Reliance Industr
Reliance Industr
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
9 P/E ratio Read: 3 Principles to decide ideal PE ratio to pay for a stock
10 P/E to Growth ratio (PEG ratio) <1
Earnings Yield (EY) = (EPS/Current
11 Stockprice) *100% > 10 year G-Sec yield
31 Self Sustainable Growth Rate(SSGR) SSGR > Achieved Sales Growth Rate
32 Free Cash Flow(FCF) FCF/CFO >> 0
Growth should be consistent year on year. Ignore companies where sudden spurt of sales
in one year is confounding the 10 years performance. Very high growth rates of >50% are
unsustainable.
Look for companies with sustained operating & net profit margins over the years
Tax rate should be near general corporate tax rate unless some specific tax incentives are
applicable to the company.
Look for companies with D/E ratio of as low as possible. Preferably zero debt
Positive CFO is necessary. It’s great if CFO meets the outflow for CFI and CFF
Cumulative PAT and CFO are similar for last 10 years
EY should be greater than long term government bond yields or bank fixed deposit interest
rates
However, I find P/B ratio irrelevant for sectors other than financial services
James O’Shaughnessy: Buy if P/S ratio is < 1.5 and sell if >3
Higher the better. DY of >5% is very attractive. However, do not focus a lot on DY for
companies in fast growth phase
The Company must show sales growth higher than peers. If its sales growth is similar to
peers, then there is no Moat
Company must have shown increased market penetration by selling higher volumes of its
product/service
A Moat would result in increasing profits with increasing sales. Otherwise, sales growth is
only a result of unnecessary expansion or aggressive marketing push, which would erode
value in long term
If cPAT >> cCFO, then either the profits are fictitious or the company is selling to any
John Doe for higher sales without having the ability to collect money from them
There should not be any information questioning the integrity of promoters & directors
Salary being paid to potential successors should be in line with their experience
promoter should not have a history of seeking increase in remuneration when the profits of
the company declined in past
Company should have shown good project execution skills with cost and time overruns.
Exclude capacity increase by mergers & acquisitions.
Company should be either a pure play (only one business segment) or related products.
Pure play model ensures that the management is specialized in what they are doing.
Entirely different unrelated products/services are a strict NO. An investor should rather
buy stocks of different companies, if she wants such diversification.
Debt history Mar/15 Mar/16 Mar/17 Mar/18 Mar/19 Mar/20 Mar/21 Mar/22 Mar/23
Debt 168251.0 194714.0 217475.0 239843.0 307714.0 355133.0 278962.0 319158.0 451664.0
Equity 218499 231556 263709 293506 387112 449166 700172 779485 715872
D/E 77% 84% 82% 82% 79% 79% 40% 41% 63%
EPS history Mar/15 Mar/16 Mar/17 Mar/18 Mar/19 Mar/20 Mar/21 Mar/22 Mar/23
EPS 17 22 22 27 29 29 42 50 55
EPS YoY 0% 26% 0% 24% 10% 0% 44% 18% 9%
SSGR% 0% 0% 0% 7% 5% 4% 3% 4% 4%
Sales Growth% 0% -26% 10% 28% 44% 5% -19% 46% 24%
PE 11.0 11.0 14.0 15.0 21.0 17.2 21.7 24.1 19.5
Mukherjea ratios
EBITDA 45977 53993 55529 74184 92656 97836 103222 128181 154338
CFO/EBITDA 75% 71% 89% 96% 46% 97% 26% 86% 75%
Provisioning for debtor 16
Yield on cash
Interest earning 8528.00 ### 9222.00 9869.00 8406.00 8570.00 ### ### 12020.00
Cash & Bank 12545.00 ### 3023.00 4255.00 ### ### ### ### 68664.00
Yield on cash 68% 111% 305% 232% 76% 28% 129% 54% 18%
The statement "Capital work in progress to gross block, which signifies that a high ratio ma
evaluate the proportion of capital work in progress (CWIP) in relation to the gross block of
related to the capital expenditure (capex) undertak
The gross block represents the total value of a company's fixed assets, including property, p
the historical cost of acquiring and constructin
Contingent liabilities as % of net worth (as I could not find how to calculate Net worth , I am using Net Profit PAT as Net worth
Contingent liabilities 5
PAT 23566 29745 29901 36075 39588 39354 49128 60705 66702
%contingent liabilit 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
FCF as % of Sales
Free cash flow (cash flow from operations + cashflow from investing) to median revenues wh
Free cash flow (CFO -30332 1948 -16651 3267 -52161 22380 -115427 1492 22031
Median Revenue rolling 3 years 303,954 303,954 390,823 568,337 568,337 596,679 694,673
%FCF to median rev #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -5% 1% -13% 4% -20% 0% 3%
%FCF to revenue -8% 1% -5% 1% -9% 4% -25% 0% 3%
%CFO to revenue 9% 14% 16% 18% 7% 16% 6% 16% 13%
Compare free cash flow to median revenues: Divide the calculated free cash flow by the med
ratio indicates how much cash flow is generated relative to the company's revenue. A higher
generating strong cash flows compared to its revenue, which is generally a positive sign. Con
concerns about the company's ability to convert revenue into cash or potential misappropriat
Compare free cash flow to median revenues: Divide the calculated free cash flow by the med
ratio indicates how much cash flow is generated relative to the company's revenue. A higher
generating strong cash flows compared to its revenue, which is generally a positive sign. Con
concerns about the company's ability to convert revenue into cash or potential misappropriat
Mar/24
18%
12%
9%
25%
Mar/24
10%
10%
9%
Mar/24
899,041 939,838
104,727 104,634
79,020 79,496
6766.0
Mar/24
158,788
7,673
45,207
Mar/24
458991.0 0
793481.0
58%
Mar/24 Last4Q
58 59
7% 1%
3%
3%
25.4 21.3
178677
89%
30
10.00
97225.00
0%
779985.0
338855.0
43%
luding property, plant, and equipment (PPE), at a given point in time. It reflects
ng and constructing these assets.
dian revenues which is to check if cash generated by business is being siphoned off or whether reporte
45207
876,396
5%
5%
18%
h flow by the median revenue to obtain the ratio. This
evenue. A higher ratio suggests that the company is
positive sign. Conversely, a lower ratio could raise
tial misappropriation of funds
off or whether reported revenue/earnings are believable
Consistence Sales growth
Profitability (NPM>8%-10%) 8% Sales and debt in (
Tax payout (>30%) 25%
Interest coverage (>3) 3 1,000,000
TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD
100,000
50,000
200,000
TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
-50,000 15 16 17 18 19 20
-100,000
-150,000
-200,000
cPAT vs cCFO
800000.0
742172
700000.0
600000.0
500000.0
444385
400000.0
300000.0
200000.0
100000.0
0.0
cPAT cCFO
1,000,000
TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD
900,000
1,000,000
TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD
900,000
800,000
700,000
600,000
568,
500,000
29
400,000 390,823
374,372 26.7 3811
100,000
ales and SSGR growth with EPS Profit Margin and tax%
25%
60
20%
50
15%
40
10%
30
5%
/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
20
18 19 20 21 22 23 24
0%
10 Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar
15 16 17 18 19 20 21
0
Operating Margin PBT Margin Net Ma
SGR% Sales Growth% EPS PE
20% 150,000
10% 100,000
CFO,CFF,CFI and D/E
30% 200,000
ANCY SERVICES LTD TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD
20% 150,000
10% 100,000
50,000
0%
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 0
-10% Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ M
15 16 17 18 19 20 21
-50,000
-20%
-100,000
-30%
-150,000
-200,000
CF(=CFO+CFI) FCF as % of Sales %CFO to revenue
CFO CFI CFF Net Cash Flow (CFO+CFI+CFF)
8.0% 6000
7.0% 5000 42
6.0% 4000
29 29 6,445
6,339
5.0% 3000 27 5,926
5,922
22 22
4.0% 2000 17
2,943 2,948 2,959
3.0% 1000
2.0% 0
1.0% 094 460 825 190 555 921 286
42 42 42 43 43 43 44 44
0.0%
cCFO ROE >12% ROCE >12%
Share Capital (in cr) EPS
899,041
876,396 800,000
1,000,000
899,041
876,396 800,000
60
58.4
54.8 786715.00
772720.00
42.4
596,679
568,337 40
400,000
466,307
442827.00 451,664 458,991
29.5 29.5 30
390,823
26.7 381186.00
355,133 200,000
319,158
1.6 21.5
303,954 307,714
287584.00
278,962 20
,583
260750.00
608.00
239,843
217,475
,714 0
42094 42460
10
1485.85 -200,000
7.46 300.09 401.08 619.43 506.06 918.78 1208.51 1069.21 0
ar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Sales
nue Debt PRICE: Reserves PAT EPS Interest
Selling and
cation Quality and return
Quarterly
RVICES LTD 300,000
TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
r/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
8 19 20 21 22 23 24 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
80.0% 800,000
70.0% 700,000 19
60.0% 600,000 16
FF,CFI and D/E
90.0% 900,000 TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD
CES LTD
80.0% 800,000
70.0% 700,000 19
60.0% 600,000 16
15
500,000
50.0%
12 12 1
400,000
r/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ 40.0% 10 724
19 20 21 22 23 24 627,798
300,000
30.0% 532,658541,258
200,000 6 403,885398,374
5
20.0%
100,000 156,458184,910198,526
10.0%
0
0.0% Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ M
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 2
Net Cash Flow (CFO+CFI+CFF) Debt to Equity
Net Fixed Assets (NFA) Receivables days (Low is better
r of shares (cr) and EPS Buying Price as Per PE range and Current EPS
CES LTD 70 1600 TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD
1
60 1400
1,254
58 1268
55
50 50 1200
1008
42 1000 1015
40
800
29 29 6,445 6,765 6,766 6,766 30
6,339
5,926
600
20
506
400
10
200
0
2094 42460 42825 43190 43555 43921 44286 44651 45016 45382
Sales Raw Material Cost Employee Cost Other Mfr. Exp Change in Inventory
Interest Profit before tax Tax Net profit Power and Fuel
Selling and admin Other Expenses Other Income Depreciation Dividend Amount
rly Cash Conversion Ratio
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
250%
200%
150%
100%
50%
r/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ 0%
20 21 22 23 24 Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ M
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 2
Yield on cash
Dividend Paid
nd Receivable days
CWIP as % of gross block
25
TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD
180%
160%
20
140%
120%
25
TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD
180%
160%
20
140%
120%
15 15
100%
12 13
12 12 80%
779,985
724,805 10
627,798
60%
532,658541,258 40%
5 20%
0%
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ M
0 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 2
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
20 21 22 23 24
CWIP to gross block(Fixed Assets)
Receivables days (Low is better)
1495
1486
68
1015
rage Max
hange in Inventory
ower and Fuel
Dividend Amount
tio
alent
heck annual-
lock
ar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
21 22 23 24
ts)
Sales and debt in (cr.)
Revenue Debt
150,000 80.0%
25%
70.0%
100,000
20%
60.0%
50,000
15%
50.0%
0
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ 40.0% 10%
-50,000 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
30.0% 5%
-100,000
20.0%
0%
-150,000 10.0% Mar/
15
-200,000 0.0%
Operatin
CFO CFI CFF Net Cash Flow (CFO+CFI+CFF) Debt to Equity
-150,000 10.0% Mar/
15
-200,000 0.0%
Operatin
CFO CFI CFF Net Cash Flow (CFO+CFI+CFF) Debt to Equity
0.0 0.0%
cPAT cCFO ROE >12% ROCE >12%
200% 100%
80%
150%
60%
100% 40%
50% 20%
0%
0%
Mar/
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
15
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Yield on cash
50% 20%
0%
0%
Mar/
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
15
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Yield on cash
Capital Allocation Quality and return S
14% 50% TATA CONSULTANC
TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD
12%
40%
10%
30%
8%
20%
6%
10%
4%
2% 0%
Mar/ Mar/ Mar
0% -10% 15 16 17
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 -20%
-30%
ROE ROCE Net Margin Rolling 3Years ROE
25% 7000
20% 6000
5000
15%
4000
10%
3000
5% 22 22
2000 17
0% 2,943 2,948 2,9
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ 1000
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
0
4209442460428
Operating Margin PBT Margin Net Margin Tax%
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
0
4209442460428
Operating Margin PBT Margin Net Margin Tax%
100,000
40%
20% 50,000
0% 0
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Sep- Dec-
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 22 22
CFO/EBITDA S
P
% 100,000
60
% 80,000
50
% 60,000
40
% 40,000
30
%
20,000
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
20
% 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
0
10 Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
% 15 16 17
% 0
0 800,000
58 60
55 700,000
0
50 50
600,000
0 42
40 500,000
0 400,000
29 29 6,765 6,766 6,766 30 10
6,339 6,445
0 27
5,922 5,926 300,000
22 22 20 6
0 200,000 5 403
17
2,943 2,948 2,959 100,000 156,458184,910198,526
0 10
0
0 0 Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ M
42094424604282543190435554392144286446514501645382 15 16 17 1
1400
1,254
,000
1200
,000
1008
1000
,000
800
,000 600
506
,000 400
200
0
Sep- Dec- Mar- Jun- Sep- Dec- Mar- Jun- Sep- Dec-
0
22 22 23 23 23 23 24 24 24 24 Min
800,000
600,000
Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
400,000
PBT Net Profit Dividend Paid
20
19
16
15 15
12 13 0
12 12
779,985 42094 42460
10 724,805 10
627,798
532,658541,258
6 403,885398,374
5 5
,458184,910198,526 -200,000
0
ar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/ Mar/
5 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1008 900,000
1015
800,000
506
700,000
400,000
374,372
21.6
300,000
272,58
17.1
228608.
215556.00
200,000 194,71
168,251
100,000
- 187.66 237.46
Mar/15 Mar/1
- 187.66 237.46
Mar/15 Mar/1
Sales, Expense, Interest, PBT, Tax and Net profit
Sales Raw Material Cost Employee Cost Other Mfr. Exp Change in Inventory
Interest Profit before tax Tax Net profit Power and Fuel
Selling and admin Other Expenses Other Income Depreciation Dividend Amount
Sales Raw Material Cost Employee Cost Other Mfr. Exp Change in Inventory
Interest Profit before tax Tax Net profit Power and Fuel
Selling and admin Other Expenses Other Income Depreciation Dividend Amount
772720.00
50.1
693727.00 694,673
42.4
596,679
568,337
466,307
442827.00
29.5 29.5
390,823
26.7 381186.00
374,372
355,133
319,158
21.6 21.5
303,954 307,714
287584.00
272,583 278,962
260750.00
17.1 239,843
228608.00
215556.00 217,475
194,714
168,251
Change in Inventory
Power and Fuel
Dividend Amount
Change in Inventory
Power and Fuel
Dividend Amount
70
899,041
876,396
60
58.4
54.8 786715.00
772720.00
50.1 709106.00 50
0 694,673
40
7 458,991
451,664
30
319,158
2 20
10
1485.85
1208.51 1069.21 0
1 Mar/22 Mar/23 Mar/24
PAT EPS
1485.85
1208.51 1069.21 0
1 Mar/22 Mar/23 Mar/24
PAT EPS
(INR Crores/10 Millions) RELIANCE INDU
YEARS Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
Sales 374372 272583 303954 390823
Sales Growth -27% 12% 29%
Reserves 215556 228608 260750 287584
Operating Profit 37449 41781 46307 64315
Operating Profit Margin (OPM%) 10% 15% 15% 16%
Other Income 8528 12212 9222 9869
Interest 3316 3691 3849 8052
Profit before tax (PBT) 31114 38737 40034 49426
Tax% 24% 23% 25% 27%
Net Profit after tax (PAT) 23566 29745 29901 36075
Net Profit Growth 26% 1% 21%
Net Profit Margin (NPM%) 6% 11% 10% 9%
Cash Profit Margin (CPM%) -8% 1% -5% 1%
10Yr Cash profit Margin (10yr CPM%) 1% -2% -1% -5%
Cash from Operating Activity (CFO) 34374 38134 49550 71459
Capex (NFA+WIP+Dep) 102252 121402 84250
Total Debt (D) 168251 194714 217475 239843
Cash + Investments (CI +NCI) 88996 95043 85922 87117
Net Fixed Asset Turnover (High is better) 2.4 1.5 1.5 1.0
Receivables days (Low is better) 5.2 6.0 9.8 16.4
Inventory Turnover (High is better) 60.8 80.8 70.8 69.7
Net Fixed Assets (NFA) 156458.0 184910.0 198526.0 403885.0
Capital Work in Progress (CWIP) 166462.0 228697.0 324837.0 187022.0
Share Capital (in cr) 2943.0 2948.0 2959.0 5922.0
Dividend Paid (Div) Without DDT 2943.0 3095.4 3254.9 3553.2
Dividend Payout (Div/PAT) 12% 10% 11% 10%
Price to earning(NetProfit) 2.3 2.4 3.0 6.6
Mcap 55234.6 70003.7 88794.4 237512.6
Cash + Investments (CI +NCI) 88996.0 95043.0 85922.0 87117.0
cPAT 444385
cCFO 742172
Profit CAGR 13%
Sales CAGR 10%
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD
Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Last 4 Quarters REMARKS
568337 596679 466307 694673 876396 899041 939838
45% 5% -22% 49% 26% 3% 1
381186 442827 693727 772720 709106 786715
84250 89266 80790 108581 142318 162498 164128
15% 15% 17% 16% 16% 18% 17% 2
8406 8570 22432 19600 12020 16179 17607
16495 22027 21189 14584 19571 23118 23875
55227 53606 55461 83815 94464 104727 104634
28% 26% 3% 19% 22% 25% 24% 3
39588 39354 49128 60705 66702 69621 69192
10% -1% 25% 24% 10% 4%
7% 7% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 4
-9% 4% -25% 0% 3% 5%
-2% -6% -5% -4% -2% -2%
42346 94877 26958 110654 115032 158788
7864 86130 52019 162875 258556 151115
307714 355133 278962 319158 451664 458991
246716 307687 382225 430442 304224 322897
5% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4
14% 12% 10% 14% 14% 14%
10% 9% 7% 8% 9% 9% 4
6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 4
11% 10% 8% 8% 8% 9%
11% 12% 8% 7% 9% 7%
Cash from Operating Activity (CFO) 34,374 38,134 49,550 71,459 42,346 94,877
Capex [(NFA+WIP) change+Dep] 102,252 121,402 84,250 7,864 86,130
Free Cash Flow (FCF) (64,118) (71,852) (12,791) 34,482 8,747
Total Debt (D) 168,251 194,714 217,475 239,843 307,714 355,133
Total Equity (E) 218,499 231,556 263,709 293,506 387,112 449,166
D/E (Debt by Equity) 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Share Capital 2,943.0 2,948.0 2,959.0 5,922.0 5,926.0 6,339.0
Dividend Paid (Div) Without DDT 2,943 3,095 3,255 3,553 3,852 4,120
Net Fixed Asset Turnover (High is better) 1.60 1.59 1.30 1.42 1.28
Receivables days (Low is better) 7 8 12 15 15
Inventory Turnover (High is better) 5.5 6.4 7.1 8.9 8.4
Months of RM held as Inv. (Low is better) 3.3 2.7 2.4 2.0 2.1
Working capital cycle days (Rec + Inv Days) 73 65 63 57 58
Net Fixed Assets (NFA) 156,458 184,910 198,526 403,885 398,374 532,658
Capital Work in Progress (CWIP) 166,462 228,697 324,837 187,022 179,463 109,106
Dividend Paid (Div) Without DDT 2,943 3,095 3,255 3,553 3,852 4,120
Dividend Payout (Div/PAT) 12% 10% 11% 10% 10% 10%
Retained Earnings (RE=PAT-Div) 20,623 26,650 26,646 32,522 35,736 35,234
Price to earning 11 11 14 15 21 17
Market Capitalization ### ### ### ### ### ###
Cash + Investments (CI +NCI) 88,996 95,043 85,922 87,117 246,716 307,687
Last 10 Yrs
Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Total
26,958 ### ### ### 742,172
(142,385) (109,162) (93,001) (113,581) (860,418)
101,904 17,289 10,455 (16,646) 178,217 8
(13,523) 18,781 32,486 28,561 59,971
17,397 36,178 68,664 97,225
Source: Screener.in
Dec-99 ### ### ### ### Dec-99 Dec-99
Key Ratios
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD
Mar/15 Mar/16 Mar/17 Mar/18 Mar/19 Mar/20 Mar/21 Mar/22 Mar/23
Sales Growth -27.2% 11.5% 28.6% 45.4% 5.0% -21.8% 49.0% 26.2%
PBT Growth 24.5% 3.3% 23.5% 11.7% -2.9% 3.5% 51.1% 12.7%
Net Profit Growth 26.3% -0.1% 20.9% 10.4% 0.1% 34.8% 26.2% 9.2%
Dividend Growth 5.2% 5.2% 9.2% 8.4% 7.0% 9.5% 20.0% 12.5%
Operating Cash Flow Growth 10.9% 29.9% 44.2% -40.7% 124.1% -71.6% 310.5% 4.0%
Free Cash Flow Growth #DIV/0! 12.1% -82.2% ### -74.6% ### 108.4% 174.8%
Operating Margin 10.0% 15.3% 15.2% 16.5% 14.8% 15.0% 17.3% 15.6% 16.2%
PBT Margin 8.3% 14.2% 13.2% 12.6% 9.7% 9.0% 11.9% 12.1% 10.8%
Net Margin 6.3% 11.0% 9.8% 9.2% 7.0% 6.7% 11.5% 9.8% 8.5%
Debtor Days 5.2 6.0 9.8 16.4 19.3 12.0 14.9 12.4 11.8
Inventory Turnover 7.0 5.9 6.2 6.4 8.4 8.1 5.7 6.4 6.3
Fixed Asset Turnover 2.4 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.2
Debt/Equity 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.6
Debt/Assets 33.4% 32.5% 30.8% 29.6% 30.8% 30.5% 21.1% 21.3% 28.1%
Interest Coverage (Times) 10.4 11.5 11.4 7.1 4.3 3.4 3.6 6.7 5.8
Return on Equity 10.8% 12.9% 11.3% 12.3% 10.3% 8.9% 7.7% 8.7% 10.3%
Return on Capital Employed 8.9% 10.0% 9.1% 10.8% 10.3% 9.4% 7.8% 9.0% 9.8%
Free Cash Flow (Rs Cr) - -64,118 -71,852 ### ### 8,747 ### ### ###
Mar/24
2.6%
10.9%
6.7%
11.1%
38.0%
-105.3%
18.1%
11.6%
8.8%
12.8
5.9
1.2
0.6
26.2%
5.5
10.0%
10.2%
7,673
What to look for? Explaination below against each row
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency
Higher isn't always better, esp. when the company is generating high ROE, which means the management is allocating capital
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency, plus the nature of the industry. Also compare with industry
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency, plus the nature of the industry. Also compare with industry
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency, plus the nature of the industry. Also compare with industry
10yrs 9yrs 8yrs 7yrs 6yrs 5yrs 4yrs 3yrs 2yrs MIN Max Average
600
Sales Growth% 10% 16% 19% 15% 10% 11% 24% 14% 3% -22% 49% 14% 506
NetProfit Growth % 14% 13% 15% 14% 15% 19% 14% 8% 7% 0% 35% 17%
400
PE growth 10% 11% 9% 9% 4% 10% 5% 3% 30%
MinPE AveragePE MaxPE
Price TO BUY (MinEPS) 506 636 200
Price TO BUY (AverageEPS) 807 1015
Price To Buy (max EPS) 1486 0
Price To Buy (4QtrlastEPS) 1008 1268 1495 Min Average Max
Net Block ### ### 198,526 403,885 398,374 532,658 541,258 627,798 724,805 779,985
Capital Work in Progress ### ### 324,837 187,022 179,463 109,106 125,953 172,506 293,752 338,855
Investments 76,451 84,015 82,899 82,862 235,635 276,767 364,828 394,264 235,560 225,672
Other Assets ### ### 100,540 137,504 184,158 244,484 288,026 304,054 351,765 410,536
Total ### ### 706,802 811,273 997,630 ### ### ### ### ###
Working Capital -12,621 -71,352 -125,078 -140,420 -118,646 -114,232 -52,905 -95,925 -86,581 -92,040
Debtors 5,315 4,465 8,177 17,555 30,089 19,656 19,014 23,640 28,448 31,628
Inventory 53,248 46,486 48,951 60,837 67,561 73,903 81,672 107,778 140,008 152,770
Cash & Bank 4,735 3,367 3,190 3,393 2,605 3,546 4,739 5,829
Debtor Days 5 6 10 16 19 12 15 12 12 13
Inventory Turnover 7 6 6 6 8 8 6 6 6 6
Fixed Asset Turnover 2.4 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2
Debt/Equity 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6
Return on Equity 11% 13% 11% 12% 10% 9% 8% 9% 10% 10%
Return on Capital Employed 9% 10% 9% 11% 10% 9% 8% 9% 10% 10%
Total+CapitalWIP ### 998,295 ### ### ### ### ### ###
Change in Total+CapitalWIP -33,344 178,798 95,028 173,897 225,110 228,506 194,269
Cash Flow Statement
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD
Rs Cr Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Total
Cash from Operating Activity (CFO) 34,374 38,134 49,550 71,459 42,346 94,877 26,958 110,654 115,032 158,788 742,172
% Growth YoY 11% 30% 44% -41% 124% -72% 310% 4% 38%
Cash from Investing Activity -64,706 -36,186 -66,201 -68,192 -94,507 -72,497 ### ### -93,001 ### -860,418
Cash from Financing Activity 8,444 -3,210 8,617 -2,001 55,906 -2,541 101,904 17,289 10,455 -16,646 178,217
Net Cash Flow -21,888 -1,262 -8,034 1,266 3,745 19,839 -13,523 18,781 32,486 28,561 59,971
CFO/Sales 9% 14% 16% 18% 7% 16% 6% 16% 13% 18%
CFO/Net Profit 145% 128% 166% 198% 106% 238% 50% 163% 155% 201%
Capex 102,252 121,402 84,250 7,864 86,130 52,019 162,875 258,556 151,115
FCF -64,118 -71,852 -12,791 34,482 8,747 -25,061 -52,221 ### 7,673 -318,665
Average FCF (3 Years) -62,691
FCF Growth YoY #DIV/0! 12% -82% -370% -75% -387% 108% 175% -105%
FCF/Sales 0% -24% -24% -3% 6% 1% -5% -8% -16% 1%
FCF/Net Profit 0% -216% -240% -35% 87% 22% -51% -86% -215% 11%
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD
DERIVED:
Adjusted Equity Shares in Cr 93 1380.56 1382.58 1387.22 1351.39
Graph Data:
P/L - Annual - YoY change Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Sales 382,900 284,795 313,176 400,692
Sales YoY -26% 10% 28%
EPS 17.1 21.5 21.6 26.7
EPS YoY 26% 0% 24%
Capex Calculation
Depreciation 11565.00 11646.00 16706.00
New Assets 90687.00 109756.00 67544.00
102252.00 121402.00 84250.00
SSGR Calculation
SSGR = NFAT*NPM*(1-DPR) – Dep 7%
Dep = Depn rate as % of net fixed assets 6%
DPR=Dividend payout Ratio=Dividend paid/PAT 10%
NPM = Net Profit margin as % of sales 10%
NFAT = Sales/Average net fixed assets 146%
Average net Fixed Assets 170,684.00 191,718.00 301,205.50
Average Equity 225027.5 247632.5 278607.5
Return on average equity 15%
No. of Equity Shares 70 29433341 29480217 29589243 59218262
PRICE: 90 187.66 237.46 300.09 401.08
Current Price 8
Market Cap 55234.60843 70003.72315 88794.35863 237512.6051
Share Capital 218499.00 231556.00 263709.00 293506.00
Debt 168251.00 194714.00 217475.00 239843.00
Profit 23566.00 29745.00 29901.00 36075.00
Enterprice Price (Equity+debt) 223485.61 264717.72 306269.36 477355.61
Book Value 218499.00 231556.00 263709.00 293506.00
5% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3%
6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6%
10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9%
8% 7% 8% 8% 9% 8%
141% 133% 116% 111% 113% 123%
401,129.50 465,516.00 536,958.00 584,528.00 676,301.50 752,395.00
340309 418139 574669 739828.5 747678.5 754676.5
14% 12% 9% 7% 6% 5%
59258690 63386938 67620688 67659940 67660940 67660940 135323693.72
619.43 506.06 918.78 1208.51 1069.21 1485.85
1253.75
367066.1033 320775.9396 621285.3585 817677.1426 723437.5381 1005340.07907019 1696620.81
387112.00 449166.00 700172.00 779485.00 715872.00 793481.00 793481.00
307714.00 355133.00 278962.00 319158.00 451664.00 458991.00 458991.00
39588.00 39354.00 49128.00 60705.00 66702.00 69621.00 69192.00
674780.10 675908.94 900247.36 1136835.14 1175101.54 1464331.08 2155611.81
387112.00 449166.00 700172.00 779485.00 715872.00 793481.00 793481.00
Please! It's your money. Please don't blame me if results of this excel
cause you to lose it all! I've designed this excel to aid your own thinking,
but you alone are responsible for your actions. I want to live peacefully
ever after! I am not a sadist who wants you to do the hard work by
analyzing companies on your own. But I'd rather give you a compass
nstead of a map, for you can confuse map with territory and lose it all. All
the best!
GrowthLowP
Low Peloe PEHigh
EPS Growth Year High E
21.344644 2015 936.25 1128 43.86346308 52.84698142
25.348862 19% 2016 928 1318.45 36.60913915 -17% 52.01219776
29.882101 18% 2017 1183.1 1903.1 39.59226291 8% 63.68695422
35.761454 20% 2018 1828.5 2220 51.13047204 29% 62.07801363
41.210215 15% 2019 1084 2503.3 26.30415805 -49% 60.74464839
Average 18% 39.49989905 58.27375908
P.S. In case of companies earning negative FCF, where this model will not work, you must use a normalized positive FCF as th
number. This number is your assumption of FCF the business will earn in a normal year, without capex. Check the history o
business while arriving at your assumption, and use your judgment wisely without twisting the model to fit your version of re
Calculation
by Mohnish Pabrai
Avg 5-Yr Net Profit (Rs Crore) 62,914.4 Avg 5-Yr Net Profit (Rs Crore)
PE Ratio at 0% Growth 8.5 PE Ratio at 0% Growth
Long-Term Growth Rate 7.3 Long-Term Growth Rate
Ben Graham Value (Rs Crore) 1,458,396 Ben Graham Value (Rs Crore)
Current Market Cap (Rs Crore) 1,696,621 Current Market Cap (Rs Crore)
EXPLANATION
Ben Graham's Original Formula: Value = EPS x (8.5 + 2G)
Here, EPS is the trailing 12 month EPS, 8.5 is the P/E ratio of a stock with 0% growth and g is the growth rate for the next 7-10
62,914.4
8.5
14.7
2,382,019
1,696,621
of around 1962 when Graham was publicizing his works, the risk free interest rate was 4.4% but to adjust to the present, we divide this num
resent, we divide this number by today’s AAA corporate bond rate, represented by Y in the formula above.
Dicounted Cash Flow Valuation
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD
Final Calculations
Terminal Year ###
PV of Year 1-10 Cash Flows ###
Terminal Value ###
Total PV of Cash Flows ###
Current Market Cap (Rs Cr) ###
TESTING:
This is a testing feature currently.
You can report any formula errors on the worksheet at: stressfreeinvesting1@gmail.com
… do ANYTHING.
COMPANY NAME RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD
LATEST VERSION 2.10
CURRENT VERSION 2.10
META
Number of shares 1,353.24
Face Value 10
Current Price 1253.75
Market Capitalization 1696620.81
Quarters
Report Date Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23
Sales 229409 216737 212834
Expenses 198438 181728 174478
Other Income 3656 3377 2996
Depreciation 9726 10183 11452
Interest 4,554.00 5,201.00 5,819.00
Profit before tax 20347 23002 24081
Tax 4835 5196 2754
Net profit 13656 15792 19299
Operating Profit 30971 35009 38356
BALANCE SHEET
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
Equity Share Capital 2943 2948 2959
Reserves 215556 228608 260750
Borrowings 168,251.00 194,714.00 217,475.00
Other Liabilities 117736 172727 225618
Total 504486 598997 706802
Net Block 156458 184910 198526
Capital Work in Progress 166462 228697 324837
Investments 76451 84,015.00 82899
Other Assets 105115 101375 100540
Total 504486 598997 706802
Receivables 5315 4465 8177
Inventory 53,248.00 46,486.00 48,951.00
Cash & Bank 12545 11028 3023
No. of Equity Shares 2943334138 2948021694 2958924277
New Bonus Shares
Face value 10 10 10
CASH FLOW:
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
Cash from Operating Activity 34374 38134 49550
Cash from Investing Activity -64706 -36186 -66201
Cash from Financing Activity 8444 -3210 8617
Net Cash Flow -21888 -1262 -8034
DERIVED:
Adjusted Equity Shares in Cr 1,380.56 1,382.58 1,387.22
PLEASE DO NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THIS SHEET