Investment Analysis and

Portfolio Management
Eighth Edition
by
Frank K. Reilly & Keith C. Brown

Chapter 2
 Chapter 2
The Asset Allocation Decision
Questions to be answered:
 What is asset allocation?
 What are the four steps in the portfolio management
process?
 What is the role of asset allocation in investment planning?
 Why is a policy statement important to the planning
process?
 Chapter 2
The Asset Allocation Decision
 What objectives and constraints should be detailed in a
policy statement?
 How and why do investment goals change over a person’s
lifetime and circumstances?
 Why do asset allocation strategies differ across national
boundaries?
Financial Plan Preliminaries
Insurance
 Life insurance
 Term life insurance - Provides death benefit
only. Premium will change every renewal
period
 Universal and variable life insurance –
provide cash value plus death benefit
Financial Plan Preliminaries
Insurance
 Health insurance
 Disability insurance
 Automobile insurance
 Home/rental insurance
 Liability insurance
Financial Plan Preliminaries
Cash reserve
 To meet emergency needs
 Includes cash equivalents (liquid
investments)
 Recommendation: Equal to six months
living expenses
 Individual Investor
Life Cycle
 Three phases to an Investor’s life cycle:
 Accumulation phase – early to middle years of working
career
 Consolidation phase – past midpoint of career.
Earnings greater than expenses
 Spending/Gifting phase – begins after retirement

 Desires & constraints will change as one moves

through the different stages
 Individual Investor Life Cycle
Net Worth
Accumulation Consolidation Spending Phase
Phase Phase Gifting Phase
Long-term: Long-term: Long-term:
Retirement Retirement Estate Planning
Children’s college
Short-term: Short-term:
Short-term: Vacations Lifestyle Needs
House Children’s Gifts
Car education

Age
25 35 45 55 65 75
Life Cycle Investment Goals

 Near-term, high-priority goals

 Long-term, high-priority goals

 Lower-priority goals
 Exhibit 2.3

The Portfolio Management Process

1. Investment Policy statement - Focus: Investor’s short-
term and long-term needs, familiarity with capital
market history, and expectations
2. Examine current and projected financial, economic,
political, and social conditions - Focus: Short-term and
intermediate-term expected conditions to use in
constructing a specific portfolio
3. Implement the plan by constructing the portfolio - Focus:
Meet the investor’s needs with the minimum amount of
risk

4. Feedback loop: Monitor and update investor needs,

environmental conditions, portfolio performance
 Why An Investment Policy
Statement
 Helps investors understand their own needs,
objectives, and investment constraints
 Sets standards for evaluating portfolio
performance
 Reduces the possibility of inappropriate behavior
on the part of the portfolio manager
 Constructing An Investment
Policy Statement
Questions to be answered:
 What are the risks of an adverse financial outcome,
especially in the short run?
 What emotional reactions will I have to an adverse
financial outcome?
 How knowledgeable am I about investments and the
financial markets?
 Constructing An Investment
Policy Statement
 What other capital or income sources do I have? How
important is this particular portfolio to my overall
financial position?
 What, if any, legal restrictions may affect my investment
needs?
 What, if any, unanticipated consequences of interim
fluctuations in portfolio value might affect my
investment policy?
 Investment Objectives
 Return (Absolute or relative percentage
return)
 Risk Tolerance
 General goals
 Capital preservation
 Capital appreciation
 Income
 Investment Constraints
 Liquidity needs
 Varies between investors depending upon age,
employment, tax status, etc.
 Time horizon
 Influences liquidity needs and risk tolerance
 Investment Constraints
 Tax concerns
 Capital gains or losses – taxed differently from income
 Unrealized capital gain – reflect price appreciation of
currently held assets that have not yet been sold
 Realized capital gain – when the asset has been sold at
a profit
 Trade-off between taxes and diversification – tax
consequences of selling company stock for
diversification purposes
Legal and Regulatory Factors
 Limitations or penalties on withdrawals (such as
from an RRSP)
 Fiduciary responsibilities - “prudent person”
rule
 Investment laws prohibit insider trading
Unique Needs and Preferences
 Personal preferences such as socially conscious
investments could influence investment choice
 Time constraints or lack of expertise for managing the
portfolio may require professional management
 Large investment in employer’s stock may require
consideration of diversification needs
 The Importance
of Asset Allocation
 An investment strategy is based on four decisions
1. What asset classes to consider for investment
2. What normal or policy weights to assign to each eligible
class
3. Determining the allowable allocation ranges based on
policy weights
4. What specific securities to purchase for the portfolio
 The Importance
of Asset Allocation
 According to research by Brinson, Hood &
Beebower (1986); Brinson, Singer &
Beebower (1991) and Ibbotson & Kaplan
(2000) most (85% to 95%) of the overall
investment return is due to:
 The choice of asset class
 The weights allocated to each asset class
Returns and Risk of Different
Asset Classes
 Historically, small company stocks have
generated the highest returns. But the volatility
of returns have been the highest too
 Inflation, taxes & expenses have a major
impact on realized returns
 Returns on Treasury Bills have barely kept
pace with inflation
Returns and Risk of Different
Asset Classes
 Measuring risk by probability of not meeting
your investment return objective indicates
risk of equities is small and that of T-bills is
large because of their differences in expected
returns
 Focusing only on return variability as a
measure of risk ignores reinvestment risk
Asset Allocation Summary
 Policy statement determines types of assets
to include in portfolio
 Asset allocation determines portfolio return
more than stock selection
 Over long time periods, a larger allocation to
equity will improve results
 Risk of a strategy depends on the investor’s
goals and time horizon
 Asset Allocation and
Cultural Differences
 Social, political, and tax environments influence the
asset allocation decision
 Equity allocations of U.S. pension funds average
58%
 In the United Kingdom, equities make up 78% of
assets
 In Germany, equity allocation averages 8%
 In Japan, equities are 37% of assets
 Asset Allocation

Source: Benefits Canada

http://www.benefitscanada.com/news/article.jsp?content=20060719_114
220_4968
 Summary
• Identify investment needs, risk tolerance,
and familiarity with capital markets
• Identify objectives and constraints
• Enhance investment plans by accurate
formulation of an investment policy
statement
• Focus on asset allocation as it largely
determines long-term returns and risk