from 22.6%
in the year 2016 to 24.0% in 2022. Increasing percentage of women participating in the workforce is leading to
increased household income and economic growth overall. With greater financial resources, families may be
more likely to spend money on higher quality goods and services, such as education, healthcare, and childcare.
This could have a positive impact on the well-being and development of individuals and communities.
Exhibit 1.14: Labor workforce participation rate, world & India (% of female population 15+ years age) (CY)
World India
3. Urbanization
Urbanization is one of the most important pillars of India’s growth story, as these areas serve as the core drivers
for consumption. India had the second-largest Urban population in the world (in absolute terms) at 508 million
in CY 2022, ranking only below China. Indian Urban system constitutes ~11% of the total global Urban
population. However, only ~36% of India’s population is classified as Urban, compared to a global average of
~57%. It is the pace of India's Urbanization that is a key trend fueling India's economic growth. Currently, the
Urban population contributes 63% to India's GDP. Looking ahead, it is estimated that 37% (537 million) of India’s
population will be living in Urban centers by CY 2025 and is expected to account for 75% of India's GDP in FY
2026. This trend is expected to continue, with approximately 41% of India’s population living in Urban centers
by CY 2030.
50.0%
35.5% 35.8% 37.0% 40.9%
30.9% 32.8% 33.6% 34% 34.5% 35% 35.0%
27.7%
2000 2010 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2025P 2030P 2050P
11
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2025P 2030P
Exhibit 1.16: Urban Population as Percentage of Total Population of Key Economies (CY 2023)
Urban Population Share 58% 36% 64% 83% 100% 75% 78% 40% 84%
Source: World Bank
The increase in number of households with annual earnings ranging from USD 10,000 to USD 50,000 is poised
to drive the Indian economy by fostering demand for a wide array of goods, improved services, housing,
healthcare, education, and more. Households with an annual income between USD 10,000 and USD 50,000
constituted a minor portion, accounting for 5.8% of the total population in FY 2010. This share increased to
30.6% in FY 2020 and is expected to continue in the same vein, rising to 42% of the total population by FY 2030.
The expanding middle-class sector in India is accompanied by a growing appetite for premiumization across
various sectors, including goods and services, construction, housing services, financial services,
telecommunications, and retail.
HHs with Annual HHs with Annual HHs with Annual HHs with Annual
Total House
Year earnings less earnings of USD earnings of USD earnings greater
Holds (in Mn.)
than USD 5000 5,000 - 10,000 10,000 –50,000 than USD 50,000
2009 236 187.9 35.9 11.1 1.2
2010 240 181.8 42.9 14 1.2
2012 254 170.2 60.5 22.1 1.3
2014 267 167.1 70.8 27.2 1.9
2015 274 151 84.7 36.2 2.2
2018 295 84.1 121.5 86.4 3
2020 310 79.4 131.8 94.9 4
2030P 386 69.5 142.8 162.1 11.6
CAGR 2010-30P 2.4% -4.7% 6.2% 13.0% 12.0%
Source: EIU, *Technopak Estimates
5. Nuclearization
The growth in the number of households exceeds population growth, which indicates an increase in
nuclearization in India. The average household size has reduced from 5.3 in FY01 to 4.2 in FY 2021 and is further
projected to reduce to 3.9 by FY 2030. 69% of households had less than five members in FY 2011 as compared
12
to 62% in FY 2001. It is expected that smaller households with higher disposable income will lead to a greater
expenditure in, among others, Jewellery, Fashion, Home & Living, Packaged Food and Food Services.
Top 20% of Indian households account for ~50% of the total household consumption
Household consumption in India is skewed towards the Urban population. Socioeconomic classifications (“SEC”)
A, B and C1, which account for approximately 45.5% of the Urban population and approximately 12.3% of the
Rural population, commonly referred to as the “top 20%” of Indian households (by income).
22.2
20.1
15.6
12.9 13.2 12.6 12.8
8.6 10.2 11.6 10.7 9.8 Urban
7.6 6.2
5.1 3.2 5.1 4.7
1.1 0.04 1.3 2.3 2.6 Rural
0.4
A1 A2 A3 B1 B2 C1 C2 D1 D2 E1 E2 E3
Exhibit 1.20: Share of Merchandise and Services in Household Expenditure- India (FY 2023)
Share in Household
Broad Category Category Share of Wallet
Expenditure
Food and Grocery 31%
Merchandise
~48% Jewellery 4%
Retail
Apparel & Accessories 4%
13
Footwear 1%
Pharma & Wellness 1%
Consumer Durables & Information 3%
Technology
Home & Living 2%
Others Retail Categories 2%
Services ~52% Healthcare, Travel, Hospitality etc. 52%
Source: Technopak Analysis
14
In Fiscal 2023, India’s retail basket was ~48% of its private consumption and it is expected to maintain roughly
this share in private consumption for the next five years. The Apparel and Accessories market in India was
estimated at ~INR 5,47,600 Cr as of FY 2023 and was one of the largest segments of the Indian retail sector. The
share of Apparel & Accessories in overall retail is expected to further increase from 7.2% in FY 2023 to 9.4% in
FY 2027. Apparel and Accessories is also the fastest growing sector in the retail basket, growing at CAGR ~ 18.2%
from FY 2023 to FY 2027.
Exhibit 2.2: Share of various categories in the overall Indian Retail Basket in FY (in INR Cr)
CAGR CAGR
Type of
FY 2027 FY (FY 2023
Categorie Categories FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023
(P) 2019- -FY
s
FY 2023 2027P)
Total Retail 49,17,00 54,48,10 59,71,70 57,75,70 67,51,70 76,06,60 1,13,39,9
8.7% 10.5%
(INR Cr) 0 0 0 0 0 0 00
Food and
65.8% 65.0% 64.7% 70.6% 67.6% 65.1% 59.4% 8.8% 8.0%
Need Grocery
based Pharmacy &
2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 9.6% 12.0%
Wellness
Apparel &
Apparel 7.4% 7.4% 7.5% 5.3% 6.1% 7.2% 9.4% 8.0% 18.2%
Accessories
Primary
Non-Food Non-Apparel
0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 8.7% 14.8%
Accessories*
Jewellery 7.3% 7.5% 7.5% 5.6% 6.6% 7.3% 8.7% 8.0% 15.5%
15
Consumer
6.2% 6.3% 6.4% 5.7% 6.3% 6.7% 7.8% 10.1% 15.0%
Electronics
Watches 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 6.5% 15.2%
Home &
4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 3.2% 3.7% 4.0% 4.6% 6.9% 14.2%
Living
Other
Non-Food Footwear 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 3.8% 18.1%
Others 4.2% 4.7% 4.7% 5.1% 5.0% 4.9% 4.7% 10.1% 9.0%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
*Non-Apparel Accessories include Bags, Belts and Wallets; Others include Books & Stationery, Toys, Eyewear, Sports Goods, Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco etc.
Source: Technopak analysis; Year Indicates FY. 1US$ = INR 80
Organized retail is referred to as corporate-backed retail chain stores, which include supermarkets,
hypermarkets and privately owned large retail businesses. It offers the consumers more choices and comfort to
browse and shop at their convenience. Organized retail chains have improved infrastructure, have large spaces,
and attractive layouts and offer a wide range of product assortments. They sell branded products that are being
marketed by specific brands under their name with the logo or getting their private label manufactured and sold
as their brand.
While organized retail, primarily brick & mortar, has been in India for 2 decades now, its contribution to total
retail was low at 10.1% (INR 4,95,100 Cr) in FY 2018 and 15.8% (INR 12,03,300 Cr) in FY 2023. The organized
retail penetration is expected to increase to ~22.9% by FY 2027.
26,02,200
12,03,300
8,73,500
7,28,300 6,93,700
5,73,000
4,95,100
Apparel & Apparel Accessories, Jewellery and Consumer Electronics are the three key categories that
accounted for 7.2%, 7.3% and 6.7% respectively in FY 2023. The share of Apparel & Apparel Accessories is
expected to reach 9.4% in FY 2027, and it is the fastest growing category growing at a CAGR of ~18.1% from
FY 2023 to FY 2027. Non-Apparel Accessories are expected to grow at a CAGR of 14.8% at the same time,
followed by Footwear at a CAGR of 17.4%.
It is estimated that the share of e-commerce retail in the Apparel and Apparel Accessories segment will
reach 24.0% of the market in FY 2027 from 20.5% in FY 2023.
Exhibit 2.4: Share of Brick & Mortar and E-commerce across Categories in FY (All Value in INR Cr)
2018 2019
Share of Share of Share of Share of
Share of organized Share of organized
Retail Size organized Retail Size organized
Unorganized B&M Unorganized B&M
(INR Cr) E- (INR Cr) E-
retail retail
Retail commerce Retail commerce
Food and Grocery 32,27,600 96.6% 3.2% 0.2% 35,37,800 96.3% 3.4% 0.3%
Apparel & Apparel
3,65,800 72.0% 15.0% 13.0% 4,01,600 70.5% 15.5% 14.0%
Accessories
Non-Apparel Accessories 27,600 72.0% 15.0% 13.0% 31,500 70.0% 44.0% 17.0%
Watches 10,800 45.0% 40.0% 15.0% 12,200 40.0% 27.0% 4.0%
Jewellery 3,56,000 70.5% 26.5% 3.0% 4,09,800 69.2% 27.1% 3.7%
Consumer Electronics 3,03,200 71.5% 3.5% 25.0% 3,45,000 70.5% 3.4% 26.1%
Home & Living 2,09,500 89.5% 3.5% 7.0% 2,32,500 88.5% 3.8% 7.7%
Pharmacy & Wellness 1,41,800 91.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1,57,200 88.5% 6.7% 4.8%
Footwear 58,700 73.0% 11.5% 15.5% 65,500 71.8% 12.2% 16.0%
Others 2,16,000 87.5% 9.5% 2.5% 2,55,000 87.3% 9.8% 2.9%
Total Retail 49,17,000 89.9% 6.4% 3.7% 54,48,100 89.4% 6.6% 4.0%
2020 2021
Share of Share of Share of Share of
Share of organized Share of organized
Retail Size organized Retail Size organized
Unorganized B&M Unorganized B&M
(INR Cr) E- (INR Cr) E-
retail retail
Retail commerce Retail commerce
Food and Grocery 38,62,500 95.0% 4.4% 0.5% 40,77,700 94.4% 4.3% 1.3%
Apparel & Apparel
4,47,800 68.0% 14.5% 17.5% 3,06,300 65.0% 7.1% 27.9%
Accessories
Non-Apparel Accessories 34,700 68.0% 14.5% 17.5% 23,700 65.0% 7.0% 28.0%
Watches 13,500 35.0% 46.8% 18.2% 9,400 33.0% 47.0% 20.0%
Jewellery 4,50,800 68.0% 29.7% 2.3% 3,24,100 65.0% 28.5% 6.5%
Consumer Electronics 3,83,600 68.0% 5.0% 27.0% 3,29,300 64.0% 4.0% 32.0%
Home & Living 2,54,600 85.0% 7.0% 8.0% 1,82,100 78.0% 5.5% 16.5%
Pharmacy & Wellness 1,72,500 89.3% 8.5% 2.2% 1,81,100 88.7% 8.0% 3.1%
Footwear 72,000 70.0% 14.0% 16.0% 48,000 67.0% 13.0% 20.0%
Others 2,79,200 90.0% 5.0% 5.0% 2,93,200 88.0% 5.0% 7.0%
Total Retail 59,71,700 87.8% 7.7% 4.5% 57,75,700 88.0% 6.1% 5.9%
2022 2023
17
Food and Grocery 45,67,100 94.5% 4.0% 1.5% 49,55,300 92.5% 5.2% 2.3%
Apparel & Apparel
4,11,800 65.0% 13.0% 22.0% 5,47,600 62.0% 17.5% 20.5%
Accessories
Non-Apparel Accessories 31,900 65.0% 13.0% 22.0% 42,400 62.0% 17.5% 20.5%
Watches 12,600 34.0% 45.5% 20.5% 15,800 32.0% 47.5% 20.5%
Jewellery 4,46,200 66.0% 28.1% 5.9% 5,57,700 64.0% 30.0% 6.0%
Consumer Electronics 4,22,700 65.0% 7.5% 27.5% 5,07,200 62.0% 8.0% 30.0%
Home & Living 2,52,700 78.0% 7.8% 14.3% 3,03,200 75.0% 9.0% 16.0%
Pharmacy & Wellness 2,02,900 85.0% 11.0% 4.0% 2,27,200 82.0% 13.0% 5.0%
Footwear 64,800 66.0% 15.5% 18.5% 76,100 65.0% 15.0% 20.0%
Others 3,40,100 85.0% 7.0% 8.0% 3,74,100 84.0% 7.0% 9.0%
Total Retail 67,51,700 87.1% 7.1% 5.8% 76,06,600 84.2% 8.8% 7.0%
2027P
Share of Share of
Share of organized
Retail Size organized
Unorganized B&M
(INR Cr) E-
retail
Retail commerce
*Non-Apparel Accessories include Bags, Belts, and Wallets. Source: Technopak Analysis. 1US$ = INR 80
Overall, the e-commerce market in India has witnessed accelerated growth and is expected to reach 11.03%
(INR 12,50,500 Cr) of the total retail market by FY 2027 from its share of 7.02% in FY 2023 (INR 5,33,700 Cr) at a
CAGR of 23.7%
(*Note: Branded Apparel refers to clothing that is being sold under a specific brand name throughout locations and it has that brand name
or logo on it to create awareness about the brand and is not sold under the shop name or the product name.)
Phase I (Pre 1995) – Till 1995, organized retail for Apparel was synonymous with Exclusive Brand Outlets (EBOs)
of a handful of Apparel brands. These EBOs were restricted by their physical reach (number of stores and
coverage across cities) and product offering (fabrics, suits, formal dressing etc.). Brands like Van Heusen, Arrow,
Raymond, Vimal, and Bombay Dyeing signified organized Apparel retailing.
Phase II (1995 – 2000) – Shoppers Stop started the first large format multi-brand outlet in the mid-nineties
triggering the expansion of multi-brand retail for Apparel and other retailing categories. Around the same time,
Westside and Lifestyle also started their private brand led large format stores. This period also saw the entry of
Benetton into India. These developments expanded the product offerings for the consumers and aspects around
product design, sourcing and supply chain became key focus areas for organized retailers. This period also
marked the entry of global sportswear brands like Nike which introduced the Indian market to Athleisure as an
extension of Footwear.
Phase III (2001 – 2015)– This phase was marked by the introduction of the Value retail segment through the
launch of various key players like V Mart, Style Baazar, V2 Retail, Max Fashion etc. These players addressed
various supply side gaps like limited product offerings due to supply chain bottlenecks, poor shopping experience
like lack of trial rooms, air conditioning etc. and lack of sufficient product information like price tags, bar coding
etc. and provided customers with a good shopping experience, customer service and quality products; hence
converting customers going to unorganized channels to shop in Value formats, thereby leading to the growth of
organized market. Also, this phase saw the bifurcation of Apparel retailing into specialized groups viz. Indian,
Casual, Sportswear, Daily wear, Denimwear etc. Further, there was an increase in competitive intensity seeing
the market potential, with the entry of more Value players. For instance, the launch of Value fashion brands like
M Baazar, 1 Indian Family Mart etc.
Western wear brands like Zara and Marks & Spencer entered India during the same period. This period also
witnessed the emergence of a brand aggregator model for international brands in India with players like Arvind
Brands and Reliance Brands becoming major Indian partners for many international Apparel fashion brands. This
phase also witnessed rapid growth of E-commerce. Online channel emerged as a key organized retail channel
for Apparel in India with the scale up of players like Myntra+Flipkart and Amazon. Online and offline channels
proved to co-exist and jointly grew the organized retail pie. Product differentiation of organized Apparel retailers
also became sharper on price points (Value fashion, mid to premium and premium plus offering) and on product
attributes (fusion, prints, fabric, look).
Phase IV (2016 onwards) – The current phase represents a distinct segmentation of channels of organized retail
for Apparel. This phase also represents the emergence of category leaders in respective groups of Western
(formal and casual), Indian, and Athleisure etc. Value fashion retailers such as Max Fashion, V Mart and Style
Baazar are working towards bridging the price gap in the branded Apparel market by offering quality products
at affordable prices. Exclusive Brands Outlets (EBOs) have emerged as a core channel for most national Apparel
retailers irrespective of the category (type of Apparel sold) or fashion (Indian or Western) play. LFSs have also
grown their footprints with the expansion of Central, Brand Factory, Shoppers Stop, Reliance Trends, Westside,
Decathlon and Pantaloons in towns beyond Metros and Tier 1 cities and are important growth drivers for
organized Apparel retailing.
Exhibit 2.5: Growth of E-retail in India in FY 2018, FY 2019, FY 2020, FY 2021, FY 2022, FY 2023, FY 2027P (in INR
Cr)
19
12,51,200
23.7% 5,33,700
36% 3,93,500
-53% 25% 16% 3,39,000
82% 2,71,200
2,21,300 ~35.6%
1,79,600
~25.0% ~16.1%
~22.5%
~23.2%
Exhibit 3.1: Apparel Market Size in India (in INR Cr) (Year in FY)
10,68,250
11.4%
5,47,628
4,47,750 4,11,750
4,02,000
3,65,832
3,06,261
FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 FY 21 FY 22 FY 23 FY 27P
Source: Technopak Analysis. Note: Year indicates FY; Excludes Accessories (Bags, Belts, Wallets etc.)
Value Apparel which constitutes Mass and Economy products contributed ~60% of the total Apparel market in
FY 2022 and ~58% of the total Apparel market in FY 2023.
Exhibit 3.2: Apparel Market Size as per pricing in India (in INR Cr) (Year in FY)
INR 10,68,250 Cr
INR 5,47,628 Cr
INR 4,47,750 Cr
INR 4,01,969 Cr INR 4,11,750 Cr
INR 3,65,803 Cr
INR 3,06,261 Cr
5,34,125
3,17,624
2,47,050
FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 FY 21 FY 22 FY 23 FY 27P
Premium+ 10,973 12,058 13,433 6,125 8,235 10,953 37,389
Premium 43,892 48,231 53,730 33,689 45,293 65,715 1,60,238
Mid-premium 1,02,414 1,12,540 1,25,370 82,690 1,11,173 1,53,336 3,36,499
Economy 1,06,091 1,16,580 1,34,325 94,941 1,27,643 1,64,288 2,77,745
Value
While the CAGR of the total Apparel market between FY 2023 and FY 2027 is projected to be 18.2%, the branded
Apparel and organized Apparel retail are expected to grow at CAGR of 23.2% and 25.3% respectively in the same
period, i.e., the growth of both branded Apparel and organized Apparel in Apparel category will outpace the
overall market growth.
Exhibit 3.4: Branded Apparel and Organized Apparel Retail as a share of Apparel Market (Year in FY)
INR 3,65,832 Cr INR 4,02,000 Cr INR 4,47,750 Cr INR 3,06,621 Cr INR 4,11,750 Cr INR 5,47,628 Cr INR 10,68,250 Cr
59%
45% 47% 48% 50% 48%
38% 43% 38%
30% 32% 35% 35%
28%
The share of organized retail in Apparel has witnessed a steady increase over the past years. The share of the
organized sector in Apparel was 28.0% in FY 2018 increased to 32.0% in FY 2020 and 38.0% in FY 2023 and is
projected to reach 48.0% by FY 2027.
Exhibit 3.5: Share of Organized and Unorganized Retail as a Percentage of Apparel Market (in INR Cr) – FY 2015,
2020, 2022, 2023, 2027P
22
INR 10,68,250 Cr
Product Segmentation
Men’s Apparel constituted ~41% and Women's Apparel share was estimated to be ~37% of the total Apparel
market in FY 2023. The balance of ~21% was contributed by kids’ Apparel. Out of the total Apparel market, Ethnic
wear accounted for ~30% or INR 1,62,898 Cr (FY 2023) and the balance ~70% of the market comprised western
wear at INR 3,84,730 Cr. The high share of Ethnic wear in the total Apparel is a unique feature of the Apparel
market in India. In the women's wear market, Ethnic wear contributed ~67% to the total market and is expected
to be the fastest growing segment in the Ethnic Apparel market. However, for men and kids, the contribution of
Western wear is significant.
Exhibit 3.6: Growth Projections of Total Apparel Market by Gender (in INR Cr)
INR 10,68,250 Cr
INR 5,47,628 Cr
INR 4,47,750 Cr
INR 4,11,750 Cr
INR 4,02,000 Cr INR 3,06,261 Cr
INR 3,65,862 Cr
The Apparel market comprised ~30% Ethnic wear in FY 2023 and ~70% Western wear at INR 1,62,898 Cr and INR
3,84,730 Cr in size respectively. This market is dominated by the unorganized sector which was~ 74% of the
Ethnic wear market and ~62% of the Western wear market for FY 2023.
In the men’s segment, Ethnic wear accounted for ~6% of the total menswear market of INR 2,23,125Cr for FY
2023, while in women, Ethnic wear held a significant share of ~67% of the total INR 2,00,859 Cr womenswear
market for FY 2023. This implies that women's Ethnic wear is the mainstay of Ethnic wear in India. The Men
Ethnic wear market is expected to reach INR 26,531 Cr by FY 2027, from INR 13,992Cr in FY 2023, growing at a
CAGR of 17.3%. The Women's Ethnic wear market is expected to reach INR 2,61,061 Cr in FY 2027, from INR
1,34,547Cr in FY 2023, growing at CAGR of 18.0%.
Western wear market accounted for close to ~70% of the overall Apparel market, with western wear market
size of INR 3,84,730Cr for FY 2023. The organized sector constituted a 36% share of the Western wear market,
while the unorganized sector was 64%. Western wear continues to dominate the Men’s wear market with a
~94% share for FY 2023. It is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.0% from FY 2023 to FY 2027, reaching INR 4,05,179
Cr in FY 2027. The western wear market for women amounted to INR 66,312 Cr for FY 2023 and is expected to
grow at a CAGR of 20.0% to reach INR 1,37,663 Cr for FY 2027.
Exhibit 3.7: Ethnic wear vs Western wear market in India (Year in FY)
INR 10,68,250 Cr
70%
INR 5,47,628 Cr
INR 4,47,750 Cr
INR 4,02,000 Cr INR 4,11,750 Cr
INR 3,65,832 Cr INR 3,06,261 Cr
12.0%
69% 70%
68% 70%
68% 70% 30%
8.6% 10.0% 36.3%
32% 32% 31% 30%
30% 30%
FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2027 (P)
Western Wear 2,47,820 2,73,827 3,06,760 2,14,946 2,87,322 3,84,730 7,51,529
Ethnic Wear 1,18,011 1,28,173 1,40,990 91,315 1,24,428 1,62,898 3,16,721
Large Format Stores (LFS) are expected to grow at a CAGR of 29.4% between FY 2023 and FY 2027, which is
higher than expected growth from E-commerce and MBOs. The share of sales from EBOs in total organized
Apparel retail is expected to increase from ~22% in FY 2023 to ~25% in FY 2027. The share from LFS is expected
to increase from 16% to 18% during the same period. Online channel is expected to grow at a CAGR of 22.9%
between FY 2023 and FY 2027.
Exhibit 3.8: Organized Apparel Market Segmentation across Organized Retail Channels (in INR Cr) (Year in FY)
24
Exhibit 3.9: Channel wise – Segment-wise Market Size Across Men, Women & Kids (in INR Cr)- FY 2015, 2020,
2022, 2027P
8% 40%
-33% 55% 35% 34%
7% 1% 56% 55% 56%
63% 62%
28%
23%
15% 58% -12% 27% 9%
16% 23% 30% 28% 23%
15%
57% 32%
12% 3% -47% 47% 32%
21% 22% 20% 17% 20%
16%
Men FY18 Men FY19 Men FY20 Men FY21 Men FY22 Men FY23 Men FY27 (P)
INR 1,34,347 Cr INR 1,63,321 Cr Chart Title INR 1,53,086 Cr INR 3,98,724 Cr
INR 1,47,094Cr INR 1,11,438 Cr INR 2,00,859 Cr
32% 23%
17% 29% -8% 29% 19%
4%
12% 13% 15% 20% 15%
-1% 60% 37% 21%
13% 15% 13% 12% 41% 10% 12% 31% 12%
Women FY18 Women FY19 Women FY20 Women FY21 Women FY22 Women FY23 Women FY27 (P)
INR 79,872Cr INR 1,01,136 Cr Chart Title INR 88,498 Cr INR 2,37,816 Cr
INR 89,250 Cr INR 68,296 Cr INR 1,23,644 Cr
The share of organized retail for women Apparel is expected to increase from ~27% in FY 2023 to ~44% in FY
2027. The organized market for men's and kids' Apparel is also expected to increase to ~60% and ~31%
respectively by FY 2027.
The Urban Apparel market had a share of ~61% of the total market compared with a share of ~39% contributed
by Rural India in FY 2023. Almost 21% of the Urban Apparel demand can be attributed to Delhi NCR and Mumbai
making these cities the largest consumers of Apparel in India. However, there has been distributive growth
across the country, with demand from Tier 2, 3 & 4 cities increasing significantly. These cities, which are Value
retail focused, currently account for 56% of the Urban Apparel market, and are expected to grow at a CAGR of
21.0% from FY 2023 to FY 2027.
Exhibit 3.10: Apparel Market Segmentation across City Types – FY 2023 – 2027 (in INR Cr): Urban
26
20.6% 20.0%
17.7%
2023 2027
Top 2 Cities (Delhi NCR, Mumbai) Tier 1 incl state capitals Tier 2 Tier 3 & 4
Going forward, Value fashion will continue to be the mainstay of growth of Apparel retailers and brands in both
Ethnic and Western wear segments. This growth can be attributed to the movement from unbranded to
branded; Ready to Stitch (RTS) to Ready to Wear (RTW); and migration from Rural to Urban centres. Value
fashion retailers such as Style Baazar, V2 Retail, V-Mart, Baazar Kolkata etc are bridging the price gap in the
branded Apparel market by offering quality products at affordable prices. This Value sensitivity has been
accelerated by COVID-19, leading to demand for core offerings in the Value segment. As a result of this growing
demand, Value fashion focussed brands, private brand led retailers, LFS and online aggregators will continue to
benefit.
The casual wear market has evolved significantly over the years. Casual wear categories such as denim,
activewear, casual shirts, athleisure, loungewear, sleepwear, and fashionable skirts are outpacing the growth of
formal wear in India. This is reflective of the changing consumer trend and increasing usage of casual wear in
offices as well as at home. COVID-19 leading to work from home further boosted this category. This shift in
women’s wardrobe towards casual wear has acted as a growth driver for women’s western wear. The
casualization of fashion is not unique to India and is driven by global trends.
Consequently, a consumer’s fashion basket has expanded to include clothing like casual wear, athleisure,
loungewear, sports/gym wear, jackets, jeans etc. This benefits Value retailers like Style Baazar, V Mart etc. as
Value fashion plays cater to all category types, especially casual wear in the mass-mid price category.
Technology Intervention
In the Indian Apparel sector, technology deployment in manufacturing, sourcing, retailing, marketing and data
management is becoming the biggest value creator.
In-store Experience – Apparel players are implementing in-store technologies in congruence with the
growing number of tech-savvy, knowledgeable and demanding customers. Some of the technological
components being used are Augmented Reality (AR); Virtual Reality (VR); Video screens and kiosks for
27
in-store ordering and cross-selling by suggesting other products and categories to consumers to
‘complete the look’; Beacon tech/Apps; Checkout Free Scan & Go Services etc.
Customer Data Mining - Apart from generating valuable insights on consumer behaviour through
analysis of data collected, these technological experiences are engaging shoppers from product
discovery to product delivery. They assist customers at every stage of shopping.
New Technologies of the Future - The metaverse is becoming a part of the global fashion industry and
in coming years, is expected to become an important part of the Indian Apparel landscape as well. It
supplements physical Apparel and design through its virtual features like virtual catalogues and fashion
shows, which saves resources and gives more opportunities for creativity.
Brands are now focusing on an Omnichannel approach to provide a seamless experience to the consumers,
whereby consumers can interact and purchase from the brand through either channel. Players are taking
measures to ensure the same by digitally enabling all retail channels and focusing on online medium with links
to offline channels.
Digital enablement of all Retail Channels - Activating digitally enabled channels became even more
important during & post-Covid. Brands adopted digital channels faster than originally planned, and the
whole eco-system is leading towards digital enablement. Offline channels are also using digital in some
form for sales through social commerce with WhatsApp, mailings etc. Digitally enabled commerce will
become important and will subsume both brick retail and e-commerce. Therefore, activating these
channels and harnessing their potential will become important for the growth of the brand and the
sector. This also allows us to address dispersed demand and meet consumer needs across different
purchase drivers and purchase triggers.
Online Purchase of Apparel - Apparel is a category that requires size trials and touch-feel of the fabric
to assess and make a purchase decision. However, it saw an increase in e-commerce uptake during
Covid, which led to a change in consumer behaviour and there was increased adoption of online
channels for Apparel purchases too. Companies and consumers alike adapted to this change and there
was the use of various mediums like Apps, Websites, and social commerce channels like WhatsApp,
Video-shopping from home etc. Companies also accelerated their online adoption plans. The use of AI
and software that would enable consumers to see how they look in a garment has witnessed traction
enabling virtual try-ons etc.
Digital Marketing
The use of Digital media as a marketing tool is being adopted by all key players. Its wider reach and relatively
lower cost of customer conversion make it a medium of choice. The adoption of social media by youth has given
an opportunity to brands to reach consumers directly through targeted campaigns. The widespread adoption of
WhatsApp makes it a useful business tool. Brands & local businesses alike are using this medium to reach out to
consumers belonging to every age group.
Acceptance of private brands among multi-brand retailers is on the rise across product categories. Some reasons
that can be attributed to their growth are:
Higher Margins: Due to low advertising and promotional costs, they offer higher margins.
Customer Loyalty: Private brand buyers are more store loyal as the merchandise is generally sold only
in their respective Large Format Stores.
Value Offerings: Private brand players generally operate in the Value-segment offering catering to a
larger customer base.
Product Quality: Consumers perceive private labels to have a higher product quality compared to
unbranded products.
28
Differentiation: Provide an opportunity for retailers to differentiate themselves from other stores.
Higher Bargaining Power: A successful retailer with a high share of private brands gets higher
bargaining power to negotiate with suppliers.
V Mart, Style Baazar and other retailers that have achieved scale and profitability will naturally progress towards
building a private brand portfolio that will give incremental gross margin additions.
Increased adoption of Footwear owing to versatility in usage and emergence of sub-segments such as
sports and athleisure, outdoor etc.
Increasing middle-class population and working population resulting in increasing disposable income of
consumers and higher spending on lifestyle products; leading to a shift from unbranded to branded
play driving the average selling price of the segment.
Increase in number of working women driving the growth of women’s Footwear market.
Increasing Urbanization and more focus towards branded Footwear and organized retail.
Easy availability and assortment width with the advent of online channels.
Surge in sales of sports and athleisure Footwear with an increasing focus towards sports and events
such as marathons and adventure trips.
1,48,120
72,000 76,111
65,455 64,800
58,683
48,000
Exhibit 3.12: Share of Branded Footwear and Organized Footwear Retail as a percentage of Footwear Retail
Market
29
INR 58,683 Cr INR 65,455 Cr INR 72,000 Cr INR 48,000 Cr INR 64,800 Cr INR 76,111 Cr INR 1,48,120 Cr
52%
52% 47% 48%
42% 43% 44% 42%
33% 34% 35%
27% 28% 30%
In FY 2023, the organized Footwear retail signified by exclusive brand outlets (EBOs), large format stores (LFS)
and e-commerce contributed a share of ~34% by Value to the total Footwear retail market, corroborating the
greater throughput of premium products through organized channels. Growing at a rate of 23.6%, well above
the growth rate of the overall category, organized retail is expected to gain a share of ~42% by value in the
coming four years. The Footwear segment is characterized by higher branded play compared to other lifestyle
categories. The branded segment, projected to grow at a rate of 20.5% by value in the coming 4 years, is
expected to exceed the share of the unbranded segment by FY 2027.
Women’s Footwear segment will outpace the growth in men’s to account for an almost equal share by value in
FY 2027 i.e., INR 65,172 Cr, against the current share of ~41% i.e., INR 31,205 Cr. Share of Kids segment will also
rise from the current ~11% to reach ~12% by FY 2027, amounting to INR 17,774 Cr.
INR 58,683 Cr INR 65,455 Cr INR 72,000 Cr INR 48,000 Cr INR 64,800 Cr INR 76,111 Cr INR 1,48,120 Cr
20.7%
10% 10% 11% 11% 12%
15.6%
52% 51% 50% 52% 50% 48% 44%
Segmentation by Usage
Indian Footwear retail market is defined through various segments like - formal, casual, sports & athleisure and
outdoor segments. While the casual segment is the largest segment, which accounted for ~66% of the total
market in FY 2023, sports and athleisure was the fastest growing segment gradually consolidating market share.
Health, fitness, and well-being have become an important pivot for most retail categories including Food and
Grocery, Apparel and Accessories, Footwear, Gadgets etc. Footwear is mirroring that trend, with Sports and
30
Athleisure Footwear expected to more than double itself in value from INR 14,842 Cr in FY 2023 to reach a
market size of INR 32,586 Cr by FY 2027, growing at a CAGR of 21.7% between FY 2023 and FY 2027.
INR 58,683 Cr INR 65,455 Cr INR 72,000 Cr INR 48,000 Cr INR 64,800 Cr INR 76,111 Cr INR 1,48,120 Cr
7.8% -50.0% 44.0% 32.1% 26.9%
6% 5% 5% 4% 24.1%
4% 5% 6%
10% 9% 30.5% 10% 18.1%
13% 13% 6.7% 13% 10%
19% 19% 21.7%
14% 14% 15% 20% 22%
35.6% 14.0%
68% 67% 67% 68% 68% 66% 62%
Retail Channels
The Footwear retail market is amongst the most organized categories with a ~35% penetration of organized
retailing (FY 2023). Organized retail is largely characterised by the EBOs of the leading brands along with LFSs,
Value players and other large MBOs. E-commerce has rapidly gained a foothold in the market and is now driving
the growth of organized Footwear retail. Growth in the organized format will also be driven by the emergence
of Value brands and increasing penetration of EBOs in Tier 2, Tier 3 and below towns across the country.
However, the unorganized retail channels continue to be the cornerstones of the demand. Distribution led
brands, regional labels and unbranded products continue to depend on the deeply entrenched unorganised
multi-brand stores.
Key players like Bata, Khadim, Sree Leathers, Relaxo, Liberty, Adidas, Reebok, Puma, Nike etc. primarily
operate through EBOs.
LFSs include department stores like Shoppers Stop, Lifestyle, Central, Pantaloons etc. and hypermarkets
such as Big Bazaar, Spencer’s etc.
Large format Value stores include V Mart, Style Baazar, V2 Retail etc.
MBOs include retailers like Metro, Mochi, Regal, Inc. 5, Planet Sports etc. selling multiple brands which
i.e. their own [private labels / brands] as well as products of brands like Skechers, Puma etc.
Unorganised includes typical Mom and Pop Footwear stores.
INR 58,683 Cr INR 65,455 Cr INR 72,000 Cr INR 48,000 Cr INR 64,800 Cr INR 76,111 Cr INR 1,48,120 Cr
Since the omni channel and direct consumer connect are driving the expansion strategy of the retail industry,
several Footwear brands are now focusing on D2C expansion through EBOs (Exclusive Brand Outlets) and are
launching their own brand websites. EBOs not only allow brands to directly connect with their customers and
offer variety and experience, but also facilitate omnichannel retail.
Geographical Segmentation
Given the largely discretionary nature of the category, Urban India accounted for ~68% of the Footwear market
in India by value (FY 2023). The top 8 cities (metro and mini metro cities) contribute to ~40% of the Urban
Footwear market and are dominated by the presence of leading national and international brands. Tier 2 and
below cities contribute ~35% to the overall Urban Footwear market and it is expected to grow further with
increasing penetration of retailers and online retail in these cities. Tier 1, Tier 2 and below cities are poised for
growth thereby opening up new opportunities for retailers to expand.
Total Footwear Market (FY2023): INR 76,111 Cr Total Footwear Market (FY2027P): INR 1,48,120 Cr
32% 30%
68%
70%
16.2% 30%
32%
18.1% 11%
11%
13% 20.3% 14%
18.1%
27% 27%
FY 2023 FY 2027P
Metro/Mini Metro Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 and Tier 4 Rural India
Value Segmentation
INR 58,683 Cr INR 65,455 Cr INR 72,000 Cr INR 48,000 Cr INR 64,800 Cr INR 76,111 Cr INR 1,48,120 Cr
5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 8%
4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6%
5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6%
6%
16% 9.8%
16% 15% 16% 16% 16%
17%
13.8%
15% 15% 15% 16% 16% 16%
16%
The premium and premium plus segments is marked by international brands such as Aldo, Charles & Keith,
Kenneth Cole, Clarks, Adidas, Puma, Nike etc. that are currently focusing on Indian metro-centric centers. The
segments are signified primarily by the Exclusive Branded Outlet format. The economy, mid and mid-premium
segments are marked by brands such as Khadim, Bata, Metro, Woodland, and Lotto with a share of ~37%,
adopting a mixed retail approach of EBOs, LFSs, e-commerce and distribution led coverage. This also includes
private label Footwear brands of players such as Style Baazar, Baazar Kolkata, V2 Retail etc. Mass Footwear
brand retailers such as VKC, Lakhani Shoes, Relaxo, Ajanta Footwear, Lancer etc., which occupy ~52% of the
market, are characterized by a predominant distribution led channel. The mass and economy segments are
expected to grow at a CAGR of 15.2% and 18.1% respectively in FY 2023-2027P.
33
The per capita consumption in terms of the number of pairs of Footwear owned has increased, especially in
Urban areas, as consumers prefer several pairs of Footwear to match different occasions and outfits. Casuals
and flats are preferred for daily wear as they are comfortable while travelling and commuting. Officegoers opt
for formal shoes for work and sometimes casuals while commuting. Dress Footwear are preferred by women
outdoor meets or parties. Sports and athleisure Footwear are in demand for consumers striving for an active
lifestyle. While many brands like Bata have a comprehensive offering for all usages, brands like Adidas, Reebok,
Puma, Nike etc. are pivoted primarily around sports and athleisure.
Footwear has evolved from just being a necessity as cover and protection for the feet to an important part of
the fashion outfit. Along with Clothing, Footwear & Accessories have become integral to putting together a
complete look. This trend in turn is continuously driving growth in volumes. Its usage as a fashion statement also
means that customers have a greater number of pairs, which go along with various outfits and occasions. Value
players tend to gain from this trend as their target consumers would purchase a higher number of pairs in the
mass/value range as they would prefer to change/ update Footwear as per trends.
Covid has changed consumer buying patterns across segments, from FMCG, Personal Care, Apparel, or
Footwear. With focus on health and fitness, the demand for sports and athleisure Footwear has grown. Running
shoes have emerged as a top searched item under the sports Footwear category on various online marketplaces.
Additionally, running and walking shoes have witnessed growth, pointing towards a shift from formal to casual
and sports Footwear. Open Footwear continues to dominate women's casual and dress Footwear with a limited
share in the Men’s and kids’ category.
Health and Fitness: Increasing health and fitness awareness, developing sports and outdoor
infrastructure, and heightened influence of sports personalities and sports events is creating higher
demand for sports and athleisure Footwear. This is the fastest growing segment among Footwear.
Consumers are increasingly adopting an active lifestyle by participating and engaging in activities such
as running, trekking, at-home workouts, working out in the gym, yoga and sports such as tennis, cricket,
badminton, basketball, and football. This has led to a rise in the demand for activity-specific Sports
Footwear. Sports as a habit is increasing across demographics of gender and age thereby broad basing
the target customer.
Casual Comfort: Consumers are increasingly preferring sports and athleisure Footwear for long-
distance travelling and vacation. Medical professionals and gym coaches frequently advise its usage for
daily wear for better foot coverage and support.
Fashion: Sports Footwear is now being used as a fashion element of an outfit as well, influenced by the
rampant comfortable and casual dressing culture. The ‘sports look’ is now being sported by celebrities
and influencers not only during travelling and workouts but also for public events and appearances. It
has become a mainstream fashion category so much so that casual wear brands across premium and
luxury segments like Zara, H&M, and Ralph Lauren have introduced product lines related to sports and
athleisure.
With an increase in the women's workforce, the demand for women’s Footwear has grown tremendously on
account of growth in household incomes and the emergence of varied occasions. The share of women’s
Footwear has risen from ~37% in FY 2015 to ~41% in FY 2023 and is projected to account for ~44% of the total
Footwear market in FY 2027. The Women’s Footwear segment necessitates having more variety and styles as
compared with men’s Footwear. In India, women tend to place greater emphasis on fashion than men and
consequently purchase Footwear more frequently as compared to men.
The Indian Home & Living market was valued at INR 3,03,200 Cr. in FY 2023. The market has grown with a CAGR
of 10.3% from FY 2018 to FY 2020 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 14.2% to reach INR 5,16,200 Cr. by FY
2027.
-0.4%
Exhibit 4.2: Channel Wise Contribution - Home & Living Market (INR Cr.)
1,09,150
56,034
17.9% 32.9% 34.7%
20,368 36,000 48,485
18,000 4.9% 39.4% 27,315
14,662 55.9% 17,822
7,331 8,738 19,594 11.5%
30,000 3,51,016
7.4% -4.6% 10,054 15.4%
2,05,763 2,16,410 1,97,106 2,27,400
1,87,467
1,42,011
Increasing Urbanization
India now has the largest population in the world at 1.417 Bn for CY 2023, compared to 1.412 Bn for China.
However, only 35% of India's population is classified as Urban compared to a global average of ~57%. It is the pace
of India's Urbanization that is a key trend to note for implication on India's economic growth. Currently, the Urban
population contributes 63% of India's GDP. Going forward, it is estimated that 37% of India’s population will be
living in Urban centres by FY 2025, and the Urban population is expected to contribute 75% to India's GDP in FY
2025. This is expected to continue with approximately 50% of India's population expected to be living in Urban
centres by 2050 and contributing approximately 80% to India's GDP. An increase in Urbanization means an increase
in demand for living spaces which further aids the consumption of the Home furnishings and Décor category.
50.0%
37.0% 40.9%
30.9% 32.8% 33.6% 34% 34.5% 35% 35.0%
27.7%
2000 2010 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2025P 2030P 2050P
A significant increase in the demand for residential projects has increased the demand for home furnishing and
décor products. The rising replacement demand caused by increasing renovation activities in residential buildings
also drives product demand in this category. An increase in discretionary income is also a contributing factor
driving demand not only for the Home furnishing and Décor market but also particularly for branded
products in this category.
Growth Q1 Growth Q4
City Q1 21-22 Q4 21-22 Q1 22-23 Q4 22-23 22-23 over Q1 22-23 over Q4
21-22 21-22
Investments in this sector by the government through schemes like Integrated Textile Parks (SITP) (INR 1,480 crore) and
Technology Upgradation Fund Scheme (INR 7,689 crore) from 2015-2016 to 2019-2020 to promote private equity and
provide employment in the textile industry have helped in further promotion of this sector. In the furniture industry,
100% of FDI is permitted through the automatic route, so foreign multi-brand retail companies can easily establish the
company in India. Also, now government has allowed 100% foreign direct investment (FDI) in single-brand retail without
prior government approval which has paved the way for single-brand furniture retail companies such as IKEA.
Various domestic players have entered this segment over the years which has further led to the expansion of this
market. Players like Pepperfry, and Urban Ladder helped in the growth of the organized market in an industry that is
heavily unorganized. Domestic textile brands like Maspar, Birla Century, Indian Drape etc. are also expanding across the
country. Lifestyle retailers like Lifestyle, and Westside have been expanding their ‘Home sections’, and so have Value-
focused retailers like Style Baazar, V Mart etc.
E-commerce offers convenience and product varieties in terms of design, competitive prices etc. The growth
of demand is also fuelled by the integration and adoption of technologies such as Augmented & Virtual Reality
adopted by e-commerce platforms to provide a better customer experience. Players like Asian Paints and
others, through their apps, allow consumers to visualise wallpapers, carpets, flooring, and décor in their own
living spaces enabling an experience that enables purchase. Key technologies used in the design and
manufacturing of furniture are 3D modelling, virtual reality, augmented reality, and touch commerce etc.
Such technologies allow companies to design virtual models and prototypes which allow testing and
experimentation to alter it as per need. Other external factors like Covid-19 have also allowed e-commerce
platforms to capture the additional demands created due to remote working and the setting up of home
offices.
Demand for multi-functionality products is moving beyond Metro and Tier 1 cities
Due to limited space & the features these products offer, consumers prefer multi-functional products. Such
products for compact spaces are becoming more popular since optimizing space is becoming necessary in
bigger cities. E.g., a sofa that can be converted into a bed, or a table that can be converted into the dining
space. However now, the demand for such products is moving beyond bigger cities due to their additional
features which allow consumers to invest in a single piece with functionality of two.
38
An increasing trend of rental furniture demand is being witnessed among working professionals & students.
Several online start-up platforms like Furlenco, Rentomojo, City Furnish etc. have emerged in the last 5 years
providing consumers with options to rent furniture more readily. Instead of investing in a lifetime purchase of
furniture, millennial consumers who are either living alone or sharing space with friends, colleagues etc. are
more inclined towards opting for rental furniture.
39
The Indian Costume Jewellery market was Valued at INR 27,900 Cr. in FY 2023. The market has shown consistent
growth since FY 2018 with a CAGR of 12.6% from FY 2018 to FY 2020. Due to the spread of the Covid-19
pandemic, the market suffered a de-growth of -0.5% from FY 2020 to FY 2022. However, it is projected to grow
at a CAGR of 15.5% to reach INR 49,600 Cr. by FY 2027.
Majority of the revenue in the mid to luxury Costume Jewellery segment is contributed by organized retail (95-
100%), except the economy or mass segment where unorganised or unorganized retail plays a key role with
close to 85% revenue contribution.
B&M Online
Segment \ Format Stores
EBOs MBOs Own Website Other Partners
Varieties, Affordability, Artisanal look etc. factors have allowed Costume Jewellery to be relevant
among consumers
40
Costume Jewellery has gained traction among consumers due to lifestyle changes, rise in prices of precious
metals (Gold & Silver), lower cost, safer to wear etc. Also, it is much easier to build a collection for both casual
and formal occasions in line with evolving fashion trends as compared to unorganised jewellery segment. This
category appeals to all age groups, though more relevant for 20-40 years. women, and extends to both daily
and festive use.
Bags segment (51%) leads the contribution in terms of revenue followed by hard luggage (25%) and soft luggage
(24%), and a similar trend is expected to be witnessed over the next 5 years. However, in terms of growth, hard
luggage was leading the market (CAGR 15.8%), followed by soft luggage (CAGR 12.9%) and bags (CAGR 8.3%)
from FY 2018 to FY 2020 and this is expected to continue over the next 4 yrs. in terms of growth, except for bags
(CAGR 11%) which will outpace the growth of soft luggage due to their higher purchase rate as compared to
luggage.
17,599
8.3% -6.5% 10.5%
12,000
11,172 11,600
10,225 10,500
8,255 7,673
12.9% 6,000 -11.5% 14.9%
4,704 5,244 5,400
3,797 -14.6% 4,700 5.6%
13.8%
9,559
5,522 15.8% 6,384 7,400 4,458 5,400 5,700
Exhibit 5.4: Channel Wise Contribution - Bags & Luggage Market (INR Cr)
11,842
3,192 42.5%
4,572
7.7% 5,527 4,876
2,250 3,556 4,532 14.0%
3,068 3,420
2,678 3,053
4,575
1,651 5.5%
16,188 6.8% 17,272 -12% 18,112
15,133 13,390 14,120
10,284
In terms of region-wise contribution of the bags & luggage market, the northern part of India dominated and contributed
the majority of revenue (27%) followed by the western (26%), southern (25%) and eastern (22%) for FY 2023.
Exhibit 5.5: Region Wise Contribution – Bags & Luggage Market (FY 2023)
North
26% 27%
South
East
22% 25% West
Illustrative Examples
Categories like Apparel, Footwear, Accessories, and Home (termed as discretionary non-food retail) witness the
trend of Value retail that can be measured and expressed more distinctly. These categories form the Lifestyle
(Apparel, Footwear, Accessories including Watches) & Home segment. SKUs of fast-selling goods sold at a certain
price point or lower within these categories in a modern retail environment aggregate to represent organized
Value retail.
The overall Lifestyle and Home Value retail market in India was valued at INR 5,67,334 Cr in FY 2023, which was
56% of the total market in these categories of Lifestyle & Home. In FY 2020, this stood at INR 4,75,775 Cr and
has shown an almost 100% recovery post the Covid decline. The market is expected to reach INR 9,72,058 Cr by
FY 2027, growing at a CAGR of 14.4% from FY 2023-27.
Exhibit 6.1: Size of Lifestyle & home Value Retail market in India- FY 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022,2023, 2027P
INR 3,90,213 Cr INR 4,30344 Cr INR 4,75,775 Cr INR 3,36,180 Cr INR 4,63,503 Cr INR 5,67,334 Cr INR 9,72,058 Cr
8%
6%
18.1%
13.4%
31%
7%
7.4% 6%
9.0% 8% 8%
9.6% 9% 6% -32.1% 35.0% 34.3% 14.7%
5%
9% 6%
6% 10.0% 31%
12.0% -31.2% 8% 34.3%
32% 6% 14.1%
32% 33%
32% 9.5%
11.0% -28.5% 32% 41.1%
Value LFS players like Style Baazar with a total addressable market of Rs. 4,63,503 Cr in FY 2022 are well-
positioned to capture significant market share of the fast-growing categories under the Apparel segment for
men, women, and children, as well as other non-Apparel categories such as Appliances, Toys, Luggage
Containers, Home décor, Perfumery, Sunglasses, and Bed Linen.
The overall Lifestyle & Home Value retail market has shown recovery and has grown at a CAGR of 22.4% from
FY 2022, with a market value of Rs. 5,67,367 Cr in FY 2023. This growth presents a promising opportunity for
Value retail players like Style Baazar to capitalize on the expanding market and strengthen their competitive
advantage.
Organized Value retail includes Brick & Mortar led and E-commerce led retail, and each of these two groups
comprise of distinct players. The organized share of Value retail stood at ~28 of the total Value retail in Lifestyle
& Home in FY 2023. This has grown from ~22% share (INR 1,06,460 Cr) in FY 2020 and is expected to reach a
~36% share amounting to INR 3,48,426 Cr in FY 2027, growing at a CAGR of 22% from FY 2023-27.
Exhibit 6.2: Share of Unorganized and Organized Lifestyle & Home Value Retail – FY 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021,
2022, 2023, 2027P
INR 3,90,213 Cr INR 4,30,344 Cr INR 4,75,775 Cr INR 3,36,180 Cr INR 4,63,503 Cr INR 5,67,334 Cr INR 9,72,058 Cr
82% 83%
80%
78%
74%
72%
64%
36%
28%
26%
22%
18% 20%
17%
Unorganised Organised
Exhibit 6.3 Category-wise share of Unorganized and Organized Lifestyle & Home Value Retail – FY 2015, 2020,
2022, 2023, 2027P
Value Retail
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2027P
Categories
Organ Unorga Organ Unorga Organ Unorga Organ Unorga Organ Unorga Organ Unorga Organ Unorga
ized nized ized nized ized nized ized nized ized nized ized nized ized nized
Apparel 22% 78% 25% 75% 29% 71% 17% 83% 32% 68% 34% 66% 40% 60%
Home 8% 92% 9% 91% 10% 90% 11% 89% 14% 86% 16% 84% 28% 72%
Accessories 22% 78% 25% 75% 29% 71% 30% 70% 30% 70% 32% 68% 40% 60%
Footwear 24% 76% 25% 75% 26% 74% 28% 72% 28% 72% 30% 70% 35% 65%
Source: Technopak Analysis
The organized players in this segment are bringing together the economy and mass segment of Lifestyle and
Home aiming to provide quality products at affordable prices in a good retail environment. These large format
stores catering to the entire basket of family needs are aimed at consumers who are first-time users of branded
products or at fashion-conscious middle-class consumers seeking quality and variety in Lifestyle and Home at
affordable prices. Value retail is focused on meeting the aspirations of the consuming class in the country.
Exhibit 6.4: Illustrative SKUs: FSP for Value and other price segments, and key players
Source: Secondary Research, Technopak Analysis. FSP- Price at which most of the products of a category are sold in retail
In the case of Apparel, Value retailing is an approach where the supply chain of fashion is appended to deliver
fresh fashion at a low value, focusing on consumers who are looking to wear branded Apparel in the economy-
mid price segment. It is characterized by frequent changes in the collections as per the latest trends, at
affordable and competitive prices. Players in this segment are tapping on consumers who have moved from
unorganized fashion to branded play, and consumers in tier 2 and 3 cities who are opening to the latest fashion
in branded space.
Value retail in the Apparel segment in India was estimated to be ~INR 3,17,733 Cr in FY 2023, accounting for 58%
of the overall Apparel retail market. This market is expected to reach INR 5,34,125 Cr by FY 2027, growing at a
CAGR of 13.9% from FY 2023-27.
Exhibit 6.5: Value Market- Apparel: Size in India (in INR Cr)- FY 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2027P
INR 2,08,524 Cr
INR 5,47,628 Cr
INR 3,06,261 Cr
INR 5,34,125 Cr
INR 3,17,733 Cr
INR 3,65,832 Cr
INR 2,55,212 Cr
INR 4,11,750 Cr
INR 2,47,050 Cr
INR 4,01,600 Cr
INR 1,80,694 Cr
INR 2,28,912 Cr
INR 4,47750 Cr
INR 10,68,250 Cr
Source: Technopak Analysis. % in Value Apparel bars shows % share of Value Apparel in overall Apparel market
Total Value Apparel Market INR 3,17,733 Cr Total Value Apparel Market INR 3,17,733 Cr
Western
Wear
67%
Women
38%
Exhibit 6.7: Region-wise market share for Value Apparel- FY 2023 & FY 2027P
INR 5,34,125 Cr
1,18,500
INR 3,17,733 Cr
12.7% 1,29,700
14.0%
64,642
80,238 1,52,600
12.8%
90,253
16.4% 1,33,325
82,641
2023 2027P
The Value Apparel market in East India is expected to grow at a CAGR of 16.4% from FY 2023 to FY 2027, which
is the fastest among all regions. This is followed by the West region with a CAGR of 14.0%.
The Home Value segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 14.7% from FY 2023-27, reaching INR 3,04,549 Cr
from the current INR 1,75,880 Cr for FY 2023.
Exhibit 6.8: Value Market- Home: Size in India (in INR Cr)- FY 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2027P
48
INR 3,04,549 Cr
INR 1,25,676 Cr
INR 2,09,459 Cr
INR 2,32,500 Cr
INR 1,39,500 Cr
INR 1, 82,065 Cr
INR 2,54,637 Cr
INR 1,52,782 Cr
INR 1,75,880 Cr
INR 2,52,701 Cr
INR 1,54,148 Cr
INR 1,09,239 Cr
INR 3,03,242 Cr
INR 5,16,184 Cr
9.5%
11%
9.5%
11%
Source: Technopak Analysis. % in Value bars is the share of the Value market in the overall market
Key enablers leading to the rise of Value Retail in Lifestyle & Home
Few macro factors have enabled the rise of this Value retail in discretionary segments like Lifestyle and Home:
The consumers of Value Retail belong to the middle class and are aspirers, are commonly the Gen Y & Z
customers (10-40 age group with approximately 55% - 58% of the total Indian population), represent a significant
portion of the market with their increasing purchasing power and evolving preferences. Residing in tier 2, 3 and
4 cities in Urban and Semi-Urban areas, this market comprises households with an average annual income of
less than USD 5,000; of fashion conscious, value and quality seeking youth and young families, which forms the
bulk of the purchasing power of the Indian population. These consumers are of two kinds- 1) consumers who
are upgrading to branded products from being purchasers of unbranded/ unorganized markets, and 2) existing
purchasers of branded products, but looking for economical options since they like to upgrade/have variety in
their wardrobe and home.
This highly price sensitive consumer segment is the primary target of Value retail. All Households with income <
USD 10,000 are the potential targets for Value retail. These comprise ~68% of total HHs in 2020 and are expected
to comprise ~55% of total households by 2030.
HHs with Annual HHs with Annual HHs with Annual HHs with Annual
Total Households
Year earnings less earnings of USD earnings of USD earnings greater
(in Mn.)
than USD 5000 5,000 - 10,000 10,000 –50,000 than USD 50,000
2009 236 187.9 35.9 11.1 1.2
2010 240 181.8 42.9 14 1.2
2012 254 170.2 60.5 22.1 1.3
2014 267 167.1 70.8 27.2 1.9
2015 274 151 84.7 36.2 2.2
2018 295 84.1 121.5 86.4 3
2020 310 79.4 131.8 94.9 4
2030P 386 69.5 142.8 162.1 11.6
They may represent students, contractual workers, gig economy employees, small business owners, lower-
income white-collar employees, circular migrants who work in sectors like restaurants and construction, support
services trade and the informal economy. Before the advent of Value retail as a distinct and organized retail
play, the proposition of Value retail was either loosely constructed and addressed by stand-alone shops that
sold category-specific merchandise, or informal trade like haats, street markets etc. Digital media’s rise enabled
the creation of an aware class that aspires to consume but had to rely on the existing arrangement of either
informality or category specificity of unorganised retail or both. The offering of Value retail addressed this need
gap by offering all under one roof, transparent pricing, shopping experience and range. Acceptance of this
proposition over informal and unorganised retail arrangements is validated by its rising share within the overall
Value retail opportunity.
While the price sensitive consumer base exists across India, there exist regional skews within. This is reflected
in the share of Value retail in the overall retail pie of different regions of India. The higher proportion of Value
retail in East and North India is reflective of the income levels of these regions and the GDP per capita of these
regions compared to that of other regions or states. It implies that organized retail players like Vishal Mega Mart
in North India and Style Baazar in East India, who have adopted a cluster-focused approach to expand within
these regions seemed to have benefitted by tailoring and harnessing the proposition.
The market size of the Value-retailing industry in East India (the eastern and northeastern states of India) stands
at INR 1,19,508 Cr as of FY 2023, and the penetration of organized players stands at ~28% of the total market as
of FY 2023. With a CAGR of 16.6%, East is the fastest growing region for Value retail with an expected market
size of INR 2,20,802 Cr in FY 2027.
Exhibit 6.10: Region-wise market share for Value Retail (Lifestyle & Home)- FY 2023 and FY2027P
2,20,802
2,37,306
1,19,508
1,44,997 2,76,077
1,56,777
2,37,873
1,46,074
2023 2027P
The total market for Value Retail (Home & Lifestyle Segment) in North and East India was valued at INR 2,65,582
Cr for FY 2023 and is expected to reach INR 4,58,675 Cr in FY 2027. The level of overall organised play is also
expected to grow from ~28% in FY 2023 to ~36% in FY 2027.
50
These regions have the potential to accommodate ~8000 stores of Apparel Value retail chains by FY 2027.
Currently, players like V Mart, Style Baazar, V2 Retail etc. dominate these regions in the Value retail market. For
a single organised Value retail chain player, the region offers the potential to open approximately 800-1000
stores by FY 2027.
3. Network and Connectivity enabling access to the latest trends and ease of shopping
through digital payments
Ease of access to the internet has changed the consumer behaviour on many counts. It has enabled consumers
to get exposed to new trends, fashion, and values. The network connectivity has democratised access through
mobile devices to consumers of all strata’s. This trend is secular across all consumer classes and types, and the
ability (affordability) of the consumer is the only differentiator.
Strengthening of network connectivity enabled the growth of digital media and this in turn enabled the growth
of the dissemination of digital content on fashion, trends, merchandise products etc across a wider audience
than ever before. Digital marketing tools viz. social media and influencer marketing can be customised to an
individual’s preferences and desires and are therefore more effective than the conventional mass marketing
tools in shaping the consumer’s opinions. The rise of digital content dissemination has exposed a wider audience
to fashion, aspiration, global and national trends, and product options at a disruptive pace and readied a mass
base of consumer segments that are willing to consume Value retail more so than they have been in the past.
Differently put, the consumer audience for Value retail may face vulnerability on the account of affordability
and ability to spend but will not fall short on the desire to consume because of the role digital content has played
and will continue to play in shaping consumer preferences.
2015-20 2020-25
Internet Users (Mn) 72 350 662 881 900- 14% 6-8%
1000
Mobile Internet users as a share of Total Internet 34% 45% 73% 74% 82% - -
Users (%)
Mobile Internet Users (Mn) 24 159 480 651 730- 820 25% 9-11%
Source: Secondary Research, Technopak Analysis
This growth of digital payments through means like UPI, QR Scan codes etc has enabled ease of shopping, which
has given impetus to consumer spending.
The brick retail formats offer a shopping experience and a destination for the entire family in addition to ‘all
under one roof’ proposition, and value pricing. Hence, brick retail formats have continued to grow over the
years. It is estimated that by FY 2027, share of Brick and Mortar in the Value retail (Apparel, home, accessories
and Footwear) will reach ~22% (INR 2,09,479 Cr) from ~18% (INR 1,04,418) in FY 2023, and the share of E-
commerce will reach ~14% by FY 2027 from ~10% in FY 2023. For this reason, the new players or formats entering
the Value retail segment have kept brick stores at the heart of their growth strategy viz. Zudio from Westside
and Max from Lifestyle.
The e-commerce for Value retail is driven largely by marketplaces viz. Amazon and Flipkart which present the
option of affordability and convenience. However, it is also witnessed that the value of retail in the brick format
has also grown during the same period and players like Style Baazar, V Mart, V2 Retail etc. are expanding their
brick formats across towns and cities. The reason for the growth of brick retail in conjunction with E-commerce
in Value retail validates that feed into the other.
The trend of Urbanization in India is expected to continue with approximately 50% of India's population expected
to be living in Urban centers by 2050. High population growth is expected in tier 3 and tier 4 cities as the Rural
population migrates to these cities in search of work opportunities. As a result, the working population is
expected to rapidly increase across Tier 3 and 4 cities supporting these cities to emerge as new growth engines
for Value retailers as when a consumer explores branded play for the first time, Value fashion acts as the entry
medium for the same.
Furthermore, the Rural population is also stepping up in income levels due to the availability of manufacturing-
based jobs, expansion of agriculture into value-added farm activities and the government’s rural employment
schemes. As a result, an urban lifestyle with a price balance/value is increasingly being adopted in rural areas.
The growth of organized retailers and the proliferation of mall culture have conditioned consumers to the idea
of a robust shopping experience with an air-conditioned environment, facility of trial rooms, a wider product
range, price transparency, quality assurance, and on-floor service assistance. This experience has been perceived
to be constrained by price as most of such retailers happened to be in the premium segment. However, Value
retailers have been able to bridge this gap and have been able to provide a higher shopping experience to first
time consumers of brands/organized channels.
Value retailers have been exercising strong control over the retail value chain including sourcing, supply chain,
merchandising, store operations and customer management. Focus on sustainable relationships with suppliers
and investment in warehousing, logistics and inventory management have been key ingredients for the success
of these retail formats.
52
Most of the Value retailers like V-Mart, KLM, Zudio and V2 Retail have strengthened their foothold regionally
within clusters before foraying into other regions. Expansion through a clustered approach has lent them the
advantage of optimizing the supplier base, warehousing infrastructure and product offering based on the
customer preferences specific to such regions given that the culture varies every 100 – 150 kilometers. Unlike
the premium and super-premium segments, wherein the offering is designed in agreement with the global and
macro fashion trends, the Value segment needs consideration for heterogeneity to accommodate the nuances
of the regional requirements and sensibility. Through a clustered approach, these retailers have been able to
add more value to their offerings. The cluster-based approach also helps the retailers in exhausting the
opportunity in that cluster by operating a large number of stores in that area thereby creating an entry barrier
for the other competitor brands.
Also, national brands try to customize their offerings based on the region the stores are in by offering customized
offerings particular to the region, in addition to the regular national range. The regional Value fashion players in
the south, however, keep a higher share of sarees in the women's apparel category, compared to what a national
player would while operating the south India.
Focusing on Tier 3 and 4 cities has aided these retailers in unlocking the consumption potential of these cities.
Approximately 23% of the total demand for Apparel is estimated to come from these cities, ~60% of which is
currently estimated to be within the Value segment. The organized Value retailers have led the transition of the
Value Apparel segment in these cities from being largely unorganized to being somewhat organized. The ability
to provide quality products at affordable prices in a dignified retail environment has been an important reason
for the wide acceptance of these formats across Tier 3 & 4 cities.
Largely all the Value retailers are private labels led with some national brands included to complete the retail
offering. Investments in robust product design and development capabilities and focus on private label
development across categories have been the key factors that enabled the Value retailers to offer fashionable
products at affordable prices, along with improved margins for the retailers.
Competitive Landscape
In the early 2000s, retailers like V-Mart, V2 Retail etc. pioneered the Value retail segment which was largely
unorganized until then. This trend was followed by entities like Vishal who established Value Apparel retail
chains to leverage this opportunity, and by regional players like Style Baazar, M Baazar etc. At present, a few
organized retailers such as Zudio, and V-Mart are national players with an equitable focus on all regions and
players like Style Baazar, Baazar Kolkata, Citykart etc. are regional players focused on select clusters. A significant
share of Apparel sales of e-commerce players such as Flipkart, Amazon and others also comes from the Value
segment.
The key success factors for the brick-and-mortar players have been targeted private labels, sharp price points,
large format store layouts giving a better shopping experience, understanding of customer’s preferences,
offerings for entire family’s needs, regular fashion freshness and continuous supply chain improvement.
Baazar Kolkata 2002 Baazar Retail Pvt Ltd. Regional – East 642.1*
Exhibit 6.16: Market Share of Key Players in Value- Lifestyle & Home Market: FY 2023
Incorporated in 2013, Style Baazar is a Value fashion retailer with leadership position in terms of scale in the
states of West Bengal and Odisha respectively in in the Organized Value retail market. It captured a share of
2.67% in West Bengal and 2.70% in Odisha for FY 2023. It is also among the leading players in the Assam market
with a share of 2.43% in the same segment.
Exhibit 6.17: State-wise Market Share of Key Players in Value- Lifestyle & Home Market: East India- FY 2023
The Value format retail model has become increasingly popular in recent years as consumers look for ways to
save money on their purchases. Additionally, with the rise of e-commerce, more and more consumers are
turning to online retailers for lower prices and convenience. There is a large addressable market for Value
Apparel retail made up of millennials and Gen Y & Z customers (14-40 age group) and consumers residing in tier
2, 3 and 4 cities in Urban and semi-Urban areas. This market comprises of households with an average annual
income of US$ 5,000 – US$ 10,000 of fashion-conscious, Value and quality seeking youth and young families,
which forms the bulk of the purchasing power of the Indian population.
CAGR
Key Players 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023* (2017-
2023)
Style Baazar 19 38 72 84 91 135 153 42%
Baazar Kolkata 40 NA NA 106 116 115 155 25%
M Baazar NA 52 73 NA 118 118 148 -
Citykart 18 29 48 63 79 69 103 34%
V2 Retail 37 49 77 76 95 83 107 19%
V Mart 141 171 214 266 279 429 447 21%
Source: Company Websites, Secondary Research. *Store counts as of Jan’24 for all players. V Mart store counts include V Mart & Unlimited stores.
Style Baazar was the fastest growing Value retail player among the given peer set, in terms of store count from
the period 2017 to 2023, with a CAGR of 42%, and has expanded across states with 153 stores as of January
2024. Players like Citykart, Baazar Kolkata and V Mart also showed a CAGR of 34%, 25% and 21% respectively,
though V Mart's growth was fuelled by inorganic growth i.e. acquisition of 74 Unlimited Retail stores in FY 2022.
Style Baazar 2 3 5
V2 Retail 8 4 11
V Mart 7 12 16
Shoppers Stop 20 4 1
Westside 2 10 6
Source: Company Annual Reports, Secondary Research. V Mart store counts include V Mart & Unlimited stores. Public listed companies in retail like Westside
and Shoppers Stop taken for a broader benchmarking.
Store Closures measure the efficacy of selection of a retail location and its success. Style Baazar had the lowest
store closures when compared to other listed players in Value Retail.
Value led retail format brands have a larger focus on Tier 3 and 4 cities and a major share of their stores are
spread across these tiers. Value players like Style Baazar, V Mart, V2 Retail etc have a concentration of stores
majorly in Tier 2, 3 and 4 beyond cities with nearly 60-75% of all stores for a Value retailer being present in
Tier 3 and tier 4 cities.
Player Total Stores Metro & Tier1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4 &
Mini Metro beyond
Style Baazar 153 3 2 7 64 77
Baazar
155 11 6 34 74 30
Kolkata
M Baazar 148 11 3 18 74 42
Citykart 103 0 13 10 48 32
V2 Retail 107 9 5 25 44 24
V Mart 447 41 72 112 168 54
The Value retailers are most densely spread out in East and North India with most Value retailers having the
majority share of stores in these 2 regions. Majority of the stores for Citykart are present in the East and
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Northern Regions. V Mart also has a strong East and North presence, followed by South India, however, it is
expanding to all other regions of India. Style Baazar is predominantly present in East India with 92% of its stores
in East India and a limited presence in South, North and East India. Being a prominent regional player allows
them to be well versed with the customer demographics, gives better control on manpower allocation, and
supply chain and helps them being closer to the customers.
Sub- Baazar
Category Style Baazar V Mart M Baazar V2 Retail Citykart
Category Kolkata
Western ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
wear
Indian Wear ✓ ✓ ✓ - ✓ ✓
Sportswear ✓ ✓ ✓ - ✓ ✓
Accessories ✓ ✓ - - ✓ ✓
Western ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
wear
Indian Wear ✓ ✓ ✓ - ✓ ✓
Sportswear ✓ - - ✓ ✓
Accessories ✓ ✓ ✓ - ✓ ✓
Western ✓ ✓ ✓ - ✓ ✓
wear
Kids
Indian wear ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Toys and ✓ ✓ ✓ - ✓ -
Board
Games
Bathing ✓ ✓ ✓ - ✓ -
Bed Linen ✓ ✓ ✓ - ✓ ✓
Home Light ✓ - - - - -
Furniture
Storage ✓ - - - ✓ -
Crockery ✓ - ✓ - ✓ ✓
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Luggage ✓ - ✓ - ✓ ✓
Source: Company Websites, Secondary Research. Accessories for Men refer to wallets and belts. Accessories for Women is referred to as bags, purses, and
jewellery
Apart from Apparel, which is the key category for all Value retailers, entry in the kids category allows Value-led
formats to increase their customer base and increase their product offering by adding toys and games to the
product mix. The introduction of home decor has been recent, and we can see Value-led retailers adding Soft
Home products like bed sheets, bed linens, cushions etc to their products as a starting point. Further, some
retailers have added other Home items like carpets and show pieces, and storage items such as plastic, glass and
metal containers.
Retailers are aiming to increase their share of private labels going forward. V Mart had a private label share of
45-48% in overall revenue FY 2023, while V2 Retail had a share of 40%. Style Baazar’s share of private labels
stood at 31% for the same period.
Player % Private Label share of Total Revenue % Private Label share in Apparel segment
Private branding enables brands to differentiate themselves from competitors, enhance customer loyalty, and
improve profit margins by offering unique products exclusive to their stores. This strategy not only drives
revenue but also allows brands to maintain control over their product assortment and brand image.
2) EBITDA margin
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EBITDA margins is largely used to compare the profitability of the companies against competitors. It is also used
to standardize the business performance against the industry averages. Style Baazar has grown from EBITDA
margin of 10.2% in FY 2020 to the highest EBITDA margin of 12.9% in FY 2023, registering a CAGR of 16.6% for
the same period. This is on account of strong processes instituted by the company for controlling operating
expenses at the store level by ensuring low cost of operations compared to other players in value retail segment.
Exhibit 7.9: EBITDA (INR Crore) and EBITDA margin (%) profiles in FY
3) PAT margin
The profit after tax and PAT margins are used to assess if a company’s business is profitable after meeting the
operating and overhead costs. The PAT margin is negative across most of the players with available information.
Exhibit 7.10: PAT (INR Crore) and PAT margin (%) profiles in FY
5) Marketing and advertisement spend and Yield on marketing and advertisement spend
Marketing and Advertising Spend as a percentage of Revenue, or marketing/advertising to sales ratio indicates
the efficacy of advertising strategies of the company. In terms of marketing spend as % of revenue, V Mart had
a spend of 3.5% in FY 2023, compared to 1.5% by Style Baazar and 0.7% by V2 Retail.
Exhibit 7.12: Marketing and advertising spend and yield on Marketing spend as a % of revenue (in FY)
Style Baazar has the largest retail footprint in East India at ~11.5 sq. ft. among the mentioned peers. It is also
among the top 3 players in terms of SPSF with an SPSF of INR 7,445 for FY 2023.
Exhibit 7.13: Other key metrics for FY 2023- SPSF, Average Inventory per sq. ft, EBIDTA per sq. ft, Inventory per
store (INR) – Annual Metrics
Total Retail
Average % Share of Average
EBITDA per sq. Inventory per Footprint in
Player SPSF (INR) inventory per Apparel in Transaction
ft (INR) store (INR Cr) East India
sq. ft (INR) revenue Value (INR)
(Lakh sq. ft.)
Disclaimer
Only leading players are profiled and benchmarked for the purpose of the report and does not
necessarily cover all types of players.
The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the facts and
figures of any particular individual or entity. The content provided here treats the subjects covered here
in condensed form. It is intended to provide a general guide to the subject matter and should not be
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Ankur Bisen
Senior Partner and Head of Retail
ankur.bisen@technopak.com
Madhulika Tiwari
Partner
madhulika.tiwari@technopak.com
Priyanka Abrol
Principal
priyanka.abrol@technopak.com
Niharika Singh
Associate
niharika.singh@technopak.com
Shivam Chopra
Research Associate
shivam.chopra@technopak.com
www.technopak.com
Technopak Advisors Pvt. Ltd.
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