Chapter 6 discusses ecological studies in epidemiology, which focus on associations between disease occurrence and exposure in populations or communities. It highlights methods such as geographical comparisons, time trends, and studies of migrant populations to discern environmental and genetic factors influencing disease rates. The chapter emphasizes the importance of careful interpretation of data to avoid biases in ascertaining disease incidence.
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Ecological
Chapter 6 discusses ecological studies in epidemiology, which focus on associations between disease occurrence and exposure in populations or communities. It highlights methods such as geographical comparisons, time trends, and studies of migrant populations to discern environmental and genetic factors influencing disease rates. The chapter emphasizes the importance of careful interpretation of data to avoid biases in ascertaining disease incidence.
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Chapter 6. Ecological studies
More chapters in Epidemiology for the uninitiated
Most epidemiological investigations of aetiology are observational. They look for associations between
the occurrence of disease and exposure to known or suspected causes. In ecological studies the unit of
observation is the population or community. Disease rates and exposures are measured in each of a
series of populations and their relation is examined. Often the information about disease and exposure is,
abstracted from published statistics and therefore does not require expensive or time consuming data
collection. The populations compared may be defined in various ways.
Geographical comparisons
One common approach is to look for geographical correlations between disease incidence or mortality
and the prevalence of risk factors. For example, mortality from coronary heart disease in local authority
areas of England and Wales has been correlated with neonatal mortality in the same places 70 and more
years earlier. This observation generated the hypothesis that coronary heart disease may result from the
impaired development of blood vessels and other tissues in fetal life and infancy.
Many useful observations have emerged from geographical analvses. but care is needed in their
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hospital and be diagnosed. On the other hand, unbiased ascertainment of disorders such as depression or
Parkinson's disease may be difficult without a specially designed survey. When there is doubt about the
uniformity of ascertainment, it may be necessary to explore the extent of any possible bias in a validation
exercise.
Time trends
Many diseases show remarkable fluctuations in incidence over time. Rates of acute infection can vary
appreciably over a few days, but epidemics of chronic disorders such as lung cancer and coronary heart
disease evolve over decades. If time or secular trends in disease incidence correlate with changes ina
community's environment or way of life then the trends may provide important clues to aetiology. Thus,
the currently increasing incidence of melanoma in Britain has been linked with greater exposure to
sunlight (from fashions in dress and holidays abroad); and successive rises and falls in mortality from
cervical cancer have been related to varying levels of sexual promiscuity, as evidenced by notification
rates for gonorrhoea,
Like geographical studies, analysis of secular trends may be biased by differences in the ascertainment of
disease. As health services have improved, diagnostic criteria and techniques have changed.
Furthermore, whereas in geographical studies the differences are accessible to current inquiry, validating
secular changes is more difficult as it depends on observations made and often scantily recorded many
years ago. Nevertheless, the reality — if not the true size — of secular trends can often be established with
reasonable certainty. The rise and subsequent fall in the incidence of appendicitis in Britain during the
past 100 years is a good example.
Migrants
The study of migrant populations offers a way of discriminating genetic from environmental causes of
geographical variation in disease, and may also indicate the age at which an environmental cause exerts
its effect. Second generation Japanese migrants to the USA have substantially lower rates of stomach
cancer than Japanese people in Japan, indicating that the high incidence of the disease in Japan is,
environmental in origin. In first generation migrants rates are intermediate, which suggests that the
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Occupation and social class
The other populations for whom statistics on disease incidence and mortality are readily available are
occupational and socioeconomic groups. Thus, mortality from pneumonia is high in welders, and the
steep social class gradient in mortality from chronic obstructive lung disease is evidence that correlates
of poverty, perhaps bad housing, have an important influence on the disease.
Chapters
‘+ Chapter 1. What is epidemiology?
+ Chapter 2. Quantifying disease in populations
‘+ Chapter 3. Comparing disease rates
‘* Chapter 4. Measurement error and bias
‘* Chapter 5. Planning and conducting a survey
+ Chapter 6. Ecological studies
* Chapter 7. Longitudinal studies
* Chapter 8. Case-control and cross sectional studies
+ Chapter 9. Experimental studies
+ Chapter 10. Screening
‘* Chapter 11. Outbreaks of disease
+ Chapter 12. Reading epidemiological reports
* Chapter 13. Further reading
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