Chapter 4
Profitability Analysis
Overview of Profitability Analysis
(Screen 1 of 2)
• Evaluates whether managers are effectively
executing a firm’s strategy.
• Helps to develop an understanding of a firm’s
performance to enable forecasts of future
performance.
Chapter: 04 2
Overview of Profitability Analysis
(Screen 2 of 2)
Approaches to understanding firm’s net income:
– Alternative transformations of measured net
income:
• Earnings per share analysis
• Common-size analysis
• Percentage change analysis
• Alternative definitions of profits
– Rate of Return Metrics:
• Return on total assets
• Return on common equity
Chapter: 04 3
Alternative Approaches to Analyzing Net
Income
Chapter: 04 4
Earnings Per Share
• One of the most frequently used measures of
profitability.
• The only financial ratio that GAAP requires firms
to disclose on the face of the income statement.
• Covered explicitly by the opinion of the
independent auditor.
• Types of EPS:
– Basic EPS (Simple Capital Structure)
– Diluted EPS (Complex Capital Structure)
Chapter: 04 5
Calculating EPS (Screen 1 of 2)
Basic EPS (Simple Capital Structure)
• For firms that do not have:
– Outstanding convertible bonds or convertible
preferred stock that can be exchanged for shares of
common stock.
– Options or warrants that holders can use to acquire
common stock.
• Basic EPS is calculated as:
Net Income - Preferred Stock Dividends
Weighted Average Number of
Common Shares Outstanding
Chapter: 04 6
Calculating EPS (Screen 2 of 2)
Diluted EPS (Complex Capital Structure)
– For the firms that have Convertible securities and/or
stock options or warrants outstanding.
– Presents two EPS amounts: Basic EPS & Diluted EPS.
– Diluted EPS reflects the dilution potential of
convertible securities, options, and warrants.
– Diluted EPS is calculated as:
Net Income - Preferred Stock Dividends + Adjustment s for Dilutive Securities
Weighted Average Weig hted Average Number
Number of Common + of Shares Issuable from
Shares Outstandin g Dilutive Securities
Chapter: 04 7
Criticisms of EPS
• It does not consider the amount of assets or
capital required to generate a particular level
of earnings.
• Two firms with the same earnings and EPS are
not necessarily equally profitable.
• The number of shares of common stock
outstanding serves as a poor measure of the
amount of capital in use.
Despite the above criticisms of EPS as a measure of profitability, it
remains one of the focal points of announcements and is frequently used
valuing firms.
Chapter: 04 8
Common-Size Analysis
• Simple way of creating greater comparability
across firms and for same firm through time.
• Most frequently utilized in:
– Income statement: by expressing all line items
scaled by revenues.
– Balance sheet: by expressing all line items scaled
by total assets.
• Common scaling enables figures across firms
and across time to be more comparable.
Chapter: 04 9
Percentage Change Analysis
• Computes percentage changes in individual
line items.
• Can be compared across firms or across time.
• Focus is not on the financial data themselves,
but on the changes in individual line items
through time.
Chapter: 04 10
Common-Size Analysis
Chapter: 04 11
Percentage Change Analysis
Chapter: 04 12
Alternative Definitions of Profits
• Analysts use measures of past profitability to
forecast the firm’s future profitability.
• These may include:
– Comprehensive Income
– Operating Income, EBIT, EBITDA, and Other Profit
Measures
– Segment Profitability
– Pro Forma, Adjusted, or Street Earning
Chapter: 04 13
Return on Assets
• Independent of firm’s financing decisions.
• Measures ongoing profitability.
• Unusual or nonrecurring items (such as
restructuring charges) may be removed, net of
tax.
• Return on Assets is calculated as:
Net Income + (1 - Tax Rate)(Interest Expense) + Noncontrolling Interest in Earnings
Average Total Assets
Chapter: 04 14
Disaggregating ROA
ROA can be further disaggregated into:
ROA = Profit Margin for ROA x Asse ts Turnover
Where :
Adjusted Net Income
Profit Margin =
Sales
Sales
Assets Turnover =
Average Total Assets
Chapter: 04 15
Return on Common Equity
Measures the return to common stockholders
after subtracting operating expenses and costs
of debt financing and preferred stock.
It should adjust net income for nonrecurring
charges, as in ROA.
Explicitly accounts for the cost of debt and
preferred stock financing.
ROCE is calculated as:
Net Income – Preferred Stock Dividends
Average Common Stockholde rs’ Equity
Chapter: 04 16
Relating ROA to ROCE
• ROA measures operating performance
independent of financing.
• ROCE considers the cost of debt and preferred
stock financing.
Chapter: 04 17
Disaggregating ROCE
ROCE can be further disintegrated into:
ROCE =
Profit Margin for ROCE x Assets Turnover x Capital Structure Leverage
Average
Net Income to Common Sales Total Assets
x x
Sales Average Average Common
Total Assets Shareholde rs’ Equity
Leverage refers to use of debt to increase return to
common stockholders
ROCE > ROA
When ROA > Cost of debt and Preferred stock financing.
Chapter: 04 18
Realized ROA versus Expected ROA
• Realized ROA is derived from financial
statement data for a particular period and will
not necessarily correlate perfectly with
expected returns.
• Reasons for this may be:
– Faulty assumptions were used in deriving
expected ROAs.
– Changes in the environment.
– ROA is an incomplete measure of economic rates
of return.
Chapter: 04 19
Elements of risk - differences in ROAs
• Three elements of risk help in understanding
differences across firms and changes over
time in ROAs:
– Operating leverage: Refers to proportion of fixed
costs relative to variable costs.
– Cyclicality of Sales: Are sales sensitive to
economic conditions?
– Product Life Cycle: Relates to the stage and length
of firm’s product life.
Chapter: 04 20
Trade-Offs between Profit Margin and Assets
Turnover
• Important to examine the differences
between the relative mix of profit margin and
assets turnover.
• Differences in ROA due to relative mix of
profit margin and assets turnover can be
explained by:
– Microeconomic Theory
– Business Strategy
Chapter: 04 21
Microeconomic Theory (Screen 1 of 2)
• Capacity Constraint
– Heavy fixed capacity costs and lengthy periods
required to add new capacity.
– There is an upper limit on the size of assets
turnover achievable.
– Only way to increase ROA is to increase profit
margin.
– The firms usually achieve the high profit margin
through some form of entry barrier.
Chapter: 04 22
Microeconomic Theory (Screen 2 of 2)
• Competitive Constraint
– For firms whose products are commodity-like.
– Few entry barriers and intense competition.
– There is an upper limit on the achievable level of
profit margin for ROA.
– Only way to improve ROA is to achieve high asset
turnover.
– Firms achieve the high assets turnovers by
controlling costs with aggressively low prices to
gain market share.
Chapter: 04 23
Business Strategy
• Two generic alternative strategies for a
particular product are:
– Product differentiation strategy-
• Differentiate a product to obtain market power over
revenues and, therefore, profit margins.
– Low-cost leadership strategy-
• Enabling the firm to charge the lowest prices and to
achieve higher sales volumes.
Chapter: 04 24
Analyzing the Profit Margin for ROA
• Sales
• Individual expenses
– Cost of goods sold
– Selling, General, and Administrative Expenses
– Income taxes
• Profit margin
• Segment data: Permits the analyst to
examine ROA, profit margin, and assets
turnover at an additional level of depth.
Chapter: 04 25
Analyzing Total Assets Turnover
Captures how efficiently assets are being utilized
to generate revenues.
Provides insight into changes in the total assets
turnover by examining turnover ratios:
Accounts receivable turnover- Indicates the average
time until firms collect accounts receivable in cash.
Inventory turnover- Indicates the length of time
needed to produce, hold, and sell inventories.
Fixed assets turnover- Measures the relation between
sales and the investment in property, plant, and
equipment.
Chapter: 04 26
Interpreting Financial Statement Ratios
(Screen 1 of 2)
• Comparing with Earlier Periods
• Raise the following questions:
Has the firm made a significant change in its product,
geographic, or customer mix?
Has the firm made a major acquisition or divestiture?
Has the firm changed its methods of accounting over
time?
Are there any unusual or nonrecurring amounts that
impair a comparable analysis of financial results
across?
Chapter: 04 27
Interpreting Financial Statement Ratios
(Screen 2 of 2)
• Comparing with Other Firms
• Consider the following:
Definition of the industry
Calculation of industry average
Distribution of ratios around the mean
Definition of financial statement ratios
Chapter: 04 28