Forecast Air Cargo
Forecast Air Cargo
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
SECTION I: KEY HIGHLIGHTS, SCOPING AND METHODOLOGY V. Market Challenges
A. Component Analysis
I. Definitions
B. Manufacturers
II. Market Drivers
C. Distribution
i. Technological advancements improving operational efficiency and cargo handling
D. End-Users
ii. Expansion of global supply chains facilitating faster shipping solutions
ii. Value Percolation Across the Chain
iii. Increasing demand for e-commerce and online shopping driving air freight volumes
iii. Integration Levels
III. Market Opportunities
iv. Key Issues Addressed
i. Growth in the pharmaceutical and perishables sectors requiring efficient air transport
II. Porter's Five Forces Model
ii. Integration of digital technologies for tracking and managing air cargo logistics
i. Bargaining Power of Suppliers
iii. Emergence of new markets and trade routes enhancing cargo transport options
ii. Bargaining Power of Buyers
IV. Market Restraints
iii. Threat of New Entrants
i. Regulatory challenges and compliance requirements impacting shipping processes
iv. Threat of Substitutes
ii. High operational costs associated with fuel and maintenance for air freight
v. Intensity of Rivalry
iii. Environmental concerns leading to increased scrutiny on air cargo emissions
III. Technological Advancements
IV. Adjacent Market Analysis III. Freight Forwarding
V. Regulatory Framework
6. GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET, BY DELIVERY MODE (USD BILLION), 2019 -2034
i. Government Policies
ii. Future Roadmap 7. GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET, BY REGION (USD BILLION), 2019 -2034
iii. Challenges
I. North America
iv. Novel Applications
i. US
v. Key Developments
ii. Canada
VII. PESTLE Analysis
II. Europe
SECTION III: MARKET SEGMENTATION
i. Germany
4. GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET, BY CARGO TYPE (USD BILLION), 2019 -2034 ii. UK
iii. France
I. General Cargo
iv. Russia
II. Special Cargo
v. Italy
III. Perishable Goods
vi. Spain
IV. Dangerous Goods
vii. Rest of Europe
5. GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET, BY SERVICE TYPE (USD BILLION), 2019 -2034
III. APAC
i. China
I. Express Services
ii. India
II. Standard Services
iii. Japan
iv. South Korea ii. Merger & Acquisition
vi. Thailand
9. COMPANY PROFILES
vii. Indonesia
ii. South Africa IV. All Nippon Airways Co., Ltd (Japan)
II. Company Market Share Analysis, 2024 (%) IX. Cargolux (Luxembourg)
V. Key Developments, Growth Plans and Strategies 11. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND APPROACH
ii. Secondary Research • This table of contents is tentative and subject to change as the research progresses.
II. Market Size Estimation • In chapter 11, each company will be profiled based on the market overview, financials,
product portfolio, business strategies, and recent development parameters
III. Forecast Techniques
• Please note: the company’s financial details cannot be provided if the information is
IV. List of Assumptions
unavailable in the public domain or from reliable sources.
12. LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES • Sections marked with * will be provided on a best-effort basis.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Section Highlights
• Executive Summary
• Report Prologue and Key Highlights
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET MARKET SIZE, 2024-2034 (USD BILLION)
• The Global Air Cargo Market Size was valued at 130 USD Billion in 2024. The Air Cargo Market industry is
projected to grow from 140 USD Billion in 2025 to 210 USD Billion by 2034 exhibiting a compound annual
growth rate (CAGR) of 4.91% during the forecast period (2019 - 2034).
• The global air cargo market is undergoing significant shifts driven by increasing e-commerce demand,
technological advancements in logistics, and a focus on sustainability. Enhanced regulatory frameworks
are shaping operational standards, while rising fuel costs and economic fluctuations influence pricing
strategies. Additionally, regional expansions and partnerships are enhancing global connectivity and
efficiency in cargo operations.
• The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported that global air cargo volumes increased by
9.2% in 2021, reflecting a strong demand for air freight due to the pandemic-driven shift towards e-
commerce. Furthermore, the World Bank estimates that by 2025, global e-commerce sales will reach over
$7 trillion, significantly boosting air cargo demand as companies increasingly rely on fast and efficient
logistics solutions to meet consumer expectations. Additionally, the rise of online shopping has prompted
a 20% increase in the number of cargo aircraft deliveries from major manufacturers like Boeing and Airbus,
indicating ongoing investment in the air cargo sector.
350
Key Players in Air Cargo Market
300
0
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
North America Europe Asia-Pacific RoW
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY CONTINUED
GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET SHARE, BY CARGO TYPE, 2024 (%) GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET SHARE, BY SERVICE TYPE, 2024 (%)
The air cargo market is currently experiencing significant shifts driven by the diverse requirements of various cargo The global air cargo market is experiencing a dynamic transformation, driven by diverse service offerings that cater
types. The demand for general cargo continues to flourish, as businesses rely on efficient transportation solutions to to varied customer needs. Express services have emerged as a significant force, prioritizing speed and efficiency, thus
meet their logistical needs. Within this evolving landscape, special cargo is emerging as a pivotal sector due to its capturing the attention of time-sensitive industries. Meanwhile, standard services continue to play a vital role,
specificity and the need for tailored handling and processing. Innovations in handling perishable goods reflect the providing a reliable and cost-effective solution for businesses looking to manage their logistics without the urgency
increasing importance of rapid delivery systems to preserve freshness and quality. Meanwhile, the transportation of associated with express deliveries. The rising demand for integrated freight forwarding solutions further exemplifies
dangerous goods is subject to stringent regulations, presenting both challenges and opportunities for market leaders this evolution, showcasing innovation as key players adapt to the complexities of global trade. Companies are
who invest in compliance and safety measures. Companies are actively exploring competitive strategies that enhance innovating their competitive strategies to enhance service delivery, leveraging cutting-edge technology for tracking
operational efficiency, while fostering collaboration with stakeholders to optimize the logistics chain. This dynamic and operational efficiencies. As market leaders redefine operational frameworks, value involvement is increasingly
environment underscores the importance of adaptability and responsiveness to maintain a robust presence in the air seen in prioritizing customer experience and sustainability, making these service categories instrumental in shaping
cargo market. the future landscape of air cargo logistics globally.
MARKET INTRODUCTION &
MARKET DYNAMICS
Section Highlights
• Definition & Scope
• Drivers
• Restraints
• Opportunities
• Threats
MARKET INTRODUCTION
2.1 DEFINITION
The Air Cargo Market refers to the segment of the transportation industry that focuses on the movement of goods and products via aircraft. It encompasses a range of services including freight forwarding,
logistics, and supply chain management, facilitating the efficient delivery of time-sensitive materials globally. This market plays a crucial role in international trade, enabling businesses to ship perishable items,
valuable goods, and urgent supplies to various destinations without significant delays. In the real world, companies rely on air cargo for its speed and reliability, allowing them to meet customer demands rapidly
while maintaining competitiveness. The growth of e-commerce has further amplified the demand for air cargo services, highlighting its importance in modern supply chain strategies.
MACRO FACTORS
Growth Inhibiting Factor
Factor 1
Growth Promoting Factor
Factor 2
Factor 4 Note:
Factor 1
Factor 2
Factor 3
Factor 4
Expansion of global supply chains facilitating faster shipping solutions
FIGURE 7 Growth Rate of Global Trade Volume
• The expansion of global supply chains has significantly influenced the air cargo market by enhancing logistics efficiency and
responsiveness. As businesses aim to reduce delivery times and meet customer demands, air cargo emerges as a preferred
option due to its speed and reliability, thereby driving overall market growth.
• According to the International Air Transport Association (IATA), global air freight volume increased by approximately 8% in
2021, showcasing the rising demand for quicker shipping solutions. This increased reliance on air cargo illustrates how the
expansion of supply chains is catalyzing the growth of the market across various sectors.
• With globalization and technological advancements, businesses are establishing more complex supply chains that often span
multiple countries. This complexity further increases the demand for air cargo services, as companies require rapid
transportation methods to ensure timely delivery of goods, thus positively impacting market dynamics.
• Furthermore, government agencies such as the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) are investing in infrastructure
improvements to support increased air cargo capacity. These investments facilitate the growth of air shipping solutions,
making it easier for businesses to leverage air freight within their supply chains.
• In the future, as e-commerce continues to thrive and consumer expectations evolve toward faster deliveries, the air cargo
market is expected to expand further. This trend will likely continue driving the industry towards innovation, emphasizing the
integration of advanced technology to enhance shipping solutions within the global supply chain.
• Ultimately, the ongoing expansion of global supply chains is set to reinforce the importance of air cargo services, making it
a critical component for businesses aiming to compete in an increasingly fast-paced market environment. This driver will
remain pivotal in shaping the future landscape of logistics and air freight operations.
MARKET SEGMENTATION
Section Highlights
• Delivery Mode
• Region
GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET BY DELIVERY MODE
TABLE 5 GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET, BY DELIVERY MODE, 2019-2034 (USD BILLION)
The global air cargo market is undergoing significant evolution, with diverse delivery
2018- 2019- 2028- 2030- 2031-p 2034- CAGR (2024-
DELIVERY MODE 2024-b modes emerging to meet the growing demands of businesses and consumers alike.
h h p p p 2034)
Innovations in logistics have led to a surge in services that facilitate direct shipment from
Door-to-Door xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx% origin to destination. The door-to-door service has established itself as a market leader,
providing an unparalleled convenience that appeals to customers seeking speed and
Port-to-Port xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx%
reliability. Meanwhile, port-to-port and airport-to-airport models continue to capture a
Airport-to-Airport xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx% substantial share of the market, as they offer flexibility and cost efficiency, catering to
Total xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx% various shipment needs. This diversification reflects a strategic response to customer
preferences and logistical challenges, reinforcing the market's competitive landscape as
Source: MRFR Analysis
companies strive to enhance their operational capabilities and service offerings.
FIGURE 16 GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET, BY DELIVERY MODE, 2024 (%) In this dynamic environment, players in the air cargo market are not only focusing on
optimizing their delivery modes but are also investing in technology to streamline their
processes. The competitive strategies observed include partnerships with shipping
companies, fleet upgrades, and the implementation of real-time tracking systems that
increase transparency and customer satisfaction. As companies adapt to trends such as
e-commerce growth and changing consumer behavior, the value involved in choosing the
right delivery mode becomes increasingly critical. As a result, stakeholders are
challenged to sustain innovation while ensuring that their offerings remain aligned with
market demands, positioning them for long-term success in a rapidly changing landscape.
GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET, BY REGION
FIGURE 14 NORTH AMERICA AIR CARGO MARKET, 2019-2034 (USD BILLION)
In North America, the Air Cargo Market is characterized by a robust infrastructure, advanced logistics technology, and a
prominent market leader presence. The United States and Canada dominate this landscape, with a strong emphasis on
innovation to enhance efficiency and reliability in air freight services. Companies in this region are increasingly adopting
competitive strategies that focus on sustainability and the integration of artificial intelligence to optimize cargo handling
processes. Enhanced collaboration among logistics providers, airlines, and emerging tech firms contributes to improved
service delivery, making North America a vital hub for global air cargo operations. The emphasis on expedited delivery
and customer satisfaction drives continuous advancements in cargo services, establishing North America as a pivotal
player in the air cargo sector.
US Canada
Europe showcases a dynamically evolving Air Cargo Market, where countries such as Germany, France, and the United
Kingdom lead in terms of innovation and operational efficiency. The region is characterized by a complex regulatory
environment that fosters competition among carriers and logistics providers. The focus on reducing carbon emissions
and improving supply chain resilience is propelling airlines to invest in more efficient aircraft and collaborative logistics
networks. European companies are leveraging digital transformation to enhance visibility and tracking in air freight,
which strengthens their competitive edge. As this market matures, the commitment to sustainability and technological
advancements remains paramount, positioning Europe as a significant player in the global air cargo domain.
Innovation plays a crucial role in shaping the European air cargo landscape. Companies are increasingly investing in
digital transformation and sustainable practices to enhance service quality while addressing environmental
concerns. Additionally, strategic partnerships and alliances among key stakeholders, including airlines and freight
forwarders, are being formed to optimize delivery networks and improve customer service. The focus on problem-
FIGURE 21 EUROPE: AIR CARGO MARKET SHARE, BY COUNTRY, 2024 (% REVENUE SHARE)
solving is evident as the air cargo industry works to address issues such as capacity constraints, rising fuel costs,
and stringent regulations, ultimately ensuring that businesses can meet the growing demand for fast and reliable
shipping solutions. The value generated by the air cargo market extends beyond logistics, significantly contributing
to trade facilitation, economic growth, and the overall competitiveness of the European region in the global
marketplace.
EUROPE 2018-h 2019-h 2024-b 2028-p 2030-p 2031-p 2034-p CAGR (2024-2034)
Total xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx%
COUNTRY 2018-h 2019-h 2024-b 2028-p 2030-p 2031-p 2034-p CAGR (2024-2034)
Germany xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx%
UK xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx%
France xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx%
Russia xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx%
Italy xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx%
Spain xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx%
Total xx xx xx xx xx xx xx xx%
COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS
Section Highlights
• Analysis of Competitive Landscape
• Market Share Analysis and Growth Potential
• Competitive Benchmarking
• Financial Summary of Public Players
• Summary of Developments in Market
10 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
10.1 INTRODUCTION
The competitive landscape of the global air cargo market is characterized by a
dynamic mix of established players and emerging disruptors, all vying for dominance Market Share (%), Revenue in 2024-2025 Benchmarking Competitor Growth Potential (2025-2034)
in a rapidly evolving sector. Key players, such as prominent airlines, leverage extensive
networks and innovative logistics solutions to maintain leadership positions in the Qatar Airways (Qatar)
market. Qatar Airways and The Emirates Group, for instance, are recognized for their
Etihad Airways (UAE)
robust operational frameworks and a focus on enhancing customer experiences
through cutting-edge technology and streamlined processes. Likewise, European Company 3
contenders like Deutsche Lufthansa AG and International Consolidated Airlines Group Company 4
exhibit strategic collaborations and expansions, enabling them to optimize capacity
and improve service offerings. Company 5
Innovation plays a critical role in shaping competitive strategies within the air cargo Company 6
sector. Companies are increasingly adopting advanced technologies such as
Company 7
automation and data analytics to bolster efficiency and real-time responsiveness to
customer demands. Asian leaders, such as All Nippon Airways and Singapore Airlines, Company 8
focus on sustainable practices and innovative cargo handling solutions to Company 9
differentiate themselves in the marketplace. Moreover, regional players like Cargolux
Company 10
are carving a niche through specialized services, highlighting the importance of
adaptability in an industry where agility is paramount. As competition intensifies,
collaboration with technology partners and investment in infrastructure will likely Market Share (% Revenue) | USD Billion
continue to drive significant advancements across the global air cargo market. L H
KEY DEVELOPMENTS AND GROWTH STRATEGIES
PRODUCT LAUNCH
Date Company Name Development
DHL Express announced the launch of its new dedicated air cargo service to enhance its global delivery
April, 2023 DHL Express
network and improve shipping speed for international customers.
UPS completed the acquisition of a leading air cargo company, expanding its operational capabilities and
September, 2022 UPS
strengthening its presence in the air freight market.
PRODUCT APPROVAL
ElleVet Sciences ElleVet Sciences announced the issuance of US Patent No. 11,712,456, which protects the use of hemp
November 2023 extracts for treating pain and other conditions in animals. The patented CBA+CBDA blend has
demonstrated effectiveness in addressing atopic dermatitis and epilepsy.
PARTNERSHIP
ElleVet Sciences announced the issuance of US Patent No. 11,712,456, which protects the use of hemp
March 2024 ElleVet Sciences
extracts for treating pain and other conditions in animals..
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
10.6 LEADING PLAYERS IN TERMS OF THE NUMBER OF DEVELOPMENTS IN THE GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET
TABLE 183 LEADING PLAYERS IN TERMS OF THE NUMBER OF DEVELOPMENTS IN THE GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET
New Product
Company Name Capacity Expansion Acquisition Recognition Agreement Merger Joint Venture
Launch
Company 4 - 1 - - - -
Company 5 - - - 1 - - -
Company 6 1
Total 3 3 1 2 3 1 1
COMPANY PROFILES Aramex is a global service provider of logistics and transportation solutions. It provides its customer a range of services, including international
and domestic express delivery, logistics and warehousing, inventory management, freight forwarding, supply chain management, information
management solutions, online tracking, and third-party shipping services. It offers catalog shipping, airline ticketing and travel, document
storage, distribution, publication, visa, and other value-added services. The company provides shipping solutions to individuals and retail and
wholesale customers. It operates through 600 offices across the Middle East & Africa, Europe, North America, and Asia-Pacific.
COMPANY PROFILES
Section Highlights
• Research Methodology
• Assumptions and Limitation
3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 OVERVIEW
The research starts with the extensive procurement process of data/information and statistics from company annual reports, government websites, statistics agencies, and paid databases. This information creates a base
for the study. The information also helps to define the scope and to narrow down the area for study for the market. This raw information is processed and analyzed to extract crisp data points which currently affect or are
likely to affect the industry during the forecast period. After analyzing the information, a proprietary statistical tool is used for market estimation and forecast, which generates the quantitative figures/sizes of the market/sub-
segments in the current scenario as well as for the forecast period.
After estimating the market sizes and estimates, the numbers are verified with industry participants and key opinion leaders. The wide network of industry participants add value to the research and verify the numbers and
estimates provided in the study. At the last stage of the research process, a final report is prepared, which is then published on different websites as well as distributed through various channels. The below figure contains
the different stages of the research process to produce the report.
Price/Performance Analysis
Drift Method
Regulatory Norms Analysis Portfolio /Technology
Enhancement
Strategy & Vision Artificial Intelligence-based
Model
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.2.1 DATA MINING PROCESS
3.2 DATA FLOW
Data flow is an extensive part of our research process. It involves the procurement of market data and
related information from different verified and credible sources. This step helps to obtain raw information
about the market and their segments, the process for different end uses, the pool of market participants,
and the nature of the industry and scope of the study. The data flow process comprises of data sources,
data collection, data processing, data forecasting, data quality and data access.
Notable examples include white papers, government statistics published by organizations like
WHO, NGOs, World Bank, etc., KoL publications, company filings, investor documents, etc.
Some of the sources used with relation to GLOBAL AIR CARGO MARKET for reference include:
Stage 1: the MRFR research team actively interacts with KOLs/ industry participants to procure insights and key data points such as Market Share of Key Participants, Key Competitors in regions, Saturation within Competitive
Landscape, Demand-supply of Products/services, Key Business Trends, Emerging Opportunity Pockets, Current situation Raw Material supply, Pricing Point, among others.
Stage 2: The Primary Research team also connects with partners in key associations in the regional market to gather information on regional players, market trends and growth potential within the same. Please note that these
conversations are based upon initial insights and facts gathered through secondary research from Conference Reports, Webinars, Whitepaper Publications, among Others.
Stage 3: Lastly, in order to gather a complete understanding of the market, we conduct extensive primary interviews within house partners and independent consultants. These are mostly ex-industry professional based out of regions
of interest, Subject Matter Experts and the interactions are primarily aimed to gather unbiased point of view on the market, and validation of data on market potential, growth to achieve higher accuracy and precision.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.5.2 PRIMARY RESEARCH: NUMBER OF INTERVIEWS CONDUCTED 3.5.3 PRIMARY RESEARCH: REGIONAL COVERAGE
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.6 APPROACHES FOR MARKET SIZE ESTIMATION: 3.7 DATA FORECASTING
Via this approach, future data is calculated based on the mean of past data under the assumption that
eighted A erage
some factors macro economic, regulations, GDP, etc. affecting market in the past will continue to
Approach have similar impact in the future .
Auto-Regressi e
This type of statistical modeling is carried out for predicting and forecasting dependent and
Integrated Mo ing independent variables that will directly or indirectly impact the market.
A erage (ARIMA)
E ponential Trend It is based on the principle that a prediction is a weighted linear sum of past observations or lags. The
Exponential Trend Smoothing time series method works by assigning exponentially decreasing weights
Smoothening Analysis for past observations.
Panel Consensus This involves collection of intuitive judgment, opinions and probability estimates of industry experts in
Judgmental case of new or upcoming market technology for which no prior data is available.
This approach is used to vary the forecast, that is increase or decrease market factor over time
Drift Method
depending on various parameters affecting the change in the trends of the market
Arti cial Intelligence- MRFR proprietary Artificial Intelligence (AI) Machine Learning (ML) -based software which makes use
ased Model of one single combination of the above-mentioned approaches to predict the future trends
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
World (Market Exchange Air Cargo Market World Inflation (%)
3.8 DATA MODELING Rates)
10.0 10.0 9.2
Middle East/Africa
3.8.1 MICROECONOMIC FACTOR ANALYSIS: 9.0
5.0
South America 8.0 7.1
THIS STEP INVOLVES UNDERSTANDING AND IDENTIFYING THE MAJOR MICROECONOMIC FACTORS.
7.0
THIS STEP IS DESIGNED TO MANAGE OUTPUTS FROM THE MAJOR FACTORS IDENTIFIED. 0.0 South Asia
6.0 5.3
Japan/Korea 4.8
CREDIBLE SOURCES SUCH AS IMF, IEA, EI, S&P, AND OICA ARE USED AS THE BASE. -5.0 5.0
North America 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.3
OVER 150 COUNTRIES ARE TRACKED TO ENSURE ALL ECONOMIC MOVEMENTS ARE COVERED. -10.0
3.0
Europe
RAW DATA CAN BE MANEUVERED IN ANY SHAPE OR FORM. US Euro Area 2.0
Europe China Greater China
1.0
PREPROCESSING TO ENSURE A HARMONIZED DATA STRUCTURE.
Asia & Australasia Latin America 0 100002000030000 0.0
Source: Economist Intelligence Source: MRFR Analysis Source: IMF
O USING UNMET NEEDS AND CAPITALIZATION RATES TO DETERMINE GROWTH Weightage in terms of % Market Shares as calculated for initial research
Logistics Expert
15% Product E 5.5 16.08%
Awareness
2028
2018
2019
2020
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Model Output
Data
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
S
e
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