F M S Investment Appraisal: Inancial Anagement
F M S Investment Appraisal: Inancial Anagement
1.1 Accounting Rate of Return ARR = Average annual profit Depreciation Average Investment in the Project Limitations 1. Numerator & denominator are highly subjective i.e. manipulation is possible by way of accounting policy eg: Depreciation methods. 2. It fails to recognize the timings of profit. 3. It does not represent actual tangible profit. 1.2 Payback Period
Simple Payback Period: It is the time period taken by a project to generate cash flows equal to the initial capital outflow (investment) of the project. Factor of the year: Advantages 1. It considers cash flows which can be objectively measured i.e. independent of accounting policy. 2. It talks about timing of cash flows. Limitations 1. It fails to consider the timing of cash flows with in the payback period. (Two projects may have the same simple payback period but one may return more of its investment in initial years than the other.) 2. It ignores profitability. 1.3 Net Present Value Inflow required Total Inflow of the year
(Positive) Net present value is the present value of the surplus that would be obtained from the project over & above the companys investment in the project & return at the required rate.
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Dos / Should include / Inclusions Tax impact. 1.6 Tax gain / tax loss / tax depreciation. Relevant costs & opportunity costs. Inflation effects. Working capital changes.
Working Capital changes are used to translate the profit figures into cash flows.
Years 0 2 3 Working capital 1is always recovered at the Salesend of the project 25 30 25 Cost unless told otherwise(20) (22) (28) of sales Profit 5 8 7 Working Capital (20) (2) (6) 28 Cash Flows (20) 3 2 35 flows)
1.7
Inflation:
(Uninflated
cash
flows are real cash flows) (Inflated / money cash flows are nominal cash
Nominal cash flows are discounted at nominal rates & vice versa. If multiple inflation rates for cost components are given than all variables are inflated with the corresponding inflation rates & the general inflation rate is used to calculate the Inflation Adjusted Discount Rate. ( 1 + i ) ( 1 + r ) = (1 + n )
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Tax payments & tax gain/loss are always nominal cash flows (as they have inflation element built in them because they are calculated from profit figure which are themselves nominal) hence they are never inflated to account for the delay in payments. Similar for Tax depreciation. However, if all the figures are real figures & we are provided with the real discount rate, then we must deflate them to arrive at the real cash flows. 1.10
1-
2-
Annuity Due
P = R + R 1- (1 + i ) i or P = R 1- (1 + i ) i
-n
This formula tells the PV of the installments before the first installment (at Time 0)
-n
(1+i)
3-
R (1 + i ) i
n-1
This formula tells the Future Value of the installments as at the end of the last cash flow (At time of the last installment)
For Annuity Due n (periods) need to be adjusted accordingly. Note: If tax is payable in the same year than gross taxable cash flows shall be taken. Tax on taxable profits shall be calculated separately & shown in subsequent years. Impact of tax depreciation, tax gain / loss on disposal shall be added or deducted to reach actual cash flows.
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1.11
Net Terminal Value is the cash surplus remaining at the end of the project after taking into account repayment of capital / initial cost & return of capital at the required rate. NTV when discounted at the required rate would give the NPV of the project with the underlying assumption that any surplus (arising at the end of each year) would earn interest at the required rate /same rate. Only because of the aforesaid assumption the relationship between NPV & NTV remains true. 1.12 Sensitivity Analysis
It is one method of analyzing the risks surrounding capital expenditure project & enables an assessment to be made of how responsive the project NPV is to changes in the variables used to calculate that NPV. i Selling Price NPV / Present Value of Sales (Net of Tax) ii Sales Volume NPV / Present Value of Contribution Margin (Net of Tax) iii Variable Cost NPV / Present Value of Variable Cost (Net of Tax) iv Fixed Cost NPV / Present Value of Fixed Cost (Net of Tax) v Cost / Initial Investment NPV / Present Value of investment (Net of Tax) vi Discount Rate (WACC IRR) IRR vii Project Life (Total Life Discounted payback period) Total Life 1.13 Capital Rationing Capital Rationing: A situation in which the company has a limited amount of capital to invest in potential projects such that the different possible investments need to be compared with one another in order to allocate the limited capital available Soft Capital Rationing Hard Capital Rationing : Due to internal factors : Due to external factors
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Single Period
Divisible Projects & non mutually exclusive (independent) Rating of Projects using Profitability Index NPV / Capital Investment or Postponibility Index Loss on Postponement Capital Investment NPV - NPV (1 year disc) Capital Investment Surplus can be invested
Investment Opportunities at discount rate No further requirements as the NPV of surplus cash is zero
Higher Rate Positive NPV of Surplus cash shall added to absolute NPV
Higher Rate Negative NPV of Surplus cash shall deducted to absolute NPV
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1. Financing cash flows: A company faces two types of decisions -i- Acquisition Decisions Whether to acquire or not (discounted using WACC) -ii-Financing Decisions Whether to Lease or Buy (Post Tax Incremental Interest / Borrowing Rate) While appraising an acquisition decision, the company uses the after tax cost of capital / required return to discount the cash flows. This cost of capital is in fact the IRR of the mode of financing being used. Hence the PV of all the cash flows would be zero & would not be considered in acquisition decisions. However, if cost of capital & IRR of loan are different, than The only cash flows that are considered are those that are the financing cash flows would need to be considered. effected by the choice of decisions / method of financing. 2. In making lease / borrow decisions (leases point of view) the incremental borrowing rate shall be used for calculating the lease based NPV & IRR for lease shall not be used. 3. When lease rentals are being paid in advance at start of the year, the than tax impact shall be taken form start of year 2. This is because of the fact that the tax benefit of the first rental paid at Year 0 would be materialized in year 1 & tax benefit shall be taken in year 2, iff tax is paid in arrears.
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Tax is payable in same year -i- Calculate Lease based NPV -ii- Borrowing decision NPV would be equal to acquisition decisions NPV
Tax is payable in arrears -i- Calculate Lease based NPV -ii- Add NPV of Financing Cash flows to acquisition decision NPV
Tax is payable in same year -i- Calculate Lease based NPV -ii- Compute borrowing decision NPV using acquisition decision cash flow discounted at post tax incremental borrowing rate -iii- compare the two
Tax is payable in arrears -i- Calculate Lease based NPV -ii- Borrowing decision NPV to be computed incorporating financing Cash Flows discounted at post tax incremental borrowing rate -iii- compare the two
4. Tax saving on tax depreciation would be allowed in accordance with timing of tax payment. If tax is ignored, than no such tax benefit would be allowed. 5. Cash Flows during the Year: Normally it is an implied assumption that cash flows occur evenly through out the year, hence are shown at end of the year. However, if is stated that cash flows occur semi/bi annually that equivalent discount rate is ( 1 + i ) n = ( 1 + e i ) en Where; en: number of installments in a year 1.15 Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
IRR = a + (b-a) A A-B
Where;
a: smaller discount rate where NPV is positive b: larger discount rate where NPV is negative A: Positive NPV B: Negative NPV
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1. All the same rules apply as stated above (for normal cash flow) with the following additions. 2. We make separate cash flows for LCY & FCY post tax; convert the FCY bottom lines into LCY using the Interest Rate Parity / Inflation Rate Parity. 3. We must never knock off Royalty Income & Royalty Expense because changes in tax rates may allow for differing tax benefits. 4. If stated that Full Bi Lateral Tax Treaty Exists than no further computation is required for tax Otherwise we must convert FCY to Rs & add to Rs Cash flow If stated that higher tax rates apply $ @ 35% No further work is required Rs @ 25% $ @ 25% We must further Tax $ by Rs @ 35% 10 % & add to Rs. cash flow
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Cost of Capital
A return that the company must earn to satisfy the providers of funds & it reflects the riskiness of providing funds. Elements of cost of capital: Risk Free Rate of Return Business Risk Premium Financial Risk Premium 2.1 Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Determination
Cost of Equity It is calculated assuming that the MV of shares is durectly related to the expected future dividends
Cost of Debt A
Dividend Valuation Model Without Growth = Do / Ke Without Growth = Do (1+g) ( Ke g) Ke is always post tax, since dividend is paid from PAT. Dividend stream starts from D1 & Do is not included that is why E (Market value of equity) is always Post Dividend. Note:S = P (1+g)n g=rxb r: return earned on reinvested profit b: retention rate
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Redeemable debt or Redeemable Other than at current market rates Fixed Rate Debt Kd is the IRR which equates current MV with the PV of future interest receivables plus the PV of redemption amount Variable / Floating Rate Debt Kd is the cost of an equivalent fixed interest debt with similar term to maturity in a firm of similar commitment Convertible Loan Stock Kd is the IRR which equates Do with the PV of -i- future interest receivables -ii- future conversion value Running Finance Kd is the IRR which equates Do with the PV of -i- future interest receivables -ii- future conversion value
WACC = Ke x E + Kd1 x D1 +Kd2 x D2+ E+ D1 + D2+ 1. WACC is based on Ex dividend & Ex Interest Market Values of equity & debt components respectively. 2. The after tax Kd of an irredeemable debt can be computed by multiplying the Pre tax Kd with (1-t).
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(Pre tax Kd is irrelevant) Calculate the IRR which equates D with PV of interest payments (net of tax) & PV of redemption amount
MV before project E 40 D 20
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We distribute both the cost & NPV in D: E ratio. It has been concluded that in order to keep the financial risk or gearing constant, the project must be financed in such a way so that revised gearing ratio (D:E) remains unchanged. The entire NPV belongs to the equity holders of the company as the debt holders usually get a fixed return 6. The following shortcuts may be used when: Earnings are constant. Debt is irredeemable / redeemable at Market value. All earnings are paid out as dividend. Tax is payable in same year. = PBIT E+D WACC (Post Tax) = PBIT(1 t) E+D
WACC (pre tax) = PBIT E+D WACC (post tax) = PBIT (1-t) E+D
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Financial Risk
Traditional Theory
MM Theory
APV
Impact of Changes in Financial Risk on WACC Determination 2.3 Traditional Theory of Gearing Kd remains constant as gearing level rises upto a level after which it increases Ke rises as gearing level Initially as the gearing level rises, WACC falls due to cheaper debt (KD is always lower than Ke). However if it continues to increase the increase in Ke would become insignificant & WACC should start increasing 2.4 MM Theory (Modigliani & Miller)
MM Theory without Taxation Gearing levels of companies have no effect on WACC. WACC remains same when business risk remains same as the WACC formula shown below does not bear any relationship to the D: E ratio. As WACCu = WACCg Therefore; PBIT Company A Total MV Company A PBITs. For an ungeared company WACCu = Keu PBIT Company B Total MV Company B
This also means that Market values of two companies are in proportion to their
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: R x D x Kd x t : Kd :D x t
Ke x E+ Kd(1-t) x D
The above shows that Keg > Keu as a geared company the shareholders always bear a financial risk & therefore demand & Financial Risk Premium
WACC g = Keu 1 -
Dt E+D
Note: If the question asks to determine the MV of a geared company the same may be done by computing the MV of the company in its ungeared status then adding D x t to determine the MVg NOTE: The MM theory is based on the assumption that Debt is available to all borrowers at the same rate.
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security
Portfolio Risk depends on: Individual risk () Respective weightages (xA) Relationship b/w return on the asset; measured by the correlation coefficient
If returns are directly related it causes greater impact on portfolio risk p There are always certain factors which affect all companies irrespective of correlation coefficient e.g.: Tax effects i.e. why even when correlation coefficient is zero, portfolio risk is not nullified.
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Note:
= 1 For Market i.e. Return moves with market
3.5
is defined as follows: It is the ratio of systematic risk of a security with risk of market portfolio or
It denotes change in return of a security resulting form a %age change in market return
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RA = RF For securities with Risk = Market Risk =1 sys = market RA = RM For securities with > 1 sys > market RA > RM For securities with < 1 sys < market RA < RM 3.6 Value = Actual Return - CAPM Return If = Positive (+ve) Actual MV < CAPM MV Undervalued Actual Return > CAPM Return Should invest / hold
If = Negative (-ve) Actual MV > CAPM MV Overvalued Actual Return < CAPM Return Should not invest / divest
values are temporary values as arbitrage gain opportunities / speculation will over a long period of time cause securities to offer the same return as that offered by a market portfolio (become inline with market).
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Because if
= 0, = 0 & RA = R
As per the CAPM model an investor should demand return only against the systematic return of the risk, as the unsystematic portion of risk may be eliminated by diversification. (A well diversified market portfolio / market bears only systematic risk),however, an investor may not always be in a position to diversify & consequently will demand return against unsystematic risk he bears , an element this model has failed to consider.
3.9
Application of MM Theory
Without Tax
WACCg = WACCu Keg > Keu With Tax WACCg < WACCu Keg > Keu If these relationships do not hold there are opportunities for arbitrage gain as MV of any one company will be in disequilibrium 3.10 MM Theory & CAPM Page 20 of 50
a represents Business risk only e represents Business risk & Financial Risk both Therefore, all companies in Same industry similar business risk = a Company B 40 % debt < e = a Company C 70 % Debt < e
Never use a & d to calculate Kd & WACC; the CAPM model is for equity only
Therefore, a geared = a ungeared (for both with & without tax) and a = e
a = e x E + d x D(1-t) E + D( 1 - t )
Impact of Changes in Business Risk on WACC 3.11 Adjusted Present Value However, when Adjusted Present Value (APV) is an extension of MM theory with taxation APV & NPV give the same result when the gearing level remains same financial risk changes NPV method requires the calculation of Risk adjusted WACC APV method is superior & facilitates the calculation of a revised NPV by making certain adjustments to Base Case NPV Step 1: Identify the business risk of the project i.e. a of the industry to which the project relates. This a is also the e of an ungeared company in the same industry. a = e u Page 21 of 50
xx xx xx xx xx xx
It is important to note that the NPV calculated using both the conventional method &
1. Identify the business risk of the project , if similar to existing operations use
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f )
5. Using Risk Adjusted Ke, determine the risk adjusted WACC as follows:
The tax rate above is the same as used to calculate in e (in 3 above) The WACC so computed is the appropriate discount rate of the project 3.13 Discount Rate for Project Appraisal
1. No Changes in Financial or Business Risk Current WACC may be used as discount rate Questions are likely to be focused on how the project is to be financed to keep the WACC constant Cost of project & increase in earning (equity) will be given. Calculate revised MV by dividing increased earning with WACC & compare with old MV to calculate NPV Amount of debt = Amount of equity = D x D+E Total Increase in MV or PV of inflows
Calculate revised PAT & divide by new Ke to determine revised MV of Equity Accept or reject projects based on NPV 2. Business Risk changes / Financial Risk may or may not change 2.1. Adjusted Present Value (APV) 2.2. Risk adjusted WACC (WACC) 3. Financial Risk Changes & Business risk remains the same 3.1. Traditional Theory Since traditional theory is not based on any formulae increase / decrease in Ke & Kd will be provided (due to gearing changes) 3.2. MM Theory 3.2.1. MM Theory Without taxation Cost of project, increase in earning & mode of financing are available. Current WACC will be given .Since MM theory without tax assumes no changes in WACC due to gearing the inflows are discounted at the existing WACC to Page 23 of 50
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Only that portion of the divisible profits should be distributed which cannot be invested in projects yielding a positive return r > Ke Here; r: return earned on reinvested profits We only invest in projects where WACC > IRR Scenario I Company pays out all profits as dividend E (ex dividend) E (cum dividend) Scenario II Payout Ratio = 40% Retention Dividend = 60% = 4 8 (0.4 x 12) = 12 / 0 .1 = 120 = 120 + 12= 132
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Note: Bonus Dividend is only Capitalization of profit, hence is not real dividend 4.2 Theory of Irrelevance / MM Theory of Dividend Distribution
Shareholder is indifferent of dividend policy, although +ve NPV increase shareholder wealth, hence the company should borrow & invest funds in +ve NPV generating projects to increase Shareholder wealth 4.3 Practical Aspects Signaling Effects: dividends declared by a company serve as a signal to the shareholders of the financial performance & future prospects It is important to maintain a constant stream Cliental Effect: A shareholder makes gain in two ways -Dividend -Capital Gain We know that: High dividend low capital gain Low dividend high capital gain Corporate Capital gain taxable Dividend exempt/NTR Individual Capital gain exempt Dividend taxable Page 26 of 50
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1. Dividend Valuation
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A listed company must have the same size, products & risk 5.5 Super Profit xxx xxx / (xxx) xxx xxx xxx 100 10% 10 14 4 6
= A e g In u v ra e d stry P fit ro A e g In u v ra e d stry R tu e rn
Net Assets Super profit / (loss) Net assets value Number of shares Value per share Net Assets Average Industry Return Average Income / Year Actual Income Super Profit Years
A e g In u try v ra e d s R tu e rn
5.6
Cash Flow Basis 1) Free cash flows represents the cash that is freely available from operating activities of the company
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Free Cash Flows to Company (FCF) Revenue Less: Operating Expenses Earning Before Interest & Tax , Depreciation & Amortization Less: Depreciation Amortization Earning Before Interest & Tax Less: Tax (Excluding Tax Saving Of Interest On Debt Net Income Add: Depreciation Amortization Cash Flows (Post Tax From Operations) Less: Capital Expenditure Working Capital Changes Free Cash Flows To The Company (Discounted using WACC) Net profit after tax
3. When stated that new public issue & the entire benefit goes to the existing shareholders Share Value for new PV of existing inflows + NPV of project = public issue Original number of shares
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Operating Synergy arises from Improved productivity / cost cutting as a result of merger. Increased market share. Increased efficient use of resources / cash rich companies.
Financial Synergy arises from Diversification reduces the risk of the companys cash flows hence effecting the WACC of the company. Reduced viability & return might improve the companys credit rating increasing the debt capacity. Uses of tax shields / losses previously unutilized.
Note: Mergers are within the same industry, diversification is used to diversify outside the industry or to acquire a competitor 6.2 Valuation of A Target Comparable P/E ratios: Since the similar / comparative companies may not be of the same size, structure , risk, growth rate or activity subjective adjustments (60% - 80%) may be required (Quoted companies have higher PE ratios)
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After calculating the appropriate target value, value need to be assigned to the shares of the acquires & the acquire Cash purchases: Advisable when surplus cash is available. Target Shareholders may prefer it provides a precise consideration, however cash payment may lead to CVT (capital value tax). Preference Shares / Debt. Share Exchange: Continuation of ownership as part of successful bidder Precise post acquisition value of the bid may not be determinable. Mezzanine Financing: Cash + Short to medium term loan, unsecured higher interest rate with options to exchange for shares after takeover. Called Mezzanine as it lies between Debt & Equity. Effects: Predator Company 6.4 Dilution of EPS Gearing is effected Transfer of control Target Company Taxation Continued stake in business Gearing may change depending on bid price
Minimum price of an unlisted company will be the current market price or realizable value of Net Assets if unutilized Page 34 of 50
If the bid has not been made Target Company may establish Poison Pills such as granting the right to alternative shareholders to purchase its shares at a deep discount rate, dispose key activities (Crown Jewels) to make itself less attractive. The company may introduce Golden Parachutes for key staff (expensive service contracts that come in effect if the jobs are lost) It can ensure that the press /media & shareholders are fully aware of financial strengths, future strategies so that the companys value / worth is known If the bid has been made Launch an advertising campaign against the bid to persuade shareholders that the predator is financially stable. Page 35 of 50
Corporate Reorganization 1) Determine the companys current realizable value (assuming that it goes for liquidation) & calculate the entitlement of different creditors (Banks, trade creditors, debenture holders, preference shareholders etc ) Any preferential charge on assets should be given the due consideration proceeds of assets of the company If a lender has a floating charge on the assets his debt should be repaid first form the sale Incase of fixed charge over a specific asset preferential payments apples only in respect of proceeds of that asset. 2) Evaluate the reconstruction scheme Consider the inflows & outflows of the scheme. Make a reconstruction account & credit debit all amounts written off should ideally become Zero). 3) Prepare a post scheme P/L account after deducting revised interest cost , tax & determine the shares of the stakeholders in it as a percentage of their current investments. 4) Prepare a post scheme balance sheet to see if the assets are sufficient to pay off the debts. 6.8 Divestments Demerger Sell off (It
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All the above are a way to restructure a company. It may be done to dismantle a corporate enterprise in order to focus upon a core component, to react to a change in the strategic focus of the company or to sell off unwanted assets. They may result in reverse synergy where the separate components of the business are worth more than the sum of the combined entity. A. De merger /Sell off / Spin Off Calculate value of the components using DCF techniques. Compare the post merger values of components with the current market value of original company before merger to calculate the benefits of reverse synergy. B. Management Buy Out / In Calculate value of the company Funding of the buy out / in may be made through the following o Personal funds secured by new directors to show personal commitment o Specialist venture capital organizations o Mezzanine Financing o Deferred payments o Bank Loans
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Long tern loan yields higher interest than term rates are higher than long term short term loans because of greater risk & rates. This occurs when n interest rates because funds are locked up for longer time are expected to fall. Since borrowers period would not want to get locked in long term expensive debts. Demand for short term debts will increase & therefore interest rate will fall.
8.2
Interest Rate Gap 1. Negative Gap: Interest sensitive liabilities > interest sensitive assets Company will loose if interest rates fall by maturity 2. Positive Gap: Interest sensitive assets > interest sensitive liabilities Company will gain loose if interest rates fall by maturity
8.3
Hedging strategies 1. Forward rate agreement 2. Interest rate future 3. Interest rate options or guarantees(including interest rate gap) 4. Interest rate SWAP
8.4
Futures are priced as 92.5% or 9250 means interest rate 7.5% Page 38 of 50
For 3 month contract/ i.e. standard contract period of 3 month 0.01/100 x 3/12 x standard contract size. 5. Calculate closing future price 6. Hedge Efficiency : Profit in spot/future Loss in spot/future 7. Optimal Hedge Ratio: Future Exposure Underlying exposure
(SD of change in price of underlying instrument (SD of change in price of future contract
: Correlation coefficient between changes in price of underlying instrument & future contract 8.5 Interest Rate Options
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5. Tick size (same as in interest rate futures) If contract expires after rollover date they may be sold / exercised (Only in American style option) / sold in future wallet If contract expires on rollover date they may be allowed to lapse or exercised & sold at spot to realize gain Gain in 6.3 > 6.4 because time value will be reflected in option price 8.6 Interest Rate Collar
A collar effectively fixes a cap / floor on interest rate 1. Borrowing is to be hedged against rising interest rate Buy put option Sell call option
Reduce the premium 2. Lending is to be hedged against falling interest rate 8.7 Buy call option Sell put option Interest Rate SWAP 1. Preferences must be different
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Indirect Quote
Spread / Margin 60 Offer / selling Rate 11.2 Types of Exposure to Currency Risk flows 2. Transaction Exposure: Extent to which a given exchange rate movement will effect the local currency 3. Translation /Accounting Exposure: Possibility that book value of shareholders funds may change as a result of change in exchange rates 11.3 Relative Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) 58 Buying / Bid Rate
Sf 1 + inflation rate (Foreign) = So 1 + inflation rate (Domestic) Where; Sf: Spot Exchange Rate at the start of the period (in FC per unit of DC) So: Spot Exchange Rate at the end of the period (in FC per unit of DC) expected spot rate at the end of the period Note: The above formula may be used when the exchange rates are quoted as FC/DC (indirect quote). When direct quotes are provided use Domestic currency will be placed in the numerator and FC will be placed in the denominator.
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(1 + nominal interest rate) = (1 + real interest rate) (1 + inflation rate) 1 + nominal interest rate (Foreign) 1 + nominal interest rate (Domestic) = 1 + inflation rate (Foreign) 1 + inflation rate (Domestic)
Please note that the inflation rates and the exchange rates must be of the same periods e.g. 3month spot rate: 3 month inflation rate. 11.5 Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
Sf 1 + nominal interest rate (Foreign) = So 1 + nominal interest rate (Domestic) Where; Sf: Spot Exchange Rate at the start of the period (in FC per unit of DC) So: Spot Exchange Rate at the end of the period (in FC per unit of DC) expected spot rate at the end of the period Note: The above formula may be used when the exchange rates are quoted as FC/DC (indirect quote). When direct quotes are provided use Domestic currency will be placed in the numerator and FC will be placed in the denominator. Please note that the inflation rates and the exchange rates must be of the same periods e.g. 3month spot rate: 3 month inflation rate. 11.6 Covered Interest Rate Parity
F 1 + nominal interest rate (Foreign) = So 1 + nominal interest rate (Domestic) Where; Sf: Spot Exchange Rate at the start of the period (in FC per unit of DC) So: Spot Exchange Rate at the end of the period (in FC per unit of DC) expected spot rate at the end of the period Please note that the inflation rates and the exchange rates must be of the same periods e.g. 3month spot rate: 3 month inflation rate. 11.8 Hedging Strategies
We borrow & invest such FCY today that after the required time period
Principal + Mark up = Desired Amount
Future Receipt in Foreign Future Payment in Foreign Currency Currency Borrow FC such that Purchase & deposit FC such that Total expected receipt in future currency Total expected payment in future = Amount to be borrowed + interest on the currency = Amount to be deposited borrowed amount + interest on the deposited amount Covert the above into LC at spot Covert the above into LC at spot Invest in LC amount in a deposit till the Borrow in LC and convert it into receipt arrives FCY to make the above deposit Actual receipt in LC is the amount of LC Actual cost in LC is the amount of deposit + interest earned on it LC borrowed + interest paid on it Effective rate is Effective rate is LC converted at spot + Interest received LC borrowed at spot + Interest received FC receipt FC receipt The transaction rate (final) will always be the same as calculated through Purchase power / Interest Rate parity techniques
11.9
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A forward exchange contract is a) An immediately firm & binding contract b) For the purchase of a specified quantity of FCY c) At a specified rate (fixed at the time of contract) d) For performance at a future date 11.9 SWAPS
1. Make cash flows in both the currencies (including SWAP for part b) 2. Convert FCY at applicable rates (may have to use Interest / Inflation Rate Parity techniques) 3. Discount & compare the NPVs 11.10 Foreign Currency Futures 1. Choose the contract, expiry date of the contract must be subsequent to the underlying exposure (in case multiple contracts are available choose the most nearer one) 2. Choose contract type (buy / sell) US company expects receipts in Sell future US company expects to make payment in Buy future
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11.11
Futures Standard quantity Traded on exchange Time maturity May be closed out at any time before maturity on exchange Requires initial deposit Does not give a perfect hedge Premium & Discount
Forwards Tailor made quantity Party specific Time specific Close out with specific party on specific date No initial deposit Gives a perfect hedge
Direct Quote Spot xx Premium xx Future / Forward xx Spot Discount Future / Forward
Direct Quote Premium is added Discount is reduced Indirect Quote Premium is reduced Discount is added 11.12 Foreign Currency Options 1. Choose the contract date 2. Choose contract type (Putsell, Call buy) 3. Calculate Number of contracts (always round up)
Amount to be hedged Standard size
4. Premium (Payable in advance or on close out Incase payment is to be made upfront we must consider financing cost) Notes Premium is sunk cost hence it is irrelevant for decision making purposes When you have an option (and not an obligation) to buy you are the holder of a call option When you have an option (and not an obligation) to sell you are the holder of a put option Page 49 of 50
Call Option In the money Exercise Price < Spot Price Out the Money Exercise Price > Spot Price Put Option In the money Exercise Price > Spot Price Out the Money Exercise Price < Spot Price
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