Cameron Final
Cameron Final
Fraser Cameron
The Jean Monnet/Robert Schuman Paper Series is produced by the Jean Monnet Chair of
the University of Miami, in cooperation with the Miami European Union Center.
These monographic papers analyze ongoing developments within the European Union as
well as recent trends which influence the EU’s relationship with the rest of the world.
Broad themes include, but are not limited to:
♦ EU Enlargement
♦ The Evolution of the Constitutional Process
♦ The EU as a Global Player
♦ Comparative Regionalisms
♦ The Trans-Atlantic Agenda
♦ EU-Latin American Relations
♦ Economic issues
♦ Governance
♦ The EU and its Citizens
♦ EU Law
As the process of European integration evolves further, the Jean Monnet/Robert Schuman
Papers is intended to provide current analyses on a wide range of issues relevant to the
EU. The overall purpose of the monographic papers is to contribute to a better
understanding of the unique nature of the EU and the significance of its role in the world.
Fraser Cameron∗
December 2005
∗
Fraser Cameron is a Senior Advisor to the European Policy Center, a Brussels Think Tank
The EU Model of Integration- Relevance Elsewhere?
Introduction
By any standard the European Union (EU) is a successful model of integration. But can it
be replicated, even partially, elsewhere? The EU model is highly regarded elsewhere in
the world and the attempts to imitate parts of the EU system are perhaps the sincerest
form of flattery. In Africa there is the increasingly important Africa Union, as well as a
number of regional (e.g. ECOWAS) and sub-regional organizations. In Latin America
there is the Andean Pact and Mercosur as well as the Central American Free Trade
Agreement (CAFTA) and the Caribbean Community (CARICOM). The North American
Free Trade Agreement covers the US, Canada and Mexico. In the Middle East there is the
Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). In Asia there is the association of South-East Asian
Nations (ASEAN), the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) and
the Asian regional forum (ARF). There is now much speculation about an East Asian
Community and a summit is planned for Malaysia in December to discuss such a
development. But no regional organisation has come close to matching the achievements
of the EU. What are the key elements that made the EU such a success? This paper
reviews some of the factors that are essential for regional integration and examines global
trends including the relations between the EU and regional organisations.
What stands out from a comparison of the EU with attempts to promote regional
integration elsewhere is the cardinal importance of political will. Any regional
organisation needs the necessary political will to eliminate barriers to trade, to create
common policies and to establish common institutions. An allied factor is agreed
leadership. In Europe, in the early days of integration, Germany was willing to defer to
French leadership. This later became a joint leadership, the famous Franco-German axis,
which operated continuously whatever the political constellations in Paris and Berlin. It is
the absence of agreed leadership that makes it difficult to envisage progress in many
other parts of the world. For example, the rivalry between China and Japan and the lack
of Sino-Japanese reconciliation makes the prospects for regional cooperation in Asia are
very bleak.
The leader or leaders must also be willing to share power with other partners. In
the EU’s case this was achieved through an institutional structure heavily biased in
favour of the smaller member states. There must also be agreement on shared aims
among the partners involved. The sequencing of integration is also important. What
degree of ambition do the partners share? What is the size and diversity of the partners?
What degree of convergence/ flexibility? Free Trade Areas (FTAs) are at the low end of
the spectrum – essentially driven by commercial interests and require little political will
although politics often comes into play in other ways. Latin American fears about US
dominance have influenced moves towards a Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA).
It should also be noted that there is an increased trend to use FTAs for political purposes
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with US policies after 9/11 being a good example. The next stage is a Customs Union,
(CU) involving tariffs and quotas, which is often difficult to implement as it essentially
means the actors must agree on a common external trade policy. A CU also brings in
revenue and the question then arises how to handle the accrued revenue? The next step
would be a single market (goods/services/capital/people) leading to an economic union
with (or without) a common currency. The EU model is really one of a successful
customs union that has become deeper and wider in contrast to the European Free Trade
Association (EFTA) that was a successful FTA but which has become smaller and
smaller. It now only comprises Norway, Switzerland, Iceland and Lichtenstein.
The achievement of an economic union raises questions about the budget, a not
uncommon source of friction in the EU. There are questions of allocation – trade,
competition, industry; questions of redistribution – common agricultural policy (CAP),
regional policy; and questions of stabilisation – monetary policy. In the case of the EU
the budget is roughly euros 100 billion which is just over one percent of EU GDP. Most
of the budget is spent on redistribution - 45% CAP and 35% regional policy. A key
element of stabilisation is the need to ensure coherence between the removal of trade
barriers and the exchange rate regime, monetary and fiscal policies and capital
movements. Coherence can be obtained through different monetary and exchange rate
mechanisms. The EU has had the snake, the exchange rate mechanism (ERM) and now
the euro.
To conclude this review, the most important factors for the EU success can be
attributed to political will, setting clear and shared objectives, proceeding step by step,
ensuring clear deliverables and establishing solid institutions to cope with the inevitable
shocks.
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As the EU has developed greater coherence it has also become a more significant
global actor with many third countries recognising the importance of this strange power.
The most recent example of such growing status was the visit of President Bush to the
European Commission headquarters in February 2005, followed by a reciprocal visit by
President Barroso to the White House last month. It is to the EU’s growing international
role that we now turn as this is an important factor in the relationship between regional
organisations and the EU.
Since its establishment fifty years ago the EU has steadily increased its presence on the
world stage and this in turn has led to more and more regions looking to the EU as a
source of inspiration, and, more recently, leadership. In the early years the external
influence of the EU was felt mainly as a result of its internal developments. The creation
of a coal and steel community (ECSC) and the establishment of the CAP both had a
significant impact on world trade. The past decade, however, has seen a major move
forward in the development of the EU as a global actor with the institutional structures
being completed and the first operations undertaken.
The 1992 Maastricht Treaty established the common foreign and security policy
(CFSP) and, despite starting at the worst possible moment, with the break-up of former
Yugoslavia, the CFSP gradually began to develop the institutional structures and
instruments to enable the EU to play a more visible foreign policy role. There were many
setbacks, notably the dispute over how to deal with Iraq in 2002-03, and internal rivalries
between the Council and the Commission and between the member states and the EU
institutions. But the past decade was also marked by steady progress. Amongst the most
significant developments were the appointment in 1999 of Javier Solana as the EU’s
High Representative for CFSP, supported by a policy planning unit; the Helsinki
Headline Goals and the establishment of a common European Security and Defense
Policy (ESDP); the establishment of the political and security committee (PSC) plus a
military staff and military committee, to guide and underpin the CFSP and ESDP; the
development of co-operative links with NATO and the United Nations (UN); the
agreement on the European Security Strategy which proclaims ‘effective multilateralism’
as the EU’s guiding principal in its foreign policy; the signing of the European
Constitution in October 2004 which laid out the future structure of the EU’s foreign and
security policy (despite problems over ratification it marked a major step forward in
terms of agreement in this sensitive area between the member states). Apart from seeking
to strengthen its institutional arrangements, the EU has performed a growing operational
role (Balkans, Congo, Aceh, etc) and started to develop a strategic doctrine.1 The EU is
now working to create a 60,000-strong rapid reaction force for future humanitarian and
peacekeeping missions. In addition it has created the ‘battle group’ concept to allow the
1
‘A Secure Europe in a Better World: European Security Strategy,’ Brussels, 12 December 2003, p. 11. See
also Sven Biscop The European Security Strategy – A Global Agenda for Positive Power (Ashgate, Aldershot, 2005)
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rapid deployment of forces to underpin UN operations.2 There remain many challenges
but it is difficult to deny that the EU has become a more influential actor today than at
any time in its history. It has played a leading role in the Kyoto climate change
negotiations, in the establishment of the international criminal court (ICC) and been the
front-runner in promoting arms control and disarmament.
International relations theorists have often struggled with the phenomenon of regions as
actors.3 The realist view of the self-interested and power-seeking state remains true, it is
argued, also for the group of states acting collectively through the EU. With increased
interdependence and globalisation, and against the background of an international system
with a dominant power (the US), the EU must seek to defend and extend its position
internationally. One method of securing its economic interests and ultimately increasing
its power is through inter-regional cooperation. The liberal school accepts the view of
individuals (and states) as self-interested and competitive but argue that there is also a
willingness to cooperate across international boundaries on the basis of shared interests in
the pursuit of prosperity and increased welfare. Interdependence is both a causal factor in
international cooperation, and also the result of political cooperation among sovereign
states, international organisations and non-state actors. Institutions may be regarded as
more than simply apolitical actors facilitating international cooperation by providing
information, reducing transaction costs, and playing an enforcement or monitoring role.
Institutions, and the EU in particular, can be considered as political actors motivated by
self-interest and influenced by considerations of position and power in the international
system.
In the pursuit of both absolute and relative gains, regional cooperation and inter-
regional relations in particular may be heavily influenced by geopolitical and security
considerations. In the past decade the principal factor influencing the international system
has been the overwhelming power of the United States. In the absence of any direct
challenge to the reign of the hegemon, some argue that inter-regional cooperation
remains as the indirect reaction to the pervasive influence and might of the world’s super-
power. The US has had an ambivalent attitude towards regional integration. It was a
strong supporter of European integration in the 1950s and generally has maintained this
support albeit sometimes in a lukewarm manner. The transatlantic dispute over Iraq in
2002-03 had a hugely negative impact on EU-US relations. In contrast, the US has been
hostile to attempts to promote Asian integration, especially when it was not directly
involved in the process. In its own hemisphere it has always asserted a droit de regard
since the days of the Monroe Doctrine and has never even considered establishing any
2
See EPC Working Paper no 11 on ESDP- The State of Play and ICG report no 160 on EU Crisis
Response Capability Revisited
3
This author is not partial to any theory but acknowledges the complexities that characterise the
international system requiring a multi- faceted analysis of the driving forces and elements that combine to
shape the sys tem.
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supranational institutions. The US is the most important partner for the EU and for most
other countries and regions. This situation is unlikely to change in the foreseeable future
and hence US attitudes will remain very important for the future of the international
system. A key EU aim is trying to ensure the US maintains its commitment to a rules-
based international system.
Herein lies a major potential area of dispute. In the national security strategy of
2002, and in subsequent statements by President Bush, the US has asserted the right of
‘pre-emptive’ strikes to protect its security. This was indeed the initial justification for
going to war with Iraq in 2003. There are signs that the chastening experience of Iraq and
the recognition that military power alone cannot provide solutions may have tempered
American thinking. But the appointment of John Bolton to the UN and his attempts to
emasculate the Millenium Summit concluding document demonstrate the continuing
struggle between the neo-conservatives and conservative pragmatists for control of US
foreign policy.
While the EU cannot claim the degree of military and political power of the US in
the international system, it has an increasing degree of influence as a result of its soft
power (economic and technical assistance, its culture and its approach to international
relations). This has been shown in its own efforts to promote ‘regime change’ in central
and eastern Europe. The carrot of EU membership has been a very powerful influence in
bringing about dramatic social and economic changes in each country. Some scholars
have sought to build a theory around the EU’s approach using soft power and support for
regional integration. The reality is that EU policy has developed on a pragmatic and ad
hoc basis with a mix of factors: political, security, economic, all playing a role in
deepening integration. At different times, the EU has emphasized the importance of
sticking together to maximize its political weight in the world, it has stressed the security
benefits of enlargement and the economic advantages of an ever larger single market. It
has also sought to diffuse its values, rules, norms and standards, notably by establishing
criteria for joining the EU. This accumulation of rights and responsibilities has led to the
development of a certain European identity.
Why would a regional power want to share power through the medium of
institutions? Obviously, if the costs of not sharing are higher than the benefits of keeping
power unilaterally, then the rational decision is to share power. Most important is the
willingness of the big states to share power, and this may be determined by historical,
cultural, and political traditions. In foreign policy there is often a struggle between the
desire of the ‘Big Three’, France, Britain and Germany, to pursue their own interests and
the stark recognition that they are unlikely to be able to achieve their goals acting alone
compared to acting through the EU. The recent case of the EU3 and Iran is a good
example of how these competing strains can be reconciled. The EU has a history of
internal and external cooperation, so the existence of domestic coalitional interests with a
culture of power-sharing will be most likely to produce regional strategies of cooperation.
There is a greater guarantee of regional power-sharing where the domestic group or
groups share a discourse that is supportive of power-sharing as a way to serve their
interests.
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The EU has sought to promote its belief in the merits of regional integration by
supporting such efforts through a mixture of political dialogue, financial and technical
assistance. A brief review of global trends and the EU’s relations with other regions will
help to illustrate this goal.
Asia
Asia is the fastest growing and most dynamic region in the world. There have been
limited attempts to establish regional cooperation but they have largely failed due to
serious political differences. These include the above-mentioned Sino-Japanese rivalry,
the long-standing Indian-Pakistan conflict over Kashmir and several disputes of a lesser
character between the states of south-east Asia. The longest standing EU relationship
with a regional body in Asia is with the ten-member ASEAN and dates back to the 1960s.
More recently the principal EU-Asian dialogue has occurred with the Asia-Europe
Meeting (ASEM) process. These dialogues have been handicapped by the asymmetrical
nature of the partners. The EU has regretted the lack of integration among Asian partners,
the fact the ASEAN has constantly missed deadlines set by itself, and the deteriorating
political climate between China and Japan. In light of these developments there is a trend
on the EU side to focus more on its relations with its three Asian strategic partners,
China, Japan and India.
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Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum, incorporates as members some
countries that belong to no regional organisation, so the weak culture of cooperation
through regional institutionalist frameworks is reflected in the way inter-regional
relations with the EU are managed. ASEM has taken over many of the functions of the
ASEAN-EU dialogue, and offers greater significance for the EU since it includes China,
Japan, and South Korea as members. It can be considered a counter-weight to APEC, and
a way to reduce the American influence in the region. Like ASEAN, ASEM is non-
binding, informal and consensual. Despite the common interests of the two regions in
areas such as trade and investment, the ASEM framework has not produced many results
and the process has been damaged by disputes over Myanmar’s presence and human
rights in general.
In 2001, the EU sought to redefine its relations with Asia, announcing a new
strategic partnership for the region. The new strategy signalled what amounted to a
declaration of intent, to strengthen the EU’s political and economic presence in the
region, ‘raising this to a level commensurate with the growing global weight of an
enlarged EU’. Significantly, the new Asia strategy also embraced ideational
considerations, with human rights protection, democracy, good governance and the rule
of law given prominence (CEC, 2001, p. 18). The new strategic partnership is still at an
early phase as far as substantive inter-regional cooperation is concerned. However the
geographic scope is much broader than before, since it extends to include Australia, a
country with which many of the Asian countries have close economic ties. The strategy
rejects the idea of focusing exclusively on the regional organisation and opts for trans-
regional rather than inter-regional cooperation. The EU proposes a shared political
project based on promoting peace and security at the global level, enhancing the
effectiveness of the UN, and managing the global environment. This partnership extends
to shared responsibility for dealing with trans-border issues such as crime, illegal
immigration, drugs, and terrorism. Economic issues occupy an important place in the EU
strategy towards Asia, and at the heart of the matter is the EU’s desire to enhance
liberalisation within the framework of the WTO system of rules. The EU also favours a
stronger institutional framework in order to ‘allow for a more coherent approach’ to Asia-
EU relations, on the basis that it would ‘give a clear public signal of the commitment of
both parties to raise our relationship to a new level’ (CEC, 2001, p. 12). The overall
strategy envisages extending the reach of the EU across issue areas in which previous
engagement was limited. One such issue area is social policy, where the EU proposes to
engage in further dialogue on social policy issues by presenting the ‘European model’ as
an exemplar of best practice with the ‘links between trade and social development,
including the promotion of core labour standards’.
The EU discourse surrounding the Asia strategy is firmly linked to concepts such
as partnership and the sharing of power. At the same time, the discourse reflects the ideas
and normative framework that is the hallmark of the European system. The EU wants to
simultaneously diffuse its values and institutional model within and across Asia, while
co-opting the Asian countries to support the EU position in international arenas.
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Latin America
As the fourth largest economic group in the world after the EU, NAFTA, and Japan, with
a GDP of $1100bn and a population of 220 million people, the Latin American region has
enormous economic significance for an economic bloc such as the EU. In this regard, a
major focus of EU efforts is support for the completion of the Mercosur internal market,
the external liberalisation of the community, and the enhancement of the institutional
structure. Mercosur and the Andean pact are the two principal regional organisations in
South America with the Central American Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA) countries
seeking also to achieve closer integration. All three organizations have been handicapped
in their efforts to achieve closer cooperation by local rivalries and the inability of
politicians to overcome the opposition of vested interests. From its inception, Mercosur
adopted a similar (although more limited) institutional design to that of the EU, and a
proposal to deepen the institutional arrangements, to create a dispute settlement system,
establish a common competition policy and eliminate non-tariff barriers reflects the
continued influence of the EU model. Despite this, it remains an intergovernmental
organisation. Parallel to this inter-governmentalism, there continues to be a weak
institutionalisation of the interregional cooperation framework for the EU and the Latin
American region. For Mercosur, and for Latin America in general, there are possible
gains associated with inter-regional cooperation. Collaboration with the EU may serve to
raise the profile in the international geo-political arena, an aim that is particularly relevant
for Brazil. But there is also the possibility for Mercosur to engage in balancing strategies,
not least in the context of the negotiations around the proposed Free Trade Area of the
Americas (FTAA). Inter-regional cooperation with the EU could also be a way for Latin
American to secure greater autonomy outside the US sphere of influence.
Initially, EU policy towards Latin America was rooted in the EU’s development
programmes. The current EU strategy paper for Latin America marks a shift away from
traditional development policy, and must be seen against the failure of the development
models of the 1970s and 1980s. It can also be seen in the context of the proposal to create
a FTAA. Both of these facts lend a sense of urgency to the regional political agenda.
There are normative considerations driving the EU position, in the stated concerns with
poverty, democracy, and the rule of law. But there are also strong political economy
forces behind the EU support for Mercosur. While the EU supports the Mercosur
integration process and the creation of a ‘strategic inter-regional partnership’, an over-
riding motivation for the EU is to counter-balance the likely influence of the proposed
FTAA (Mercosur-European Community Regional Strategy paper 2002-2006). Three
priority areas of cooperation were identified by the European Commission: the promotion
and protection of human rights; the promotion of the information society; and the
reduction of social imbalances by means of a global approach to the campaign against
poverty. In more concrete terms, the new Latin American strategy focused upon
monetary and financial stability, the support for the peace process in Colombia,
immigration, drugs-trafficking, and the WTO rules.
The EU is at an advanced stage in its negotiations for an FTA with Mercosur. The
focus of this agreement is economic cooperation, largely dealing with trade and aimed at
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securing bilateral, gradual and reciprocal trade liberalization in accordance with WTO
rules. The EU is therefore endeavouring to prise open what it regards as a potentially
lucrative market and using its economic muscle to promote its political values and
standing.
Africa
Continental and regional cooperation has developed rapidly in Africa during recent years.
The Africa Union, successor to the organization of African States (OAS) has been
granted new competences and has begun to play a significant role in conflict prevention
and crisis management as witness its efforts in Darfur and elsewhere. There have also
been several important moves forward in regional cooperation in southern, eastern and
western Africa with ECOWAS perhaps the most advanced example. The emphasis has
been on good governance and economic development with the NEPAD example
providing a model for others.
The EU has also developed a new strategy towards Africa with new policy papers
being proposed by the Commission and Council in October 2005. Previously the EU’s
approach was almost exclusively based on development and reflected both the traditional
bilateral relations many member states enjoyed with their ex-colonies and the Union’s
total efforts to provide assistance through the Lomé and later Cotonou agreements. The
Lomé agreements offered duty- free access to the European market for primary products,
without the requirement of reciprocal access in return. There was much rhetoric about
partnership but despite the creation of an institutional framework for the conduct of
political dialogue and implemention of policies, the partnership singularly failed to
produce concrete results in terms of development or the reduction of dependency.
The Cotonou Agreement of 2000 was the successor to the Lomé agreements. The
new agreement retained the notion of partnership, but now extended to include the
participation by all sectors of society. It also brought two new elements: local ownership,
and differentiation among the recipient states. Cotonou is itself a new model of
partnership in inter-regional cooperation between the EU and ACP. It recognises the
different levels of development among the countries, and proposes a multi-speed
approach to development and regional cooperation. Under the Cotonou agreement,
development and economic growth are premised upon free trade, and bilateral regional
integration based upon economic liberalisation.
The question remains whether the African countries will buy into this trade
liberalisation under the guise of regional integration strategy. Concerns have already been
raised by many of these countries over the continued viability and relevance of the ACP
bloc given the European Commission’s intention to negotiate bilateral agreements at the
sub-regional level. The EU bilateral strategy of negotiating with groups of countries
rather than the ACP bloc impinges on the cohesiveness and unity of the regional
grouping. Further fragmentation is a possibility as the gap between the poorest
developing countries and those gradually integrating with the global economy widens.
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The recent European initiative on Everything But Arms (EBA), which gives market
access for every product except military hardware and armaments to the 49 poorest
countries is a separate element under development policy. The poorest countries are party
to both the EBA initiative and to the Cotonou agreement. However, the EBA offers the
best conditions for the poorest countries (non-reciprocal market access for all products)
and if they opt for the EBA it could undermine the market access guaranteed by Cotonou
and, ultimately impact upon the viability of the ACP group.
Europe has an abundance of regional and sub-regional organizations ranging from the
organization for security and cooperation in Europe (OSCE) to the north atlantic treaty
organization (NATO) to the Council of Europe to the Baltic Sea cooperation council and
the Stability Pact for south east Europe. In most of these organizations the EU is a major
actor and often the main financial supporter. With regard to the two security
organizations, the OSCE and NATO, the EU plays very different roles. In NATO it has
no direct voice apart from through individual member states who have different views on
the future of that organization. In the OSCE the EU plays a prominent role in the
economic deliberations and less of a role in the observer missions that play an increasing
role in that organization. There is also some overlap in the activities of the EU, the OSCE
and the Council of Europe, for example, in the promotion of democracy and human
rights. The European Commission has carved a niche role as the largest provider of funds
for electoral observation, an area in which the OSCE and Council of Europe are also
involved. The EU provides the bulk of the funding for activities carried out under the
auspices of the Stability Pact for SE Europe and is also involved in the core activities of
the Baltic Sea and Barents Sea councils. If the Black Sea economic cooperation takes off
then the EU will undoubtedly also be involved.
Inter-regional cooperation between the EU and the Central and Eastern European
states (CEECs) has evolved over a number of phases since the collapse of communism in
the late 1980s, to culminate in the planned accession of eight new Eastern European
states in 2004. With this latest stage of East-West relations, interregional cooperation
metamorphoses into full integration as the accession states meet the specified criteria
regarding their eligibility for membership.
Perhaps the biggest success of the EU in recent years has been the successful
enlargement to include most of the countries of central and eastern Europe. Initially these
countries were offered Association or Europe Agreements that involved trade
liberalisation, and also imposed EU competition and state aid rules on the signatory
countries. But the agreements went further than trade liberalisation, to include multi-
faceted, preferential agreements of unlimited duration containing clauses on human
rights, democracy, and the principles of the market economy. Although not initially
offering membership, the agreements were subsequently modified in the wake of the
1993 Copenhagen criteria when the EU set down eligibility requirements, including:
Stable institutions (guarantee of democracy, rule of law, human rights and
minority rights);
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Functioning market economy, and the ability to compete inside EU;
Ability to adopt the acquis communautaire, the body of EU legislation, and to
accept the aims of political, economic and monetary union.
The EU has now developed a new European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) that is
designed to minimize any barriers as a result of the latest enlargement. The ENP does not
affect the Balkans as they have their own roadmap for membership, nor Turkey and
Croatia, the two countries that have just started accession negotiations with the EU.
Equally Romania and Bulgaria are excluded as they are scheduled to join the EU in 2007
or 2008 at the latest.
The ENP seeks to persuade the partner countries, such as Ukraine in the east and
Morocco and Egypt in the south to adopt EU values and norms in return for greater
access to the EU’s single market and increased financial assistance. There is again an
effort to promote greater sub-regional cooperation between the partner countries.
Conclusion
The EU is developing steadily as a global actor using its soft power to increase its
political influence on the world stage and it is likely to remain the most advanced
example of regional integration in the world for the foreseeable future. The global trend
towards greater regional cooperation will continue but there is unlikely to be any
dramatic breakthrough that would see the creation of a supranational authority along the
lines of the EU model. The EU will continue to promote these global efforts, partly out of
ideological belief and partly out of self-interest. It will strengthen its support for the
African Union and regional organizations within the African continent and will do
likewise in Latin America. It will be vigilant in observing how developments such as the
FTAA might affect its interests and it will keep a wary eye on US policy and on the
prospects of an East Asian community. The development of relations between the EU
and other regional bodies will very largely depend on the degree of political cohesiveness
shown by the partners.
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