Large Sampling
Large Sampling
Population (Universe)
A population consists of the totality of the observations with which we are
concerned.
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Finite population:
When the number of observation can be counted and is definite, it is
known as finite population
Infinite population
When the number of units in a population is innumerably large, that
we cannot count all of them, it is known as infinite population.
Sample:
It is a subset of the population and size of the sample is denoted by 𝑛.
Example:
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Parameter:
It is a statistical measure based on all units of a population
1.Population Mean: 𝜇
2. Population variance: 𝜎 2
3. Population Proportion: 𝑃
Statistic:
It is a statistical measure based on all units of selected sample
1.Sample Mean: 𝑥̅
2. Sample variance: 𝑠 2
3. Sample Proportion: 𝑝
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For example, say you want to know the mean income of the subscribers to
a particular magazine—a parameter of a population. You draw a random
sample of 100 subscribers and determine that their mean income is Rs
30,500 (a statistic). You conclude that the population mean income μ is
likely to be close to Rs30,500 as well. This example is one of statistical
inference.
Parameter Statistic
2. Population SD = 𝜎 2.Sample SD = 𝑠
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Classification of sample:
(1)Large sample : If 𝑛 ≥ 30 ,then sample is called lagre sample.
i.e., if the size of the sample is greater than or equal to 30 , then
the sample is considered as large sample.
i.e., if the size of the sample is less than 30 , then the sample is
considered as small sample.
Sampling:
The process of selection of a sample is called sampling.
Eg. To assess the quality of a bag of rice ,we examine only a portion of it by
taking a handful of it from the bag and then decide to purchase it or not.
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A study of either type of inferences about a population may lead to correct
conjectures about the population. Procedure of estimating a population
(parameter) by using sample information is referred as Estimation.
Tests of hypothesis
The main object of the sampling theory is the study of the Tests of
hypothesis/Tests of significance
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Definition: A null hypothesis is the hypothesis which states that there is no
significant difference between the statistic and the population parameter.
Null hypothesis is usually denoted by the symbol 𝐻0 .
If we want to test any statement about the population ,we set up the
null hypothesis that it is true.
For example ,if we want to find if the population mean has specified
value 𝜇0 ,then we set up the null hypothesis
𝐻0 : 𝜇 = 𝜇0
For example ,if we want to test the null hypothesis that the average
salary of a ANITS students in the placements is 5 Lakhs per year.
𝐻0 : 𝜇 = 5 𝑙𝑎𝑘ℎ𝑠
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Example: if we want to test the null hypothesis that the population has a
specified mean 0 say i.e., H0 : = 0 then the alternate hypothesis would
be
(i) H1 : 0 either > 0 or < 0 or
(ii) H1 : > 0 ( Right tailed test)
(iii) H1 : < 0 ( Left tailed test)
The alternate hypothesis is very important to decide whether we
have to use a single – tailed (right or left ) or two-tailed test.
𝐻0 : 𝜇 = 5 𝑙𝑎ℎℎ𝑠
Could be :
i)H1 : 5 𝑙𝑎ℎℎ𝑠 either > 5 𝑙𝑎ℎℎ𝑠 or < 5 𝑙𝑎ℎℎ𝑠 or
ii)H1 : > 5 𝑙𝑎ℎℎ𝑠 ( Right tailed test)
iii) H1 : < 5 𝑙𝑎ℎℎ𝑠 ( Left tailed test)
The alternative hypothesis (i) is known as a two tailed alternative,
(ii) is known as right tailed and (iii) is called left tailed.
𝑯𝟎 H1
equal (=) not equal (≠) or greater than (>) or less than (<)
greater than or equal to (≥) less than (<)
less than or equal to (≤) more than (>)
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Identification of the test statisitic
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Level of significance
The maximum probability of making type-I error specified in a test of
hypothesis is called the level of significance.
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Critical Value (CV) – separates the critical region from the non-critical
region, when we should accept or reject 𝐻0 .
The location of the critical value depends on the inequality sign of the
alternative hypothesis.
Depending on the distribution of the test value, you will use different
tables to find the critical value.
Rejection region
Acceptance region
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One-tailed or Two-tailed Tests
In Statistics hypothesis testing, we need to judge whether it is a one-tailed
or a two-tailed test so that we can find the critical values in tables such as
Standard Normal z Distribution Table and t Distribution Table. And then, by
comparing test statistic value with the critical value or whether statistic
value falls in the critical region, we make a conclusion either to reject the
null hypothesis or to fail to reject the null hypothesis.
The critical region may be represented by a portion of the area under the
normal curve in two ways: (i) Two ‘tails’ or sides under the normal curve (ii)
one ‘tail’ or side under the normal curve which is either the right tail or the
left tail.
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In a one-tailed test, the critical region has just one part (the green area
below). It can be a left tailed test or a right-tailed test. Left-tailed test: The
critical region is in the extreme left region (tail) under the curve .Right-
tailed test: The critical region is in the extreme right region (tail) under the
curve
In two-tailed test, the critical region has two parts (the red areas below)
which are in the two extreme regions (tails) under the curve.
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Critical values (𝒁𝜶 ) of 𝒁
Critical Values
(𝒁𝜶 ) Level of Significance (𝜶)
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Large sample Tests
If the size of the sample 𝑛 ≥ 30, then the sample is called
Large sample.
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Write given Data in symbolic
form.
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Procedure for Testing of Hypothesis
1.NullHypothesis: Set up the Null Hypothesis 𝐻0
2. Alternative Hypothesis: Set up the Alternative Hypothesis 𝐻1 .
This will enable us to decide whether we have to use a single-tailed (right
or left) test or two-tailed test.
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5. Conclusion.
We compare 𝑧 the computed value of Z in step 4 with the significant value
(tabulated value) 𝑧𝛼 at the given level of significance, '𝛼'
To test the significant difference between the sample mean and the
population mean μ, the statistic is given by
𝑥̅ −𝜇
𝑧= 𝜎
√𝑛
If the population S.D. is not known, then we can use sample standard
deviation ‘s’ in place of 𝜎 ,then statistic is given by
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𝑥̅ −𝜇
𝑧= 𝑠
√𝑛
IMP
Population
Sample mean
mean
𝑥̅ −𝜇
𝑧= 𝜎
Population √𝑛
Standard
deviation Sample
size
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95%confidence limits for population mean 𝜇 are given by
𝜎
𝑥̅ ± 1.96
√𝑛
𝜎 𝜎 𝑥̅ − 𝜇
i.e 𝑥̅ − 1.96 < 𝜇 < 𝑥̅ + 1.96 𝑧= 𝜎
√𝑛 √𝑛
√𝑛
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Example-1
A sample of 400 items is taken from a population whose standard
deviation is 10.The mean of sample is 40.Test whether the
sample has come from a population with mean 38 also calculate
95% confidence interval for the population.
Solution:
𝐻0 : =38 ,
i.e assume that sample has come from a population with mean 38.
𝐻1 : 38 ( Two tailed )
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40 − 38 2 20
𝑧= = =
10 0.5 5
√400
𝑧=4
|𝑧 | = 4
Step-6: Conclusion . Compare the calculated value of z with
Acceptance region
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𝜎 𝜎
i.e. 𝑥̅ − 𝑍0.05 < 𝜇 < 𝑥̅ + 𝑍0.05
√𝑛 √𝑛
10 10
40 − 1.96 < 𝜇 < 40 + 1.96
√400 √400
10 10
40 − 2.57 < 𝜇 < 40 + 2.
√400 √400
1 1
40 − 2.57 ( ) < 𝜇 < 40 + 2.57 ( )
2 2
Example-2:
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Solution:
𝐻0 : =800
788 − 800
𝑧= = −1.643
40
√30
𝑧 = −1.643
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|𝑧| = 1.643
Step-6: Conclusion . Compare the calculated value of z with
tabulated value 𝑍𝛼 .
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|𝑧| = 1.643 < 𝑍0.01 =2.58
Example-3
Solution:
𝐻0 : =165.
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There is no significance difference between sample mean and population
mean. I.e., sample is taken from a population with mean 165 and SD is 10
sample is not taken from a population with mean 165 and SD is 10.
160 − 165
𝑧= = −5
10
√100
𝑧 = −5 , |𝑧| = 5
Step-6: Conclusion .
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|𝑧| = 5 > 𝑍𝛼 =1.96
Example:4
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Step:2 Set up Null hypothesis 𝐻0 .
𝐻0 : =1800.
1850 − 1800
𝑧= = 3.54
100
√50
Step-6: Conclusion .
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|𝑧| > 𝑍𝛼=0.01
∴ we reject the Null Hypothesis 𝐻0 at 1% level of
significance and 𝐻1 is accepted. We conclude that there is increase in
breaking strength.
Example-5
Is given by
𝑥̅ −𝜇
𝑧= 𝜎
√𝑛
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Practice Problems
1. A sample of 900 items is found to have a mean of 3.47cm.Can it be
reasonably regarded as a simple sample from a population with mean
3.23 cm and SD 2.31 cm?
2. A manufacturer claims that,the mean breaking strength of belts for air
passengers produced in his factory is 1275 kgs.A sample of 100 belts
was tested and mean breaking strength and SD were found to be 1258
and 90kg respectively.Test the manufacturer’s claim at 5% level.
3. A random sample of 100 students gave a mean weight of 58kg with SD
of 4kg.Find 95% and 99% confidence limits of the mean of the
population.
4.It is claimed that a random sample of 49 tyres has a mean life of 15200
kms.This sample was drawn from a population whose mean is
15,150 km and aS.D.of 1200 km.Test the significance at 0.05 level
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Let 𝑥̅1 be the mean of a random sample of size 𝑛1 from a
population with mean 𝜇1 and variance 𝜎1 2 and let 𝑥̅2 be the mean of an
independent random sample of size 𝑛1 from another population with mean
𝜇2 and variance 𝜎2 2 .
𝐻0 : 𝜇1 = 𝜇2
i.e by assuming that there is no significance
difference between two means,
(𝑥̅1 − 𝑥̅2 )
𝑧=
𝜎1 2 𝜎2 2
√(
𝑛1 + 𝑛2 )
Note-1: If population variances 𝜎1 2 and 𝜎2 2 are not known ,then we can use
sample variances 𝑠1 2 and 𝑠2 2 in place of population variances.
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𝑥̅1 −𝑥̅2
𝑧=
𝑠1 2 𝑠2 2
√( + )
𝑛1 𝑛2
Note-2: If the two samples are taken from same population variance 𝜎 2
then the test statistic is given by
𝑥̅1 −𝑥̅2
𝑧= =
𝜎2 𝜎2 IMP
√( + )
𝑛1 𝑛2
𝐻0 : 𝜇1 = 𝜇2 is
(𝑥̅1 − 𝑥̅2 )
𝑧=
𝜎1 2 𝜎2 2
√( + )
𝑛1 𝑛2
When population variances 𝜎1 2 and 𝜎2 2 are not known, we
can sample variances.
𝑥̅ 1−𝑥̅ 2
Then, test statistic 𝑧=
𝑠1 2 𝑠2 2
ඩቌ
𝑛1 + 𝑛2 ቍ
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I. 𝐻0: 𝜇1 = 𝜇2 II. 𝐻0: 𝜇1 = 𝜇2 III. 𝐻0: 𝜇1 = 𝜇2
Example-1.
Solution:
Step-1: Write given data in terms symbols
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𝑥̅2 = mean lifetime of tube lights of company B =1230
𝐻0 : 𝜇1 = 𝜇2
i.e by assuming that there is no significance
difference between two means,
1190−1230
𝑧= = -2.421
902 752
√( + )
100 120
Step-6: Conclusion .
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(a) For 𝛼 = 0.05
|𝑧| = 2.421 > 𝑍0.05 = 1.96
We reject Null Hypothesis 𝐻0 . we conclude that
there is a difference in lifetimes of the tube lights produced by A and B .
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Example-2
Solution.
Step-1: Write given data in terms symbols
𝑥̅1 = 20 𝑥̅2 = 15
𝑛1 =500 𝑛1 = 400
𝜎=4
Step:2 Set up Null hypothesis 𝐻0 :
𝐻0 : 𝜇1 = 𝜇2
i.e., Assume that two samples are drawn from same population.
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20−15
𝑧= = 18.6
1 1
4√(500 +400 )
Step-6: Conclusion .
Example-3
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Solution.
Step-1: Write given data in terms symbols
𝑠1 = 6.4 𝑠2 = 6.3
𝐻0 : 𝜇1 = 𝜇2
i.e., Assume that both English men and American men have same mean
height.
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170−172
𝑧= 2 2
= −11.32
(6.4) (6.3)
6400 + 1600 )
√(
Step-6: Conclusion .
For 𝛼 = 0.01
|𝑧| = 11.32 > 𝑍0.01 = 2.33
We reject Null Hypothesis 𝐻0 and we accept
𝐻1 and conclude that Americans are taller than Englishmen.
Example-4
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Solution.
𝑥̅1 = 61 𝑥̅2 = 63
𝑠1 = 4 𝑠2 = 6
1.Null hypothesis(𝐻0 ): 𝐻0 : 𝜇1 = 𝜇2
𝑥̅1 −𝑥̅2
4. Test statistic: 𝑧=
𝑠1 2 𝑠2 2
√( + )
𝑛1 𝑛2
61−63
𝑧= 2 2
= −3.02
(4) (6)
√( +
100 200
)
5. Conclusion:
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For 𝛼 = 0.05
|𝑧| = 3.02 > 𝑍0.01 = 1.96
We reject Null Hypothesis 𝐻0 and we accept 𝐻1 and conclude that
there is a significance difference between two means.
Example-5
The means of simple samples of sizes 1000 and 2000 are 67.5
and 68.0cm respectively. Can the sample be regarded as
drawn from the same population of S.D 2.5cm
Solution.
𝑥̅1 = 67.5 𝑥̅2 = 68
1.Null hypothesis(𝐻0 ): 𝐻0 : 𝜇1 = 𝜇2
i.e., Assume that two samples are drawn from same population.
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𝑥̅1 −𝑥̅2
4. Test statistic: 𝑧= 1 1
𝜎 √( + )
𝑛1 𝑛2
67.5−68
𝑧= = 5.1
1 1
2.5√(1000 +2000 )
5. Conclusion:
For 𝛼 = 0.05
|𝑧| = 5.1 > 𝑍0.05 = 1.96
Practice problems
1. The average marks scored by 32 boys is 72 with SD 0f 8 ,while that for
36 girls is 70 with SD of 6.Test at 1% LOS where the boys perform
better than girls.
2.
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3.
4.
5.
6.
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.
If 𝑋 is the number of successes in 𝑛 independent trials with constant
probability P of success for each trial.
Then we have
𝐸(𝑋) = 𝑛𝑃 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑉(𝑋) = 𝑛𝑃𝑄,
where 𝑄 = 1 − 𝑃, is the probability of failure.
It has been proved that for large n, the binomial distribution tends to
normal distribution. Hence for large n ,
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𝑥−𝐸(𝑋) 𝑋−𝑛𝑃
𝑧= =
√𝑉(𝑋) √𝑛𝑃𝑄
𝑋 − 𝑛𝑃
𝑧=
√𝑛𝑃𝑄
𝑋 𝐸(𝑋) 𝑛𝑃
∴ 𝐸(𝑝) = 𝐸 ( ) = = =𝑃
𝑛 𝑛 𝑛
𝐸 (𝑝) = 𝑃
𝑋 1 𝑛𝑃𝑄
𝑉(𝑝) = 𝑉 ( ) = ( )
2𝑉 𝑋 =
𝑛 𝑛 𝑛2
𝑃𝑄
𝑉(𝑝) =
𝑛
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We have test statistic for proportion 𝑝, is
𝑝−𝐸(𝑝) 𝑝−𝑃
𝑧= = where 𝑄 = 1 − 𝑃
√𝑉(𝑝) √
𝑃𝑄
𝑛
IMP
Population
Sample proportion
proportion
𝑝−𝑃
Test statistic
𝑧=
for single √𝑃𝑄⁄𝑛
Proportion
Sample
size
𝑄 = 1−𝑃
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1.If 𝑃 is not known then taking 𝑝 (the sample proportion) as an estimate of
𝑃, the probable limits for the proportion in the population are :
𝑝𝑞
𝑝±3√
𝑛
𝑝𝑞 𝑝𝑞
i.e 𝑝 − 1.96 √ < 𝑃 < 𝑝 + 1.96 √
𝑛 𝑛
𝑝𝑞 𝑝𝑞
i.e 𝑝 − 2.58 √ < 𝑃 < 𝑝 + 2.58 √
𝑛 𝑛
Example-1
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𝑝−𝑃
Test statistic: 𝑧 =
𝑃𝑄
√
𝑛
3240 1
−
𝑧= 9000 3
1 2
√3 (3)
9000
𝑧 = = 5.36
Step-6: Conclusion .
For 𝛼 = 0.05
|𝑧| = 5.36 > 𝑍0.05 = 1.96
𝑝𝑞
𝑝±3√
𝑛
3240
Here 𝑝 =
9000
= 0.36, 𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 0.64
0.36(0.64)
0.36 ± 3√ = 0·360 ± 0·015 =
9000
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∴Limits of population 𝑃 are (0.345, 0.375)
Example-2
New-born babies are more likely to be boys than girls. A random
sample found 13,173 boys were born among 25,468 new-born children.
The sample proportion of boys was 0.5172. Is this sample evidence
that the birth of boys is more common than the birth of girls in the entire
population?
Solution.
Step-1: Write given data in terms symbols
𝑃= Population proportion=
1
Probability that a new born baby to be a boy =
2
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boys are more common than girls in the entire population .
𝑝−𝑃
Test statistic: 𝑧 =
𝑃𝑄
√
𝑛
Step-6: Conclusion .
For 𝛼 = 0.05
|𝑧| = 5.49 > 𝑍0.05 = 1.645
We reject Null Hypothesis 𝐻0 .
Example-3
𝑃= Population proportion=95%=0.95
Step:2 Set up Null hypothesis 𝐻0 :
Level of significance
𝑝−𝑃
Test statistic: 𝑧 =
𝑃𝑄
√
𝑛
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182
−0.95 −0.04
200
𝑧= =
0.95(0.05) 0.0154
√
200
= −2.595
Step-6: Conclusion .
For 𝛼 = 0.05
|𝑧| = 2.595 > 𝑍0.05 = 1.645
We reject Null Hypothesis 𝐻0 and accept alternative Hypothesis and
conclude that manufacturer claim is wrong.
Example-4
Solution:
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Step:2 Set up Null hypothesis 𝐻0 :
1
− 0.20
8
𝑧= = −3.75
0.20(0.80)
√
400
Step-6: Conclusion .
For 𝛼 = 0.05
|𝑧| = 3. .75 > 𝑍0.05 = 1.96
We reject Null Hypothesis 𝐻0 and accept alternative Hypothesis and
conclude that20% manufactured product is not of top quality.
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And production of the particular day chosen is not a representative sample.
Example-5
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Practce problems:
1. A manufacturer claims that only 4% of his products are defective.
A random sample of 500 were taken among which 100 were
defective. Test the hypothesis at 0.05level.
2. A random sample of 500 computers were taken from a large
consignment and 60 wee found to be defective.Find 99% confidence
limits for the percentage number of defective computes in the
consignment.
by the manufacturer 18 were faulty. Use (a) 0.01 (b) 0.05 L.O.S.
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manufactured by his firm are defective.A random sample of 400 bulbs
contained 13 defective bulbs.On the basis of this sample ,can you
support the manufacture’s claim at 5% LOS?.
6.A random sample of 400 mangoes was taken from a big consignment
and 40 were found to be bad. Prove that the percentage of bad
mangoes in the consignment will,lie between 5.5 and 14.5
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Then sample proportions are given by
𝑋1 𝑋2
𝑝1 = and 𝑝2 =
𝑛1 𝑛2
(𝑝1 − 𝑝2 ) − (𝑃1 − 𝑃2 )
𝑧=
1 1
√𝑃𝑄 ( + )
𝑛1 𝑛2
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Test statistic for difference of proportions, when 𝐻0 : 𝑃1 = 𝑃2 is
(𝑝1 −𝑝2 )
𝑍= 1 1
√𝑃𝑄(𝑛 +𝑛 )
1 2
where 𝑃 = 𝑛1𝑛𝑝1+𝑛
+𝑛2𝑝2 𝑋 +𝑋
= 1 2
𝑛 +𝑛
1 2 1 2
𝑄 = 1−𝑃
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Example-1
Solution:
Null hypothesis(𝐻0 ): 𝐻0 : 𝑃1 = 𝑃2
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Level of significance =0.05 ,𝑧𝛼 = 1.96
𝑛1 𝑝1 +𝑛2 𝑝2
𝑃=
𝑛1 +𝑛2
,𝑄 =1−𝑃
900(0.2) + 1600(0.185)
𝑃=
900 + 1600
0.2 − 0.185
𝑧=
√0.1904 × 0.8096 ( 1 + 1 )
900 1600
𝑧 = 0.92
Step-6: Conclusion .
For 𝛼 = 0.05
|𝑧| = 0.92 < 𝑍0.05 = 1.96
We accept Null Hypothesis 𝐻0 and conclude that percentage of physical
defect boys in both cities are equal
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Example-2
Solution (a)
𝑋2 95
Observed Proportion defectives from B = 𝑝2 = =
𝑛2 100
Null hypothesis(𝐻0 ): 𝐻0 : 𝑃1 = 𝑃2
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𝐻1 : 𝑃1 ≠ 𝑃2 ( two- tailed test)
𝑛1 𝑝1 +𝑛2 𝑝2 𝑋1 +𝑋2
𝑃=
𝑛1 +𝑛2
=
𝑛1 +𝑛2
,𝑄 =1−𝑃
181+95
𝑃= = 0.92, 𝑄 = 1 − 𝑃 = 0.08
200+100
0.905 − 0.95
𝑧=
√0.92 × 0.08 ( 1 + 1 )
200 100
𝑧 = −1.3636
Step-6: Conclusion .
For 𝛼 = 0.05
|𝑧| = 1.3636 < 𝑍0.05 = 1.96
We accept Null Hypothesis 𝐻0 and conclude that performance of both
are same.
Example-3
Solution
Null hypothesis(𝐻0 ): 𝐻0 : 𝑃1 = 𝑃2
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𝐻1 : 𝑃1 < 𝑃2 ( left- tailed test) ( 𝑃1 < 𝑃2why?)
𝑄 = 1 − 𝑃 = 0.8288
0.155 − 0.2
𝑧=
√0.1712 × 0.8288 ( 1 + 1 )
1600 900
𝑧 = −2.87
Step-6: Conclusion .
For 𝛼 = 0.05
|𝑧| = 2.87 > 𝑍0.05 = 1.645
We rejct Null Hypothesis 𝐻0 .
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Example-4
Solution.
Solution (a)
duty=800
=1200
duty=800
𝑋1
Observed Proportion tea drinkers in the beginning = 𝑝1 =
𝑛1
800
= = 0.8
1000
Observed Proportion tea drinkers after increase in excise
𝑋2 800 2
duty= 𝑝2 = = =
𝑛2 1200 3
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Step:2 Set up Null hypothesis 𝐻0 :
Null hypothesis(𝐻0 ): 𝐻0 : 𝑃1 = 𝑃2
Proportion of tea drinkers before and after the increase excise duty are
equal.
𝑛1 𝑝1 +𝑛2 𝑝2 800+800
𝑃= =
𝑛1 +𝑛2 1000+1200
1600 8
𝑃= = = 0.7273
2200 11
𝑄 = 1 − 𝑃 = 0.2727
0.8 − 2⁄3
𝑧=
√0.7273 1 1
× 0.2727 ( + )
1000 1200
𝑧 = 6.82
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Step-6: Conclusion .
For 𝛼 = 0.05
|𝑧| = 6.82 > 𝑍0.05 = 1.645
We reject Null Hypothesis 𝐻0 and accept𝐻1
Practice problems.
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𝐻0 : 𝑃1 = 𝑃2 , 𝐻1 : 𝑃1 > 𝑃2 (i.e machine is improved)
5.
6.
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