Reminder Taux
Reminder Taux
Didier Faivre
didier.faivre2@gmail.com
December 2015
Zero-coupon page 3
Libor, Euribor page 5
Vanilla Swaps page 14
Swaps Forwards page 34
B&S formula page 50
Caplet/Floorlet page 71
Caps/Floors page 73
Swaptions page 77
Volatility Surfaces/Cube page 92
CMS page 108
2
Zero-coupon
B(t , T ) =
1
(1 + r (t , T ))T −t
3
Zero-coupon
4
Deposit
✓ Number of days: exact number of days between start and end of the loan
o Libor1M, Libor3M..for each currency for which Libor are quoted in London
5
Deposit
6
LIBOR, EURIBOR
7
EURIBOR rates: Reuters page
8
LIBOR, EURIBOR
9
EURIBOR3M: Reuters page
10
FRA
1 B(t , T )
FRA(t , T , T + δ ) = − 1
δ B(t , T + δ )
➢ Remarks:
✓ Seller (buyer) FRA: expect lower (higher) rates
✓ Settlement in T in accordance to most of clients requests
✓ Discount term is due to the fact that the settlement is in T, not T+d,
o also explains the difference between a FRA and Libor in arrears
➢ Warnings:
✓ In above equation
o δ = number of days when added to the date T, for example the numbers of
days for a given standard reference payment frequency (3M, 6M…)
or…
o δ = year fraction calculated using the monetary Basis convention of the
currency (ACT/360 or ACT/365)
✓ usual rule for quants documents
12
Pricing of FRA: demonstration
(1+dL(T,T+d))
(1+dF)B(0,T+d) 1
d Replication
of FRA cash
flows
0 T T+d
B(0,T) 1
➢ Self-Financed strategy: (1+dF)
✓ date 0: one borrows (1+d F)B(0,T+d) , lends B(0,T).
✓ date T: one receives 1 and lends 1
✓ date T +d : one receives (1+d L(T,T+d )), pays (1+d F)
➢ Price of a FRA at date 0 = (1+d F)B(0,T+d) -B(0,T)
13
Vanilla Swaps
➢ Vanilla swap:
✓ two counterparties exchange variable cash flows based on Euribor (or
Libor for other currencies) against cash-flows based on a fixed rate, in
the same currency
➢ Example: 2 years fixed rate against Euribor6M
14
Vanilla Swaps: Schedule
15
Vanilla Swaps: Schedule
16
Vanilla Swaps: Schedule
➢ Following steps:
✓ Calculation of theoretical swap end date
✓ Calculation of theoretical cash-flows dates for both legs
o Possible adjustment for taking into account non business days and
convention for non-business days (following, modified following…)
o Theoretically, all combinations of payment frequency and payment Basis
possible for the two legs
o In practice a standard is set for every-market for vanilla swaps, used by
default in many OTC (other the counter) exotic swaps
17
Vanilla Swaps: Standard Conventions
➢ Examples:
✓ Euro market
o 1 Year maturity swap
▪ 1Year payment frequency and 30/360 payment Basis for fixed leg, Euribor3M
for floating leg
o Maturities over than 1Year
▪ 1Year payment frequency and 30/360 payment Basis for fixed leg, Euribor6M
for floating leg
18
Vanilla Swaps: Standard Conventions
19
Vanilla Swaps: Example
20
Vanilla Swaps: Example
21
Vanilla Swaps: Example
22
Vanilla Swaps: Example
~
➢ d and δ called coverage = year fractions between payment dates for
both leg, using each payment Basis
23
Vanilla Swaps: Example
24
Vanilla Swaps: Example2
SWAP 3Y
Lib start Lib end coverage pay dates fix dates Lib start Lib end coverage pay dates fix dates
17/02/06 17/05/06 0.247222 17/05/06 15/02/06 17/02/06 17/05/06 0.247222 17/05/06 15/02/06
17/05/06 17/08/06 0.255556 17/08/06 15/05/06 17/05/06 17/08/06 0.255556 17/08/06 15/05/06
17/08/06 17/11/06 0.255556 17/11/06 15/08/06 17/08/06 17/11/06 0.255556 17/11/06 15/08/06
17/11/06 19/02/07 0.261111 19/02/07 15/11/06 17/11/06 19/02/07 0.261111 19/02/07 15/11/06
19/02/07 21/05/07 0.241667 17/05/07 15/02/07 19/02/07 21/05/07 0.241667 17/05/07 15/02/07
17/05/07 17/08/07 0.255556 17/08/07 15/05/07 17/05/07 17/08/07 0.255556 17/08/07 15/05/07
17/08/07 19/11/07 0.261111 19/11/07 15/08/07 17/08/07 19/11/07 0.261111 19/11/07 15/08/07
19/11/07 19/02/08 0.252778 18/02/08 15/11/07 19/11/07 19/02/08 0.252778 18/02/08 15/11/07
18/02/08 19/05/08 0.252778 19/05/08 14/02/08 18/02/08 19/05/08 0.252778 19/05/08 14/02/08
19/05/08 19/08/08 0.252778 18/08/08 15/05/08 19/05/08 19/08/08 0.252778 18/08/08 15/05/08
18/08/08 18/11/08 0.252778 17/11/08 14/08/08 18/08/08 18/11/08 0.252778 17/11/08 14/08/08
17/11/08 17/02/09 0.255556 17/02/09 13/11/08 17/11/08 17/02/09 0.255556 17/02/09 13/11/08
25
Vanilla Swaps: Example2
SWAP 3Y
Lib start Lib end coverage pay dates fix dates Lib start Lib end coverage pay dates fix dates
17/02/06 17/05/06 0.5 17/08/06 15/02/06 17/02/06 17/05/06 0.247222 17/05/06 15/02/06
17/08/06 17/11/06 0.505556 19/02/07 15/08/06 17/05/06 17/08/06 0.255556 17/08/06 15/05/06
19/02/07 21/05/07 0.494444 17/08/07 15/02/07 17/08/06 17/11/06 0.255556 17/11/06 15/08/06
17/08/07 19/11/07 0.502778 18/02/08 15/08/07 17/11/06 19/02/07 0.261111 19/02/07 15/11/06
18/02/08 19/05/08 0.5 18/08/08 14/02/08 19/02/07 21/05/07 0.241667 17/05/07 15/02/07
18/08/08 18/11/08 0.497222 17/02/09 14/08/08 17/05/07 17/08/07 0.255556 17/08/07 15/05/07
17/08/07 19/11/07 0.261111 19/11/07 15/08/07
19/11/07 19/02/08 0.252778 18/02/08 15/11/07
18/02/08 19/05/08 0.252778 19/05/08 14/02/08
19/05/08 19/08/08 0.252778 18/08/08 15/05/08
18/08/08 18/11/08 0.252778 17/11/08 14/08/08
17/11/08 17/02/09 0.255556 17/02/09 13/11/08
26
Vanilla Swaps: Example2
SWAP 3Y
Fix Leg Frequency 1 Y Float Leg Frequency 3 M
Basis 30360 Basis ACT360
Lib start Lib end cov pay dates fix dates Lib start Lib end cov pay dates fix dates
17/02/06 17/05/06 1.005556 19/02/07 15/02/06 17/02/06 17/05/06 0.247222 17/05/06 15/02/06
19/02/07 21/05/07 0.997222 18/02/08 15/02/07 17/05/06 17/08/06 0.255556 17/08/06 15/05/06
18/02/08 19/05/08 0.997222 17/02/09 14/02/08 17/08/06 17/11/06 0.255556 17/11/06 15/08/06
17/11/06 19/02/07 0.261111 19/02/07 15/11/06
19/02/07 21/05/07 0.241667 17/05/07 15/02/07
17/05/07 17/08/07 0.255556 17/08/07 15/05/07
17/08/07 19/11/07 0.261111 19/11/07 15/08/07
19/11/07 19/02/08 0.252778 18/02/08 15/11/07
18/02/08 19/05/08 0.252778 19/05/08 14/02/08
19/05/08 19/08/08 0.252778 18/08/08 15/05/08
18/08/08 18/11/08 0.252778 17/11/08 14/08/08
17/11/08 17/02/09 0.255556 17/02/09 13/11/08
27
Vanilla Swaps: Evaluation of Floating leg
➢ (T~ , d~ )
j = schedule of the floating leg of the Swap (for a 4 years
j 1 j m
Swap with 6 months payment frequency on floating leg, m = 8, for
example)
~
✓ Tj called payment dates
✓ d~j called payment coverages
( ) ( )
m
~ ~ ~ ~
B
j =1
0, T j d j FRA 0, T j −1 , T j −1 + kM ,1 k 12
28
Vanilla Swaps: Evaluation of Floating leg
( ) ( )
m
~ ~ ~ ~
✓ PV Floating leg = B 0, T j d j FRA 0, T j −1 , T j −1 + 6M
j =1
(
~ ~
) (
FRA T j −1 , T j −1 + 6M = ~ ~
1
B 0 ,(~
T )
j −1
− 1
~
T j −1 + 6 M = T j
~ ) ( ~
d T j −1 , T j −1 + 6M B 0, T j −1 + 6M )
29
Vanilla Swaps: Evaluation of Floating leg
➢ Tn = end date of the Swap and (T j , d j )1 j n = the fixed leg schedule
✓ Proxy formula 1− B(0, Tn ) not linked to the frequency of the floating
leg, only of the maturity of the swap
✓ very good approximation in practice
✓ If floating leg starts at date T , valuation at date t is:
B(t , T ) − B(t , Tn )
30
Vanilla Swaps: Evaluation of Floating Leg
✓ In fact, even for a spot start Floating Leg, in most currencies there is
a delay (Settlement date = market date + 2Business day)
✓ So the proxy value of a float leg Starting at T0 = 0 + 2 Business days
with first cash flow at T1 will be:
B(0, T0 ) − B(0, Tn )
~
✓ If the first fixing is known (T 0 0), then the value of Floating leg with
first coupon at T1 is:
( (
~ ~ ~
) )( ) ( )
~ ~
1 + Libor 6 M T0 , T1 d1 B 0, T1 − B 0, Tn
31
Vanilla Swaps: Evaluation of the fixed rate
Physical Level
➢ Fixed Rate Evaluation:
✓ At date 0, swap value is 0: value of fixed leg = value of floating leg
✓ Swap Rate S(0,Tn) = today fixed rate such that both legs have same
value at date 0, for a n years swap
32
Vanilla Swaps: Evaluation of the fixed rate
d B(0, T )
i =1
i i d B(0, T )
i =1
i i
33
Vanilla Swaps: Evaluation of the fixed rate
➢ Warning: the physical level are in general different (but close) on the
fixed and floating leg:
✓ Application: in order to calculate the number of bp, m, to get a given PV
on a swap:
o If it’s to add/subtract m to the fixed rate, use the fixed leg Physical Level
o If it’s to add/subtract m to the floating leg (as a margin), use the floating leg
Physical Level
34
Vanilla Swaps: Evaluation of a forward swap rate
d B(t , T )
i =1
i i d B(t , T )
i =1
i i
S (t , T , Tn ) =
Value at t of forward swap rate
for a n years forward swap starting at T
35
Vanilla Swaps: Schedule of a forward swap
✓ 5/4/03 is a Saturday
36
Vanilla Swaps: Cash Level
n
1 1
i =1 (1 + S )
=
1 − / S
n
(1 + S )
i
✓ to take into account the delay between spot date and Start date, the
Cash Level should be multiplied by B(0, T0 )
37
Vanilla Swaps: Cash Level
(1 + aS / f )n / (aS )
1
1 −
38
Vanilla Swaps: Cash Level
Numerical example for various tenors (1Y to 50Y) and swap rates, f = 1
39
Vanilla Swaps: Cash Level
Numerical example for various tenors (1Y to 50Y) and swap rates, f = 2
40
Physical Level vs. Cash Level
n n
d i B(0, Ti )
1
i =1 (1 + S (0, Tn ))
i
i =1
41
Physical Level Interpretation
✓ T = Start Date
✓ S = value of the Forward Swap rate at date 0
43
Vanilla Swaps: link with bonds
44
Vanilla Swaps: link with bonds
45
Swaps: Building a zero-coupon curve without taking account of
Basis swaps
➢ Basics: DEPOSIT
DEPOSIT
O/N
1W
0.12
0.886
DEPOSIT 2W 0.91
tenor FUTURE
SWAP
SWAP
MAR11
3Y
4Y
97.2075
2.51
2.852
swaps définition for this example :
▪ Example
N.B: données du 08/06/09
for 10Y tenor
= B T0 , Ti d i EuriborForward3M (Ti )
i =1
46
Swaps: Building discount and fixing curve: taking account of Basis
swaps
B (T , T ) d ( )
(EuriborForward 6 M (Ti ) + 0.026) = B d T0 , T j d 12j M EuriborForward12 M (T j )
8 4
d 6M
0 i i
i =1 j =1
N.B: data as of 08/06/09
47
Basis swap: numerical applications
Courbe Zéro-coupons Fixing
➢ Swaps calculations
✓ Example 1: Swap 3Y
swap 2Y/1Y
jambe fixe coupon annuel
49
Black-Scholes for Lognormal forward
F0 = F0,T
Ft = Ft ,T
FT = FT ,T
50
Black-Scholes for Lognormal forward
T = maturity
K = strike
+ +
𝐸 𝑆𝑇 − 𝐾 = 𝐸 𝐹𝑇 − 𝐾
+ +
𝐸 𝐾 − 𝑆𝑇 = 𝐸 𝐾 − 𝐹𝑇
51
Black-Scholes for Lognormal forward
➢ Price of a put on FT :
52
Black-Scholes formula for a Lognormal forward
➢ If dFt
= dBt
Ft
u2
➢ then x
1 −2
N (x ) = e du
E (FT − K ) = F0 N (d1 ) − K N (d 2 ) 2
+ −
E (K − FT ) = K N (− d 2 ) − F0 N (− d1 )
+
F 1 F
Ln 0 + 2T Ln 0
d1 = K 2 = K + 1 T
T T 2
Better use the second
d 2 = d1 − T way of writing
d1 d 1
53
Black-Scholes for Gaussian forward
✓ FT = F0 + ' N (0, T )
✓ E (Max (FT − K ,0)) = E (FT − K )+ = BSprice (F0 , K ,T ,' , normal,call )
54
Black-Scholes for Gaussian forward
E (K − FT ) = (K − F0 )N (− d ) + ' T n(d )
+
F0 − K
d=
' T −
x2 x
, N (x ) = n(u )du
1
n( x ) = e 2
2 −
55
Black-Scholes for Gaussian forward
' T
Call = Put = 0.4 ' T
2
56
Black-Scholes for Gaussian forward
57
Black-Scholes for Gaussian forward
➢ ATM options in Practice:
ATM Caplets/Floorlets +
S − F0,T
Pay − off ATM Ca plet = (Euribor (T , T + d ) − F (0, T + T + d )) d N
+ Pay − off ATM Eq uity Option = T N
F0,T
Pay − off ATM F loorlet = (F (0, T + T + d ) − Euribor (T , T + d )) d N
+
0.4 ' T
Price ATM Equity Option N
Price ATM Caplet / Floorlet 0.4 ' T d N F0
' F0
ATM Cash Settlement Swaptions
Pay − off ATM Receiver Swaption = CashLevel S ( (0,T ,Tn ) − S (T ,Tn )) (S (T ,Tn ))+ Price ATM Equity Option 0.4 T N
➢ Conclusion : ’ (standard deviation) for interest rate options, (volatility) for equity options
✓ All prices are calculated as if options paid at maturity (non-discounted)
✓ (N = Notional of the option)
58
Black-Scholes formulas: a few remarks
59
Black-Scholes formulas: a few remarks
✓ If the buyer of the options pays the option at date 0 (and gets the pay-off
or 0 at maturity):
call − put = (F0 − K )B(0,T )
60
Main Greeks of B&S formulas on forwards
61
Main Greeks of B&S formulas on forwards
dC dP
= = T n( d )
d ' d '
62
Interpretation of N(d)
F
ln 0
d1 =
K 1 d 2 = d1 − T
+ T
T 2
63
Interpretation of N(d)
1
d2 = − T 0
2 N (d 2 ) 0.5
1 N (d1 ) 0.5
d1 = T = −d 2
2 N (d ) = 0.5
d1 0
d =0
64
Interpretation of N(d)
➢ Delta:
✓ above 0.5 when uses the Lognormal formula
✓ 0.5 when uses the Gaussian formula
o Result true whatever and ’
o especially if for a given (resp. ’) one chooses ’ (resp. ) so that the
Gaussian price of ATM (resp. Lognormal) is equal to the Lognormal price
(resp. Gaussian price) given by (resp. ’)
65
Interpretation of N(d)
➢ Interpretation valid only in the B&S world, not in the real world,
because of the smiles
➢ Digital cannot be priced using the previous results but with the « call
spread method »
66
B&S formulas: Variance of Lognormal forward
( ) 2
Ee X
= exp m +
2
( ) ( )( ( ) )
V e X = exp 2m + 2 exp 2 − 1
➢ Variance of FT:
( ( ) )
V (FT ) = F0 2 exp 2T − 1
67
B&S formulas: Variance of lognormal forward
➢ Standard deviations:
✓ Standard deviation of FT = F0 exp ( 2T ) − 1
✓ Standard deviation of F F T
T 0
✓ For a given ' (and also (F0 , T )), if for any strike the implied volatilities to
recover the Gaussian prices are computed, the smile is in fact a skew, as we
see on the following graph:
69
B&S formulas: Variance of Lognormal forward
Implied Volatility skew from the normal model
14.00%
13.00%
' = 10
12.00% F0 = 100
T =1
Implied Volatility
10.00%
9.00%
8.00%
60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140
Strike
70
Caplet, Floorlet
71
Caplet, Floorlet
72
Cap, Floor
➢ Cap = sum of Caplets, Floor = sum of Floorlets
➢ Value of cap is the value of all the Caplets included, same thing for
floor
➢ Example: 1 Year Cap on Euribor3M
✓ first Caplet :
o not included most of the time as the value today of the first Euribor is
Known.
o most of the times, only 3 Caplets in the above example
73
Call/Put Parity for Cap & Floor
( ) ( ) ( )
m
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
Cap − Floor = B 0, T j d j FRA 0, T j −1 , T j − B 0, T j d j K
j =1
74
Call/Put Parity for Cap & Floor
75
Call/Put Parity for Cap & Floor
' = F0
76
Physical settlement vs. Cash Settlement Swaptions
77
Schedule: Swaptions vs. Swap forwards
➢ Spot Lag = 2 days for most currencies (EUR, USD, JPY…), 0 for GBP
➢ Spot date = Start date for a Standard Swap
➢ Schedule of fixed leg and float leg first calculated using Theoretical End to
calculate cash-flows dates, then all cash flows are adjusted (Using business
days conventions: following, modified-following…)
78
Schedule: Swaptions vs. Swap forwards
➢ Swap Forward: 7Y in 3Y
Theoretical End = Spot Date + 3Y + 7Y,
Not adjusted
Fixing Date =
Start Date – Spot Lag,
Adjusted
➢ Swaption: 7Y in 3Y
Exercise date =
Expiry + Spot Lag, Start Date + 7Y,
Today + 3Y,
Adjusted Not adjusted
Adjusted
Exercise Start
Today Theoretical End
Date Date
79
Schedule: Swaptions vs. Swap forwards
80
Schedule: Swaptions vs. Swap forwards
→ Today
Exercise Start
Theoretical End
Date Date
03/04/02
03/04/03 07/04/03 05/04/05
If on 3/4/03 exercise date, the swap 2Y against Euribor6M is above 4.48%, the buyer of the option
enters in a 2Y swap payer at 4.48%, receiver of Euribor6M (physical swaption)
Payer Swaption gain at maturity
45%
pay-off as percentage of notional
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
Strike
15% 4.48%
10%
5%
0%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
81
Physical settlement Swaptions
n
d i B(t , Ti ) BSprice(S (t , T , Tn ), K , T − t , , Lognormal, put )
i =1
Physical Level
➢ market practice to price a payer physical settlement swaption at
date t:
n
d i B(t , Ti ) BSprice(S (t , T , Tn ), K , T − t , , Lognormal, call )
i =1
( )
S t , T , Tn =
= value a t of n years forward swap rate
(swap starting at T)
82
Cash settlement Swaptions
n
Max(K − S (T , Tn ),0)
1
(1 + S (T , T ))i
i =1 n
Cash Level (at T)
✓ payer cash settlement swaption pay-off at T:
n
Max(S (T , Tn ) − K ,0)
1
(1 + S (T , T ))i
i =1 n
By:
×
2n
/ S (T , Tn )
1/ 2 1
i =1 (1 + S (T , Tn ) / 2 )
= 1 − 2n
(1 + S (T , Tn ) / 2)
i
84
Cash settlement Swaptions
85
Call/Put Parity for Swaptions
B(t , T ) 1 − / S (t , T , Tn ) (S (t , T , Tn ) − K )
1
( + ( ))n
1 S t , T , Tn
*For cash level formula, Annual payment on the underlying swap fixed leg, see before for semi-annual frequency
86
Physical Level vs. Cash Level for Swaptions
➢ Thanks to the discount factor B(t , T ), Cash Level and Physical Level at t are
homogenous:
n n
B(t , T ) d i B(t , Ti )
1
i =1 (1 + S (t , T , Tn ))
i
i =1
87
Swaptions: a few remarks
88
Cash Discount formula for Cash Settlement Swaption
89
Cash Settlement Swaptions: summary for pay-off calculation
Default formula
EUR, GBP, CHF, Cash level ISDA FIXING Cash settlement swaptions
SEK,..
USD, JPY Physical level Counterparty Physical swaptions
agreement
90
Swaptions: a few remarks
➢ ATM rule
✓ cheapness of ATM Swaptions (if we forget the level) depends only on the standard
deviation
✓ can be seen with the formula ' = F 0
91
Swaptions volatility surfaces at three dates: 13/02/06 -15/10/08 - 22/10/09 (EUR)
60% 50.00%-60.00%
40.00%-50.00%
50% 30.00%-40.00%
20.00%-30.00%
40%
10.00%-20.00%
30% 0.00%-10.00%
20%
350%
10% 200%
100%
0% 50% Strike in %
0.1Y
0.5Y 2Y 4Y 6Y Y 10% of Forward
8 10Y 0Y Y
2 30 Swap Rate
Option Maturity
Swaptions B&S Volatility Surface, Tenor 10Y, Swaptions B&S Volatility Surface, Tenor 10Y,
15/10/08 22/10/09
90.00%-100.00%
80.00%-90.00% 80.00%-90.00%
90% 70.00%-80.00% 100% 70.00%-80.00%
92
Volatility Smiles 10Y/5Y, 10Y/1Y at three dates:
13/02/06 -15/10/08 - 22/10/09 (EUR)
13/02/06
50.0%
15/10/08
40.0% 22/10/09
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350%
Strike in % of Forward Swap Rate
60.0%
50.0%
Volatility
40.0% 13/02/06
15/10/08
30.0% 22/10/09
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350%
Strike in % of Forward Swap Rate
93
Swaptions standard deviation surfaces at three dates:
13/02/06 -15/10/08 - 22/10/09 (EUR)
2.50%-3.00%
3.0%
2.00%-2.50%
1.50%-2.00%
2.5%
1.00%-1.50%
0.50%-1.00%
2.0%
0.00%-0.50%
1.5%
1.0%
350%
0.5% 200%
100% Strike in %
0.0% 50% of Forward
0.1Y
0.5Y 2Y 4Y 6Y Y 10% Swap Rate
8 10Y 0Y
2 30Y
Option Maturity
Swaptions B&S Standard Deviation Surface, Swaptions B&S Standard Deviation Surface,
Tenor 10Y, 13/02/06 Tenor 10Y, 22/10/09
2.50%-3.00% 3.0%
3.0% 2.50%-3.00%
2.00%-2.50%
2.00%-2.50%
1.50%-2.00% 2.5%
2.5% 1.50%-2.00%
1.00%-1.50%
1.00%-1.50%
2.0% 0.50%-1.00% 2.0%
0.50%-1.00%
0.00%-0.50%
1.5% 0.00%-0.50%
1.5%
1.0%
1.0%
350%
350% 0.5% 200%
0.5% 200% Strike in %
Strike in % 100%
100% 0.0% of Forward
50%
0.0% 50% of Forward
0.1Y0.5Y 2Y 4Y 10% Swap Rate
0.1Y0.5Y 2Y 4Y 6Y 10% Swap Rate 6Y 8Y 0Y
8Y10Y 0Y 1 20Y30Y
2 30Y
Option Maturity
Option Maturity
94
Standard Deviations Smiles 10Y/5Y, 10Y/1Y at three dates:
13/02/06 - 15/10/08 - 22/10/09 (EUR)
2.00%
Standard deviation
1.50% 13/02/06
15/10/08
1.00% 22/10/09
0.50%
0.00%
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350%
Strike in % of Forward Swap Rate
2.00%
Standard deviation
1.50% 13/02/06
15/10/08
1.00% 22/10/09
0.50%
0.00%
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350%
Strike in % of Forward Swap Rate
95
Tenor 10Y swaptions standard deviation and volatility surfaces
13/02/06
0.1Y 0.3Y 0.5Y 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 15Y 20Y 25Y 30Y
10% 0.67% 0.67% 0.77% 0.66% 0.66% 0.65% 0.65% 0.64% 0.64% 0.64% 0.63% 0.62% 0.61% 0.56% 0.52% 0.48% 0.45%
20% 0.74% 0.81% 0.77% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.65% 0.64% 0.63% 0.58% 0.54% 0.50% 0.47%
25% 0.74% 0.80% 0.76% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.65% 0.64% 0.63% 0.59% 0.54% 0.50% 0.48%
30% 0.74% 0.78% 0.74% 0.65% 0.65% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.65% 0.64% 0.63% 0.58% 0.54% 0.51% 0.48%
40% 0.72% 0.74% 0.71% 0.63% 0.64% 0.64% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.64% 0.63% 0.63% 0.58% 0.54% 0.50% 0.48%
50% 0.69% 0.70% 0.67% 0.62% 0.62% 0.63% 0.63% 0.64% 0.64% 0.64% 0.63% 0.62% 0.62% 0.57% 0.53% 0.50% 0.47%
60% 0.65% 0.65% 0.64% 0.60% 0.61% 0.61% 0.62% 0.62% 0.62% 0.62% 0.62% 0.61% 0.60% 0.56% 0.52% 0.49% 0.47%
70% 0.62% 0.61% 0.60% 0.58% 0.59% 0.60% 0.60% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.60% 0.59% 0.54% 0.51% 0.48% 0.46%
75% 0.60% 0.59% 0.59% 0.58% 0.59% 0.59% 0.60% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.60% 0.59% 0.59% 0.54% 0.50% 0.48% 0.46%
90% 0.56% 0.55% 0.56% 0.57% 0.58% 0.59% 0.59% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.59% 0.59% 0.58% 0.53% 0.49% 0.47% 0.46%
100% 0.58% 0.56% 0.57% 0.58% 0.59% 0.59% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.59% 0.58% 0.53% 0.49% 0.47% 0.46%
120% 0.68% 0.67% 0.66% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.62% 0.61% 0.60% 0.55% 0.51% 0.49% 0.47%
140% 0.83% 0.81% 0.78% 0.70% 0.70% 0.69% 0.69% 0.68% 0.68% 0.68% 0.67% 0.66% 0.65% 0.59% 0.55% 0.52% 0.50%
160% 0.97% 0.96% 0.91% 0.79% 0.78% 0.77% 0.76% 0.74% 0.74% 0.74% 0.73% 0.72% 0.71% 0.65% 0.60% 0.57% 0.54%
Strikes in % of
forward swap
180% 1.12% 1.11% 1.04% 0.88% 0.86% 0.85% 0.83% 0.81% 0.81% 0.81% 0.80% 0.79% 0.78% 0.71% 0.66% 0.62% 0.58%
200% 1.26% 1.25% 1.16% 0.97% 0.95% 0.93% 0.91% 0.89% 0.89% 0.88% 0.87% 0.86% 0.84% 0.78% 0.72% 0.67% 0.63%
225% 1.44% 1.43% 1.32% 1.08% 1.06% 1.03% 1.01% 0.98% 0.98% 0.97% 0.96% 0.95% 0.93% 0.86% 0.79% 0.73% 0.69%
rates
250% 1.61% 1.60% 1.47% 1.18% 1.16% 1.13% 1.10% 1.07% 1.07% 1.06% 1.05% 1.03% 1.02% 0.94% 0.86% 0.80% 0.75%
275% 1.77% 1.76% 1.62% 1.29% 1.26% 1.23% 1.20% 1.16% 1.16% 1.15% 1.14% 1.12% 1.10% 1.02% 0.94% 0.87% 0.81%
300% 1.93% 1.92% 1.76% 1.39% 1.36% 1.33% 1.29% 1.25% 1.24% 1.24% 1.22% 1.21% 1.19% 1.10% 1.01% 0.93% 0.87%
96
Tenor 10Y Swaptions standard deviation and volatility surfaces
15/10/08
0.1Y 0.3Y 0.5Y 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 15Y 20Y 25Y 30Y
10% 1.22% 1.39% 1.20% 1.04% 0.96% 0.92% 0.88% 0.86% 0.84% 0.82% 0.81% 0.79% 0.78% 0.63% 0.53% 0.48% 0.44%
20% 1.38% 1.40% 1.21% 1.06% 0.97% 0.93% 0.89% 0.87% 0.86% 0.84% 0.83% 0.81% 0.79% 0.65% 0.56% 0.51% 0.46%
25% 1.53% 1.40% 1.21% 1.05% 0.97% 0.92% 0.89% 0.87% 0.85% 0.84% 0.82% 0.81% 0.79% 0.66% 0.56% 0.52% 0.47%
30% 1.52% 1.39% 1.20% 1.05% 0.96% 0.92% 0.88% 0.86% 0.84% 0.83% 0.82% 0.80% 0.79% 0.65% 0.56% 0.52% 0.47%
40% 1.50% 1.36% 1.18% 1.03% 0.94% 0.89% 0.86% 0.83% 0.82% 0.80% 0.79% 0.78% 0.77% 0.64% 0.56% 0.51% 0.47%
50% 1.47% 1.32% 1.16% 1.01% 0.92% 0.87% 0.83% 0.80% 0.79% 0.78% 0.77% 0.75% 0.74% 0.62% 0.54% 0.50% 0.46%
60% 1.44% 1.29% 1.13% 0.99% 0.89% 0.84% 0.80% 0.77% 0.76% 0.74% 0.73% 0.72% 0.71% 0.60% 0.53% 0.49% 0.45%
70% 1.41% 1.25% 1.10% 0.96% 0.86% 0.81% 0.77% 0.74% 0.73% 0.71% 0.70% 0.69% 0.68% 0.58% 0.51% 0.47% 0.43%
75% 1.39% 1.23% 1.09% 0.95% 0.85% 0.79% 0.75% 0.73% 0.71% 0.70% 0.69% 0.67% 0.66% 0.57% 0.51% 0.47% 0.43%
90% 1.36% 1.19% 1.06% 0.93% 0.82% 0.76% 0.72% 0.69% 0.68% 0.66% 0.65% 0.64% 0.63% 0.54% 0.49% 0.45% 0.42%
100% 1.36% 1.18% 1.06% 0.93% 0.81% 0.75% 0.71% 0.68% 0.67% 0.65% 0.64% 0.63% 0.62% 0.54% 0.48% 0.45% 0.41%
120% 1.39% 1.21% 1.08% 0.95% 0.83% 0.78% 0.73% 0.71% 0.69% 0.68% 0.67% 0.66% 0.65% 0.56% 0.50% 0.46% 0.43%
140% 1.47% 1.30% 1.15% 1.01% 0.90% 0.85% 0.81% 0.78% 0.77% 0.76% 0.75% 0.74% 0.72% 0.62% 0.55% 0.51% 0.46%
Strikes in % of
forward swap
160% 1.59% 1.42% 1.25% 1.10% 1.00% 0.94% 0.91% 0.88% 0.87% 0.85% 0.84% 0.83% 0.82% 0.69% 0.61% 0.56% 0.51%
180% 1.73% 1.56% 1.36% 1.20% 1.10% 1.05% 1.01% 0.99% 0.97% 0.96% 0.95% 0.94% 0.92% 0.77% 0.68% 0.62% 0.56%
200% 1.87% 1.71% 1.48% 1.30% 1.21% 1.15% 1.12% 1.09% 1.08% 1.06% 1.05% 1.04% 1.02% 0.85% 0.74% 0.68% 0.62%
rates
225% 2.06% 1.89% 1.64% 1.43% 1.34% 1.29% 1.25% 1.23% 1.21% 1.20% 1.18% 1.17% 1.15% 0.96% 0.83% 0.76% 0.69%
250% 2.25% 2.08% 1.79% 1.57% 1.48% 1.42% 1.38% 1.36% 1.34% 1.33% 1.31% 1.30% 1.27% 1.06% 0.91% 0.84% 0.76%
275% 2.43% 2.26% 1.94% 1.70% 1.61% 1.55% 1.51% 1.49% 1.47% 1.45% 1.44% 1.42% 1.40% 1.16% 1.00% 0.91% 0.82%
300% 2.62% 2.44% 2.09% 1.83% 1.74% 1.68% 1.64% 1.61% 1.60% 1.58% 1.56% 1.54% 1.52% 1.25% 1.08% 0.99% 0.89%
forwards swaps 4.70% 4.71% 4.73% 4.82% 4.96% 5.03% 5.10% 5.18% 5.18% 5.17% 5.15% 5.10% 5.04% 4.21% 3.71% 3.62% 3.50%
97
Tenor 10Y Swaptions standard deviation and volatility surfaces
22/10/09
0.1Y 0.3Y 0.5Y 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 15Y 20Y 25Y 30Y
10% 1.04% 1.24% 1.21% 1.17% 1.14% 1.09% 1.05% 1.01% 0.98% 0.95% 0.92% 0.90% 0.87% 0.73% 0.59% 0.49% 0.41%
20% 1.27% 1.24% 1.22% 1.18% 1.15% 1.11% 1.07% 1.04% 1.01% 0.97% 0.95% 0.92% 0.89% 0.77% 0.63% 0.53% 0.45%
25% 1.25% 1.23% 1.21% 1.18% 1.15% 1.11% 1.07% 1.03% 1.00% 0.97% 0.95% 0.92% 0.89% 0.77% 0.64% 0.54% 0.46%
30% 1.23% 1.21% 1.19% 1.16% 1.14% 1.10% 1.06% 1.02% 0.99% 0.96% 0.94% 0.91% 0.89% 0.77% 0.64% 0.55% 0.47%
40% 1.18% 1.17% 1.15% 1.13% 1.10% 1.06% 1.03% 0.99% 0.96% 0.93% 0.91% 0.89% 0.86% 0.75% 0.64% 0.55% 0.47%
50% 1.12% 1.12% 1.11% 1.09% 1.06% 1.02% 0.98% 0.95% 0.92% 0.89% 0.87% 0.85% 0.83% 0.73% 0.62% 0.55% 0.47%
60% 1.06% 1.06% 1.06% 1.04% 1.02% 0.97% 0.94% 0.90% 0.88% 0.85% 0.83% 0.81% 0.79% 0.70% 0.61% 0.54% 0.47%
70% 0.99% 1.00% 1.00% 0.99% 0.97% 0.93% 0.89% 0.85% 0.83% 0.80% 0.78% 0.77% 0.75% 0.67% 0.59% 0.53% 0.47%
75% 0.96% 0.97% 0.98% 0.97% 0.95% 0.90% 0.87% 0.83% 0.81% 0.78% 0.76% 0.75% 0.73% 0.65% 0.58% 0.53% 0.47%
90% 0.87% 0.89% 0.91% 0.92% 0.89% 0.84% 0.81% 0.77% 0.75% 0.72% 0.71% 0.69% 0.68% 0.61% 0.56% 0.52% 0.46%
100% 0.83% 0.86% 0.89% 0.90% 0.87% 0.82% 0.78% 0.75% 0.73% 0.70% 0.69% 0.67% 0.66% 0.60% 0.56% 0.52% 0.46%
120% 0.84% 0.88% 0.90% 0.92% 0.88% 0.84% 0.81% 0.79% 0.76% 0.73% 0.72% 0.70% 0.69% 0.62% 0.57% 0.53% 0.48%
140% 0.95% 0.98% 1.00% 1.01% 0.98% 0.94% 0.92% 0.89% 0.87% 0.83% 0.82% 0.80% 0.78% 0.70% 0.63% 0.57% 0.51%
Strikes in % of
forward swap
160% 1.10% 1.11% 1.13% 1.13% 1.10% 1.07% 1.05% 1.02% 1.00% 0.96% 0.94% 0.92% 0.89% 0.79% 0.69% 0.62% 0.54%
180% 1.25% 1.26% 1.27% 1.27% 1.23% 1.21% 1.19% 1.16% 1.13% 1.09% 1.07% 1.04% 1.01% 0.89% 0.77% 0.67% 0.58%
200% 1.41% 1.41% 1.41% 1.41% 1.37% 1.35% 1.33% 1.30% 1.27% 1.23% 1.20% 1.17% 1.13% 0.99% 0.84% 0.73% 0.63%
rates
225% 1.60% 1.60% 1.59% 1.58% 1.54% 1.52% 1.50% 1.47% 1.43% 1.39% 1.36% 1.32% 1.28% 1.12% 0.94% 0.81% 0.69%
250% 1.79% 1.78% 1.77% 1.75% 1.71% 1.69% 1.67% 1.64% 1.60% 1.55% 1.51% 1.47% 1.43% 1.24% 1.03% 0.88% 0.75%
275% 1.98% 1.96% 1.94% 1.92% 1.88% 1.86% 1.83% 1.80% 1.76% 1.70% 1.66% 1.62% 1.57% 1.36% 1.13% 0.95% 0.80%
300% 2.16% 2.13% 2.11% 2.09% 2.04% 2.02% 1.99% 1.96% 1.91% 1.85% 1.81% 1.76% 1.71% 1.48% 1.22% 1.03% 0.86%
forwards swaps 3.53% 3.60% 3.70% 3.89% 4.17% 4.36% 4.53% 4.68% 4.75% 4.80% 4.83% 4.87% 4.90% 4.42% 3.68% 3.19% 2.87%
98
Volatility cubes
99
Volatility cubes
100
Volatility surface for Euribor3M, as of 31/1/06
3M 0.50% 1.00% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00% 4.50% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00% 10.00% 11.00% 12.00% 13.00% 14.00%
1M 7.44% 5.41% 4.22% 4.35% 4.58% 4.82% 5.03% 5.22% 5.39% 5.66% 5.88% 6.07% 6.22% 6.34% 6.46% 6.55% 6.64% 6.71%
3M 10.60% 8.16% 6.76% 6.75% 6.86% 7.02% 7.18% 7.33% 7.46% 7.70% 7.90% 8.07% 8.21% 8.32% 8.43% 8.51% 8.59% 8.66%
6M 17.42% 13.62% 11.33% 11.20% 11.28% 11.44% 11.63% 11.82% 11.99% 12.31% 12.57% 12.80% 12.98% 13.15% 13.29% 13.41% 13.52% 13.62%
1Y 33.20% 25.22% 19.94% 19.68% 20.01% 20.52% 21.06% 21.59% 22.08% 22.92% 23.63% 24.21% 24.71% 25.13% 25.49% 25.81% 26.10% 26.35%
2Y 39.79% 30.01% 22.29% 21.31% 21.31% 21.76% 22.35% 22.98% 23.57% 24.64% 25.54% 26.30% 26.94% 27.50% 27.98% 28.40% 28.78% 29.11%
3Y 43.64% 32.97% 23.56% 21.65% 20.96% 21.02% 21.44% 21.99% 22.58% 23.69% 24.67% 25.50% 26.22% 26.84% 27.38% 27.86% 28.29% 28.67%
4Y 44.28% 33.60% 23.76% 21.42% 20.27% 19.99% 20.21% 20.66% 21.20% 22.28% 23.27% 24.13% 24.87% 25.52% 26.08% 26.59% 27.03% 27.43%
5Y 43.71% 33.36% 23.61% 21.08% 19.63% 19.05% 19.04% 19.35% 19.80% 20.79% 21.74% 22.58% 23.31% 23.96% 24.52% 25.03% 25.47% 25.88%
6Y 43.01% 33.04% 23.50% 20.90% 19.26% 18.42% 18.18% 18.32% 18.65% 19.51% 20.39% 21.18% 21.89% 22.51% 23.06% 23.55% 23.99% 24.38%
7Y 42.18% 32.58% 23.33% 20.72% 18.98% 17.97% 17.54% 17.51% 17.71% 18.42% 19.21% 19.95% 20.61% 21.21% 21.73% 22.20% 22.63% 23.01%
8Y 41.28% 31.99% 22.99% 20.41% 18.61% 17.50% 16.94% 16.80% 16.91% 17.51% 18.23% 18.93% 19.57% 20.14% 20.65% 21.11% 21.52% 21.90%
9Y 40.33% 31.33% 22.60% 20.06% 18.28% 17.12% 16.49% 16.27% 16.32% 16.81% 17.47% 18.12% 18.73% 19.27% 19.76% 20.20% 20.60% 20.96%
10Y 39.32% 30.62% 22.16% 19.69% 17.93% 16.75% 16.08% 15.80% 15.79% 16.19% 16.78% 17.39% 17.95% 18.47% 18.94% 19.35% 19.73% 20.08%
15Y 36.16% 28.20% 20.40% 18.07% 16.35% 15.15% 14.40% 14.02% 13.91% 14.17% 14.67% 15.21% 15.72% 16.20% 16.62% 17.01% 17.36% 17.68%
20Y 34.90% 27.11% 19.41% 17.09% 15.36% 14.14% 13.37% 12.98% 12.88% 13.16% 13.68% 14.22% 14.74% 15.21% 15.64% 16.02% 16.37% 16.68%
25Y 34.47% 26.63% 18.91% 16.60% 14.92% 13.77% 13.09% 12.80% 12.79% 13.17% 13.72% 14.29% 14.81% 15.28% 15.70% 16.08% 16.43% 16.74%
30Y 34.62% 26.71% 18.96% 16.65% 14.97% 13.84% 13.19% 12.92% 12.91% 13.30% 13.85% 14.41% 14.92% 15.39% 15.81% 16.18% 16.52% 16.83%
➢ Tenor definition:
✓ 3M in 6M and 3M in 5Y FRA are two different underlying
✓ 10Y/10Y forward swap rate and 10Y/1Y forward swap rate are two
different underlying
✓ 1M, 2M, 3M …12M deposit rates and 1Y, 2Y, …, 50Y swap rates called
tenor to avoid misunderstandings
102
Volatility surface and standard deviation surface
103
3M Volatility surface, standard deviation surface
3M 31 90 182 365 731 1096 1461 1826 2192 2557 2922 3287 3653 5479 7305 9131 10958
0.50% 12.83% 16.22% 20.02% 32.67% 35.20% 36.28% 35.99% 35.67% 35.58% 35.44% 35.26% 35.03% 34.77% 32.73% 31.03% 31.07% 31.64%
1.00% 9.55% 12.28% 15.25% 24.93% 26.95% 27.99% 27.88% 27.69% 27.71% 27.68% 27.58% 27.45% 27.29% 25.76% 24.31% 24.26% 24.62%
2.00% 6.23% 8.31% 10.56% 17.28% 18.76% 19.87% 19.95% 19.89% 19.99% 20.05% 20.03% 19.99% 19.94% 18.85% 17.62% 17.52% 17.68%
2.50% 5.30% 7.15% 9.27% 15.13% 16.42% 17.57% 17.69% 17.65% 17.73% 17.80% 17.79% 17.77% 17.74% 16.74% 15.57% 15.46% 15.58%
3.00% 4.80% 6.41% 8.49% 13.79% 14.89% 16.05% 16.16% 16.10% 16.15% 16.18% 16.17% 16.15% 16.11% 15.15% 14.01% 13.91% 14.00%
3.50% 4.74% 6.09% 8.18% 13.20% 14.13% 15.22% 15.28% 15.17% 15.14% 15.10% 15.07% 15.02% 14.95% 13.96% 12.85% 12.77% 12.86%
4.00% 4.94% 6.12% 8.21% 13.18% 14.01% 14.97% 14.94% 14.75% 14.62% 14.48% 14.42% 14.32% 14.21% 13.14% 12.05% 12.00% 12.11%
4.50% 5.23% 6.34% 8.43% 13.50% 14.28% 15.10% 14.97% 14.71% 14.48% 14.24% 14.14% 13.98% 13.81% 12.64% 11.57% 11.57% 11.71%
5.00% 5.54% 6.63% 8.72% 13.96% 14.74% 15.44% 15.22% 14.91% 14.59% 14.26% 14.12% 13.90% 13.68% 12.39% 11.36% 11.39% 11.57%
6.00% 6.09% 7.23% 9.33% 14.97% 15.80% 16.31% 15.97% 15.58% 15.16% 14.72% 14.51% 14.20% 13.90% 12.42% 11.44% 11.52% 11.75%
7.00% 6.55% 7.76% 9.89% 15.89% 16.79% 17.19% 16.77% 16.33% 15.86% 15.35% 15.09% 14.74% 14.37% 12.77% 11.83% 11.93% 12.18%
8.00% 6.94% 8.21% 10.37% 16.69% 17.66% 17.98% 17.51% 17.03% 16.53% 15.98% 15.69% 15.30% 14.90% 13.22% 12.30% 12.39% 12.66%
9.00% 7.27% 8.59% 10.79% 17.38% 18.41% 18.67% 18.16% 17.66% 17.13% 16.56% 16.25% 15.83% 15.41% 13.66% 12.75% 12.84% 13.12%
10.00% 7.55% 8.93% 11.15% 17.98% 19.07% 19.28% 18.74% 18.22% 17.68% 17.09% 16.75% 16.32% 15.88% 14.08% 13.18% 13.25% 13.54%
11.00% 7.79% 9.22% 11.47% 18.51% 19.65% 19.82% 19.25% 18.72% 18.16% 17.56% 17.21% 16.76% 16.31% 14.47% 13.56% 13.63% 13.92%
12.00% 8.01% 9.47% 11.75% 18.98% 20.15% 20.30% 19.71% 19.17% 18.60% 17.98% 17.62% 17.16% 16.69% 14.82% 13.92% 13.97% 14.27%
13.00% 8.20% 9.70% 12.00% 19.39% 20.61% 20.73% 20.12% 19.56% 18.99% 18.36% 17.99% 17.52% 17.04% 15.15% 14.23% 14.28% 14.58%
14.00% 8.37% 9.90% 12.22% 19.77% 21.02% 21.12% 20.48% 19.92% 19.34% 18.71% 18.33% 17.85% 17.36% 15.44% 14.52% 14.57% 14.87%
3M 31 90 182 365 731 1096 1461 1826 2192 2557 2922 3287 3653 5479 7305 9131 10958
0.50% 0.17% 0.22% 0.27% 0.52% 0.57% 0.59% 0.59% 0.60% 0.60% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.58% 0.53% 0.51% 0.50%
1.00% 0.17% 0.24% 0.29% 0.51% 0.56% 0.59% 0.60% 0.60% 0.61% 0.62% 0.62% 0.62% 0.62% 0.59% 0.55% 0.53% 0.52%
2.00% 0.16% 0.23% 0.28% 0.48% 0.53% 0.56% 0.57% 0.58% 0.59% 0.60% 0.60% 0.61% 0.61% 0.58% 0.54% 0.52% 0.51%
2.50% 0.15% 0.22% 0.28% 0.46% 0.51% 0.55% 0.56% 0.57% 0.58% 0.59% 0.59% 0.60% 0.60% 0.57% 0.53% 0.51% 0.50%
3.00% 0.15% 0.21% 0.28% 0.46% 0.50% 0.55% 0.56% 0.56% 0.57% 0.58% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.57% 0.52% 0.50% 0.49%
3.50% 0.16% 0.22% 0.29% 0.47% 0.52% 0.56% 0.57% 0.57% 0.58% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.56% 0.51% 0.50% 0.49%
4.00% 0.18% 0.23% 0.31% 0.51% 0.55% 0.59% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.57% 0.51% 0.50% 0.49%
4.50% 0.20% 0.26% 0.34% 0.55% 0.59% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.62% 0.62% 0.62% 0.58% 0.52% 0.51% 0.51%
5.00% 0.23% 0.29% 0.37% 0.60% 0.65% 0.68% 0.68% 0.67% 0.67% 0.66% 0.66% 0.65% 0.65% 0.60% 0.54% 0.53% 0.53%
6.00% 0.28% 0.34% 0.44% 0.71% 0.76% 0.79% 0.79% 0.77% 0.76% 0.75% 0.74% 0.73% 0.72% 0.66% 0.60% 0.59% 0.59%
7.00% 0.34% 0.40% 0.50% 0.82% 0.88% 0.91% 0.90% 0.88% 0.87% 0.85% 0.84% 0.82% 0.81% 0.73% 0.67% 0.66% 0.66%
8.00% 0.43% 0.46% 0.57% 0.93% 1.00% 1.02% 1.01% 0.99% 0.97% 0.95% 0.94% 0.92% 0.90% 0.81% 0.75% 0.74% 0.74%
9.00% 0.53% 0.51% 0.63% 1.03% 1.11% 1.14% 1.12% 1.09% 1.07% 1.05% 1.04% 1.02% 1.00% 0.90% 0.83% 0.81% 0.82%
10.00% 0.62% 0.56% 0.70% 1.14% 1.22% 1.25% 1.22% 1.20% 1.18% 1.15% 1.13% 1.11% 1.09% 0.98% 0.90% 0.89% 0.89%
11.00% 0.71% 0.62% 0.76% 1.24% 1.33% 1.35% 1.33% 1.30% 1.28% 1.25% 1.23% 1.20% 1.18% 1.06% 0.98% 0.97% 0.97%
12.00% 0.81% 0.67% 0.82% 1.33% 1.44% 1.46% 1.43% 1.40% 1.37% 1.34% 1.32% 1.30% 1.27% 1.14% 1.06% 1.04% 1.04%
13.00% 0.90% 0.72% 0.88% 1.43% 1.54% 1.56% 1.53% 1.50% 1.47% 1.44% 1.41% 1.38% 1.36% 1.22% 1.13% 1.11% 1.12%
14.00% 0.99% 0.76% 0.93% 1.52% 1.64% 1.66% 1.63% 1.59% 1.56% 1.53% 1.50% 1.47% 1.44% 1.30% 1.21% 1.19% 1.19%
104
5Y Volatility surface, standard deviation surface
5Y 31 90 182 365 731 1096 1461 1826 2192 2557 2922 3287 3653 5479 7305 9131 10958
0.50% 45.98% 48.06% 45.86% 40.03% 39.81% 39.12% 37.56% 37.05% 36.99% 36.91% 36.70% 36.46% 36.20% 34.95% 33.75% 32.59% 31.74%
1.00% 34.26% 35.97% 34.54% 30.64% 30.66% 30.30% 29.29% 29.01% 29.00% 28.97% 28.82% 28.66% 28.46% 27.48% 26.48% 25.50% 24.82%
2.00% 21.75% 23.11% 22.62% 20.95% 21.27% 21.28% 20.90% 20.87% 20.89% 20.90% 20.80% 20.69% 20.55% 19.84% 19.06% 18.31% 17.85%
2.50% 17.62% 18.90% 18.76% 17.91% 18.32% 18.46% 18.28% 18.33% 18.35% 18.35% 18.26% 18.15% 18.03% 17.40% 16.70% 16.04% 15.67%
3.00% 14.36% 15.62% 15.78% 15.61% 16.08% 16.29% 16.27% 16.36% 16.36% 16.36% 16.26% 16.15% 16.03% 15.46% 14.83% 14.27% 13.98%
3.50% 12.17% 13.42% 13.79% 14.03% 14.48% 14.70% 14.76% 14.87% 14.84% 14.81% 14.69% 14.57% 14.44% 13.91% 13.36% 12.88% 12.68%
4.00% 11.69% 12.85% 13.10% 13.21% 13.54% 13.68% 13.74% 13.80% 13.72% 13.65% 13.51% 13.37% 13.22% 12.70% 12.23% 11.85% 11.73%
4.50% 12.70% 13.71% 13.57% 13.07% 13.21% 13.19% 13.15% 13.13% 12.99% 12.88% 12.70% 12.52% 12.35% 11.83% 11.44% 11.15% 11.10%
5.00% 14.12% 15.05% 14.56% 13.39% 13.33% 13.14% 12.93% 12.81% 12.61% 12.44% 12.22% 12.01% 11.81% 11.29% 10.97% 10.77% 10.76%
6.00% 16.80% 17.68% 16.71% 14.49% 14.15% 13.69% 13.17% 12.84% 12.57% 12.32% 12.04% 11.77% 11.52% 10.98% 10.76% 10.65% 10.66%
7.00% 19.00% 19.87% 18.58% 15.64% 15.14% 14.51% 13.75% 13.29% 12.97% 12.69% 12.39% 12.09% 11.82% 11.26% 11.07% 10.97% 10.95%
8.00% 20.81% 21.69% 20.16% 16.67% 16.07% 15.32% 14.39% 13.83% 13.51% 13.21% 12.90% 12.59% 12.31% 11.73% 11.53% 11.42% 11.35%
9.00% 22.32% 23.22% 21.49% 17.57% 16.89% 16.06% 15.00% 14.38% 14.04% 13.74% 13.42% 13.11% 12.83% 12.23% 12.01% 11.87% 11.76%
10.00% 23.61% 24.52% 22.63% 18.35% 17.62% 16.71% 15.55% 14.88% 14.55% 14.24% 13.92% 13.60% 13.32% 12.71% 12.47% 12.30% 12.15%
11.00% 24.73% 25.65% 23.63% 19.05% 18.26% 17.30% 16.05% 15.34% 15.01% 14.70% 14.38% 14.06% 13.77% 13.16% 12.90% 12.70% 12.51%
12.00% 25.72% 26.65% 24.50% 19.66% 18.83% 17.83% 16.51% 15.76% 15.43% 15.12% 14.80% 14.48% 14.19% 13.56% 13.28% 13.06% 12.84%
13.00% 26.59% 27.53% 25.28% 20.20% 19.34% 18.30% 16.92% 16.14% 15.81% 15.50% 15.18% 14.86% 14.57% 13.93% 13.63% 13.39% 13.14%
14.00% 27.37% 28.32% 25.97% 20.70% 19.80% 18.72% 17.29% 16.49% 16.15% 15.85% 15.53% 15.21% 14.92% 14.27% 13.95% 13.69% 13.42%
5Y 31 90 182 365 731 1096 1461 1826 2192 2557 2922 3287 3653 5479 7305 9131 10958
0.50% 0.65% 0.68% 0.77% 0.68% 0.68% 0.68% 0.66% 0.65% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.66% 0.65% 0.62% 0.58% 0.54% 0.51%
1.00% 0.68% 0.72% 0.75% 0.67% 0.68% 0.68% 0.66% 0.66% 0.67% 0.67% 0.67% 0.67% 0.67% 0.64% 0.60% 0.56% 0.53%
2.00% 0.61% 0.66% 0.65% 0.61% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.64% 0.64% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.62% 0.58% 0.55% 0.52%
2.50% 0.55% 0.60% 0.60% 0.58% 0.60% 0.61% 0.61% 0.62% 0.62% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.60% 0.57% 0.53% 0.51%
3.00% 0.50% 0.54% 0.55% 0.55% 0.57% 0.59% 0.59% 0.60% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.59% 0.55% 0.52% 0.50%
3.50% 0.45% 0.50% 0.52% 0.53% 0.55% 0.57% 0.58% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.57% 0.54% 0.51% 0.49%
4.00% 0.46% 0.51% 0.52% 0.53% 0.55% 0.56% 0.57% 0.58% 0.58% 0.59% 0.58% 0.58% 0.58% 0.55% 0.52% 0.50% 0.48%
4.50% 0.54% 0.58% 0.58% 0.56% 0.57% 0.58% 0.58% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.58% 0.58% 0.57% 0.55% 0.52% 0.50% 0.49%
5.00% 0.63% 0.67% 0.65% 0.60% 0.61% 0.61% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.59% 0.58% 0.57% 0.55% 0.53% 0.51% 0.50%
6.00% 0.82% 0.87% 0.82% 0.72% 0.71% 0.70% 0.68% 0.67% 0.66% 0.65% 0.64% 0.63% 0.62% 0.59% 0.57% 0.55% 0.54%
7.00% 1.01% 1.06% 1.00% 0.84% 0.83% 0.80% 0.77% 0.75% 0.74% 0.72% 0.71% 0.70% 0.68% 0.65% 0.63% 0.61% 0.60%
8.00% 1.19% 1.25% 1.16% 0.97% 0.94% 0.91% 0.86% 0.84% 0.82% 0.81% 0.80% 0.78% 0.77% 0.73% 0.71% 0.69% 0.67%
9.00% 1.37% 1.43% 1.32% 1.09% 1.06% 1.02% 0.96% 0.93% 0.91% 0.90% 0.88% 0.87% 0.85% 0.81% 0.79% 0.76% 0.74%
10.00% 1.54% 1.60% 1.48% 1.21% 1.17% 1.12% 1.05% 1.02% 1.00% 0.99% 0.97% 0.95% 0.94% 0.89% 0.86% 0.84% 0.81%
11.00% 1.70% 1.77% 1.63% 1.33% 1.28% 1.23% 1.15% 1.11% 1.09% 1.08% 1.06% 1.04% 1.02% 0.98% 0.94% 0.91% 0.88%
12.00% 1.86% 1.93% 1.78% 1.44% 1.39% 1.33% 1.24% 1.20% 1.18% 1.16% 1.14% 1.12% 1.10% 1.06% 1.02% 0.98% 0.95%
13.00% 2.02% 2.10% 1.93% 1.55% 1.50% 1.43% 1.33% 1.28% 1.27% 1.25% 1.23% 1.21% 1.19% 1.14% 1.09% 1.06% 1.02%
14.00% 2.17% 2.25% 2.07% 1.66% 1.60% 1.53% 1.42% 1.37% 1.35% 1.33% 1.31% 1.29% 1.27% 1.21% 1.17% 1.13% 1.09%
105
10Y Volatility surface, standard deviation surface
10Y 31 90 182 365 731 1096 1461 1826 2192 2557 2922 3287 3653 5479 7305 9131 10958
0.50% 48.19% 50.74% 47.54% 39.63% 39.13% 38.55% 37.79% 37.04% 36.95% 36.85% 36.72% 36.58% 36.44% 34.91% 33.15% 31.43% 29.72%
1.00% 36.21% 38.28% 36.11% 30.66% 30.39% 30.05% 29.56% 29.08% 29.03% 28.97% 28.88% 28.78% 28.67% 27.47% 26.03% 24.67% 23.34%
2.00% 23.37% 24.99% 24.02% 21.42% 21.39% 21.32% 21.13% 20.94% 20.93% 20.90% 20.85% 20.78% 20.70% 19.85% 18.79% 17.81% 16.91%
2.50% 19.09% 20.60% 20.06% 18.49% 18.53% 18.54% 18.44% 18.35% 18.35% 18.33% 18.28% 18.23% 18.16% 17.41% 16.48% 15.65% 14.90%
3.00% 15.61% 17.07% 16.91% 16.21% 16.30% 16.36% 16.33% 16.32% 16.31% 16.29% 16.24% 16.19% 16.13% 15.48% 14.66% 13.95% 13.32%
3.50% 12.93% 14.40% 14.55% 14.49% 14.59% 14.67% 14.68% 14.71% 14.69% 14.67% 14.62% 14.57% 14.51% 13.93% 13.22% 12.62% 12.10%
4.00% 11.51% 12.99% 13.19% 13.34% 13.39% 13.44% 13.44% 13.48% 13.45% 13.41% 13.36% 13.30% 13.24% 12.72% 12.11% 11.60% 11.17%
4.50% 11.83% 13.17% 13.02% 12.76% 12.70% 12.68% 12.62% 12.63% 12.57% 12.51% 12.45% 12.38% 12.32% 11.84% 11.31% 10.89% 10.52%
5.00% 13.07% 14.28% 13.67% 12.64% 12.46% 12.33% 12.18% 12.12% 12.03% 11.95% 11.87% 11.80% 11.73% 11.27% 10.81% 10.45% 10.11%
6.00% 15.78% 16.90% 15.62% 13.18% 12.80% 12.46% 12.13% 11.89% 11.75% 11.63% 11.53% 11.44% 11.36% 10.89% 10.51% 10.19% 9.83%
7.00% 18.08% 19.18% 17.47% 14.03% 13.52% 13.06% 12.59% 12.20% 12.04% 11.91% 11.80% 11.70% 11.61% 11.11% 10.72% 10.37% 9.96%
8.00% 19.98% 21.08% 19.05% 14.86% 14.28% 13.73% 13.17% 12.69% 12.52% 12.38% 12.27% 12.16% 12.08% 11.53% 11.11% 10.71% 10.23%
9.00% 21.57% 22.69% 20.39% 15.63% 14.99% 14.38% 13.76% 13.20% 13.03% 12.89% 12.77% 12.67% 12.59% 11.99% 11.53% 11.08% 10.54%
10.00% 22.93% 24.06% 21.55% 16.31% 15.63% 14.97% 14.30% 13.68% 13.52% 13.37% 13.26% 13.16% 13.07% 12.44% 11.94% 11.44% 10.84%
11.00% 24.10% 25.25% 22.56% 16.91% 16.20% 15.51% 14.79% 14.13% 13.96% 13.82% 13.71% 13.61% 13.53% 12.86% 12.32% 11.77% 11.13%
12.00% 25.14% 26.29% 23.45% 17.45% 16.72% 15.99% 15.24% 14.54% 14.38% 14.24% 14.13% 14.02% 13.94% 13.25% 12.67% 12.08% 11.40%
13.00% 26.06% 27.22% 24.24% 17.94% 17.18% 16.42% 15.65% 14.91% 14.75% 14.61% 14.50% 14.40% 14.32% 13.60% 12.99% 12.37% 11.65%
14.00% 26.88% 28.05% 24.94% 18.38% 17.60% 16.82% 16.01% 15.25% 15.09% 14.96% 14.85% 14.75% 14.66% 13.92% 13.29% 12.63% 11.88%
10Y 31 90 182 365 731 1096 1461 1826 2192 2557 2922 3287 3653 5479 7305 9131 10958
0.50% 0.70% 0.74% 0.83% 0.69% 0.69% 0.69% 0.68% 0.67% 0.67% 0.67% 0.67% 0.66% 0.66% 0.62% 0.56% 0.52% 0.48%
1.00% 0.74% 0.86% 0.81% 0.69% 0.69% 0.69% 0.68% 0.68% 0.68% 0.68% 0.68% 0.68% 0.67% 0.63% 0.58% 0.54% 0.50%
2.00% 0.68% 0.74% 0.71% 0.64% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.62% 0.57% 0.53% 0.49%
2.50% 0.62% 0.68% 0.66% 0.61% 0.62% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.60% 0.56% 0.52% 0.48%
3.00% 0.56% 0.61% 0.61% 0.58% 0.59% 0.60% 0.60% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.58% 0.54% 0.50% 0.47%
3.50% 0.50% 0.55% 0.56% 0.56% 0.57% 0.58% 0.58% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% 0.56% 0.53% 0.49% 0.47%
4.00% 0.47% 0.53% 0.54% 0.55% 0.56% 0.57% 0.57% 0.58% 0.58% 0.58% 0.58% 0.58% 0.58% 0.55% 0.51% 0.48% 0.46%
4.50% 0.51% 0.57% 0.57% 0.56% 0.56% 0.57% 0.57% 0.57% 0.57% 0.57% 0.57% 0.57% 0.57% 0.54% 0.51% 0.48% 0.46%
5.00% 0.60% 0.66% 0.63% 0.59% 0.58% 0.58% 0.58% 0.58% 0.58% 0.58% 0.58% 0.57% 0.57% 0.55% 0.51% 0.49% 0.47%
6.00% 0.79% 0.85% 0.79% 0.67% 0.66% 0.65% 0.63% 0.63% 0.62% 0.62% 0.61% 0.61% 0.61% 0.58% 0.55% 0.52% 0.50%
7.00% 0.99% 1.05% 0.96% 0.78% 0.75% 0.73% 0.71% 0.70% 0.69% 0.69% 0.68% 0.68% 0.67% 0.64% 0.61% 0.58% 0.55%
8.00% 1.18% 1.24% 1.13% 0.88% 0.86% 0.83% 0.80% 0.78% 0.77% 0.77% 0.76% 0.76% 0.75% 0.71% 0.68% 0.64% 0.61%
9.00% 1.36% 1.43% 1.29% 0.99% 0.96% 0.93% 0.89% 0.86% 0.86% 0.85% 0.85% 0.84% 0.84% 0.79% 0.75% 0.71% 0.67%
10.00% 1.53% 1.61% 1.44% 1.10% 1.06% 1.02% 0.99% 0.95% 0.94% 0.94% 0.93% 0.93% 0.92% 0.87% 0.82% 0.77% 0.73%
11.00% 1.70% 1.78% 1.60% 1.20% 1.16% 1.12% 1.08% 1.03% 1.03% 1.02% 1.02% 1.01% 1.00% 0.95% 0.89% 0.84% 0.79%
12.00% 1.86% 1.95% 1.75% 1.31% 1.26% 1.21% 1.17% 1.12% 1.11% 1.10% 1.10% 1.09% 1.09% 1.03% 0.97% 0.91% 0.85%
13.00% 2.03% 2.12% 1.89% 1.41% 1.36% 1.31% 1.25% 1.20% 1.19% 1.19% 1.18% 1.18% 1.17% 1.10% 1.04% 0.97% 0.91%
14.00% 2.18% 2.28% 2.03% 1.51% 1.45% 1.40% 1.34% 1.28% 1.28% 1.27% 1.26% 1.26% 1.25% 1.18% 1.11% 1.04% 0.96%
106
Volatility cubes
107
CMS
➢ CMS definition
✓ CMS Rate n years = rate at which one would exchange at time T’ (T ' T ) the
Swap Rate of maturity n years, this Swap Rate being fixed at time T:
t T T’
S(T, Tn) =
CMSnY(T,T,T n)
CMSnY(t,T,Tn)
108
CMS
109
CMS, CMS options
CMS fixing as of
30/06/2009
(USD, JPY, EUR)
Daily fixing of CMS as for
Libor, Euribor
110
CMS, CMS options
111
CMS, CMS options
6.5% 2.5%
6.0%
2.0%
5.5%
5.0% 1.5%
4.5%
1.0%
4.0%
3.5%
0.5%
3.0%
2.5% 0.0%
2.0%
-0.5%
1.5%
1.0% -1.0%
01/01/99 01/01/00 31/12/00 31/12/01 01/01/03 01/01/04 31/12/04 31/12/05 01/01/07 01/01/08 31/12/08
112
CMS, CMS options
113
CMS, CMS options
114
CMS, CMS options
➢ Convexity adjustment can be justified by the fact that one who has
to pay a CMS rate is gamma negative (seller of a an option)
115
CMS leg
m
CMS (0, Ti , Ti + n)d i B(0, Ti ) =
i =1
m
SwapFwd (0, Ti , Ti + n) (1 + (0, Ti , n, i )d i B(0, Ti )
i =1
with :
nSwapFwd (0, Ti , Ti + n )
( ( ) )
(1 + (0, Ti , n, i ) = 1 + exp i T − 1 1 −
( )
2
(1 + SwapFwd (0, T , T + n ) / f ) (1 + SwapFwd (0, T , T + n ) / f )n f − 1
i i i i
116
CMS Swap
➢ CMS Swap:
✓ Clients exchange a floating leg indexed on CMS –
margin against a floating leg indexed on Euribor:
o Usually, client wants to receive CMS and pay Euribor
(especially Life insurance companies)
o Ex.: CMS10YEUR-100bps against Euribor3M during 5Y,
payment BasisACT360, payment frequency 3M
▪ Every quarter, client pays Euribor3M and receives CMS10Y-100bps
▪ Euribor3M is fixed at the beginning of the quarter and CMS10Y is
fixed at the end (in arrears)
118
CMS Swap : Examples as of 30/12/2009
Margin is both an increasing function of implied volatilities and the curve’s slope
119
Caplet/Floorlet CMS
120
Caplet/Floorlet CMS
121
Pay-off Caplets CMS vs. Cash Settlement Payer Swaption
Cash Level
122
Replication for Caplets, Floorlets CMS : key ideas
➢ Pay-off Caplets CMS pay-off vs. payer swaption pay-off for two hedge ratios:
5% cash settlement payer swaption on 10Y vs. caplets CMS10Y strike 5%
7.72 caplets for 1 swaption
50%
pay-off as % of notional
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 10.0%
10Y swap rate at maturity
pay-off swaption pay-off caplets cms
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 10.0%
10Y swap rate at maturity
pay-off swaption pay-off caplets cms
123
Replication for Caplets, Floorlets CMS : key ideas
➢
5% cash settlement payer swaption on 10Y vs. caplets CMS10Y strike 5%
7.72 caplets for 1 swaption
50%
pay-off as % of notional
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 10.0%
10Y swap rate at maturity
pay-off swaption pay-off caplets cms
124
Replication for Caplets, Floorlets CMS : key ideas
➢ More generally, one Caplet = static basket of cash settlement Swaptions
with increasing strike starting at 5%
125
Replication for Caplets, Floorlets CMS : key ideas
➢ Pay-off Floorlets CMS pay-off vs. receiver Swaptions pay-off for two hedge
ratios:
5% cash settlement receiver swaption on 10Y vs. floorlets CMS10Y strike 5%
7.72 floorlets for 1 swaption
35%
pay-off as % of notional
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0%
10Y swap rate at maturity
pay-off swaption pay-off floorlets cms
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0%
10Y swap rate at maturity
pay-off swaption pay-off floorlets cms
126
Replication for Caplets, Floorlets CMS : key ideas
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0%
10Y swap rate at maturity
pay-off swaption pay-off floorlets cms
127
Replication for Caplets, Floorlets CMS : key ideas
128
Caplet CMS pricing: replication
CMS-K
CMS-K
w1SP1+w2SP2
w1SP1 + w2 SP2 K1< K2<K3…
i, wi 0
i, wi 0
w1SP1
w1SP1
Swap Rate at
Maturity = CMS
SP = payer swaption Same maturity and tenor for Caplet CMS and (Cash Settlement) Payer Swaptions
Ex.: Caplet on CMS10Y in 5Y strike 5%, Payer Swaptions on 10Y in 5Y, strikes 5% < 5.25% < 5.50% <…
129
FLOORLET CMS pricing: replication
w1R1+w2SR2
w1SR1
K1> K2>K3…
CMS-K
130
Replication for Caplets, Floorlets CMS : key ideas
131
Replication for Caplets, Floorlets CMS : key ideas
➢ Key ideas:
✓ Caplet (floorlet) CMS priced as a static basket of cash settlement
payer (receiver) Swaptions
✓ CMS priced by call/put parity
✓ Replication basket + call/put parity on swaptions/options on CMS
132
CMS: Examples as of 30/12/2009
5.60%
0.46%
5.40%
0.41%
5.20% 0.36%
5.00% 0.31%
0.26%
4.80%
0.21%
4.60%
0.16%
4.40%
0.11%
4.20% 0.06%
4.00% 0.01%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Forward Swap Forward with ATM Convexity adjustment CMS 10Y by replication ATM Convexity Adjustment Adjustment by replication
133