Casebook 2
Casebook 2
Case Book #2
Complimentary cases
                      1
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                    H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E              2
         EXAMPLE CASES FROM
THE HIGH BRIDGE CASE LIBRARY (40+ CASES)
CASE 1
                  Kai Drinks
                                           CASE 2
Dubai Power
                                                    3
         EXAMPLE CASES FROM
THE HIGH BRIDGE CASE LIBRARY (40+ CASES)
CASE 1
                  Kai Drinks
                                           CASE 2
Dubai Power
                                                    4
Kai Drinks
Key data
Industry            Beverages
Level of
                    Easy
difficulty
Type                M&A
                    Synergies
Business concepts
                    Productivity
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Kai Drinks
Case Abstract (for Interviewer only)
• Kai Drinks is a case about a soft drinks     1) Structuring question: Should your client Kai Drinks acquire its biggest
  producer that is thinking of acquiring its      competitor, Abelardo Inc.?
  largest competitor.
                                               2) Brainstorming Question: What are the possible synergies for this
• The candidate will perform a full analysis      acquisition by Kai Drinks?
  in order to make a recommendation about
  this operation.                              3) Graph Question: What insights can you draw from that table?
                                                H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                                       6
Kai Drinks
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Kai Drinks: suggested structure
The candidate should:                                                                                                 Profits          Customers
1.   Approach this decision with a mixed framework                                      Financial Health
     (Qualitative, Quantitative and Risks)                                                                            Debt level       Channels
2.   Mention synergies (revenue and costs) examples
     and integration costs                                                                                            Revenue          Other
3.   Bring up some alternatives                    Kai Drinks                           Synergies
                                                                                                                      Costs            Supplies
                    Business Sense
                                                                                                                      M&A Experience   Factory
                                                  Abelardo Inc.
                                                                                        Qualitative aspects           Cultural fit     Management
Other Other
Standalone
                                                  Valuation                             Synergies
                    Economics
Should Kai                                        Price                                 Integration Costs
Drinks
                    Due Diligence
acquire                                           Integration issues                    Customers
Abelardo Inc?
                    Risks                         Reactions                             Competitors
Regulators
Other targets
                                                  Partnership
                                                                        H   I   G   H     B   R   I   D   G   E                                     8
Kai Drinks
Brainstorming question
• What are the possible synergies for this acquisition by Kai Drinks?
Suggested structure
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Kai Drinks
• Provide Exhibit 1 and ask: “What insights can you draw from that table?”
                                                 H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E   10
Kai Drinks: Exhibit 1
Cost per salesperson per      $35,000     $30,000                   Total in the Philippines                     100,000
year (US dollar)
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Kai Drinks
• There will be revenue and costs synergies in sales                                  • There are relevant synergies
                                                                                        that support the acquisition,
Revenue
                                                                                        but that is not enough to
• We could sell Kai Drinks to up to 20k more customers (that sell only                  justify a recommendation yet.
  Abelardo Inc.) and Abelardo Inc. to up to 37k more (that sell only Kai
  Drinks).
Costs
• We would need fewer salespeople with the combined companies to
  cover the 40k wholesalers/retailers that sell both brands (one
  salesperson could sell both brands to the same client)
The next step would be to evaluate the effect of the synergies on the
profits.
                                              H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                                     12
Kai Drinks
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Kai Drinks
Suggested answer
1. Efficiency                         Content & Formula                                                      Kai Drinks                     Abelardo Inc.
                                      Cost per salesperson                                                    $35,000                          $30,000
                                      Salesforce efficiency
                                                                                                                  140                            125
                                      (wholesalers/retailers per salesperson)
                                                                                                $35,000 $500 ∙ 70                   $30,000 $30 ∙ 1,000
                                      Cost per customer per salesperson                                =          = $250                   =            = $240
                                                                                                  140     2 ∙ 70                      125      125
2. Potential                          Content & Formula                                                      Kai Drinks                     Abelardo Inc.          Kai Drinks & Abelardo Inc.1
cost reduction                        Wholesalers/retailers to serve                                          77,000                           60,000                           97,000
                                      Salesforce efficiency
                                                                                                                  140                            125                             125
                                      (wholesalers/retailers per salesperson)
                                                                                                 77,000 1,100 ∙ 70                    60,000 1,000 ∙ 60             97,000 1,000 ∙ 97
                                      # salespeople                                                    =           = 550                    =           = 480             =           = 776
                                                                                                  140     2 ∙ 70                       125      125                  125      125
                                      Annual costs                                              550 ∙ $35,000 = $19,250,000          480 ∙ $30,000 = $14,400,000   776 ∙ $30,000 = $23,280,000
                                      Cost reduction                                                                    $19,250,000 + $14,400,000 − $23,280,000 = $10,370,000
So-What
• The potential cost reduction on saleforce after the acquisition is ~$10.5M/year
   – We will have the average productivity of Abelardo Inc. of 125 customers/salesperson for everyone
   – We will have the average salary of Abelardo Inc. of 30k/salesperson for everyone
   – From 1,030 employees in both companies, now only 776 will be needed, so we will cut 254 sales job positions
1   Using the more effective salesforce (which is the one from Abelardo Inc.)
                                                                                H   I   G   H    B   R   I    D    G    E                                                                        14
Kai Drinks
Brainstorming question
Suggested structure
                                                              H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                                                       15
Kai Drinks
Recommendation
• Question – Based on the analysis so far, should your client Kai Drinks acquire its biggest competitor, Abelardo Inc.?
• Recommendation – Based on the available data, there’s value from synergies in acquiring Abelardo Inc., however, we cannot say for sure you
  should do that yet. There are two main arguments favoring the acquisition:
  – Argument 1: we have identified several potential revenue and cost synergies between the two companies, which could lead to higher
     profits after M&A.
  – Argument 2: after analyzing the synergies on the distribution to wholesalers and retailers, we learned that the synergies in salesforce can
     lead to $10.5M cost reduction.
• Risks:
  – Cannibalization risks
  – Integration risks
  – It might be difficult to lay-off Kai Drinks salespeople/cut their salaries (labor union, severance pay, negative image, etc.)
• Next steps:
  – Before fully recommending the merger, Kai Drinks should estimate the other big synergies in production and distribution and conduct risk
     assessment on the regulatory and competitive environment.
                                                          H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                                              16
         EXAMPLE CASES FROM
THE HIGH BRIDGE CASE LIBRARY (40+ CASES)
CASE 1
                  Kai Drinks
                                           CASE 2
Dubai Power
                                                    17
Dubai Power
Key data
Industry            Energy
Level of
                    Medium
difficulty
Type                Decision
                    Opportunity assessment
Business concepts
                    Payback
                                     H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E   18
Case Abstract
Summary of Case Topics                  Summary of Case Questions
• Dubai Power is a case about           1. Brainstorming Question: What types of renewable energy can
  finding the appropriate renewable        you think of?”
  energy source for the Dubai
                                        2. Structuring question: “What renewable energy source should
  Government to power its business
                                           Dubai choose to power the district?”
  district.
                                        3. Graph question: What type of renewable energy would you
• The candidate needs to evaluate
                                           recommend to analyze further?”
  the viability of various options
  first, and then analyze the           4. Math question: “How many years does it take for Solar PV and
  financials of short-listed options.      CSP to return the Invested Capital?”
                                        H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                           19
Dubai Power
Case question                                   Possible clarification questions
• Your client is the Urban Development          Type                 Question                          Answer
  Department of the Dubai Government
  (United Arab Emirates).                       What Exactly         Why have they decided to pursue   For long-term sustainability, as other
                                                Happened             this goal?                        districts might also follow, and for
• The Department has created an ambitious                                                              showcasing Dubai to the world as pioneer.
  plan to power one of its business districts
  exclusively through renewable energy.
                                                                     Do they have any options in       We’ll talk about it later.
                                                Goal
• The plan has received widespread media                             mind? Solar, wind?
  attention and praise, and other countries
                                                Goal                 Are there any considerations/     Ensuring that 100% of the energy produced
  might follow suit.                                                                                   is renewable, while having the fastest
                                                                     constraints?
                                                                                                       payback possible.
• The Department has consulted you to
  recommend sources of clean energy                                                                    Bear in mind that Dubai is a coastal city in
  generation.                                                                                          a desertic region.
• What renewable energy source should                                What is the expected energy       The District is expected to consume 18,000
  Dubai choose to power the district?           Goal                 demand of the district?           GWh per year.
                                                Business             Will the Government be the sole   Yes, 100% of energy supplied is from the
                                                Model                energy provider? How does it      public company belonging to the UAE
                                                                     work?                             Government. The price will be a fixed rate
                                                                                                       of 0.10 USD per kWh.
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Dubai Power
Brainstorming Question               Suggested answer                                  Structuring Question
After the clarification questions,   A strong candidate should mention as              After the quick brainstorming, tell
when the candidate asks for time,    many as possible from the list bellow:            the candidate:
interrupt and ask:
                                     1. Solar energy - Solar Photovoltaic (PV)         “Now let’s please address the
“What types of renewable                or Concentrated Solar Power (CSP,              client’s main question:
energy can you think of?“               that will be covered further in this
                                        case                                           What renewable energy source
                                                                                       should Dubai choose to power the
                                     2. Wind energy                                    district?”
                                     3. Hydro energy
                                     4. Tidal energy (wave)
                                     5. Geothermal energy
                                     6. Biomass energy (e.g., waste, wood)
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Dubai Power: Suggested structure
The candidate should:                                                Solar                     Wind                       Hydro     Tidal             Geothermal             Biomass
1.   Apply some kind of decision framework (including
     qualitative, quantitative & risk aspects)
2.   Verbally state that they would compare all the options
     according to the dimensions
3.   Acknowledge that not all types are feasible for the region
                         Business Sense                       •   “We can apply business sense to shortlist the most attractive options.”
                                                              •   “First, I would screen the different options for feasibility in the region. If there’s little wind, for example,
                                                                  wind power is not a good choice.”
                              Feasibility in the region
                                                              •   “Second, I would look at the reliability of the source. Solar is probably very reliable as the region is very
                                                                  sunny. But unsure about Hydroelectric sources reliability in the region, since it‘s a desert. The possibility to
                              Reliability & storage
                                                                  store the energy (e.g., batteries) can balance out intermittent production.”
                                                              •   “Third, I would look at safety levels, including potential environmental hazard, to de-prioritize dangerous
                              Safety level
                                                                  options upfront.”
 Which                                                        •   “We already saw that price charged per kWh will be the same for each option, so I will focus on the analysis
                         Financial (Payback)
 renewable?                                                       of the investments & investors (public vs private) and fixed/variable costs of each option.”
                              Investment
Annual Profits
                                                              •   “Assuming we chose the most reliable and safe energy sources to analyze, I would still want to take a look
                         Risks
                                                                  at any other risks, such as accidents & economic risks –like demand being lower than forecasted.
Accidents
                              Economic risks
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Dubai Power
Exhibit                                     Possible clarification needed after showing Exhibit A
•   The next step is to provide Exhibit A    Type                       Question                     Answer
    and tell the candidate
                                             Definition                 What is the difference       You can share exhibit B with the
•   “What type of renewable energy                                      between Solar PV and Solar   candidate
    would you recommend to analyze                                      concentrated?
    further?”
•   Allow the candidate time to read and     Definition                 What is the difference       Onshore is on land and offshore is
    understand the table                                                between wind onshore and     installed in water.
                                                                        wind offshore?
                                             Land                       Do we have any data on the   Yes, Dubai is known for its desert,
                                             availability               land availability for        and there’s plenty of space to install
                                                                        installation?                the energy plants
                                                    H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                                                 23
Dubai Power: Exhibit A
                     Average cost
Source               (USD/MWh)      Energy generator driver                                  Other important factors to be considered
Solar Photovoltaic     35 - 55      •   Sunlight availability                                •   Panel maintenance
(PV)                                                                                         •   Space availability for implementation
Solar Concentrated     20 - 120     •   Sunlight availability                                •   Similar to Solar PV but output is less variable
Power (CSP)
Wind offshore 80 - 120 • Stability and strength of wind • Based in water, so it has foundation complexity
Wind onshore           50 - 70      •   Stability and strength of wind                       •   Causes visual and noise pollution
                                                                                             •   Requires extensive areas
Hydro-electric         80 - 100     •   Availability of rivers and areas that                •   Causes environmental impact from flooding and
                                        can be flooded                                           changing water flows
Tidal 200 • Waves (insufficient in UAE) • Causes visual and noise pollution
Geothermal             50 - 70      •   Thermal energy from the Earth’s                      •   It’s considered renewable because the Earth’s
                                        crust (insufficient in UAE)                              interior has an immense amount of energy
Biomass                80 - 150     •   Wood, grass, organic waste, etc                      •   Wood can release more CO2 than coal
                                                                                             •   Plants need fertile soil to grow fast
                                                     H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                                                         24
Dubai Power: Exhibit B
Types of renewable energy generation
Solar PV (Photovoltaic)                                                       Concentrated Solar Power (CSP)
• Converts sunlight into electricity via thin mono-                           • Converts thermal energy into electricity by
  crystalline silicon films (solar panels).                                     concentrating solar rays using architecture and mirrors.
• During cloudy days or night-time, PV cannot function                        • CSP can function in cloudy or sub-optimal conditions
  due to the absence of sufficient sunlight.                                    because there is still sufficient thermal energy.
                                                      H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                                                25
Dubai Power: Example analysis
                                        •   Both PV and CSP can be attractive:
                                            – (1) Dubai has a lot of sun and the cost of those types of energy could be on the lower range, making them the
          Recommendation                      cheapest options
                                            – (2) Solar doesn’t cause considerable environment damage
                                        •   First of all, the energy option should be financially attractive. PV and CSP have potentially the lowest cost at 35
          Cost                              and 20 USD/MWh, respectively
                                        •   Given that the price to be charged is 0.10 USD/KWh, the price needs to be below 100 USD/MWh. CSP can cost up
                                            to 120 USD/MWh, so we need to look closer.
          Energy generator driver       •   Second, it’s necessary to think about what generation drivers are available in Dubai.
                                        •   We can analyze the most relevant options for Dubai
             Solar availability
                                            – Dubai is very sunny, so we can assume that there’s excellent availability for solar power.
Which                                       – It’s possible that Dubai is not windy enough to power the business district economically. We’d have to check
option?      Wind availability
                                              that.
             Water availability             – Given the desert climate, it’s possible to say that Dubai does not have a lot of hydroelectric potential.
                                            – Biomass requires fast plant/tree growth, which is difficult in a desert. Waste generated by the population
             Dust generation capacity         could be a source
          Other important factors       •   Finally, we need to look to other factors that need to be considered, such as type of land availability and possible
                                            environment damage.
             Type of available land     •   Dubai is known for its deserts, so it seems there’s a lot of available land to install solar panels
                                        •   The last thing would be to analyze if there’s any option that fits the other categories and doesn’t cause
             Environment damage             considerable environmental damage, so hydroelectric and biomass should be avoided if possible.
                                                            H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                                                                 26
Dubai Power: Guide for interviewer
Math Question
• Tell them that Dubai has received two promising proposals from solar powerplant suppliers.
• Present Exhibit C.
• Ask the candidate: “How many years does it take for Solar PV and CSP to return the Invested Capital?”
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Dubai Power: Exhibit C
Solar power suppliers’ propositions
                                                               Unit                                              PV          CSP
* Capacity factor: how much energy is produced by a plant compared with its maximum output (plant capacity)
** Storage for CSP is not needed and any CAPEX is included in CAPEX production
                                                                         H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                     28
Dubai Power: Guide for interviewer
Math Question: Calculating Payback                                                                Intermediate conclusion
• Before starting the math plan, a strong candidate will notice that we don’t have                “Based on the given data, we only have
  any data on the OPEX.                                                                           available information regarding the CAPEX.
• When asked, provide the numbers below verbally.
                                                                                                  However, we must consider the variable and
        KPI                   Unit                Solar PV                    CSP                 fixed costs in order to calculate the profits.
• If the candidate asks, OPEX includes both variable and diluted fixed costs
  (considering maximum capacity utilization)
• If the candidate hasn’t clarified yet, please provide the energy demand (18,000
  GWh per year) and price (0.10 USD per kWh).
– 1 kW = 1,000 W (thousand)
– 1 MW = 1,000,000 W (million)
– 1 GW = 1,000,000,000 W (billion)
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Dubai Power: Suggested Math Plan
Math Question: Calculating Payback
                             Total CAPEX (Investment)                                           The candidate must pay attention:
 Payback Calculation                                                                            information was given in different units
                                     Profit
1. Capacity needed Capacity needed [GW] = Energy demand [GWh/year] / Annual running hours [h] / Capacity factor [%]
2. CAPEX Total CAPEX [USD] = Capacity needed [GW] * CAPEX per unit [USD/W] * Conversion w to GW
                                                        H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                                              30
Dubai Power: Calculations
 Payback Calculation
                                          Capacity needed [GW] = Energy demand [GWh/year] / Annual running hours [h] / Capacity factor [%]
* 24 hours of usage during 365 working days of a year = 8,760 hours = ~9,000 hours
                                                                           H   I   G   H   B    R   I       D   G   E                                             31
Dubai Power: Calculations
Payback Calculation
                           OPEX [USD/year] = Energy demand [GWh/year] * OPEX [USD/kWh] * Conversion kW to GW
  1. Capacity estimation    Type                                           PV                               CSP
                            Energy demand                                                   18,000                     Provided data
  2. CAPEX                  [GWh/year]
                            OPEX [USD/kWh]                                 0.05                             0.02        Calculation
  3. OPEX                   Conversion kW to GW                       x 1 million                        x 1 million
                            OPEX [USD/year]                       900 million                            360 million
  4. Revenue
                           Revenue [USD/year] = Energy demand [GWh/year] * Price [USD/kWh] * Conversion kW to GW
                            Type                                           PV                               CSP
  5. Contribution Margin
                            Energy demand [GWh/year]                                         18,000                    Provided data
                            Price (USD/kWh)                                                   0.10
  6 Payback
                            Conversion kW to GW                                            x 1 million                  Calculation
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Dubai Power: Calculations
Payback Calculation
                           Profits [USD/year] = Revenue [USD/year] - OPEX [USD/year]
  1. Capacity estimation    Type                                                             PV                      CSP
                            Revenue [USD/year]                                                      1.8 billion                 Previously
  2. CAPEX                  OPEX [USD /year]                                        900 million                   360 million   calculated
  4. Revenue
                           Payback [years] = Total CAPEX [USD]/ Profit [USD/year]
  5. Contribution Margin    Type                                                             PV                      CSP
                            CAPEX (USD)                                                 8 billion                  12 billion   Previously
  6 Payback                 Profits (USD/year)                                      900 million               1,440 million     calculated
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Dubai Power
                                              H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E   34
Dubai Power
Final recommendation
Question – What renewable energy source should Dubai choose to power the district?
Recommendation – Dubai should select the Solar CSP solution
• Argument 1 – CSP has the lowest payback
• Argument 2 – Dubai is an adequate location for solar power, because of its high amount of sunlight
Risks:
• Severe sandstorms can damage solar energy production and impact OPEX costs.
• However, this is a problem for both Solar PV and CSP, so this does not change the recommendation but
  suggests a need for mitigating steps.
Next steps:
• Explore financials of alternative renewable energy sources and the combination of multiple ones
• Invest in R&D or collaborate with other organizations to reduce costs of technology and CAPEX
                                             H   I   G   H   B   R   I   D   G   E                       35
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