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Moody

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11 views39 pages

Moody

Uploaded by

pilirat
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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You are on page 1/ 39

Corporate Governance of Banks:

A Credit Rating Agency’s Approach

presented by Janet Holmes


Overview

„ Introduction

„ Meaning of credit ratings

„ Moody’s general approach to corporate governance


analysis

„ Moody’s Bank Financial Strength Ratings: Global


Methodology

„ Moody’s corporate governance analysis of banks

2
Meaning of credit
ratings

3
What a Credit Rating Is

„ An opinion about the relative future credit risk of an


instrument or entity
– Credit risk is the risk that an entity might not meet its contractual,
financial obligations as they come due
„ Moody’s credit ratings are opinions about expected loss
– Expected loss = (probability of default) x (severity of default)

4
... and What It Is Not

„ Credit ratings do not address any other risk, including


(but not limited to) the instrument’s:
– Liquidity risk
– Market value risk
– Price volatility
„ Credit ratings are not statements of current or
historical fact
„ Credit ratings are not recommendations to buy, sell or
hold any securities
„ Credit rating agencies are not gatekeepers

5
Moody’s Credit Rating scale
Long-Term
Rating
Aaa Minimal credit risk
Investment Grade

Aa1
Aa2
Aa3
A1
A2 Watch list =
A3 under review
Baa1
Baa2
Baa3
Ba1
Ba2
Non-Investment

Ba3
B1 Outlook =
B2 likely direction
Grade

B3
Caa1
Caa2
Caa3
Ca
In default,
C little prospect of recovery 6
Moody’s General
Approach to
Corporate
Governance
Analysis

7
Moody’s Corporate Governance Specialists

„ Subset of a larger group of specialists, who work side-


by-side with credit analysts
– Accounting specialists
– Risk management specialists
– Complex financial instruments specialists
¾ Corporate governance specialists
„ Expertise leveraged through training for Moody’s credit
analysts
– Enhances the ability of credit analysts to identify, analyze & incorporate
governance analysis into their credit analysis

8
Moody’s Approach to Corporate Governance Analysis

„ Integrate governance analysis into overall credit rating


– How does a firm’s governance affect its ability & willingness to honor its
obligations?
– Is governance a ratings driver?
„ Increase transparency of governance analysis
– Incorporate analysis into Credit Opinions and Credit Analyses
– Publish Issuer Comments if appropriate
– Publish Special Comments to help investors identify and analyze credit-
relevant corporate governance issues and trends
• Sector comments (e.g. governance trends in banking industry)
• Thematic comments (e.g. executive pay)
„ Geographic scope
– To date, principal focus has been North American companies
– Global banking methodology incorporates governance analysis

9
Moody’s Approach to Corporate Governance Analysis

„ Qualitative emphasis
– Not a “check-the-box” approach
„ Bondholder perspective
– Like shareholders, concerned about agency issues & adequacy of controls
– But risk appetites differ between bondholders & shareholders
„ We evaluate governance in terms of:
– Quality of governance practices
– Degree to which the board & management have shown that they
effectively balance shareholder and bondholder interests
„ Context-specific assessments
– Linked to broader view of creditworthiness
– Take into account ownership structure, market discipline & regulatory
environment

10
Integrating governance into ratings analysis

„ Governance can be an important ratings factor


„ Even in large issuers, governance has been a material
rating factor about 20% of the time (10% positive, 10%
negative)
„ For lower-rated, smaller issuers, governance can be a
more important factor in ratings
„ Can provide additional insight into management quality,
event risk & strategy

Governance
Governanceis israrely
rarelyaacentral
centralratings
ratingsissue;
issue;
but
butoften
oftenserves
servesasasaa“tipping
“tippingpoint”
point”factor
factor

11
We Characterize Governance in Five Categories

Impact on
Ratings

Very Good
Governance is a credit strength +

Governance strengths outweigh some


Neutral
weaknesses
Corporate governance is neither a positive
Neutral
nor negative rating factor
Governance weaknesses outweigh
strengths


Governance is a credit challenge that could
Very Weak constrain future ratings improvements

12
Moody’s Supports Good Governance Principles

„ Appoint independent, effective directors


„ Establish independent, technical committees
„ Set strong values
„ Adopt clear lines of accountability
„ Maintain strong, independent control functions
„ Ensure oversight of complex organizations, financial
instruments
„ Ensure high quality governance transparency
„ Adopt long-term compensation structures

13
Disclosure about Governance
„ Board structure (e.g. bylaws, size, membership, selection process,
qualifications, other directorships, criteria for independence,
committee membership, charters and responsibilities) and senior
management structure (e.g. responsibilities, reporting lines,
qualifications and experience)
„ Basic ownership structure (e.g. major share ownership and voting
rights, beneficial owners, major shareholder participation on the board
or in senior management positions, shareholder meetings)
„ Organizational structure (e.g. general organizational chart, business
lines, subsidiaries and affiliates, management committees)
„ Incentive structure of the firm (e.g. short and long term
compensation policies, director and executive compensation, bonuses,
stock options, key metrics considered in deciding compensation)
„ Firm’s code or policy of business conduct and/or ethics
(including any waivers, if applicable), as well as any applicable
governance structures and policies

14
Moody’s Approach
to Analyzing
Corporate
Governance of
Banks

15
Moody’s Bank Financial Strength Ratings (BFSRs)

„ A BFSR reflects Moody’s opinion of a bank’s


intrinsic, or stand-alone, financial strength
– Relative to all other rated banks globally
– The first step in Moody’s credit rating process
– But BFSRs are not credit ratings – do not address default risk or
severity of loss
– BFSRs address likelihood that a bank would need assistance to
avoid a default
„ Moody’s other ratings for banks determined by
considering its BFSR plus:
– Likelihood that bank will receive external support
– External risk that sovereign actions could interfere with the bank’s
ability to honor domestic or foreign currency obligations

16
Bank Ratings

Local Currency Foreign Currency


Franchise Value
Deposit Ceiling Deposit Ceiling

Risk Positioning

Bank Local Foreign


Financial Currency Currency
Operating Deposit Deposit /
Environment Strength
/Debt Debt
Rating Rating Rating
(A – E) (Aaa - C) (Aaa – C)

Financial
Fundamentals

Regulatory Probability of
External
Avoiding FC
Environment Support Factors Moratorium
17
INTRINSIC FACTORS EXTERNAL FACTORS
BFSR Rating Definitions
„ A: Superior intrinsic financial strength
„ B: Strong intrinsic financial strength
„ C: Adequate intrinsic financial strength
„ D: Modest intrinsic financial strength
„ E: Very modest intrinsic financial strength

18
BFSRs – Key Analytical Factors

„ Franchise value
„ Risk positioning
¾ Where corporate governance is considered

„ Regulatory environment
„ Operating environment
„ Financial fundamentals

19
Sound Controls Support Strong Credits
„ Strong franchise and financial fundamentals, plus
„ Sound regulatory environment
„ Strong risk management
„ Robust corporate governance

20
Moody’s Has Stepped up Its Analysis of Controls

„ Longstanding focus (before 2003)


– Regulatory environment
– Credit/market risk controls
„ Added specialist team support (2003-2007)
– Specialist teams led to more systematic analysis of:
• Governance
• Risk management
• Control failures
„ Incorporation into revised BFSR Methodology (2007+)
– Dynamic assessment of governance & risk management
embedded in analysis
– Controls history also considered

21
Factor 2: Risk Positioning

„ Why it matters
– Majority of revenue for most banks is compensation for
taking calculated risks
– Management’s approach to managing risks underpins its
strategic decisions & the probability of those decisions
succeeding
• Is risk discipline aligned with bank’s strategy?
• How integrated is risk management with the bank’s overall
operating philosophy?

22
Risk Positioning Sub-factors

¾ Corporate governance
„ Controls and risk management
„ Financial reporting transparency
„ Credit risk concentration
„ Liquidity management
„ Market risk appetite

23
Corporate Governance – Key Factors

„ Ownership & organizational complexity


„ Key man risk
„ Insider and related party risks

„ If an individual factor is not scored as a D or E,


the factor is neutral
– And does not contribute positively or negatively to indicative BFSR

24
Ownership & Organizational Complexity

„ Can be more difficult for board to exert objective,


independent oversight if:
– Ownership is concentrated,
– Voting control is concentrated in the hands of shareholders with a
relatively small economic interest, and/or
– Ownership structures are complex
• e.g. multiple, minority ownership interests or pyramid structures

„ Large shareholders, particularly family owners,


can encourage long-term decision-making
– But it can be difficult to manage potential conflicts between large
owners & minority shareholders
– Task made more difficult if controlling shareholders hold key
management positions

25
Ownership & Organizational Complexity

„ Factors leading to a D score


– Complex ownership structure or
– > 50% ownership by an individual legal person (including the
government) or family
„ Factors leading to an E score
– Complex or private ownership as described for “D”, plus either:
• Complex organizational structure that is hard for board or
outsiders to understand, or
• Family members or government officials dominate management

26
Key Man Risk

„ Is the bank is highly dependent on a single executive or


group?
– Could this loss of talent adversely affect the bank’s fundamentals?
„ Factors contributing to a D score
– Management lacks depth (e.g. 1-2 individuals dominate
management with no apparent successor or succession planning),
OR
– Dominance of a single generation within senior management
„ Factors contributing to an E score
– Lack of management depth, AND
– Dominance of a single generation in senior management

27
Insider and Related Party Risks
„ Related party (RPT) loans
– Strong independent credit approval process is essential to a
bank’s creditworthiness
– Significant extensions of credit to insiders may indicate that
underwriting standards are being circumvented (or not being
applied consistently)
– Related party loans can also create credit concentrations that may
be harder to handle than other concentrations
– Related party loans to controlling shareholders, bank executives or
persons/entities related to them are of particular concern
„ Low board independence increases bank’s risk profile

28
Insider and Related Party Risks
„ Factors contributing to a D score
– Total RPT loans between 25% & 40% of Tier 1 capital, OR
– Less than 25% of supervisory board is independent
„ Factors contributing to an E score
– Total RPT loans > 40% of Tier 1 capital, OR
– No one on supervisory board is independent

29
Moody’s Governance Analysis is
Broader than BFSR Scores

„ BFSR scorecard for “governance component” of 2nd


factor limited to 3 key indicators
„ Risk governance also considered as part of risk
management assessment (RMA)
– Considered as part of analysis of 2nd factor
„ Indicative BFSR score can be adjusted
– as part of rating committee process to take into account qualitative
factors (including governance)
„ Ongoing governance analysis is more expansive:
– Executive pay / director pay
– Board practices / whether outside directors actively involved
– Director skills
– Director independence
– Ownership dynamics
– More nuanced look at executive succession

30
Risk Management Assessment (RMA)
Also Considers Governance

„ Four pillars of RMA methodology


¾ Risk governance at board & senior management level
¾ Dynamic involvement of board in setting firm’s risk appetite
¾ Chief risk officer reports directly to CEO and board
¾ Risk management holds veto power
¾ Effective alignment of risk with corporate & financial
objectives
– Risk management
– Risk measurement
– Risk infrastructure

31
Some Moody’s
Publications on
Governance

32
Governance Special Comments: General

„ Assessing Corporate Governance in Family-Controlled Companies from a Debt Holder


Perspective, January 2008 (106287)
„ U.S. Corporate Governance: Reviewing 2007, Previewing 2008, December 2007
(106273)
„ Analyzing Unexpected CEO Departures and Severance Payments for Signs of Weak
Governance, December 2007 (105930)
„ Western European Executive Pay Disclosure Trends Bode Well for Better Credit
Analysis, December 2007 (105837)
„ Credit Implications of Corporate Governance in Private Equity-Owned Companies,
November 2007 (105808)
„ DOJ Investigations into Rated Issuers Can Have Significant Negative Ratings
Implications, July 2007 (103761)
„ Expanding U.S. Shareholder Power Increases Potential Credit Risk to Bondholders,
June 2007 (103598)
„ Short-Term Shareholder Activists Degrade Creditworthiness of Rated Companies,
June 2007 (103433)
„ A User’s Guide to the SEC’s New Rules for Reporting Executive Pay, April 2007
(102762)
„ U.S. Directors May Have To Confront Investor Demands To Rethink Executive Pay,
January 2007 (101676)
„ Update: 11 Issuers See Rating Actions Linked to Option Timing Probes, November
2006 (100524)

33
Governance Special Comments: General

„ Do Boards Of Directors Need More Direct Staff Support, October 2006 (100417)
„ Criteria for Assessing Director Independence, October 2006 (100302)
„ Best Practices In Audit Committee Oversight of Internal Audit, October 2006
(99909)
„ Best Practices for a Board’s Role in Risk Oversight, August 2006 (98545)
„ Board Leadership: A Positive View on Non-executive Chairs and Lead Directors,
August 2006 (98557)
„ Stock Option-Timing: Scrutiny and Risks Increase, July 2006 (98494)
„ U.S. Executive Pay Structure and Metrics, June 2006 (97887)
„ Stock Options “Backdating”, June 2006 (97760)
„ The Downside of Incentive Pay for Directors, April 2006 (97174)
„ Assessing Corporate Governance As A Ratings Driver For North American Financial
Institutions, April 2006 (97279)
„ Lessons Learned in Moody’s Experience in Evaluating Corporate Governance at Major
North American Issuers, April 2006 (97104)
„ Moody’s Response to Rated Companies Receiving SEC Wells Notices, October 2005
(94627)
„ Moody’s Findings on Corporate Governance in the United States and Canada, October
2004 (89113)

34
Governance Special Comments: General

„ Stock Options “Backdating”, June 2006 (97760)


„ The Downside of Incentive Pay for Directors, April 2006 (97174)
„ Assessing Corporate Governance As A Ratings Driver For North American Financial
Institutions, April 2006 (97279)
„ Lessons Learned in Moody’s Experience in Evaluating Corporate Governance at Major
North American Issuers, April 2006 (97104)
„ Moody’s Response to Rated Companies Receiving SEC Wells Notices, October 2005
(94627)
„ Moody’s Findings on Corporate Governance in the United States and Canada, October
2004 (89113)

35
Special Comments: Governance of Financial Firms

„ Key Man Risk in Private Equity Firms and Hedge Funds is a Potential Credit Risk for
Bondholders, December 2007 (106058)
„ North American Insurers Face Three Significant Governance Risks, June 2007
(103269)
„ All Change at the Top - The Rating Implications of Future CEO Changes in the U.S.
Banking Sector, July 2006 (98179)
„ Evaluating The Rating Significance Of Regulatory Actions Against U.S. Banks, April
2006 (97230)
„ No Assurance of Good Governance: Observations on Corporate Governance in the
U.S. Insurance Sector, October 2005 (94705)
„ Don’t Bank on Strong Governance: Observations on Corporate Governance in US
Banks, August 2005 (93743)

36
Other Documents
„ Bank Financial Strength Ratings: Global Methodology, February 2007 (102151)
„ Incorporation of Joint-Default Analysis into Moody’s Bank Ratings: A Refined
Methodology, March 2007 (102639)

37
Acknowledgments and Contacts

„ This presentation is based on the work of, and prepared with the
assistance of, the Corporate Governance Specialist Team at Moody’s
Investors Service
– Mark LaMonte, Senior Vice President and Team Leader
(mark.lamonte@moodys.com)
– Drew Hambly, Assistant Vice President-Analyst
– Christian Plath, Assistant Vice President-Analyst

38
www.moodys.com

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