1
Dollar General
As a shareholder in Dollar General, the best deal would be for the deal with KKR to be
approved. This is based on various considerations. The first is that the shareholders will benefit
from the deal since they will receive $22 price per share which is a 31.1% premium over the
closing price of the stock on March 9, 2007. Based on the stock price history, the last time the
stock was worth this price was March 2005 and since then it has been on a decline. As such,
financially, shareholders are getting a good price. Secondly, the annual average rate of growth of
the deep-discount sector is 11.8%. However, this rate of growth is unsustainable since it is mainly
driven by new store openings.
The profitability ratios indicate that the profit margin of the company has declined
significantly in 2007 from an average of 4% to 1.5%. However, despite the decline in profits, the
dividends payout has increased from 16% in 2006 to 45.3% in 2007. This is a problem for the
company since it is utilizing the low profits to pay dividends instead of investing in the business
to enhance operations. Based on this, the company can face liquidity issues in the future and the
smartest move would be to sell the company.
In terms of profitability, Dollar General performed below the industry average in 2007. In
2007, the average profitability margin of the leading companies in the deep-discount sector was
2.5% while Dollar General’s profit margin was 1.5%. Although this was not the lowest profit
margin, the decline from 4.1% in 2006 to 1.5% in 2007 was the highest among its competitors,
which is a sign of potential problems for the company in future.
2
KKR’s valuation is high considering the stock price of the company over the last few years. This
is because KKR is paying $22, which is the highest value Dollar General’s price has reached
since 2004.
A non-financial issue relating to the transaction is how the Chairman and CEO will benefit from
the deal. However, this is not an issue since the benefit being received which include the cash
severance payment and the equity awards had already been pre-agreed upon before. The CEO is
only getting what is rightfully theirs as per their employment contract.
Based on these factors, shareholders will benefit from the deal and it should be approved.