4abab00d en
4abab00d en
CANADA
Recruiting Immigrant
      Workers:
       Canada
         2019
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                                                                                      FOREWORD   3
Foreword
       This review of Canada’s labour migration policy is the tenth in a series conducted
       by the OECD Secretariat as a follow-up to the 2009 High Level Policy Forum on
       International Migration. The rationale for this initiative was the recent growth in
       labour migration observed in many countries and the likelihood that recourse to
       labour migration would increase in the context of demographic ageing. Prior to the
       global economic crisis of the late 2000s, many countries had made substantial
       changes to labour migration policies with a view to facilitating recruitment from
       abroad. With the introduction of these changes, more prominence was accorded to
       the question of their effectiveness, and more broadly to the objectives of labour
       migration policy in general. Although the economic crisis put a damper on labour
       migration movements, it did not stop them entirely, and interest in labour migration
       policy is unlikely to diminish in the near future.
       The central objective of labour migration policy is to help meet those labour market
       needs which cannot be satisfied through tapping domestic labour supply in a
       reasonable timeframe, without adversely affecting the domestic labour market and
       without hindering development prospects in vulnerable origin countries. Although
       the objective itself can be easily stated, specifying the criteria for assessing the
       success of policy in achieving it is a complex matter. It involves evaluating how
       well labour market needs have been identified and whether migration has had an
       impact on the labour market, both of which are analytically difficult.
       This series of reviews addresses the question of whether labour migration policy is
       effective in meeting labour market needs without adverse effects, and whether the
       policy is efficient. To address these questions, this review aims to analyse two key
       areas: i) the labour migration system and its characteristics, in terms of policies in
       place and the labour migrants who arrive; and ii) the extent to which it is responding
       to the current and forecasted needs of the domestic labour market, as well as any
       impact on the latter.
       Canada faces a similar discussion as other OECD countries regarding the capacity
       of its labour migration policy to meet current but also unknown future skill needs.
       It is in this context that Canada requested the OECD review its labour migration
       policy. Since 2015, Canada introduced a federal expression of interest system
       (Express Entry) for the selection of permanent high-skilled labour migrants,
       overhauled its temporary foreign worker programme, piloted new immigration
       programmes and enhanced the role played by provincial and territorial governments
       in labour migration management.
       Canada is a nation built on immigration and immigration is also key to maintaining
       a high-skilled workforce in Canada. This review assesses the performance of the
Acknowledgements
       This review was drafted by the OECD’s International Migration Division. Chapters
       1-3 were prepared by Elisabeth Kamm with contributions from Sankar Ramasamy,
       Erik Krassoi Peach and Martina Belmonte. Chapter 4 was prepared by Ana Damas
       de Matos. Thomas Liebig co-ordinated the report. It benefitted from valuable
       comments by Jonathan Chaloff, Jean-Christophe Dumont, Veronique Gindrey,
       Philippe Herve and Mark Pearson. Joanne Dundon, Liv Gudmundson, Anna
       Tarutina and Lauren Thwaites provided publication support.
       This review would not have been possible without the support of Immigration,
       Refugees and Citizenship Canada and the Canadian Delegate to the OECD Working
       Party on Migration, Mr. Matt de Vlieger. The Secretariat would like to thank
       Employment and Social Development Canada as well as Statistics Canada for data
       provided and valuable comments. Special thanks go to Yehuala Dagnachew,
       Colleen Dempsey, Ying Gai, Martha Justus, Ümit Kiziltan, Stanley Kustec,
       Stephanie Leung, Scott McLeish, Corinne Prince, Zhining Qi, Danijela Stojanovic,
       Arthur Sweetman, Fraser Valentine and Xiaoyi Yan for their support and advice
       throughout the project. The OECD Secretariat would like to thank the Canadian
       authorities involved in this project and, indeed, all of their contacts in Canada who
       provided timely information and responded to the numerous questions raised.
Table of contents
Foreword ................................................................................................................................................ 3
Acknowledgements ................................................................................................................................ 5
Acronyms and abbreviations .............................................................................................................. 11
Executive summary ............................................................................................................................. 13
Assessment and recommendations ..................................................................................................... 17
Summary of main policy recommendations...................................................................................... 27
Chapter 1. Context for labour migration to Canada ....................................................................... 29
   Introduction........................................................................................................................................ 30
   Overview of labour migration flows and the economic and demographic context ........................... 31
   Evolution of Canadian immigration policy........................................................................................ 40
   Key actors in the management of labour migration to Canada .......................................................... 51
   Composition of labour migration to Canada ...................................................................................... 54
   Notes .................................................................................................................................................. 60
   References.......................................................................................................................................... 62
Chapter 2. Permanent labour migration ........................................................................................... 65
   Evolution of the Points-Based System ............................................................................................... 66
   Express Entry ..................................................................................................................................... 71
   Key issues in the functioning of Express Entry ................................................................................. 85
   Federal permanent labour migration outside of Express Entry........................................................ 109
   Conclusion ....................................................................................................................................... 111
   Notes ................................................................................................................................................ 113
   References........................................................................................................................................ 115
   Annex 2.A. Canada’s points system and process comparison ......................................................... 119
Chapter 3. Temporary labour migration ........................................................................................ 123
   Overview of temporary labour migrant groups................................................................................ 124
   Common issues for the management of temporary labour migration .............................................. 153
   Conclusion ....................................................................................................................................... 164
   Notes ................................................................................................................................................ 166
   References........................................................................................................................................ 169
Chapter 4. Provincial migration management................................................................................ 171
   The interaction between the federal and the provincial governments in selecting labour migrants 172
   Federal versus provincial programmes: a comparison between Canada and Australia ................... 179
   Economic immigrants selected by federal and by provincial governments: A comparison ............ 180
   Inter-provincial mobility of labour immigrants ............................................................................... 188
   Settlement of provincially selected immigrants within provinces ................................................... 194
   Conclusion ....................................................................................................................................... 196
                                                                         Tables
Table 1.1. Departments in charge of Canadian immigration policy, 1887 to present ........................... 41
Table 1.2. Canada’s immigration levels plan for economic immigration, 2019-21 .............................. 54
Table 2.1. Evolution of the Points-Based System (current FSW entry grid) 1967 to present ............... 69
Table 2.2. FSW entry grid points allocation.......................................................................................... 77
Table 2.3. Total points allocation in the Comprehensive Ranking System ........................................... 79
Table 2.4. Points for core and human capital factors in the CRS .......................................................... 79
Table 2.5. Points distribution in EOI systems ....................................................................................... 83
Table 2.6. Skill transferability points in the CRS .................................................................................. 84
Table 2.7. How the CRS values foreign and Canadian work and study experience ............................. 95
Table 2.8. Most common occupations among invitations issued in percent, 2015-18 ........................ 101
Table 3.1. Median hourly wages in CAD by province or territory...................................................... 129
Table 3.2. Key assessment criteria by TFW Program streams ............................................................ 134
Table 3.3. Processing times of TFW work permit applications, 2015-18 ........................................... 138
Table 3.4. Refusal rates of TFW work permit applications, 2015-18 ................................................. 138
Table 3.5. Completed TFW Program inspections, by fiscal year and outcome .................................. 139
Table 3.6. Completed IMP inspections by fiscal year and outcome ................................................... 148
Table 3.7. International students by citizenship and sign year, 2015-18 ............................................. 150
Table 3.8. Study permit approval rate in % by province, 2014-18 ...................................................... 153
Table 4.1. Provincial Nominees, agreements and PA admissions by province in 2017 ...................... 174
Table 4.2. Education level of provincially and federally selected labour immigrants (PAs) .............. 182
Table 4.3. Skill type of intended occupations of provincially and federally selected labour
    immigrants ................................................................................................................................... 184
Table 4.4. Share of immigrants reporting employment earnings by PT of landing and immigration
    programme................................................................................................................................... 186
                                                                        Figures
Figure 1.1. Permanent labour immigration in selected OECD countries, 2017 .................................... 31
Figure 1.2. Acquisition of nationality among immigrants..................................................................... 32
Figure 1.3. Percentage of tertiary-educated native- and foreign-born ................................................... 33
Figure 1.4. Talent shortage in international comparison, 2018 ............................................................. 36
Figure 1.5. Permanent landed economic immigrants, 2017 .................................................................. 37
Figure 1.6. Permanent landed economic immigrants relative to population, 2017 ............................... 38
Figure 1.7. Old-age dependency ratio ................................................................................................... 39
Figure 1.8. Difference between age-related entries and exits from the working-age population in
     OECD countries, based on the 2015 population............................................................................ 39
Figure 1.9. Total and relative annual permanent migration inflows, 1860 to 2020............................... 42
Figure 1.10. Labour immigrants by province and migration programme, 2017 ................................... 45
Figure 1.11. Totals and shares of permanent immigrants by entry stream, 1980-2020......................... 48
Figure 1.12. Share of permanent labour immigrants by economic entry class, 1997-2017 .................. 55
Figure 1.13. Work permit holders for work purposes by programme and year in which permits
     became effective, 2007-17............................................................................................................. 59
Figure 2.1. Immigration and unemployment rates, 1965-18 ................................................................. 67
Figure 2.2. Express Entry basic functioning.......................................................................................... 71
Figure 2.3. Express Entry high-level principles and processes ............................................................. 73
Figure 2.4. Eligibility criteria to enter the Express Entry pool .............................................................. 78
Figure 2.5. Federal Skilled Worker Program, principal applicants, and spouses and dependants,
     2005-17 .......................................................................................................................................... 81
Figure 2.6. ITA issued per Express Entry draw and required pass mark, 2015-2018 ........................... 86
Figure 2.7. How the CRS-cut off score changed during 2018............................................................... 87
Figure 2.8. Median earnings in CAD of labour immigrants by years since admission (landing) and
     arrival cohort ................................................................................................................................. 89
Figure 2.9. Applicants invited to apply by ITA in 2017/18 and EE-pool snapshot of August 2018 ..... 90
Figure 2.10. Share of labour migrants by earning groups, Express Entry onshore transitions .............. 96
Figure 2.11. Schematic overview of the links between EE and Job Bank ............................................ 98
Figure 2.12. Distribution of intended occupation group and skill-level of immigrants admitted
     under EE ...................................................................................................................................... 100
Figure 3.1. Annual inflow of temporary labour migrants, 2017.......................................................... 125
Figure 3.2. Overview of temporary labour migration ......................................................................... 127
Figure 3.3. Work permit holders by year in which permit(s) became effective and programme (%),
     1998-2018 .................................................................................................................................... 128
Figure 3.4. Duration of the advertising period in the labour market test for temporary labour
     migration permits, in days, 2018 ................................................................................................. 130
Figure 3.5. Streams of agricultural workers under the TFW Program ................................................ 132
Figure 3.6. TFW Program permit holders with permit(s) by sign year, 2009-18 ................................ 133
Figure 3.7. Over a third of long-time care workers in Canada are foreign-born ................................. 140
Figure 3.8. Admissions of permanent residents under the caregiver category, 1995-2018 ................. 141
Figure 3.9. Median earnings by years since landing, Live-in Caregivers and economic labour
     migrants and their spouses and dependants, landing cohort of 2006 .......................................... 144
Figure 3.10. IMP work permit holders by initial sign year and programme, 2007-18 ........................ 145
Figure 3.11. Initial permits to working holiday makers in selected OECD countries, 2010-17.......... 147
Figure 3.12. International tertiary students enrolled in OECD countries, 2016 .................................. 149
Figure 3.13. Field of study of international and national tertiary level students, 2016 ....................... 151
Figure 3.14. Annual average tuition fees charged by public tertiary educational institutions to
     foreign students in USD, 2015/16 ............................................................................................... 152
Figure 3.15. Attracting Talent indicators for workers with master/doctoral degree, 2019 .................. 154
Figure 3.16. Change in unemployment rate and labour market tested work permit levels 2009-18 ... 155
Figure 3.17. Labour market tested work permit holders as share of labour force (LF) and
     unemployment rates, by region 2015-18 ..................................................................................... 156
Figure 3.18. Admissions of permanent labour migrants (principal applicants in economic classes)
     by previous permits, 2006-16 ...................................................................................................... 159
Figure 3.19. Transition paths for temporary workers to permanent residence through economic
     programmes ................................................................................................................................. 160
Figure 3.20. Admissions of permanent residents under economic class with prior work permit
     holder status................................................................................................................................. 161
Figure 3.21. Duration of post-graduation job search periods in months, 2018 ................................... 162
Figure 3.22. Onshore transitions to permanent residence (%), 2007-17 ............................................. 163
Figure 3.23. Median annual income in CAD by pre-admission experience, cohort of 2008 .............. 164
Figure 4.1. Federally and provincially selected labour immigrants, 2007-17 ..................................... 173
Figure 4.2. Evolution of federally and provincially selected labour immigrants by province,
     2007-17 ........................................................................................................................................ 178
Figure 4.3. Share of women among PNs and non-PNP selected labour immigrants, 2008-18 ........... 181
Figure 4.4. Skill level of provincial and federal labour immigrants by province of intended
     residence, 2008-18....................................................................................................................... 185
Figure 4.5. Mobility matrix for principal applicants under the PNP by province of residence and
     province of destination ................................................................................................................ 189
Figure 4.6. Mobility matrix for labour migrants selected by the federal government and by Quebec,
     by province of residence and province of destination ................................................................. 190
Figure 4.7. Retention rate of principal applicants of the PNP and other labour immigrants ............... 191
Figure 4.8. Mobility matrix for federally, provincially and Quebec-selected labour migrants ........... 192
Figure 4.9. How shares of immigrants in rural areas have evolved, relative to change in urban
     regions ......................................................................................................................................... 194
Figure 4.10. Provincial nominee principal applicants by year of landing and place of landing .......... 195
Figure 4.11. PNs (principal applicants) landing years 2006-16 by agglomeration size, compared
     with the total population, 2016 .................................................................................................... 196
                                                                        Boxes
Box 1.1. Integration of immigrants and their children in Canada ......................................................... 32
Box 1.2. Regional governance of immigration in Canada and the case of Quebec............................... 45
Box 1.3. Data sources on labour migration to Canada .......................................................................... 53
Box 2.1. Pre-arrival support ................................................................................................................ 105
Box 3.1. Canada’s Global Skills Strategy .............................................................................................. 135
Box 3.2. Transition of international students in Canada ..................................................................... 161
Box 4.1. Quebec’s Expression of Interest system ............................................................................... 176
Box 4.2. The Atlantic Immigration Pilot ............................................................................................. 193
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Executive summary
       Canada has not only the largest in terms of numbers, but also the most elaborate
       and longest-standing skilled labour migration system in the OECD. Largely as a
       result of many decades of managed labour migration, more than one in five people
       in Canada is foreign-born, one of the highest shares in the OECD. 60% of Canada’s
       foreign-born population are highly educated, the highest percentage OECD-wide.
       A broad range of settlement services for labour migrants and their families, both
       pre- and post-arrival, complement the system and overall integration outcomes of
       migrants and their native-born children are better than in most other OECD
       countries. Against this backdrop, Canada is widely seen as a role model for
       successful migration management.
       Canada’s permanent migration system is based on a rolling three-year plan, with an
       annual intake of over 320 000 individuals in 2018, about 0.9% of its population.
       The plan balances economic migration – labour migrants and their families – with
       family and humanitarian migration, serving a broad range of economic,
       demographic and humanitarian objectives. Intake planning for labour migrants –
       which together with their families account for almost 60% of the total – includes a
       range of annual admissions for the total and the main category, and sets targets for
       federal and regionally selected migrants.
       In 2015, Canada introduced Express Entry, a dynamic two-step “Expression of
       Interest” system for labour migration. The new system for permanent labour
       migration selects among eligible candidates from a pool about every other week,
       inviting the highest ranked candidates to apply for permanent residency until
       reaching a pre-defined number of invitations. To enter the pool, candidates must
       meet various minimum criteria for one of three federal programmes managed by
       the system. If successful, they are ranked against one another based on a
       comprehensive ranking system. A unique feature of the Canadian model, in contrast
       to other Expression of Interest systems in New Zealand and Australia, is the degree
       of refinement in the ranking system. This allows consideration of positive
       interactions of skills, such as that between language proficiency and the ability to
       transfer foreign qualifications to the Canadian context. The system is built on an
       in-depth assessment of the drivers of outcomes of previous migrants.
       Canada is highly reactive to new developments, and changes in policy governing
       migration are not only rather frequent but also more strongly evidence-based than
       elsewhere. For example, monitoring the composition of invited candidates
       following the implementation of Express Entry has already led to two major reforms
       of the system. These reforms addressed several initial shortcomings, such as the too
       high points attributed for a job offer, which led to a high intake of lesser-skilled
       migrants working in the hospitality sector. The system now puts more value on
      human capital factors (e.g. education, knowledge of English and/or French) as these
      are related with better labour market outcomes. Policy innovations build on a strong
      foundation of in-house research and evaluation of programmes and outcomes,
      coupled with one of the most comprehensive data infrastructures on migrants in the
      OECD.
      The Express Entry system selects not only those with the highest potential, but also
      allows for ministerial discretion to address political priorities in selection, for
      example by providing bonus points. However, as many candidates are clustered in
      a narrow range of points, slight changes in points allocation can drastically alter the
      selection. Ministerial discretion should thus be used parsimoniously and be
      evidence-based, with transparency about the underlying objectives.
      A key issue in the system is that requirements for pool entry differ from the criteria
      used in the universal points’ allocation within, and thus selection from, the pool.
      The three programmes currently managed via Express Entry were designed prior to
      its implementation, and the entry criteria for the pool are thus not well-aligned with
      its selection criteria. There are also some inconsistencies in the system, with
      candidates from the mostly onshore Canadian Experience Class being eligible with
      lower language skills than those coming from abroad through the Federal Skilled
      Worker Program. What is more, there are very few admissions through the Federal
      Skilled Trades programme, with cooks accounting for a large part of these. Most
      tradespeople are admitted through other streams, and the programme currently
      mainly serves migration in a few occupations where shortages are not necessarily
      present, which contrasts with its original objectives. Providing for a single entry
      grid based on the core criteria for ultimate selection would simplify the system and
      ensure common standards.
      In an admission system such as Canada’s, which places heavy emphasis on formal
      qualifications through its points allocation, a key challenge is the recognition of
      foreign qualifications, and this challenge is exacerbated by the country’s federal
      nature. Recognition is a provincial competence, and provinces have different
      practices. This is a particular issue in ‘regulated occupations’, such as doctors and
      nurses, where licensing is required for the exercising of the profession. While
      Express Entry candidates have their language proficiency tested and their foreign
      education certified prior to their selection, quite often an assessment – and potential
      upgrading – of occupation-specific qualifications is still necessary. These issues can
      lead to a situation where migrants are selected based on their skills but in reality
      cannot then exercise them. To this end, in addition to better informing potential
      migrants about this issue, Canada should further enhance communication and data
      sharing among the different stakeholders involved and add incentives within the
      system itself to encourage migrants to initiate the licensing process before landing
      and/or introduce a specific visa for foreign credentials’ recognition.
      A distinguishing feature of the Canadian system is its clear separation of permanent
      and temporary labour migration streams. However, over the past decade, the share
      of onshore transitions among total admissions has increased two-fold, and these
      now account for about half of new labour migrants. This share is likely to increase
       further due to the continuously growing role of provinces and territories in selecting
       migrants – who in about three-quarters of cases select those already in Canada – as
       well as the Express Entry system, which rewards previous Canadian study, in
       addition to Canadian work experience.
       An exception to the clear separation of temporary and permanent migration is the
       caregiver programme, which has a built-in two-step form of migration, making it
       very attractive for caregivers compared with provisions in other countries.
       However, most caregivers in Canada leave the occupation within a few years after
       admission for permanent residence, as the latter allows for occupational mobility.
       A longer required residence prior to transition could thus be considered as an option
       for limiting the need for constant high intakes in this category.
       The number of temporary foreign workers is increasing, though this group
       contribute a smaller share to the labour force (about 1.1%) than in other settlement
       countries. Temporary labour migration is constituted of two streams. The first is the
       Temporary Foreign Worker Program, which admits foreign workers to meet
       specific shortages in the labour market, is rather tightly managed and labour market-
       tested. The burdensome procedure for temporary labour migration, especially for
       those migrants who are paid above the provincial average, encourages labour
       migration that might otherwise be temporary to pass through permanent streams. In
       addition, there are no facilitations for renewal of permits. Although the recent
       implementation of Canada’s new Global Skills Strategy provides simpler and faster
       procedures for some subgroups, the overall set-up remains complex and
       simplification should be considered, notably for renewals.
       The second component is the International Mobility Program, which admits
       temporary migrants with work rights, primarily for a range of other objectives
       mostly associated with international business and co-operation, such as youth
       mobility schemes and intra-corporate transfers, as well as post-graduate
       employment. Whereas the tightly managed Temporary Foreign Worker Program
       has continuously declined over the past decade, there has been strong growth in
       such international mobility. In contrast to the Temporary Foreign Worker Program
       where most permits are employer and occupation-specific, the bulk of beneficiaries
       of international mobility obtain open work permits and information on their
       intended occupation and destination is often missing. This hampers both monitoring
       and assessment of the labour market impact. First steps toward better monitoring
       have been taken, and it is important to continue along those lines.
       However, the single largest and fastest growing component of international
       mobility is the international graduates group, who work under a post-graduation
       permit. Initial permits to these individuals have increased five-fold over the past
       five years. Indeed, among major OECD recipient countries, Canada has been the
       fastest growing destination for international students, whose numbers almost tripled
       between 2008 and 2018. International students can work during their studies and
       stay for up to three years in the country on a post-graduation permit. Due to the
       requirement of at least one year of skilled work experience for admission, direct
      transitions from international students to permanent residency are rare, but later
      onward transitions are increasingly common.
      Permanent labour migration is a shared responsibility between the federal and the
      provincial and territorial (PT) governments. The increased role played by provincial
      and territorial governments in selection and integration has resulted in a more
      balanced geographic distribution of permanent labour migrants across the country
      over the past two decades. As permanent migrants enjoy free mobility across
      Canada, the rather high retention rate of PT-selected labour migrants and their
      different skill profile suggest that PT-streams are indeed complementary to the
      federal programmes. What is more, short-to-mid-term labour market outcomes of
      PT-selected migrants to date tend to be largely favourable, with a few exceptions.
      However, given the large growth in PT-selected migration and the fact that some
      programmes are not very selective (with some evidence that the less successful
      migrate to other provinces) a continuous monitoring seems warranted to be able to
      react if the current rather favourable assessment were to change.
      In addition to their own programmes, PTs can also nominate a certain number of
      migrants from the Express Entry pool, ensuring their timely selection and priority
      processing. A way to ensure that selection of provincial nominees remains
      consistent with overall Canadian skill needs would be to direct future growth in the
      programme through Express Entry. In turn, a provincial temporary foreign worker
      pilot should be considered. This would allow PTs to better respond to regional
      cyclical or seasonal labour needs that are currently not met otherwise, without the
      need to resort to permanent migration through provincial nomination.
      Most of the provincial nominees – like their federally selected counterparts – settle
      in metropolitan and agglomeration areas, a development that Canada is currently
      addressing with a new rural community-driven programme, with an accompanying
      whole-of-family approach to integration, designed to enhance retention. Indeed,
      Canada has been at the forefront of testing new, holistic approaches to manage
      labour migration and to link it with settlement services, especially in areas with
      demographic challenges such as the Atlantic Provinces. The Atlantic Immigration
      Pilot, for example, provides a rather holistic approach by linking attraction and
      retention through measures such as six-month priority processing, support for
      employers, and significant settlement support for the entire family with
      personalised settlement plans.
      In summary, Canada has been largely successful in managing labour migration.
      Core to this success is not only the elaborate selection system itself, but also the
      innovation and infrastructure around it, which ensures constant testing, monitoring
      and adaptation of its parameters. This includes a comprehensive and constantly
      improving data infrastructure, the capacity to analyse such data, and subsequent
      swift policy reaction to new evidence and emerging challenges.
       points, such an allocation of bonus points can drastically alter the composition of
       candidates selected. While this maintains flexibility, it also runs the risk of
       hampering planning and consistency in selection. Ministerial discretion should thus
       be used parsimoniously and be evidence-based, with sufficient transparency of the
       underlying objectives.
       Most remaining shortcomings of the system in place for the selection of
       permanent labour migrants have been addressed through recent reforms…
       Testimony to the reactivity of the Canadian system have been two recent reforms
       of Express Entry, which took place in late 2016 and mid-2017. These reforms
       addressed several of the initial shortcomings of the system as well as taking into
       account some of the recommendations of a 2016 OECD interim assessment of the
       Canadian labour migration system (see Chapter 1). Examples include the reduction
       of the previously excessively high level of points necessary for a job offer and the
       placing of more value on Canadian education.
       …but consistency between admission and final selection could be improved
       by applying aligned criteria to pool entry and selection
       These improvements notwithstanding, a key challenge in the system is the fact that
       requirements for pool entry differ from the criteria used in the universal points
       allocation within, and thus selection from, the pool. Of the three programmes
       currently managed via Express Entry, only the Federal Skilled Workers uses a
       points’ grid for pool entry. The two other programmes have specific pool eligibility
       criteria. All of these programmes were designed prior to Express Entry, and have
       not been adapted since. This raises several issues. First, the points’ grid used for
       Federal Skilled Workers differs significantly from the points’ grid used in Express
       Entry. It rewards up to 22% of the entry grid points for foreign work experience
       while, in the absence of other specific skills such as Canadian work experience
       and/or national language knowledge, foreign work experience confers no points for
       the final selection. It also applies a different age scale. Second, applicants under the
       Canadian Experience Class face only specific entry criteria and these are lower than
       for a Federal Skilled Worker, for instance, there is no minimum qualification
       requirement and there are lower language requirements. The latter is particularly
       surprising as these individuals are presumably “pre-integrated” and should thus
       have higher language skills than candidates from abroad.
       Express Entry allows selection of skilled tradespersons but the primary
       route is not via the Federal Skilled Trades pathway, which should be
       abolished
       A third issue arises for the Federal Skilled Trades class. This was originally
       designed to attract tradespersons in the medium skills-range, in occupations with
       specific shortages. However, the programme never reached the desired group in
       large enough numbers, and in 2018, less than 400 principal applicants were
       admitted under this class, with cooks being the most important group – an
       occupation that is not, in fact, in strong demand nation-wide. This does not mean
       that there are no tradespeople admitted to Canada – but that the vast majority meets
      either the criteria for skilled workers or for Canadian experience (or benefits from
      provincial or territorial nomination). As the programme did not meet its objectives,
      and there are other pathways which seem to function adequately for this group, it
      should be abolished.
      A single refined entry grid, based on minimum criteria of the
      Comprehensive Ranking System, would ensure common standards for all
      federal high-skilled labour migrants
      Selectivity, transparency, and consistency of selection would be improved by
      channelling all candidates through a single set of core minimum entry criteria. The
      core factors of the Comprehensive Ranking System should serve as a basis for this
      entry grid, rather than the current Federal Skilled Worker points system. This would
      simplify the system and ensure common language and education standards for all
      federal labour migrants. Consequently, the current separate pathways for Federal
      Skilled Worker, Federal Skilled Trades and Canadian Experience Class could be
      merged into one pathway.
      Some fine-tuning to the Comprehensive Ranking System would further
      improve selection…
      The Comprehensive Ranking System itself could also be improved, in particular by
      awarding points for Canadian work experience (in the core factor), based on the
      wage of the last Canadian job instead of on the duration of the work experience and
      the occupational classification. Research has indicated that wages are a better
      predictor of labour market outcomes. Wages should not be an absolute indicator
      here, but rather considered in light of the hours worked and the location, as wage-
      levels differ across Canada. Currently applicants gain half of the available points
      for Canadian experience in the core factors for only one year of skilled work
      experience, regardless of salary or other criteria. Canadian work experience is also
      credited a second time in Express Entry under the skill transferability section and
      awards full possible interaction points after a mere two years of experience.
      …and the administrative burden lowered by replacing the labour market
      impact assessment with integrity checks
      All OECD countries value job offers in their admission systems as, by definition,
      the immediate labour market integration of the candidates is ensured. While in
      contrast to most countries, there is no requirement of a job offer, Canada awards 50
      bonus points (200 for a senior management position) in Express Entry for such
      candidates. A unique feature of the Canadian points-based selection system is that
      a labour market impact assessment (LMIA) is required for many candidates who
      benefit from these bonus points. Until November 2016, when the Canadian system
      was more demand-driven, half of the total maximum points were awarded to a job
      offer, thereby guaranteeing selection. At its introduction, the labour market test thus
      ensured that candidates only benefited from the points if their admission did not
      present potential harm to the resident workforce. In the current system, which
      provides just a fraction of the original points for a job offer, such a strict assessment
      seems less warranted. It also appears that many candidates with a job offer shy away
       from the burdensome process under the new provisions. In 2017, less than 10% of
       invited applicants claimed points for a job offer, compared with a third in 2016. For
       regular positions (not senior management positions that receive more points), the
       LMIA for permanent migration could thus be replaced by integrity checks, or some
       differentiation in the points allocated for a job offer between those with an LMIA
       and those without.
       The recognition of foreign qualifications is a key challenge, exacerbated
       by Canada’s federal nature
       In a selection system such as Canada’s which places strong focus on formal
       qualifications and skilled occupations, assessing and recognising whether
       candidates with foreign qualifications and work experience meet Canadian
       standards is a challenge. Moreover, in a recent survey among recent arrivals, two-
       thirds of economic immigrants reported that getting a job that matches their skills
       and qualifications was very difficult or difficult. To make sure they meet Canadian
       standards, Canada requires all candidates to have their qualifications assessed. This
       assessment, however, is not a formal recognition, as recognition is a provincial
       competence, with differing requirements across provinces and territories. This is a
       particular issue in regulated occupations, where licensing is required for exercising
       the profession. At present, regulatory bodies do not feed the information they collect
       back to IRCC. It is hence unclear how many immigrants attempt and pass
       provincial/territorial licensing tests in their intended occupation. While efforts have
       been made in recent years to enhance co-operation, such as via the Pan-Canadian
       Framework for the Assessment and Recognition of Foreign Credentials,
       information sharing among the different stakeholders involved could be further
       improved, both within and across levels of government. A further step would be to
       reduce the administrative burden, for example by requiring licensing bodies to take
       the initial qualification assessment for migration as a starting point in the licensing
       procedure.
       Incentives could encourage potential migrants to start licensing processes
       in regulated professions before landing, and methods facilitating pre-
       arrival licensing should be tested
       The requirement of recognition post-landing for certain occupations can lead to a
       situation where migrants, selected based on their skills, are hampered in the actual
       exercising of these skills. Apart from better informing candidates about the
       necessary steps for recognition, a key issue is the fact that it is not possible to start
       licensing in many occupations from outside of Canada. One possibility would be to
       allow individuals in the Express Entry pool who have conveyed their interest in
       working in a regulated profession to come to Canada and start the licensing process
       by issuing a specific short-term visa for the purposes of qualification recognition,
       as is currently possible, for example, in Germany. An alternative possibility would
       be to include a pre-test for recognition by occupation. A resulting probability scale
       could be developed according to which points are allocated – potentially under the
       skill transferability points for foreign work experience. This would also serve as an
       incentive to migrants to initiate the process before landing.
       of the total maximum points as a bonus, thereby guaranteeing selection. Such PT-
       selected candidates from the pool benefit from priority processing. To make sure
       that future growth of provincial nominees remains consistent with overall Canadian
       skill needs – which are predominantly on the higher end – it should come primarily
       through Express Entry.
       The introduction of targeted regional temporary programmes would enable
       provinces and territories to better address specific temporary regional
       shortages
       As a counterpart to this development, a provincial temporary foreign worker pilot
       should be considered to target specific regional shortages. This would ensure that
       PTs with more cyclical or seasonal labour needs that are currently not met by the
       current temporary programmes could resort to temporary labour migration rather
       than permanent.
       Canada has become a world leader in pre-arrival integration services, but
       take-up is still low
       Canada is a leader in pre-arrival services, and the provision of such services has
       greatly expanded in recent years. Still, only 8.5% of economic immigrants eligible
       for pre-arrival services received such support. Depending on the country of origin,
       pre-arrival services vary considerably in scope, way of delivery (in-person or
       online) and size, but generally consist of information sessions and written material
       on the practical issues of the settlement process (Canadian way of life; insurance,
       health and housing issues; finding a job; etc.).
       The link between integration and retention in the Atlantic Immigration
       Pilot is a promising one and could be extended further
       To attract and retain skilled workers to fill long-term labour market needs in the
       Atlantic Provinces, Canada initiated the Atlantic Immigration Pilot in 2017. This
       programme is employer-driven, i.e. local employers apply to a province to become
       designated under the pilot and then can offer jobs to eligible candidates. The
       programme provides a rather holistic approach by linking attraction and retention
       through six-month priority processing, support for employers, and significant
       settlement support for the entire family with personalised settlement plans. Building
       on the first positive experiences of the Atlantic Immigration Pilot, a similar – though
       community-driven – programme for the rural areas is currently being tested.
       Onshore transitions are less common than elsewhere, in spite of growing
       numbers
       As in the other settlement countries, a growing share of permanent labour migrants
       have prior Canadian education and/or work experience. In 2017, about 58% of
       admitted labour immigrants were onshore transitions, a share below that of other
       settlement countries such as the United States and New Zealand (each 86%) and
       Australia (67%). Nevertheless, Canada has seen a strong increase in admissions of
       individuals with a previous permit over the past two decades. The majority had a
       previous work permit, although an increasing share of onshore transitions to
      economic classes have both work and study experience in Canada. Direct
      transitions of international graduates – without additional Canadian work
      experience as temporary labour migrants – are rare.
      Temporary labour migration to Canada is high, but largely for other
      purposes than specific labour market needs
      In 2017, according to standardised OECD data, around 214 000 temporary labour
      migrants entered Canada, a number that has strongly increased in recent years
      (+50% 2015/2017). However, three quarters of temporary labour migrants have not
      primarily been admitted to meet direct labour needs but for a broad range of other
      purposes such as international co-operation, or for allowing students to stay and
      find a job in Canada post-graduation. Indeed, whereas labour migration under the
      labour market-tested Temporary Foreign Worker Program has consistently declined
      since the onset of the global economic crisis in 2007, there has been a parallel strong
      increase in other temporary migration with work rights under the International
      Mobility Program and as international students. In contrast to workers under the
      TFWP whose permit is generally employer- and occupation-specific, the migrants
      concerned often have an open work permit.
      Little is known about the labour market impact of temporary labour
      migrants with open work permits and stronger monitoring is therefore
      recommended
      In 2018, less than a third of work permits issued to temporary migrants admitted
      under the International Mobility Program contained information on the intended
      province and occupation. This is largely because most individuals who are in
      Canada for such purposes receive open work permits, allowing them to work for
      any employer and anywhere in Canada. Intended occupation is only registered for
      occupation- and/or employer-specific permits and hence missing in most cases. For
      these open work permit holders, Canada is able to capture data on the province and
      industry of employment only after several years via linking tax filing data with other
      databases. With the limited information on the regional and occupational intentions
      of these temporary migrants, assessing their labour market impact is challenging
      and, given the importance of this group and their likely concentration in certain
      areas and occupations, calls for a closer monitoring in the future. A first step in this
      direction has been taken with the Canadian 2019 Budget, which commits money
      for the ongoing collection of labour market information related to open work
      permits.
      The Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) in the Temporary Foreign
      Worker Program is extensive…
      One of the reasons for the relatively low numbers under the Temporary Foreign
      Worker Program is the fact that, apart from foreign workers admitted under the
      Global Talent Stream, employers of foreign workers have to undergo a rather
      extensive labour market impact assessment. In contrast to other OECD countries,
      the procedure for a renewal is the same as for the initial permit. Employers wishing
      to hire individuals above the median regional hourly wage have to provide, in
       addition to other criteria, a “transition plan” in which they specify how they plan to
       reduce their dependence on temporary foreign workers and transition to a Canadian
       workforce in the future.
       …and encourages migration through permanent rather than temporary
       channels, especially for higher wages
       The burdensome procedure for temporary labour migration, especially for those
       migrants who are paid above the regional average, encourages labour migration that
       might otherwise prefer to be temporary to pass through permanent streams.
       Furthermore, there are no facilitations for the renewal of permits. Although the
       recent implementation of Canada’s Skill Strategy provides simpler and faster
       procedures for some subgroups, the overall set-up remains complex and
       simplifications should be considered, notably for renewals in the higher-paid
       category.
       Given that most caregivers leave the occupation after permanent residency,
       longer durations for transition should be considered
       Canada has a long tradition of temporary migration in caregiving occupations. In
       2016, over one in three long-time care workers in Canada was foreign-born, one of
       the highest share in the OECD. Since the 1980s, Canada has had several dedicated
       economic immigration pathways for caregivers, providing them with the
       opportunity to transition to permanent residence after two years of full-time
       caregiving work. One challenge of the caregivers programme is the fact that more
       than eight in ten caregivers leave the occupation within ten years. At the same time,
       and partly a result of this, caregiving occupations continue to be in high demand
       across Canada. One option would be to augment the time necessary for transition.
       Given that caregivers’ family members now have access to work and study permits
       under the recently launched caregiver pilots, Canada would remain among the most
       attractive OECD countries for caregivers.
       International students have favourable conditions to work and stay and
       numbers have thus risen strongly
       Among OECD countries, Canada has experienced one of the largest growth in
       international students in recent years, with numbers having almost tripled over the
       past decade. Students are allowed to work during their studies and can stay for up
       to three years in the country on a post-graduation permit. Over the past five years,
       post-graduation work permits issued to international graduates increased five-fold.
       In fact, about six in ten international students in Canada intend to stay in the country
       following graduation and an estimation of student stay rates suggests that about this
       number manage to do so initially. This is a much higher stay rate than observed in
       other OECD countries, although it is not clear how many will ultimately transition
       to permanent residency. Since 2017, Canadian education credentials grant
       additional points under Express Entry, and more than a third of all permanent labour
       migrants admitted to Canada in that year benefited from these bonus points.
       This chapter outlines the context for labour migration to Canada. It provides an
       overview of labour migration in international comparison, the current domestic
       labour market situation and demographic outlook and discusses the historical
       evolution of the Canadian labour migration system. Partly as a result of the longest-
       standing and largest skilled migration programme in the OECD, Canada has the
       highest-educated immigrant population in the OECD. Overall labour market
       conditions are favourable and the impact of demographic change is less severely
       felt than elsewhere.
       The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The
       use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli
       settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law.
Introduction
      Successful management of labour migration is a longstanding political priority in
      Canada. As a settlement country, along with the United States, New Zealand and
      Australia, immigration has played an important role in Canada’s nation-building
      and national heritage. Largely as a result of long-established labour migration, more
      than one in five people in Canada (about 22%) is foreign-born, one of the highest
      shares in the OECD. With an annual intake of about 0.8% of its national population
      over the past decade, and with expected intake for 2019-21 nearing 1% of national
      population, Canada also receives higher shares of immigrants than most other
      countries. Indeed, in a context of sparse population density and an ageing native-
      born society, immigration – and in particular labour migration – also plays an
      important demographic role.
      Canada is widely perceived as a role model for successful migration management.
      Indeed, integration outcomes of immigrants tend to be better than in most other
      OECD countries (OECD/EU, 2018[1]). This is in part due to the large share of labour
      migrants who, selected to succeed in the labour market, have higher skill levels and
      earn more than other immigrants upon arrival. Indeed, a few years after arrival,
      these labour migrants start surpassing the population average. In 2015/16, labour
      migrants’ (economic principal applicants)1 earnings five years after arrival were
      112% the Canadian average.
      Canada is also highly reactive to new developments and changes in the policy
      governing migration are therefore frequent. A seminal recent innovation has been
      the adoption, in 2015, of a dynamic two-step migration Expression of Interest
      system called “Express Entry”. The new system selects eligible candidates from a
      pool based on a comprehensive ranking system, with those with the highest scores
      being invited to apply.
      A key feature of the Canadian migration system – which distinguishes it notably
      from systems in Europe – is the clear separation between temporary and permanent
      migration. Permanent economic immigrants acquire the right to permanent
      residence directly upon arrival2. Since the first agricultural programme for
      temporary workers started over 50 years ago, temporary migration has also been an
      important complement to the permanent labour migration system. Today,
      temporary migrants with work rights arrive in Canada through a number of different
      pathways, such as temporary workers, international students or youth exchange
      programmes, where each pathway has specific work provisions.
      Canada is also one of the most attractive destination countries for immigration.
      According to the 2015-17 Gallup World Poll on migration, 15% of the world’s
      population stated having a desire to move abroad, and 6% of these potential
      migrants – an estimated 47 million adults – refer to Canada as their top choice of
      destination. Indeed, Canada ranks second only to the United States, in this poll.
      As a federal country with significant economic and labour market disparities and
      differing population dynamics across provinces and territories, there are significant
      regional considerations to take into account in labour migration management.
                                Accordingly, the role of regional selection has been strengthened over the past two
                                decades.
                                Against this backdrop, this review3 is structured as follows: The first Chapter
                                presents the context for labour migration to Canada. Starting with an outline of
                                economic and demographic conditions, it then presents an overview of the history
                                of labour migration to Canada and of the current labour migration channels – both
                                permanent and temporary – as well as the main stakeholders for labour migration
                                management. Chapter 2 then analyses the management of permanent labour
                                migration, in particular the functioning of the new Express Entry (EE) system.
                                Chapter 3 discusses temporary migration, including both temporary migrants
                                coming for work and those coming for other purposes. The final Chapter 4 analyses
                                the role of the provinces and regions in labour migration management, focusing on
                                the outcomes and settlement patterns of provincially selected immigrants.
                                                                                                                   2.50
                                                                                                                          per 1 000 of population
                               70
                               60                                                                                  2.00
                               50
                                                                                                                   1.50
                               40
                               30                                                                                  1.00
                               20
                                                                                                                   0.50
                               10
                                0                                                                                  -
100
 90
 80
 70
 60
 50
 40
 30
 20
 10
  0
         Consequently, of the over 321 000 permanent residents arriving in Canada in 2018,
         less than a third (96 000) were directly selected by federal or provincial
         governments as economic principal applicants. Spouses and dependants of
         economic immigrants and immigrants from the family and humanitarian classes
         also have an impact on the Canadian labour market. Indeed, both accompanying
         family of labour migrants and family migrants are indirectly selected, because of
         the tendency of spouses and family members to have a similar socio-economic
         background (OECD, 2017[2]). As a result of several decades of attracting skilled
         migrants and a large share of economic immigrants relative to other groups,
         Canada’s foreign-born population is the highest educated in the OECD. A full 60%
         of the foreign-born are tertiary educated (Figure 1.3), which also impacts on good
         overall integration outcomes (Box 1.1). What is more, under the new Express Entry
         system since 2015, spouses can influence the points score, and hence the selection
         of labour migrants, albeit only to a fairly modest degree.
                                  Foreign-born                         Native-born
    70
    60
    50
    40
    30
    20
    10
     0
         Immigrants accounted for 24% of the Canadian labour force in 2016. A recent
         report by the Conference Board of Canada suggests that between 2018 and 2040,
         the expected 11.8 million school leavers who enter the labour market will be
         significantly below about 13.4 million workers exiting the labour force.
         Immigration will thus remain a key contribution, accounting for all of Canada’s net
         labour force growth (3.7 million workers) (The Conference Board of Canada,
         2019[3]).
         In all OECD countries, labour market outcomes of immigrants typically improve
         with duration of stay, although this is less evident for labour migrants due to the
         fact that they are often admitted with a job offer and the employment rate of this
         group can only decrease over time (Dumont et al., 2016[4]). In Canada, where a
         significant share of migration is supply-driven, the improvement of labour market
      outcomes over time holds also for labour migrants. In terms of earnings, these
      migrants exceed the Canadian average five years after landing. Human capital – in
      particular education – is the best predictor of long-term economic success in
      Canada. In the short run, individuals with prior links to the Canadian labour market
      or ties to a specific region4 in particular have higher earnings until the effect of their
      pre-integration levels off and, once again, education stands out as the main predictor
      of economic success (Warman, Webb and Worswick, 2019[5]; Bonikowska, Hou
      and Picot, 2015[6]).5
       growth over the next ten years is expected to be in high-skill occupations as the
       Canadian economy is becoming more and more knowledge-intensive, automatised
       and with stronger health care needs. However, these COPS projections are
       aggregate and nation-wide estimations. As such, they capture neither regional
       differences nor imbalances within occupational groups. As shortages are likely to
       be confined to certain specific professions and widespread only in particular
       regions, this limits their overall practicality.
       To provide better data on regional labour shortages, Canada launched in 2015 the
       Job Vacancy and Wage Survey (JVWS), administered by Statistics Canada. The
       JVWS documents job vacancies, job vacancy rates and average offered hourly
       wages7. It provides a regional quarterly updated overview of labour demand. In the
       first quarter of 2018, the job vacancy rate reached 2.9% across Canada, which is the
       sixth consecutive quarter with a year-over-year increase in the number of job
       vacancies. Rates varied from Lower Mainland-Southwest in British Columbia
       (4.4%) to South Coast-Burin Peninsula and Notre Dame-Central Bonavista Bay in
       Newfoundland and Labrador (1.2%) (Statistics Canada, 2018[10]).
       The largest number of job vacancies were in accommodation and food services,
       followed by health care and social assistance. The highest vacancy rate was reported
       in the agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting sector (6.9%) (Statistics Canada,
       2018[11]).
       The fact that COPS does not predict shortages in lower skilled occupations is partly
       at odds with other perceptions of the Canadian labour market. According to the
       latest Talent Shortage Survey of the Manpower Group, 41% of Canadian employers
       report difficulties filling open jobs. This is the most pronounced talent shortage in
       Canada since 2006. However, Canada is facing fewer difficulties than most other
       OECD countries (Figure 1.4). Talent shortage is most severe for large companies,
       with 58% of employers employing over 250 employees saying they face skill
       shortages. According to the survey, the most difficulties in filling positions in
       Canada are in the sector of skilled trades, sales representatives, drivers, technicians,
       and engineers – i.e. in the mid-skilled segment (ManpowerGroup, 2018[12]).
      100
       90
       80
       70
       60
       50
       40
       30
       20
       10
        0
      According to its latest census of 2016, Canada had an average annual population
      growth rate of 1% between 2011 and 2016, the highest population growth rate
      among all G7 countries, with immigration accounting for about two-thirds of
      overall population growth from 2011 to 2016, while fertility remains low at a
      current rate of 1.6 births per woman (Statistics Canada, 2017[15]). Canada’s net
      migration rate for 2015 to 2020 is projected to be six persons per 1 000 inhabitants,
      a number only surpassed in the OECD by Australia with 6.9 per 1 000 inhabitants
      (United Nations, 2017[16]).
      Canada’s population, like that of many other OECD countries, is aging. The share
      of individuals 65 years and above increased from 13% to 17% within the last
      15 years. The number of individuals aged 65 and over per 100 people of working
      age (20-64) is expected to climb from 26% in 2015 to almost 48% in 2050, although
      it is expected to remain well below that of many other OECD countries (Figure 1.7).
       Entries and exits from the labour market are broadly balanced
       Largely because of labour immigration, demographic dynamics have not yet
       resulted in a decline of total workforce, and the difference between age-related exits
       and entries to the labour market is only weakly negative (-5%). Here, Canada’s
       broadly balanced position contrasts with most other OECD countries (Figure 1.8).
         Figure 1.8. Difference between age-related entries and exits from the working-age
                   population in OECD countries, based on the 2015 population
                                                                                       86% 131% 201%
   50%
   40%
   30%
   20%
   10%
    0%
  -10%
  -20%
  -30%
  -40%
                                                  Department                       Year
                             Department of Agriculture                             1887
                             Department of the Interior                            1893
                             Department of Immigration and Colonization            1917
                             Department of Mines and Resources                     1936
                             Department of Citizenship and Immigration             1950
                             Department of Manpower and Immigration                1966
                             Department of Employment and Immigration              1977
                             Department of Multiculturalism and Citizenship        1991
                             Citizenship and Immigration Canada (CIC)              1994
                             Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC)   2015
       Note: In 2015, CIC rebranded to IRCC but no department change took place.
       Source: Information from IRCC.
       At the beginning of the 1880s, large numbers of Chinese labourers came to Canada
       to work on the western section of the Canadian Pacific Railway. The province of
       British Columbia passed several laws to restrict their immigration, and the Chinese
       Immigration Act of 1885 imposed a head tax of CAD 50 on every Chinese person
       seeking to enter, which was increased in subsequent years. In 1923, the Chinese
       Immigration Act virtually restricted all Chinese immigration to Canada for the next
       decades (Morton, 1974[20]). Disputes between the province of British Columbia and
       the federal government over that matter also exemplify the latter’s determination to
       keep countywide control over immigration policy as an important component of
       nation-building and economic development (Li, 2012[21]).
Figure 1.9. Total and relative annual permanent migration inflows, 1860 to 2020
                                                                                                                          % Share of population
                         350000
  Number of immigrants
                         300000                                                                                       4
                         250000
                                                                                                                      3
                         200000
                         150000                                                                                       2
                         100000
                                                                                                                      1
                          50000
                              0                                                                                       0
                         Note: Data for 2018-20 based on 2018 to 2020 Immigration Levels Plan, previous data actual
                         admissions.
                         Source: OECD Secretariat analysis based on data from IRCC.
       to this problem, another round of regulations in 196711 introduced the world’s first
       points system for immigrant selection.12
       The new system offered a more transparent way to evaluate the skills of a potential
       migrant by assigning points to individual characteristics such as education and
       skills, age or knowledge of official languages. As expected, the new selection
       scheme resulted in an increase of non-European immigrants and a diversification of
       countries of origin over the following decades. Before the 1960s, one in four
       immigrants to Canada came from the United Kingdom and in total over 90% from
       Europe. By contrast, already by the first half of the 1990s, about one in two
       permanent immigrants to Canada was from the Asia and Pacific region while the
       Americas, Europe, and Africa / Middle East each contributed a similar share of
       about one in six immigrants. This is still the region of origin of most newly admitted
       permanent economic immigrants. The top three countries – India, the Philippines
       and China – accounted for more than half (56%) of new permanent admissions in
       the economic classes of 2017.
       Changes in the main source countries of immigrants have transformed the overall
       portrait of Canada’s foreign-born population. In 1871, in the first census held after
       Confederation, the foreign-born population was mainly from the British Isles
       (84%). In 2016, almost half (48%) of the foreign-born population was born in Asia
       (including the Middle East), while a lower proportion (28%) was born in Europe.
       African-born immigrants represented 8.5% of the foreign-born population (IRCC,
       2018[24]).
      business cycles. Immigration flows expanded and contracted in tune with the
      business cycle.
      Around this time, the first temporary labour immigration programmes started.
      Already in 1966, the Seasonal Agricultural Worker Program (SAWP) began with
      the aim of filling immediate – but temporary – labour market needs in the farming
      industry. It enabled the employment of seasonal workers from Jamaica in Ontario.
      In the following years, similar programmes were established with ten other
      Caribbean countries, and most noteworthy with Mexico in 1974. The employer-
      demand driven programme continues to operate today. Bilateral agreements, which
      protect workers and ensure they return to their country of origin after the maximum
      stay of eight months, regulate the programme. Nowadays, the SAWP is one
      category under the Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP). In contrast to
      these efforts of attracting low-skilled labour, the Department of Manpower and
      Immigration started a programme to attract high-skilled temporary workers in 1973.
      The Non-Immigrant Employment Authorization Program (NIEAP) targeted
      specific groups of people with specialised skills, including academics, business
      executives and engineers (Nakache and Kinoshita, 2010[27]). Today, most of these
      high-skilled temporary labour immigrants are part of the International Mobility
      Program (IMP), who do not need to pass a labour market impact assessment (see
      Chapter 3). Migrant workers admitted under the TFWP and IMP, along with
      international students, who are allowed to work, constitute the temporary foreign
      labour force in Canada at present. The introduction of these programmes in the
      1960s and 70s constituted a major shift in migration management away from the
      dual goal of workforce- and nation-building towards using immigration for
      obtaining temporary, flexible labour.
       The Provincial Nominee Program enables provinces and territories to select a share
       of immigrants based on their own labour market needs and regional priorities.
       Within the federal jurisdiction, the PNP and the federal programmes complement
       each other in terms of geographic distribution. Indeed, whereas migration through
       the federal programmes has been largely oriented towards Ontario and in particular
       Toronto as well as the metropolitan area of Vancouver, and Quebec-selected
       immigrants mostly settle in and around Montreal, provincial nominees (PNs) have
       landed in other parts of the country and also outside of the main metropolitan areas.
       Chapter 4 of this review discusses the regional elements in Canadian labour
       migration management in more detail.
       Source: IRCC, Permanent Residents, July 31, 2018 Data. Data request tracking number: RE-
       18-0424.
Box 1.2. Regional governance of immigration in Canada and the case of Quebec
        For the first 100 years following 1867, Canada’s immigration policy was largely
        the domain of the federal government. Social changes in the 1960s and 1970s
        challenged this federal monopoly. A movement in Quebec at the time that called
        for more autonomy encouraged the provincial government to become more
        involved in a variety of policy areas, including immigration. Previously high
        fertility rates in Quebec had dropped dramatically after World War II, and there
        was a perception that federal immigration policy was favouring Anglophone
        migration to the province. These trends encouraged policy makers to seek more
        delegated authority from the federal government. Quebec opened its own
        Ministry of Immigration in 1968 and signed a series of first agreements with the
        federal government on immigration policy. These agreements were modest in
        scope at the outset but progressively gave Quebec more opportunity to influence
        immigration to its province.
       To facilitate further agreements of this kind with other regions, the Immigration
       Act 1976 gave the Minister of Immigration the power to “enter into an agreement
       with any province […] for the purpose of facilitating the formulation, co-
       ordination and implementation of immigration policies and programs”. As a
       result, other provinces signed a number of agreements with the federal
       government, but none that enabled provincial governments to actually select
       immigrants (Seidle, 2010[28]). This changed in 1991 with the signing of the
       Canada-Quebec Accord, which gave Quebec the ability to select economic
       migrants and refugees destined for the province.
       This agreement set the stage for other agreements with other provinces and
       territories signed in the 1990s and 2000s. Indeed, observing the developments in
       Quebec, other provinces began seeking to negotiate their own immigration
       agreements in the 1990s. Implications for immigration policies included a risk
       of programme duplication and coordination concerns. This resulted in the
       creation of the Provincial Nominee (PN) Class. Starting with a bilateral PN-
       agreement between the federal government and Manitoba in 1996, it extended to
       other provinces and territories in subsequent years.
       The Canada-Quebec Accord, which still governs immigration to Quebec today,
       sought to address linguistic, historical and political concerns, in particular the
       preservation of Quebec’s demographic weight within Canada and the integration
       of immigrants in Quebec in a manner that respects the distinct identity of the
       province.
       When it comes to division of responsibilities for immigration, the Accord gives
       Quebec sole responsibility for the selection of all immigrants destined for the
       province, with the exception of the family class and persons determined to be
       refugees in Canada.
       Economic migrants are selected using provincial selection criteria and a points
       system, which is similar to the one of the federal government but with a larger
       emphasis on French language proficiency. The Express Entry system does not
       manage economic immigration to Quebec. The province has – since 2018 – its
       own expression of interest system. The federal government establishes national
       immigration levels in consultation with Quebec and other provinces. The Accord
       allows Quebec to receive the percentage of total admissions to Canada roughly
       equal to its share of the Canadian population (currently 23%), with the right to
       exceed this total by 5%. In recent years, Quebec’s skilled worker programmes
       accounted for about 20% of all economic immigrants to Canada. Quebec tables
       a multi-years levels plan every third year and confirms its levels plan on an
       annual basis.
       The federal government retains control over assessing migrants’ admissibility in
       terms of their health and possible risk to security. It can reject applicants in the
       final stage if they fail to meet national standards along those lines. Regarding
       resettled refugees, the federal government builds a pool of refugees it will receive
       based on its commitments and annual refugee target level. In keeping with its
        responsibility to resettle a share of overall refugees each year, which is set out in
        the Accord, Quebec then selects those refugees who it thinks will best integrate
        in the province. Migration management for family reunification purposes
        remains with the federal government, with Quebec being responsible for
        assessing the sponsors’ financial capability (the undertaking). Quebec has
        responsibility for welcoming migrants and providing settlement support funded
        through a formula specific in the agreement.
        While this review focuses on recruiting immigrant workers to the rest of Canada,
        the Canadian regions in general and Quebec in particular play a unique role in
        immigration management. Chapter 4 provides a more in-depth analysis of past
        developments and current policies. In this review, total numbers for Canada
        include Quebec, unless stated otherwise.
Figure 1.11. Totals and shares of permanent immigrants by entry stream, 1980-2020
60% 300000
50% 250000
40% 200000
30% 150000
20% 100000
10% 50000
0% 0
         Note: Data for 2018-20 based on 2018 to 2020 Immigration Levels Plan, previous data actual
         admissions.
         Source: OECD Secretariat calculations based on data from IRCC.
       The IRPA replaced the previous skilled worker policy that had selected most of
       Canada’s economic migrants with the Federal Skilled Worker Class (FSW). The
       changes included a new points grid that further emphasised education, previous
       work experience and language ability, and removed occupational points (Begin,
       Goyette and Riddell, 2010[30]). This was a shift away from selection based on
       specific job skills in favour of general human capital. As a result, the education
       level of principal economic applicants rose in the following years. In contrast to
       10% of immigrants holding university degrees in the 1980s, by 2005 around 45%
       had university degrees. Between 2000 and 2007, 78% of principal applicants to the
       FSW Class had a university qualification, as well as half of their spouses (Ferrer,
       Picot and Riddell, 2012[31]).
       While the selection of permanent economic immigrants at the time focused on high
       levels of human capital, temporary labour migration policy took the opposite path.
       In 2002, the Low-Skilled Pilot Project15 was enacted, to respond to employers’
       demand for temporary low-skilled labour. The programme allowed employers to
       hire temporary labourers for occupations requiring at most a high school diploma
       or a maximum of two years of job-specific training. This corresponded to the
       national occupation skill-level C and D. Permits were issued for up to 24 months,
       with the potential for extensions, and employers were required to cover recruitment
       and return airfare costs, ensure suitable accommodation and provide medical
       coverage.16 After several reports and criticism from the Canadian that the
       programme was being used to provide a cheap source of flexible labour rather than
       its intended use of last resort, the Government of Canada introduced a
       comprehensive overhaul of the Temporary Foreign Worker Program in 2014, aimed
       in part at limiting access to the programme and tightening the labour market
       assessment.
       During the 2000s, the demand to immigrate to Canada in most permanent resident
       programmes began to outstrip the Department’s ability to process applications and
       admit applicants in a timely manner. As a result of the mismatch between interest
       in immigrating to Canada and the number of admissions approved each year, a
       backlog of untreated immigrant applications grew in Citizenship and Immigration
       Canada (CIC), along with lengthening wait times for clients. At the root of this
       problem was that following 2002, the new IRPA required CIC to process every
       application to a final decision, even when enough applications had been received to
       meet approved admissions each year. With respect to selecting skilled workers to
       support economic goals, these conditions meant that applicants who passed the
       threshold to apply would have applications processed, regardless whether they met
       labour market needs. As wait times grew in key skilled worker programmes, the
       immigration system was criticised for being unfair to clients and unresponsive to
       labour market needs and unable to prioritise applications.
      created that enabled the Minister to better manage the processing of applications.
      These so-called “Ministerial Instructions” (MIs) enabled the Minister to prioritise
      applications, to cap application intake, or even halt the processing of applications
      in certain categories (CIC, 2008[32]) as a means of prioritising goals and addressing
      backlogs.
      MIs are used to deal with diverse issues crosscutting permanent and temporary
      migration policy and limited in legal force for certain periods of time. Section 14.1
      of the IRPA allows the minister to issue MIs to create new classes of economic
      programmes, for up to five years duration. As a result, the ministry started several
      new classes or replaced earlier existing paths by issuing MIs. In some instances, the
      ministry used MIs, issued under different authorities (discussed above), to issue
      caps of application numbers or a total pause of new recipients to a particular class.
      At other times, entry was limited to certain occupations or a condition of pre-
      arranged employment required. The fifteenth set of MIs from January 2015 repealed
      all processing eligibility criteria including the application caps and eligible
      occupation lists for new applications. Since January 2015, application intake for
      these three federal permanent economic classes is managed via a new system –
      Express Entry – which is again primarily governed by Ministerial Instructions.
      Express Entry (EE) is a two-step selection system for federal permanent economic
      migration. Application classes include all federal programmes (see next section for
      more detail on the different classes). In addition, some Provincial Nominees (PN),
      who are nominated by the provincial/territorial government, are managed via the
      system. In general, applicants must first pass core eligibility requirements of one of
      the federal programmes to submit an Expression of Interest (EoI) and enter an
      application pool. The system automatically ranks applications based on human
      capital and other factors through a uniform points system: the Comprehensive
      Ranking System (CRS). About every second week the ministry issues a MI, which
      states the absolute number of individuals, not their individual’s points, to receive a
      so-called Invitation to Apply (ITA) for permanent residence. Individuals in the
      pool, starting from the highest-ranked candidates until the stated number of
      intended ITAs is reached, receive an invitation to apply. Depending on the
      composition of the pool (candidate’s CRS-score17) a minimum CRS-score is
      published as well. This CRS-score denotes the minimum points needed to receive
      an ITA in the given round. Applicants who decline an invitation to apply, or did not
      receive one, due to their insufficient CRS-score in the given round, remain in the
      pool for up to 12 months. Applicants who do not react to their invitation are
      expelled from the pool. As the government defines the number of invitations it
      issues and not the required CRS-score, the threshold is floating. Until the end of
      July 2018, the ministry has used this mechanism 95 times, publishing Ministerial
      Instructions, which state the number of ITA and the resulting minimum needed
      CRS-scores. The Express Entry system is analysed in detail in Chapter 2 of this
      review.
      issuing work permits from within Canada. IRCC also manages most of the data
      sources on migration, although Statistics Canada also plays an important role in this
      context (see Box 1.3).
      The Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA) conducts the inspection of migrants’
      health, character, and whether or not they pose a potential security risk at the border
      on behalf of IRCC and as part of this work assists with the collection of
      administrative data. The CBSA thus has a say as to whether a foreign worker can
      enter Canada.
      Another important actor in immigration management is Employment and Social
      Development Canada (ESDC), Canada’s department for employment and social
      programmes. ESDC was established as part of the Economic Action Plan 2013 and
      is the successor of the Department of Human Resources and Skills Development
      Canada (HRSDC). As one of the largest departments within the federal government,
      ESDC contains Service Canada, the Canadian government’s main service delivery
      agency. ESDC/Service Canada is the agency providing Labour Market Impact
      Assessments (LMIA) to employers and IRCC. IRCC uses ESDC’s LMIA as one
      factor to determine whether it issues a work permit to a foreign national.
      A network of over 500 Service Provider Organizations (SPOs), excluding Quebec,
      funded by IRCC, offer settlement and integration services to all permanent
      immigrants, including labour migrants and their families. Services include needs
      assessments and referrals, information and orientation, language training,
      employment-related services, and community connections. Canadian citizens,
      temporary residents and asylum claimants are not eligible for these federal
      settlement services, but they may have access to settlement services funded by some
      provinces/territories. In 2018-19, the federal government will invest approximately
      CAD CAD62 million to support settlement needs.23 In addition, IRCC plans to
      spend approximately CAD 6.5 million to experimentation in the areas of settlement
      and integration service delivery. For example, IRCC will pilot the effectiveness of
      incentive-based funding models for improving the performance of SPOs.
      On the municipal and local level, integration is often managed through partnerships,
      involving different societal actors including employers. One example of such an
      independent organisation supporting skilled immigrants’ labour market integration
      is the Toronto Region Immigrant Employment Council (TRIEC). TRIEC engages
      employers, regulatory bodies, and other community organisations in cross-sector
      collaboration to integrate skilled immigrants in the labour market of the Greater
      Toronto Region. TRIEC’s Mentoring Partnership whereby skilled immigrants
      profit from a mentoring relationship to Canadian professionals who share the same
      occupation has involved 50 employers. Since its launch in 2003, over
      60 organisations have joined the Council. A large role of IRCC is to fund,
      coordinate and evaluate such actions, guided by regional governmental and non-
      governmental actors.
      As mentioned, the provinces and territories also play an important role in the
      selection of labour migrants, through the provincial nominee programmes. Within
      the immigration targets set by the federal government, a certain number are set aside
       for provincial programmes, which the provinces and territories design and
       administrate largely independently. However, the federal government checks
       admissibility requirements and issues the visa. Provinces also play a key role in the
       recognition of foreign qualifications, as professions are regulated at the provincial
       level, with varying regulations.
Table 1.2. Canada’s immigration levels plan for economic immigration, 2019-21
            Note: Economic immigration includes spouses and dependants of principal labour applicants.
            Economic Pilots includes Caregivers (and legacy programmes such as the terminated Live-in
            Caregiver Program) as well as the Atlantic Immigration Pilot Program and other envisioned
            programmes. National targets for 2020 and 2021 will be confirmed by November 1 of each year.
            Source: (IRCC, 2018[33]).
            Over the last decade, the number of economic entry classes increased. At present,
            economic immigrants can apply to migrate to Canada permanently as part of one of
            the following immigration programmes/classes:
                  Federal Skilled Workers (FSW)
                  Canadian Experience Class (CEC)
                  Federal Skilled Trades (FST)
                  Provincial Nominee Program (PNP)
                  Home Child Care Provider Pilot and the Home Support Worker Pilot
                  The Atlantic Immigration Pilot Program
                  Start-up business class
                  Self-employed persons class
                                      The relative importance of these classes, and their evolution over time, is shown in
                                      Figure 1.12. Labour immigrants who plan to live in Quebec need to apply to the
                                      Quebec Economic Classes. In addition, some previous applicants continue to land
                                      in Canada under the following three programmes that have been terminated: Live-
                                      in Caregiver Program (LCP), Investors, Entrepreneurs and self-employed persons.
                                      While the admission criteria of the main programmes and the main issues concerned
                                      are analysed in-depth in subsequent chapters (Chapter 2 for the permanent federal
                                      economic programmes, Chapter 3 for the dual-intent caregiver programmes, and
                                      Chapter 4 for the provincial programmes), the following provides a brief overview.
                                      Federal Skilled Workers (FSW)         Provincial Nominees (PN)              Canadian Experience Class (CEC)
                                      Federal Skilled Trades (FST)          Caregivers                            Business
                                    100
 % of permanent labour immigrants
                                     90
                                     80
                                     70
                                     60
                                     50
                                     40
                                     30
                                     20
                                     10
                                      0
                                          1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
                                      Since its inception, the points-based Federal Skilled Worker (FSW) class24 has been
                                      the key entry channel, accounting in the 1990s and early 2000s for 80-90% of the
                                      total intake, though its importance has been significantly declining, largely due to
                                      the introduction of alternative programmes, including the Provincial Nominee
                                      Program and the Canadian Experience Class. By 2017, only 30% of all labour
                                      immigrants, about 24 500 principal applicants, landed via this programme.
                                      Admission through the FSW is based on a range of criteria such as language,
                                      education, work experience, and age.
                                      As mentioned, Canada’s Provincial Nominee Program (PNP) aims to share the
                                      benefits of immigration across the country by enabling provinces and territories to
                                      nominate labour immigrants for specific skills needed to meet regional labour
                                      market needs and support regional economic priorities. It has significantly
                                      increased since its introduction in 1996, largely through reduced admissions in the
                                      FSWP, although growth has tapered off since 2013. In 2017, about 23 500 labour
                                      immigrants, 29% of the total, landed in Canada as PNs. Today all regions in Canada,
                                      apart from Nunavut territory and Quebec, have agreements with the federal
                                      government to nominate labour immigrants as PNs. Following the establishment of
      Express Entry, a share of Provincial Nominees applications is managed via the new
      system for those who meet the entry criteria of one of the federal programmes.
      Herein, they receive a high number of points – half of the maximum total – for a
      provincial nomination, ensuring their timely selection.
      Amendments to the IRPA in 2008 introduced the Canadian Experience Class (CEC)
      as an addition to the existing economic entry programmes. The CEC aims to provide
      a pathway for individuals with Canadian work experience, including international
      graduates from Canadian educational institutions. The programme originally
      comprised a student and a worker stream, but the two streams were merged in 2013.
      Currently, all CEC applicants are required to have 12 months of Canadian work
      experience within the 36 months prior to applying in a NOC level 0, A or B
      (managerial, high-skilled or skilled) occupation. The programme thus selects
      migrants with some prior attachment to the Canadian labour market. In 2017, over
      21 000 principal applicants were admitted through the CEC, 26% of all labour
      migrants.
      Introduced through regulations, the Federal Skilled Trades (FST) Class began
      accepting applications in January 2013, using Ministerial Instructions to cap the
      number of accepted applications. Established to facilitate the migration of skilled
      tradespeople to Canada, it addresses labour shortages in a range of trade
      occupations. The FST Program provides a permanent path to residence for
      individuals with qualifications/work experience in selected trades which require
      lower levels of formal education than most other skilled occupations. To be eligible
      for the FST Program, immigrants must have a full-time employment offer for at
      least one year, or a certificate of qualification in that skilled trade issued by a
      Canadian provincial or territorial authority. In addition to meeting the job
      requirements (as defined by the NOC), applicants must prove at least two years of
      work experience in their intended occupation within the last five years and meet the
      required language levels in English or French. Since 2015, Express Entry manages
      and selects applicants for the FST class. However, in 2017, only 745 individuals
      landed in Canada as principal applicants through this class, comprising less than
      1% of all labour immigrants.
      Candidates often qualify for more than one programme, and with the introduction
      of Express Entry, the lines between the different programmes have become further
      blurred. Prior to March 9, 2016, candidates invited to apply for permanent residence
      in more than one class – for instance under the FSW or the CEC – received an
      invitation to apply as FSW. After this date, individuals who qualify for both classes
      were invited as CEC which explains the strong growth in 2017 (Figure 1.12).
      The category Caregivers includes admissions under the legacy of the Live-in
      Caregiver Program (LCP) and its two successor pathways. The LCP was a
      temporary foreign worker programme that by design provided a direct pathway to
      permanent residence; i.e. it was dual intent. Upon the completion of two years full-
      time work in a caring occupation, individuals could apply for permanent residence
      under the LCP. A requirement of the programme was that caregivers resided with
      the family they worked for, and if they decided to live-out, they lost their eligibility
       to apply for permanent residence as a live-in caregiver. Reforms to the LCP in 2010
       made it easier for temporary workers to achieve residence requirements. Applicants
       were allowed to use overtime hours to meet the two-year work requirement and the
       timeframe for completing this requirement was extended from three to four years.
       To help prevent workplace exploitation and abuse, the live-in requirement was
       removed under the 2014 programmes. Under the 2014 programmes, foreign
       national caregivers enter Canada as all other temporary foreign workers. Unlike the
       former LCP, they are not assessed for their ability to economically establish as
       permanent residents (e.g. official language, education) at the temporary stage.
       Interested temporary foreign worker caregivers can apply for permanent residence
       after they obtain the relevant work experience, if they meet all applicable permanent
       residence requirements. In this way, the 2014 programmes were modelled on the
       Canadian Experience Class, which requires Canadian work experience. However,
       in contrast to the other economic permanent residence classes discussed above,
       caregivers are not processed via Express Entry. As for all economic pilots, no more
       than 2 750 applications can be processed annually under each of the 2014 pilot
       programmes. The 9 200 labour immigrants admitted under the 2014 classes and
       legacy of the LCP made up close to 11% of all new permanent labour immigrants
       to Canada in 2017. As five-year pilots, the Caring for Children Class and the Caring
       for People with High Medical Needs Class have been replaced by two new
       caregiver immigration pilots in June 2019.
       In March 2017, IRCC launched a pilot programme with a regional focus: The
       Atlantic Immigration Pilot (see Chapter 4 for a discussion) which started as part of
       the Skilled Workforce/Immigration pillar of the Atlantic Growth strategy, to
       support economic growth in Atlantic Canada. As a joint federal-provincial pilot, it
       addresses regional needs and tests new approaches to immigration and settlement.
       Until the end of 2021, it provides an expedited pathway to permanent residence in
       these provinces, including for workers in intermediate skilled occupations, together
       with settlement support. All applicants need a job offer in order to meet the
       eligibility requirements as well as a provincial endorsement before submitting an
       application to IRCC. The programme targets up to 7 000 applicants in total until
       2020, and is not processed via Express Entry. Instead, designated employers recruit
       from abroad and from within Canada among temporary residents. Prospective
       candidates then need to undergo a needs assessment and a settlement plan from a
       Service Provider Organisation (SPO).
       In addition, a small share (less than 2% in 2017) of permanent labour immigrants
       lands in Canada every year as business immigrants. Individuals are currently
       admitted via the Self-Employed Program and the Start-Up Visa Class for
       entrepreneurs, which started in March 2013. The previously existing business
       programmes, namely the Immigrant Investor Program and the Federal Entrepreneur
       Program, had been active for more than three decades but there were concerns about
       fraud and limited economic benefit to Canada (Ali, Ali and Bauder, 2014[34]).
       Each of the business classes has different eligibility requirements. In general, they
       demand proof of applicants’ ability to establish themselves economically and
       provide benefits to Canada through entrepreneurial activity or self-employment.
      Business immigrants are managed outside of the Express Entry system, and due to
      their small number they are not in the focus of this labour migration review.
          Figure 1.13. Work permit holders for work purposes by programme and year in
                             which permits became effective, 2007-17
                                     TFWP                               IMP
 350000
 300000
 250000
 200000
 150000
 100000
  50000
      0
            2007    2008    2009     2010    2011     2012    2013     2014    2015   2016   2017
       Note: In 2014 the Off Campus Work Permit for students was terminated.
       Source: IRCC Temporary Residents. Data request tracking number: RE-19-0313.
       Temporary workers can apply for an extension of their work permit from within
       Canada before their current permit expires and are allowed to continue working
       until a decision is made. Since 2016, there is no set limit to the duration that
       individuals can work in Canada as a temporary worker, so people can in principle
       renew their temporary work permits indefinitely if the respective visa allows for
       this. At the end of 2016, most TFWP work permit holders were citizens of the
       Philippines (29%), Mexico (16%) and Guatemala (8%) – with the latter two mainly
       in seasonal agriculture. By contrast, at the end of the same year, most of the IMP
       work permit holders were citizens of India (16%), China (13%) and the USA (12%).
       Finally, Canada is also a popular destination for international students. According
       to OECD standardised data, the number of residence permits issued to international
       tertiary-level students more than doubled over the 2008-16 period, the strongest
       increase among all settlement countries (OECD, 2018[35]). Since 1 June 2014,
       international students with a valid study permit can work off-campus for up to
       20 hours per week during academic terms or full-time during academic breaks
       without an additional work-permit. Hence, the off-campus employment
       programme, an LMIA-exempt work permit for international students and as such
       part of the IMP, was terminated. This policy change is the reason for the slight
       decline of permits under the IMP following 2013. In addition, previous students can
       obtain post-graduation work permits after completion of their studies. The top
       source countries for international students in 2017 were India (27%), China (26%),
       the Republic of Korea (5%) and France (5%).
Notes
        1
          In this review, the term “labour migrant” refers to individuals who apply to one of Canada’s
        economic classes of permanent migration (principal applicants) or who arrive under one of the
        temporary labour migration categories (see Chapter 3). The term “economic migrant” refers to
        permanent labour migrants and their accompanying family.
        2
          Permanent immigrants in Canada are often referred to as “landed immigrants”. Landing is not the
        same as first arrival or arrival in Canada but the point of (transitioning to) becoming a permanent
        resident.
        3
            An interim review preceded this edition (OECD, 2016[37]).
        4
            That is, landing as PNP and CEC.
        5
         Admissions under the FSW catch up to those of the PNP after five to six years and in the following
        exceed their earnings.
        6
          In Canadian official statistics, also applied in the COPS analysis, skill-levels are generally defined
        as the amount and type of education and training required to enter and perform the duties of an
        occupation. The National Occupational Classification (NOC) established a typology of five broad
        skill level categories: 1) management occupations (sometimes denoted as skill-level 0); 2) skill-level
        A, which includes occupations usually requiring university education; 3) skill-level B, which
        includes occupations usually requiring college education or apprenticeship training; 4) skill-level C,
        which includes occupations usually requiring secondary school and/or occupation‐specific training;
        and 5) skill-level D, which includes occupations for which on‐the‐job training is usually provided.
        7
         The job vacancy rate represents the number of job vacancies expressed as a percentage of labour
        demand; that is, the sum of all occupied and vacant jobs.
        8
            For an analysis of mobility within Canada see Chapter 4 of this report.
        9
            Initially called the British North America Act.
        10
          Preferred countries included Britain, the United States, the Irish Free State, Dominion of
        Newfoundland, Australia, and New Zealand.
        11
             Order-in-Council, October 1st, 1967, PC 1616.
        12
          Australia was next to adopt a point system in 1979, followed by New Zealand in 1991 and the
        United Kingdom in 2002.
        13
          The 1976 Act committed Canada to accept a number of refugees every year and not just in
        emergencies as had been previous practice.
        14
          Many migrants enter Canada through humanitarian and family streams. While many of them
        participate in the labour force, they are selected for reasons other than their potential economic
        contribution. Therefore, these migrants are not included in this review of labour migration.
       15
          The official name of the programme was Pilot Project for Occupations Requiring Lower Levels
       of Formal Training.
       16
            Similar requirements currently apply for the seasonal agricultural programme.
       17
          The CRS-score (Comprehensive Ranking System) is sometimes referred to as the ITA-score
       (Invitation to Apply).
       18
         Permanent residents are considered part of the Canadian workforce. Indeed, permanent residents
       have virtually all rights and duties of Canadian nationals, apart from active and passive voting rights
       and the unlimited right to return.
       19
         Permanent economic immigrants, who want to receive points for a job offer, and whose job is not
       LMIA-exempt also require an LMIA. The former name of the LMIA was Labour Market Opinion
       (LMO).
       20
            In addition, the foreign worker has to pay a CAD 155 work permit fee.
       21
         https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/corporate/publications-
       manuals/operational-bulletins-manuals/temporary-residents/foreign-workers/exemption-
       codes.html
       22
         IRCC’s mandate (as CIC’s before) originates from the Department of Citizenship and Immigration
       Act of 1994. In addition, the Immigration Minister is responsible for the Citizenship Act of 1977
       and shares responsibility with the Minister of Public Safety for the Immigration and Refugee
       Protection Act (IRPA) of 2002 (IRCC, 2016).
       23
          This figure excludes Quebec, as the provincial government is responsible for reception and
       integration services for permanent residents supported by a separate grant.
       24
          The words «class» and «programme» are used interchangeably in the Canadian context and also
       in this report.
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   citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2019.html.
 IRCC (2018), Report to OECD Expert group on International Migration (SOPEMI): Canada’s               [24]
   immigration policies, programs and trends..
 Li, P. (2012), “Federal and Provincial Immigration Arrangements in Canada: Policy Changes            [21]
     and Implications”, in Rodriǵ uez Garciá , D. (ed.), Managing immigration and diversity in
     Canada: a transatlantic dialogue in the new age of migration, McGill-Queen’s University
     Press [for] School of Policy Studies, Queen’s University,
     https://search.library.utoronto.ca/details?7132070.
 Li, P. (2003), Destination Canada: Immigration Debates and Issues, Oxford University Press,          [18]
     Don Mills, Ontario.
 Morton, J. (1974), In the sea of sterile mountains: the Chinese in British Columbia., JJ Douglas.,   [20]
   Vancouver.
 Nakache, D. and P. Kinoshita (2010), The Canadian Temporary Foreign Worker Program: Do               [27]
   Short-Term Economic Needs Prevail over Human Rights Concerns?, l’Institut de recherche
   en politiques publiques, http://irpp.org/fr/research-studies/the-canadian-temporary-foreign-
   worker-program/.
 OECD (2018), International Migration Outlook 2018, OECD Publishing, Paris,                           [35]
   https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/migr_outlook-2018-en.
 OECD (2018), OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2018 Issue 2, OECD Publishing, Paris,                     [14]
   https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/eco_outlook-v2018-2-en.
 OECD (2018), OECD Economic Surveys: Canada 2018, OECD Publishing, Paris,                            [8]
   https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/eco_surveys-can-2018-en.
 OECD (2017), International Migration Outlook 2017, OECD Publishing, Paris,                          [2]
   https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/migr_outlook-2017-en.
 OECD (2016), Recruiting for success-Challenges for Canada’s Labour Migration System,               [37]
   http://www.oecd.org/migration/mig/recruiting-for-success-Canada.pdf.
 OECD/EU (2018), Settling In 2018: Indicators of Immigrant Integration, OECD Publishing,             [1]
   Paris/European Union, Brussels, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264307216-en.
 Statistics Canada (2018), Table 14-10-0325-01 Job vacancies, payroll employees, job vacancy        [10]
    rate, and average offered hourly wage by provinces and territories, quarterly, unadjusted for
    seasonality.
 Statistics Canada (2018), Table 43-10-0009-01. Immigrant Income by admission year and years        [11]
    since admission, Canada and provinces..
 Statistics Canada (2017), Population size and growth in Canada: Key results from the 2016          [15]
    Census, http://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/170208/dq170208a-eng.htm.
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    http://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1710000501&pickMembers%5B0%5D
    =1.15&pickMembers%5B1%5D=2.1.
 The Conference Board of Canada (2019), Can’t Go it Alone. Immigration Is Key to Canada’s            [3]
   Growth Strategy., http://www.conferenceboard.ca/temp/2fd0f7a5-0948-4bc9-8f50-
   3c5089053348/10150_Can'tGoItAlone_BR.pdf.
 United Nations (2017), World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, custom data,                 [16]
   Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division,
   https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/DataQuery/.
 Warman, C., M. Webb and C. Worswick (2019), “Immigrant category of admission and the                [5]
   earnings of adults and children: how far does the apple fall?”, Journal of Population
   Economics, Vol. 32/1, pp. 53-112, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00148-018-0700-5.
       This chapter first traces how the Canadian selection system for permanent labour
       migrants has evolved since the introduction of the points-based system in 1967. It
       then describes and analyses the Express Entry (EE) system. This two-step selection
       system, introduced in 2015, builds a pool of eligible candidates (Expression of
       Interest) from which labour migrants are selected (Invitation to Apply). The chapter
       then compares and contrasts EE to two main peer systems in other countries –
       SkillSelect in Australia and the Skilled Migrant Expression of Interest system in
       New Zealand. The chapter also analyses the performance of Express Entry during
       its first four years of operation. It details how well EE is fulfilling the objectives
       laid out at its inception: i) greater flexibility in selection and application
       management; ii) better responsiveness to labour market and regional needs; and
       iii) quicker application processing.
       The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The
       use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli
       settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law.
      When migration policy debates refer to the Canadian migration system, they often
      – implicitly – refer to the points-based system for permanent skilled labour
      migration. A points-based system allows selection of immigrants based on a range
      of differing criteria balanced against each other. In Canada, such a system was
      introduced in 1967 and has since then undergone various reforms, outlined at the
      beginning of this chapter.
      However, the traditional points-based system with a passmark, while balancing
      selection criteria, was not sufficient to respond to key challenges, including long
      processing times and an inability to prioritise among qualified applicants. It is
      against this backdrop that Canada introduced, in 2015, “Express Entry” (EE), a two-
      step dynamic skilled labour migration system. The chapter examines how well
      Express Entry has performed during its first four years of operation against the
      objectives at its inception: i) greater flexibility in selection and application
      management, ii) better responsiveness to labour market and regional needs, and iii)
      increased speed in application processing.
      Express Entry selects applicants among a pool of qualified individuals, who have
      expressed an interest in permanently migrating to Canada. This chapter outlines the
      criteria applicants need to meet for pool entry along the three federal programmes
      managed with this Expression of Interest system. It further depicts the mechanism
      which sorts applicants within the Express Entry pool.
      With the start of its new system, Canada introduced a number of innovations. These
      include the consideration of interaction between different factors such as language
      proficiency and education, as well as a continuum of points in its ranking system
      allowing for a more refined selection than in other countries. New evidence and
      monitoring of the intake of the first rounds of Express Entry already led to two
      major reforms of the system. These addressed several initial shortcomings such as
      a reduction of the previous excessively high points for a job offer. The reforms
      resulted in a shift from a demand-driven to a largely supply-driven selection based
      on broad human capital characteristics.
      At the same time, several challenges for permanent labour migration management
      under the new system remain. In particular, reflecting previously clearly separate
      pathways, Express Entry operates three different pool entry programmes, of which
      only one uses a points grid for entry. Under the new comprehensive ranking system,
      this leads to different standards in pool-entry requirements and the criteria applied
      for final selection. This also engenders a number of inconsistencies in the system.
       The PBS works through a points grid to determine selection criteria. Its key
       characteristic is the possibility to trade-off some skills against others (e.g. higher
       language skills for somewhat lower qualification levels). The government adjusts
       criteria for selection by assigning more or less points to certain factors. In the past,
       these adjustments have swung between favouring general human capital and
       reacting to specific labour demands (Ferrer, Picot and Riddell, 2012[1]; Green and
       Green, 2004[2]).
       When the PBS was first introduced, human capital accounted for 30% of all points,
       labour market factors for another 40% and other factors, including age and
       adaptability, for the remaining 30%. At the time, adaptability was assessed in a
       face-to-face interview. An applicant needed half of the total maximum points to be
       eligible for admission. As a result, human capital, age and adaptability together
       were sufficient for an applicant to pass the mark of 50 points, without fulfilling any
       labour market specific demands. Canada later adopted a pro-cyclical immigration
       policy, increasing immigration during economic booms and limitations during
       recessions (Figure 2.1). The country abandoned this policy in the 1990s.
        1.1
                                                                                                      12
         1
0.9 10
        0.8
                                                                                                      8
        0.7
0.6 6
        0.5
                                                                                                      4
        0.4
        0.3                                                                                           2
              1965   1970     1975      1980    1985    1990   1995   2000   2005   2010    2015
       Note: Immigration rate as a percentage of annual population, unemployment rate of last quarter in
       given year.
       Source: OECD Secretariat calculations based on data from IRCC.
       In 1974, the government introduced a penalty of ten points for applicants without
       pre-arranged employment or intention to work in a designated occupation and from
       1982-86, Canada granted admission only to applicants with pre-arranged
       employment (Green and Green, 1999[3]).
       Major changes introduced in 1986 involved allocating more points for language
       ability and less for adaptability. In addition, the government removed the
       requirement of pre-arranged employment and instead introduced a “levels” factor,
        Table 2.1. Evolution of the Points-Based System (current FSW entry grid) 1967 to
                                             present
                                   Percentages of maximum points and pass mark
                                                         1967                  1986            post-2003
                                                 % of       % pass     % of       % pass     % of    % pass
                                                points       mark     points       mark     points    mark
                              Human capital     30%             60%   35%             50%   68%      101%
                                   Language     10%             20%   15%             21%   28%      42%
                                   Education    20%             20%   12%             17%   25%      37%
                                 Experience                     20%    8%             11%   15%      15%
                     Labour market demand       40%             20%   35%             50%   10%      15%
                     Arranged employment /      25%             20%   20%             29%   10%      15%
                       occupational demand
                      Vocational preparation    10%             20%   15%             21%
                                 Destination     5%             10%
                                        Other   30%             60%   30%             43%   22%       33%
                                         Age    10%             20%   10%             14%   12%       18%
                     Personal Assessment /      20%             40%   10%             14%   10%       15%
                     Adaptability / Relatives
                                       Levels                         10%             14%
                    Points possible / needed    100              50   100              70   100       67*
                             Pass mark in %                     50%                   70%             67%
       Note: The table shows only key changes. Due to percentage rounding, shares do not round up to
       totals indicated. *Set at 75 points (75%) from June 2002 to September 2003, thereafter decreased to
       67 points. Pass mark of 67 used for calculating shares.
       Source: OECD Secretariat calculations based on data from IRCC and Green and Green (1999[3]).
       Given the pass mark of 67 points, a large number of applicants qualified for
       admission based on their human capital endowment alone. As numbers of
       applications rose faster than the ability of the authorities to deal with requests,
       backlogs of applications continued to grow. In addition to the large numbers, the
       verification process involved substantial manual assessment and human interface.
       A series of Ministerial Instructions since 20082 introduced a mix of qualifiers for
       expedited processing such as in-demand occupations and later numerical limits.
       Ministerial Instructions empower the federal Minister for Immigration to pause,
       decline and return unprocessed applications. Any such modifications to
       immigration policy were previously possible only through regulatory change and
       consultation. This flexibility aimed at streamlining application processing in line
       with changing priorities and at addressing the large inventory of applications that
       had built up since the late 1990s. For specific periods, the ministry reduced the
       points granted for work experience to 15% and increased the points awarded for
       language proficiency. Besides changes to the grid, a job offer or an occupation in
       demand became – temporarily – mandatory. In line with these changes, the ministry
       made other infrastructure adjustments. Key among them was the centralisation of
       the initial review of Federal Skilled Worker (FSW) applications in Canada through
       a new Centralized Intake Office for paper-based applications.
       The entry points grid’s six main selection factors (language, education, experience,
       job offer, age and adaptability) for Federal Skilled Workers (FSW) were maintained
      for this class in 2015, when Express Entry was introduced. It is important to note
      that this entry points grid differs from the Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS)
      that allocates points within the Express Entry pool, the differences are discussed in
      more detail below. In brief, the entry points grid allocates up to 100 points (67 allow
      a candidate to apply as a FSW) whereas the CRS grants up to 1 200 points out of
      which a varying number are needed to be invited to apply for permanent residence.
      The entry point grid is only applicable as a first step for those wishing to come to
      Canada as a Federal Skilled Worker, whereas the Comprehensive Ranking System
      (CRS) ranks everyone, who passed the requirements of at least one of the currently
      three federal skilled economic immigration classes.
      Until the introduction of Express Entry in January 2015, Canada had a one-step
      PBS for selection of permanent economic immigrants. Leading up to 2015, the
      immigration system was confronted with two major challenges. First, for many
      years, the department was obliged to process every application received until
      amendments to IRPA were introduced in 2008. This allowed the government to set
      a limit on the number of applications to be accepted for processing. However, with
      years of demand outstripping departmental capacity to process, by 2008 the FSW
      backlog had already grown to over 600 000 applications and with wait times of
      almost three years (IRCC, 2010[4]). Second, the system provided no means for
      prioritisation of candidates among applicants. In particular, employers faced long
      and uncertain waiting periods and applicants could not alter their application once
      submitted. Thus, neither changes in personal qualifications of applicants (supply
      side) nor in labour market and economic conditions (demand side) could accelerate
      admission of those in the queue. The series of Ministerial Instructions issued since
      2008 have aimed to improve targeting and enhance flexibility and responsiveness
      to changing demands. However, limits on immigration programmes did not address
      the main problem: the inability to efficiently prioritise processing.
      Express Entry builds on the points-based infrastructure that had been in place for
      more than four decades and changed the application process to incorporate a pre-
      screening and an official invitation step. Its introduction drew on extensive
      research, consultation with many stakeholders, including employers, and builds on
      the experiences of peer countries pursuing a two-step labour immigrant selection,
      with Expression of Interest models pioneered in New Zealand in 2003 and
      introduced by Australia in 2012.
Express Entry
       The general process of the Expression of Interest system
                          Figure 2.2. Express Entry basic functioning
       A key objective of Express Entry is to enable the selection of the best candidates at
       any time and to prioritise the various programme intakes to reflect changing
       economic conditions and political preferences. The system manages migration in
       two steps: first, all candidates who meet entry requirements are admitted (fixed
       mark) into a pool and second, candidates in the pool are ranked against one another
       and chosen in descending order until a fixed number of entries is reached (floating
       mark).
       In the case of Canada within this two-step process, applicants first submit an
       Expression of Interest (EOI) and if they meet the eligibility criteria for at least one
       of the federal economic visa categories, enter a pool of candidates called the
       Express Entry pool (Figure 2.2). Within this pool, a Comprehensive Ranking
       System (CRS) automatically assigns points to each applicant according to
       transparent criteria. As a result, each applicant has an individual CRS-score and
       ranks relative to all candidates in the pool.
       About every second week, IRCC publishes a Ministerial Instruction stating the total
       number of candidates it invites to apply for permanent residence. Such Invitations
       to Apply (ITA) are sent to the highest ranked candidates in the Express Entry pool
       in descending order until reaching the candidate(s) whose CRS-score is exactly at
       the pass mark for selection for this specific draw.3 Thus, candidates in the pool must
       have a CRS-score at least equal to the minimum pass mark at any given draw to
       receive an Invitation to Apply for permanent residence. However, depending on the
       composition of the pool (other candidate’s CRS-score4) the minimum CRS-score
       needed to receive an ITA in the given round is changing. While Ministerial
       Instructions state the number of ITAs, for easier reference the ministry also
       publishes the resulting minimum CRS-score.
       The numbers of ITAs for permanent residence visas are determined within the
       framework of a multi-annual Immigration Levels Plan, which sets out the broad
       admission ranges for federal high-skilled migration, by stream. The number and
       “type” of labour migrants selected at any draw remain at ministerial discretion. For
       instance, the minister can decide to pick only candidates of one or several visa
      categories. In addition, the government is able to adjust the points granted in the
      CRS, again by using Ministerial Instructions.
      The CRS-score calculation is a transparent process and interested applicants can
      pre-calculate their expected score online at no cost. The efficiency gains in
      processing time allow for a realistic timeframe estimation and applicants can update
      and thus improve their CRS-score while remaining in the EE-pool. This is also
      possible in the Australian system, where applicants can access their EOI and update
      information at any time. In contrast, in New Zealand applicants need to provide
      information to Immigration New Zealand why they want to change their details and
      thereafter need to re-submit their Expression of Interest.
      After submitting their Expression of Interest and on a voluntarily basis labour
      migrants can register on Job Bank, an online job search and matching platform and
      service of Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC). This allows them
      to market themselves to employers. At the same time, they can also search on
      private job vacancy boards. Employers registered on the Job Bank can view
      applicants’ profiles (though not their personal contact details) until they decide to
      interview them. When a match proceeds to an interview and a decision is made to
      hire, employers with an approval to hire a foreign worker (a positive Labour Market
      Impact Assessment) provide this information along with a job offer letter to the
      candidate. Candidates can update their Express Entry profile accordingly. Provinces
      and territories are able to view and nominate applicants in the Express Entry pool
      directly if candidates meet their regional programmes criteria. Applicants who
      accept such a provincial nomination – to live in the region – update their Express
      Entry profile accordingly. Applicants can also increase their points, by, for instance,
      improving their certified language levels, formal education credentials or claiming
      points or no points for a spouse or common law partner.
      Candidates successfully drawn from the pool receive an Invitation to Apply (ITA)
      for a permanent residence visa and have up to 60 days to submit a complete
      application. This should include all documents relating to admissibility and points
      claimed in various selection factors. The same period, 60 days, applies in Australia
      while in New Zealand applicants have four months to send the final application
      once they have been invited to apply for residence. Applicants who decline an ITA,
      or did not receive one due to their CRS-score, remain in the pool for up to
      12 months. This duration of profile validity is between the duration in the Australian
      system where profiles are valid for 24 months and the system used in New Zealand
      where they are valid for six months.
      As the government defines the number of ITA it issues and not the required CRS-
      score, the threshold is floating. Consequently, the same score of points in the
      Express Entry pool can be sufficient to get an invitation in one draw but not in the
      next, as candidates exit and enter the pool between draws. As a result, the pool is
      constantly changing and applicants face varying competition to receive an ITA.
      Until the end of 2018, IRCC issued 107 MIs stating the number of ITA and the
      resulting minimum needed CRS-score.
       The system provides an online platform for managing applications, the automation
       of most processing stages and the ability to seek nomination from provinces and
       territories as well as job offers – via a linked platform – from employers. EE does
       not employ any discretionary elements, except for the set pass marks and changes
       to the score calculation. Under Express Entry, the estimated target processing time
       between submission of a completed visa application and the final decision on a
       permanent residence visa is six months. Figure 2.3 gives an overview of an
       application process via Express Entry.
                      Figure 2.3. Express Entry high-level principles and processes
         Possible to secure beforehand job offer
         with positive LMIA or a PT nomination.
    Applicants may register on Job                     Sucessfull candidates enter the Express Entry pool.
    Bank and contact or get
    contacted by employers. Job                        The Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS)
    offers may need positive Labour                    electronically sorts and ranks according to points
    Market Impact Assessment.                          total and rules in force at the time.
             The CRS-score of the last                    IRCC issues a Ministerial Instruction stating the
             invited candidate who meets                  number of applicants to receive an Invitation to
             the pass-mark defines the                    Apply (ITA). Top ranked candidates in the Express
             floating cut off threshold.                  Entry pool are invited.
       Canada. Those invited to apply under the CEC do not need to meet the fund
       requirements. The amount of money required depends on the size of the family. An
       individual applicant has to proof CAD 12 475. For each additional family member,
       the amount increases by between CAD 3 000 to CAD 4 000. The amount of
       minimum funds is adjusted annually.
       At this stage, Express Entry assigns applicants an Express Entry Profile Number
       and a Job Seeker Validation Code. The Express Entry profile remains valid for one
       year. The initial online assessment takes around 15-20 minutes and the submission
       of a detailed Express Entry Profile around two hours, provided all required
       information is at hand.
       Age restrictions
       While younger candidates obtain more points, there is in principle no maximum age
       for admission to Canada.7 This stands in contrast to the systems in Australia and
       New Zealand. In Australia,8 candidates must be under 45 years of age at time of
       invitation for the skilled independent visa, in New Zealand the age threshold to
       submit an EOI for the Skilled Migrant Category Resident Visa is 55 years. Part of
       the motivation for such age thresholds is the fact that after, the expected working
       life ahead is no longer sufficient to finance future transfers, and the aggregated
       discounted fiscal impact tends to turn negative. This age-range typically tends to be
       around 45 years, but can be earlier or later depending on the expected earnings and
       the tax-benefit system (OECD, 2013[7]).
       Language competency
       Every applicant has to submit his/her proof of language skills in either English or
       French, the two national languages. This includes individuals born in an
       English/French speaking country who regard the language(s) as their mother
       tongue. The language test has to cover four core competences (reading, writing,
       listening and speaking) and must not be older than two years on the day of
       application for permanent residence. Applicants can prove English language skills
      with the CELPIP-General test or the IELTS General Training test. They can only
      use the TEF Canada (test d’evaluation de français) to verify French skills.
      To be eligible for the FSW Program, individuals must meet or exceed the language
      threshold of Canadian Language Benchmark (CLB) or Niveaux de compétence
      linguistique canadiens (NCLC) 7, which is equivalent to intermediate skills
      (B2 level in the Common European Reference Framework).10 To meet the
      minimum requirements for CEC, the language level depends on the skill level of
      the job. CEC with NOC 0 or A must have the same language levels as a FSW
      (CLB/NCLC 7). For a NOC B job, the minimum level is CLB/NCLC 5 (about B1
      in the Common European Reference Framework). Thus, for a significant part of
      CEC applicants, lower language thresholds apply than for applicants in the FSW.
      The reasons for this are not entirely clear. If anything, a higher Canadian language
      proficiency should be expected of an applicant who has spent time studying or
      working in Canada, since language is a key determinant for successful labour
      market integration. In the case of the FST, the minimum levels for speaking and
      listening are CLB/NCLC 5 and for reading and writing CLB/NCLC 4.
      In New Zealand, applicants to the Skilled Migrant Category Resident Visa need to
      prove somewhat higher language competency, roughly equivalent to a CLB 8, to be
      eligible to apply (IELTS level of 6.5 or more, a TOEFL 79 or more, Cambridge
      English B2 First (FCE)). However, if the applicants proves periods of study or
      skilled work experience in an English speaking country, this requirement can be
      waived. Higher levels of English may be required for certain occupations by
      professional bodies, but are not otherwise rewarded through higher points as this is
      done in the Canadian CRS (OECD, 2014[8]). In Australia, applicants to the Skilled
      Independent Visa (subclass 189) need certified “competent” English language
      skills, roughly equivalent to a CLB 7 (IELTS level of 6, a TOEFEL 69).
      Educational qualification
      An Education Credential Assessment (ECA) is mandatory for applicants who want
      to apply as a FSW and no minimum education level currently exists for CEC and
      FST. FSW applicants must have a minimum of Canadian equivalent secondary
      school (high school) or post-secondary school certificate. If a candidate earned
      his/her educational credential outside Canada, a designated organisation must
      verify its equivalence to a Canadian credential. It is mandatory to use one of
      currently seven IRCC-designated organisations that issue an Educational Credential
      Assessment.11 This assessment does of course not guarantee every employer
      accepts the foreign education as equivalent. What is more, it is not the same as a
      formal recognition. This is particularly relevant in credentials in regulated
      professions, for which a licence to practice is required. There are many such
      occupations in Canada. Currently, Canada regulates around 15-20% of all
      professions, usually in the mid-skilled segment, and recognition requirements differ
      by province and occupation. Applicants need to check beforehand whether they
      intend to work in a regulated profession in Canada, and if so what the procedures
      for recognition entail.
       For language ability, applicants receive 24 points if they pass the CLB level 9 or
       higher in each of the four language skills (speaking, listening, reading, writing) and
       can earn additional four points for their skills in the second official language if they
       score CLB 5 or higher in all of the four. As FSW applicants require a CLB 7 to be
       eligible, they need at least 16 points for this criteria. In order to receive the
       maximum 25 points for education, applicants need a university degree at a doctoral
       (PhD) level or equivalent. Lower education levels grant fewer points. The minimum
       requirement, a Canadian high school diploma or equivalent, earns a candidate five
       points in this category. Applicants also receive points for the number of years they
       have spent in full-time paid work. If their working experience was in a NOC skill
       level 0, A or B occupation for six or more years within the last ten years, they obtain
       the maximum number of 15 points. The minimum entry requirement, one year of
       paid skilled work experience, grants nine points. Regarding age, individuals
       between 18 and 35 years receive the highest number of points in this category: 12.
       For each additional year, one points is deducted. Individuals aged 47 or older do
       not receive any points for age. A full-time job offer of at least one year from a
       Canadian employer under specific conditions grants 10 points. Finally, applicants
       can earn in total maximum 10 points for “adaptability”. With this line, one year of
       full time skilled work experience in Canada grants 10 points. The same goes for
       combinations of two of the following, which provide five points each: arranged
       employment, past study experiences in Canada, spouses or partners language
       knowledge, spouses or partners past study or work experience in Canada, relatives
       in Canada.
       This entry grid is the same points-based system as has been in place for FSW before
       the introduction of Express Entry. However, achieving the successful pass mark of
      67 points only grants the right to enter the Express Entry pool under the category
      of a Federal Skilled Worker (FSW). The FSW entry grid is specific to this economic
      programme and the other economic classes (CEC and FST) do not use any entry
      grid but specific eligibility criteria.
       A key innovation in the introduction of EE has been that extensive study and
       evaluation of previous systems and the determinants labour market outcomes of
      immigrants in Canada preceded and informed the design of the CRS. Both the short-
      term and long-term outcomes were studied in this context. One such study
      informing the CRS found that language and Canadian work experience are the best
      predictors of earnings in the short term but education and age at landing are the best
      predictors in the long term (Bonikowska, Hou and Picot, 2015[10]). The core and
      human capital factors reflect these findings (Table 2.4). They include points for age,
      level of education, official language proficiency and Canadian work experience.17
      Individuals18 between 20 and 29 years of age receive the maximum of 110 points
      for the age factor. For older applicants points decrease by five or six points per year,
      until individuals aged 45 years or older do not receive any points for this factor
      anymore. Children under the age of 18 receive no points and young adults at age
      18 receive 99, those aged 19, 105 points, respectively. This assignment follows the
      rationale that younger age at arrival positively affects long-term economic
      integration outcomes, and that the future aggregated discounted net fiscal impact of
      younger people is higher but that very young individuals still require further
      education.
      In addition, the CRS awards up to 150 points for education. Canadian and overseas
      educational attainment grant the same number of points within this core set,
      although there are bonus points for Canadian qualifications in the “other” set of
      factors. In order to be valid, an IRCC-designated organisation has to issue an
      Educational Credential Assessment. In order to receive the highest number of
      available points, individuals need to have a doctoral level university degree (PhD).
      Lower levels of formal education grant lesser points. For instance, a bachelor degree
      grants 120 and a secondary diploma (high school graduation) 30 points.
      Proficiency in the official languages, English and French, is an important predictor
      of labour market outcomes in the long-term. The CRS-score allots a maximum of
      136 points for proficiency in the first official language, and an additional maximum
      24 points for knowledge of the second official language. A CLB/NCLC level of
      10 or more in each linguistic capability (reading, writing, listening and speaking)
      grants the maximum points and anything at or below CLB/NCLC level 4 (which is
      the lower bound for admission to the pool) grants no points. Language requirements
      for skilled labour migration are common across OECD countries. However, the
      Canadian system is particularly refined, as no other system awards points for
      language both along a seven-step scale while differentiating between the four
      linguistic abilities (reading, writing, listening and speaking). In New Zealand,
      language skills above the required pass mark to enter the pool do not result in a
      higher overall score, while the Australian system awards points only along a three-
      step scale.
      Work experience in Canada can earn up to a maximum of 80 points under the core
      factor. Individuals having worked at least for one year full time in Canada receive
      40 points, and points increase by years of additional Canadian work experience. For
      five years or more, the maximum number of 80 points is granted. Foreign work
      experience is not a core factor – in contrast to the FSW grid – and grants points only
      under the skill transferability factors.
          Figure 2.5. Federal Skilled Worker Program, principal applicants, and spouses and
                                         dependants, 2005-17
 30000                                                                                                1
 20000
                                                                                                      0.5
 10000
      0                                                                                               0
             2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
      to subsequent family reunification rather than bringing them along. While between
      2005 and 2014, the ratio of permanent principal labour applicants landing under the
      FSW and the number of accompanying spouses and dependants has been constant,
      since the introduction of EE there has been a sharp decline in the share of the latter
      (Figure 2.5). Note, however, that it is not clear whether this relates to changes in
      selection procedures, such as the CRS-score, changing characteristics of the
      applicants themselves, such as a younger age of the principal applicants (as younger
      people are less likely to have family), or a decision to exclude spouses and
      dependants on the permanent residence application. Indeed, in parallel EE also
      favours younger candidates (both by strengthening the importance of age as a
      selection criterion and by no longer rewarding long previous work experience), and
      the average age has indeed declined (see next section).
      Whilst the bulk of principal applicants are men, it is noteworthy that immigrant
      women in Canada are the highest-educated among all immigrant groups (regardless
      of gender) in the OECD, with more than 60% having tertiary education (OECD/EU,
      2018[11]). At the same time, during the ten years prior to the introduction of EE,
      only around 35% of principal labour migrant applicants were women, and this share
      rose only slightly with EE, to 38% (IRCC, 2018[12]). This suggests that not only
      female principal applicants selected themselves, but also those accompanying
      partners or migrating under family streams tend to have a high level of education.
      Within the partner points, language is key – accounting for half of the total (see
      Annex 2.A for an overview of the CRS). In New Zealand, spouses of applicants
      have to prove the same language levels as the principal applicant. Other spousal
      skills can add up to maximum 40 additional points to the EOI score: 20 for high
      education levels, at the Master’s or doctoral level, and additional 20 points for (pre-
      arranged) skilled employment in New Zealand. This is a maximum of 25% of the
      currently effective selection mark of 160 (see Table 2.5 below). These points do not
      affect the amount of points the principal applicant can receive, i.e. they are an add-
      on. Likewise, in Australia, applicants can earn up to five additional points for
      partner skills provided their partner meets the same eligibility criteria as themselves
      (language, age, assessed occupation on occupation list) which is 7% of the currently
      effective selection mark of 70 points.
        Note: For comparability purposes, the table excludes regional elements: 600 points in Canada,
        30 points in New Zealand and five points in Australia. Effective pass mark in Canada refers to the
        median pass mark during the second half of 2018. In New Zealand and Australia to the selection
        mark in the second half of 2018. The total of the sub-item (marked bold) is the maximum under the
        respective category.
        Source: OECD Secretariat.
        In this context, it is important to note that in Canada, spouses and dependants – like
        all other migrants – are eligible to free (and in principle unlimited) language training
        which is the key part of the settlement services provided by Canada.19 In Australia,
        which also has free English language training for most new arrivals in need –
        subject to certain conditions – there is a higher visa fee (around AUD 5 000,
        depending on the category) for spouses and dependants who do not have functional
        English. Similar provisions exist in New Zealand, where persons included in the
      application who are aged 16 and older have to either meet the same minimum
      requirements as the principal applicant, or to pre-purchase English tuition. This can
      range up to NZD 7 000 (OECD, 2014[8]). Between 1995-98, New Zealand had a
      language bond, requiring spouses and dependants to pay a certain amount that was
      reimbursed if they managed to acquire the required minimum level of English
      language mastery within a year of arrival.
      To receive the full number of skill transferability points, a 3-year higher educational
      degree (such as a bachelor’s degree), strong (CLB 9) language skills, and either
      three years of foreign or two years of Canadian work experience are necessary.
       Lower qualifications and experiences grant already - albeit fewer – points, whereas
       additional years of work experience beyond the ones mentioned do not add points.
       Individuals applying under the FST class receive up to 50 points for a certificate of
       qualification, provided simultaneous good language skills. Depending on the
       occupation, only provinces, territories and specific federal bodies can issue a
       certificate of qualification. Applicants must have passed a certification exam to
       have their training, trade experience and skills recognised, usually from a
       province/territory. Applicants may also need experience and training from an
       employer in Canada.
       As noted, the CRS grants points for foreign work experience only given high
       language skills and/or simultaneous Canadian work experience. Otherwise, foreign
       work experience does not grant any points for the final CRS-score. Here, the
       Canadian system differs from peer systems in Australia and New Zealand. In both
       countries, foreign work experience grants points irrespective of language skills and
       working experience in the country. In order to achieve the maximum number of
       points for this category, individuals have to prove eight (Australia) or ten
       (New Zealand) years of skilled work experience, respectively, whereas in Canada
       the maximum number of interaction points is granted for three years of foreign work
       experience already.
       Additional points
       The CRS awards up to 600 points for so-called “other factors”, which is 50% of the
       total possible CRS-score. These include 50 points for arranged employment in a
       skill Level 0, A or B occupation, (200 in a NOC 00 occupation), and up to 30 points
       for post-secondary education in Canada. Applicants receive the total of 600 points
       for a provincial or territorial nomination. While a job offer typically reflects
       demand, it also reflects human capital as substantiated by employers in the context
       of their specific immediate needs. Provincial nominations can address both demand
       and supply depending on the objectives of the EE-linked programme of the province
       or territory. The 600 additional points provided by a provincial or territorial
       nomination ensure selection in the next ITA round. Changes to the CRS in June
       2017 introduced additional 15 points for a sibling living in Canada who is a citizen
       or permanent resident, and up to 30 points each for Canadian post-secondary
       education and for strong French language skills with simultaneous fair English
       language skills.
      the previous system. Over the first months of 2017, when the pre-Express Entry
      backlog for the FSWP and the CEC was almost depleted, ITA round sizes were
      increased to create a working inventory of applications. IRCC then somewhat
      reduced the size of the ITA rounds but since 2018 increased the total intake again,
      to ensure a steady application submission for meeting the targeted processing time
      for Express Entry applications (Figure 2.6).
Figure 2.6. ITA issued per Express Entry draw and required pass mark, 2015-2018
       The floating pass mark (CRS-cut off) suggests a system that responds to
       changing parameters
                     Figure 2.7. How the CRS-cut off score changed during 2018
                                 ITA issued (left)                 CRS-cut off (right)
            21 14 14 14 21 12 16 14 14 14 21 12 16 14 14 14 14 14 14 12 14 16 14 14                7
     4000                                                                                              460
     3800
                                                                                                       455
     3600
     3400
                                                                                                       450
     3200
     3000                                                                                              445
     2800
                                                                                                       440
     2600
     2400
                                                                                                       435
     2200
     2000                                                                                              430
       Note: On May 30, 2018, IRCC invited 700 applications under the PNP and FST classes with a cut-
       off of 902 and 288. On September 24, 2018, IRCC invited 400 applications under the FST class with
       a cut-off of 284. These draws are not shown in the graph.
       Source: OECD Secretariat visualisations based on data from IRCC.
       In 2018, apart from two programme-specific draws, the government invited in each
       round between 2 750 and 3 900 candidates to submit an application and the
       resulting CRS cut-off was between 439 and 456 points (Figure 2.7). During 2018,
       the government did not introduce any changes to the CRS. Nevertheless, the CRS-
       score needed to receive an ITA varied somewhat. It partly reflects the changing
       composition of the pool as individuals enter and leave, but also the size of the
       current draw and the time lapse since the previous draw (and its size). In fact,
       whenever the time between two rounds of regular invitations is three instead of the
       usual two weeks, the cut-off in the next draw is slightly higher. In turn, where the
       period between two draws is shorter, the cut-off tends to be lower. Likewise,
       successive periods of rather large draws tend to be associated with somewhat lower
       pass-marks.
       This floating pass-mark contrasts somewhat with the operation of the SkillSelect
       system in Australia and the EOI-system in New Zealand. New Zealand sets a
       minimum pass mark to enter the pool (100 points) and the admission mark for each
       draw depends on government priorities. In 2018, only those with a score above a
       certain threshold (160 points) received invitations to apply while, until October
       2016, those between two thresholds (100 and 140 points) were ranked by point-
       scores and preference were given to applicants with a job offer. In Australia,
       SkillSelect issues invitations automatically to the highest-ranking EOIs, in
       descending order as in Canada, but only until a pre-defined limit subject to annual
       occupation ceilings. What is more, the pass-mark is rather stable. In Canada,
       applicants are continuously invited and no occupation limits exist. Hence, interested
      applicants have a high incentive to acquire all possible points to achieve their
      highest CRS-score for any possible round.
       exception of 2008 (the year of the economic crisis), the share has constantly
       increased since 2005. Likewise, the reported income tends to be higher than among
       prior cohorts of admission, although this was an ongoing trend observed for many
       years already (Figure 2.8).
       Figure 2.8. Median earnings in CAD of labour immigrants by years since admission
                                 (landing) and arrival cohort
                   2010           2011          2012          2013          2014           2015          2016
     45000
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
     15000
              0 years since 1 years since 2 years since 3 years since 4 years since 5 years since 6 years since
               admission     admission     admission     admission     admission     admission     admission
       Due to the time lag between immigrants landing, starting to work and filing income
       tax declaration, only limited analyses on the labour market results of recently-
       arrived immigrants under EE are possible. Data from the 2016 IMD – using labour
       immigrants from 2015 and 2016 – suggests that the median earnings of labour
       immigrants (FSW, FST, CEC, PN) landing via EE are higher than among those
       coming from outside EE.
       A survey from IRCC compared the outcomes of EE-selected labour immigrants
       who were admitted between 2015-18 with those who were non-EE-selected (i.e. the
       previous backlog) but admitted during the same period. It shows that twelve months
       after admission, 87% of EE-selected respondents had secured a first job, compared
       with 82% for non-EE-selected respondents. What is more, the average and median
       self-reported income of EE-selected immigrants was higher compared to non-EE-
       selected respondents. This was true for both the first job in Canada as permanent
       resident and the current job at the time of the survey for those in employment
       (IRCC, forthcoming[14]).
       EE prioritises those with the highest skills and other attributes linked with
       lasting integration
       In contrast to the pre-2015 system, Express Entry ranks eligible candidates by their
       skills level, choosing those with higher skills rather than those with lower skills,
       and ensuring that the highest-skilled get chosen first. While it is too early to actually
        compare outcomes pre- and post-EE, by its very design, it is a clear improvement
        over the previous system in this respect.
        Based on the minimum criteria outlined for pool eligibility which were the same as
        under the previous system without such ranking, a FSW applicant needs a minimum
        CRS-score of 98 points, a CEC applicant 64 CRS-points and a FST applicant
        74 CRS-points. Hence, given the minimum requirements, a CRS-score of 64 points
        is sufficient to enter the EE-pool. This is less than 15% of the median pass mark for
        selection in non-programme specific draws. Even for FSW, the programme with
        the most restrictive pool entry requirements, this results in only 22% of the points
        required for the median pass mark in the second half of 2018 (441). In
        New Zealand, interested candidates for permanent skilled migration must achieve
        a score of 62.5%, i.e.100 points out of a current pass mark of 160 to submit an
        application. In Australia, the eligibility score to apply under the Skilled Independent
        visa is 65 points, a full 93% of the score needed to be selected in the second half of
        2018, which was 70 points (albeit it was higher for certain occupational groups).
        In 2017 and 2018, 80% of invited and subsequently landed immigrants under EE
        had a CRS-score between 400 and 500 points, and 14%, virtually all of them
        provincial nominees, a CRS-score over 600. Applicants who do not receive an ITA,
        or decline an offer, remain in the pool for up to twelve months (Figure 2.9). Invited
        applicants who do not react to an invitation to apply are withdrawn from the pool.
        The snapshot of the pool of active candidates in August 2018 shows that about a
        third of applicants in the pool have a CRS-scores between 401-440 points,
        suggesting a reasonably high qualification level to being picked in future draws
        (Figure 2.9). However, about a third of applicants have a CRS-score below
        350 points. The system will only select these candidates if they are eligible for
       The reason for continuing a Federal Skilled Trades Program is not evident
       Created in 2013, the FST provides a pathway to permanent residence for individuals
       in a selected group of the skilled trades. These are occupations in industrial,
       construction, maintenance, agriculture, processing, transport and manufacturing
       trades, as well as for cooks, chefs, bakers and butchers. Applicants need to meet the
       requirements for their skilled trade as defined in the NOC, and either a valid job
       offer for full-time employment for at least one year, or a certificate of qualification
       in their skilled trade issued by a Canadian authority. In spite of providing a lower
       human-capital threshold access to permanent residency than CEC and FSW, the
       programme has taken off only very slowly, already before the introduction of EE.
       One reason for this is the fact that some skilled trades tend to be regulated
       professions. Therefore, individuals often need to go to their intended
       province/territory of residence to be assessed for their trade.
       After over six years of operation of the FSTP, it is not clear why Canada runs a
       federal immigration programme for labour immigrants in this narrow range of
       occupations many of which require certification at the provincial/territorial level.
       Canada’s latest Occupational Projection System (COPS 2017-2026) predicts labour
       demand and supply to be broadly balanced in most of these respective occupations
       at the national level. Indeed, some occupations such as cooks (NOC 6322) are even
       expected to face labour surplus conditions (ESDC, 2017[15]).
       Express Entry, a system designed for managing high-skilled migration, does not
       include applicants under the FSTP in regular selection draws, due to their relatively
       lower human capital endowment and resulting lower CRS-score. After the decrease
       of points awarded for a valid job offer – from 600 to 50 points following November
       2016 – candidates in the EE-pool who were (only) eligible for the FSTP have never
       been invited in a regular round of invitation.
       What is more, other entry paths are available for immigrants in such occupations
       but not under this programme. Qualifying individuals with a similar skill set but at
       least one year of Canadian work experience are always invited under the CEC, and
       there is always the possibility of provincial nominiation under the PNP (see
       Chapter 4).
      Given their relatively low skills, applicants under the FST programme are not
      invited to apply anymore in regular EE draws, in 2017 only 906 FST and in 2018
      only 900 FST were invited in special draws. In these years, only 345 and 280 of
      individuals invited to apply submitted an application for permanent residence,
      suggesting that many do not land.
      Within FST, the largest group intended to work as cooks (30% and 34%), which
      raises the question of appropriate targeting, given that this is an occupation in which
      no future labour shortages are expected. What is more, in 2017, EE admitted over
      550 individuals under its other streams (CEC, PNP and FSW), intending to work as
      cooks, and in 2018 this number was over 650. This also suggests that other channels
      such as CEC or provincial nomination in EE are in fact used by the same target
      group.
      Indeed, provinces and territories that need qualified labour migrants in certain
      trades can search the pool and invite individuals via enhanced nominations in the
      EE-pool. In fact, the only province that still admits a considerable share of its
      economic immigrants under the FSTP is Alberta: 4% of its intake of 2018 (until
      October). More than half of all federal skilled traders admitted via EE since its
      introduction intended to settle in that province. At the same time, Alberta is the only
      province that has not yet admitted any provincial nominees via EE and only recently
      introduced its EE-linked PN stream.21
      A universal pool entry grid, based on the core CRS factors, would set
      minimum standards
      As a crucial distinction to previous selection, the CRS ranks all candidates against
      one another in the EE-pool.22 The main difference between applications under the
      FSW, FST and the CEC is thus their pool entry eligibility23. Future Provincial
      Nominees under EE have to meet one of the entry requirements of one of the three
      federal programme. The Canadian Experience Class (CEC) was introduced in 2008
      to help address substantial application backlogs and waiting times in the FSW,
      allow for a transition of individuals already working in Canada as well as to increase
      responsiveness to labour needs (IRCC, 2015[16]). Given that Express Entry favours
      onshore transition and has eliminated backlogs, the continuous need of a CEC is
      thus not clear. A further objective of the CEC was to provide a pathway for
      international graduates, who now receive bonus points in the CRS for Canadian
      study experience.
      FSW applicants go through an entry point grid while CEC (and FST) applicants do
      not. There are some inconsistencies between the FSW-entry grid and the CRS in
      the EE-pool. For instance, a 19-year-old applicant receives the maximum number
      of age-points in the FSW-entry grid, but less than maximum in the CRS. In turn, a
      45-year-old applicant receives 0 (out of 110) points for age in the CRS, but still 2
      (out of 12) points in the FSW-entry grid. Further, the FSW-entry grid rewards up to
      six years of foreign work experience. By contrast, in the CRS, only three years of
      foreign work experiences already allow for the maximum number of points
       available, and these points are only granted given at least one of two other factors:
       official language knowledge and/or Canadian work experience.
       Regarding language knowledge, CEC and FSW admissions (excluding Quebec) in
       2017 are very similar (98% and 97% only speaking English). In terms of age
       structure, individuals admitted under the CEC in 2017 are younger than those under
       the FSW. A full 58% of CEC-admitted are below the age of 30. Admissions under
       the FSWP fall mostly in the age-range 30 to 44 (61%). In addition, the majority of
       immigrants admitted under the CEC intended to work in a NOC B occupation, while
       the majority of FSW admissions intend to work in a NOC A occupation. Against
       this backdrop, it is not clear why CEC applicants are not subject to the same
       minimum requirements as FSW to enter the pool.
       Such a revised new entry points grid for all skilled migration, based on the core
       factors of the CRS-grid, would also enhance transparency. The core criteria of the
       CRS (age, education, languages and Canadian work experience) could provide the
       basis for such a universal points grid for all candidates in the first stage (to submit
       an EOI). The entry grid should only allow those candidates to enter the pool who
       have an assessed minimum standard of formal education – for instance high school
       education – and a language level of “adequate intermediate ability” (CLB7).
       This is a higher language ability than currently required for Skill Level B applicants
       under CEC (and FST). However, language proficiency at arrival is a central skill
       portability factor and predictor of labour market outcomes (Ferrer, Green and
       Riddell, 2006[17]; Bonikowska, Green and Riddell, 2008[18]; OECD/EU, 2014[19]).
       For a successful transfer of cognitive “high skill” abilities, a higher language
       proficiency is more important than for the transfer of manual skills. Hence, a more
       proficient language requirement offers some protection for high-skilled immigrants
       against being pushed to take up employment in manual occupations for which they
       are not qualified (Imai, Stacey and Warman, 2018[20]). What is more, host-country
       language ability24 seems to be the only form of human capital that is beneficial to
       both those who do and those who do not work in the same occupation as before
       migrating (Warman, Sweetman and Goldmann, 2015[21]). As mentioned, CLB 7
       (equivalent to an IELTS 6.0) would be the same level as required for the skilled
       independent class in Australia, and a still higher level of language ability is required
       for the Skilled Migrant Category of New Zealand (equivalent to IELTS 6.5).
       The requirement of one year of skilled work experience in Skill Level B, A or zero
       occupation prior to permanent migration is plausible. It allows for a genuine
       assessment of immigrants intended occupation as many seem interested in
       switching jobs when immigrating and “upgrading” from a lower-skilled pre-
       immigration job to a higher-skilled upon landing in Canada (Warman, Sweetman
       and Goldmann, 2015[21]). However, this requirement somewhat prevents
       international graduates from Canadian universities – with the exception of those
       graduating from an Atlantic educational institution who have access to the Atlantic
       Immigration Pilot – to qualify for permanent federal immigration programmes
       immediately after graduation without any work experience, as off-campus work
       experience does not count towards this requirement. Australia waived the work
      Points for Canadian work and study experience favour onshore selection
      Until October 2018, most applications who received an ITA under EE and
      subsequently submitted an application were part of the Federal Skilled Worker 44%
      (73 593) and the Canadian Experience Class 40% (68 140). By contrast, only about
      13% were issued to Provincial Nominees (21 635) and just 2% applied under the
      Federal Skilled Trades Program (3 746). In Express Entry a relatively large share
       of applicants arrive via the CEC stream compared to pre-EE admissions (Chapter
       1). This change reflects the points allocated for Canadian work (and more recently
       study) experience in the CRS as well as the new sorting hierarchy within Express
       Entry discussed previously. Indeed, Canadian work and study experience has
       become a major advantage for permanent selection under EE (Figure 2.7).
       The CRS-score awards, since November 2016, up to 30 extra points for Canadian
       education credentials and in 2017, 45% of applicants invited to apply for permanent
       residence under EE claimed such points (IRCC, 2018[13]). This is a sharp increase
       from pre-EE: In 2014, the share of labour immigrants landing outside of Quebec
       who had a previous study permit was only 24%. In other words, now almost half of
       all those selected in EE have Canadian education. A Canadian two-year Master’s
       degree with the minimum required one year of foreign skilled work experience
       provides more points than a foreign master’s degree and any amount of foreign
       work experience. For Canadian work experience, the CRS awards points twice: in
       the core factors as well as in the interaction factors (Figure 2.7)26. A foreign
       Bachelor’s degree holder with just one year of Canadian work and no further
       experience surpasses an otherwise similar applicant with the same educational level
       and foreign work experience, regardless of the number of years of experience.
       However, due to the interaction factors, this is not the case for applicants with a
       foreign Master’s degree, where one year of Canadian work experience alone does
       not grant more points than three years or more of foreign work experience.
          Table 2.7. How the CRS values foreign and Canadian work and study experience
         Applicant 28 years old, with English (CLB 9) and no French, applying without a spouse/common law partner
       Note: “BA” denotes one three-year or longer post-secondary credential. “MA” stands for a master’s
       or entry-to-practice professional degree. *Canadian work experience during the previous
       three years.
       Source: OECD Secretariat calculations.
       In 2018, the CRS cut-off score for invitation for permanent residence has mostly
       been between 440 and 450 points. Hence, the table suggests that the current system
       favours candidates with Canadian experience. Given the relatively large number of
           Figure 2.10. Share of labour migrants by earning groups, Express Entry onshore
                                             transitions
20
15
10
     0
           0 > 10k   10k > 20k 20k > 30k 30k > 40k 40k > 50k 50k > 60k 60k - 70k 70k - 80k 80k - 90k 90k - 100k   100k +
         Note: Labour immigrants admitted in 2016 might not have worked a full year yet. Numbers shown
         hence might underestimate their earning.
         Source: Statistics Canada, 2016 IMDB.
       At the same time, Hou and Lu (2017[26]) show that, for persons with prior Canadian
       work experience, the payment received while working in Canada, rather than the
       duration thereof, is the best proxy for future earnings. Several other OECD
       countries also use the salary as a proxy for classifying high-skilled employment.
       However, these generally refer to the wage offered (i.e. after landing). The most
       prominent example is the European Blue Card Scheme that among other conditions
       requires the applicant to receive a salary at least equal to the threshold set by the
       individual Member State. Similarly, the Danish Pay Limit Scheme allows
       applicants with a job offer and salary above a threshold to reside and work in the
       country for an initial period of maximum four years. Applicants to New Zealand’s
       Skilled Migrant Category Resident Visa can claim 20 additional points (12.5% of
       the effective selection mark of 160) for a salary/salary offer above a certain
       remuneration threshold27. Since August 2017, New Zealand also uses remuneration
       thresholds as an additional means of defining skilled employment. The
       United Kingdom also uses salary for classifying high-skilled jobs.
       Moving to a salary reference, for example linked to the pre-application year of work
       experience in Canada, would thus not be an unusual step to take. At the same time,
       it would remove the somewhat arbitrary points allocation for the years of Canadian
       work experience in the current system. Individuals applying without a spouse
       receive already half of available points for Canadian work experience in the core
       factors, currently 35 points, after only one year of experience, but the full number
       of 70 points only after five years. At the same time, a number of steps should be
       taken to ensure integrity. To account for different labour market conditions across
       the country, the salary should be relative to where the experience was obtained
       rather than absolute. For part-time work and recent graduates who would get lower
       earnings, refined solutions would need to be developed.
       The CRS allocates points for the duration of Canadian work experience a second
       time in the skill transferability factors, but here the maximum number of interaction
       points is available after two years of Canadian work experience. In contrast, the
       total number of interaction points for foreign work experiences is possible to gain
       after at least three years of foreign work experience.
       Provinces can recruit directly from Express Entry while employers can use
       the government online platform Job Bank
       Express Entry operates a pool of pre-selected candidates who have already
       undertaken a language assessment, and in the case of FSW, also an educational
       credential assessment. Provinces and territories can access the pool directly to find
       suitable candidates for regional immigration programmes. By contrast, employers
       are not able to recruit candidates from the EE-pool directly. Instead, they can use
       Job Bank, Canada’s online job searching and matching platform. They can also
       search on other private sector recruitment services or co-operate with
       provincial/territorial programmes (Figure 2.11).
Figure 2.11. Schematic overview of the links between EE and Job Bank
Employer
                                                                               Provincial
               Job Bank                                                         Nominee
                                           Express Entry                      Programmes
                                               Pool
             Private Sector
              Job Boards
                                                                         Provinces and territories
                                                                             are able to recruit
                                       Admitted applicants complete       candidates from the EE
                                         their online Express Entry         system for their PN
                                        profile and enter the pool.     programmes to meet local
             Matches are made
                                                                           labour market needs
           between cadidates and          They can register with
           employers through Job        Canada's Job Bank and use      Employers can continue to
            Bank and / or Private      private sector boards to find    work with provinces and
               Sector Boards.                  employment.                    territories.
          The employer gives the EE-
            candidate a job offer.
                                             Invitation to
                                                Apply
      Job Bank is open to use for Express Entry profiles, but was designed as a matching
      service for Canadian job seekers as a sort of “clearing house” for vacancies. The
      platform is the result of merging an offer existing under the same name since 1980
      (on-line since 1996) and the previous “Working in Canada” Website. Job Bank has
      been operating since March 2014 and is free of charge.
      Services on Job Bank include job searching, recruiting/hiring and matching. In
      addition, individuals can explore careers and job market trends. According to a
      telephone survey conducted at the beginning of 2016, Job Bank was the most
      common place for job postings of employers with a Job Bank account. It was also
      the most popular platform to search work among job seekers (40% of the total).
      However, 40% of jobs in Canada are obtained through job seekers’ personal
      networks. Respondents to the 2013 and 2014 Canadian Out-of-Employment Panel
      surveys said that talking to others for searching jobs was second after searching on
      the internet (ESDC, 2017[27]).
      Recent immigrants who may not have well-established networks share similar
      information needs with less experienced labour market participants. They may also
      benefit from information available on Job Bank as regards to federal, provincial and
      territorial regulatory bodies. While knowledge of the Job Bank’s job searching
      services is generally high, many are less aware of the career planning and job
      market information services it provides.
      However, recent immigrants seem to be better informed than the general Canadian
      public about these features. A full 71% of recent immigrants knew that Job Bank
       provides information about career planning and 69% on job market trends (ESDC,
       2017[27]). The high level of awareness of Job Bank’s features is linked to the
       mandatory registration for EE candidates on Job Bank until mid-2017. Until that
       date, all EE-applicants needed to create a Job Bank profile if they did not already
       have a job offer or a provincial/territorial nomination. After June 2017, the
       registration with Job Bank became voluntary for applicants. Instead, it became
       mandatory for recruiters in need of a Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA).
       All employers must advertise on Job Bank as one of three required recruitment
       methods in order to obtain a LMIA, a requirement discussed further in subsequent
       parts of this review. IRCC should continue to communicate the value added of Job
       Bank to new EE applicants, despite registration being voluntary now.
       Similar to the current use of Job Bank in Canada, the manual matching system
       SkillFinder in New Zealand is not automatically connected to the application
       management pool.28 By contrast, in Australia until April 2018, employers could
       search the pool of SkillSelect by occupation, qualification and English language
       ability directly. However, Australia ceased this access in April 2018. What is more,
       in contrast to Australia, where occupation lists and ceilings apply, the Canadian
       system does not have such limits in place.
       and applied sciences, followed by business and finance, while the share of Skill
       Level B occupations in retail sales and service supervision decreased significantly
       (Figure 2.12).
       Annual invitations issued under Express Entry display a very similar picture. In
       2016, 2017 and 2018, the top three intended occupations of those invited to apply
       were in the IT sector. Occupations in the sales and service sector, which were
       among the top ten occupations in 2015 and 2016, were replaced in 2017 and 2018
       by occupations in the business, finance and administration sector (Table 2.8). This
       suggests that the current system – despite not being explicitly linked to shortage
       occupations –selects more highly-skilled occupational profiles.
Table 2.8. Most common occupations among invitations issued in percent, 2015-18
      … but it is not clear if immigrants can find employment suited to their skill-
      level
      Skilled population growth is a core objective of Canadian immigration policy.
      However, immigrants should be able to work in an occupation that fits their skills
      and educational attainment. In fact, this seems to be the major difficulty of
      newcomers to Canada in the short-run (IRCC, 2018[32]). Unfortunately, there is no
      recent comprehensive data available on the incidence of over-qualification in
      Canada. Data from the 2011 National Household Survey suggests that over-
      education rates for recent employed immigrants between the ages of 25 to 64 years
      with post-secondary education is 53% compared to 30% for non-immigrants
      (FLMM, 2014[33]). Indeed, over-qualification rates among immigrants in Canada
      were above the OECD average (OECD/EU, 2015[34]).
      There is no data available on the occupations labour immigrants actually take up
      once they land in Canada. However, a recent IRCC survey indicates that of those
      respondents working, a large proportion of EE-selected immigrants (73%) report
      that their current job matched their education, skills and experience and over four
      in five (81%) felt that their current job met or exceeded their expectations. Both of
      these shares are higher than among non-EE-selected respondents at 65% and 78%,
      respectively (IRCC, forthcoming[14]).
       In this respect, it is important to note that all applicants to the FSW with foreign
       education and those who want to earn points for their education in the CRS need an
       assessment of their credentials, a so called Education Credential Assessment
       (ECA).31 Such an assessment is a report by an independent company that evaluates
       foreign education. Currently, IRCC has designated five professional bodies to
       provide ECA and two bodies for specific occupations.32 Processing times and costs
       vary between these bodies.
       For Express Entry, this report attests that a foreign degree, diploma and/or
       certificate is valid and equal to a Canadian one. In general, an assessment of the
       highest level of education is sufficient, unless applicants want to earn points for two
       or more credentials, in which case both need to be assessed (see section on step one
       of Express Entry above).
       It is important to note that an ECA for migration purposes is not a formal procedure
       for foreign qualification recognition (FQR). Obtaining an ECA does not allow for
       access to regulated professions.33
       In Canada’s federal system, foreign qualification recognition (FQR) procedures are
       largely with the provinces and territories. Within these, responsibility has been
       delegated to over 600 regulatory bodies and apprenticeship authorities, overseeing
       more than 650 regulated occupations. What is more, some occupations are
       regulated in some provinces but not in others. Applicants are expected to contact
       the regulatory body in the province or territory where they plan to settle, to find out
       if they need a licence to practice in their intended occupation. However, anecdotal
       evidence suggests that individuals have rarely done this in the past (Johnson and
       Baumal, 2016[36]).
       Acknowledging these challenges, the Forum of Labour Market Ministers,
       consisting of representatives from federal, provincial and territorial bodies,
       launched the Pan-Canadian Framework for the Assessment and Recognition of
       Foreign Credentials in 2009. The Framework initially targeted a short list of
       regulated occupations, but it has been expanded in recent years (FLMM, 2014[33])
       to cover more than 90% of the occupations of those newcomers landing in Canada
       every year. The Framework spans the steps individuals face as they move through
       the licencing process, including pre-arrival supports and services. The assessment
       stage typically includes a verification of authenticity of academic credentials and
       the identification and evaluation of skills, credentials and work experience required
       for entry into regulated occupations or educational programmes. Third-party
       agencies (often other than the ones involved in the ECA) often conduct qualification
       assessments for regulated occupations and registration decisions are made by
       regulatory authorities on the basis of these assessed qualifications. After their
       assessment, foreign credentials can be fully, partially or not recognised. If
       recognised, they are certified directly. When skills are partially recognised,
       immigrants are required to upgrade their skills to complete their credential
       recognition to be certified. If foreign credentials are not recognised, then
       immigrants are provided with support to find related occupations to their credentials
       that do not require licencing (ESDC, 2018[37]).
      A report prepared for the Foreign Qualifications Recognition Working Group of the
      Forum of Labour Market Ministers (Johnson and Baumal, 2016[36]), building on
      interviews with labour migrants, has shown that immigrants are not aware of the
      challenges involved in FQR. What is more, confusion exists among newcomers
      between the ECA that they are generally required to take and the FQR which is
      generally not required, but needed for the right to exercise many regulated
      professions. The report recommends that licensing bodies should be required to take
      the ECA assessment as a starting point in the licencing procedure. Thus, assessment
      bodies would focus on confirming the authenticity of diplomas and offer an opinion
      on their equivalence in the Canadian context, while regulators review how the
      educational content and work experience matter for the purpose of licensure.
      The above clearly suggests that more information and guidance is needed, notably
      regarding the distinction between ECA and FQR, and the fact that responsibility for
      occupational regulation rests within the jurisdiction of provinces and territories.
      Applicants should be encouraged to assess whether their desired profession is
      regulated in their preferred region of landing. Furthermore, ECA bodies could
      provide enhanced profession-specific regulatory information and links to other
      existing programmes, and in particular highlight the availability of pre-arrival
      services related to credential recognition.
      A specific problem arises from the fact that there are specific language requirements
      for licensing in some professions which may go beyond those needed for
      immigration purposes. Addressing this is not straightforward, however. Raising the
      bar for migrants in those occupations – e.g. by requiring higher language levels –
      would de facto incite migrants to select other related occupations (or provinces).
      The related option of moving towards an occupation-specific skills assessment, as
      currently done in Australia (see below), would move the Canadian system away
      from the largely skills/supply-driven system that it is today. Providing bonus points
      is a third option. However, this would risk disproportionately channelling migration
      into such occupations.
      As a practical first step, providing immigrants with more information could help to
      ensure that they have necessary documentation with them to gain recognition and
      pass licencing examinations when they land in Canada. Pre-arrival information and
      support could also be more focused in such occupations (Box 2.1).
      A related issue is that at present, regulatory bodies generally do not collect data or
      provide feedback on the information they collect to IRCC. It is hence unclear how
      many immigrants attempt and pass provincial/territorial licencing tests in their
      intended occupation of immigration.
      Finally, apart from a handful of occupations in the skilled trades, there are no
      incentives in the system for candidates intending to work in a regulated profession
      to initiate the licensing process before landing. One such incentive would be to
      award full skill transferability points for all labour immigrants who obtained a
      licence to practise in their regulated profession. However, this would penalise
      candidates who work in such occupations. What is more, under the current system,
       candidates could circumvent this by stating intended occupations which are not
       regulated, or provinces/territories where their occupation is not regulated.
       In any case, initiating the licensing process from outside Canada is often impossible.
       This, however, could be tackled by including a pre-test for likely recognition by
       occupation. A resulting probability scale could be developed according to which
       points are allocated – potentially under the skill transferability points for foreign
       work experience.
       An alternative approach would be to introduce a new temporary visa to enable
       candidates in the Express Entry pool to come to Canada and initiate the recognition
       process. Such a visa for recognition is currently used for example in Germany. Such
       a visa could be attractive for candidates regardless of any points implications, as
       this would enhance their employability in their occupation.
      preparedness for the Canadian work environment. However, the study found no
      significant differences between participants and non-participants in employment-
      related pre-arrival services in terms of difficulties when getting a job that matches
      skills and qualifications in the first three months in Canada. Nevertheless, 45% of
      participants in such pre-arrival services reported it to be difficult or very difficult
      to get their professional credentials and qualifications recognised in contrast to 55%
      among non-participants.
      Overall, a key challenge for IRCC related to pre-arrival service uptake is to reach
      its target audience. Since the expansion of pre-arrival services in April 2015 until
      August 2017, only 8.5% of economic immigrants eligible for pre-arrival services
      received such support. Since October 2017, IRCC sends an automated invitation
      letter to all eligible permanent resident immigrants when they receive a positive
      eligibility decision in their immigration application, but this might be too late in the
      immigration process (IRCC, 2018[32]).
      IRCC’s vision for renewed Pre-Arrival Services Program aims to address
      evaluation recommendations and includes increasing awareness among potential
      clients of the available pre-arrival services and supports through better promotion;
      ensuring easier transitions from pre- to post-arrival in Canada; and creating
      dedicated pathways for service for three key client groups: economic and family
      class immigrants, Francophones, and refugees.
      The renewed programme aims at enhancing the economic and social integration of
      newcomers by: directly connecting clients with the information and services they
      need through a streamlined, easy-to-navigate process; providing pre-arrival
      services to Francophones through a collaborative partnership model; offering
      general, regional and occupation-specific employment services to boost job
      prospects; encouraging newcomers to apply for job licensure before they arrive, if
      needed; and linking clients to federal and provincial settlement services in Canada.
       education systems do not always perform as well as the Canadian one, thus limiting
       transferability.
       A key question is at which stage skills should be best assessed. One the one hand,
       verification further down the application line can be burdensome for applicants (and
       sponsors) who discover misunderstandings at a late stage of the application and
       reduce efficiency if processing officers need to request missing information. On the
       other hand, supporting documents can be costly for applications, and early-stage
       verification can discourage candidates to submit an EOI. When applicants need to
       produce supporting documents at an early stage, such as in the Canadian system,
       they should be allowed to stay in the pool for a relatively long period. Indeed, in
       the case of Canada, candidates stay in the pool for a full year.
       Once drawn from the pool and invited to apply, candidates have 60 days to submit
       an application. The targeted processing time under EE for a permanent residence
       visa to Canada – from submission to final decision – is six months. In 2016 and
       2017, IRCC succeeded in processing 80% of applications in six months or less. In
       2017, IRCC processed 80% of applicants under the FSW and the CEC within four
       months (IRCC, 2018[13]). The combination of automated process and control over
       total numbers of invitations improved application management. The current
       duration is similar to the average processing time of six months in New Zealand
       and slightly faster than the points-tested skilled independent visa in Australia,
       where 75% of applications are processed within seven months.
       Peer systems vary in their requirements for certification and objective assessment
       for entering the pool. In Australia, candidates must have the results of their skills
       assessment (which might involve a fee to the assessing authority) in order to submit
       their EOI. Other claims need to be proven once applicants are invited to apply.
       New Zealand, applicants do not need to include any evidence with their EOI. Once
       the EOI meets the criteria, applicants enter a selection pool. If they are drawn from
       the pool and are invited to apply for NZ permanent residence, they are asked to
       provide the evidence to support their claims made in the EOI.
      The LMIA, which is discussed at length in Chapter three due to its key role in
      managing temporary labour migration, serves to verify integrity of the offered job,
      such as the genuineness of the employer. It also serves as a labour market test, i.e.
      it assesses whether permanent residents or Canadians currently unemployed would
      be available to do the same job.
      Canada’s Express Entry is unique among settlement countries in having a labour
      market test for high-skilled permanent immigration. There are no similar labour
      market tests in New Zealand and in Australia. Indeed, a labour market test – i.e. to
      check whether a particular job could be done also by an unemployed resident – runs
      counter the notion of a largely supply-driven system that does otherwise not intend
      to fill specific labour gaps. It also enhances administrative overhead and slows
      down the process. Obviously, to avoid abuse, there need to be some integrity
      checks. In particular, the genuineness of the job offer needs to be assessed, as is
      also done in peer systems.
      In 2017, only 10% of admissions under EE claimed the bonus 50/200 points for a
      valid job offer, compared with a third in 2016. Out of those admitted in 2017 who
      claimed the bonus points, 43% benefited from an LMIA exemption. Given the
      surprisingly low number of candidates who claim the 50/200 bonus points, it is
      conceivable that many eligible applicants with otherwise sufficient points do not
      bother undergoing the burdensome LMIA process. In fact, a recent survey by IRCC
      (forthcoming[14]) suggests that at the time of admission, 62% of respondents already
      had a job in Canada. Against this evidence, Canada could consider alternatives to
      the LMIA process. Apart from the mentioned integrity checks, one possibility
      would be to differentiate in the points allocated for a job offer between those with
      a LMIA and those without. In such a system, applicants who obtained a
      positive/neutral LMIA receive the full number of points, as do those applicants who
      have a job offer which is LMIA-exempt. In turn, applicants who need a LMIA for
      their job offer to be valid but have not yet obtained one, would receive a lower
      number of points.
      focused on a very specific segment of the labour market where candidates would
      otherwise probably not get selected through EE. IRCC assesses individual
      applicants under this stream with a point grid based on education, experience, age,
      language ability and adaptability. Individuals have to earn 35 out of 100 available
      points to qualify for the programme. The current processing fee including the right
      to permanent residence is CAD 1 540 and the estimated processing time for this
      visa class is 24 months. In 2017, Canada admitted 175 principal applicants under
      this programme, most of them destined to Ontario.
      The Start-Up Visa Program, launched as a five-year pilot programme in April 2013
      and made permanent in March 2018, aims to attract foreign innovators to contribute
      to the Canadian economy and facilitate entry of entrepreneurs who actively pursue
      business ventures in Canada. During the five year duration of the pilot, IRCC
      accepted 132 entrepreneurs and their spouses and dependants for permanent
      residence (IRCC, 2018[12]).
      Individuals applying to the Start-Up Visa Program must secure a commitment from
      a designated Canadian business incubator, angel investor group or venture capital
      fund to support their business concept. They further need to prove language skills
      equivalent to CLB 5 in English or French, possess a certain ownership share in their
      business, and bring enough money to settle, currently CAD 12 475 for a single
      applicant. The current processing fee including the right to permanent residence is
      CAD 1 540, and the estimated processing time for this visa class is 12 to 16 months.
      An IRCC evaluation of the initial pilot of the programme from 2016 fund that the
      programme admitted entrepreneurs with greater human capital than previously,
      who are actively pursuing innovative businesses in Canada. The majority of
      businesses related to software development (in education, finance, and social
      media) as well as other technology segments. The evaluation also found that the
      Start-Up Visa immigrants are younger, higher educated and have better language
      skills than the participants of the previous entrepreneur programme (IRCC,
      2016[39]). However, their total number is small.
      Due to the termination of the investor and the entrepreneur classes, the number of
      labour immigrants (i.e. principal applicants) landing via business classes has
      declined and in 2017, contributed less than 2% of labour immigrants in that year.
      As outset in the 2018-20 Immigration Levels Plan, Canada plans to further reduce
      the number of individuals admitted under these programmes, for each of the years
      2018, 2019 and 2020 to a target of just 700 persons (IRCC, 2017[22]). This number
      includes labour immigrants themselves, as well as their spouses and dependants.
      Pilot programmes
      A key feature of Canada’s approach to migration management is to constantly
      develop and test new and innovative approaches. Ministerial Instructions establish
      so-called “pilot programmes”, which are in some cases made permanent; in others,
      they end after a pre-defined period. There were several such programmes in recent
      years, in addition to the Start-up pilot mentioned in the previous section. Since the
      end of November 2014, the Caring for Children and Caring for People with High
       Medical Needs pilot programmes offer a pathway to permanent residence after two
       years of Canadian work experience in specific caring occupations, effectively
       replacing the Live-in Caregiver Program (Chapter 3). These are now being replaced
       by two other caregiver pilots. In addition, two recent pilot programmes focus on
       specific demographic and labour market-related challenges. The first is the Atlantic
       Immigration Pilot Program (AIP), an employer-driven five-year pilot, established
       in March 2017 to attract and retain skilled immigrants in Atlantic Canada. The Rural
       and Northern Immigration Pilot Program announced in January 2019, is a five-year
       community-driven pilot to attract economic immigrants to settle in rural areas
       within Ontario, the Canadian western provinces and northern territories
       (Chapter 4).
Conclusion
       Canada’s new selection system, Express Entry, is arguably the most elaborate
       selection system in the OECD. It greatly enhanced flexibility and operates a refined
       selection along a continuum of points. A key innovation is that it credits the positive
       interaction of several simultaneously existing characteristics of labour migrants.
       While Express Entry is complex, the selection itself is transparent. It allows for an
       inclusion of the provinces and territories in selection and for setting minimum
       standards for federal labour migrants across the country. Express Entry also
       eliminated the backlog of applications and greatly quickened visa processing for
       selected immigrants.
       Canada has an elaborate monitoring and assessment system. This allowed for an
       early assessment and quick reaction to address initial shortcomings. The overall
       positive assessment notwithstanding, a key remaining shortcoming of the system is
       the separate entry pathways, which were all designed prior to Express Entry and are
       not fully consistent under the new system. Having one single entry grid with core
       criteria would thus enhance consistency and reduce the current complexity.
       Foreign credential recognition is a key challenge in a system that bases heavy
       weight on formal skills, as is the case in Canada. This is further exacerbated by the
       country’s federal nature, with decentralised responsibilities for credential
       recognition. Addressing this is not straightforward. While better information and
       data exchange within Canada and awareness-raising among potential candidates are
       first steps, additional incentives would be an important element in a strategy to
       make sure that candidates in regulated professions can effectively work in their
       occupations. One promising option in this respect could be specific visa for foreign
       credential recognition.
       The system is complemented by a number of pilot programmes, allowing Canada
       to test new approaches to economic challenges such as attracting entrepreneurs,
       attracting labour migrants to particular regions, and settling and retaining migrants
       in rural areas.
       Finally, the Expression of Interest system is complemented by a number of business
       and economic pilot programmes, allowing Canada to test new approaches to
Notes
        1 Professionals and skilled administrators required 52 points, applicants for technical streams 47 and those for
        trades 45 points. This idea of a class dependent entry grid still partly exists in today’s system, through the
        Federal Skilled Trades Programme.
        2In 2008, an amendment (the C-50 Bill) delegated power to the Minister for Immigration to periodically set
        qualifiers for admission through Ministerial Instructions. The amendments to the Immigration and Refugee
        Protection Act (IRPA) was made through Bill C-50 (the Budget Implementation Act), which came into effect
        on February 27, 2008. Hence, all federal skilled workers processed from 2008 are categorised as C-50 and those
        who applied earlier as pre C-50.
        3 In case more than one candidate meets the final pass mark, the system selects those who earlier submitted
        their profile into the pool
        4The    CRS-score (Comprehensive Ranking System) is also referred to as the ITA-score (Invitation to Apply).
        5 For instance, an Express Entry applicant who is interested in working in British Columbia, must also meet
        requirements for one of the Express Entry PN British Columbia (EEBC) programs such as the EEBC — Health
        Care Professional programme that targets health workers like doctors and nurses.
        6   Candidates nominated by a province or territory are always invited as a Provincial Nominee.
        7   About 3% of admissions under EE in the two main streams (FSW and CEC) in 2017 were aged 45 and above.
        8 Currently 176 skilled occupations are eligible for this visa programme and candidates must submit a skill
        assessment prepared by the relevant body for each profession.
        9   30 hours or more paid work per week
        10 The CLB is a descriptive scale of language ability on a continuum of 12 benchmarks across three stages:
        CLB 1-4 (Basic), CLB 5-8 (Intermediate) and CLB 9-12 (advanced). It assesses language ability in four core
        competences (reading, writing, speaking and listening). Within each level, learners progress from initial, to
        developing, to adequate, to fluent ability (CIC, 2012[40]). CLB 1 to CLB 4 qualify a basic user of the language,
        who can understand and communicate in simple and routine tasks. CLB level 5 to 8 describe an intermediate
        language ability that allows for fuller participation in a wider variety of contexts. It is the range of abilities
        required to function independently in most familiar situations of daily social, educational and work-related life
        experience, and in some less predictable contexts. A CLB 7 denotes an adequate intermediate ability whereas
        CLB 8 refers to a fluent intermediate ability.10 A CLB 9 and higher verifies a proficient language user.
        Applicants can check how their CELPIP, IELTS and TEF scores translate into CLB levels using language test
        equivalency charts on the website of IRCC (IRCC, 2018[41]).
        11FST applicants need a certificate of qualification in the skilled trade issued by a Canadian or territorial
        authority, or, alternatively, a full-time employment offer in an eligible trade occupation for at least one year.
        12Prior to introduction of Express Entry, the minimum points required for selection under the FSW program
        was also 67 points.
        13If the territory or province where an applicants under the FST class wants to live and work does not give
        Certificates of Qualification in their trade the applicants must have a qualifying job offer in their trade from an
        Canadian Employer.
        14 As a term of reference for the following explanations, the minimum CRS-score in all non-programme-specific
      18Numbers discussed here are for individuals without a spouse or common law partner. The tables in the
      appendix include detailed numbers for applicants with and without a spouse or common-law partner.
      19   In 2016, 7% of spouses and dependants of labour immigrants received such support.
      20Such NOC 00 migrants tend to be very highly paid. In 2015 and 2016, all labour immigrants filing income
      under a NOC 00 occupation had pre-landing experience. Further, all among those landed in 2015 and the
      majority of those landed in 2016 –despite potentially not having a full year of income– declared an income of
      over CAD 100 000, more than three times the Canadian median of CAD 33 300 in 2016.
      21Alberta introduced its EE-linked PN stream in June 2018 but until the end of October 2018 had not invited
      provincial nominees via EE, yet.
      22Apart from one programme specific draw in February 2015, when IRCC issued 849 ITA under the CEC,
      Express Entry never invited specific rounds of only FSW or only CEC applicants. It has however issued in
      several rounds invitations specifically for the FSTs and PN-programmes.
      23 One additional difference that should be looked into is the required proof of funding under the different
      categories.
      24   Though only proven for English ability among men)
      25Due to the time lag between receiving and invitation to apply to submitting an application (60 days), the
      numbers refer to all candidates in the pool since the start of Express Entry in January 2015 until October 2018.
      When interpreting the numbers it should be noted that IRCC changed the sorting category of applicants into
      CEC instead of FSW which might impact the probability to land in these categories.
      26   This is also the case for education and knowledge of official languages.
      27   Remuneration at or above NZD 50 per hour (or the equivalent annual salary).
      28In New Zealand, SkillFinder matches the profiles of candidates who are interest in migration to New Zealand
      and sign up to the portal “New Zealand Now” with vacancies that employers register in SkillFinder.
      29   In May 2014, the cap was renewed to allow for 8 000 applications per year under the CEC.
      30 The occupations were: cooks (NOC 6322); food service supervisors (NOC 6311); administrative officers
      (NOC 1221); administrative assistants (NOC 1241); accounting technicians and bookkeepers (NOC 1311); and
      retail sales supervisors (NOC 6211).
      31   A Canadian degree, diploma or certificate does not require an assessment.
      32For physicians (NOC 3111 or NOC 3112), the Medical Council of Canada must do the ECA for the primary
      medical diploma and for Pharmacists (NOC 3131) who need a licence to practice, the Pharmacy Examining
      Board of Canada must do the assessment.
      33In fact, FQR licensing bodies regularly disagree with the equivalencies drawn by ECA organisations. This is
      one reason why some professional organisations are becoming ECA organisations – so they can better control
      equivalencies and potentially streamline professional certifications.
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   Immigrants Who Were Former Skilled Temporary Foreign Workers in Canada”,
   International Migration Review, p. imre.12310, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/imre.12310.
 Hou, F. and Y. Lu (2017), “International students, immigration and earnings growth: the effect   [26]
   of a pre-immigration host-country university education”, IZA Journal of Development and
   Migration, Vol. 7/1, p. 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40176-017-0091-5.
 Imai, S., D. Stacey and C. Warman (2018), “From Engineer to Taxi Driver? Language                [20]
   Proficiency and the Occupational Skills of Immigrants”, Working Papers,
   https://ideas.repec.org/p/rye/wpaper/wp040.html.
 IRCC (2018), Notice – Supplementary Information 2019-2021 Immigration Levels Plan -              [23]
   Canada.ca, http://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-
   citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2019.html (accessed on
   24 January 2019).
 IRCC (2017), Notice – Supplementary Information 2018-2020 Immigration Levels Plan -              [22]
   Canada.ca, https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-
   citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2018.html (accessed on
   17 September 2018).
 Johnson, K. and B. Baumal (2016), Improving Pre-Arrival Information Uptake for                   [36]
    Internationally Educated Professionals,
    http://media.wix.com/ugd/aa01fe_3a4408b9b0814ed4938a389c2ae37538.pdf (accessed on
    13 September 2018).
 Li, Q. and A. Sweetman (2013), The Quality of Immigrant Source Country Educational               [24]
     Outcomes: Do they Matter in the Receiving Country?, Centre for Research and Analysis of
     Migration Department of Economics, University College London, http://t.cream-
     migration.org/publ_uploads/CDP_32_13.pdf (accessed on 13 September 2018).
 New Zealand Government, M. (2019), Points Indicator for Skilled Migrant Expression of             [9]
   Interest | Immigration New Zealand, http://www.immigration.govt.nz/new-zealand-
   visas/apply-for-a-visa/tools-and-information/tools/points-indicator-smc-28aug# (accessed on
   22 January 2019).
 OECD (2019), OECD Employment Outlook 2019: The Future of Work, OECD Publishing, Paris,           [29]
   https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9ee00155-en.
 OECD (2019), OECD Skills Outlook 2019 : Thriving in a Digital World, OECD Publishing,            [28]
   Paris, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/df80bc12-en.
 OECD (2018), Recruiting Immigrant Workers: Australia 2018, Recruiting Immigrant Workers,          [5]
   OECD Publishing, Paris, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264288287-en.
 OECD (2014), Recruiting Immigrant Workers: New Zealand 2014, Recruiting Immigrant                 [8]
   Workers, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264215658-en.
 OECD (2013), “The fiscal impact of immigration in OECD countries”, in International               [7]
   Migration Outlook 2013, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888932822921.
 OECD/EU (2018), Settling In 2018: Indicators of Immigrant Integration, OECD Publishing,          [11]
   Paris/EU, Brussels, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264307216-en.
 OECD/EU (2015), Indicators of Immigrant Integration 2015: Settling In, OECD Publishing,       [34]
   Paris, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264234024-en.
 OECD/EU (2014), Matching Economic Migration with Labour Market Needs, OECD                    [19]
   Publishing, Paris, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264216501-en.
 Statistics Canada (2019), Table 43-10-0009-01. Immigrant Income by admission year and years   [38]
    since admission, Canada and provinces.
 Warman, C., A. Sweetman and G. Goldmann (2015), “The Portability of New Immigrants’           [21]
   Human Capital: Language, Education, and Occupational Skills”, Canadian Public Policy,
   Vol. 41/Supplement 1, pp. S64-S79, http://dx.doi.org/10.3138/cpp.2013-055.
       Official languages proficiency - second official language                  With a spouse or common-law            Without a spouse or common-
       Maximum points for each ability (reading, writing, speaking and             partner Maximum 22 points                 law partner Maximum
       listening):                                                                                                                 24 points
       6 with a spouse or common-law partner (up to a combined
       maximum of 22 points)
       6 without a spouse or common-law partner (up to a combined
       maximum of 24 points)
       CLB 4 or less                                                                           0                                      0
       CLB 5 or 6                                                                              1                                      1
       CLB 7 or 8                                                                              3                                      3
       CLB 9 or more                                                                           6                                      6
       Canadian work experience                                                   With a spouse or common-law           Without a spouse or common-
                                                                                   partner Maximum 70 points                law partner Maximum
                                                                                                                                  80 points
       None or less than a year                                                                 0                                     0
       1 year                                                                                  35                                    40
       2 years                                                                                 46                                    53
       3 years                                                                                 56                                    64
       4 years                                                                                 63                                    72
       5 years or more                                                                         70                                    80
       Subtotal - Core / human capital factors                                          Out of 460 points                     Out of 500 points
       Spouse or common-law partner factors (if applicable)                       With spouse or common-law             Without spouse or common-
                                                                                 partner - number of points per         law partner (does not apply)
                                                                                             factor
       Spouse’s or common-law partner’s level of education                             Maximum 10 points
       Less than secondary school (high school)                                                 0
       Secondary school (high school graduation)                                                2
       One-year program at a university, college, trade or technical school,                    6
       or other institute
       Two-year program at a university, college, trade or technical in                           7
       school, or other institute
       Bachelor's degree OR a three or more year program at a university,                         8
       college, trade or technical school, or other institute
       Two or more certificates, diplomas, or degrees. One must be for a                          9
       program of three or more years
       Master's degree, or professional degree needed to practice in a                           10
       licensed profession (For “professional degree”, the degree program
       must have been in: medicine, veterinary medicine, dentistry,
       optometry, law, chiropractic medicine, or pharmacy.)
       Doctoral level university degree (PhD)                                                 10
       Spouse’s or common-law partner’s official languages proficiency -                Maximum 20 points
       first official language
       Reading, writing, speaking and listening– total points for each ability
       Max per each ability                                                                          5
       CLB 4 or less                                                                                 0
       CLB 5 or 6                                                                                    1
       CLB 7 or 8                                                                                    3
       CLB 9 or more                                                                                 5
       Canadian work experience                                                            Maximum 10 points
       None or less than a year                                                                      0
       1 year                                                                                        5
       2 years                                                                                       7
       3 years                                                                                       8
       4 years                                                                                       9
       5 years or more                                                                              10
       Skill Transferability factors                                                                Maximum 100 points for this section
                                     Education                                                         Maximum 50 points for Education
       With good official language proficiency and a post-secondary degree                                   Maximum 50 points
                                                                                    Points for CLB 7 or more on all      Points for CLB 9 or more on all
                                                                                 first official language abilities, one      four first official language
                                                                                             or more under 9                            abilities
       Secondary school (high school) credential or less                                             0                                      0
       Post-secondary program credential of one year or longer                                      13                                     25
       This chapter describes and analyses the two streams via which temporary labour
       migrants come to Canada: the Temporary Foreign Worker (TFW) Program and the
       International Mobility Program (IMP). It also looks at a specific sub-group of
       temporary immigrants — international students — who since 2014 enjoy extended
       working rights. The chapter outlines how the labour-market-tested TFW Program,
       has become rather tightly managed and has continuously declined in overall
       numbers while the IMP has grown substantially. It also discusses some specific
       elements of the system, such as the policies for caregivers and, more generally, the
       role of two-step (temporary to permanent) migration in international comparison.
       The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli
       authorities. The use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights,
       East Jerusalem and Israeli settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law.
      A key objective of temporary labour migration is to fill labour shortages that are
      often concentrated in certain sectors and regions and – as the name suggests –
      temporary in nature. In Canada, there are not only temporary labour migrants who
      are admitted for such purposes, but also a wide range of temporary migrants with
      working rights (such as researchers) coming under multiple programmes for
      varying durations and purposes.
      While in principle, a labour market test is required for temporary labour migrants
      to ensure that Canadian or permanent residents are not available to fill an open
      position, numerous exemptions apply. In particular, about three in four temporary
      migrants to Canada with working rights are admitted because their presence
      provides broader economic, cultural or other competitive advantages for Canada,
      or because Canadians/permanent residents enjoy the same benefits in their country
      of origin. The admissions of these migrants is not linked to labour market needs –
      and thereby not labour-market-tested. Of these, about two-thirds receive open work
      permits, and information on their activities is scarce. As a result, a large and
      growing number of individuals in Canada have open work permits over which very
      little oversight and hence analysis is currently possible. At the same time,
      procedures for labour market tested programmes have become complex and are
      now tightly regulated, leading to an overall decline in new inflows under these
      streams.
      Canada traditionally had clearly separated pathways for temporary and permanent
      labour migration. This is gradually changing, and onshore transitions are
      increasingly common. In most low-skilled occupations however, transitions are still
      rare, as these migrants can essentially only pass through provincial nominations.
      Other programmes, such as those in the caregiving sector, have a longstanding dual
      intent with a built-in transition to permanent residence, subject to a number of
      requirements.
      Though not generally viewed as temporary labour migrants, a key group to consider
      in this context are international students. Their working rights during study have
      greatly expanded in recent years, and Canada also provides them with comparably
      favourable options to stay and work after graduation. International students are also
      a key source of future permanent labour migrants, benefitting from a selection
      system that values Canadian credentials and experience.
         Note: Data excludes renewals and temporary migration under mobility agreements, such as posted workers
         (intra-EU/EFTA).
         Source: OECD Migration Database 2018 (https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=MIG) and OECD
         Labour Force Database 2018 (https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=ALFS_SUMTAB).
                    The foreign national applies for their work permit, is eligible and no prohibiting factors?
                                                no              yes
                      Refusal                                                         Work permit approved
       Note: Under the TFW Program, many employers are exempted from paying the CAD 1 000 fee; for example,
       positions under the TFW Program's Agriculture Stream.
       *If the applicant is exempt from the requirement to pay the work permit processing fee, he/she will be exempt
       from the requirement to pay the open work permit holder fee. If the applicant is exempt from the requirement
       to pay the work permit processing fee, the employer will be exempt from the requirement to pay the open work
       permit holder fee.
       Source: OECD Secretariat with data from IRCC.
       Over the last 20 years, there has been a strong increase in temporary work permits.
       Numbers tripled from around 110 000 permits in 1998 to close to 340 000 in 2018
       – a number equivalent to about 1% of the Canadian population.5 In particular, the
       number of temporary migrants under the IMP reached unprecedented levels. They
       accounted for three-quarters of work permits issued to temporary labour migrants
       in 2018 (Figure 3.3). When considering only initial work permits for work purposes
      in 2018, over 82% were issued under the IMP and only 18% under the TFW
      Program, as most permits under the latter are renewals – especially for returning
      agricultural workers.
        Figure 3.3. Work permit holders by year in which permit(s) became effective and
                                 programme (%), 1998-2018
                                Total numbers (left) and share by programme (right)
                        Total          Labour market tested (TFWP)        Not labour market tested (IMP)
       350,000                                                                                             100
                                                                                                           90
       300,000
                                                                                                           80
       250,000                                                                                             70
       200,000                                                                                             60
                                                                                                           50
       150,000                                                                                             40
       100,000                                                                                             30
                                                                                                           20
        50,000
                                                                                                           10
             0                                                                                             0
Source: IRCC online data based on Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, 2018.
      For both wage streams, the employer needs to provide details about the job offer,
      such as job responsibilities, location, working hours, pay and benefits. As part of
      the LMIA, labour market impacts of the employment of the foreign temporary
      worker are also assessed. For “low-wage” positions, a cap applies to limit the
      number of low-wage TFWs hired by the same employer at a particular location to
      a maximum of 10% of the total staff or 20% for employers who employed
      temporary foreign workers in the six weeks prior to June 20, 2014, though there are
      some exemptions.10 In addition, employers cannot hire TFWs in certain low wage
      occupations11 requiring little or no education, in the accommodation and food
      services sectors, or in the retail trade industries, when the unemployment rate in the
      economic region in question is 6% or higher. “High-wage” positions are not capped,
      but require a transition plan, outlining steps employers will take to transition to a
      domestic workforce.
      Further changes in 2014 for obtaining an LMIA stipulated that employers must
      advertise vacancies for four consecutive weeks – instead of two previously. One
      channel for doing so is Canada’s national online platform “Job Bank”, which
      connects job seekers with job openings. It also provides a wide range of labour
      market information, including the median wage of an occupation by province or
      territory. As of August 2017, employers (with some exceptions) seeking access to
      the “high-wage” and “low-wage” streams of the TFW Program are required to
      advertise on Canada’s Job Bank and subscribe to the Job Match alert service for at
      least four consecutive weeks as part of their advertising requirements. Employers
      also have to demonstrate their efforts to recruit Canadian/permanent residents (see
      below). The required duration of advertisement is at the high end of the scale
      compared to other OECD countries (Figure 3.4).
           Figure 3.4. Duration of the advertising period in the labour market test for
                       temporary labour migration permits, in days, 2018
 35
 30
 25
 20
 15
 10
  5
                None
  0
       “Job Match” – a feature of Job Bank – allows employers to see the profiles of
       registered Canadian job seekers who correspond to the skills profile outlined in their
       job postings. Jobseekers who provide an email address in their online application
       for employment insurance are automatically sent an email to subscribe to Job Match
       alerts. Depending on how well they match the employment offer, job seekers
       receive a one out of five star rating on Job Bank. Employers are required to invite
       all job seekers matched within four consecutive weeks of the job advertisement to
       apply for the position if they are rated four stars or more under a “high-wage”
       scenario, or two stars or more under a “low-wage” scenario.
       An enhanced policy on recruitment processes was put in place in August 2017 to
       further ensure that Canadian citizens and permanent residents are considered first
       and foremost for available jobs. Employers seeking to hire temporary foreign
       workers in “low-wage” occupations (with some exceptions) must now demonstrate
       that they have made efforts to recruit from two or more underrepresented groups
       that face barriers to employment (i.e., Indigenous people, vulnerable youth, persons
       with disabilities, and newcomers) before they can apply to the “low-wage” stream.
       Previously, employers were required to demonstrate efforts to recruit from a single
       underrepresented group.
       Temporary foreign workers under the TFW Program today can be grouped into the
       “high-wage” positions Stream, the “low-wage” positions Stream, the Global Talent
       Stream and the Primary Agriculture Stream (Figure 3.2). The Primary Agriculture
       stream is currently divided into four sub-streams: The Seasonal Agricultural
       Worker Program (SAWP), the Agricultural sub-stream, the High-Wage sub-stream,
       and the Low-Wage sub-stream. The primary agriculture stream’s High- and Low-
       Wage sub-streams are not to be confused with the “high-” and “low-wage” under
       the broader TFW Program. The seasonal SAWP, where the temporary foreign
       worker is a national of Mexico or participating Caribbean countries, is by far the
       largest programme accounting for about three-quarters of permits issued over the
       last decade. However, in 2018, initial permits – those not issued to returning
       workers – under the other streams accounted for around two-thirds of permits
       issued. This suggests that while the absolute new intake of the SAWP increased
       modestly, the growth of the agricultural programmes between 2015-18 was driven
       by a larger intake under these other seasonal and non-seasonal programmes (Figure
       3.5).
                        Mexico
                                                             All Countries
                       Caribbean
      Note: The primary agriculture stream’s High- and Low-wage Streams are not to be confused with the “high-”
      and “low-wage” under the broader TFW Program.
      Source: ESDC (2019[5]).
      Since the termination of the Live-in Caregiver Program (LCP) in 2014, newly
      arriving immigrants working in caregiving occupations are part of the regular
      “high-” or “low-wage” streams. Overall, with the 2014 restructuring of the TFW
      Program, the number of work permits issued decreased significantly although there
      was a slight rise in 2018, driven by increases in the agricultural stream (Figure 3.6).
      Work permits can be valid for differing durations. Participants under the SAWP
      – about two-thirds of all agricultural workers in 2018 – have to leave Canada by the
      15th of December each year and can only return the following year. The duration of
      a work permit for “low-wage” workers outside of caregiving occupations12 has been
      set at a maximum of one year. This makes – where applicable – an annual renewal
      necessary. For “high-wage” workers, the duration is a maximum of two years. At
      the same time, since December 2016, temporary foreign workers can remain and
      work in Canada as long as they have a valid visa/work permit.13
Figure 3.6. TFW Program permit holders with permit(s) by sign year, 2009-18
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
            0
                  2009       2010      2011     2012      2013     2014       2015     2016      2017         2018
       Note: Numbers show individual work permit holders by programme with a permit signed in the given year. The
       Live-in Caregiver Program (LCP) ended in 2014 and foreign caregivers under the 2014 caregiver pilots take
       part in the regular LMIA tested programmes. Data excludes a small number of other TFW Program holders.
       Source: OECD Secretariat calculations based on data from IRCC.
      Note: Employers can be banned from the TFW Program in the case of previous non-compliance.
      Source: ESDC's Resource Determination Model (RDM).
      It is not clear why this cumbersome process of a transition plan is in place for “high-
      wage” jobs. Most OECD countries favour rather than discourage recruitment of
      high skilled temporary migrants. In addition, the bulk of temporary high-skilled
      employees come via the LMIA-exempt IMP which is discussed below. Under this
      programme, no labour market test is required. Imposing a transition plan including
      a CAD 1 000 fee for this group of temporary workers clearly incentivises
      employers to find ways to switch to the non-labour market tested IMP. Changes in
      volumes of the IMP in recent years suggest that this might indeed be the case.14
      Market Benefits Plan that outlines their measurable commitments to create lasting
      benefits for the Canadian labour market through activities such as job creation,
      investment in training and skills for Canadians and permanent residents, and increased
      diversity in the workforce. Progress Reviews of these Labour Market Benefits Plans
      on an annual cycle help identify and measure progress on these commitments, and all
      employers returning to the Stream will have their existing Plan reviewed and may be
      requested to amend or expand existing commitments to make the benefits
      commensurate with their usage of the Stream. The GTS requires employers to pay and
      at least annually adjust the wage to temporary foreign workers ensuring equivalent
      wages to Canadian/permanent resident employees hired for the same job and work
      location, and with similar skills and years of experience. Under both categories,
      additional salary thresholds apply. These LMIAs and the subsequent work permit
      applications benefit from priority processing17. Spouses and partners of skilled workers
      arriving in Canada under this Strategy can get expedited work permits to further their
      own careers, ensuring that all family members are welcomed together.
      As of June 2019, more than 1 300 Canadian companies, representing every province,
      have used the GTS and since implementation in June 2017 over 23 900 work permit
      applications were processed under the GSS. In addition, over 160 employers making
      job-creating investments in Canada have also been referred to IRCC’s Dedicated
      Service Channel, a pillar of the GSS. In 2018, the majority of permits that became
      effective were open employment authorisations followed by computer and information
      systems professionals as well as university professors and lecturers.
      In 2018, over 80% of new work permits under the GSS were completed within 19 days,
      while those highly skilled professionals who did not benefit from this accelerated
      processing needed to wait three times as long (56 days). Work permit extensions for
      high-skilled level work permits took longer, close to three months (87 days) to
      complete 80% of cases.
      Applications for work permit renewal from within Canada are not eligible for faster
      processing under the GSS. If a temporary resident applies for renewal of his/her work
      permit from within the country and their permit expires before a decision is made, they
      benefit from “implied” status and may continue working under the same conditions as
      their work permit, pending a decision being taken on their application for renewal, as
      long as they remain in Canada.
       The fact that foreign workers are bound to their employers appears to be motivated
       at least in part by relatively high costs of recruitment faced by the latter. At the same
       time, the employer-specific work permit limits bargaining power of the temporary
       foreign worker, making them dependent on the compliance of their employer. If an
       employer is found non-compliant and banned, an employee risks losing their
       permit.18 This does not only seriously limit the incentives to report non-compliant
       employers but also potentially puts employees at risk of exploitation and abuse
       (Nakache and Kinoshita, 2010[2]; Caruso, 2018[6]). However, the degree to which
       this is actually the case is not known.
       Other OECD countries have introduced provisions to limit the risks for temporary
       labour migrants in the case of non-compliant employers. In New Zealand, for
       instance, temporary foreign workers can continue to work for a non-compliant
       employer for as long as their visa remains valid but cannot renew their visa. In
       Korea, temporary workers (under the E-9 programme) are allowed three voluntary
       changes of employers over the course of their employment period (within the same
       sector and among authorised employers) but changes that became necessary due to
       circumstances beyond their control (such as, an annulation of the contract) do not
       count towards this number. An alternative, providing for more flexibility, would be
       to link temporary permits and the labour market test to occupations and/or certain
       provinces, rather than specific employers.
       As employer-specific work permits limit mobility of the migrant worker concerned,
       Canada announced in May 2019 a new policy for vulnerable migrant workers who
       are at risk of abuse in the workplace. These temporary foreign workers can apply
       for a specific “open work permit for vulnerable workers” which is LMIA-exempt
       and entails the possibility to obtain authorisation to work for another employer.19
       …and processing times for renewals are high, as are refusal rates
       While permits under the GTS benefit from accelerated treatment, processing times
       for permits under regular temporary high-skilled migration have increased.
       Processing times vary depending on the type of application submitted; they are
       updated weekly and also made publicly available. Processing times for initial high-
      skilled work permits were, in 2018, about five times longer than those for permits
      under the low-skilled category. For renewals of permits, where applicants benefit
      from “implied” status, processing times were much longer, and there was no
      difference between higher- and lower-skilled in terms of duration (Table 3.4).
      Note: Data excludes Agricultural and Live in Caregiver Program. Processing times refer to the number of days
      in which 80% of complete applications received were finalised by IRCC.
      Source: IRCC (CICEDW/EDW), February 2019.
      Refusals for labour market tested work visas are common. In 2018, one-third of all
      work permit applications under the TFW Program (excluding agriculture and Live-
      in Caregiver programmes) were refused (Table 3.4); rates were slightly higher for
      low- than high-skilled occupations. In particular, renewals of work permits were
      more often declined than approved. However, this is driven entirely by the fact that
      virtually all applications that did not state the intended occupation were refused,
      and this share was higher for renewals. It is not clear to what extent applicants are
      aware of this procedure as in all years considered here, 2015 to 2018, about a quarter
      of issued applications (excluding withdrawals) did not state the intended
      occupation.
                 High- and low-skilled TFW Program work permits, initial permits and renewal
                                                             2015           2016          2017          2018
       Work Permit                                           18%            20%           22%           23%
       Higher-Skilled                                         7%             7%           12%           11%
       Lower-skilled                                         14%            17%           17%           15%
       NOC is not defined                                    98%            97%           98%           96%
       Work Permit – Renewals                                55%            58%           52%           56%
       Higher-Skilled                                        10%            11%            6%            7%
       Lower-skilled                                         15%            14%            7%            7%
       NOC is not defined                                    99%            99%           99%           99%
       Total                                                 37%            36%           31%           33%
      Note: Data excluded Agricultural and Live in Caregiver Program. Refusal rates exclude applications
      withdrawn.
      Source: IRCC (CICEDW/EDW) March 2019.
            Table 3.5. Completed TFW Program inspections, by fiscal year and outcome
                       Satisfactory (no    Employer
                                                                             No Decision
        Fiscal Year      correction        correction      Non-compliant                          Total
                                                                              Entered
                          required)         required
       2015-16               748              392               0                38               1 180
       2016-17              1 752            1 101              1                80               2 938
       2017-18              1 057            1 086              32               45               2 214
       2018-19               606              483               66               86               1 241
       (19 March)
       Total                4 163            3 062              99               249              7 573
       Note: Data by fiscal year, and outcome April 1, 2015 to March 19, 2019. The data excludes the Live-in
       Caregiver Program and Primary Agriculture programmes.
       Source: Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC)’s Foreign Worker System (FWS) and/or the
       National Integrity Investigation System (NIIS) and/or the Integrity Case Management System (ICMS).
           Figure 3.7. Over a third of long-time care workers in Canada are foreign-born
               Percentage share of foreign-born among the LTC workforce in 2015 (or nearest year)
   80
   70
   60
   50
   40
   30
   20
   10
    0
        Note: OECD and EU are the unweighted averages of the 19 and 12 countries shown in the chart. EU-Labour
        Force survey data are based on ISCO 4 digit and NACE 2 digit.1-Data are based on ISCO 3 digit and NACE
        2 digit. 2-Data must be interpreted with caution, as sample sizes are small. Census 2016 for Canada.
        Source: OECD (forthcoming[7]).
        The Live-in Caregiver Program (LCP) established in 199223 was closed to new
        applications in 2014. For over two decades, it allowed temporary labour immigrants
        working in the caregiving sector to apply for permanent residency as economic class
        immigrants within three (and after 2010 four) years of arrival in Canada, once they
        had completed at least two years of full-time caregiving work. These employees
        usually lived and worked in private households caring for children, seniors or
        people with disabilities.
        Participants in the LCP required only the equivalent of a Canadian high-school
        diploma and six months’ full-time training or 12 months’ paid work experience as
        a caregiver within the last five years prior to admission. LCs needed a positive
        LMIA from ESDC to ensure no Canadians or permanent residents were available
        to take the position. While initially, most LCPs transitioning to permanent residency
        were principal applicants, from the mid-2000s onwards, up to one in two permanent
        residents admitted under this immigration class were spouses and dependants
        (Figure 3.8).
25000 25
20000 20
15000 15
10000 10
5000 5
0 0
       Note: 2016-18 data might include small numbers of individuals admitted under the new caregiver classes.
       Source: OECD Secretariat calculations based on data from IRCC.
      more closely align with the approach of selecting economic immigrants on the basis
      of their ability to become economically established in Canada.
      While the LCP only required high school education, the minimum education
      requirement had been raised to at least one-year Canadian post-secondary credential
      or equivalent under the 2014 caregiver pilots. In addition, applicants needed to
      prove language skills equivalent to CLB 5 for the Caring for Children and a varying
      minimum language level for a job under the Caring for People with High Medical
      Needs programme. The latter could be as high as CLB 7, depending on the specific
      requirements of the various occupations under the second programme. Since
      December 2017, families or individuals who hired a caregiver to care for persons
      who require assistance due to physical or mental condition, and to provide child
      care for individuals and families with an income below CAD 150 000 per year,
      have been exempted from paying the CAD 1 000 LMIA-fee. However, and in
      contrast to seasonal agricultural jobs, caregiving jobs still had to be advertised on
      Job Bank for four consecutive weeks. Employer-specific work permits were issued
      for two years to caregivers. Given that there has often been a time interval between
      arrival and taking up the job, this often implied a renewal to allow transitioning to
      permanent residence.
      Both pilot programmes allowed for a capped number of permanent residence
      applications to be received by IRCC for processing annually (2 750 under each
      programme as for all immigration classes established through Ministerial
      Instructions). However, and in contrast to their predecessor, the 2014 caregiver
      pilots were under-subscribed. In 2017, Canada admitted only 1 875 economic
      immigrants as caregivers under the new programmes (principal applicants and their
      dependants), compared with combined cap of 5 500 principal applicants alone
      (IRCC, 2018[8]).
      While a report by the Canadian Bar Association suggested that the reason for the
      low take-up were the enhanced education and language requirement (Caruso,
      2018[6]), data on caregivers’ education characteristics do not support this idea. In
      2014, about 62% of principal applicants admitted as permanent residents under the
      LCP in that year (over 7 000 out of 11 320 for whom this data is available) had at
      least a Bachelor’s degree. This stands in sharp contrast to the 1990s, where only
      about 5% of caregivers had such a degree (Kelly et al., 2011[9]). However, already
      in 2007 the share of caregivers holding a Bachelor’s degree and above had risen to
      above 60%, suggesting that the trend towards higher qualification of caregivers
      started prior to the introduction of the pilot programmes. It is nevertheless unclear
      to what extent the language requirements might have prevented caregivers to
      qualify for the two pilot streams.
      A second reason for under-subscription outlined in the report might be alternative
      pathways for caregivers. They may qualify for the PT-programmes as well as for
      the federal high-skilled programmes under Express Entry (Caruso, 2018[6]). For
      example, higher-skilled caregivers (NOC 3012 and 3233) can also qualify for the
      CEC, and several provinces have specific programmes to attract individuals in
      caregiving occupations. Such alternative channels have the advantage for the
       migrant that they are permanent from the start, and thereby allow not only for full
       occupational mobility after admission but also for migrating as a family. Between
       2016-18, about 2 700 higher-skilled caregivers (registered nurses, licenced
       practical nurses and nurse aides, orderlies and attendants) became permanent
       residents through the PNP and the programmes managed under Express Entry,
       compared with only about 170 under the 2014 caregiver pilots. That
       notwithstanding, both pathways – CEC and PT-programmes – are not new, and can
       thus hardly explain the low take-up of the 2014 programme.
       A more likely reason, however, is the uncertainty regarding transitioning from
       temporary to permanent residence. Indeed, this is one of the changes in the new
       2019 pilot programmes – the Home Child Care Provider Class and Home Support
       Worker Class. Applicants will be assessed for permanent residence criteria before
       they begin working in Canada, providing a clearer and more assured pathway to
       permanent residence. Once caregivers have their work permit and two years of
       eligible work experience, they will have access to a direct pathway to permanent
       residence. As a response to the alternative – and more attractive – pathways for
       higher-skilled occupations in the caregiving sector, the 2019 caregiver pilots only
       target in-home caregiving occupations at a lower-skill level (NOC 4411 and 4412,
       excluding housekeepers). The educational requirement of one-year of Canadian
       post-secondary education (or the foreign equivalent) introduced in the 2014 pilots
       is maintained, and the language requirement has been set at CLB 5 for both
       occupations. The 24 months of full time work experience must be acquired within
       a 36 months period.
       The new pilots also include further changes. Most importantly, the work permit
       caregivers receive is an occupation-restricted open work permit, which lets them
       work as a caregiver for almost any employer throughout Canada (excluding
       Quebec). It provides caregivers with the possibility to change jobs quickly. In
       addition, under the new programmes, caregivers can apply for open work permits
       for spouses/common-law partners and for study permits for dependent children.
       This allows the caregiver’s family to accompany them to Canada from the start.
       Finally, employers will no longer need an LMIA before hiring a caregiver,
       facilitating their recruitment.
      dependents of caregivers are well above the earnings of spouses and dependants
      accompanying other labour migrants (Figure 3.9).
          Figure 3.9. Median earnings by years since landing, Live-in Caregivers and
      economic labour migrants and their spouses and dependants, landing cohort of 2006
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
           0
                0 years 1 years 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years 6 years 7 years 8 years 9 years 10 years
                 since   since   since   since   since   since   since   since   since   since   since
                landing landing landing landing landing landing landing landing landing landing landing
      In this context, the gendered nature of the caregiving sector is revealing. Over 90%
      of caregivers are women25, compared to other permanent economic immigration
      programmes where the majority of principal applicants are men. Under all
      admission classes, male spouses and dependants who report earnings have higher
      median earnings than female spouses and dependants. Still, male spouses and
      dependants of caregivers have median earnings exceeding those of male spouses
      and dependants of federal skilled workers/federal skilled trades. However, the
      opposite holds for female spouses and dependants of caregivers.
      One challenge of the caregiver programme is the fact that many caregivers leave
      the occupation once they become permanent residents (Banerjee, Kelly and
      Tungohan, 2017[10]). At the same time, and partly a result of this, caregiving
      occupations continue to be in high demand across Canada. In March 2019, the
      national job online platform for job search and matching Job Bank listed over
      2 800 vacancies for the term “caregiver”.
      One option to remain the quality of selection but increase its flexibility would be
      by introducing a points system balancing educational and language skills with
      duration of work experience in the caregiving sector in Canada. Thereby, caregivers
      with somewhat lower skills would be required to remain longer in their profession
      to earn permanent residence.
   200000
   180000
   160000
   140000
   120000
   100000
    80000
    60000
    40000
    20000
        0
              2009        2010       2011        2012       2013        2014        2015       2016        2017       2018
       Note: The number of permit holders by initial sign year differs from often published data on the number of
       permit holders by sign year as the latter includes both initial permits and renewals. Post-graduation work permit
       holders (PGWP) are sometimes disregarded in initial permit statistics as they in most cases had a previous
       (study) permit. For the purpose of comparing their “inflow” and as study permit holders are not included in this
       graph for previously outlined reasons, initial PGWP are included here.
       PGWP, Working Holiday programme participants – one group (with the largest volume) of International
       Experience Canada work permit holders (IEC) and spouses are able to apply for an open work permit.
       This figure does not include work permit holders for other reasons such as permanent residence application,
       humanitarian reasons and the category other.
       Source: OECD Secretariat calculations based on data from IRCC.
      The IMP, as the second umbrella programme for temporary work purposes, aims to
      advance Canada’s broad economic, social and cultural national interests. Hence,
      individuals under the IMP do not need to pass a labour market test and are allowed
      to work either based on agreements or because their presence and ability to work is
      otherwise deemed to present a specific Canadian interest.
      Initial work permits issued to individuals per year under the IMP more than doubled
      over the last decade (Figure 3.10). The growth has been largely driven by few
      groups of temporary workers. This includes in particular three groups, post-
      graduation work permits (PGWP) holders, individuals with permits under the
      International Experience Canada (IEC) programmes, and permits for spouses of
      skilled workers and international students.26 The number of work permits under the
      category Agreements increased until 2013 and since then declined to its level from
      about a decade ago. This category includes intra-company transferees and
      professionals benefitting from provisions under international agreements such as
      free trade agreements between Canada and other countries (NAFTA, CETA, and
      going forward also CPTPP).
      Since 2015, employers hiring through the IMP have to submit information to IRCC
      relating to their offers of employment via an online platform called Employer Portal
      and to pay an employer compliance fee of CAD 230 per work permit. In addition,
      the foreign worker has to pay a CAD 155 work permit fee. In the case of open work
      permits under the IMP, for example the working holiday programme of the IEC,
      which are not tied to a specific employer, an earmarked CAN 100 open work permit
      holder fee is collected from the applicant to fund the collection of employment
      information related to such permits.
        hours than those from high-income OECD countries. This raises the question
        whether the primary intention of the former may be employment rather than travel
        (OECD, 2014[12]). For Canada the number of hours participants of working holiday
        programme worked are not available. However, tax reported median earnings in
        2015 of IEC open work permit holders (a close proxy for participants of the working
        holiday programme) suggest that youth of Australia and Ireland reported the highest
        earnings in Canada and those from Germany the lowest. In contrast, youth from
        Chile report an income that is close to the average of all countries.
        The second category within IEC is the International Co-Op programme, which
        enables foreign youth enrolled at a post-secondary institution to gain work
        experience in Canada related to their field of study, usually in the form of an
        internship. The third category is the Young Professionals programme, under which
        youth are able to gain professional work experience after completion of their
        studies. Under both programmes, applicants need to have a valid job offer in Canada
        to be eligible to apply and need to prove a direct link to their field of study. If issued,
        their work permits are employer-specific. The participation fee in each of the
        programme is CAD 150 and in addition, employers need to pay the
        CAD 230 Employer Compliance fee online via the Employer Portal.
        Initial permits to participants of the working holiday programme increased slightly
        over the past decade, but overall numbers are lower than in comparable OECD
        countries (Figure 3.11). These programmes are reciprocal but participation of
        Canadian youth abroad under such programmes has been low (IRCC, 2018[8]). This
        reflects experiences in other major working holiday recipient OECD countries.
        Figure 3.11. Initial permits to working holiday makers in selected OECD countries,
                                              2010-17
300
250
200
150
100
50
    0
           2010         2011         2012        2013           2014       2015           2016         2017
        Source: OECD International Migration Database (https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=MIG)
        Australia runs the largest working holiday programme in the OECD in absolute
        terms while relative to the population, the largest is that of New Zealand. Both are
        very similar to the Canadian one but a key distinction is that in both countries, the
      programmes are a key feeder for transition to permanent residency. This is less the
      case in Canada were administrative data indicates that 7% of IEC foreign youth
      who came to Canada under the IEC Programme (combining the outlined three sub-
      programmes of which the working holiday is one) between 2013-17 have since then
      permanently immigrated to Canada (IRCC, 2019[11]). A further distinction is that in
      contrast to the Canadian set-up, the Australian programme includes an extension
      possibility which in some circumstances allows for a third year for young workers
      who commit to stay in regional areas during their second year.
      Note: Data by fiscal year, and outcome April 1, 2015 to December 31, 2018. *Compliant with Justification:
      Employers who have provided justification, and compensation when required, in accordance with the
      Regulations to justify their non-compliance.
      Source: Data compiled from ECIU Master Tracker provided from ESDC.
      Programme inspections aim to protect temporary foreign workers and ensure that
      employers use the IMP properly. On behalf of IRCC, Service Canada inspects
      employers against the conditions listed on the work permit of their employees and
      the details of the offer of employment that employers previously submitted to
      Service Canada. This entails that employers meet all applicable employment and
      recruiting laws, as well as co-operate with Service Canada by showing up for
      inspections and providing all required documentation. Employers must keep any
      documents they have about the employment of their temporary worker for six years
      from the date Service Canada issued their work permit.
      Overall compliance with the IMP is high, and only 1% of all inspected employers
      were fond non-compliant. An additional 12% needed to provide justification and/or
      compensation since the start of the fiscal year 2015 (Table 3.6).
      Penalties for non-compliance depend on the severity of the non-compliance and are
      decided by a points system. This looks, among other aspects, at the number of
      violations, the compliance history, the number of workers negatively affected by
      the violation, and for monetary penalties also at the size of the business. Possible
      sanctions for non-compliance include warning letters, monetary penalties from
      CAD 500 to CAD 100 000 per violation up to a maximum of CAD 1 million over
      one year. It can also include a ban from hiring temporary workers through the
      programme for one or several years and for serious violations a permanent ban from
       hiring. In addition pending work permit applications tied to the business might be
       refused and active work permits revoked.
       As for the TFW Program (see above) the names and addresses of employers found
       non-compliant under the IMP regulations are made public on an online list. This
       list states the reason for their non-compliance, the amount of monetary penalty – if
       applicable – and if they remain eligible for hiring temporary foreign workers under
       the programme in the future.
International Students
       While international students do not necessarily constitute labour migrants per se,
       many countries offer them work permits to help them defray the costs of their
       education and to get a first foothold into the labour market. Countries are also
       increasingly providing facilitated pathways to residence, motivated by the fact that
       international graduates with host-country qualifications are essentially pre-
       integrated. Canada is no exception in this regard and provides possibilities for
       international students to work during and after their studies (via a post-graduation
       work permit) and a pathway to transition to permanent residence (Box 3.2).
      Since 2014, international student visa holders in Canada have opportunities to work
      on campus and work off campus without an additional work permit. There are no
      restrictions in terms of hours related to on campus work, and international students
      may work off campus up to 20 hours a week during term times and full time on
      regularly scheduled breaks. In 2015, over 25% of international students reported
      earnings through on and/or off campus employment, up from 12% in 2004.
      International students may also access Co-Op or internship opportunities while
      studying provided that the work component is part of the academic programme (see
      above). In recent years, the number of Co-Op work permits issued for such purposes
      has increased.
      Canadian data suggest that this strong increase of international students is still
      ongoing. The number of initial study permits issued in 2018 – excluding those for
      attendance in primary and secondary schools –, was around 185 00030, an over 50%
      increase from 2016.
      Most international students in Canada are citizens from either India or China. While
      from the late 1990s until 2016 over half of all international students came from
      China, numbers of Indian students have doubled since and in 2018, Canada issued
      one in three new study permits to Indians (Table 3.7). Numbers of international
      study permit holders who are citizens of Vietnam, Iran and Bangladesh also
      increased strongly over the past three years.
      In this respect, it is important to note that Canada runs an expedited study permit
      processing programme available to legal residents of India, China, the Philippines
      and Vietnam who are living in one of these four countries and want to study in
      Canada at a post-secondary designated learning institution. As part of this Student
      Direct Stream (SDS) applicants need to meet specific requirements by providing
      upfront documentation and enjoy accelerated processing (see below).
      International students mostly intend to live in Ontario (49%) and the larger cities in
      other parts of the country. At the end of 2017, 27% of international study permit
      holders concentrated in Toronto, and another 18% in Vancouver. 92% of
      international students whose permit was issued in the last four years intended to
      stay in a central metropolitan area – an area with a total population of at least
       100 000 – a share almost identical than among the 2011-16 cohorts of labour
       immigrants (91%).
       Almost one in three international students are in a subject in the field of business,
       administration and law, which is also the most popular field of study among national
       students, though at a lower share (23%). In comparison to the Canadian population
       however, international students are much more likely to study subjects in the fields
       of engineering, manufacturing and construction (20% against 11%) as well as
       subjects in the field of information and communication technologies (6% against
       3%). In contrast, international students are less likely than Canadians to study
       education, health or welfare (Figure 3.13).
       Figure 3.13. Field of study of international and national tertiary level students, 2016
                                Education                                            Arts and humanities
                                Social sciences, journalism and information          Business, administration and law
                                Natural sciences, mathematics and statistics         Information and Communication Technologies
                                Engineering, manufacturing and construction          Agriculture, forestry, fisheries and veterinary
                                Health and welfare                                   Services
National Students
           International
             Students
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
           Figure 3.14. Annual average tuition fees charged by public tertiary educational
                          institutions to foreign students in USD, 2015/16
20000
18000
16000
14000
12000
10000
 8000
 6000
 4000
 2000
    0
        Note: For New Zealand, estimates include universities only and exclude second programmes at ISCED 6, such
        as postgraduate certificates and diplomas. Year of reference for Korea 2016; United States 2011/12; Australia,
        Austria, Switzerland 2014/15; Israel 2013/14. Tuition fees for foreign students in Denmark and Sweden refer
        to students from outside the European Economic Area or the European Union.
        Source: OECD (2018[13]).
        Approval rates have slightly declined but vary by province and programme
        as do processing times
        Study permit approval rates vary greatly by the level of study and province/territory
        of destination. Overall approval rates for study permits for all school types have
        gradually declined over the past five years from 72% in 2014, to 66% in 2018.
        While between 2014-18, over 70% of all study permit applications in
        British Columbia were approved, the approval rate was much lower in the Atlantic
        Provinces. Furthermore, Saskatchewan saw the steepest decline in its approval rate
        over the past five years from 67% in 2014 to just 44% in 2018.
       Approval rates also varied by study programme. While most permit applications for
       doctorate programmes were approved – approval rates of over 80% in most
       provinces and years – rates were much lower in particular for study permit
       applications to college programmes and
       Processing times for study permits vary by place of residence. Information by
       country and permit are publicly available online and regularly updated. The service
       standard for SDS processing is 20 calendar days.31 Processing starts after receipt of
       a complete application and biometrics.
       Figure 3.15. Attracting Talent indicators for workers with master/doctoral degree,
                                              2019
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
      In addition to considering the countries migration policies, the ranking takes into
      account employment and earning opportunities as well as non-pecuniary factors
      (such as possibility for family migration) and amenities. With regard to seven broad
      factors considered as key influences on migrants’ decision-making where to move
      to, Canada ranks within the top quarter when considering migrants’ future
      prospects, inclusiveness and the quality of life. It also ranks high for the quality of
      opportunities, migrants’ income, and its skills environment. The only factor where
      Canada takes a position below average is “family environment”.32
     5                                                                                                               50
     4                                                                                                               40
     3                                                                                                               30
     2                                                                                                               20
     1                                                                                                               10
     0                                                                                                               0
    -1                                                                                                               -10
    -2                                                                                                               -20
    -3                                                                                                               -30
    -4                                                                                                               -40
    -5                                                                                                               -50
          2008/09    2009/10     2010/11   2011/12   2012/13   2013/14   2014/15     2015/16     2016/17   2017/18
         One would expect the numbers of labour market-tested temporary work permits to
         change with labour market needs. Not considering the years 2014/2015, which were
         outliers due to the programme tightening, one indeed observes that periods of
         growing unemployment tended to be associated with lower intakes, and vice versa
         (Figure 3.16).
         Across Canada, the number of labour market-tested temporary foreign worker
         permits issued outside of agricultural and live-in Caregiver programmes
         corresponds to just 0.14% of the labour force on average between 2015-18. This
         share varies from 0.6% in Prince Edward Island to 0.07% in Ontario. In the four
         years since the overhaul of the programme, the share increased in New Brunswick,
         Quebec, Ontario and British Columbia, and declined in Saskatchewan and Alberta
         (Figure 3.17).33
                                Figure 3.17. Labour market tested work permit holders as share of labour force
                                               (LF) and unemployment rates, by region 2015-18
                          0.8                                                                                               16
                          0.7                                                                                               14
                                                                                                                                 Unemployment rate in %
                          0.6                                                                                               12
   Permits/Labour Force
                          0.5                                                                                               10
                          0.4                                                                                               8
                          0.3                                                                                               6
                          0.2                                                                                               4
                          0.1                                                                                               2
                           0                                                                                                0
                                NFL    PEI          NS      NB        QU     ON        MA        SA        AB          BC
                           Note: Data excludes Live-in Caregiver Program and Agricultural Streams. In total for about 15% of work
                           permits issued under the TFW Program the intended province/territory was not stated.
                           Source: OECD Secretariat calculations based on data from IRCC.
       where this was the case in 2015. As noted, there has been a large increase in recent
       years in the number of work permits issued under the IMP and between 2015-18,
       this increase was largely driven by permits where very little information is collected
       (+66%), while the increase in permits with stated intended occupation was more
       moderate (+12%). Among these where data was available for 2018, 93% were
       classified as higher skilled – usually requiring at least two years of post-secondary
       education.
       For open work permit holders34, Canada is able to capture data on the province and
       industry of employment only after several years via linking tax filing data with other
       databases in the recently introduced Canadian Employer-Employee Dynamic
       Database (CEEDD). For a large share of open work permit holders of 2015 – the
       latest year available – the province/territory (40%) and/or industry (42%) is not
       stated. These are individuals who did not use their work permit to find employment
       or who tried but did not find employment.
       Among those open work permit holders for whom information is available, more
       than four in five work in Ontario (37%), Alberta (20%) or British Columbia (23%).
       Among those were the industry of employment is stated, more than half work in a
       lower-skilled jobs – based on the NOC classification – such as in retail trades and
       administrative and support services. The largest number of work permit holders
       (22% among those were information is available) worked in accommodation and
       food services (NOC 72).
       With the limited information on the regional and occupational intentions of these
       temporary migrants, assessing their labour market impact is challenging and, given
       the importance of this group and their likely concentration in certain areas and
       occupations, calls for a closer monitoring in the future. A first step in this direction
       has been taken with the Canadian 2019 Budget, which commits money for the
       ongoing collection of labour market information related to open work permits.
Transition
       From 1990 to 2006, only around 23% of all migrants landing as permanent
       economic immigrants had prior Canadian experience (Hou and Bonikowska,
       2016[19]). These figures have increased since and in 2017, almost 60% of principal
       applicants in the economic category admitted that year had a previous permit under
       the TFW Program or the IMP.36 Linked data on newly-admitted permanent labour
       migrants show that the majority had only a prior work permit, and direct transitions
       of graduates – i.e. without additional work experience – are rare (Figure 3.18).
     50000
     45000
     40000
     35000
     30000
     25000
     20000
     15000
     10000
      5000
         0
               2006      2007      2008        2009   2010      2011      2012     2013      2014      2015     2016
       Note: Total numbers include principal applicants in the economic classes. Data includes only those immigrants
       filing income tax in their year of landing.
       Source: Statistics Canada. IMDB 2016.
                                                                                        Express Entry
                               International students
                                                                                            Pool
                                                                                          Provincial
                             Temporary work permit
                                                                                          Nominees
                                   holders
                                      High-skilled                                    Federal Economic
                                     Lower-skilled                                         Pilots
      Note: After graduation, international students can obtain a post-graduation work permit. These are generally
      part of the high-skilled temporary work permit holders. Federal Economic Pilots include the Atlantic
      Immigration Pilot, the Rural and Northern Immigration Pilot, the Agri-Food Immigration Pilot and the two
      Caregiver Pilots.
      Source: OECD Secretariat.
      Several pathways for transition to permanent residency exist (Figure 3.19). Not
      surprisingly, the IMP is the key driver for transitions to permanent migration. In
      2018, over 90% of admissions of permanent residents under economic class who
      had a prior work permit in Canada did so under the IMP. This share continuously
      increased over the last decade relative to the work permit holders under the TFW
      Program. In 2018, of the about 53 000 transitions from temporary work permit
      holders for work purposes to economic migration categories, about 49 000 passed
      through the IMP (Figure 3.20).
           Figure 3.20. Admissions of permanent residents under economic class with prior
                                      work permit holder status
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
     0
             2009      2010      2011      2012      2013      2014        2015        2016        2017    2018
         Data from 2016 suggests that only about half of transitions came through the post-
         graduate route. Transitions from the IMP mainly occurred to the PNP (44%),
         followed by FSW (34%) and Canadian Experience (20%). Among workers under
         the TFW Program, Canadian Experience (40%) was the main pathway, followed by
         FSW (26%). Interestingly, provincial nominations were much less common among
         the temporary foreign worker transitions – they accounted for less than 16% of the
         total.
         The apparent shift to onshore migration in Canada can be compared to New Zealand
         in the late 1990s and early 2000s, where the increased transition was caused by
         additional points for applicants with education and work experience in
         New Zealand. This is currently also the case under Express Entry, which awards
         points for Canadian work experience and education (Chapter 2). In Australia, the
         study-to-residence pathway led the increase in transitions. The country removed a
         three-year eligibility bar for international students in 1999 and allowed direct
         onshore student applications in 2002. Within a year of the reforms, over 50% of
         Australia’s economic permanent residence applicants held Australian qualifications
         (Hawthorne, 2010[20]). In contrast to Australia, international students in Canada
         need at least one year of skilled work experience before applying to the federal
         economic immigration programmes in Express Entry (see Box 3.2).
         Under Express Entry, at least one year of skilled relevant work experience is
         required for pool entry. Therefore, direct transitions from student status to
         permanent residency without prior skilled work experience – at least one year
         within the last ten years for the Federal Skilled Workers and one year of Canadian
         Experience within the last three years for the CEC – under Express Entry are not
        possible. However, some provinces have specific streams for international students,
        and specific programmes such as the Atlantic Immigration Pilot have dedicated
        graduate streams. In addition, Canada has a relatively generous post-graduation
        search and work permit scheme for international students (Figure 3.21).
   50
   45
   40
   35
   30
   25
   20
   15
   10
    5
    0
        International students who completed at least eight months of study in Canada, have
        six months to apply for a Post-Graduation Work Permit once they obtained their
        notice of graduation. At the time of application they are not required to have a
        Canadian job offer and while awaiting the decision of their permit, they can stay
        and work. The post-graduation work permit is an open work permit allowing former
        graduates to work for any job and employer and is valid for up to three years. The
        duration of the permit is linked with the duration of studies in Canada.
        A survey by the Canadian Bureau for International Education showed that 60% of
        all international students plan to stay permanently in Canada, an increase from 51%
        who intended to do so prior to the recent reforms which valued Canadian studies
        (CBIE, 2018[14]). In 2018, there were more than 46 000 initial work permits issued
        to individuals under the post-graduation work permit stream, a number that has
        increased five-fold since 2014. Between 2016-18 this number increased slightly
        stronger than the number of initial study permits over the same period (53% versus
        46%). Overall, 12% of permanent immigrants in economic classes in 2018 – almost
        23 000 individuals – previously held a PGWP, up from just 5% in 2015 (IRCC,
        2019[21]). An estimation of student stay rates suggests that about six in ten
        international graduates stay in Canada upon graduation.37 This is a much higher
        share than observed in other OECD countries, however it is not clear how many
        finally transition to permanent residency (OECD, 2019[22]).
        In 2018, 25% of applicants to permanent residency under EE claimed bonus points
        for education in Canada (around 23 000 individuals), a strong decline from 45%
        who did so in 2017 (31 000) (IRCC, 2019[23]).
  100
   90
   80
   70
   60
   50
   40
   30
   20
   10
    0
              2007               2009              2011              2013               2015                   2017
        Note: All four countries include only principal applicants to economic classes and exclude spouses and
        dependants. Shares in New Zealand, Australia and the United States denote onshore transitions whereas the
        shares in Canada are based on number of individuals who held a previous permit (TFW Program/IMP) before
        their permanent admission in Canada.
        Source: OECD Secretariat calculations based on data from MBIE (annual migration trends reports), DIBP,
        USDHS (Employment-based preferences) and Statistics Canada.
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
     0
            0 years since   1 years since   2 years since   3 years since   4 years since   5 years since     6 years since   7 years since   8 years since
             admission       admission       admission       admission       admission       admission         admission       admission       admission
          Source: Statistics Canada. Table 43-10-0010-01 Immigrant Income by admission year and immigrant admission
          category.
          Two observations stand out. The first key observation is that, for the first four to
          five years after landing, labour immigrants with previous work permits outperform
          those without such permits. However, about eight years after landing, labour
          immigrants without pre-admission experience have caught up to those with work –
          but no study – experience in Canada. This is consistent with earlier findings that
          immigrants with pre-immigration Canadian skilled work experience had a large
          earnings advantage over immigrants who were selected from abroad 38 (Hou and
          Bonikowska, 2016[19]). The authors find that only one-quarter of the earnings
          advantage was attributable to the level of education, language knowledge and origin
          country. Hou and Bonikowska (2016[19]) suggest that the earnings advantage might
          be related to pre-immigration labour market selection. This could happen in at least
          two ways. First, employers could be better placed than the objective criteria used
          by the immigration authorities to judge the value of an individual’s skills in the
          context of the current labour market. To some extent, the bonus points awarded to
          Express Entry candidates who have a job offer can be understood as a reflection of
          employers’ more astute judgment in this area. Second, the prior work history could
          also provide for some selection, as unsuccessful temporary workers may be less
          likely to get enough skilled work experience for transition. Interestingly, the
          earnings advantage of Canadian work experience fades out over time. This is not
          the case for Canadian education. Indeed, the second key observation from
          Figure 3.23 is that immigrants with Canadian education have the steepest earnings
          growth. However, even after ten years, they still lag somewhat behind those who
          also have pre-landing work experience in addition.
Conclusion
          The changes to the temporary foreign worker programmes over the past five years
          have established two broad pathways for temporary labour migration. While one is
       labour-market-tested and rather tightly restricted with caps and transition plans, the
       other admits a large and growing number of individuals for broader economic,
       cultural and other benefits – not directly linked to labour market needs. Around
       two-thirds of the latter group hold open work permits rendering a timely assessment
       of the labour market impact difficult. However, Canada has made first
       commitments to increase the monitoring of the latter group under the 2019 Budget
       and it is important to continue along these lines.
       More generally speaking, the current system encourages higher-skilled individuals
       (and their employers) to divert to permanent pathways, whereas transition
       possibilities to permanent residence for lower-skilled are mainly available via
       regional programmes.
       A key group to take into account in labour market impact analyses going forward
       are international students. They are not only a strongly growing but also hardly
       monitored labour force and present a key group of potential future permanent
       residents.
Notes
        1
          Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC) and Quebec’s Ministère de l'Immigration,
        de la Diversité et de l'Inclusion (MIDI) are implementing simplified processing requirements for
        select occupations that are updated annually by the province. In recognition of the fact that the
        provincial government (Emploi Québec in collaboration with MIDI) has already determined that
        there is insufficient labour supply for these occupations in Quebec, employers seeking to hire TFWs
        in these occupations do not have to demonstrate proof of recruitment efforts in advance of applying
        to the TFW Program for foreign workers in the province.
        2
          Reference to these work opportunities are listed under R186 of the Immigration and Refugee
        Protection Regulations (IRPR). These specific professions include athletes and coaches; aviation
        accident or incident investigators; civil aviation inspectors; clergies; convention organisers; crew
        members; emergency service providers; examiners and evaluators; expert witnesses or investigators;
        family members of foreign representatives; foreign government officials or representatives; health
        care trainees; judges, referees or similar officials; military personnel; news reporters and film and
        media crew; producers or staff members working on advertisements; performing artists; and public
        speakers.
        3
          There are cases where the open work permit can be restricted by occupation or by location. For
        example, Bridging Open Work Permit applicants who have a permanent residence application under
        the Provincial Nominee Program may receive an open work permit restricted by location/province.
        4
          In addition, the foreign worker, the transferring and receiving employers, as well as an agent of the
        foreign worker’s government must all agree to the change of employment.
        5
         This number includes both initial permits and renewals. Depending on the programme, the duration
        of a work permit can vary from a few weeks to several years.
        6
          This number includes only initial study permits (no extensions) and excludes permits to attend
        primary and secondary schools.
        7
          When a study permit holder decides not to renew the study permit but obtains a work permit before
        the existing study permit expires, there is a period when the permit holder holds two permits of a
        different type. For reporting purposes, neither permit is omitted during the period of time when the
        two permits overlap. Instead, both are reported in different tables according to the type of permits
        held. IRCC data from end-2013 suggest that this applied to approximately 10% of work and study
        permit holders.
        8
          A valid study permit with a specified condition allows full-time international students enrolled at
        a designated learning institution to work on and off campus part-time during academic season and
        full time during academic breaks.
        9
          Starting in April 2013, and in the following year ESDC introduced major changes and some
        additional reforms took place in 2016 and 2017.
        10
           The cap only applies to employers who employ more than 10 persons. Employers in seasonal
        industries hiring TFWs in seasonal positions that are no more than 180 calendar days in length are
        exempt from this cap. In addition, caregiving positions in private households and in health care
        facilities, on-farm primary agricultural positions, as well as certain short duration positions of 120
        calendar days or less in duration (e.g. carnival or fair operators) are exempted from the cap.
        Likewise, positions on a Labour Market Impact Assessment to be submitted to support a temporary
        foreign worker’s permanent residence application under Express Entry are exempted from the cap.
       11
          These occupations include: cashier, store shelf stockers, clerks and order fillers; food counter
       attendants, kitchen helpers and related support occupations; security guards and related security
       service occupations, light duty cleaners, specialised cleaners; janitors, caretakers and building
       superintendents; support occupations in accommodation, travel and facilities set-up services;
       construction trades helpers and labourers; and landscaping and grounds maintenance labourers.
       12
          As of June 2019, foreign caregivers seeking work permits are subject to new rules. Ministerial
       Instructions were issued on June 18, 2019 to stop processing certain caregiver Labour Market Impact
       Assessment (LMIA)-required work permit applications for outside-of-Canada applicants intending
       to work in caregiving occupations under the Temporary Foreign Worker (TFW) Program.
       13
         On 13 December 2016, the four-year cumulative duration rule (“four-in, four-out” rule), which
       banned certain migrant workers from working in Canada for four years after they had spent four
       years working there, was abolished. This rule had been implemented in 2011.
       14
          For instance, work permits issued under the IMP in Ontario in 2007 accounted for 37% of all
       83 000 permits issued in that year while in 2016, they accounted for 70% of the close to 100 000
       permits issued. A similar trend – strong decline among TFW Program permits and simultaneous
       strong increase of IMP work permits –holds for Alberta.
       15
         The TFW Program has a 10-day “priority” LMIA processing for applications other than the Global
       Talent Stream. This includes: 1) highly paid occupations that offer wages within the top 10% of
       wages earned by Canadians in the province-territory where the work is taking place; 2) the job offer
       has a length of 120 calendar days or less and the wage is at or above the provincial/territorial median
       hourly wage in the province/territory where the work will take place; 3) the LMIA is requested for
       high-demand skilled trades occupations and the wage is at or above the provincial/territorial median
       hourly wage in the province/territory where the work will take place; 4) LMIA applications
       supporting permanent residence under any Express-Entry-eligible programmes.
       16
          NOC refers to Canada’s National Occupation Classification, Canada’s official job classification
       system. It includes more than 30 000 occupational titles into 500 Unit Groups, organised according
       to skill levels and skill types.
       17
         Other LMIA-required workers (outside of the Global Talent Stream) such as High Wage Stream
       can also receive two-week priority processing of the employer’s LMIA application if they are NOC
       0 and A.
       18
          In such a case, the foreign national is sent a notification letter stating their permit will be revoked
       in 90 days and their temporary resident status and work authorisation continues until the date stated
       in the letter.
       19
          For migrant workers to be eligible, they must be in Canada and either hold a valid employer-
       specific work permit or be authorised to work without a work permit under implied status as a result
       of ongoing renewal of their employer-specific work permit.
       20
          A number of exemptions to the fee exist, such as for agricultural workers and certain caregivers
       in private households as listed in 315.2 of the Immigration and Refugee Protection Regulations
       (IRPR).
       21
            Due to the exclusion of private households and some other employers, the list is not complete.
       22
         Reviews of the LMBP are conducted separately and distinct from measures to ensure compliance
       of employers with these general requirements.
       23
         The LCP replaced the Foreign Domestic Movement Program, initiated in 1981. This programme
       had essentially the same terms as the LCP, by providing migrant domestic workers with access to
       Canadian permanent residence after they completed a twenty-four month live-in work requirement.
       24
          The 2014 caregiver pilots are no longer open to new applications but submitted applications are
       still being processed.
      25
           93% of those filing first income tax in 2006, 94% in 2016.
      26
        Until 2014, a specific permit for Off-Campus Work for enrolled international students existed.
      Since June 2014, international students are generally allowed to work on and off campus without an
      additional permit, explaining the slight decrease in IMP permits from 2014 to 2015.
      27
        For the Working Holiday programme, these countries include Australia, New Zealand, the United
      States, as well as a number of European countries (Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Czech Republic,
      Denmark, Estonia, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands,
      Norway, Poland, Portugal, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the
      United Kingdom). In addition, Chile, Costa Rica, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Chinese Taipei
      participate in the programme. Mobility agreements with Mexico and the Ukraine are currently under
      review.
      28
        For applicants from the Netherlands, Korea, Sweden and the United Kingdom, the age limit at
      application is 30 years.
      29
        All countries having more than 100 000 international tertiary students enrolled in full-degree
      programmes.
      30
        This number includes permits issued to individuals for: CAAT, CEGEP or other post-secondary
      course lasting a year or more (including pre-university and technical), Colleges (applied degree,
      certificate and diploma), English/French as Second Language (ESL/FSL), English/French as Second
      Language (ESL/FSL) and College, English/French as Second Language (ESL/FSL) and University,
      PTC/TCST/DVS/AVS, Trade Schools, University (Bachelor's, Master's, Doctorate and others) as
      well as a number of other or unspecified study permits. It excludes permits issued for primary and
      secondary school attendance.
      31
        Only applications received electronically are eligible for SDS processing. All paper applications
      are processed under the regular study permit application stream and are subject to the associated
      processing times. Foreign nationals eligible for SDS processing are still subject to all other eligibility
      and admissibility requirements.
      32
         Within this factor, in particular the public expenditure on family benefits and the tax structure that
      disincentives a second earners to enter employment decrease Canada’s score. However, both of these
      issues are beyond the remit of migration policy.
      33
        For about 15% of permits issued under the TFW Program between 2015 and 2018, the intended
      destination was not available.
      34
         As discussed previously, the largest groups of open work permit holders are former international
      students with a post-graduation work permit (PGWP), most participants of International Experience
      Canada (IEC) and spouses of skilled workers and international students.
      35
         TFW Program holders with permits issued between 2015 and 2018. Shares are based only on
      permits where this information is available. For about 14% of the TFW Program permit issued
      between 2015-18 the information on intended destination and occupation is missing. These shares
      are based on including for agriculture the NOC 0821, 0822, 8252, 8255, 8431, 8432 and 8611 and
      for caregivers NOC 4411, 4412, 3012, 3233 and 3413.
      36
        These data refer to the number of admissions of persons with previous IMP or TFW permits,
      divided by the number of admitted principal applicants in the economic classes.
      37
        This estimation is based on the number of initial post-graduation work permits issued in 2016 as
      well as on the number of admitted permanent residents under the family class in 2016 who
      previously held a study permit, as a share of the total number of international graduates in 2016.
      38
         The study used data on arrival cohorts from 1990-2006. A positive impact was found regardless
      of whether the year of immigration or the year of first arrival were taken as starting point.
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 Banerjee, R., P. Kelly and E. Tungohan (2017), ASSESSING THE CHANGES TO CANADA’S                   [10]
   LIVE--IN CAREGIVER PROGRAM: IMPROVING SECURITY OR DEEPENING
   PRECARIOUSNESS?, http://p2pcanada.ca/files/2017/12/Assessing-the-Changes-to-Canadas-
   Live-In-Caregiver-Program.pdf.
 Caruso, B. (2018), The Canadian Bar Association: Consultation on Caregiver Pathways,                [6]
    http://www.cba.org/CMSPages/GetFile.aspx?guid=ebc5bb3e-3ed0-400d-9c15-2ef044e1285c.
 CBIE (2018), The Student’s Voice: National Results of the 2018 CBIE International Student          [14]
   Survey, Canadian Bureau for International Education, https://cbie.ca/wp-
   content/uploads/2018/08/Student_Voice_Report-ENG.pdf.
 CIC (2012), Evaluation of the Labour Market Opinion Streams of the Temporary Foreign                [4]
   Worker Program, http://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2013/rhdcc-hrsdc/HS28-
   207-2012-eng.pdf (accessed on 22 February 2019).
 Hawthorne, L. (2010), “How Valuable is “Two-Step Migration”? Labor Market Outcomes for             [20]
   International Student Migrants to Australia”, Asian and Pacific Migration Journal, Vol. 19/1,
   pp. 5-36, http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/011719681001900102.
 Hou, F. and A. Bonikowska (2016), “Selections Before the Selection: Earnings Advantages of         [19]
   Immigrants Who Were Former Skilled Temporary Foreign Workers in Canada”,
   International Migration Review, p. imre.12310, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/imre.12310.
 HUMA (2016), Report of the Standing Committee on Human Resources, Skills and Social                 [3]
   Development and the Status of Persons with Disabilities: TEMPORARY FOREIGN WORKER
   PROGRAM, http://www.parl.gc.ca.
 Infometrics (2016), The Economic Impact of International Education in New Zealand 2015/16,         [17]
    https://enz.govt.nz/assets/Uploads/The-Economic-Impact-of-International-Education-in-New-
    Zealand-2015-2016.pdf.
 IRCC (2019), “Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior International Mobility Program          [21]
   (IMP) Work Permit Holder Status under Post-Graduate Employment by Province/Territory of
   Intended Destination and Immigration Category”,
   https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/1b026aab-edb3-4d5d-8231-270a09ed4e82.
 IRCC (2018), Report to OECD Expert group on International Migration (SOPEMI): Canada’s              [8]
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   Immigrant Employment Data Initiative (TIEDI) 18.
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       The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The
       use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli
       settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law.
      A key question of labour migration management is how to attract migrants into the
      areas where their skills are in demand. In particular, permanent economic migrants
      tend to agglomerate more strongly than the native-born in metropolitan areas. At
      the same time, the scale and structure of labour market needs differ greatly across
      Canada.
      For over twenty years, Canada has aimed to address these key challenges by an
      increasingly shared management of economic migrant selection between the federal
      and the provincial/regional governments. In 2018, roughly half of all permanent
      economic immigrants were selected by provincial governments. Some of these
      passed through the points-based federal selection system (Chapter 2).
      Once selected, permanent labour migrants enjoy the same freedom of mobility as
      Canadian-born. A key concern is thus how successful provinces and territories are
      in retaining labour migrants, and the characteristics of movers compared with
      stayers. Finally, given the relative independence of provinces and territories in
      designing their migration programmes, the question to which degree PT-selection
      and federal selection complement or substitute each other is a crucial one.
   50000
   45000
   40000
   35000
   30000
   25000
   20000
   15000
   10000
    5000
       0
           2007    2008    2009        2010   2011   2012     2013   2014   2015      2016   2017
       Source: IRCC, Permanent Residents, July 31, 2018 Data. Data request tracking number: RE-
       18-0424.
       Figure 4.1 presents the number of labour immigrants selected through the PNP,
       Quebec’s programmes and through the federal programmes over time. In 2007, PAs
       accepted through the PNP represented less than 12% of all permanent labour
       immigrants, whereas in 2017, this share had more than doubled to 29%. Over the
       same period, the number of immigrants selected by Quebec remained relatively
       stable. The share of labour immigrants selected by Quebec represented 21% of all
       labour immigrants in 2007 and 18% in 2017.
       Between 1996 and 2009, all provinces except Nunavut and Quebec negotiated
       bilateral agreements with the federal government in order to increase their role in
       selecting permanent labour immigrants. These programmes are referred to as “the
       Provincial Nominee Program (PNP)”, but the PNP is in fact not one programme,
       but the collection of all programmes or “streams” from bilateral agreements
       between the federal government and the PTs. The PNP has been successful in
       distributing permanent labour immigrants outside of the larger provinces relative to
       federal programmes. In 2017, 34% of economic immigrants were destined outside
       Ontario, British Columbia and Quebec, compared to just 10% in 1997 (IRCC,
       2018[2]). In fact, in several provinces over 80% of newly-admitted permanent labour
       migrants are PNs (Table 4.1).
      Note: *Provinces take part in Atlantic Immigration Pilot Program, which started in 2017. No
      agreements are in place between the federal government and the Nunavut territory. Admissions
      includes only labour immigrants (principal applicants).
      Source: IRCC, Permanent Residents, July 31, 2018 Data (RE-18-0424).
       Quebec programmes
       The Canada-Quebec Accord signed in 1991 allows Quebec to exclusively select its
       economic immigrants. Immigrants destined to Quebec cannot apply to the federal
       programmes but must apply through the Quebec programmes. Consequently,
       Quebec is the only province in which two distinct selections of economic
       immigrants (by the PT and by the federal government) do not coexist. Quebec has
       five different programmes to select economic migrants. Two programmes target
       skilled workers: the Programme régulier des travailleurs qualifiés (PRTQ) and the
                                       PNP                              Federal
                           Atlantic                                        Manitoba
3500                                                6000
3000                                                5000
2500
                                                    4000
2000
                                                    3000
1500
                                                    2000
1000
 500                                                1000
0 0
                             BC                                          Saskatchewan
12000                                               4500
                                                    4000
10000
                                                    3500
 8000                                               3000
                                                    2500
 6000
                                                    2000
 4000                                               1500
                                                    1000
 2000
                                                     500
    0                                                  0
                             Ontario                                         Alberta
 30000                                              12000
25000 10000
20000 8000
15000 6000
10000 4000
5000 2000
0 0
            Source: IRCC, Permanent Residents, July 31, 2018 Data. Data request tracking number: RE-
            18-0424.
      The RSMS category is thus not points tested, and applicants may be overseas or
      already in Australia on a temporary visa. Canada also runs a regional employer-
      driven programme outside of EE, but only for the Atlantic Provinces (Box 4.2).
      A key distinction between the two systems is that in Australia, state/territory-
      nominated permanent immigrants must reside and work in the sponsoring region
      for at least two years after landing. In Canada, all provincial nominees and Quebec-
      selected immigrants enjoy free mobility rights as permanent immigrants as soon as
      they land.
      Australia also has a four-year temporary visa (subclass 489) in which immigrants
      are first temporary workers and then apply for permanent residency when already
      living in the country. The subclass requires visa holders to live and seek work in a
      regional or low-growth metropolitan area if they wish to be considered for a
      pathway to permanent residency.
      Furthermore, some Australian regions do not accept applicants under the regional
      migration streams to their region if they are currently residing in other regions of
      the country. This has been introduced to counter the risk of these persons returning
      to their original state/territory of residence after receiving a permanent visa
      elsewhere. Such provisions do not exist in Canada, however.
          Figure 4.3. Share of women among PNs and non-PNP selected labour immigrants,
                                            2008-18
PNP non-PNP
60
50
40
30
20
10
      0
              Atlantic   Ontario     Manitoba   Saskatchewan   Alberta   British Columbia   Quebec
             Provinces
       Source: IRCC, Permanent Residents, July 31, 2018 Data. Data request tracking number: RE-
       18-0424.
       Immigrants who arrive at an early age in the host country have been shown to
       progress faster in the labour market, and to contribute more to the host country
       economy. Consequently, age is taken into account in several point systems when
       selecting economic immigrants. Economic immigrants in Canada arrive at a
       relatively young age, especially since the introduction of EE which favoured
       younger applicants (see Chapter 2). In 2017, about half of admissions under EE
       were younger than 30 years of age. With the exception of Ontario, PNs tend to be
       above that age-range, especially in the Atlantic Provinces.
       Speaking the host country language is another important factor for successful labour
       market integration. As of 2019, all federal and provincial immigration programmes
       require a minimum level of English or French. The level depends on the
       programme. A large majority of the federal and provincial immigrants speak
       English. With the exception of Quebec, over 80% speak English irrespective of
       their programme.
       The top source countries of federally and provincially selected immigrants destined
       to the same province are practically the same. Some countries belong to the top five
       source countries for most provinces: the Philippines, China, the UK, and India. Only
       the source countries of immigrants to Quebec are different, given the language
       requirements. Three among the top five source countries are francophone countries.
       The main difference between the PNP and the federal programmes is the fact that
       the PNP allows PTs to select immigrants with different skills than those required
       by the federal programmes. The difference in skills between federally and
       provincially selected immigrants, as measured by the educational attainment and by
       the intended occupation of immigrants, differs across provinces.
       Most federally selected immigrants have a university degree (Table 4.2). In fact,
       among federally selected PAs during the period 2005-15, more than 75% have a
        university degree, except in British Columbia where the percentage is 71%. PNs
        are less likely to have a university degree. The percentage of PNs with a university
        degree is 25 to 40 percentage points lower than that of federal immigrants who live
        in the same PT. The smallest difference is in BC, due to the fact that federal-select
        immigrants in this province are less likely than elsewhere to have a university
        degree. This difference in university education does not mean that most PNs only
        have secondary education. In fact, over 25% of PNs in all provinces have a non-
        university tertiary education. This is also the case in Quebec, where 24% of PAs
        have a non-university tertiary degree, and a relatively lower share has a university
        degree (69%).
            Table 4.2. Education level of provincially and federally selected labour immigrants
                                                   (PAs)
        Note: “Skilled workers programmes” refers to the federal programmes FSWP and CEC, as well as
        the Quebec programmes PRTQ and PEQ.
        Source: IMDB 2005-15.
       Only PAs are selected through the immigration programmes. However, SDs often
       participate in the labour market. The differences in university graduation of SDs
       mimic those of PAs rather closely. SDs of PNs are 24 to 30 percentage points less
       likely to have a university degree than SDs of federally selected PAs, except in
       Alberta and British Columbia where the difference is smaller. The share of
       immigrants with a tertiary non-university degree is more similar among federal and
       provincial SDs than among PAs. In Quebec, the share of SDs with a tertiary non-
       university degree is again the highest, with 33%.
       Federally and provincially selected migrants also intend to work in different
       occupations (Table 4.3). Over the period 2005-15, over 30% of FSWs in all
       provinces apart from Manitoba, intended to work in Natural and Applied Sciences,
       and between 17 to 29% in occupations in Education, law and social, community
       and government services. In contrast, few PNs intended to work in these
       occupations. Over one in five PNs in Ontario, Saskatchewan, Alberta and Manitoba
       intended to work in sales and services occupations, and between 17 and 25% of PNs
       intended to work in trades, transport and equipment operators and related
       occupations. While a very small share of FSW intends to work in occupations in
       manufacturing and utilities, the share among PNs is much higher in all provinces.
       Perhaps surprisingly given the lower levels of formal qualifications, a relatively
       large share of PN immigrants to the Atlantic Provinces and Ontario intend to work
       in management occupations. Immigrants to Quebec are similar to federally selected
       immigrants in terms of their distribution of skill types, except for a larger share of
       immigrants intending to work in occupations in manufacturing and utilities.
           Table 4.3. Skill type of intended occupations of provincially and federally selected
                                            labour immigrants
                           Atlantic
                                        Ontario         Manitoba    Saskatchewan     Alberta           BC         Quebec
                          Provinces
                        FSWP PNP      FSWP   PNP       FSWP   PNP   FSWP    PNP    FSWP    PNP      FSWP    PNP   PRTQ
 0. Management           12% 46%       15%   26%        10%    7%     8%     5%     11%     5%       17%    17%      5%
 occupations
 1. Business, finance     8%    3%     14%        7%    10%   18%     7%     8%     12%        6%    14%    6%      17%
 and administration
 occupations
 2. Natural and          34%   11%     33%    11%       23%   13%    31%     9%     34%    15%       28%    14%     28%
 applied sciences
 and related
 occupations
 3. Health               13%    6%     10%        4%    23%    4%    15%    11%     10%        7%     9%    11%      7%
 occupations
 4. Occupations in       29%    3%     17%        3%    28%    5%    37%     6%     19%        4%    18%    5%      15%
 education, law and
 social, community
 and government
 services
 5. Occupations in        0%    1%     3%         0%    0%     1%     0%     1%     2%         1%     4%    2%       4%
 art, culture,
 recreation and sport
 6. Sales and service     2%    6%     4%         7%    1%     9%     2%    18%     6%     19%        5%    20%      8%
 occupations
 7. Trades, transport     2%    8%     3%     27%       4%    21%     1%    32%     4%     20%        3%    12%      4%
 and equipment
 operators and
 related occupations
 8. Natural               0%    0%     0%         1%    0%     2%     0%     5%     0%         2%     0%    1%       0%
 resources,
 agriculture and
 related production
 occupations
 9. Occupations in        1%   17%     1%     14%       1%    18%     0%     6%     1%     21%        1%    13%     11%
 manufacturing and
 utilities
       and Alberta, but much lower in the other provinces. The share of PNs intending to
       work in occupations of skill level D is highest in Alberta and Saskatchewan, at close
       to 17%.
          Figure 4.4. Skill level of provincial and federal labour immigrants by province of
                                       intended residence, 2008-18
A - Professionals B - Skilled and Technical C - Intermediate and Clerical D - Elemental and Labourers
   100%
    90%
    80%
    70%
    60%
    50%
    40%
    30%
    20%
    10%
     0%
           Prov      Fed      Prov     Fed      Prov     Fed    Prov     Fed         Prov      Fed       Prov        Fed
              Atlantic           Ontario          Manitoba      Saskatchewan            Alberta                 BC         Quebec
       Note: Data for 2018 until July. The graph excludes individuals intending to work in management
       positions (NOC 0) and individuals for which this data is not available.
       Source: IRCC, Permanent Residents, July 31, 2018 Data. Data request tracking number: RE-
       18-0424.
       Considering the principal applicants to the FSW programme and Quebec’s PRTQ
       between 2008 and July 2018, the share of immigrants in Quebec intending to work
       in NOC B occupations is at 27% very similar to the 26% of federally selected in the
       other provinces. However, PRTQ immigrants to Quebec are more likely to intend
       work in intermediate and clerical jobs NOC C (10%) than federally selected (5%)
       and somewhat less likely to intend to work as professionals (63% and 69%).4
       In summary, federally and provincially selected immigrants tend to have different
       characteristics and (intend to) work in different occupations. This suggests that the
       programmes complement, rather than substitute each other – in spite of some
       programme convergence.
                                                                         Federally and
                                          PNP
                                                                      QC-selected economic
                                   years since landing                 years since landing
                                   1             3          5                 1                3      5
 Principal applicant
 Atlantic Provinces              73%         66%          61%             78%                76%    75%
 Ontario                         83%         76%          69%             77%                77%    77%
 Manitoba                        90%         89%          88%             85%                85%    85%
 Saskatchewan                    92%         90%          90%             88%                85%    84%
 Alberta                         96%         94%          93%             90%                88%    88%
 British Columbia                90%         86%          82%             75%                73%    71%
 Territories                     97%         91%          95%             95%                91%    85%
 Quebec                                                                   73%                78%    80%
 Total                           89%         86%          84%             77%                78%    78%
 Spouses and dependants
 Atlantic Provinces              51%         52%          53%             52%                57%    61%
 Ontario                         52%         53%          56%             57%                61%    64%
 Manitoba                        76%         79%          81%             71%                76%    76%
 Saskatchewan                    80%         81%          85%             74%                78%    75%
 Alberta                         79%         82%          82%             77%                78%    79%
 British Columbia                67%         68%          67%             56%                58%    58%
 Territories                     95%         94%          92%             91%                80%    93%
 Quebec                                                                   52%                61%    66%
 Total                           72%         73%          74%             58%                62%    65%
       federal and provincial, declare employment income. SDs in Ontario, the Atlantic
       Provinces, Quebec and British Columbia have much lower likelihood of having
       employment income.
       One of the stated concerns about the PNP has been that the programmes may be
       focused on the short term labour market needs of the PTs, and may not meet long-
       term objectives.5 The worry is thus that in the longer run, the labour market
       integration of PNs may not be as successful as that of federal immigrants. Looking
       at the share of immigrants arriving between 2005-15 reporting employment
       earnings three and five years after landing suggests that among PNP principal
       applicants’ shares of immigrants who report employment earnings decline while
       they remain stable or increase among federally and Quebec selected immigrants.
       Nevertheless, five years after arrival shares of PNP immigrants declaring
       employment income are still higher than among federally selected immigrants –
       with the exception of the Atlantic Provinces and Ontario. In the short-to medium-
       run, there is no evidence of worse outcomes of PNs.
       This is consistent with research on earnings, which found that PNP PAs have high
       earnings in the years after arrival but their income curve is flatter compared to other
       admission classes such as the FSW and CEC (Pandey and Townsend, 2013[7];
       Warman, Webb and Worswick, 2019[8]). This is most likely due to the fact that
       many have pre-arranged employment or other existing networks prior to landing
       but overall lower human capital endowment than federal high-skilled immigrants.6
       Considering employment rates is a partial measure of labour market performance.
       An important issue affecting immigrants in the host country labour market is the
       mismatch between the immigrants’ skills and the skills required for the jobs held
       by the immigrants. In order to analyse whether this is an issue for provincial relative
       to federal immigrants, one would need information on the occupations held by
       immigrants over time by immigration programme. The IMDB is based on tax
       records matched to landing cards. The data contains information on the intended
       occupation of the immigrant upon landing, but does not contain information on the
       actual occupation held over time. Other sources with rich information on the
       occupation of workers, such as labour force surveys, do not contain information on
       the immigration programme.
       There is nevertheless some evidence on this issue given by a survey from IRCC in
       the context of the 2017 PNP Evaluation. In this survey, 5 818 PNs who landed in
       Canada between 2010-15 were interviewed Most PNs had their first employment
       in Canada in a high skilled occupation and 77% reported currently working in an
       occupation that is commensurate with their intended skill level or higher. This is a
       higher share than the 70% reported in the previous PNP evaluation. Skill mismatch
       seems to be somewhat a larger problem in Manitoba, where over 40% of survey
       respondents held a job at the time of the survey that was not commensurate with the
       skill level of their intended occupation (IRCC, 2017[3]). Further research should
       compare the skill mismatch of PNs to the skill mismatch of federally selected
       immigrants in the same provinces.
                                                                       Province of Destination
                                             Atlantic   Ontario      Manitoba                                British
                                                                                   Saskatchewan   Alberta
                                            Provinces                                                       Columbia
                                 Atlantic
                                 Provinces
         Province of Residence
Ontario
Manitoba
                                 Saskatchewan
                                 Alberta
                                 British
                                 Columbia
       Note: Numbers below 50 are excluded. Diagonal indicates migrants still living in their original
       province.
       Source: Longitudinal Immigrant Database (IMDB) 2015. Data request tracking number: RE-
       18-0424.
       Figure 4.5 depicts a mobility matrix of PNP PAs of the 2005-15 cohorts one year
       after landing in Canada. The diagonal shows that the vast majority of immigrants
       live in the province of nomination one year after landing. Some provinces, such as
       Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia, received PNs destined to other provinces.
       Other provinces, such as the Atlantic Provinces, Manitoba and Saskatchewan lose
       PNs to other provinces. In absolute numbers over the ten immigration cohorts
       considered, Manitoba and Saskatchewan lose a similar number of immigrants,
       2 900 and 2 500 respectively, while the Atlantic Provinces over the same period
       lost over 3 800 PNs – especially those selected to Prince Edward Island. In fact,
       proportionally to the intake of PNs of each province, 36% of the PNs destined to
       the Atlantic Provinces live in other provinces one year after landing; while this is
       the case for only 5% to 15% of immigrants destined to other provinces, and for 18%
       of those landing in the territories.
       Quebec is excluded from the figure given that there is no PNP in Quebec.
       Nevertheless, the province receives some small numbers of PNs destined to other
       provinces. In the ten years considered, approximately 290 PAs of the PNP moved
       to Quebec from other provinces, out of which 120 initially were destined to the
       Atlantic Provinces.
                                                                  Province of Destination
                                    Atlantic                                                            British
                                               Ontario      Manitoba      Saskatchewan      Alberta                  Quebec
                                   Provinces                                                           Columbia
                     Atlantic
                     Provinces
 Province of Residence
Ontario
                         Manitoba
                         Saskatchewan
                         Alberta
                         British
                         Columbia
                         Quebec
                            Note: Numbers below 100 are excluded. Diagonal indicates migrants still living in their original
                            province.
                            Source: Longitudinal Immigrant Database (IMDB) 2015. Data request tracking number: RE-
                            18-0424.
                            Figure 4.6 presents a mobility matrix for immigrants selected by the federal
                            government and by Quebec prior to the introduction of EE.7 The four provinces that
                            receive the largest numbers of immigrants (Ontario, Quebec, British Columbia and
                            Alberta) are also the provinces that receive more immigrants who were destined to
                            other provinces. Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia are the provinces receiving
                            the largest number of federal immigrants destined to other provinces during this
                            period. However, the number of federally selected immigrants moving to Alberta
                            from other provinces is over a quarter the number of all federally selected
                            immigrants landing in Alberta, whereas immigrants moving to Ontario and British
                            Columbia represent only 8% and 11% of all the federally selected immigrants
                            landing in these provinces.
                            The interprovincial mobility of immigrants (provincial- and federal-selected) are to
                            some extent similar to general interprovincial population movement patterns in
                            Canada (Saunders, 2018[10]). The largest interprovincial population flows between
                            2005-15 involve exchanges between Ontario (both in and outflows), Alberta and
                            British Columbia (inflows) and Quebec (outflows). The Atlantic Provinces had
                            interprovincial population outward movements, which offset the population gains
                            from international migration, a pattern also observable for Manitoba. The only two
                            provinces with a large positive interprovincial balance of population movements
                            are Alberta and British Columbia. Ostrovsky, Hou and Picot (2011[11]) show that
                            immigrants’ interprovincial migration response to the economic boom in Alberta
         was larger than among natives. While overall population movements seem to
         broadly match mobility patterns of recent arrivals, the only province which saw net
         interprovincial overall population outflows between 2005-15 has been negative
         while at the same time observing net interprovincial gains from mobility of recent-
         arrived immigrants is Ontario.
             Figure 4.7. Retention rate of principal applicants of the PNP and other labour
                                               immigrants
  100%
   90%
   80%
   70%
   60%
   50%
   40%
   30%
   20%
   10%
    0%       PN     Fed   PN      Fed    PN     Fed     PN     Fed     PN     Fed   PN     Fed    PN     Fed    PN     Fed   PN       Fed     PN       Fed   All
           Newfoundland- Prince Edward   Nova Scotia   New Brunswick    Ontario      Manitoba    Saskatchewan    Alberta   British Columbia    Territories Quebec
            and-Labrador     Island
         Hence, if immigrants move they are more likely to do so in the first year after
         landing than in the following two years. In addition, provincially selected
         immigrants are more likely to reside in their province of landing three years after
         arrival than those federally selected with the exception of Ontario and Prince
         Edward Islands.
         Figure 4.8 combines the two previously presented mobility matrices and shows
         moving patterns one year after landing for federally and provincially selected
         immigrants. This figure gives an overview of the mobility of all economic PAs.
                            Figure 4.8. Mobility matrix for federally, provincially and Quebec-selected labour
                                                                 migrants
One year after landing, 2005-15 cohort, dashed circles are provincially selected migrants
                                                                      Province of Destination
                                       Atlantic                                                            British
                                      Provinces   Ontario       Manitoba     Saskatchewan       Alberta                Quebec
                                                                                                          Columbia
                            Atlantic
                            Provinces
    Province of Residence
Ontario
Manitoba
Saskatchewan
                            Alberta
                            British
                            Columbia
                            Quebec
                       Note: Not all provinces/territories had PNPs in place in 2005, compare to Table 4.1. Diagonal
                       indicates migrants still living in their original province.
                       Source: Longitudinal Immigrant Database (IMDB) 2015. Data request tracking number: RE-
                       18-0424.
                       In absolute numbers, there are more federal immigrants living outside of their
                       province of destination than provincially selected immigrants. This confirms the
                       previous observation that the retention rates are higher for provincial than for
                       federally selected immigrants. It is in line with previous evidence. Pandey and
                       Townsend (2011[12]) find that “after taking account of provincial economic
                       conditions, the introduction of PNPs did not lead to a decrease in the retention rates
                       for any province. In fact, when comparing the retention rates of immigrants through
                       the federal programmes to those through the PNPs, the retention rates of nominees
                       were higher for Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Alberta, and British Columbia, and
                       similar to those of immigrants admitted through the federal programme in the
                       Atlantic Provinces.” The period considered covers the immigration cohorts until
                       2005, but the patterns are similar to those of the later cohorts considered here.
                       Although the comparison between the retention rates of federal and provincial
                       immigrants is interesting, it remains that the issues raised by the mobility of the two
                       types of immigrants are different. Whether federally selected immigrants decide to
                       settle or not in the province of destination, is a zero sum game for the federal
                       government, as long as they remain in Canada. However, if PNs decide to leave the
                       province of nomination, it indicates that the selection of the PT may have been
                       inefficient. The province invested in nominating the immigrant but did not receive
                       the benefit of doing so. This may be particularly problematic if the immigrants who
                       leave are the most qualified and those faring better in the labor market.
                       In terms of labour market outcomes, leavers and stayers are overall similar. The
                       percentage of immigrants declaring employment income one year after landing is
       only slightly higher for PNs residing in their province of nomination. Alternative
       measures of labour market integration such as the percentage of immigrants
       declaring employment insurance benefits or social assistance benefits are also very
       similar. The only exception are the Atlantic Provinces. Immigrants who settle in the
       nominating provinces are more likely to declare employment income one year
       (three and five years) after landing than those who settle elsewhere.
       PNs are selected based on the criteria of the nominating province. When PNs decide
       to live outside of the nominating PT, this is not only an issue for the nominating
       province, but it may also be an issue for the receiving province. In fact, PTs choose
       PNs to address labour market needs based on defined criteria. The results in the
       previous section show that the characteristics of PNs are quite different from those
       of federal immigrants, and differ across PTs.
       To put the extent to which receiving PNs from other PTs is an issue for the receiving
       PTs into perspective one should look at the size of the inflows of PNs; on how the
       characteristics of these PNs differ from those of the immigrants living in the PT;
       and on the labour market integration of the PNs in the new destination PT. As seen
       above, the flows of PNs to PTs other than the nominating PTs represent in some
       cases a large share of the immigrants destined to the nominating province. This is
       mostly the case for the Atlantic Provinces. However, PNs moving to other provinces
       only represent a small share of immigrants in their new destination PTs.
      Figure 4.9. How shares of immigrants in rural areas have evolved, relative to change
                                      in urban regions
                               Change in percentage points, aged 15 and over, 2005-15
      4
-2
-4
-6
      -8
              Increase in share of migrants in urban relative to rural regions
     -10
      Note: This data includes individuals landing as economic, family and humanitarian migrants.
      Source: OECD/EU (2018[13]).
      As mentioned, the PNP has been and still is successfully sharing the benefits of
      immigration across the provinces of Canada. However, most of these PNs – as do
      federal-and Quebec-selected immigrants – settle in only certain metropolitan and
      agglomeration areas within these provinces.8 Among all PNP-selected immigrants
      between 2006-16, a full 80% landed in a metropolitan area including in Toronto
      and Vancouver.9 While the total number of those migrating to other parts of the
         country has increased by five times and more over this period, their share remains
         stable at around 12% landing in agglomerations and around 8% landing in rural
         areas in the rest of the country (Figure 4.10).
         Figure 4.10. Provincial nominee principal applicants by year of landing and place of
                                               landing
Toronto and Vancouver Census Metropolitan Areas (-Toronto and Vancouver) Census Agglomerations Rural areas
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
     0
           2006      2007    2008       2009       2010       2011       2012     2013      2014      2015        2016
         Note: Not all provinces/territories had a PNP in the first years shown in this graph. For instance,
         Ontario did start its PNP only in 2007, with admissions in the following years. Hence, the PNs living
         in Toronto during 2006-08 were selected by other jurisdictions.
         Source: Statistics Canada, Table 11-10-0239-01. Income of individuals by age group, sex and
         income source, Canada, provinces and selected census metropolitan areas.
      Figure 4.11. PNs (principal applicants) landing years 2006-16 by agglomeration size,
                           compared with the total population, 2016
   100%
    90%
    80%
    70%
    60%
    50%
    40%
    30%
    20%
    10%
     0%
          Pop PNs      Pop PNs    Pop PNs     Pop PNs Pop PNs          Pop PNs     Pop PNs     Pop PNs
            Atlantic    Quebec      Ontario    Manitoba Saskatchewan     Alberta     British    Territories
           Provinces                                                                Columbia
      Note: A census metropolitan area (CMA) must have a total population of at least 100 000 of which
      50 000 or more live in the core. A census agglomeration (CA) must have a core population of at
      least 10 000.
      Source: For PNP-PAs Statistics Canada, Table 11-10-0239-01 Income of individuals by age group,
      sex and income source, Canada, provinces and selected census metropolitan areas. For population
      Statistics Canada - 2016 Census. Catalogue Number 98-400-X2016202.
      It is against this backdrop, and the labour needs of many rural areas facing
      population decline, that Canada announced a new pilot programme in January 2019:
      the Rural and Northern Immigration Pilot Program. The programme differs in its
      approach to the employer-driven Atlantic Immigration Pilot by piloting a
      community-driven approach to economic immigration. From January 2019 until
      11 March 2019, IRCC accepted applications from interested communities that are
      outside of Atlantic Canada and Quebec.
      IRCC thereafter announced a number of communities in rural Canada that
      participate in this immigration pilot programme. Communities must have a
      population of maximum 50 000 people and be located at least 75 km from the core
      of a Census metropolitan area, or they must have a population of between
      50 000 and 200 000 people and be remotely located from other larger cities.11
      Organisations responsible for providing economic development services in the
      community could submit an application and will, if selected, manage the pilot for
      the community.
Conclusion
      Ensuring that the benefits from labour migration are equally shared within the
      country, and that policies respond to different local needs while maintaining a
      consistent migration management structure is a key challenge for many countries.
      Together with Australia, Canada has been at the forefront among OECD countries
      in the regionalisation of permanent labour migration. Indeed, in Canada this is a
       shared responsibility between the federal government on the one side and the
       provincial and territorial governments on the other. The increased role played by
       the latter in migrant selection has resulted in a more balanced geographic
       distribution of permanent labour migrants across the country over the past two
       decades.
       As permanent migrants enjoy free mobility across Canada, the rather high PT-
       retention rate of PT-selected labour migrants and their different skill profile suggest
       that these streams are indeed complementary to the federal programmes. What is
       more, short-to-mid-term labour market outcomes of PT-selected migrants to date
       tend to be largely favourable, with a few exceptions. However, given the significant
       growth of the programme in recent years, a continued monitoring seems warranted.
       A challenge that remains is the unequal distribution of migrants within PTs. To
       address this, a community-driven programme to attract labour migrants to the rural
       regions is now being tested. This new and innovative approach builds on another
       recent innovation to link selection with retention in the Atlantic provinces.
Notes
      1
        Quebec used to have an allocation of economic immigrants under the abolished Live-in Caregiver
      Program. This is, however, no longer the case for the federal pilot programmes in the caregiving
      sector (Caring for Children and Caring for People with High Medical Needs). These were introduced
      in 2014, when Canada terminated the Live-in Caregiver Program. Many provinces have since
      created their own caregiving programmes under the PNP, but not Quebec. If a Quebec private
      household desired to hire a caregiver, they had to do so through other channels, such as the temporary
      worker programme (generally with an LMIA). Provisions for the new caregiver pilots that started in
      June 2019 are discussed in Chapter 3 of this review.
      2
        A 2019 announced pilot programme in Canada (Rural and Northern Immigration Pilot) explores a
      similar idea which is however not employer-driven but community-driven and discussed in
      subsequent parts of this chapter.
      3
          SkillSelect is Australia’s Expression of Interest pool, similar to the Express Entry pool in Canada.
      4
       The shares are based on data that exclude individuals intending to work in a management position
      (NOC 0) and cases where the intended NOC is not available.
      5
       The IMDB 2011 report states that "since the inception of the PN Program in 1998, the focus has
      been on immediate occupational needs identified by the participating provinces."
      6
       This comparison is only partially informative since immigrants that are federally and provincially
      selected have different education levels, skills and intended occupations. Ideally, one would also
      want to compare immigrants with the same skills levels from the different programmes, and with
      native-born of the same skills.
      7
        Given the high number of bonus points for provincial nominations, and the different selection
      criteria of EE compared to the PNP, it would be of interest to study mobility patterns of EE-selected
      PNs and non-EE-selected PNs. Given the time lags involved, this analysis will only be possible in a
      few years time, however.
      8
       Note that this is a different definition from the rural/urban distinction shown in Figure 4.9; parts of
      census agglomerations may be classified as rural.
      9
        A census metropolitan area has a total population of at least 100 000 of which 50 000 or more live
      in the core. A census agglomeration has a core population of at least 10 000.
      10
        Neither Prince Edward Island nor the territories have a city defined as a Census Metropolitan
      Area.
      11
         IRCC uses Statistics Canada’s Index of Remoteness to help define which communities are
      considered remote and includes communities with a remoteness index equal to, or greater than 0.25.
      The Index of Remoteness is an experimental research product determined by distance from another
      city that offers public services and by population size.
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