A Project Report
A Project Report
On
By
“Dakshata Khandare”
Submitted to
First of all I would like to thank the supreme power the almighty god who is
obviously guided me to work on the right path of life. Next to him are my
parents, whom I am greatly indebted for encouraging me to this stage. I am
feeling oblige in taking the opportunity to thanks my college INTERNATIONAL
INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT & HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT (W), then I
would like to express my special thanks of gratitude to my teacher Dr. Lavkush
Singh our who gave me the opportunity to do this wonderful project on the
topic THE STUDY OF INVESTMENT ANALYSIS, which also helped me in
doing a lot of research and I came to know about so many new things I'm really
thankful to them. Lastly, I thank almighty and my friends for their constant
encouragement without which this project would not be possible.
DECLARATION
1 INTRODUCTION
2. OBJECTIVES OF STU DY
3. COMPANY PROFILE
4. REVIEW OF LITERATURE
5. RESEARCH METHODOLODY
6. DATA ANALYSIS
7. FINDINGS
8. SUGGESTIONS
9. CONCLUSION
10 . LIMITATIONS OF STUDY
11. BIBLIOGRAPHY
Executive Summary
Investment analysis
Investment Decisions: The valuation process depends upon the investor’s ability to
elicit information from the relationship and inter –relationship among the company
related variables. Technical analysis: It is a process of identifying trend reversals at an
earlier stage to formulate the buying and selling strategy. With the help of several
indicators, they analyze the relationship between price-volume and supply –demand
for the overall market and the individual market and the individual a stock. Volume is
favorable on the upswing the number of shares traded is greater than before and on the
downside the number of shares traded dwindles. If it is the other way round, trend
reversals can be expected.
Technical Tools:
1. Dow theory
2. Volume of trading
3. Short selling
4. Odd lot trading
5. Bar and line charts
6. Moving averages, Oscillators
1. Dow Theory
Core Principles:
o Market Trends: The market has three main trends: primary (long-term),
secondary (intermediate), and minor (short-term).
o Trend Confirmation: Major trends require confirmation from both the
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Jones Transportation
Average (DJTA).
o Volume: Volume confirms trend direction. High volume on upward
moves strengthens a bull market, while high volume on downward moves
confirms a bear market.
o Three Phases of a Bull Market: Accumulation (early buying), Public
Participation (strong upward move), and Distribution (late selling).
o Reversals: Reversals are confirmed by a series of lower highs and lower
lows in an uptrend, or higher highs and higher lows in a downtrend.
Key Takeaways:
o Dow Theory provides a framework for identifying and following major
market trends.
o It emphasizes the importance of trend confirmation and volume analysis.
o While historically significant, its application in today's diverse market
may have limitations.
2. Volume of Trading
Significance:
o Trend Confirmation: High volume during an uptrend signals strong
buying pressure, while high volume during a downtrend indicates strong
selling pressure.
o Breakouts: Increased volume accompanying a breakout from a trading
range can signal a strong move in the underlying asset.
o Divergence: Volume divergence occurs when price moves in one
direction while volume moves in the opposite direction. This can be a
bearish signal if price is rising while volume is declining, or a bullish
signal if price is falling while volume is rising.
Considerations:
o Volume analysis is most effective when used in conjunction with other
technical indicators.
o Volume figures can be influenced by factors such as short selling and
algorithmic trading.
3. Short Selling
Concept:
o Short selling involves borrowing shares of a stock and selling them at the
current market price.
o The short seller hopes to buy back the shares at a lower price in the future,
thereby making a profit.
o Short selling is a bearish strategy used when an investor believes the price
of a stock will decline.
Risks:
o Unlimited Loss Potential: If the price of the shorted stock rises
significantly, the potential loss for the short seller is theoretically
unlimited.
o Short Squeeze: A short squeeze occurs when a heavily shorted stock
experiences a sharp price increase, forcing short sellers to cover their
positions (buy back the shares) at a loss.
4. Odd Lot Trading
Definition:
o Odd lot trading involves buying or selling less than 100 shares of a stock.
o Historically, odd lot traders were often considered to be small,
inexperienced investors.
Significance:
o Odd lot trading data is sometimes used by technical analysts as a
contrarian indicator. The idea is that small investors often make poor
investment decisions, so when they are buying, it may be a signal to sell,
and vice versa.
o However, the validity of this contrarian approach is debatable and may
not be reliable in today's market.
5. Bar and Line Charts
Bar Charts:
o Each bar on a bar chart represents the price action of a stock during a
specific time period (e.g., one day).
o The bar typically shows the open, high, low, and closing prices.
Line Charts:
o Line charts connect the closing prices of a stock over a period of time.
o They provide a simple visual representation of price trends.
Uses:
o Both bar and line charts are fundamental tools for technical analysis.
o They help identify trends, support and resistance levels, and chart
patterns.
6. Moving Averages, Oscillators
Moving Averages:
o Moving averages smooth out price fluctuations by calculating the average
price of a stock over a specific period.
o Common types include simple moving averages (SMA) and exponential
moving averages (EMA).
o Moving averages can be used to identify trend direction, generate trading
signals, and set stop-loss levels.
Oscillators:
o Oscillators measure the momentum or overbought/oversold conditions of
a stock.
o Popular oscillators include RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD
(Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and Stochastic Oscillator.
o Oscillators can generate buy and sell signals when they reach overbought
or oversold levels.
Nirmal Bang is a prominent name in the Indian financial services landscape, renowned
for its comprehensive range of offerings and strong market presence. This in-depth
exploration delves into the company's history, core businesses, key strengths,
challenges, and future outlook.
1. A Glimpse into the Past: Founding and Growth
Nirmal Bang, with its roots deeply embedded in the Indian financial markets, has a
rich history of evolution and expansion. Founded in 1986, the company initially
focused on providing traditional broking services. Recognizing the evolving needs of
the market and leveraging technological advancements, Nirmal Bang gradually
diversified its offerings to encompass a wider spectrum of financial products and
services.
Over the years, the company has grown significantly, expanding its reach across India
through a vast network of branches and leveraging technology to enhance customer
experience. This strategic expansion has positioned Nirmal Bang as one of the leading
players in the Indian financial services industry.
2. Core Businesses: A Diverse Portfolio
Nirmal Bang offers a comprehensive suite of financial products and services, catering
to the diverse needs of individual and institutional investors. Key business segments
include:
Equity Broking: This remains a core business for Nirmal Bang, offering a
platform for trading in equities, derivatives, and commodities. The company
provides clients with access to real-time market data, advanced trading
platforms, and expert research and advisory services.
Investment Banking: Nirmal Bang's investment banking division provides a
range of services, including equity and debt capital market issuances, mergers
and acquisitions advisory, and corporate finance solutions.
Wealth Management: Recognizing the growing demand for personalized
wealth management solutions, Nirmal Bang offers a comprehensive suite of
wealth management services, including portfolio management, financial
planning, and estate planning.
Distribution of Financial Products: The company acts as a distributor for a
wide range of financial products, including mutual funds, insurance products,
and other investment instruments.
Research and Advisory: Nirmal Bang's research team provides in-depth
analysis and insights on various sectors and companies, enabling investors to
make informed investment decisions.
3. Key Strengths: Driving Success
Strong Brand Equity: Nirmal Bang has built a strong brand reputation over the
years, synonymous with trust, reliability, and customer-centricity.
Extensive Network: The company boasts a wide network of branches across
India, ensuring accessibility and convenience for clients.
Technological Prowess: Nirmal Bang has embraced technology to enhance its
service delivery, offering innovative trading platforms, online trading platforms,
and mobile applications.
Experienced Team: The company employs a team of experienced professionals
with deep domain expertise in various areas of finance.
Customer Focus: Nirmal Bang is committed to providing exceptional customer
service and building long-term relationships with its clients.
4. Challenges and Opportunities
Intense Competition: The Indian financial services industry is highly
competitive, with numerous players vying for market share.
Regulatory Changes: The evolving regulatory landscape poses both challenges
and opportunities for financial institutions.
Technological Disruption: The rapid pace of technological advancements
necessitates continuous innovation and adaptation to remain competitive.
Cybersecurity Threats: Ensuring the security of client data and systems is
crucial in today's digital age.
Leveraging Technology: Nirmal Bang needs to continue leveraging technology
to enhance its service offerings, improve operational efficiency, and gain a
competitive edge.
5. Future Outlook: Navigating the Evolving Landscape
Nirmal Bang is well-positioned to navigate the evolving landscape of the Indian
financial services industry. The company's strategic focus on expanding its digital
capabilities, enhancing customer experience, and diversifying its revenue streams will
be crucial for future growth.
Key areas of focus for Nirmal Bang include:
Digital Transformation: Expanding online and mobile platforms, leveraging
artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning, and enhancing digital customer
engagement.
Wealth Management Growth: Capitalizing on the growing demand for
personalized wealth management solutions.
Investment Banking Expansion: Expanding its investment banking
capabilities to cater to the growing needs of Indian corporates.
Innovation and Diversification: Exploring new business opportunities and
diversifying revenue streams to mitigate risks
Chapter - 4
Review Of Literature
Research Design
This research is very wide as it will consider theoretical aspects,
qualitative information and quantitative data. So, the research design
for this study would be Descriptive and Quantitative research.
Sample Size
The sample size of this research is limited to 50Respondents.
Sample Design
The sampling design of this research is Convenience sampling
method.
Data Collection
The relevant data will be collected from Secondary sources and
Primary sources.
Primary Data - The primary data have been collected through
Structured Questionnaire.
Secondary Data – The secondary data have been collected with the
help of Articles, Journals, Reports and Websites.
Questionnaire Design The questionnaire design is bases on Close
ended questions. The Close Ended questions will include Multiple
Choice Questions with approx. 2-8 options each question.
Tools and Techniques - The statistical tools and techniques for
analyzing the data under this research are Percentage, and Pie
Charts.
Q.1 Gender
Gender
MALE 44%
FEMALE 56%
AGES
20-30 52%
30-40 32%
40-50 16%
20-30 age group: This group makes up the largest portion of the population,
accounting for 52% of the total.
30-40 age group: This group represents 32% of the population.
40-50 age group: This group constitutes the smallest portion, representing 16%
of the population.
Q.3 What are your investment goals ?
RETIREMENT 26%
BUYING A HOUSE 38%
EDUCATION 22%
WEALTH ACCUMULATION 14%
Very Well-Defined and Easily Measured: This category represents 22% of the
respondents. Their goals are clear and easy to track progress on.
Fairly Well-Defined, but Could Be More Specific: This category represents
38% of the respondents. Their goals are somewhat defined, but could benefit
from additional specificity.
Not Well-Defined or Measurable: This category represents 26% of the
respondents. Their goals are unclear or difficult to measure progress on.
No Individual Goals Were Set: This category represents 14% of the
respondents. They haven't set any individual goals.
Overall, this chart indicates that a significant portion of the respondents (60%)
have goals that are at least fairly well-defined, but there is also a considerable
group (26%) whose goals are not well-defined or measurable.
Q.4 What is your investment time horizon ?
Completely Aligned: 22% of respondents reported that their individual goals are
completely aligned with team goals.
Partially Aligned: 36% of respondents reported that their individual goals are
partially aligned with team goals.
Not Aligned at All: 26% of respondents reported that their individual goals are
not aligned with team goals.
No Team Goals Defined: 16% of respondents reported that no team
goals were defined.
Q.5 What is your risk tolerance ?
LOW 30%
MODERATE 44%
HIGH 14%
MORE HIGH 12%
Yes, I have all the necessary resources: 30% of respondents reported that they
have all the necessary resources and support.
I have some of the resources and support: 36% of respondents reported that they
have some of the resources and support.
I lack the necessary resources and support: 20% of respondents reported that
they lack the necessary resources and support.
I have not been informed about available resources: 14% of respondents
reported that they have not been informed about available resources.
Q.7 What data sources are relevant to your investment analysis ?
REGULARLY 18%
OCCASIONALLY 58%
RARELY 18%
NO FEEDBACK IS PROVIDED 6%
Vague, general feedback: 32% of respondents feel that the feedback they receive
is vague and general.
Yes, I have regular opportunities: 48% of respondents reported that they have
regular opportunities to provide feedback to their manager.
I have occasional opportunities: 24% of respondents reported that they have
occasional opportunities to provide feedback to their manager.
I have no opportunities to provide feedback: 28% of respondents reported that
they have no opportunities to provide feedback to their manager.
Q.11 Will you build predictive models ?
Yes, I use feedback to develop my skills: 24% of respondents reported that they
use feedback to develop their skills.
I sometimes use feedback to improve: 36% of respondents reported that they
sometimes use feedback to improve.
I rarely use feedback to improve: 30% of respondents reported that they rarely
use feedback to improve.
Feedback is not helpful for improving performance: 10% of respondents
reported that feedback is not helpful for improving performance
Q.13
Q.14 How will you communicate your findings to stakeholders ?
REPORTS 26%
PRESENTATIONS 34%
INTERACTIVE DASHBOARDS 28%
DAILY 12%
Q.16
Q.17 What is your overall investment strategy?
ASSET ALLOCATION 20%
DIVERSIFICATON 46%
REBALANCING 18%
BALANCING 16%
VALUATION 30%
GROWTH PROSPECTS 18%
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE 30%
OVER GROWTH 22%
The findings of an investment analysis will vary greatly depending on the specific
investment being analyzed, the methodologies used, and the investor's
objectives. However, some common findings may include:
Valuation:
o Intrinsic Value: The analysis may determine the intrinsic value of the
investment using various methods like discounted cash flow analysis,
relative valuation, or option pricing models.
o Fair Market Value: The analysis may compare the intrinsic value to the
current market price to determine if the investment is undervalued,
overvalued, or fairly valued.
Risk Assessment:
o Risk Factors: The analysis may identify key risk factors associated with
the investment, such as market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, and
operational risk.
o Risk Tolerance: The analysis may assess the investor's risk tolerance and
recommend appropriate risk management strategies.
Investment Recommendation:
o Buy, Sell, or Hold: Based on the findings of the analysis, the investment
may be recommended as a "buy," "sell," or "hold" for the investor.
o Investment Thesis: The analysis may articulate a clear investment thesis,
outlining the rationale for the recommendation and the expected return
and risk profile.
Performance Projections:
o Expected Returns: The analysis may provide projections for future
returns, considering various scenarios and assumptions.
o Sensitivity Analysis: The analysis may assess the sensitivity of the
investment's performance to changes in key assumptions, such as interest
rates, economic growth, and commodity prices.
Key Considerations:
Data Quality: The accuracy and reliability of the findings depend heavily on
the quality and accuracy of the data used in the analysis.
Assumptions and Limitations: It is important to clearly identify the
assumptions made in the analysis and acknowledge any limitations.
Market Dynamics: Market conditions can change rapidly, and the findings of
an investment analysis may need to be updated regularly to reflect new
information and changing circumstances.
Chapter - 8
Suggestion
Investment analysis serves as the bedrock for informed and successful investment
decisions. By employing a rigorous and multifaceted approach, investors can:
Identify Profitable Opportunities: Through in-depth research and analysis,
investors can uncover undervalued assets and identify investment opportunities
with the highest potential for growth.
Minimize Risk: By carefully assessing risk factors and implementing
appropriate risk mitigation strategies, investors can protect their capital and limit
potential losses.
Achieve Financial Goals: Investment analysis helps align investment decisions
with individual financial objectives, such as retirement savings, college funding,
or purchasing a home.
Enhance Portfolio Performance: By constructing well-diversified portfolios
and optimizing asset allocation, investors can improve overall portfolio
performance and increase the likelihood of achieving their financial goals.
Key Takeaways:
No Single Approach Fits All: A combination of fundamental, technical, and
quantitative analysis, along with consideration of economic and behavioral
factors, often provides the most comprehensive understanding of an investment
opportunity.
Continuous Learning and Adaptation: The investment landscape is constantly
evolving, and investors must continuously adapt their strategies and analysis
techniques to remain competitive.
Importance of Discipline and Patience: Successful investing requires
discipline, patience, and a long-term perspective. Emotional biases and short-
term market fluctuations should be avoided.
In Conclusion:
Investment analysis is an ongoing process that requires continuous learning, critical
thinking, and a commitment to thorough research. By embracing a disciplined
approach and adapting to the evolving investment landscape, investors can increase
their chances of achieving their financial goals and building a secure financial future.
Chapter - 10
Limitations of the study
Fundamentals
Bodie, Z., Kane, A., & Marcus, A. J. (2014). Investments. McGraw-Hill
Education.
o A comprehensive textbook covering a wide range of investment
topics, including asset classes, portfolio theory, and valuation.
Damodaran, A. (2012). Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for
Determining the Value of Any Asset. John Wiley & Sons.
o A classic text focusing on valuation methodologies, including
discounted cash flow analysis and relative valuation.
Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., & Jaffe, J. F. (2019). Corporate
Finance. McGraw-Hill Education.
o While primarily focused on corporate finance, this book covers
relevant topics for investment analysis, such as capital budgeting
and valuation.
Technical Analysis
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A
Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York
Institute of Finance.
o A comprehensive guide to technical analysis techniques, including
chart patterns, indicators, and trading strategies.
Elder, A. (1993). Trading for a Living: Psychology, Trading Tactics,
Money Management. John Wiley & Sons.
o A classic book that emphasizes the psychological aspects of trading
and the importance of risk management.
Behavioral Finance
Shefrin, H. (2000). Behavioral Finance: The Psychology of Investing.
Prentice Hall.
o Explores the psychological biases that influence investor behavior
and their impact on market outcomes.
Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow. Farrar, Straus and
Giroux.
o A groundbreaking book on cognitive biases that has significant
implications for investment decision-making.
Portfolio Management
Markowitz, H. M. (1952). Portfolio Selection. Journal of Finance, 7(1),
77-91.
o The seminal paper that introduced the concept of portfolio
diversification and modern portfolio theory.
Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market
Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk. Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-
442.
o Outlines the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), a fundamental
model for asset pricing.
Emerging Trends
Meucci, A. (2005). Risk and Asset Allocation. Springer Finance.
o Explores advanced topics in portfolio management, including risk
modeling and asset allocation strategies.
Harris, R., & Adkins, R. (2010). Quantitative Financial Analysis. John
Wiley & Sons.
o Covers quantitative methods used in investment analysis, including
statistical modeling and machine learning.
Note: This is a selective bibliography and does not encompass all relevant
literature.
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be
considered financial advice. Investing in the stock market involves risks, and you
could lose money.
To find more comprehensive bibliographies, I recommend exploring these
resources:
Google Scholar: A powerful search engine for academic literature,
including journal articles, books, and dissertations.
JSTOR: A digital library that provides access to a wide range of academic
journals, including many in finance and economics.
SSRN (Social Science Research Network): A repository for working
papers and published research in the social sciences, including finance.