Financial Forecaster: Critical Reasoning Test Section 1 30 Minutes 20 Questions
Financial Forecaster: Critical Reasoning Test Section 1 30 Minutes 20 Questions
                                              1
                                                             to 22 percent of their
3. The opponents could effectively defend their position     annual income for
   against the author’s strategy by pointing out that        housing.
  (A) the expertise of those opposing the law is
       outstanding
  (B) the lack of justification for the new law does not
       imply that those who drew it up were either inept
       or immoral
  (C) the practical application of the new law will not
       entail indiscriminate budget cuts
  (D) economic troubles present at the time of the New
       Deal were equal in severity to those that have led
       to the present law
  (E) the fact that certain flawed programs or laws have
       improved the economy does not prove that every
       such program can do so
                                              2
                                                             Julia: Wrong. A close look at the
5. Psychological research indicates that college hockey      records shows that X has
   and football players are more quickly moved to               been profitable since the
   hostility and aggression than are college athletes in     appointment of a first-class
   noncontact sports such as swimming. But the                   manager, which happened
   researchers’ conclusion—that contact sports encourage     while X was still in the
   and teach participants to be hostile and aggressive—is        pubic sector.
   untenable. The football and hockey players were
                                                             Which of the following best
   probably more hostile and aggressive to start with than
                                                             describes the weak point in
   the swimmers.
                                                             Ross’s claim on which Julia’s
  Which of the following, if true, would most strengthen     response focuses?
  the conclusion drawn by the psychological researchers?
                                                             (A) The evidence Ross cites
  (A) The football and hockey players became more                 comes from only a single
       hostile and aggressive during the season and               observed case, that of
       remained so during the off-season, whereas there           Company X.
       was no increase in aggressiveness among the           (B) The profitability of
       swimmers.                                                  Company X might be only
  (B) The football and hockey players, but not the                temporary.
       swimmers, were aware at the start of the              (C) Ross’s statement leaves
       experiment that they were being tested for                 open the possibility that
       aggressiveness.                                            the cause he cites came
  (C) The same psychological research indicated that the          after the effect he
       football and hockey players had a great respect for        attributes to it.
       cooperation and team play, whereas the swimmers       (D) No mention is made of
       were most concerned with excelling as individual           companies that are partly
       competitors.                                               government owned and
  (D) The research studies were designed to include no            partly privately owned.
       college athletes who participated in both contact     (E) No exact figures are given
       and noncontact sports.                                     for the current profits of
  (E) Throughout the United States, more incidents of fan         Company X.
       violence occur at baseball games than occur at
       hockey or football games.
                                                3
                                                                   visitors entering or
7. Stronger patent laws are needed to protect inventions           leaving the park
   from being pirated. With that protection, manufacturers    (D) encouraging as many
   would be encouraged to invest in the development of             people as possible to
   new products and technologies. Such investment                  come to the park in order
   frequently results in an increase in a manufacturer’s           to eat at the restaurants
   productivity.                                              (E) utilizing the restaurants at
  Which of the following conclusions can most properly             optimal levels for as
  be drawn from the information above?                             much of the day as
                                                                   possible
  (A) Stronger patent laws tend to benefit financial
       institutions as well as manufacturers.
   (B) Increased productivity in manufacturing is likely to
       be accompanied by the creation of more
       manufacturing jobs.
  (C) Manufacturers will decrease investment in the
       development of new products and technologies
       unless there are stronger patent laws.
  (D) The weakness of current patent laws has been a
       cause of economic recession.
  (E) Stronger patent laws would stimulate improvements
       in productivity for many manufacturers.
                                              4
                                                             better off than if none of
9.James weighs more than Kelly.                              them had switched; this
   Luis weighs more than Mark.                               conclusion, however, is
   Mark weighs less than Ned.                                unwarranted because it can
   Kelly and Ned are exactly the same weight.                be inferred to be likely that
  If the information above is true, which of the following   (A) those growers could not
  must also be true?                                           have foreseen how high
  (A) Luis weighs more than Ned.                               the price of pepper would
  (B) Luis weighs more than James.                             go
  (C) Kelly weighs less than Luis.                           (B) the initial cost involved
  (D) James weighs more than Mark                              in switching from pepper
  (E) Kelly weighs less than Mark.                             to cocoa is substantial
                                                             (C) supplies of pepper
Questions 10-11 are based on the following.                    would not be as low as
Partly because of bad weather, but also partly because         they are if those growers
some major pepper growers have switched to high-priced         had not switched crops
cocoa, world production of pepper has been running well      (D) cocoa crops are as
below worldwide sales for three years. Pepper is               susceptible to being
consequently in relatively short supply. The price of          reduced by bad weather
pepper has soared in response: it now equals that of           as are pepper crops
cocoa.                                                       (E) as more growers turn to
                                                               growing cocoa, cocoa
10. Which of the following can be inferred from the            supplies will increase and
    passage?                                                   the price of cocoa will fall
    (A) Pepper is a profitable crop only if it is grown on     precipitously.
      a large scale.
    (B) World consumption of pepper has been unusually
      high for three years.
    (C) World production of pepper will return to
      previous levels once normal weather returns.
    (D) Surplus stocks of pepper have been reduced in
      the past three years.
    (E) The profits that the growers of pepper have made
      in the past three years have been unprecedented.
                                                5
12. Using computer techniques, researchers analyze              Verdant’s term.
     layers of paint that lie buried beneath the surface      (B) Both federal and state
     layers of old paintings. They claim, for example, that     income tax rates have
     additional mountainous scenery once appeared in            been lowered considerably
     Leonardo da Vinci’s Mona Lisa, which was later             during Verdant’s term in
     painted over. Skeptics reply to these claims,              office.
     however, that X-ray examinations of the Mona Lisa        (C) In each year of
     do not show hidden mountains.                              Verdant’s term in office,
                                                                the state’s budget has
    Which of the following, if true, would tend most to
                                                                shown some increase in
    weaken the force of the skeptics’ objections?
                                                                spending over the
    (A) There is no written or anecdotal record that            previous year.
      Leonardo da Vinci ever painted over major areas         (D) During Verdant’s term
      of his Mona Lisa.                                         in office, the state has
    (B) Painters of da Vinci’s time commonly created            either discontinued or
      images of mountainous scenery in the                      begun to charge private
      backgrounds of portraits like the Mona Lisa.              citizens for numerous
    (C) No one knows for certain what parts of the Mona         services that the state
      Lisa may have been painted by da Vinci’s                  offered free to citizens
      assistants rather than by da Vinci himself.               during the previous
    (D) Infrared photography of the Mona Lisa has               governor’s term.
      revealed no trace of hidden mountainous scenery.        (E) During the previous
    (E) Analysis relying on X-rays only has the capacity        governor’s term in office,
      to detect lead-based white pigments in layers of          the state introduced
      paint beneath a painting’s surface layers.                several so-called
                                                                “austerity” budgets
13. While Governor Verdant has been in office, the state’s
                                                                intended to reduce the
    budget has increased by an average of 6 percent each
                                                                growth in state spending.
    year. While the previous governor was in office, the
    state’s budget increased by an average of 11.5
    percent each year. Obviously, the austere budgets
    during Governor Verdant’s term have caused the
    slowdown in the growth in state spending.
                                               6
                                                                 innovations should be
14. Federal agricultural programs aimed at benefiting one        made a required part of
     group whose livelihood depends on farming often             the public and private
     end up harming another such group.                          school curriculum.
    Which of the following statements provides support         (C) It should be suggested
    for the claim above?                                         that prospective voters
                                                                 attend applied science
    Ⅰ. An effort to help feed-grain producers resulted in
                                                                 courses in order to
       higher prices for their crops, but the higher prices
                                                                 acquire a minimal
       decreased the profits of livestock producers.
                                                                 competency in technical
    Ⅱ. In order to reduce crop surpluses and increase
                                                                 matters.
       prices, growers of certain crops were paid to leave
                                                               (D)If young people are not
       a portion of their land idle, but the reduction was
                                                                 to be overly influenced by
       not achieved because improvements in efficiency
                                                                 famous technocrats, they
       resulted in higher production on the land in use.
                                                                 must increase their
    Ⅲ.Many farm workers were put out of work when a
                                                                 knowledge of pure
       program meant to raise the price of grain provided
                                                                 science.
       grain growers with an incentive to reduce
                                                               (E) On public referenda
       production by giving them surplus grain from
                                                                 issues, young people tend
       government reserves.
                                                                 to confuse real or
    (A) Ⅰ, but not Ⅱ and not Ⅲ
                                                                 probable technologies
    (B) Ⅱ, but not Ⅰand not Ⅲ
                                                                 with impossible ideals.
    (C) Ⅰand Ⅲ, but not Ⅱ
    (D) Ⅱ and Ⅲ, but not Ⅰ
    (E) Ⅰ,Ⅱand Ⅲ
                                               7
16. In a political system with only two major parties, the 17. Companies considering new
     entrance of a third-party candidate into an election       cost-cutting manufacturing
     race damages the chances of only one of the two            processes often compare the
     major candidates. The third-party candidate always         projected results of making
     attracts some of the voters who might otherwise have       the investment against the
     voted for one of the two major candidates, but not         alternative of not making
     voters who support the other candidate. Since a third-     the investment with costs,
     party candidacy affects the two major candidates           selling prices, and share of
     unequally, for reasons neither of them has any             market remaining constant.
     control over, the practice is unfair and should not be
                                                                Which of the following,
     allowed.
                                                                assuming that each is a
     If the factual information in the passage above is         realistic possibility,
     true, which of the following can be most reliably          constitutes the most serious
     inferred from it?                                          disadvantage for companies
                                                                of using the method above
     (A) If the political platform of the third party is a
                                                                for evaluating the financial
        compromise position between that of the two
                                                                benefit of new
        major parties, the third party will draw its voters
                                                                manufacturing processes?
        equally from the two major parties.
     (B) If, before the emergence of a third party, voters      (A) The costs of materials
        were divided equally between the two major                 required by the new
        parties, neither of the major parties is likely to         process might not be
        capture much more than one-half of the vote.               known with certainty.
     (C) A third-party candidate will not capture the votes     (B) In several years interest
        of new voters who have never voted for candidates          rates might go down,
        of either of the two major parties.                        reducing the interest costs
     (D) The political stance of a third party will be more        of borrowing money to
        radical than that of either of the two major parties.      pay for the investment.
     (E) The founders of a third party are likely to be a       (C) Some cost-cutting
        coalition consisting of former leaders of the two          processes might require
        major parties.                                             such expensive
                                                                   investments that there
                                                                   would be no net gain for
                                                                   many years, until the
                                                                   investment was paid for
                                                                   by savings in the
                                                                   manufacturing process.
                                                                (D) Competitors that do
                                              8
      invest in a new process might reduce their selling     Questions 19-20 are based on the
      prices and thus take market share away from            following
      companies that do not.                                 Archaeologists     seeking      the
    (E) The period of year chosen for averaging out the      location of a legendary siege and
      cost of the investment might be somewhat longer        destruction of a city are
      or shorter, thus affecting the result.                 excavating in several possible
                                                             places, including a middle and a
18. There are far fewer children available for adoption      lower layer of a large mound.
     than there are people who want to adopt. Two million The bottom of the middle layer
     couples are currently waiting to adopt, but in 1982,    contains some pieces of pottery
     the last year for which figures exist, there were only of type 3, known to be from a
     some 50,000 adoptions.                                  later period than the time of the
     Which of the following statements, if true, most        destruction of the city, but the
     strengthens the author’s claim that there are far fewer lower layer does not.
     children available for adoption than there are people
                                                             19. Which of the following
     who want to adopt?
                                                                  hypotheses is best supported
     (A) The number of couples waiting to adopt has               by the evidence above?
        increased significantly in the last decade.
                                                                  (A) The lower layer
     (B) The number of adoptions in the current year is
                                                                    contains the remains of
        greater than the number of adoptions in any
                                                                    the city where the siege
        preceding year.
                                                                    took place.
     (C) The number of adoptions in a year is
                                                                  (B) The legend confuses
        approximately equal to the number of children
                                                                    stories from two different
        available for adoption in that period.
                                                                    historical periods.
     (D) People who seek to adopt children often go
                                                                  (C) The middle layer does
        through a long process of interviews and
                                                                    not represent the period
        investigation by adoption agencies.
                                                                    of the siege.
     (E) People who seek to adopt children generally
                                                                  (D) The siege lasted for a
        make very good parents.
                                                                    long time before the city
                                                                    was destroyed.
                                                                  (E) The pottery of type 3
                                                                    was imported to the city
                                                                    by traders.
                                         10
    CRITICAL REASONING TEST SECTION 2                              allowing the harmful
           30 Minutes 20 Questions                                 insects and fungi to
                                                                   thrive.
1. After the national speed limit of 55 miles per hour was    (D) Pollutants that are
   imposed in 1974, the number of deaths per mile driven           invisible and odorless are
   on a highway fell abruptly as a result. Since then,             emitted into the
   however, the average speed of vehicles on highways              surrounding air by the
   has risen, but the number of deaths per mile driven on a        refinery.
   highway has continued to fall.                             (E) The various species of
  Which of the following conclusions can be properly               insects and fungi
  drawn from the statements above?                                 mentioned in the study
                                                                   have been occasionally
  (A) The speed limit alone is probably not responsible
                                                                   found in the locality
       for the continued reduction in highway deaths in
                                                                   during the past hundred
       the years after 1974.
                                                                   years.
  (B) People have been driving less since 1974.
  (C) Driver-education courses have been more effective
       since 1974 in teaching drivers to drive safely.
  (D) In recent years highway patrols have been less
       effective in catching drivers who speed.
  (E) The change in the speed limit cannot be responsible
       for the abrupt decline in highway deaths in 1974.
                                              11
                                                                   than does television-
3. Sales taxes tend to be regressive, affecting poor people        watching.
   more severely than wealthy people. When all purchases      (C) The incidence of
   of consumer goods are taxed at a fixed percentage of            mosquito-borne
   the purchase price, poor people pay a larger proportion         encephalitis in counties
   of their income in sales taxes than wealthy people do.          with the largest number
  It can be correctly inferred on the basis of the                 of television sets per
  statements above that which of the following is true?            capita is likely to
                                                                   decrease even further.
  (A) Poor people constitute a larger proportion of the
                                                              (D) The more time people in a
       taxpaying population than wealthy people do.
                                                                   county spend outdoors,
  (B) Poor people spend a larger proportion of their
                                                                   the greater their
       income on purchases of consumer goods than
                                                                   awareness of the dangers
       wealthy people do.
                                                                   of mosquito-borne
  (C) Wealthy people pay, on average, a larger amount of
                                                                   encephalitis.
       sales taxes than poor people do.
                                                              (E) The more television sets
  (D) The total amount spent by all poor people on
                                                                   there are per capita in a
       purchases of consumer goods exceeds the total
                                                                   county, the more time the
       amount spent by all wealthy people on consumer
                                                                   average county resident
       goods.
                                                                   spends watching
  (E) The average purchase price of consumer goods
                                                                   television.
       bought by wealthy people is higher than that of
       consumer goods bought by poor people.
                                              12
                                                                   $50 would not be
5. The city’s public transportation system should be               persuaded to spend more
   removed from the jurisdiction of the municipal                  by any discount program.
   government, which finds it politically impossible either   (C) Most people who received
   to raise fares or to institute cost-saving reductions in        discounts on home
   service. If public transportation were handled by a             appliances through Red
   private firm, profits would be vigorously pursued,              Label’s program will shop
   thereby eliminating the necessity for covering operating        at Red Label after the
   costs with government funds.                                    program ends.
  The statements above best support the conclusion that       (D) Since the beginning of the
                                                                   discount program, most
  (A) the private firms that would handle public
                                                                   of the people who spend
       transportation would have experience in the
                                                                   $50 or more at Red Label
       transportation industry
                                                                   are people who have
  (B) political considerations would not prevent private
                                                                   never before shopped
       firms from ensuring that revenues cover operating
                                                                   there and whose average
       costs
                                                                   grocery bill has always
  (C) private firms would receive government funding if
                                                                   been higher than $50.
       it were needed to cover operating costs
                                                              (E) Almost all of the people
  (D) the public would approve the cost-cutting actions
                                                                   who have begun spending
       taken by the private firm
                                                                   $50 or more at Red Label
  (E) the municipal government would not be resigned to
                                                                   since the discount
       accumulating merely enough income to cover
                                                                   program began are
       costs
                                                                   longtime customers who
6. To entice customers away from competitors, Red Label            have increased the
   supermarkets have begun offering discounts on home              average amount of their
   appliances to customers who spend $50 or more on                shopping bills by making
   any shopping trip to Red Label. Red Label executives            fewer trips.
   claim that the discount program has been a huge
   success, since cash register receipts of $50 or more are
   up thirty percent since the beginning of the program.
                                              13
                                                                    constant.
7. Throughout the 1950’s, there were increases in the          (C) Employers often hire extra
   numbers of dead birds found in agricultural areas after          help during holiday and
   pesticide sprayings. Pesticide manufacturers claimed             warm weather seasons.
   that the publicity given to bird deaths stimulated          (D) The teenage
   volunteers to look for dead birds, and that the increase         unemployment rate rose
   in numbers reported was attributable to the increase in          more quickly in the
   the number of people looking.                                    1970’s than it did in the
  Which of the following statements, if true, would help            1960’s.
  to refute the claim of the pesticide manufacturers?          (E) The teenage
                                                                    unemployment rate has
  (A)The publicity given to bird deaths was largely
                                                                    occasionally declined in
       regional and never reached national proportions.
                                                                    the years since 1960.
  (B) Pesticide sprayings were timed to coincide with
       various phases of the life cycles of the insects they
       destroyed.
  (C)No provision was made to ensure that a dead bird
       would not be reported by more than one observer.
  (D) Initial increases in bird deaths had been noticed by
       agricultural workers long before any publicity had
       been given to the matter.
  (E) Dead birds of the same species as those found in
       agricultural areas had been found along coastal
       areas where no farming took place.
                                               14
                                                                 of other divisions is
9. Which of the following best completes the passage             irrelevant.
   below?                                                      (C) If this is the first year
  The computer industry’s estimate that it loses millions        that the New Hampshire
  of dollars when users illegally copy programs without          Division has been last in
  paying for them is greatly exaggerated. Most of the            sales among Company
  illegal copying is done by people with no serious              X’s divisions, the new
  interest in the programs. Thus, the loss to the industry       record is not surprising at
  is much smaller than estimated because                         all.
                                                               (D) If overall sales for
  (A) many users who illegally copy programs never find
                                                                 Company X were greater
       any use for them
                                                                 than usual, it is not
  (B) most of the illegally copied programs would not be
                                                                 surprising that the New
       purchased even if purchasing them were the only
                                                                 Hampshire Division was
       way to obtain them
                                                                 last in sales.
  (C) even if the computer industry received all the
                                                               (E) Since the New
       revenue it claims to be losing, it would still be
                                                                 Hampshire Division has
       experiencing financial difficulties
                                                                 the smallest potential
  (D) the total market value of all illegal copies is low in
                                                                 market, it is not surprising
       comparison to the total revenue of the computer
                                                                 that it had the lowest
       industry
                                                                 sales.
  (E) the number of programs that are frequently copied
       illegally is low in comparison to the number of
       programs available for sale
                                               15
                                                            best support the new
11. Statement of a United States copper mining company:     report’s suggestion?
     Import quotas should be imposed on the less
                                                            (A) In cases where X occurs
     expensive copper mined outside the country to
                                                              but Y does not, X is
     maintain the price of copper in this country;
                                                              usually followed by Z.
     otherwise, our companies will not be able to stay in
                                                            (B) In cases where X
     business.
                                                              occurs, followed by Y, Y
    Response of a United States copper wire                   is usually followed by Z.
    manufacturer: United States wire and cable              (C) In cases where Y occurs
    manufacturers purchase about 70 percent of the            but X does not, Y is
    copper mined in the United States. If the copper          usually followed by Z.
    prices we pay are not at the international level, our   (D) In cases where Y occurs
    sales will drop, and then the demand for United           but Z does not, Y is
    States copper will go down.                               usually preceded by X.
    If the factual information presented by both            (E) In cases where Z occurs,
    companies is accurate, the best assessment of the         it is usually preceded by
    logical relationship between the two arguments is         X and Y.
    that the wire manufacturer’s argument
                                              16
                                                                 seat belts when traveling
13. Mr. Primm: If hospitals were private enterprises,            by car.
    dependent on profits for their survival, there would       (C) More drivers and front-
    be no teaching hospitals, because of the intrinsically       seat passengers in the
    high cost of running such hospitals.                         survey than rear-seat
    Ms. Nakai: I disagree. The medical challenges                passengers were very
    provided by teaching hospitals attract the very best         severely injured.
    physicians. This, in turn, enables those hospitals to      (D) More than half of the
    concentrate on nonroutine cases.                             drivers and front-seat
                                                                 passengers in the survey
    Which of the following, if true, would most
                                                                 were not wearing seat
    strengthen Ms. Nakai’s attempt to refute Mr. Primm’s
                                                                 belts at the time of their
    claim?
                                                                 accidents.
    (A) Doctors at teaching hospitals command high             (E) Most of the auto
      salaries.                                                  accidents reported to
    (B) Sophisticated, nonroutine medical care                   police in Dole County do
      commands a high price.                                     not involve any serious
    (C) Existing teaching hospitals derive some revenue          injury.
      from public subsidies.
    (D) The patient mortality rate at teaching hospitals is
      high.
    (E) The modern trend among physicians is to become
      highly specialized.
                                               17
                                                              Which of the following best
15. Six months or so after getting a video recorder, many     describes how the consumer
     early buyers apparently lost interest in obtaining       counters the advertiser’s
     videos to watch on it. The trade of businesses selling   argument?
     and renting videos is still buoyant, because the
                                                              (A) By alleging something
     number of homes with video recorders is still
                                                                that, if true, would
     growing. But clearly, once the market for video
                                                                weaken the plausibility of
     recorders is saturated, businesses distributing videos
                                                                the advertiser’s
     face hard times.
                                                                conclusion
    Which of the following, if true, would most seriously     (B) By questioning the truth
    weaken the conclusion above?                                of the purportedly factual
    (A) The market for video recorders would not be             statement on which the
      considered saturated until there was one in 80            advertiser’s conclusion is
      percent of homes.                                         based
    (B) Among the items handled by video distributors         (C) By offering an
      are many films specifically produced as video             interpretation of the
      features.                                                 advertiser’s opening
    (C) Few of the early buyers of video recorders raised       statement that, if accurate,
      any complaints about performance aspects of the           shows that there is an
      new product.                                              implicit contradiction in it
    (D) The early buyers of a novel product are always        (D) By pointing out that the
      people who are quick to acquire novelties, but also       advertiser’s point of view
      often as quick to tire of them.                           is biased
    (E) In a shrinking market, competition always             (E) By arguing that the
      intensifies and marginal businesses fail.                 advertiser too narrowly
                                                                restricts the discussion to
16. Advertiser: The revenue that newspapers and                 the effects of advertising
     magazines earn by publishing advertisements allows         that are economic
     publishers to keep the prices per copy of their
     publications much lower than would otherwise be
     possible. Therefore, consumers benefit economically
     from advertising.
                                              18
                                                                recession when rumors of
17. Mr. Lawson: We should adopt a national family policy        cutbacks and layoffs at
    that includes legislation requiring employers to            Lark Manufacturing were
    provide paid parental leave and establishing                plentiful .
    government-sponsored day care. Such laws would            (B) The surveys also
    decrease the stress levels of employees who have            showed that those Lark
    responsibility for small children. Thus, such laws          machine operators who
    would lead to happier, better-adjusted families.            neither participated in
    Which of the following, if true, would most                 Quality Circles nor knew
    strengthen the conclusion above?                            anyone who did so
                                                                reported the same degree
    (A) An employee’s high stress level can be a cause of
                                                                of lessened satisfaction
      unhappiness and poor adjustment for his or her
                                                                with their work situations
      family.
                                                                as did the Lark machine
    (B) People who have responsibility for small
                                                                operators who
      children and who work outside the home have
                                                                participated in Quality
      higher stress levels than those who do not.
                                                                Circles.
    (C) The goal of a national family policy is to lower
                                                              (C) While participating in
      the stress levels of parents.
                                                                Quality Circles at Lark
    (D) Any national family policy that is adopted would
                                                                Manufacturing, machine
      include legislation requiring employers to provide
                                                                operators exhibited two of
      paid parental leave and establishing government-
                                                                the primary indicators of
      sponsored day care.
                                                                improved job satisfaction:
    (E) Most children who have been cared for in
                                                                increased productivity
      daycare centers are happy and well adjusted.
                                                                and decreased
18. Lark Manufacturing Company initiated a voluntary            absenteeism.
     Quality Circles program for machine operators.
     Independent surveys of employee attitudes indicated
     that the machine operators participating in the
     program were less satisfied with their work situations
     after two years of the program’s existence than they
     were at the program’s start. Obviously, any workers
     who participate in a Quality Circles program will, as
     a result, become less satisfied with their jobs.
                                              19
     (D) Several workers at Lark Manufacturing who had        consequences of instituting
       participated in Quality Circles while employed at      the new tests is best
       other companies reported that, while participating     supported by the passage
       in Quality Circles in their previous companies,        above?
       their work satisfaction had increased.
                                                              (A) The incidence of new
    (E) The machine operators who participated in
                                                                cases of NANB hepatitis
       Quality Circles reported that, when the program
                                                                is likely to go up by 10
       started, they felt that participation might improve
                                                                percent.
       their work situations.
                                                              (B) Donations made by
                                                                patients specifically for
Questions 19-20 are based on the following.
                                                                their own use are likely to
Blood banks will shortly start to screen all donors for
                                                                become less frequent.
NANB hepatitis. Although the new screening tests are
                                                              (C) The demand for blood
estimated to disqualify up to 5 percent of all prospective
                                                                from blood banks is likely
blood donors, they will still miss two-thirds of donors
                                                                to fluctuate more
carrying NANB hepatitis. Therefore, about 10 percent of
                                                                strongly.
actual donors will still supply NANB-contaminated
                                                              (D) The blood supplies
blood.
                                                                available from blood
                                                                banks are likely to go
19. The argument above depends on which of the
                                                                down.
     following assumptions?
                                                              (E) The number of
    (A) Donors carrying NANB hepatitis do not, in a             prospective first-time
      large percentage of cases, carry other infections for     donors is likely to go up
      which reliable screening tests are routinely              by 5 percent.
      performed.
    (B) Donors carrying NANB hepatitis do not, in a
      large percentage of cases, develop the disease
      themselves at any point.
    (C) The estimate of the number of donors who would
      be disqualified by tests for NANB hepatitis is an
      underestimate.
    (D) The incidence of NANB hepatitis is lower
      among the potential blood donors than it is in the
      population at large.
    (E) The donors who will still supply NANB-
      contaminated blood will donate blood at the
      average frequency for all donors.
  (A) supermarkets will not also be selling children’s       If plant propagation by such
       clothes in the same manner                            methods in laboratories proves
  (B) personal service by sales personnel is not required    economical, each of the
       for selling children’s clothes successfully           following, if true, represents a
  (C) the same kind of computers will be used in             benefit of the new techniques
       inventory control for both clothes and toys at        to farmers
       Child’s World                                         EXCEPT:
  (D) a self-service plan cannot be employed without         (A) The techniques allow the
       computerized inventory control                            development of superior
  (E) sales clerks are the only employees of Child’s             strains to take place more
       World who could be assigned tasks related to              rapidly, requiring fewer
       inventory control                                         generations of plants
                                                                 grown to maturity.
2. Continuous indoor fluorescent light benefits the health
   of hamsters with inherited heart disease. A group of
   them exposed to continuous fluorescent light survived
   twenty-five percent longer than a similar group
   exposed instead to equal periods of indoor fluorescent
   light and of darkness.
                                                 22
                                                                   is neglected in favor of
6. Banning cigarette advertisements in the mass media              the coverage of local
   will not reduce the number of young people who                  events.
   smoke. They know that cigarettes exist and they know       (C) Readers of local news in
   how to get them. They do not need the advertisements            newspapers tend to
   to supply that information.                                     overestimate the amount
  The above argument would be most weakened if which               of crime in their own
  of the following were true?                                      localities relative to the
                                                                   amount of crime in other
  (A) Seeing or hearing an advertisement for a product
                                                                   places.
       tends to increase people’s desire for that product.
                                                              (D) None of the events
  (B) Banning cigarette advertisements in the mass media
                                                                   concerning other people
       will cause an increase in advertisements in places
                                                                   that are reported in
       where cigarettes are sold.
                                                                   newspapers is so salient
  (C) Advertisements in the mass media have been an
                                                                   in people’s minds as their
       exceedingly large part of the expenditures of the
                                                                   own personal
       tobacco companies.
                                                                   experiences.
  (D) Those who oppose cigarette use have advertised
                                                              (E) The press is the news
       against it in the mass media ever since cigarettes
                                                                   medium that focuses
       were found to be harmful.
                                                                   people’s attention most
  (E) Older people tend to be less influenced by mass-
                                                                   strongly on local crimes.
       media advertisements than younger people tend to
       be.
                                               23
                                                              (E) an attack on the character
8. By analyzing the garbage of a large number of average-          of the opposition.
   sized households, a group of modern urban
   anthropologists has found that a household discards      10. Which of the following, if
   less food the more standardized—made up of canned            true, would most likely be
   and prepackaged foods—its diet is. The more                  part of the evidence used to
   standardized a household’s diet is, however, the greater     refute the conclusion above?
   the quantities of fresh produce the household throws
                                                                (A) Accountants, lawyers,
   away.
                                                                   and physicians attained
   Which of the following can be properly inferred from            their current relatively
   the passage?                                                    high levels of income and
                                                                   prestige at about the same
   (A) An increasing number of households rely on a
                                                                   time that the pay and
        highly standardized diet.
                                                                   status of teachers, bank
   (B) The less standardized a household’s diet is, the
                                                                   tellers, and secretaries
        more nonfood waste the household discards.
                                                                   slipped.
   (C) The less standardized a household’s diet is, the
                                                                (B) When large numbers of
        smaller is the proportion of fresh produce in the
                                                                   men join a female-
        household’s food waste.
                                                                   dominated occupation,
   (D) The less standardized a household’s diet is, the
                                                                   such as airline flight
        more canned and prepackaged foods the household
                                                                   attendant, the status and
        discards as waste.
                                                                   pay of the occupation
   (E) The more fresh produce a household buys, the more
                                                                   tend to increase.
        fresh produce it throws away.
                                               25
    (B) Most significant gains in the accuracy of the       exporters in 1953, four had
      relevant mathematical models are accompanied by       the same share of total
      clear gains in the precision of weather forecasts.    world exports in 1984 as in
    (C) Mathematical models of the meteorological           1953. Theses countries can
      aftermath of such catastrophic events as volcanic     therefore serve as models
      eruptions are beginning to be constructed.            for those countries that wish
    (D) Modern weather forecasts for as much as a full      to keep their share of the
      day ahead are broadly correct about 80 percent of     global export trade stable
      the time.                                             over the years.
    (E) Meteorologists readily concede that the accurate
                                                            Which of the following, if
      mathematical model they are talking about is not
                                                            true, casts the most serious
      now in their power to construct.
                                                            doubt on the suitability of
                                                            those four countries as
13. Which of the following, if true, would cast the most
                                                            models in the sense
    serious doubt on the meteorologists’ boast, aside
                                                            described?
    from the doubt expressed in the passage above?
                                                            (A) Many countries wish to
    (A) The amount of energy that the Earth receives
                                                              increase their share of
      from the Sun is monitored closely and is known
                                                              world export trade, not
      not to be constant.
                                                              just keep it stable.
    (B) Volcanic eruptions, the combustion of fossil
                                                            (B) Many countries are less
      fuels, and several other processes that also cannot
                                                              concerned with exports
      be quantified with any accuracy are known to have
                                                              alone than with he
      a significant and continuing impact on the
                                                              balance between exports
      constitution of the atmosphere.
                                                              and imports.
    (C) As current models of the atmosphere are
      improved, even small increments in complexity
      will mean large increases in the number of
      computers required for the representation of the
      models.
    (D) Frequent and accurate data about the atmosphere
      collected at a large number of points both on and
      above the ground are a prerequisite for the
      construction of a good model of the atmosphere.
    (E) With existing models of the atmosphere, large
      scale weather patterns can be predicted with
      greater accuracy than can relatively local weather
      patterns.
                                             27
17. Lists of hospitals have been compiled showing which        argument?
     hospitals have patient death rates exceeding the
                                                               (A) It cites evidence that, if
     national average. The data have been adjusted to
                                                                 true, tends to disprove the
     allow for differences in the ages of patients.
                                                                 evidence cited by Teresa
    Each of the following, if true, provides a good              in drawing her
    logical ground for hospitals to object to interpreting       conclusion.
    rank on these lists as one of the indices of the quality   (B) It indicates a logical gap
    of hospital care EXCEPT:                                     in the support that Teresa
                                                                 offers for her conclusion.
    (A) Rank order might indicate insignificant
                                                               (C) It raises a consideration
      differences, rather than large differences, in
                                                                 that outweighs the
      numbers of patient deaths.
                                                                 argument Teresa makes.
    (B) Hospitals that keep patients longer are likely to
                                                               (D) It does not meet
      have higher death rates than those that discharge
                                                                 Teresa’s point because it
      patients earlier but do not record deaths of patients
                                                                 assumes that there is no
      at home after discharge.
                                                                 serious impediment to
    (C) Patients who are very old on admission to a
                                                                 transporting people into
      hospital are less likely than younger patients to
                                                                 space, but this was the
      survive the same types of illnesses or surgical
                                                                 issue raised by Teresa.
      procedures.
                                                               (E) It fails to respond to
    (D) Some hospitals serve a larger proportion of low-
                                                                 Teresa’s argument
      income patients, who tend to be more seriously ill
                                                                 because it does not
      when admitted to a hospital.
                                                                 address the fundamental
    (E) For-profit hospitals sometimes do not provide
                                                                 issue of whether space
      intensive-care units and other expensive services
                                                                 activities should have
      for very sick patients but refer or transfer such
                                                                 priority over other claims
      patients to other hospitals.
                                                                 on the national budget.
18. Teresa: Manned spaceflight does not have a future,
     since it cannot compete economically with other
     means of accomplishing the objectives of
     spaceflight.
                                               28
19. Black Americans are, on the whole, about twice as       20. The following proposal to
     likely as White Americans to develop high blood             amend the bylaws of an
     pressure. This likelihood also holds for westernized        organization was circulated
     Black Africans when compared to White Africans.             to its members for
                                                                 comment.
    Researchers have hypothesized that this
    predisposition in westernized Blacks may reflect an         When more than one
    interaction between western high-salt diets and genes       nominee is to be named for
    that adapted to an environmental scarcity of salt.          an office, prospective
                                                                nominees must consent to
    Which of the following statements about present-day,
                                                                nomination and before
    westernized Black Africans, if true, would most tend
                                                                giving such consent must be
    to confirm the researchers’ hypothesis?
                                                                told who the other nominees
    (A) The blood pressures of those descended from             will be.
      peoples situated throughout their history in
                                                                Which of the following
      Senegal and Gambia, where salt was always
                                                                comments concerning the
      available, are low.
                                                                logic of the proposal is
    (B) The unusually high salt consumption in certain
                                                                accurate if it cannot be
      areas of Africa represents a serious health
                                                                known who the actual
      problem.
                                                                nominees are until
    (C) Because of their blood pressure levels, most
                                                                prospective nominees have
      White Africans have markedly decreased their salt
                                                                given their consent to be
      consumption.
                                                                nominated?
    (D) Blood pressures are low among the Yoruba, who,
      throughout their history, have been situated far          (A) The proposal would
      inland from sources of sea salt and far south of            make it possible for each
      Saharan salt mines.                                         of several nominees for
    (E) No significant differences in salt metabolism             an office to be aware of
      have been found between those people who have               who all of the other
      had salt available throughout their history and             nominees are.
      those who have not.                                       (B) The proposal would
                                                                  widen the choice
                                                                  available to those
                                                                  choosing among the
                                                                  nominees.
                                                                (C) If there are several
                                                                  prospective nominees, the
                                                                  proposal would deny the
                                                                  last nominee equal
                                              29
  treatment with the first.                            CRITICAL REASONING
(D)The proposal would enable a prospective                TEST SECTION 4
  nominee to withdraw from competition with a          30 Minutes 20 Questions
  specific person without making that withdrawal
  known.                                             1. Which of the following best
(E) If there is more than one prospective nominee,      completes the passage below?
  the proposal would make it impossible for anyone     In a survey of job applicants,
  to become a nominee.                                 two-fifths admitted to being at
                                                       least a little dishonest.
                                                       However, the survey may
                                                       underestimate the proportion
                                                       of job applicants who are
                                                       dishonest, because——.
                                      30
whole is 73.9 years, but children born in Hawaii will live
an average of 77 years, and those born in Louisiana, 71.7 3. Which of the following
years. If a newlywed couple from Louisiana were to begin     statements, if true, would most
their family in Hawaii, therefore, their children would be   significantly strengthen the
expected to live longer than would be the case if the        conclusion drawn in the
family remained in Louisiana.                                passage?
                                                              4. Insurance Company X is
                                                                 considering issuing a new
                                                                 policy to cover services
                                                                 required by elderly people
                                                                 who suffer from diseases that
                                                                 afflict the elderly. Premiums
                                              31
for the policy must be low enough to attract customers.
Therefore, Company X is concerned that the income        5. A program instituted in a
from the policies would not be sufficient to pay for the    particular state allows parents
claims that would be made.                                  to prepay their children’s
                                                            future college tuition at current
Which of the following strategies would be most likely
                                                            rates. The program then pays
to minimize Company X’s losses on the policies?
                                                            the tuition annually for the
(A) Attracting middle-aged customers unlikely to            child at any of the state’s
     submit claims for benefits for many years              public colleges in which the
(B) Insuring only those individuals who did not suffer      child enrolls. Parents should
     any serious diseases as children                       participate in the program as a
(C) Including a greater number of services in the policy    means of decreasing the cost
     than are included in other policies of lower cost      for their children’s college
(D) Insuring only those individuals who were rejected       education.
     by other companies for similar policies
                                                            Which of the following, if
(E) Insuring only those individuals who are wealthy
                                                            true, is the most appropriate
     enough to pay for the medical services
                                                            reason for parents not to
                                                            participate in the program?
                                            32
       colleges are contemplating large increases in
       tuition next year.                                    7. The ice on the front
  (E) The prepayment plan would not cover the cost of           windshield of the car had
       room and board at any of the state’s public              formed when moisture
       colleges.                                                condensed during the night.
                                                                The ice melted quickly after
6. Company Alpha buys free-travel coupons from people           the car was warmed up the
   who are awarded the coupons by Bravo Airlines for            next morning because the
   flying frequently on Bravo airplanes. The coupons are        defrosting vent, which blows
   sold to people who pay less for the coupons than they        only on the front windshield,
   would pay by purchasing tickets from Bravo. This             was turned on full force.
   marketing of coupons results in lost revenue for Bravo.
                                                               Which of the following, if
  To discourage the buying and selling of free-travel          true, most seriously
  coupons, it would be best for Bravo Airlines to restrict     jeopardizes the validity of the
  the                                                          explanation for the speed with
                                                               which the ice melted?
  (A) number of coupons that a person can be awarded in
       a particular year                                       (A) The side windows had no
  (B) use of the coupons to those who were awarded the              ice condensation on them.
       coupons and members of their immediate families         (B) Even though no attempt
  (C) days that the coupons can be used to Monday                   was made to defrost the
       through Friday                                               back window, the ice
  (D) amount of time that the coupons can be used after             there melted at the same
       they are issued                                              rate as did the ice on the
  (E) number of routes on which travelers can use the               front windshield.
       coupons                                                 (C) The speed at which ice on
                                                                    a window melts increases
                                                                    as the temperature of the
                                                                    air blown on the window
                                                                    increases.
                                                               (D) The warm air from the
                                                                    defrosting vent for the
                                                                    front windshield cools
                                                                    rapidly as it dissipates
                                                                    throughout the rest of the
                                                                    car.
                                                               (E) The defrosting vent
                                                                    operates efficiently even
                                                                    when the heater, which
                                              33
       blows warm air toward the feet or faces of the
       driver and passengers, is on.                           9. A conservation group in the
                                                                  United States is trying to
8. To prevent some conflicts of interest, Congress could          change the long-standing
   prohibit high-level government officials from accepting        image of bats as frightening
   positions as lobbyists for three years after such officials    creatures. The group contends
   leave government service. One such official concluded,         that bats are feared and
   however, that such a prohibition would be unfortunate          persecuted solely because they
   because it would prevent high-level government                 are shy animals that are active
   officials from earning a livelihood for three years.           only at night.
                                               34
       the behavior of other greatly feared animal           Questions 11-12 are based on the
       species, such as lions, alligators, and snakes, than  following.
       they do about the behavior of bats.                   The fewer restrictions there are
                                                             on the advertising of legal
10. Meteorite explosions in the Earth’s atmosphere as        services, the more lawyers there
    large as the one that destroyed forests in Siberia, with are who advertise their services,
    approximately the force of a twelve-megaton nuclear and the lawyers who advertise a
    blast, occur about once a century.                       specific service usually charge
    The response of highly automated systems controlled less for that service than lawyers
    by complex computer programs to unexpected               who do not advertise. Therefore,
    circumstances is unpredictable.                          if the state removes any of its
                                                             current restrictions, such as the
    Which of the following conclusions can most
                                                             one against advertisements that
    properly be drawn, if the statements above are true,
                                                             do not specify fee arrangements,
    about a highly automated nuclear-missile defense
                                                             overall consumer legal costs will
    system controlled by a complex computer program?
                                                             be lower than if the state retains
    (A) Within a century after its construction, the         its current restrictions.
       system would react inappropriately and might
       accidentally start a nuclear war.                     11. If the statements above are
    (B) The system would be destroyed if an explosion              true, which of the following
       of a large meteorite occurred in the Earth’s                must be true?
      atmosphere.                                                 (A) Some lawyers who now
    (C) It would be impossible for the system to                    advertise will charge
      distinguish the explosion of a large meteorite from           more for specific services
      the explosion of a nuclear weapon.                            if they do not have to
    (D) Whether the system would respond                            specify fee arrangements
      inappropriately to the explosion of a large                   in the advertisements.
      meteorite would depend on the location of the               (B) More consumers will
      blast.                                                        use legal services if there
    (E) It is not certain what the system’s response to the         are fewer restrictions on
      explosion of a large meteorite would be, if its               the advertising of legal
      designers did not plan for such a contingency.                services.
                                                                  (C) If the restriction against
                                                                    advertisements that do not
                                                                    specify fee arrangements
                                                                    is removed, more lawyers
                                                                    will advertise their
                                                                    services.
                                               35
    (D) If more lawyers advertise lower prices for           13. Defense Department analysts
      specific services, some lawyers who do not                  worry that the ability of the
      advertise will also charge less than they currently         United States to wage a
      charge for those services.                                  prolonged war would be
    (E) If the only restrictions on the advertising of legal      seriously endangered if the
      services were those that apply to every type of             machine-tool manufacturing
      advertising, most lawyers would advertise their             base shrinks further. Before
      services.                                                   the Defense Department
                                                                  publicly connected this
12. Which of the following, if true, would most seriously         security issue with the
    weaken the argument concerning overall consumer               import quota issue,
    legal costs?                                                  however, the machine-tool
    (A) The state has recently removed some other                 industry raised the national
      restrictions that had limited the advertising of legal      security issue in its petition
      services.                                                   for import quotas.
    (B) The state is unlikely to remove all of the                Which of the following, if
      restrictions that apply solely to the advertising of        true, contributes most to an
      legal services.                                             explanation of the machine-
    (C) Lawyers who do not advertise generally provide            tool industry’s raising the
      legal services of the same quality as those                 issue above regarding
      provided by lawyers who do advertise.                       national security?
    (D) Most lawyers who now specify fee arrangements
                                                                  (A) When the aircraft
      in their advertisements would continue to do so
                                                                    industries retooled, they
      even if the specification were not required.
                                                                    provided a large amount
    (E) Most lawyers who advertise specific services do
                                                                    of work for tool builders.
      not lower their fees for those services when they
                                                                  (B) The Defense
      begin to advertise.
                                                                    Department is only
                                                                    marginally concerned
                                                                    with the effects of foreign
                                                                    competition on the
                                                                    machine-tool industry.
                                                                  (C) The machine-tool
                                                                    industry encountered
                                                                    difficulty in obtaining
                                                                    governmental protection
                                                                    against imports on
                                                                    grounds other than
                                                                    defense.
                                               36
     (D) A few weapons important for defense consist of
       parts that do not require extensive machining.        15. The cost of producing radios
     (E) Several federal government programs have been            in Country Q is ten percent
       designed which will enable domestic machine-tool           less than the cost of
       manufacturing firms to compete successfully with           producing radios in Country
       foreign toolmakers.                                        Y. Even after transportation
                                                                  fees and tariff charges are
14. Opponents of laws that require automobile drivers and         added, it is still cheaper for
     passengers to wear seat belts argue that in a free           a company to import radios
     society people have the right to take risks as long as       from Country Q to Country
     the people do not harm others as a result of taking          Y than to produce radios in
     the risks. As a result, they conclude that it should be      Country Y.
     each person’s decision whether or not to wear a seat
                                                                  The statements above, if
     belt.
                                                                  true, best support which of
     Which of the following, if true, most seriously              the following assertions?
     weakens the conclusion drawn above?
                                                                  (A) Labor costs in Country
     (A) Many new cars are built with seat belts that                Q are ten percent below
       automatically fasten when someone sits in the                 those in Country Y.
       front seat.                                                (B) Importing radios from
     (B) Automobile insurance rates for all automobile               Country Q to Country Y
       owners are higher because of the need to pay for              will eliminate ten percent
       the increased injuries or deaths of people not                of the manufacturing jobs
       wearing seat belts.                                           in Country Y.
     (C) Passengers in airplanes are required to wear seat        (C) The tariff on a radio
       belts during takeoffs and landings.                           imported from Country Q
     (D) The rate of automobile fatalities in states that do         to Country Y is less than
       not have mandatory seat-belt laws is greater than             ten percent of the cost of
       the rate of fatalities in states that do have such            manufacturing the radio
       laws.                                                         in Country Y.
     (E) In automobile accidents, a greater number of             (D) The fee for transporting
       passengers who do not wear seat belts are injured             a radio from Country Q to
       than are passengers who do wear seat belts.                   Country Y is more than
                                                                     ten percent of the cost of
                                                                     manufacturing the radio
                                                                     in Country Q.
                                                                  (E) It takes ten percent less
                                                                     time to manufacture a
                                                                     radio in Country Q than it
                                              37
       does in Country Y.
                                                           17. One state adds a 7 percent
16. During the Second World War, about 375,000                  sales tax to the price of most
     civilians died in the United States and about 408,000      products purchased within
     members of the United States armed forces died             its jurisdiction. This tax,
     overseas. On the basis of those figures, it can be         therefore, if viewed as tax
     concluded that it was not much more dangerous to be        on income, has the reverse
     overseas in the armed forces during the Second             effect of the federal income
     World War than it was to stay at home as a civilian.       tax: the lower the income,
                                                                the higher the annual
     Which of the following would reveal most clearly
                                                                percentage rate at which the
     the absurdity of the conclusion drawn above?
                                                                income is taxed.
     (A) Counting deaths among members of the armed
                                                                The conclusion above
       forces who served in the United States in addition
                                                                would be properly drawn if
       to deaths among members of the armed forces
                                                                which of the following were
       serving overseas
                                                                assumed as a premise?
     (B) Expressing the difference between the numbers
       of deaths among civilians and members of the             (A) The amount of money
       armed forces as a percentage of the total number            citizens spend on
       of deaths                                                   products subject to the
     (C) Separating deaths caused by accidents during              state tax tends to be equal
       service in the armed forces from deaths caused by           across income levels.
       combat injuries                                          (B) The federal income tax
     (D) Comparing death rates per thousand members of             favors citizens with high
       each group rather than comparing total numbers of           incomes, whereas the
       deaths                                                      state sales tax favors
     (E) Comparing deaths caused by accidents in the               citizens with low
       United States to deaths caused by combat in the             incomes.
       armed forces.                                            (C) Citizens with low
                                                                   annual incomes can
                                                                   afford to pay a relatively
                                                                   higher percentage of their
                                                                   incomes in state sales tax,
                                                                   since their federal income
                                                                   tax is relatively low.
                                                                (D) The lower a state’s sales
                                                                   tax, the more it will tend
                                                                   to redistribute income
                                                                   from the more affluent
                                             38
      citizens to the rest of society.                       Questions 19-20 are based on the
    (E) Citizens who fail to earn federally taxable          following.
      income are also exempt from the state sales tax.       Surveys show that every year
                                                             only 10 percent of cigarette
                                                             smokers switch brands. Yet the
                                                             manufacturers have been
18. The average age of chief executive officers (CEO’s) in   spending an amount equal to 10
     a large sample of companies is 57. The average age      percent of their gross receipts on
     of CEO’s in those same companies 20 years ago was       cigarette promotion in
     approximately eight years younger. On the basis of      magazines. It follows from these
     those data, it can be concluded that CEO’s in general   figures that inducing cigarette
     tend to be older now.                                   smokers to switch brands did not
    Which of the following casts the most doubt on the       pay, and that cigarette companies
    conclusion drawn above?                                  would have been no worse off
                                                             economically if they had
    (A) The dates when the CEO’s assumed their current       dropped their advertising.
      positions have not been specified.
    (B) No information is given concerning the average 19. Of the following, the best
      number of years that CEO’s remain in office.          criticism of the conclusion
    (C) The information is based only on companies that     that inducing cigarette
      have been operating for at least 20 years.            smokers to switch brands
    (D) Only approximate information is given               did not pay is that the
      concerning the average age of the CEO’s 20 years      conclusion is based on
      ago.
                                                            (A) computing advertising
    (E) Information concerning the exact number of
                                                               costs as a percentage of
      companies in the sample has not been given.
                                                               gross receipts, not of
                                                               overall costs
                                                            (B) past patterns of smoking
                                                               and may not carry over to
                                                               the future
                                                            (C) the assumption that each
                                                               smoker is loyal to a single
                                                               brand of cigarettes at any
                                                               one time
                                                            (D) the assumption that
                                                               each manufacturer
                                                               produces only one brand
                                                               of cigarettes
                                             39
    (E) figures for the cigarette industry as a whole and      CRITICAL REASONING
      may not hold for a particular company                      TEST SECTION 5
                                                                  30 MINUTES 20
20. Which of the following, if true, most serinously               QUESTIONS
    weakens the conclusion that cigarette companies
    could have dropped advertising without suffering       1. Toughened hiring standards
    economically?                                             have not been the primary
                                                              cause of the present staffing
    (A) Cigarette advertisements provide a major
                                                              shortage in public schools.
      proportion of total advertising revenue for
                                                              The shortage of teachers is
      numerous magazines.
                                                              primarily caused by the fact
    (B) Cigarette promotion serves to attract first-time
                                                              that in recent years teachers
      smokers to replace those people who have stopped
                                                              have not experienced any
      smoking.
                                                              improvements in working
    (C) There exists no research conclusively demon-
                                                              conditions and their salaries
      strating that increases in cigarette advertising are
                                                              have not kept pace with
      related to increases in smoking.
                                                              salaries in other professions.
    (D) Advertising is so firmly established as a major
      business activity of cigarette manufacturers that       Which of the following, if
      they would be unlikely to drop it.                      true, would most support the
    (E) Brand loyalty is typically not very strong among      claims above?
      those who smoke inexpensive cigarettes.
                                                              (A) Many teachers already in
                                                                    the profession would not
                                                                    have been hired under the
                                                                    new hiring standards.
                                                              (B) Today more teachers are
                                                                    entering the profession
                                                                    with a higher educational
                                                                    level than in the past.
                                                              (C) Some teachers have cited
                                                                    higher standards for
                                                                    hiring as a reason for the
                                                                    current staffing shortage.
                                                              (D) Many teachers have cited
                                                                    low pay and lack of
                                                                    professional freedom as
                                                                    reasons for their leaving
                                                                    the profession.
                                                              (E) Many prospective teachers
                                              40
        have cited the new hiring standards as a reason for
        not entering the profession.                           3. Even though most universities
                                                                  retain the royalties from
2. A proposed ordinance requires the installation in new          faculty members’ inventions,
   homes of sprinklers automatically triggered by the             the faculty members retain the
   presence of a fire. However, a home builder argued that        royalties from books and
   because more than ninety percent of residential fires are      articles they write. Therefore,
   extinguished by a household member, residential                faculty members should retain
   sprinklers would only marginally decrease property             the royalties from the
   damage caused by residential fires.                            educational computer software
                                                                  they develop.
   Which of the following, if true, would most seriously
   weaken the home builder’s argument?                            The conclusion above would
                                                                  be more reasonably drawn if
   (A) Most individuals have no formal training in how to
                                                                  which of the following were
        extinguish fires.
                                                                  inserted into the argument as
   (B) Since new homes are only a tiny percentage of
                                                                  an additional premise?
        available housing in the city, the new ordinance
        would be extremely narrow in scope.                       (A) Royalties from inventions
   (C) The installation of smoke detectors in new                       are higher than royalties
        residences costs significantly less than the                    from educational software
        installation of sprinklers.                                     programs.
   (D) In the city where the ordinance was proposed, the          (B) Faculty members are more
        average time required by the fire department to                 likely to produce
        respond to a fire was less than the national                    educational software
        average.                                                        programs than inventions.
   (E) The largest proportion of property damage that             (C) Inventions bring more
        results from residential fires is caused by fires that          prestige to universities
        start when no household member is present.                      than do books and
                                                                        articles.
                                                                  (D) In the experience of most
                                                                        universities, educational
                                                                        software programs are
                                                                        more marketable than are
                                                                        books and articles.
                                                                  (E) In terms of the criteria
                                                                        used to award royalties,
                                                                        educational software
                                                                        programs are more nearly
                                                                        comparable to books and
                                               41
       articles than to inventions.
                                                              5. When limitations were in
4. Increases in the level of high-density lipoprotein            effect on nuclear-arms testing,
   (HDL) in the human bloodstream lower bloodstream-             people tended to save more of
   cholesterol levels by increasing the body’s capacity to       their money, but when nuclear-
   rid itself of excess cholesterol. Levels of HDL in the        arms testing increased, people
   bloodstream of some individuals are significantly             tended to spend more of their
   increased by a program of regular exercise and weight         money. The perceived threat of
   reduction.                                                    nuclear catastrophe, therefore,
                                                                 decreases the willingness of
  Which of the following can be correctly inferred from
                                                                 people to postpone
  the statements above?
                                                                 consumption for the sake of
  (A) Individuals who are underweight do not run any             saving money.
       risk of developing high levels of cholesterol in the
                                                                The argument above assumes
       bloodstream.
                                                                that
  (B) Individuals who do not exercise regularly have a
       high risk of developing high levels of cholesterol       (A) the perceived threat of
       in the bloodstream late in life.                              nuclear catastrophe has
  (C) Exercise and weight reduction are the most                     increased over the years.
       effective methods of lowering bloodstream                (B) most people supported the
       cholesterol levels in humans.                                 development of nuclear
  (D) A program of regular exercise and weight reduction             arms
       lowers cholesterol levels in the bloodstream of          (C) people’s perception of the
       some individuals.                                             threat of nuclear
  (E) Only regular exercise is necessary to decrease                 catastrophe depends on
       cholesterol levels in the bloodstream of individuals          the amount of nuclear-
       of average weight.                                            arms testing being done
                                                                (D) the people who saved the
                                                                     most money when
                                                                     nuclear-arms testing was
                                                                     limited were the ones
                                                                     who supported such
                                                                     limitations
                                                                (E) there are more consumer
                                                                     goods available when
                                                                     nuclear-arms testing
                                                                     increases
                                              42
6. Which of the following best completes the passage
   below?                                                      7. A cost-effective solution to the
                                                                  problem of airport congestion
  People buy prestige when they buy a premium product.
                                                                  is to provide high-speed
  They want to be associated with something special.
                                                                  ground transportation between
  Mass-marketing techniques and price-reduction
                                                                  major cities lying 200 to 500
  strategies should not be used because _______.
                                                                  miles apart. The successful
  (A) affluent purchasers currently represent a shrinking         implementation of this plan
       portion of the population of all purchasers                would cost far less than
  (B) continued sales depend directly on the maintenance          expanding existing airports
       of an aura of exclusivity                                  and would also reduce the
  (C) purchasers of premium products are concerned with           number of airplanes clogging
       the quality as well as with the price of the products      both airports and airways.
  (D) expansion of the market niche to include a broader
                                                                 Which of the following, if
       spectrum of consumers will increase profits
                                                                 true, could proponents of the
  (E) manufacturing a premium brand is not necessarily
                                                                 plan above most appropriately
       more costly than manufacturing a standard brand
                                                                 cite as a piece of evidence for
       of the same product
                                                                 the soundness of their plan?
                                              43
       transportation systems.
  (E) A large proportion of air travelers are vacationers       9. Which of the following
       who are taking long-distance flights.                       conclusions is best supported
                                                                   by the statement above?
Questions 8-9 are based on the following.                         (A) Domestic producers of oil
If there is an oil-supply disruption resulting in higher               in open-market countries
international oil prices, domestic oil prices in open-                 are excluded from the
market countries such as the United States will rise as                international oil market
well, whether such countries import all or none of their               when there is a disruption
oil.                                                                   in the international oil
                                                                       supply.
8. If the statement above concerning oil-supply
                                                                  (B) International oil-supply
   disruptions is true, which of the following policies in an
                                                                       disruptions have little, if
   open-market nation is most likely to reduce the long-
                                                                       any, effect on the price of
   term economic impact on that nation of sharp and
                                                                       domestic oil as long as an
   unexpected increases in international oil prices?
                                                                       open-market country has
  (A) Maintaining the quantity of oil imported at constant             domestic supplies capable
       yearly levels                                                   of meeting domestic
  (B) Increasing the number of oil tankers in its fleet                demand.
  (C) Suspending diplomatic relations with major oil-             (C) The oil market in an open-
       producing nations                                               market country is actually
  (D) Decreasing oil consumption through conservation                  part of the international
  (E) Decreasing domestic production of oil                            oil market, even if most
                                                                       of that country’s domestic
                                                                       oil is usually sold to
                                                                       consumers within its
                                                                       borders.
                                                                  (D) Open-market countries
                                                                       that export little or none
                                                                       of their oil can maintain
                                                                       stable domestic oil prices
                                                                       even when international
                                                                       oil prices rise sharply.
                                                                  (E) If international oil prices
                                                                       rise, domestic distributors
                                                                       of oil in open-market
                                                                       countries will begin to
                                                                       import more oil than they
                                               44
       export.                                              11. Red blood cells in which the
                                                                 malarial-fever parasite
10. The average normal infant born in the United States          resides are eliminated from
     weighs between twelve and fourteen pounds at the            a person’s body after 120
     age of three months. Therefore, if a three-month-old        days. Because the parasite
     child weighs only ten pounds, its weight gain has           cannot travel to a new
     been below the United States average.                       generation of red blood
    Which of the following indicates a flaw in the               cells, any fever that
    reasoning above?                                             develops in a person more
                                                                 than 120 days after that
    (A) Weight is only one measure of normal infant
                                                                 person has moved to a
      development.
                                                                 malaria-free region is not
    (B) Some three-month-old children weigh as much
                                                                 due to the malarial parasite.
      as seventeen pounds.
    (C) It is possible for a normal child to weigh ten           Which of the following, if
      pounds at birth.                                           true, most seriously
    (D) The phrase “ below average” does not                     weakens the conclusion
      necessarily mean insufficient.                             above?
    (E)Average weight gain is not the same as average            (A) The fever caused by the
      weight.                                                      malarial parasite may
                                                                   resemble the fever caused
                                                                   by flu viruses.
                                                                 (B) The anopheles
                                                                   mosquito, which is the
                                                                   principal insect carrier of
                                                                   the malarial parasite, has
                                                                   been eradicated in many
                                                                   parts of the world.
                                                                 (C) Many malarial
                                                                   symptoms other than the
                                                                   fever, which can be
                                                                   suppressed with
                                                                   antimalarial medication,
                                                                   can reappear within 120
                                                                   days after the medication
                                                                   is discontinued.
                                                                 (D) In some cases, the
                                                                   parasite that causes
                                                                   malarial fever travels to
                                             45
        cells of the spleen, which are less frequently     13. The number of people
        eliminated from a person’s body than are red blood      diagnosed as having a
        cells.                                                  certain intestinal disease has
     (E) In any region infested with malaria-carrying           dropped significantly in a
        mosquitoes, there are individuals who appear to be      rural county this year, as
        immune to malaria.                                      compared to last year,
                                                                Health officials attribute this
12. Fact 1: Television advertising is becoming less             decrease entirely to
     effective: the proportion of brand names promoted          improved sanitary
     on television that viewers of the advertising can          conditions at water-
     recall is slowly decreasing.                               treatment plants, which
     Fact 2: Television viewers recall commercials aired        made for cleaner water this
     first or last in a cluster of consecutive commercials      year and thus reduced the
     far better than they recall commercials aired              incidence of the disease.
    somewhere in the middle.                                     Which of the following, if
    Fact 2 would be most likely to contribute to an              true, would most seriously
    explanation of fact 1 if which of the following were         weaken the health officials’
    also true?                                                   explanation for the lower
                                                                 incidence of the disease?
    (A) The average television viewer currently recalls
      fewer than half the brand names promoted in                (A) Many new water-
      commercials he or she saw.                                   treatment plants have
    (B) The total time allotted to the average cluster of          been built in the last five
      consecutive television commercials is decreasing.            years in the rural county.
    (C) The average number of hours per day that people          (B) Bottled spring water has
      spend watching television is decreasing.                     not been consumed in
    (D) The average number of clusters of consecutive              significantly different
      commercials per hour of television is increasing.            quantities by people
    (E) The average number of television commercials in            diagnosed as having the
      a cluster of consecutive commercials is increasing.          intestinal disease, as
                                                                   compared to people who
                                                                   did not contract the
                                                                   disease.
                                                                 (C) Because of a new
                                                                   diagnostic technique,
                                                                   many people who until
                                                                   this year would have been
                                                                   diagnosed as having the
                                                                   intestinal disease are now
                                              46
        correctly diagnosed as suffering from intestinal     15. Some who favor putting
        ulcers.                                                   governmental enterprises
     (D) Because of medical advances this year, far fewer         into private hands suggest
        people who contract the intestinal disease will           that conservation objectives
        develop severe cases of the disease.                      would in general be better
     (E) The water in the rural county was brought up to          served if private
        the sanitary standards of the water in neighboring        environmental groups were
        counties ten years ago.                                   put in charge of operating
                                                                  and financing the national
14. The price the government pays for standard weapons            park system, which is now
     purchased from military contractors is determined by         run by the government.
     a pricing method called “historical costing.”
                                                                  Which of the following,
     Historical costing allows contractors to protect their
                                                                  assuming that it is a realistic
     profits by adding a percentage increase, based on the
                                                                  possibility, argues most
     current rate of inflation, to the previous year’s
                                                                  strongly against the
     contractual price.
                                                                  suggestion above?
     Which of the following statements, if true, is the best
                                                                  (A) Those seeking to
     basis for a criticism of historical costing as an
                                                                     abolish all restrictions on
     economically sound pricing method for military
                                                                     exploiting the natural
     contracts?
                                                                     resources of the parks
     (A) The government might continue to pay for past               might join the private
        inefficient use of funds.                                    environmental groups as
     (B) The rate of inflation has varied considerably over          members and eventually
        the past twenty years.                                       take over their leadership.
     (C) The contractual price will be greatly affected by        (B) Private environmental
        the cost of materials used for the products.                 groups might not always
     (D) Many taxpayers question the amount of money                 agree on the best ways to
        the government spends on military contracts.                 achieve conservation
     (E) The pricing method based on historical costing              objectives.
        might not encourage the development of                    (C) If they wished to extend
        innovative weapons.                                          the park system, the
                                                                     private environmental
                                                                     groups might have to seek
                                                                     contributions from major
                                                                     donors and the general
                                                                     public.
                                                                  (D) There might be
                                                                     competition among
                                               47
        private environmental groups for control of certain
        park areas.                                            17. Tocqueville, a nineteenth-
     (E) Some endangered species, such as the California            century writer known for his
        condor, might die out despite the best efforts of the       study of democracy in the
        private environmental groups, even if those groups          United States, believed that
        are not hampered by insufficient resources.                 a government that
                                                                    centralizes power in one
16. A recent spate of launching and operating mishaps               individual or institution is
     with television satellites led to a corresponding surge        dangerous to its citizens.
     in claims against companies underwriting satellite             Biographers claim that
     insurance. As a result, insurance premiums shot up,            Tocqueville disliked-
     making satellites more expensive to launch and                 centralized government
     operate. This, in turn, has added to the pressure to           because he blamed
     squeeze more performance out of currently operating            Napoleon’s rule for the
     satellites.                                                    poverty of his childhood in
                                                                    Normandy.
     Which of the following, if true, taken together with
     the information above, best supports the conclusion            Which of the following, if
     that the cost of television satellites will continue to        true, would cast the most
     increase?                                                      serious doubt on the
                                                                    biographers’ claim?
     (A) Since the risk to insurers of satellites is spread
        over relatively few units, insurance premiums are           (A) Although Napoleon was
        necessarily very high.                                         popularly blamed at the
     (B) When satellites reach orbit and then fail, the                time for the terrible living
        causes of failure are generally impossible to                  conditions in Normandy,
        pinpoint with confidence.                                      historians now know that
     (C) The greater the performance demands placed on                 bad harvests were really
        satellites, the more frequently those satellites break         to blame for the poor
        down.                                                          economic conditions.
     (D) Most satellites are produced in such small                 (B) Napoleon was notorious
        numbers that no economies of scale can be                      for refusing to share
        realized.                                                      power with any of his
     (E) Since many satellites are built by unwieldy                   political associates.
        international consortia, inefficiencies are                 (C) Tocqueville said he
        inevitable.                                                    knew that if his father had
                                                                       not suffered ill health, his
                                                                       family would have had a
                                                                       steady income and a
                                                                       comfortable standard of
                                                48
        living.
     (D) Although Tocqueville asserted that United States 19. Recent estimates predict that
        political life was democratic, the United States of    between 1982 and 1995 the
        the nineteenth century allowed political power to      greatest increase in the
        be concentrated in a few institutions.                 number of people employed
     (E) Tocqueville once wrote in a letter that, although     will be in the category of
        his childhood was terribly impoverished, it was        low-paying service
        not different from the experience of his friends and   occupations. This category,
        neighbors in Normandy.                                 however, will not increase
                                                               its share of total
18. Radio interferometry is a technique for studying           employment, whereas the
     details of celestial objects that combines signals        category of high-paying
     intercepted by widely spaced radio telescopes. This       service occupations will
     technique requires ultraprecise timing, exact             increase its share.
     knowledge of the locations of the telescopes, and
                                                               If the estimates above are
     sophisticated computer programs. The successful
                                                               accurate, which of the
     interferometric linking of an Earth-based radio
                                                               following conclusions can
     telescope with a radio telescope on an orbiting
                                                               be drawn?
     satellite was therefore a significant technological
     accomplishment.                                           (A) In 1982 more people
                                                                  were working in low-
     Which of the following can be correctly inferred
                                                                  paying service
     from the statements above?
                                                                  occupations than were
     (A) Special care was taken in the launching of the           working in high-paying
        satellite so that the calculations of its orbit would     service occupations.
        be facilitated.                                        (B) In 1995 more people
     (B) The signals received on the satellite are stronger       will be working in high-
        than those received by a terrestrial telescope.           paying service
     (C) The resolution of detail achieved by the satellite-      occupations than will be
        Earth interferometer system is inferior to that           working in low-paying
        achieved by exclusively terrestrial systems.              service occupations.
     (D) The computer programs required for making use         (C) Nonservice occupations
        of the signals received by the satellite required a       will account for the same
        long time for development.                                share of total employment
     (E) The location of an orbiting satellite relative to        in 1995 as in 1982.
        locations on Earth can be well enough known for        (D) Many of the people who
        interferometric purposes.                                 were working in low-
                                                                  paying service
                                                                  occupations in 1982 will
                                            49
      be working in high-paying service occupations by          CRITICAL REASONING
      1995.                                                       TEST SECTION 6
    (E) The rate of growth for low-paying service                  30 MINUTES 20
      occupations will be greater than the overall rate of          QUESTIONS
      employment growth between 1982 and 1995.
                                                              1. Rural households have more
20. For a local government to outlaw all strikes by its          purchasing power than do
     workers is a costly mistake, because all its labor          urban or suburban households
     disputes must then be settled by binding arbitration,       at the same income level, since
     without any negotiated public-sector labor                  some of the income urban and
     settlements guiding the arbitrators. Strikes should be      suburban households use for
     outlawed only for categories of public-sector               food and shelter can be used
     workers for whose services no acceptable substitute         by rural households for other
     exists.                                                     needs.
    The statements above best support which of the              Which of the following
    following conclusions?                                      inferences is best supported by
                                                                the statement made above?
    (A) Where public-service workers are permitted to
      strike, contract negotiations with those workers are      (A) The average rural
      typically settled without a strike.                            household includes more
    (B) Where strikes by all categories of pubic-sector              people than does the
      workers are outlawed, no acceptable substitutes for            average urban or
      the services provided by any of those workers are              suburban household.
      available.                                                (B) Rural households have
    (C) Binding arbitration tends to be more                         lower food and housing
      advantageous for public-service workers where it               costs than do either urban
      is the only available means of settling labor                  or suburban households.
      disputes with such workers.                               (C) Suburban households
    (D) Most categories of public-sector workers have no             generally have more
      counterparts in the private sector.                            purchasing power than do
    (E) A strike by workers in a local government is                 either rural or urban
      unlikely to be settled without help from an                    households.
      arbitrator.                                               (D) The median income of
                                                                     urban and suburban
                                                                     households is generally
                                                                     higher than that of rural
                                                                     households.
                                                                (E) All three types of
                                                                     households spend more of
                                              50
        their income on food and housing than on all other
        purchases combined.                                    3. Affirmative action is good
                                                                  business. So asserted the
2. In 1985 state border colleges in Texas lost the                National Association of
   enrollment of more than half, on average, of the               Manufacturers while urging
   Mexican nationals they had previously served each              retention of an executive order
   year. Teaching faculties have alleged that this extreme        requiring some federal
   drop resulted from a rise in tuition for international and     contractors to set numerical
   out-of-state students from $40 to $120 per credit hour.        goals for hiring minorities and
                                                                  women. “Diversity in work
   Which of the following, if feasible, offers the best
                                                                  force participation has
   prospects for alleviating the problem of the drop in
                                                                  produced new ideas in
   enrollment of Mexican nationals as the teaching
                                                                  management, product
   faculties assessed it?
                                                                  development, and marketing,”
   (A) Providing grants-in-aid to Mexican nationals to            the association claimed.
        study in Mexican universities
                                                                  The association’s argument as
   (B) Allowing Mexican nationals to study in Texas
                                                                  it is presented in the passage
        border colleges and to pay in-state tuition rates,
                                                                  above would be most
        which are the same as the previous international
                                                                  strengthened if which of the
        rate
                                                                  following were true?
   (C) Reemphasizing the goals and mission of the Texas
        state border colleges as serving both in-state            (A) The percentage of
        students and Mexican nationals                                  minority and women
   (D) Increasing the financial resources of Texas colleges             workers in business has
        by raising the tuition for in-state students attending          increased more slowly
        state institutions                                              than many minority and
   (E) Offering career counseling for those Mexican                     women’s groups would
        nationals who graduate from state border colleges               prefer.
        and intend to return to Mexico                            (B) Those businesses with the
                                                                        highest percentages of
                                                                        minority and women
                                                                        workers are those that
                                                                        have been the most
                                                                        innovative and profitable
                                                                  (C) Disposable income has
                                                                        been rising as fast among
                                                                        minorities and women as
                                                                        among the population as a
                                                                        whole.
                                               51
  (D) The biggest growth in sales in the manufacturing
       sector has come in industries that market the most      5. Which of the following, if
       innovative products.                                       true, would most strengthen
  (E) Recent improvements in management practices                 the conclusion drawn in the
       have allowed many manufacturers to experience              second sentence?
       enormous gains in worker productivity.                    (A) Commercial airliners are
                                                                      already required by law to
Questions 4-5 refer to the following.                                 be equipped with
If the airspace around centrally located airports were                extremely sophisticated
restricted to commercial airliners and only those private             radar systems.
planes equipped with radar, most of the private-plane            (B) Centrally located airports
traffic would be forced to use outlying airfields. Such a             are experiencing over-
reduction in the amount of private-plane traffic would                crowded airspace
reduce the risk of midair collision around the centrally              primarily because of
located airports.                                                     sharp increases in
                                                                      commercial-airline
4. The conclusion drawn in the first sentence depends on
                                                                      traffic.
   which of the following assumptions?
                                                                 (C) Many pilots of private
  (A) Outlying airfields would be as convenient as                    planes would rather buy
       centrally located airports for most pilots of private          radar equipment than be
       planes.                                                        excluded from centrally
  (B) Most outlying airfields are not equipped to handle              located airports.
       commercial-airline traffic.                               (D) The number of midair
  (C) Most private planes that use centrally located                  collisions that occur near
       airports are not equipped with radar.                          centrally located airports
  (D) Commercial airliners are at greater risk of                     has decreased in recent
       becoming involved in midair collisions than are                years.
       private planes.                                           (E) Private planes not
  (E) A reduction in the risk of midair collision would               equipped with radar
       eventually lead to increases in commercial-airline             systems cause a
       traffic.                                                       disproportionately large
                                                                      number of midair
                                                                      collisions around
                                                                      centrally located airports.
Established companies
                                               52
concentrate on defending what they already have.
Consequently, they tend not to be innovative               7. Most archaeologists have held
themselves and tend to underestimate the effects of the       that people first reached the
innovations of others. The clearest example of this           Americas less than 20,000
defensive strategy is the fact that…….                        years ago by crossing a land
                                                              bridge into North America.
(A) ballpoint pens and soft-tip markers have eliminated
                                                              But recent discoveries of
     the traditional market for fountain pens, clearing
                                                              human shelters in South
     the way for the marketing of fountain pens as
                                                              America dating from 32,000
     luxury or prestige items
                                                              years ago have led researchers
(B) a highly successful automobile was introduced by
                                                              to speculate that people
     the same company that had earlier introduced a
                                                              arrived in South America first,
     model that had been a dismal failure
                                                              after voyaging across the
(C) a once-successful manufacturer of slide rules
                                                              Pacific, and then spread
     reacted to the introduction of electronic calculators
                                                              northward.
     by trying to make better slide rules
(D) one of the first models of modern accounting              Which of the following, if it
     machines, designed for use in the banking                were discovered, would be
     industry, was purchased by a public library as well      pertinent evidence against the
     as by banks                                              speculation above?
(E) the inventor of a commonly used anesthetic did not       (A) A rock shelter near
     intend the product to be used by dentists, who               Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania,
     currently account for almost the entire market for           contains evidence of use
     that drug                                                    by human beings 19,000
                                                                  years ago.
                                                             (B) Some North American
                                                                  sites of human habitation
                                                                  predate any sites found in
                                                                  South America.
                                                             (C) The climate is warmer at
                                                                  the 32,000-year-old south
                                                                  American site than at the
                                                                  oldest known North
                                                                  American site.
                                                             (D) The site in South America
                                                                  that was occupied 32,000
                                                                  years ago was
                                                                  continuously occupied
                                                                  until 6,000 years ago.
                                            53
  (E) The last Ice Age, between 11,500 and 20,000 years      9. Since the mayor’s publicity
       ago, considerably lowered worldwide sea levels.          campaign for Greenville’s bus
                                                                service began six months ago,
8. In Asia, where palm trees are non-native, the trees'         morning automobile traffic
   flowers have traditionally been pollinated by hand,          into the midtown area of the
   which has kept palm fruit productivity unnaturally low.      city has decreased seven
   When weevils known to be efficient pollinators of palm       percent. During the same
   flowers were introduced into Asia in 1980, palm fruit        period, there has been an
   productivity increased—by up to fifty percent in some        equivalent rise in the number
   areas—but then decreased sharply in 1984.                    of persons riding buses into
   Which of the following statements, if true, would best       the midtown area. Obviously,
   explain the 1984 decrease in productivity?                   the mayor’s publicity
                                                                campaign has convinced many
   (A) Prices for palm fruit fell between 1980 and 1984
                                                                people to leave their cars at
        following the rise in production and a concurrent
                                                                home and ride the bus to
        fall in demand.
                                                                work..
   (B) Imported trees are often more productive than
        native trees because the imported ones have left        Which of the following, if
        behind their pests and diseases in their native         true, casts the most serious
        lands.                                                  doubt on the conclusion drawn
   (C) Rapid increases in productivity tend to deplete trees    above?
       of nutrients needed for the development of the         (A) Fares for all bus routes in
       fruit-producing female flowers.                             Greenville have risen an
  (D) The weevil population in Asia remained at                    average of five percent
       approximately the same level between 1980 and               during the past six
       1984.                                                       months.
  (E) Prior to 1980 another species of insect pollinated      (B) The mayor of Greenville
       the Asian palm trees, but not as efficiently as the         rides the bus to City Hall
       species of weevil that was introduced in 1980.              in the city’s midtown
                                                                   area.
                                                              (C) Road reconstruction has
                                                                   greatly reduced the
                                                                   number of lanes available
                                                                   to commuters in major
                                                                   streets leading to the
                                                                   midtown area during the
                                                                   past six months.
                                                              (D) The number of buses
                                                                   entering the midtown area
                                               54
       of Greenville during the morning hours is exactly      11. With the emergence of
       the same now as it was one year ago.                        biotechnology companies, it
  (E) Surveys show that longtime bus riders are no more            was feared that they would
       satisfied with the Greenville bus service than they         impose silence about
       were before the mayor’s publicity campaign                  proprietary results on their
       began.                                                      in-house researchers and
                                                                   their academic consultants.
10. In the aftermath of a worldwide stock-market crash,            This constraint, in turn,
     Country T claimed that the severity of the stock-             would slow the
     market crash it experienced resulted from the                 development of biological
     accelerated process of denationalization many of its          science and engineering.
     industries underwent shortly before the crash.
                                                                  Which of the following, if
    Which of the following, if it could be carried out,           true, would tend to weaken
    would be most useful in an evaluation of Country T’s          most seriously the
    assessment of the causes of the severity of its stock-        prediction of scientific
    market crash?                                                 secrecy described above?
  (A) Calculating the average loss experienced by                 (A) Biotechnological
       individual traders in Country T during the crash              research funded by
  (B) Using economic theory to predict the most likely               industry has reached
       date of the next crash in Country T                           some conclusions that are
  (C) Comparing the total number of shares sold during the           of major scientific
       worst days of the crash in Country T to the total             importance.
       number of shares sold in Country T just prior to the       (B) When the results of
       crash.                                                        scientific research are
  (D) Comparing the severity of the crash in Country T to            kept secret, independent
       the severity of the crash in countries otherwise              researchers are unable to
       economically similar to Country T that have not               build on those results.
       experienced recent denationalization                     (C) Since the research
  (E) Comparing the long-term effects of the crash on the            priorities of
       purchasing power of the currency of Country T to              biotechnology companies
       the immediate, more severe short-term effects of              are not the same as those
       the crash on the purchasing power of the currency             of academic institutions,
       of Country T                                                  the financial support of
                                                                     research by such
                                                                     companies distorts the
                                                                     research agenda.
                                                                (D) To enhance the companies'
                                                                     standing in the scientific
                                              55
        community, the biotechnology companies
        encourage employees to publish their results,       13. The tobacco industry is still
        especially results that are important.                   profitable and projections
  (E)Biotechnology companies devote some of their                are that it will remain so. In
        research resources to problems that are of               the United States this year,
        fundamental scientific importance and that are not       the total amount of tobacco
        expected to produce immediate practical                  sold by tobacco-farmers has
        applications.                                            increased, even though the
                                                                 number of adults who
12. Some people have questioned the judge’s objectivity          smoke has decreased.
     in cases of sex discrimination against women. But
                                                                 Each of the following, if
     the record shows that in sixty percent of such cases,
                                                                 true, could explain the
     the judge has decided in favor of the women. This
                                                                 simultaneous increase in
     record demonstrates that the judge has not
                                                                 tobacco sales and decrease
     discriminated against women in cases of sex
                                                                 in the number of adults who
     discrimination against women.
                                                                 smoke EXCEPT.
     The argument above is flawed in that it ignores the
                                                                 (A) During this year, the
     possibility that
                                                                    number of women who
     (A) a large number of the judge’s cases arose out of           have begun to smoke is
        allegations of sex discrimination against women             greater than the number
     (B) many judges find it difficult to be objective in           of men who have quit
        cases of sex discrimination against women                   smoking.
     (C) the judge is biased against women defendants or         (B) The number of teen-age
        plaintiffs in cases that do not involve sex                 children who have begun
        discrimination                                              to smoke this year is
     (D) the majority of the cases of sex discrimination            greater than the number
        against women that have reached the judge’s court           of adults who have quit
        have been appealed from a lower court                       smoking during the same
     (E) the evidence shows that the women should have              period.
        won in more than sixty percent of the judge’s cases   (C) During this year, the
        involving sex discrimination against women                  number of nonsmokers
                                                                    who have begun to use
                                                                    chewing tobacco or snuff
                                                                    is greater than the number
                                                                    of people who have quit
                                                                    smoking.
                                                                 (D) The people who have
                                                                    continued to smoke
                                              56
        consume more tobacco per person than they did in
        the past.                                             15. On the basis of a decrease in
     (E) More of the cigarettes made in the United States          the college-age population,
        this year were exported to other countries than was        many colleges now
        the case last year.                                        anticipate increasingly
                                                                   smaller freshman classes
14. Kale has more nutritional value than spinach. But              each year. Surprised by a 40
     since collard greens have more nutritional value than         percent increase in qualified
     lettuce, it follows that kale has more nutritional value      applicants over the previous
     than lettuce.                                                 year, however,
                                                                   administrators at Nice
     Any of the following, if introduced into the argument
                                                                   College now plan to hire
     as an additional premise, makes the argument above
                                                                   more faculty for courses
     logically correct EXCEPT:
                                                                   taken by all freshmen.
     (A) Collard greens have more nutritional value than
                                                                   Which of the following
        kale.
                                                                   statements about Nice
     (B) Spinach has more nutritional value than lettuce.
                                                                   College’s current qualified
     (C) Spinach has more nutritional value than collard
                                                                   applicants, if true, would
        greens.
                                                                   strongly suggest that the
     (D) Spinach and collard greens have the same
                                                                   administrators’ plan is
        nutritional value.
                                                                   flawed?
     (E) Kale and collard greens have the same nutritional
        value.                                                     (A) A substantially higher
                                                                      percentage than usual
                                                                      plan to study for
                                                                      advanced degrees after
                                                                      graduation from college.
                                                                   (B) According to their
                                                                      applications, their level of
                                                                      participation in
                                                                      extracurricular activities
                                                                      and varsity sports is
                                                                      unusually high.
                                                                   (C) According to their
                                                                      applications, none of
                                                                      them lives in a foreign
                                                                      country.
                                                                   (D) A substantially lower
                                                                      percentage than usual rate
                                                57
      Nice College as their first choice among the
      colleges to which they are applying.                     17. The researcher’s conclusion
    (E) A substantially lower percentage than usual list            would be most seriously
      mathematics as their intended major.                          weakened if it were true that
                                         59
      preceding three months.                                  CRITICAL REASONING
    (E) Interest rates for home mortgages are expected to        TEST SECTION 7
      rise sharply later in the year if predictions of            30 MINUTES 20
      increased business activity in general prove to be           QUESTIONS
      accurate.
                                                             1. A milepost on the towpath
20. Seven countries signed a treaty binding each of them        read “21” on the side facing
     to perform specified actions on a certain fixed date,      the hiker as she approached it
     with the actions of each conditional on simultaneous       and “23” on its back. She
     action taken by the other countries. Each country was      reasoned that the next milepost
     also to notify the six other countries when it had         forward on the path would
     completed its action.                                      indicate that she was halfway
                                                                between one end of the path
     The simultaneous-action provision of the treaty
                                                                and the other. However, the
     leaves open the possibility that
                                                                milepost one mile further on
     (A) the compliance date was subject to                     read “20” facing her and “24”
        postponement, according to the terms of the treaty      behind.
     (B) one of the countries might not be required to
        make any changes or take any steps in order to          Which of the following, if
        comply with the treaty, whereas all the other           true, would explain the
        countries are so required.                              discrepancy described above?
     (C) each country might have a well-founded excuse,
                                                                (A) The numbers on the next
        based on the provision, for its own lack of
                                                                     milepost had been
        compliance
                                                                     reversed.
     (D) the treaty specified that the signal for one of the
                                                                (B) The numbers on the
        countries to initiate action was notification by the
                                                                     mileposts indicate
        other countries that they had completed action
                                                                     kilometers, not miles.
     (E) there was ambiguity with respect to the date after
                                                                (C) The facing numbers
        which all actions contemplated in the treaty are to
                                                                     indicate miles to the end
        be complete.
                                                                     of the path, not miles
                                                                     from the beginning.
                                                                (D) A milepost was missing
                                                                     between the two the hiker
                                                                     encountered.
                                                                (E) The mileposts had
                                                                     originally been put in
                                                                     place for the use of
                                                                     mountain bikers, not for
                                              60
       hikers.
                                                             3. Guitar strings often go
2. Airline: Newly developed collision-avoidance systems,        “dead”—become less
   although not fully tested to discover potential              responsive and bright in tone
   malfunctions, must be installed immediately in               —after a few weeks of intense
   passenger planes. Their mechanical warnings enable           use. A researcher whose son is
   pilots to avoid crashes.                                     a classical guitarist
   Pilots: Pilots will not fly in planes with collision-        hypothesized that dirt and oil,
   avoidance systems that are not fully tested.                 rather than changes in the
   Malfunctioning systems could mislead pilots, causing         material properties of the
   crashes.                                                     string, were responsible.
   The pilots’ objection is most strengthened if which of       Which of the following
   the following is true?                                       investigations is most likely to
                                                                yield significant information
   (A) It is always possible for mechanical devices to
                                                                that would help to evaluate the
        malfunction.
                                                                researcher’s hypothesis?
   (B) Jet engines, although not fully tested when first put
        into use, have achieved exemplary performance           (A) Determining if a metal
        and safety records.                                          alloy is used to make the
   (C) Although collision-avoidance systems will enable              strings used by classical
        pilots to avoid some crashes, the likely                     guitarists
        malfunctions of the not-fully-tested systems will       (B) Determining whether
        cause even more crashes.                                     classical guitarists make
   (D) Many airline collisions are caused in part by the             their strings go dead
        exhaustion of overworked pilots.                             faster than do folk
   (E) Collision-avoidance systems, at this stage of                 guitarists
        development, appear to have worked better in            (C) Determining whether
        passenger planes than in cargo planes during                 identical lengths of string,
        experimental flights made over a six-month                   of the same gauge, go
        period.                                                      dead at different rates
                                                                     when strung on various
                                                                     brands of guitars.
                                                                (D) Determining whether a
                                                                     dead string and a new
                                                                     string produce different
                                                                     qualities of sound
                                                                (E) Determining whether
                                                                     smearing various
                                                                     substances on new guitar
                                               61
       strings causes them to go dead                       5. Two decades after the Emerald
                                                               River Dam was built, none of
4. Most consumers do not get much use out of the sports        the eight fish species native to
   equipment they purchase. For example, seventeen             the Emerald River was still
   percent of the adults in the United States own jogging      reproducing adequately in the
   shoes, but only forty-five percent of the owners jog        river below the dam. Since the
   more than once a year, and only seventeen percent jog       dam reduced the annual range
   more than once a week.                                      of water temperature in the
   Which of the following, if true, casts most doubt on the    river below the dam from 50
   claim that most consumers get little use out of the         degrees to 6 degrees, scientists
   sports equipment they purchase?                             have hypothesized that sharply
   (A) Joggers are most susceptible to sports injuries         rising water temperatures must
        during the first six months in which they jog.         be involved in signaling the
   (B) Joggers often exaggerate the frequency with which       native species to begin the
        they jog in surveys designed to elicit such            reproductive cycle.
        information.
   (C) Many consumers purchase jogging shoes for use in        Which of the following
        activities other than jogging.                         statements, if true, would most
   (D) Consumers who take up jogging often purchase an         strengthen the scientists’
        athletic shoe that can be used in other sports.        hypothesis?
  (E) Joggers who jog more than once a week are often          (A) The native fish species were
       active participants in other sports as well.                 still able to reproduce only
                                                                    in side streams of the river
                                                                    below the dam where the
                                                                    annual temperature range
                                                                    remains approximately 50
                                                                    degrees.
                                                               (B) Before the dam was built,
                                                                    the Emerald River
                                                                    annually overflowed its
                                                                    banks, creating
                                                                    backwaters that were
                                                                    critical breeding areas for
                                                                    the native species of fish.
                                                               (C) The lowest recorded
                                                                    temperature of the
                                                                    Emerald River before the
                                                                    dam was built was 34
                                              62
         degrees, whereas the lowest recorded temperature
         of the river after the dam was built has been 43         7. In recent years many
         degrees.                                                    cabinetmakers have been
   (D)Nonnative species of fish, introduced into the Emerald         winning acclaim as artists. But
         River after the dam was built, have begun competing         since furniture must be useful,
         with the declining native fish species for food and         cabinetmakers must exercise
         space.                                                      their craft with an eye to the
   (E) Five of the fish species native to the Emerald River          practical utility of their
         are not native to any other river in North America.         product. For this reason,
                                                                     cabinetmaking is not art.
6. It is true that it is against international law to sell           Which of the following is an
   plutonium to countries that do not yet have nuclear               assumption that supports
   weapons. But if United States companies do not do so,             drawing the conclusion above
   companies in other countries will.                                from the reason given for that
   Which of the following is most like the argument above            conclusion?
   in its logical structure?
                                                                     (A) Some furniture is made to
   (A) It is true that it is against the police department’s              be placed in museums,
         policy to negotiate with kidnappers. But if the                  where it will not be used
         police want to prevent loss of life, they must                   by anyone.
         negotiate in some cases.                                    (B) Some cabinetmakers are
   (B) it is true that it is illegal to refuse to register for            more concerned than
         military service. But there is a long tradition in the           others with the practical
         United States of conscientious objection to serving              utility of the products
         in the armed forces.                                             they produce.
   (C) It is true that it is illegal for a government official to    (C) Cabinetmakers should be
         participate in a transaction in which there is an                more concerned with the
         apparent conflict of interest. But if the facts are              practical utility of their
         examined carefully, it will clearly be seen that there           products than they
         was no actual conflict of interest in the defendant’s            currently are.
         case.                                                       (D) An object is not an art
   (D) It is true that it is against the law to burglarize                object if its maker pays
         people’s homes. But someone else certainly would                 attention to the object’s
         have burglarized that house if the defendant had                 practical utility.
         not done so first.                                          (E) Artists are not concerned
   (E) It is true that company policy forbids supervisors to              with the monetary value
         fire employees without two written warnings. But                 of their products.
         there have been many supervisors who have
         disobeyed this policy.                                   8. Although custom prosthetic
                                                                     bone replacements produced
                                                 63
through a new computer-aided design process will cost
more than twice as much as ordinary replacements,       9. Extinction is a process that
custom replacements should still be cost-effective. Not    can depend on a variety of
only will surgery and recovery time be reduced, but        ecological, geographical, and
custom replacements should last longer, thereby            physiological variables. These
reducing the need for further hospital stays.              variables affect different
Which of the following must be studied in order to         species of organisms in
evaluate the argument presented above?                     different ways, and should,
                                                           therefore, yield a random
(A) The amount of time a patient spends in surgery
                                                           pattern of extinctions.
     versus the amount of time spent recovering from
                                                           However, the fossil record
     surgery
                                                           shows that extinction occurs in
(B) The amount by which the cost of producing custom
                                                           a surprisingly definite pattern,
     replacements has declined with the introduction of
                                                           with many species vanishing
     the new technique for producing them
                                                           at the same time.
(C)The degree to which the use of custom replacements
                                                           Which of the following, if
     is likely to reduce the need for repeat surgery
                                                           true, forms the best basis for at
     when compared with the use of ordinary
                                                           least a partial explanation of
     replacements
                                                           the patterned extinctions
(D) The degree to which custom replacements
                                                           revealed by the fossil record?
     produced with the new technique are more
     carefully manufactured than are ordinary              (A) Major episodes of
     replacements                                               extinction can result from
(E) The amount by which custom replacements                     widespread
     produced with the new technique will drop in cost          environmental
     as the production procedures become standardized           disturbances that affect
     and applicable on a larger scale                           numerous different
                                                                species.
                                                           (B) Certain extinction
                                                                episodes selectively affect
                                                                organisms with particular
                                                                sets of characteristics
                                                                unique to their species.
                                                           (C) Some species become
                                                                extinct because of
                                                                accumulated gradual
                                                                changes in their local
                                                                environments.
                                                           (D) In geologically recent
                                           64
        times, for which there is no fossil record, human     11.Certain messenger molecules
        intervention has changed the pattern of extinctions.      fight damage to the lungs
  (E) Species that are widely dispersed are the least likely      from noxious air by telling
        to become extinct.                                        the muscle cells encircling
                                                                  the lungs’ airways to
10. Neither a rising standard of living nor balanced trade,       contract. This partially seals
     by itself, establishes a country’s ability to compete in     off the lungs. An asthma
     the international marketplace. Both are required             attack occurs when the
     simultaneously since standards of living can rise            messenger molecules are
     because of growing trade deficits and trade can be           activated unnecessarily, in
     balanced by means of a decline in a country’s                response to harmless things
     standard of living.                                          like pollen or household
                                                                  dust.
     If the facts stated in the passage above are true, a         Which of the following, if
     proper test of a country’s ability to be competitive is      true, points to the most
     its ability to                                               serious flaw of a plan to
     (A) balance its trade while its standard of living rises     develop a medication that
     (B) balance its trade while its standard of living falls     would prevent asthma
     (C) increase trade deficits while its standard of living     attacks by blocking receipt
        rises                                                     of any messages sent by the
     (D) decrease trade deficits while its standard of living     messenger molecules
        falls                                                     referred to above?
    (E) keep its standard of living constant while trade          (A) Researchers do not yet
      deficits rise.                                                know how the body
                                                                    produces the messenger
                                                                    molecules that trigger
                                                                    asthma attacks.
                                                                  (B) Researchers do not yet
                                                                    know what makes one
                                                                    person’s messenger
                                                                    molecules more easily
                                                                    activated than another’s.
                                                                  (C) Such a medication
                                                                    would not become
                                                                    available for several
                                                                    years, because of long
                                                                    lead times in both
                                                                    development and
                                               65
       manufacture.
     (D) Such a medication would be unable to distinguish 13. The recent decline in the
       between messages triggered by pollen and                value of the dollar was
       household dust and messages triggered by noxious        triggered by a prediction of
       air.                                                    slower economic growth in
     (E) Such a medication would be a preventative only        the coming year. But that
       and would be unable to alleviate an asthma attack       prediction would not have
       once it had started.                                    adversely affected the dollar
                                                               had it not been for the
12. Since the routine use of antibiotics can give rise to      government’s huge budget
     resistant bacteria capable of surviving antibiotic        deficit, which must
     environments, the presence of resistant bacteria in       therefore be decreased to
     people could be due to the human use of prescription      prevent future currency
     antibiotics. Some scientists, however, believe that       declines.
     most resistant bacteria in people derive from human       Which of the following, if
     consumption of bacterially infected meat.                 true, would most seriously
                                                               weaken the conclusion
     Which of the following statements, if true, would         about how to prevent future
     most significantly strengthen the hypothesis of the       currency declines?
     scientists?
                                                               (A) The government has
     (A) Antibiotics are routinely included in livestock          made little attempt to
       feed so that livestock producers can increase the          reduce the budget deficit.
       rate of growth of their animals.                        (B) The budget deficit has
     (B) Most people who develop food poisoning from              not caused a slowdown in
       bacterially infected meat are treated with                 economic growth.
       prescription antibiotics.                               (C) The value of the dollar
     (C) The incidence of resistant bacteria in people has        declined several times in
       tended to be much higher in urban areas than in            the year prior to the
       rural areas where meat is of comparable quality.           recent prediction of
     (D) People who have never taken prescription                 slower economic growth.
       antibiotics are those least likely to develop           (D) Before there was a large
       resistant bacteria.                                        budget deficit, predictions
     (E) Livestock producers claim that resistant bacteria        of slower economic
       in animals cannot be transmitted to people through         growth frequently caused
       infected meat.                                             declines in the dollar’s
                                                                  value.
                                                               (E) When there is a large
                                                                  budget deficit, other
                                             66
       events in addition to predictions of slower
       economic growth sometimes trigger declines in        15. Traditionally, decision-
       currency value.                                           making by managers that is
                                                                 reasoned step-by-step has
14. Which of the following best completes the passage            been considered preferable
    below?                                                       to intuitive decision-
    At a recent conference on environmental threats to           making. However, a recent
    the North Sea, most participating countries favored          study found that top
    uniform controls on the quality of effluents, whether        managers used intuition
    or not specific environmental damage could be                significantly more than did
    attributed to a particular source of effluent. What          most middle-or lower-level
    must, of course, be shown, in order to avoid                 managers. This confirms the
    excessively restrictive controls, is that ___________.       alternative view that
                                                                 intuition is actually more
    (A) any uniform controls that are adopted are likely
                                                                 effective than careful,
       to be implemented without delay
                                                                 methodical reasoning.
    (B) any substance to be made subject to controls can
                                                                 The conclusion above is
       actually cause environmental damage
                                                                 based on which of the
    (C) the countries favoring uniform controls are those
                                                                 following assumptions?
       generating the largest quantities of effluents
    (D) all of any given pollutant that is to be controlled      (A) Methodical, step-by-
       actually reaches the North Sea at present                    step reasoning is
    (E) environmental damage already inflicted on the               inappropriate for making
       North Sea is reversible                                      many real-life
                                                                    management decisions.
                                                                 (B) Top managers have the
                                                                    ability to use either
                                                                    intuitive reasoning or
                                                                    methodical, step-by-step
                                                                    reasoning in making
                                                                    decisions.
                                                                 (C) The decisions made by
                                                                    middle-and lower-level
                                                                    managers can be made as
                                                                    easily by using
                                                                    methodical reasoning as
                                                                    by using intuitive
                                                                    reasoning.
                                                                 (D) Top managers use
                                             67
      intuitive reasoning in making the majority of their
      decisions.                                             17. Correctly measuring the
    (E) Top managers are more effective at decision-              productivity of service
      making than middle-or lower-level managers                  workers is complex.
                                                                  Consider, for example,
16. The imposition of quotas limiting imported steel will         postal workers: they are
     not help the big American steel mills. In fact, the          often said to be more
     quotas will help “mini-mills” flourish in the United         productive if more letters
     States. Those small domestic mills will take more            are delivered per postal
     business from the big Americal steel mills than              worker. But is this really
     would have been taken by the foreign steel mills in          true? what if more letters
     the absence of quotas.                                       are lost or delayed per
                                                                  worker at the same time that
    Which of the following, if true, would cast the most          more are delivered?
    serious doubt on the claim made in the last sentence          The objection implied above
    above?                                                        to the productivity measure
                                                                  described is based on doubts
    (A) Quality rather than price is a major factor in
                                                                  about the truth of which of
      determining the type of steel to be used for a
                                                                  the following statements?
      particular application.
    (B) Foreign steel mills have long produced grades of         (A) Postal workers are
      steel comparable in quality to the steel produced            representative of service
      by the big American mills.                                   workers in general.
    (C) American quotas on imported goods have often             (B) The delivery of letters is
      induced other countries to impose similar quotas             the primary activity of the
      on American goods.                                           postal service.
    (D) Domestic “mini-mills” consistently produce               (C) Productivity should be
      better grades of steel than do the big American              ascribed to categories of
      mills.                                                       workers, not to
    (E) Domestic “mini-mills” produce low-volume,                  individuals.
      specialized types of steels that are not produced by       (D) The quality of services
      the big American steel mills.                                rendered can
                                                                   appropriately be ignored
                                                                   in computing
                                                                   productivity.
                                                                 (E) The number of letters
                                                                   delivered is relevant to
                                                                   measuring the
                                                                   productivity of postal
                                             68
       workers.
                                                            19. A greater number of
18. Male bowerbirds construct elaborately decorated              newspapers are sold in
    nests, or bowers. Basing their judgment on the fact          Town S than in Town T.
    that different local populations of bowerbirds of the        Therefore, the citizens of
    same species build bowers that exhibit different             Town S are better informed
    building and decorative styles, researchers have             about major world events
    concluded that the bowerbirds’ building styles are a         than are the citizens of
    culturally acquired, rather than a genetically               Town T.
    transmitted, trait.                                          Each of the following, if
    Which of the following, if true, would most                  true, weakens the
    strengthen the conclusion drawn by the researchers?          conclusion above EXCEPT:
    (A) There are more common characteristics than              (A) Town S has a larger
      there are differences among the bower-building              population than Town T.
      styles of the local bowerbird population that has         (B) Most citizens of Town T
      been studied most extensively                               work in Town S and buy
    (B) Young male bowerbirds are inept at bower-                 their newspapers there.
      building and apparently spend years watching their        (C) The average citizen of
      elders before becoming accomplished in the local            Town S spends less time
      bower style.                                                reading newspapers than
    (C) The bowers of one species of bowerbird lack the           does the average citizen
      towers and ornamentation characteristic of the              of Town T.
      bowers of most other species of bowerbird.                (D) A weekly newspaper
    (D) Bowerbirds are found only in New Guinea and               restricted to the coverage
      Australia, where local populations of the birds             of local events is
      apparently seldom have contact with one another.            published in Town S.
    (E) It is well known that the song dialects of some         (E) The average newsstand
      songbirds are learned rather than transmitted               price of newspapers sold
      genetically.                                                in Town S in lower than
                                                                  the average price of
                                                                  newspapers sold in Town
                                                                  T.
                                         70
2. High levels of fertilizer and pesticides, needed when
   farmers try to produce high yield of the same crop year 3. Shelby Industries
   after year, pollute water supplies. Experts therefore      manufactures and sells the
   urge farmers to diversify their crops and to rotate their  same gauges as Jones
   plantings yearly.                                          Industries. Employee wages
                                                              account for forty percent of
   To receive governmental price-support benefits for a       the cost of manufacturing
   crop, farmers must have produced that same crop for        gauges at both Shelby
   the past several years.                                    Industries and Jones
                                                              Industries. Shelby Industries is
   The statements above, if true, best support which of the   seeking a competitive
   following conclusions?                                     advantage over Jones
                                                              Industries. Therefore, to
   (A) The rules for governmental support of farm prices
                                                              promote this end, Shelby
        work against efforts to reduce water pollution.
                                                              Industries should lower
   (B) The only solution to the problem of water pollution
                                                              employee wages.
        from fertilizers and pesticides is to take farmland
        out of production.
                                                              Which of the following, if
   (C) Farmers can continue to make a profit by rotating
                                                              true, would most weaken the
        diverse crops, thus reducing costs for chemicals,
                                                              argument above?
        but not by planting the same crop each year.
   (D) New farming techniques will be developed to make       (A) Because they make a
        it possible for farmers to reduce the application of       small number of precision
        fertilizers and pesticides.                                instruments, gauge
   (E) Governmental price supports for farm products are           manufacturers cannot
        set at levels that are not high enough to allow            receive volume discounts
        farmers to get out of debt.                                on raw materials.
                                                              (B) Lowering wages would
                                                                   reduce the quality of
                                                                   employee work, and this
                                                                   reduced quality would
                                                                   lead to lowered sales.
                                                              (C) Jones Industries has taken
                                                                   away twenty percent of
                                                                   Shelby Industries’
                                                                   business over the last
                                                                   year.
                                                              (D) Shelby Industries pays its
                                                                   employees, on average,
                                              71
        ten percent more than does Jones Industries.
   (E) Many people who work for manufacturing plants           5. Large national budget deficits
        live in areas in which the manufacturing plant they       do not cause large trade
        work for is the only industry.                            deficits. If they did, countries
                                                                  with the largest budget deficits
4. Some communities in Florida are populated almost               would also have the largest
   exclusively by retired people and contain few, if any,         trade deficits. In fact, when
   families with small children. Yet these communities are        deficit figures are adjusted so
   home to thriving businesses specializing in the rental of      that different countries are
   furniture for infants and small children.                      reliably comparable to each
                                                                  other, there is no such
   Which of the following, if true, best reconciles the           correlation.
   seeming discrepancy described above?
                                                                  If the statements above are all
   (A) The businesses specializing in the rental of
                                                                  true, which of the following
        children’s furniture buy their furniture from
                                                                  can properly be inferred on the
        distributors outside of Florida.
                                                                  basis of them?
   (B) The few children who do reside in these
        communities all know each other and often make            (A) Countries with large
        overnight visits to one another’s houses.                      national budget deficits
   (C) Many residents of these communities who move                    tend to restrict foreign
        frequently prefer renting their furniture to buying            trade.
        it outright.                                              (B) Reliable comparisons of
   (D) Many residents of these communities must provide                the deficit figures of one
        for the needs of visiting grandchildren several                country with those of
        weeks a year.                                                  another are impossible.
   (E) Children’s furniture available for rental is of the        (C) Reducing a country’s
        same quality as that available for sale in the stores.         national budget deficit
                                                                       will not necessarily result
                                                                       in a lowering of any trade
                                                                       deficit that country may
                                                                       have.
                                                                  (D) When countries are
                                                                       ordered from largest to
                                                                       smallest in terms of
                                                                       population, the smallest
                                                                       countries generally have
                                                                       the smallest budget and
                                                                       trade deficits.
                                                72
  (E) Countries with the largest trade deficits never have
       similarly large national budget deficits.              7. Many breakfast cereals are
                                                                 fortified with vitamin
6. “Fast cycle time” is a strategy of designing a manu-          supplements. Some of these
   facturing organization to eliminate bottlenecks and           cereals provide 100 percent of
   delays in production. Not only does it speed up               the recommended daily
   production, but it also assures quality. The reason is        requirement of vitamins.
   that the bottlenecks and delays cannot be eliminated          Nevertheless, a well-balanced
   unless all work is done right the first time.                 breakfast, including a variety
                                                                 of foods, is a better source of
  The claim about quality made above rests on a ques-            those vitamins than are such
  tionable presupposition that                                   fortified breakfast cereals
                                                                 alone.
  (A) any flaw in work on a product would cause a
       bottleneck or delay and so would be prevented
                                                                Which of the following, if
       from occurring on a “fast cycle” production line
                                                                true, would most strongly
  (B) the strategy of “fast cycle time” would require
                                                                support the position above?
       fundamental rethinking of product design
  (C) the primary goal of the organization is to produce a      (A) In many foods, the natural
       product of unexcelled quality, rather than to                 combination of vitamins
       generate profits for stockholders                             with other nutrients
  (D) “fast cycle time” could be achieved by shaving                 makes those vitamins
       time off each of the component processes in                   more usable by the body
       production cycle                                              than are vitamins added
  (E) “fast cycle time” is a concept in business strategy            in vitamin supplements.
       that has not yet been put into practice in a factory     (B) People who regularly eat
                                                                     cereals fortified with
                                                                     vitamin supplements
                                                                     sometimes neglect to eat
                                                                     the foods in which the
                                                                     vitamins occur naturally.
                                                                (C)Foods often must be
                                                                     fortified with vitamin
                                                                     supplements because
                                                                     naturally occurring
                                                                     vitamins are removed
                                                                     during processing.
                                                                (D) Unprocessed cereals are
                                                                     naturally high in several
                                               73
         of the vitamins that are usually added to fortified
         breakfast cereals.                                     9. A famous singer recently won
   (E) Cereals containing vitamin supplements are no                 a lawsuit against an
         harder to digest than similar cereals without added         advertising firm for using
         vitamins.                                                   another singer in a
                                                                     commercial to evoke the
8. Which of the following best completes the passage                 famous singer’s well-known
   below?                                                            rendition of a certain song.
   The more worried investors are about losing their                 As a result of the lawsuit,
   money, the more they will demand a high potential                 advertising firms will stop
   return on their investment; great risks must be offset by         using imitators in
   the chance of great rewards. This principle is the                commercials. Therefore,
   fundamental one in determining interest rates, and it is          advertising costs will rise,
   illustrated by the fact that——.                                   since famous singers’
                                                                     services cost more than
   (A) successful investors are distinguished by an ability
                                                                     those of their imitators.
         to make very risky investments without worrying
                                                                     The conclusion above is
         about their money
                                                                     based on which of the
   (B) lenders receive higher interest rates on unsecured
                                                                     following assumptions?
         loans than on loans backed by collateral
   (C) in times of high inflation, the interest paid to              (A) Most people are unable
         depositors by banks can actually be below the rate             to distinguish a famous
         of inflation                                                   singer’s rendition of a
   (D) at any one time, a commercial bank will have a                   song from a good
         single rate of interest that it will expect all of its         imitator’s rendition of the
         individual borrowers to pay                                    same song.
   (E) the potential return on investment in a new                   (B) Commercials using
         company is typically lower than the potential                  famous singers are
         return on investment in a well-established                     usually more effective
         company                                                        than commercials using
                                                                        imitators of famous
                                                                        singers.
                                                                     (C) The original versions of
                                                                        some well-known songs
                                                                        are unavailable for use in
                                                                        commercials.
                                                                     (D) Advertising firms will
                                                                        continue to use imitators
                                                                        to mimic the physical
                                                74
       mannerisms of famous singers.
     (E) The advertising industry will use well-known           11. A group of children of
       renditions of songs in commercials.                           various ages was read
                                                                     stories in which people
10. A certain mayor has proposed a fee of five dollars per           caused harm, some of those
     day on private vehicles entering the city, claiming             people doing so
     that the fee will alleviate the city’s traffic congestion.      intentionally, and some
     The mayor reasons that, since the fee will exceed the           accidentally. When asked
     cost of round-trip bus fare from many nearby points,            about appropriate
     many people will switch from using their cars to                punishments for those who
     using the bus.                                                  had caused harm, the
                                                                     younger children, unlike the
     Which of the following statements, if true, provides            older ones, assigned
     the best evidence that the mayor’s reasoning is                 punishments that did not
     flawed?                                                         vary according to whether
                                                                     the harm was done
     (A) Projected increases in the price of gasoline will
                                                                     intentionally or accidentally.
        increase the cost of taking a private vehicle into
                                                                     Younger children, then, do
        the city.
                                                                     not regard people’s
     (B) The cost of parking fees already makes it
                                                                     intentions as relevant to
        considerably more expensive for most people to
                                                                     punishment.
        take a private vehicle into the city than to take a
        bus.
                                                                     Which of the following, if
     (C) Most of the people currently riding the bus do
                                                                     true, would most seriously
        not own private vehicles.
                                                                     weaken the conclusion
     (D) Many commuters opposing the mayor’s plan
                                                                     above?
        have indicated that they would rather endure
        traffic congestion than pay a five-dollar-per day            (A) In interpreting these
        fee.                                                            stories, the listeners had
     (E) During the average workday, private vehicles                   to draw on a relatively
        owned and operated by people living within the                  mature sense of human
        city account for twenty percent of the city’s traffic           psychology in order to
        congestion.                                                     tell whether harm was
                                                                        produced intentionally or
                                                                        accidentally.
                                                                     (B) In these stories, the
                                                                        severity of the harm
                                                                        produced was clearly
                                                                        stated.
                                                75
    (C) Younger children are as likely to produce harm
                                                            Questions 13-14 are based on the
      unintentionally as are older children.
                                                            following.
    (D) The older children assigned punishment in a way
      that closely resembled the way adults had assigned    The program to control the entry
      punishment in a similar experiment.                   of illegal drugs into the country
    (E) The younger children assigned punishments that      was a failure in 1987. If the
      varied according to the severity of the harm done     program had been successful, the
      by the agents in the stories.                         wholesale price of most illegal
                                                            drugs would not have dropped
12. When hypnotized subjects are told that they are deaf
                                                            substantially in 1987.
    and are then asked whether they can hear the
    hypnotist, they reply, “No.” Some theorists try to        13. The argument in the passage
    explain this result by arguing that the selves of              depends on which of the
    hypnotized subjects are dissociated into separate              following assumptions?
    parts, and that the part that is deaf is dissociated from
                                                                   (A) The supply of illegal
    the part that replies.
                                                                     drugs dropped
                                                                     substantially in 1987.
    Which of the following challenges indicates the most
                                                                   (B) The price paid for most
    serious weakness in the attempted explanation
                                                                     illegal drugs by the
    described above?
                                                                     average consumer did not
    (A) Why does the part that replies not answer,                   drop substantially in
      “Yes”?                                                         1987.
    (B) Why are the observed facts in need of any special          (C) Domestic production of
      explanation?                                                   illegal drugs increased at
    (C) Why do the subjects appear to accept the                     a higher rate than did the
      hypnotist’s suggestion that they are deaf?                     entry of such drugs into
    (D) Why do hypnotized subjects all respond the same              the country.
      way in the situation described?                              (D) The wholesale price of a
    (E) Why are the separate parts of the self the same              few illegal drugs
      for all subjects?                                              increased substantially in
                                                                     1987.
                                                                   (E) A drop in demand for
                                                                     most illegal drugs in 1987
                                                                     was not the sole cause of
                                                                     the drop in their
                                                                     wholesale price.
                                              76
would be most seriously weakened if it were true that
                                                        15. Excavation of the ancient
(A) in 1987 smugglers of illegal drugs, as a group,
                                                             city of Kourion on the
  had significantly more funds at their disposal than
                                                             island of Cyprus revealed a
  did the country’s customs agents
                                                             pattern of debris and
(B) domestic production of illegal drugs increased
                                                             collapsed buildings typical
  substantially in 1987
                                                             of towns devastated by
(C) the author’s statements were made in order to
                                                             earthquakes. Archaeologists
  embarrass the officials responsible for the drug-
                                                             have hypothesized that the
  control program
                                                             destruction was due to a
(D) in 1987 illegal drugs entered the country by a
                                                             major earthquake known to
  different set of routes than they did in 1986
                                                             have occurred near the
(E) the country’s citizens spent substantially more
                                                             island in A.D.365.
  money on illegal drugs in 1987 than they did in
  1986.
                                                            Which of the following, if
                                                            true, most strongly supports
                                                            the archaeologists’
                                                            hypothesis?
                                         77
      between A.D.300 and 400 were found in Kourion.          17. Many institutions of higher
    (E) Stone inscriptions in a form of the Greek                 education suffer declining
      alphabet that was definitely used in Cyprus after           enrollments during periods
      A.D.365 were found in Kourion.                              of economic slowdown. At
                                                                  two-year community
16. Sales of telephones have increased dramatically over          colleges, however,
     the last year. In order to take advantage of this            enrollment figures boom
     increase, Mammoth Industries plans to expand                 during these periods when
     production of its own model of telephone, while              many people have less
     continuing its already very extensive advertising of         money and there is more
     this product.                                                competition for jobs.
    Which of the following, if true, provides most support        Each of the following, if
    for the view that Mammoth Industries cannot increase          true, helps to explain the
    its sales of telephones by adopting the plan outlined         enrollment increases in two-
    above?                                                        year community colleges
    (A) Although it sells all of the telephones that it           described above EXCEPT:
      produces, Mammoth Industries’ share of all                  (A) During periods of
      telephone sales has declined over the last year.              economic slowdown,
    (B) Mammoth Industries’ average inventory of                    two-year community
      telephones awaiting shipment to retailers has                 colleges are more likely
      declined slightly over the last year.                         than four-year colleges to
    (C) Advertising has made the brand name of                      prepare their students for
      Mammoth Industries’ telephones widely known,                  the jobs that are still
      but few consumers know that Mammoth Industries                available.
      owns this brand.                                            (B) During periods of
    (D) Mammoth Industries’ telephone is one of three               economic prosperity,
      brands of telephone that have together accounted              graduates of two-year
      for the bulk of the last year’s increase in sales.            community colleges often
    (E) Despite a slight decline in the retail price, sales         continue their studies at
      of Mammoth Industries’ telephones have fallen in              four-year colleges.
      the last year.                                              (C) Tuition at most two-year
                                                                    community colleges is a
                                                                    fraction of that at four-
                                                                    year colleges.
                                                                  (D) Two-year community
                                                                    colleges devote more
                                                                    resources than do other
                                              78
      colleges to attracting those students especially
      affected by economic slowdowns.                    19. Which of the following, if
    (E) Students at two-year community colleges, but not     true and known by the
      those at most four-year colleges, can control the      ranchers, would best help
      cost of their studies by choosing the number of        explain the results of the
      courses they take each term.                           study?
                                          80
       P.                                                 3. In comparison to the standard
  (E) Company P provides more types of health-care           typewriter keyboard, the
       benefits than does Company O.                         EFCO keyboard, which places
                                                             the most-used keys nearest the
2. Which of the following, if true, would most weaken the    typist’s strongest fingers,
   conclusion above?                                         allows faster typing and results
   (A) The employees of Company P lost more time at          in less fatigue, Therefore,
        work due to job-related accidents than did the       replacement of standard
        employees of Company O.                              keyboards with the EFCO
   (B) Company P considered more types of accidents to       keyboard will result in an
        be job-related than did Company O.                   immediate reduction of typing
   (C) The employees of Company P were sick more often       costs.
        than were the employees of Company O.
   (D) Several employees of Company O each had more          Which of the following, if
        than one job-related accident.                       true, would most weaken the
   (E) The majority of job-related accidents at Company      conclusion drawn above?
        O involved a single machine.                         (A) People who use both
                                                                   standard and EFCO
                                                                   keyboards report greater
                                                                   difficulty in the transition
                                                                   from the EFCO keyboard
                                                                   to the standard keyboard
                                                                   than in the transition from
                                                                   the standard keyboard to
                                                                   the EFCO keyboard.
                                                              (B) EFCO keyboards are no
                                                                   more expensive to
                                                                   manufacture than are
                                                                   standard keyboards and
                                                                   require less frequent
                                                                   repair than do standard
                                                                   keyboards.
                                                              (C) The number of businesses
                                                                   and government agencies
                                                                   that use EFCO keyboards
                                                                   is increasing each year.
                                                              (D) The more training and
                                                                   experience an employee
                                             81
        has had with the standard keyboard, the more
        costly it is to train that employee to use the EFCO 5. Which of the following, if
        keyboard.                                               true, would best help explain
   (E) Novice typists can learn to use the EFCO keyboard        how the sweetener might
        in about the same amount of time it takes them to       produce the observed effect?
        learn to use the standard keyboard.                     (A) The government’s analysis
                                                                     of the artificial sweetener
Questions 4-5 are based on the following.                            determined that it was
Half of the subjects in an experiment—the experimental               sold in relatively pure
group—consumed large quantities of a popular artificial              form.
sweetener. Afterward, this group showed lower cognitive         (B) A high level of the amino
abilities than did the other half of the subjects—the                acid in the blood inhibits
control group—who did not consume the sweetener. The                 the synthesis of a
detrimental effects were attributed to an amino acid that is         substance required for
one of the sweetener’s principal constituents.                       normal brain functioning.
                                                                (C) Because the sweetener is
4. Which of the following, if true, would best support the
                                                                     used primarily as a food
   conclusion that some ingredient of the sweetener was
                                                                     additive, adverse
   responsible for the experimental results?
                                                                     reactions to it are rarely
   (A) Most consumers of the sweetener do not consume                noticed by consumers.
        as much of it as the experimental group members         (D) The amino acid that is a
        did.                                                         constituent of the
   (B) The amino acid referred to in the conclusion is a             sweetener is also sold
        component of all proteins, some of which must be             separately as a dietary
        consumed for adequate nutrition.                             supplement.
   (C) The quantity of the sweetener consumed by                (E) Subjects in the experiment
        individuals in the experimental group is                     did not know whether
        considered safe by federal food regulators.                  they were consuming the
   (D) The two groups of subjects were evenly matched                sweetener or a second,
        with regard to cognitive abilities prior to the              harmless substance.
        experiment.
   (E) A second experiment in which subjects consumed        6. Adult female rats who have
        large quantities of the sweetener lacked a control      never before encountered rat
        group of subjects who were not given the                pups will start to show
        sweetener.                                              maternal behaviors after being
                                                                confined with a pup for about
                                                                seven days. This period can be
                                                                considerably shortened by
                                                                disabling the female’s sense of
                                               82
smell or by removing the scent-producing glands of the
pup.                                                        7. The interview is an essential
Which of the following hypotheses best explains the            part of a successful hiring
contrast described above?                                      program because, with it, job
                                                               applicants who have
(A) The sense of smell in adult female rats is more
                                                               personalities that are unsuited
     acute than that in rat pups.
                                                               to the requirements of the job
(B) The amount of scent produced by rat pups increases
                                                               will be eliminated from
     when they are in the presence of a female rat that
                                                               consideration.
     did not bear them.
(C) Female rats that have given birth are more affected
                                                               The argument above logically
     by olfactory cues than are female rats that have
                                                               depends on which of the
     never given birth.
                                                               following assumptions?
(D) A female rat that has given birth shows maternal
     behavior toward rat pups that she did not bear            (A) A hiring program will be
     more quickly than does a female rat that has never             successful if it includes
     given birth.                                                   interviews.
(E) The development of a female rat's maternal interest        (B) The interview is a more
     in a rat pup that she did not bear is inhibited by the         important part of a
     odor of the pup.                                               successful hiring program
                                                                    than is the development
                                                                    of a job description.
                                                               (C) Interviewers can
                                                                    accurately identify
                                                                    applicants whose
                                                                    personalities are unsuited
                                                                    to the requirements of the
                                                                    job.
                                                               (D) The only purpose of an
                                                                    interview is to evaluate
                                                                    whether job applicants’
                                                                    personalities are suited to
                                                                    the requirements of the
                                                                    job.
                                                               (E) the fit of job applicants’
                                                                    personalities to the
                                                                    requirements of the job
                                                                    was once the most
                                                                    important factor in
                                             83
       making hiring decisions.
                                                             9. Useful protein drugs, such as
8. An overly centralized economy, not the changes in the        insulin, must still be
   climate, is responsible for the poor agricultural            administered by the
   production in Country X since its new government             cumbersome procedure of
   came to power. Neighboring Country Y has                     injection under the skin. If
   experienced the same climatic conditions, but while          proteins are taken orally, they
   agricultural production has been falling in Country X, it    are digested and cannot reach
   has been rising in Country Y.                                their target cells. Certain
                                                                nonprotein drugs, however,
   Which of the following, if true, would most weaken the       contain chemical bonds that
   argument above?                                              are not broken down by the
                                                                digestive system. They can,
   (A) Industrial production also is declining in Country
                                                                thus, be taken orally.
        X.
   (B) Whereas Country Y is landlocked, Country X has a
                                                                The statements above most
        major seaport.
                                                                strongly support a claim that a
   (C) Both Country X and Country Y have been
                                                                research procedure that
        experiencing drought conditions.
                                                                successfully accomplishes
   (D) The crops that have always been grown in Country
                                                                which of the following would
        X are different from those that have always been
                                                                be beneficial to users of
        grown in Country Y.
                                                                protein drugs?
   (E) Country X’s new government instituted a
        centralized economy with the intention of ensuring      (A) Coating insulin with
        an equitable distribution of goods.                          compounds that are
                                                                     broken down by target
                                                                     cells, but whose chemical
                                                                     bonds are resistant to
                                                                     digestion
                                                                (B) Converting into protein
                                                                     compounds, by
                                                                     procedures that work in
                                                                     the laboratory, the
                                                                     nonprotein drugs that
                                                                     resist digestion
                                                                (C) Removing permanently
                                                                     from the digestive system
                                                                     any substances that digest
                                                                     proteins
                                              84
  (D) Determining, in a systematic way, what enzymes
       and bacteria are present in the normal digestive       11. Last year the rate of inflation
       system and whether they tend to be broken down              was 1.2 percent, but for the
       within the body                                             current year it has been 4
  (E) Determining the amount of time each nonprotein               percent. We can conclude
       drug takes to reach its target cells.                       that inflation is on an
                                                                   upward trend and the rate
10. Country Y uses its scarce foreign-exchange reserves            will be still higher next year.
     to buy scrap iron for recycling into steel. Although
     the steel thus produced earns more foreign exchange           Which of the following, if
     than it costs, that policy is foolish. Country Y’s own        true, most seriously
     territory has vast deposits of iron ore, which can be         weakens the conclusion
     mined with minimal expenditure of foreign                     above?
     exchange.
                                                                   (A) The inflation figures
                                                                     were computed on the
    Which of the following, if true, provides the
                                                                     basis of a representative
    strongest support for Country Y’s policy of buying
                                                                     sample of economic data
    scrap iron abroad?
                                                                     rather than all of the
    (A) The price of scrap iron on international markets             available data.
      rose significantly in 1987.                                  (B) Last year a dip in oil
    (B) Country Y’s foreign-exchange reserves dropped                prices brought inflation
      significantly in 1987.                                         temporarily below its
    (C) There is virtually no difference in quality                  recent stable annual level
      between steel produced from scrap iron and that                of 4 percent.
      produced from iron ore.                                      (C) Increases in the pay of
    (D) Scrap iron is now used in the production of                  some workers are tied to
      roughly half the steel used in the world today, and            the level of inflation, and
      experts predict that scrap iron will be used even              at an inflation rate of 4
      more extensively in the future.                                percent or above, these
    (E) Furnaces that process scrap iron can be built and            pay raises constitute a
      operated in Country Y with substantially less                  force causing further
      foreign exchange than can furnaces that process                inflation.
      iron ore.                                                    (D) The 1.2 percent rate of
                                                                     inflation last year
                                                                     represented a ten-year
                                                                     low.
                                                                   (E) Government
                                                                     intervention cannot affect
                                              85
       the rate of inflation to any significant degree.
                                                            13. In the United States in 1986,
12. Because no employee wants to be associated with bad          the average rate of violent
     news in the eyes of a superior, information about           crime in states with strict
     serious problems at lower levels is progressively           gun-control laws was 645
     softened and distorted as it goes up each step in the       crimes per 100,000 persons
     management hierarchy. The chief executive is,               —about 50 percent higher
     therefore, less well informed about problems at             than the average rate in the
     lower levels than are his or her subordinates at those      eleven states where strict
     levels.                                                     gun-control laws have never
                                                                 been passed. Thus one way
     The conclusion drawn above is based on the                  to reduce violent crime is to
     assumption that                                             repeal strict gun control
                                                                 laws.
     (A) problems should be solved at the level in the
       management hierarchy at which they occur
                                                                 Which of the following, if
     (B) employees should be rewarded for accurately
                                                                 true, would most weaken
       reporting problems to their superiors
                                                                 the argument above?
     (C) problem-solving ability is more important at
       higher levels than it is at lower levels of the           (A) The annual rate of
       management hierarchy                                         violent crime in states
     (D) chief executives obtain information about                  with strict gun-control
       problems at lower levels from no source other than           laws has decreased since
       their subordinates                                           the passage of those laws.
     (E) some employees are more concerned about truth           (B) In states with strict gun-
       than about the way they are perceived by their               control laws, few
       superiors                                                    individuals are prosecuted
                                                                    for violating such laws.
                                                                 (C) In states without strict
                                                                    gun-control laws, many
                                                                    individuals have had no
                                                                    formal training in the use
                                                                    of firearms.
                                                                 (D) The annual rate of
                                                                    nonviolent crime is lower
                                                                    in states with strict gun-
                                                                    control laws than in states
                                                                    without such laws.
                                                                 (E) Less than half of the
                                               86
        individuals who reside in states without strict gun-
        control laws own a gun.                              15. The proposal to hire ten new
                                                                  police officers in
14. Corporate officers and directors commonly buy and             Middletown is quite foolish.
     sell, for their own portfolios, stock in their own           There is sufficient funding
     corporations. Generally, when the ratio of such inside       to pay the salaries of the
     sales to inside purchases falls below 2 to 1 for a           new officers, but not the
     given stock, a rise in stock prices is imminent. In          salaries of additional court
     recent days, while the price of MEGA Corporation             and prison employees to
     stock has been falling, the corporation’s officers and       process the increased
     directors have bought up to nine times as much of it         caseload of arrests and
     as they have sold.                                           convictions that new
                                                                  officers usually generate.
     The facts above best support which of the following
     predictions?                                                 Which of the following, if
                                                                  true, will most seriously
     (A) The imbalance between inside purchases and
                                                                  weaken the conclusion
        inside sales of MEGA stock will grow even
                                                                  drawn above?
        further.
     (B) Inside purchases of MEGA stock are about to              (A) Studies have shown that
        cease abruptly.                                              an increase in a city’s
     (C) The price of MEGA stock will soon begin to go               police force does not
        up.                                                          necessarily reduce crime.
     (D) The price of MEGA stock will continue to drop,           (B) When one major city
        but less rapidly.                                            increased its police force
     (E) The majority of MEGA stock will soon be owned               by 19 percent last year,
        by MEGA’s own officers and directors.                        there were 40 percent
                                                                     more arrests and 13
                                                                     percent more convictions.
                                                                  (C) If funding for the new
                                                                     police officers’ salaries is
                                                                     approved, support for
                                                                     other city services will
                                                                     have to be reduced during
                                                                     the next fiscal year.
                                                                  (D) In most United States
                                                                     cities, not all arrests result
                                                                     in convictions, and not all
                                                                     convictions result in
                                                87
      prison terms.                                          17. There is a great deal of
    (E) Middletown’s ratio of police officers to citizens         geographical variation in the
      has reached a level at which an increase in the             frequency of many surgical
      number of officers will have a deterrent effect on          procedures—up to tenfold
      crime.                                                      variation per hundred
                                                                  thousand between different
16. A recent report determined that although only three           areas in the numbers of
     percent of drivers on Maryland highways equipped             hysterectomies,
     their vehicles with radar detectors, thirty-three            prostatectomies, and
     percent of all vehicles ticketed for exceeding the           tonsillectomies.
     speed limit were equipped with them. Clearly,                To support a conclusion that
     drivers who equip their vehicles with radar detectors        much of the variation is due
     are more likely to exceed the speed limit regularly          to unnecessary surgical
     than are drivers who do not.                                 procedures, it would be
                                                                  most important to establish
    The conclusion drawn above depends on which of                which of the following?
    the following assumptions?
                                                         (A) A local board of review at
    (A) Drivers who equip their vehicles with radar           each hospital examines the
      detectors are less likely to be ticketed for            records of every operation
      exceeding the speed limit than are drivers who do       to determine whether the
      not.                                                    surgical procedure was
    (B) Drivers who are ticketed for exceeding the speed      necessary.
      limit are more likely to exceed the speed limit    (B) The variation is unrelated to
      regularly than are drivers who are not ticketed.        factors (other than the
    (C) The number of vehicles that were ticketed for         surgical procedures
      exceeding the speed limit was greater than the          themselves) that influence
      number of vehicles that were equipped with radar        the incidence of diseases for
      detectors.                                              which surgery might be
    (D) Many of the vehicles that were ticketed for           considered.
      exceeding the speed limit were ticketed more than (C) There are several categories of
      once in the time period covered by the report.          surgical procedure (other than
    (E) Drivers on Maryland highways exceeded the             hysterectomies,
      speed limit more often than did drivers on other        prostatectomies, and
      state highways not covered in the report.               tonsillectomies) that are often
                                                              performed unnecessarily.
                                                         (D) For certain surgical
                                                              procedures, it is difficult to
                                                              determine after the
                                              88
     operation whether the procedures were necessary or
     whether alternative treatment would have succeeded. 19. In 1987 sinusitis was the
(E) With respect to how often they are performed              most common chronic
     unnecessarily, hysterectomies, prostatectomies, and      medical condition in the
     tonsillectomies are representative of surgical           United States, followed by
     procedures in general.                                   arthritis and high blood
                                                              pressure, in that order.
18. Researchers have found that when very overweight          The incidence rates for both
     people, who tend to have relatively low metabolic        arthritis and high blood
     rates, lose weight primarily through dieting, their      pressure increase with age,
     metabolisms generally remain unchanged. They will        but the incidence rate for
     thus burn significantly fewer calories at the new        sinusitis is the same for
     weight than do people whose weight is normally at        people of all ages.
     that level. Such newly thin persons will, therefore,     The average age of the
     ultimately regain weight until their body size again     United States population
     matches their metabolic rate.                            will increase between 1987
     The conclusion of the argument above depends on          and 2000.
     which of the following assumptions?
                                                              Which of the following
(A) Relatively few very overweight people who have
                                                              conclusions can be most
     dieted down to a new weight tend to continue to
                                                              properly drawn about
     consume substantially fewer calories than do people
                                                              chronic medical conditions
     whose normal weight is at that level.
                                                              in the United States from
(B) The metabolisms of people who are usually not
                                                              the information given
     overweight are much more able to vary than the
                                                              above?
     metabolisms of people who have been very overweight.
(C) The amount of calories that a person usually burns in     (A) Sinusitis will be more
     a day is determined more by the amount that is              common than either
     consumed that day than by the current weight of the         arthritis or high blood
     individual.                                                 pressure in 2000.
(D) Researchers have not yet determined whether the           (B) Arthritis will be the
     metabolic rates of formerly very overweight individuals     most common chronic
     can be accelerated by means of chemical agents.             medical condition in
(E) Because of the constancy of their metabolic rates,           2000.
     people who are at their usual weight normally have as    (C) The average age of
     much difficulty gaining weight as they do losing it.        people suffering from
                                                                 sinusitis will increase
                                                                 between 1987 and 2000.
                                                              (D) Fewer people will suffer
                                            89
      from sinusitis in 2000 than suffered from it in
      1987.
    (E) A majority of the population will suffer from at
      least one of the medical conditions mentioned
      above by the year 2000.
20. Parasitic wasps lay their eggs directly into the eggs of
     various host insects in exactly the right numbers for
     any suitable size of host egg. If they laid too many
     eggs in a host egg, the developing wasp larvae would
     compete with each other to the death for nutrients
     and space. If too few eggs were laid, portions of the
     host egg would decay, killing the wasp larvae.
90