Idenitfying Chart Patterns
Idenitfying Chart Patterns
Webinar
important patterns in bar and candlestick charts.
1
Charles D. Kirkpatrick II, CMT
Charles D. Kirkpatrick II, CMT, is president of Kirkpatrick & Company, Inc., a technical
analysis research firm that publishes the Market Strategist investment newsletter. A
past instructor in finance at the School of Business Administration at Fort Lewis College
and adjunct professor of finance at Brandeis University International Business School,
he is a two-time winner of the Chartered Market Technicians Association’s prestigious
Charles H. Dow Award for research in technical analysis, winner of the MTA Annual
Award in 2008 for “Outstanding Contributions to the Field of Technical Analysis,” and
winner in 2012 of the Mike Epstein Award from the MTA Educational Foundation for
“Long-Term sponsorship of Technical Analysis in Academia.”
About Our He is a Chartered Market Technician, a past member of the board of directors of the
Market Technicians Association, past editor of the Journal of Technical Analysis, past
Coauthor
board member and vice president of the CMT Association Educational Foundation and
a member of the American Association of Professional Technicians (AAPTA). He
coauthored Technical Analysis: The Complete Source for Financial Market Technicians,
the primary textbook for the CMT program and for university graduate courses on
technical analysis, authored Beat the Market and, most recently, Time the Markets:
Using Technical Analysis to Interpret Economic Data.
He is a graduate of Phillips Exeter Academy, Harvard College (AB), and the Wharton
School (MBA) and lives with his wife in Maine.
2
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Techniques for
Trading Patterns
Understanding Construction
Patterns and of Common
Their Limits Chart Patterns
Agenda
3
Understanding
Patterns and
Their Limits
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Defining Patterns
• Patterns are fractal, meaning that they can be seen in any charting
period (weekly, daily, minute, etc.)
Keep in Mind
Some of our human tendencies can be
dangerous for investors.
• See patterns where there aren’t any
• Breakouts
• Entry Stops
• Protective Stops
• Retracements
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Breakouts
Price
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Confirmation Filters
Types of Filters
Confirmation Filters
• Intrabar
Apply a confirmation filter to determine whether a breakout has taken place.
• Multiple closes
• Time
• Percentage or point
• Money
1
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Entry Stops
Entry Stops
Buy stop orders are used to
enter trades once the price
breaks out.
Resistance Breakout
False Breakout
Breakout
False Breakout (return
Price breaks out but almost Resistance
Failed Line
Breakout through breakout level)
immediately returns back
through its breakout price.
Failed Breakout
(Trap)
Trend Line
False breakout occurs and
the price then breaks out in
the opposite direction.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Protective Stops
Protects Capital
Determines the amount of
capital risk before entry
Breakout
Types of Resistance Line
placement
Protective Stop
• Filters, such as percent,
points, or money
Example
False Breakout Protective sell stop and sell
• Enter on breakout short entry stop
• If price continues in
direction of breakout, profit
from breakout entry
Retracements
Counter Trend
Correction Retracement (pullback)
Types
• Pullback (on breakout down)
• Throwback (on breakout up) Trend Line Breakout
Waiting for
• Don’t always occur
• Performance can suffer
when they do
Construction of
Common Chart
Patterns
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Other
• Head and Shoulders
• Cup and Handle
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Support Line
• Price must break out of middle Breakout
reversal point
Price
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
20
Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd ed.
*
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Triple
Bottom
• Best performance may be after a Support line Price
sustained decline*
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Characteristics: Rectangle
• Trading range with support and (entry up, breakout up) Resistance Zone
resistance levels bounding price
action Entry Throwback
Support Zone
Shortfall Breakout
• Slight tilt, similar to horizontal Breakout
channel Resistance line
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Triangle: Symmetrical
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Triangle: Ascending
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Triangle: Descending
25
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Triangle: Wedge
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd ed.
26
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Characteristics: Head
27 *Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Characteristics:
• Inverted but otherwise
Head and Shoulders Bottom
identical to a top pattern
(breakout up)
except not as profitable*
Price
Breakout
Breakout
Neckline
Neckline
Entry Throwback
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Wedge
= Buy
= Stop Wedge
= Exit
Triangle
Triangle
Rectangle
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Characteristics:
• Traditionally, candlestick patterns are reversal patterns, meaning they
are used to identify when a trend is ending
Doji
Characteristics: Doji
• A one-candle pattern formed when the open
and close are the same price, and the high
and low are roughly equidistant from the open
and close
• Extremely common
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Harami
Characteristics: Harami
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Engulfing
Characteristics: Engulfing
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Pennant/Flag
Characteristics:
• Pennant and flag patterns are Flag and Pennant
in upward trend Flag Pennant
variations of the same pattern
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Gap
Characteristics
• Definition – no trading (gap)
at specific prices
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Gap
Characteristics
• Gaps are generally profitable on
breakouts from patterns, trends,
support or resistance
post-gap breakout
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Volatility Patterns
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL
Narrow Range
Characteristics: NR4
• One low volatility pattern is called a “Narrow Range on day 4 less than days 1-3
Range” pattern and consists of a bar with a
range narrower than its preceding bars
three bars
Sell
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2nd
Getting Started with Technical Analysis
Learn the assumptions that guide technical analysis, and get to
know the basics of trend trading.
Webinar
important patterns in bar and candlestick charts.
45
Visit the Fidelity
Learning Center
46
Thank Please join us for our upcoming webinars
Fidelity.com/webinars
47
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Important Information
Any screenshots, charts, or company trading symbols mentioned are provided for illustrative purposes only and should not be considered
an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for the security.
Stop loss orders do not guarantee the execution price you will receive and have additional risks that may be compounded in pe riods of
market volatility. Stop loss orders could be triggered by price swings and could result in an execution well below your trigg er price.
Trailing stop orders may have increased risks due to their reliance on trigger pricing, which may be compounded in periods of market
volatility, as well as market data and other internal and external system factors. Trailing stop orders are held on a separat e, internal order
file, place on a "not held" basis and only monitored between 9:30 AM and 4:00 PM Eastern.
Technical analysis focuses on market action – specifically, volume and price. Technical analysis is only one approach to analyzing stocks.
When considering which stocks to buy or sell, you should use the approach that you're most comfortable with. As with all your investments,
you must make your own determination as to whether an investment in any particular security or securities is right for you based on your
investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC, 900 Salem Street, Smithfield, RI 02917
919638.1.0
48