UNIT-4
PROJECT FINENCING
           Project Cost estimation
• A project can only come together with all the necessary materials
  and labor, and those materials and labors cost money.
• Putting together a budget that keeps costs to a minimum, while
  maximizing the project’s quality and scope can be challenging. This
  is why proper cost estimation is important.
• Cost estimation in project management is the process of forecasting
  the financial and other resources needed to complete a project
  within a defined scope.
• Cost estimation accounts for each element required for the
  project—from materials to labor—and calculates a total amount
  that determines a project’s budget.
• An initial cost estimate can determine whether an organization
  greenlights a project, and if the project moves forward, the
  estimate can be a factor in defining the project’s scope.
   Types of cost in project management
• Direct costs: Costs associated with a single
  area, such as a department or the project
  itself. Examples of direct costs include fixed
  labor, materials, and equipment.
• Indirect costs: Costs incurred by the
  organization at large, such as utilities and
  quality control.
     Project cost Estimation technique
    Estimation                           Definition                                                 Recommendations
    technique
Bottom-up        Assigning costs to the individual elements of the project   Best for estimating projects with defined expectations and specific
estimation       plan, such as tasks, milestones, or phases, and putting     requirements in line with stakeholders who won’t expect major
                 the bucks together                                          changes in the scope
Top-down         Figuring out the project’s total price and determining the Commonly used to estimate elements on fixed price projects when
estimation       scope of work that can be done                             the price is initially specified by the client
Analogous        Relying on data from previous similar projects to forecast Recommended when there’s limited information about the project
estimation       the cost
Parametric       Taking specific cost variables and data points from other Usually called in for use when the previous project data you have
estimation       projects to figure out the ultimate project cost          is scalable
Three-point      Doing the average from the best, worst, and most likely     Well-advised when the risk of going over budget is high
estimation       case estimations
Typical elements of cost estimation
• Labor: The cost of team members working on the
  project, both in terms of wages and time
• Materials and equipment: The cost of resources
  required for the project, from physical tools to
  software to legal permits
• Facilities: The cost of using any working spaces not
  owned by the organization.
• Vendors: The cost of hiring third-party vendors or
  contractors.
• Risk: The cost of any contingency plans implemented
  to reduce risk.
    Working capital requirement
• working capital requirement can be described as the
  amount of money a firm would need to bridge the
  gap between its accounts payable and accounts
  receivable. It is essentially the amount a business
  requires to keep its operations afloat.
• In the case of working capital deficit, businesses can
  use their outstanding invoices and avail funds to
  meet their working capital requirement. With KredX
  businesses can utilise their unpaid invoices to avail
  working capital within 24 -72 hours*.
        Factors That Help To Determine Required
                    Working Capital:
Factors                       Description
                              A significantly high sales volume
                              generates high revenue which means
Sales
                              the working capital required is not
                              much.
                              The longer it takes a business to
                              convert current assets into cash and
Duration of Operating Cycle
                              cash equivalents, the more will be the
                              required working capital.
                              Trading businesses require relatively
Type of Business              high working capital when compared
                              to manufacturing businesses.
                              Businesses that extend longer terms
Terms of credit               of credit to customers are often
                              in need of more working capital.
                        Stagnant or slow turnover of
Inventory turnover      extensive inventories results in a
                        higher working capital requirement.
                        Businesses that are dependent on
Seasonal variation      specific seasons may need more
                        working capital.
                        Usually, labour-intensive businesses
Production technology   require more capital than a business
                        which needs the use of machines.
                        A provision to meet the changes in
Contingencies
                        demand and products’ price.
  Compute A Company’s Working Capital
             Requirement
• The formula for calculating working capital
  requirement is given by -
Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities
• Here, current assets include these following -
• Cash in hand
• Cash equivalent
• Company inventory
• Accounts receivable
• Pre-paid liabilities
•   Here, current liabilities include these following
•   Accounts payable
•   Notes payable
•   Income tax owed
•   Immediate debts
•   Dividends
•   Based on this formula, businesses can estimate their working
    capital requirement easily. For instance, if the current assets
    of a firm exceed its current liabilities, it indicates that the firm
    has surplus working capital. Notably, items like cash
    commitments, non-trade receivable and old or wasted
    inventory are excluded or adjusted during the working capital
    requirement calculation.
   Example of Working Capital Requirement
                Calculation:
• Suppose the current assets of Mr Kumar’s
  business stands at Rs. 25000, while current
  liabilities amount to Rs. 45000.
Using the formula –
• Working capital = Current assets - Current
  liabilities
• = Rs. (25000 - 45000)
• = - (Rs. 20000)
• Since the outcome is negative, it indicates Mr Kumar’s business has
  a deficit in working capital. It means that his firm’s immediate
  liquidity is not enough to optimise everyday functions.
• Some of the effective ways of reducing working capital gap include -
• Quick collection of accounts receivables
• Reducing inventory cycle
• Reducing credit terms
• Increasing sales volume
• However, to meet your working capital requirement immediately
  and to keep operational activities continuous, you can opt for
  alternative solutions like invoice discounting services from KredX.
    Risk & uncertainty in project
             evaluation
• Risk involves situations in which the
  probabilities of cash flows occurring are
  known and these probabilities are objectively
  or subjectively determinable.
• The main attribute of risk situation is that the
  event is repetitive in nature and possesses a
  frequency distribution.
• It is the inability to predict with perfect
  knowledge the course of future events that
  introduces risk.
• In contrast, when an event is not repetitive
  and is unique in character and the finance
  manager is not sure about probabilities of
  cash flows themselves, uncertainty is said to
  prevail.
• Uncertainty is subjective phenomenon. In
  such a situation no observation can be drawn
  from frequency distributions.
• .Practically no generally accepted methods
  could so far be evolved to deal with situation
  uncertainty while there are a number of
  techniques to deal with risk.
• As such, the term risk and uncertainty will be
  used interchangeably in the following
  paragraphs.
    MEASUREMENT OF PROJECT RISK
•   Probability Distribution
•   Sensitivity Analysis
•   Scenario Analysis
•   Monte Carlo Simulation
•   Decision Tree Analysis
             Project Financing
• Project financing is a means of obtaining funds
  for industrial projects, long-term infrastructure,
  and public services.
• Many businesses use this funding method to take
  care of major projects using a non-recourse or
  limited financial structure.
• There are several ways to secure project finance,
  such as investor, loans, private finance, equity,
  funds, grants, etc.
• The repayment is managed from the cash-flow
  generated off the project.
• It is a secured form of lending, accepting the
  project’s rights, assets, and interests as
  collateral.
• Project loans are useful in more than one way.
  It can help expand the manufacturing
  capacity, rent a workstation, upgrade
  technology, handle unexpected expenses,
  experimentation for a new service or a
  product, create a cash pool, etc.
• Project financing is a loan structure that relies
  primarily on the project's cash flow for
  repayment, with the project's assets, rights,
  and interests held as secondary collateral.
• Project finance is especially attractive to the
  private sector because companies can fund
  major projects off-balance sheet (OBS).
                   Sources of funds
1. Business Angels
   Investor angels, or business angels, are people who invest their
   money in the initial phase of startups, in exchange for a
   participation in capital. They also usually carry out the role of a
   mentor and offer their consent and experience to entrepreneurs.
  Business Angels have a vast experience in the industry they operate
   in. Private investors may invest in a company for a capital gain. The
   investment is for a place on board or an equity stake.
2. Venture Capital
  Venture capitalists invest in a project for a non-executive position on
   the board. They provide capital in exchange of an equity share or a
   position at a strategic level. Once the value of shares increase,
   they may sell those for a profit.
3 Loan for Business
  Apart from secured lending, a company can choose
  unsecured business loan that comes for a fixed tenure with
  a repayment plan. The cost of loan is determined by
  estimating the returns from the project. The interest
  payment is tax deductible in some cases. An agreement is
  made between the financial institution and the borrower
  for a specific loan amount and tenure.
4 Overdrafts
  Overdrafts are ideal for a short-term finance. The period of
  overdraft facility is for a year or less. The interest is only
  charged on the amount spent from the person’s account.
  Such financing can be arranged quickly like business loans.
5 Share Capital
  The shareholders get profits from dividend. This share of
  profit is derived from ordinary shares (owned by business
  owners who can share profits of an organization from
  dividends) or preference shares (does not belong to company
  owners but a third-party). Capital gain is expected from selling
  the shares in future. It is the company shareholders who raise
  the Share Capital.
6 Debentures
  Debenture loans come with a fixed or a floating rate and
  provided against an organization’s assets. The debenture
  holders receive payment of interest before the shareholders
  receive their dividend payment. If the business fails, then
  these holders are liable as preferential creditors.
• A project loan offers a great opportunity to
  fund-providers and investors to be a part of
  the company’s growth process and share its
  profits.
• The above-mentioned sources for project
  financing are crucial for new companies. Apart
  from these sources, a few others to mention
  are project grants and government funding.
                Capital budgeting
• Capital budgeting involves choosing projects that add value to
  a company. The capital budgeting process can involve almost
  anything including acquiring land or purchasing fixed assets
  like a new truck or machinery.
• Corporations are typically required, or at least recommended,
  to undertake those projects that will increase profitability and
  thus enhance shareholders' wealth.
• However, the rate of return deemed acceptable or
  unacceptable is influenced by other factors specific to the
  company as well as the project.
• For example, a social or charitable project is often not
  approved based on the rate of return, but more on the desire
  of a business to foster goodwill and contribute back to its
  community.
• Capital budgeting is the process by which investors determine
  the value of a potential investment project.
• The three most common approaches to project selection are
  payback period (PB), internal rate of return (IRR), and net
  present value (NPV).
• The payback period determines how long it would take a
  company to see enough in cash flows to recover the original
  investment.
• The internal rate of return is the expected return on a
  project—if the rate is higher than the cost of capital, it's a
  good project.
• The net present value shows how profitable a project will be
  versus alternatives and is perhaps the most effective of the
  three methods.
      objectives of Capital budgting
1. Selecting profitable projects
   An organization comes across various profitable
   projects frequently. But due to capital restrictions, an
   organization needs to select the right mix of profitable
   projects that will increase its shareholders’ wealth.
2. Capital expenditure control
   Selecting the most profitable investment is the main
   objective of capital budgeting. However, controlling
   capital costs is also an important objective. Forecasting
   capital expenditure requirements and budgeting for it,
   and ensuring no investment opportunities are lost is
   the crux of budgeting.
3. Finding the right sources for funds
  Determining the quantum of funds and the
  sources for procuring them is another
  important objective of capital budgeting.
  Finding the balance between the cost of
  borrowing and returns on investment is an
  important goal of Capital Budgeting.
Capital Budgeting Process
• Identifying investment opportunities
• An organization needs to first identify an
  investment opportunity. An investment
  opportunity can be anything from a new
  business line to product expansion to
  purchasing a new asset. For example, a
  company finds two new products that they
  can add to their product line.
• Evaluating investment proposals
• Once an investment opportunity has been recognized an
  organization needs to evaluate its options for investment.
  That is to say, once it is decided that new product/products
  should be added to the product line, the next step would
  be deciding on how to acquire these products. There might
  be multiple ways of acquiring them. Some of these
  products could be:
• Manufactured In-house
• Manufactured by Outsourcing manufacturing the process,
  or
• Purchased from the market
• Choosing a profitable investment
• Once the investment opportunities are identified and
  all proposals are evaluated an organization needs to
  decide the most profitable investment and select it.
  While selecting a particular project an organization
  may have to use the technique of capital rationing to
  rank the projects as per returns and select the best
  option available. In our example, the company here has
  to decide what is more profitable for them.
  Manufacturing or purchasing one or both of the
  products or scrapping the idea of acquiring both.
• Capital Budgeting and Apportionment
• After the project is selected an organization
  needs to fund this project. To fund the project
  it needs to identify the sources of funds and
  allocate it accordingly. The sources of these
  funds could be reserves, investments, loans or
  any other available channel.
• Performance Review
• The last step in the process of capital budgeting is
  reviewing the investment. Initially, the organization had
  selected a particular investment for a predicted return. So
  now, they will compare the investments expected
  performance to the actual performance.
• In our example, when the screening for the most profitable
  investment happened, an expected return would have been
  worked out. Once the investment is made, the products are
  released in the market, the profits earned from its sales
  should be compared to the set expected returns. This will
  help in the performance review.
      Capital Budgeting Techniques
• Payback period method
• In this technique, the entity calculates the time period
  required to earn the initial investment of the project or
  investment. The project or investment with the
  shortest duration is opted for.
• Net Present value
• The net present value is calculated by taking the
  difference between the present value of cash
  inflows and the present value of cash outflows over a
  period of time. The investment with a positive NPV will
  be considered. In case there are multiple projects, the
  project with a higher NPV is more likely to be selected.
• Accounting Rate of Return
• In this technique, the total net income of the
  investment is divided by the initial or average
  investment to derive at the most profitable
  investment.
• Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
• For NPV computation a discount rate is used. IRR
  is the rate at which the NPV becomes zero. The
  project with higher IRR is usually selected.
• Profitability Index
• Profitability Index is the ratio of the present value
  of future cash flows of the project to the initial
  investment required for the project.             Each
  technique comes with inherent advantages and
  disadvantages. An organization needs to use the
  best-suited technique to assist it in budgeting. It
  can also select different techniques and compare
  the results to derive at the best profitable
  projects
            Financial Statements
• Financial statements are necessary sources of information
  about companies for a wide variety of users.
• Those who use financial statement information include
  company management teams, investors, creditors,
  governmental oversight agencies and the Internal Revenue
  Service.
• Users of financial statement information do not necessarily
  need to know everything about accounting to use the
  information in basic statements.
• However, to effectively use financial statement information, it
  is helpful to know a few simple concepts and to be familiar
  with some of the fundamental characteristics of basic
  financial statements.
    Four main accounting statements:
1. Balance Sheet
•    The Balance Sheet is a statement detailing what a
     company owns (assets) and claims against the company
     (liabilities and owners’ equity) on a particular date.
•    Some analysts take the balance sheet as similar to a
     snapshot illustrating a company’s financial health.
•    Keeping in mind the assets and claims, it is helpful to
     remember the “left–right” accounting equation
     orientation – assets on the left side, claims on the right.
           Assets = Liabilities + Owner’s Equity
• In addition, there are a number of other
  characteristics of the balance sheet that are
  noteworthy, such as balancing, order of listing,
  valuing of items, and definitions of items.
• The balance sheet must balance – that’s why
  it’s called a balance sheet. In other words, the
  assets must equal the claims on assets.
2. Income Statement
•   The Income Statement shows a firm’s revenues and
    expenses, and taxes associated with those expenses for
    some financial period.
•   Where the Balance Sheet may be thought of in terms of the
    “left–right” orientation previously discussed, the income
    statement would be thought of in “top–down” terms.
•   A basic overview of income statement items shows how a
    manufacturing company might present an income
    statement. Income statements for other companies may
    appear to be slightly different, but in general the
    construction would be the same.
• An important concept in understanding the income
  statement is Earnings Per Share (EPS).
• The Notes EPS for a company is net income divided
  by the number of shares of common stock
  outstanding. It represents the bottom line for a
  company.
• Companies continually make decisions on how their
  bottom line will be impacted since shareholders in
  the company are concerned with how management
  decisions affect individual shareholder position.
3. Cash Flow Statement
•   Cash Flow Analysis is useful for short-run planning. A
    historical analysis of cash flows provides insight to prepare
    reliable cash flow projections for the immediate future &
    make suitable arrangements.
•   Cash Flow statement shows inflow – sources of cash (i.e.
    positive cash flow) and outflow - uses of cash (i.e. negative
    cash flows) during the period and the difference being ‘Net
    Cash Flow’.
•   This statement analyses changes in non-current accounts as
    well as current accounts (other than cash) to determine the
    flow of cash.
• Statement of changes in cash position is prepared
  recording only inflows and outflows of cash,
  reflecting the net change during the period.
• Cash received minus cash paid during a period is the
  cash balance at the end of the period.
• If the net change in cash position has to be found out
  from the profit and loss account, comparative
  balance sheets, adjustments for the non-cash items
  should be made.
                   Types of Cash Flow
•   Actual Flow of Cash
•   There may be actual or direct flow of cash ‘in’ and ‘out’ of the business under the
    following circumstances:
a. Actual inflow of Cash: This transaction results in the actual inflow of cash into the
    business.
    Similarly, there is inflow of cash when debentures are issued for cash, loans raised
    in cash, sale of fixed assets for cash, dividends received in cash, etc.
          Example: Issue of shares for cash:
                 Cash a/c Dr
                 To Share Capital a/c
b. Actual outflow of Cash: This transaction results in the actual outflow of cash from
    the
    business. Similarly, there is outflow of cash on repayment of loans, redemption of
    preference shares or debentures, payment of taxes, dividend, etc. in cash.
      Example: Purchase of Machinery for cash.
          Machinery a/c Dr.
          To Cash
•   Notional Cash Flow
•   The indirect movement of cash ‘in’ and ‘out’ of the business is referred to as
    ‘notional flow of cash’ which may take place under the following circumstances:
a. Notional inflow of cash: Notional inflow of cash takes place whenever a
    transaction results in increasing current liabilities or decreasing current assets.
          Example: Purchase of goods on credit.
          Purchases A/c Dr.
          To Creditors A/c
b. Notional outflow of cash: Notional outflow of cash takes place whenever a
    transaction results in decreasing current liabilities or increasing current assets.
          Example: Sale of goods on credits:
          Debtors A/c Dr.
          To Credit Sales A/c
4. Profit and Loss Account
• The profit and loss account shows the profit that the business
  makes. This is also known as the “Trading, Profit and Loss Account”.
  It is made up of the following components:
• Sales
• Direct Costs
• Gross Profit
• Indirect Costs
• Net Profit
• Taxation
• Director’s Drawings
• Investment in Business
• The profit and loss account is opened by recording
  the gross profit (on credit side) or gross loss (debit
  side).
• For earning net profit a businessman has to incur
  many more expenses in addition to the direct
  expenses.
• Those expenses are deducted from profit (or added
  to gross loss), the resultant figure will be net profit or
  net loss.
• The expenses which are recorded in profit and loss
  account are ailed ‘indirect expenses’.
Preparation of Projected Financial
           Statements
• Projected financial statements provide assumptions
  about a given company’s financial situation in the
  future, whether it is an annual or quarterly
  projection.
• Preparing projected financial statements is a lengthy
  task, as it requires analysis of the company’s
  finances, reading previous budgets and income
  statements, and examining the company’s current
  financial situation to make assumptions about the
  business’ financial potential.
• The process is the same for smaller, sole-proprietor
  businesses and well-established corporations.
• When preparing the projected financial statements, there are
  some common pitfalls that need to be avoided:
• Don’t prepare an over ambitious or unrealistic projection. It is
  better to prepare a conservative projection and be able to
  exceed your plan than it is to prepare something unrealistic
  and have to explain to investors why you were unable to
  achieve projected results.
• Don’t be creative in developing your presentation of the
  projections. Use prescribed industry standard formats that
  meet Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.
• Be sensitive to the amount of detail that is presented and
  avoid the use of technical terms.
• Give the reader the proper amount of detail to make a
  decision.
• Facts and extensive research should back all assumptions
  used in the projections. This makes your projections more
  believable.
• Fully disclose information on all issues relating to contracts,
  ownership, offering price, stock options, warrants, related
  party issues, risks and uncertainties. Don’t mislead the reader.
         Detailed project report
• A detailed project report is a very extensive and
  elaborative outline of a project, which includes
  essential information such as the resources and tasks
  to be carried out in order to make the project turn
  into a success.
• It can also be said that it is the final blueprint of a
  project after which the implementation and
  operational process can occur.
• In this comprehensive project report, the roles and
  responsibilities are highlighted along with the safety
  measures if any issue arises while carrying out the
  plan.
    Contents of a detailed project report
• Brief information about the project
• Experience and skills of the people involved in the promotion
  of the project
• Details and practical results of the industrial concerns of the
  promoters of the project
• Project finance and sources of financing
• Government approvals
• Raw material requirement
• Details of the requisite securities to be given to various
  financial organizations
• Other important details of the proffered project idea include
  information about management teams for the project, details
  about the building, plant, machinery, etc.