Researchreport 681461
Researchreport 681461
LOW DEBT
Outstanding ZF
Results in Dec 22
Commercial
Bullish
Technical Trend Strong buy
www.marketsmojo.com
ZF Commercial
CMP: 10,209.50 Strong Buy 84
Report as on 17 February 2023 at 09:27 PM
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
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Ja 2 0
Se -2 2
Ja 2 2
Fe -2 1
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Au 20
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Ap 20
Ap 22
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Period 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y
WHAT ARE YOUR RISKS? Stock (%) 3.21% 32.75% 71.92% 50.24%
Poor long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an Sector (%) -0.69% -0.69% 19.60% 58.88%
annual rate of 6.59% and Operating profit at 1.16%
Sensex (%) 1.23% 5.37% 17.98% 48.58%
over the last 5 years
With ROE of 12.3, it has a Expensive valuation with a
8.7 Price to Book Value
-The stock is trading at a discount compared to its
average historical valuations
-Over the past year, while the stock has generated a
return of 32.59%, its profits have risen by 105.2% ; the
PEG ratio of the company is 0.7
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MANAGEMENT RISK
ROE
The company has been able to generate a Return on Equity
10.14% ROE
(avg) of 10.14% signifying average profitability per unit of
shareholders funds
Tax Ratio
High Tax Ratio signifies that the profits generated by the
25.94% Tax Ratio
company are real and it is making adequate contributions
towards by paying due taxes
Institutional Holding
High Institutional Holdings at 17.38%- These investors have
17.38%
Institutional Holding
better capability and resources to analyse fundamentals of
companies than most retail investors
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE
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FINANCIAL TREND
Positive
RESULTS IN DEC 22
positive 78.09
Rs 90.1 cr
74.93
67.58
Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022
Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022
Rs 120.1 89.04
98.71
107.55
Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022
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FINANCIAL TREND
8.99
Operating Profit to Sales
Operating Profit Highest at 13.70% and Grown
Margin - each quarter in the last five quarters
Quarterly
Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022
17.57
times
17.26
Inventory Turnover Ratio 15.7 16.39
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FINANCIAL TREND
Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022
shareholders 29.85
32.91
36.2
Earnings per
EPS (Rs)
Share (EPS) -
Highest at Rs 45.05 16.79
Quarterly
in the last five quarters
Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022
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display, perform, modify, create derivative works, transmit, or in any way exploit any such content. Unauthorized usage is an infringement of our intellectual property
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TECHNICALS
-4.01%
1.64%
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MOJOSTOCK
Size - Ranks 3rd out of 90 companies At the current stock price and
in Auto Anc sector financial performance the stock
Good has Expensive valuation Expensive
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RETURNS
Se -2 0
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Au 22
Ap 20
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ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd
BSE500
1st
Quartile
2ndQuartile
2ndQuartile
in the last 1 year
Stock has been in the 2nd quartile in 2022
and in 1st in 1Y period
1Y 2022 2021
14.05% 5.26% 53.21%
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FACTORS
NOT WORKING
FOR THE COMPANY
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GROWTH
of 6.6% CAGR
6.6%
3,249
2,974
3000Cr
Net Sales has seen a high growth of
CAGR 31.38% over previous period 2,141
2,473
2000Cr
1,556
1000Cr
0Cr
Dec 2018 Dec 2019 Dec 2020 Dec 2021 Dec 2022
100Cr 81
0Cr
Dec 2018 Dec 2019 Dec 2020 Dec 2021 Dec 2022
133
100Cr 87
0Cr
Dec 2018 Dec 2019 Dec 2020 Dec 2021 Dec 2022
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display, perform, modify, create derivative works, transmit, or in any way exploit any such content. Unauthorized usage is an infringement of our intellectual property
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VALUATION
valuation
ZFUno
Commercial
Minda
Valuation Bosch
Samvardh. Mothe.
Very 24 9
Fundamental
Valuation
Attractive 12
0
7
as compared to its
8
1
18
19
20
21
23
01
01
02
02
20
20
20
20
20
past valuations
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RESULT
ANALYSIS
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QUARTERLY VARIANCE
Margins
Dec'22 Sep'22 Jun'22 Mar'22 Dec'21 Avg. (4 Comments
Qtrs)
OPM 13.7% 13.6% 12.4% 11.4% 9.0% 11.6% Higher than average (4 Qtrs) – Promising
GPM 16.4% 14.8% 13.6% 12.5% 10.3% 12.8% Higher than average (4 Qtrs) – Promising
NPM 9.8% 8.7% 7.8% 7.2% 4.9% 7.2% Higher than average (4 Qtrs) – Promising
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ANNUAL RESULT
Net Sales-YoY Growth in year ended Mar 2022 is 36.48% vs - Standaloned Net Profit-YoY Growth in year ended Mar 2022
3.42% in Mar 2021 is 36.87% vs -34.64% in Mar 2021
4000 400
2,854.14 272.83 282.17
2,476.71 2,543.35
1,929.56 1,863.50
2000 200 158.81 142.07
103.80
0 0
Mar 2018 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2018 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022
Operating Profit (PBDIT) excl Other Income-YoY Growth in Operating Profit Margin (Excl OI)-YoY Growth in year ended
year ended Mar 2022 is 22.73% vs -18.18% in Mar 2021 Mar 2022 has fallen from Mar 2021
500 20
398.61 409.88
15.25 14.36
13.03
251.48 252.54 11.04
9.93
250 205.77 10
0 0
Mar 2018 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2018 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022
Figures in Rs Crore
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SHAREHOLDING
Insurance
FIIs: Held by 59 FIIs (1.26%) Companies
1.06%
Promoter with highest holding: Wabco Asia Private Limited (75%) Promoters Non Institution
75% 7.62%
Highest Public shareholder: Sbi Retirement Benefit Fund-
Conservative Plan (8.95%)
Individual Investors Holdings: 6.23%
Promoter holding-Promoter holding has increased by 0% . FII Holdings-FII holding has increased by 0.03%
However, the number of shares held by the Promoters has
2%
remained constant during the period
1.23% 1.26%
100% 0.94%
75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 1% 0.78% 0.71%
50%
0%
Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022
0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
0%
Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022
MF Holdings-MF holding has increased by 0.36% Other DII Holdings-Other DII holding has increased by 0.01%
20% 1%
14.66% 14.65% 14.75% 14.63% 14.99%
0.55% 0.60%
10% 0.5%
0.32%
0.06% 0.07%
0% 0%
Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022
Figures in Rs Crore
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PEER COMPARISION
PEER COMPARISON
ZF Commercial Uno Minda Motherson Endurance Tech Sundaram
Wiring Clayton
Size
Market Cap (Cr.) 19,347 29,424 22,437 19,045 9,418
Annual Sales (TTM) (Cr.) 3,249 10,763 5,635 8,649 32,006
Annual Net Profit (TTM) (Cr.) 273 615 459 487 642
Growth Factors (TTM)
Net Sales Growth 1 year 31.4% 32.3% 0.4% 13.8% 27.4%
Operating Profit Growth 1 year 107.1% 46.6% 21% -5.3% 46.1%
Net Profit Growth 1 year 105.2% 75.6% 16% -9.1% 31.4%
Net Sales Growth 5 year 6.6% 21.9% 43.1% 7.6% 15.5%
Operating Profit Growth 5 year 1.2% 19.3% 21.2% 2% 20%
Net Profit Growth 5 year 2.2% 21.6% 15.7% 5.4% 14.7%
Capital Structure Factors
EBIT to Interest 55.1 12.4 21.9 42.6 2.4
Debt to EBITDA 0.1 1 0.5 0.7 5.1
Net Debt to Equity -0.5 0.2 0.3 -0.1 2.8
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COMPANY BACKGROUND
COMPANY BACKGROUND
Board of Directors
P Kaniappan Managing Director
Company Coordinates
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