12.
Epidemiological surveillance
           Definition of Surveillance
• Surveillance is an on-going systematic
  collection, analysis, interpretation and
  dissemination of health-related data essential
  to the planning, implementation, and evaluation
  of public health practice.
                   Definition…
• Surveillance is a system of close observation of
  all aspects of the occurrence and distribution of
  a given disease through systematic
      Collection,
      tabulation,
      analysis, and
      dissemination of all relevant data pertaining to
       that disease.
―Information for Action‖
           Purpose of Surveillance
   Knowledge of the distribution of health events
   Rapid detection of outbreak
   Public health planning and evaluation
   Stimulating research
   Describing natural history of diseases
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Selection Criteria of Disease for Surveillance
Magnitude of the disease
Feasibility of control measures
Need for monitoring and evaluating the
  performance of a control program
 Resource availability
ELEMENTS OF SURVEILLANCE SYSTEM
1. Case definition
2. Population under surveillance
3. Cycle of surveillance
4. Confidentiality
5. Incentives
               1. Case definition
• CASE DEFINITION A set of criteria (not necessarily
  diagnostic criteria) that must be fulfilled in order to
  identify a person as representing a case of a
  particular disease
        Classification of case definition
 Confirmed: a case definition by appropriate lab.
  Test
 Probable: a case with typical clinical features of
  the disease without laboratory confirmation
 Possible/ Suspect: a case with few of the
  typical clinical features.
        • Use case definition consistently!!
        Major advantages of case definition
1) Facilitate early detection and prompt management
   of cases
2) Useful in areas where there is no laboratory
3) Facilitate observation of trends
4) Facilitate comparison more accurately from area
   to area.
           Case definition cont’d
• Eg,   surveillance definitions for Hepatitis A
  ranges:
1. from ―Yellow eyes” to
2. documentation of specific acute phase
   antibodies to the hepatitis A virus combined
   with clinical signs of jaundice or laboratory
   evidence of liver dysfunction.
• The first definition is very simple and could be
  used by field staff with minimal training
               Case definition cont’d.
• The second definition is appropriate in a
  developed country where diagnostic testing is
  routinely done to distinguish hepatitis types of A,
  B, and C.
• For diseases with long latency or a chronic
  course decision must be made regarding which
  phase to monitor:
   asymptomatic,
   early disease, l
   ate disease, death.
2. Population under surveillance
 Target population can be:
 individuals at specific institutions
 Residents of a community
 Residents of a nation, etc
 3. Cycle of surveillance
Surveillance systems can be described as information
  loops
             The elements of the loop are:
1) occurrence of a health event
2) its detection by a health care provider
3) notification of health agency at different levels
4) analysis and interpretation of aggregate data
5) dissemination of the results.
• The loop is complete when the information is applied
• Addressing all these elements of the loop is crucial
                      The surveillance loop
Health care                             surveillance center
System
                     Reporting
                                                       Data
       EVENT
       ACTION                               Analysis            interpretation
                                                       Inform
                                                        ation
                Feedback , recommendation
              4. Confidentiality
Personal identifying information is necessary to:
 Identify duplicate reports
 Obtain follow-up information when necessary
 Provide services to individuals
 use surveillance as the basis for detailed
  Investigations
 Protecting the physical security and confidentiality
  of surveillance records is both an ethical
  responsibility and a requirement for maintaining the
  trust of participants
    Elements of surveillance system cont.
 While personal identifying information may be
  needed at the local level, it is generally not
  necessary for that information to be forwarded to
  more central agencies.
 In such cases codes can be used
          5. Incentives to participation
• Providing information back to those who
  contribute to the System
• This feed back may be in the form of reports
  and seminars
     TYPES OF SURVEILLANCE
• Three major types
1. Passive Surveillance
2. Active Surveillance
3. Sentinel Surveillance
           1.Passive surveillance
• Passive surveillance is that in which
  health care providers send reports based
  on a known set of rules and regulations.
• Majority of public health surveillance
  systems are passive
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Advantage Passive surveillance
Covers wide range of problems
ƒDoes not require special arrangement
ƒIt is relatively cheap
Covers a wider area
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Disadvantage of passive surveillance
Unreliable, incomplete and inaccurate data
ƒNot available on time
ƒƒLack of representativeness of the whole
 population since passive surveillance is
 mainly based on health institution reports
Most of the time, you may not get the kind
 of information you desire
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           2. Active surveillance
• Active surveillance is that in which
  public   health     officials  contact
  providers to solicit reports of events
  or diseases.
      Limited to specific diseases over a
       limited period of time, i.e epidemic.
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Advantages of active surveillance
• Data is complete and accurate
• ƒInformation collected is timely.
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Disadvantages of active surveillance
•    ƒRequires good organization,
•    ƒExpensive
•    ƒRequires skilled human power
•    ƒShort period of time(not continuous process)
•    ƒDirected towards specific disease conditions
       – Not cover many problem
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   Conditions in w/c active surveillance is
                appropriate
• For periodic evaluation of an ongoing program
• ƒFor programs with limited time of operation such as
  eradication program
• In unusual situations;
   –   New disease discovery
   –   ƒNew mode of transmission
   –   ƒWhen a disease is found to affect a new subgroup
   –   of the population.
   –   ƒWhen a previously eradicated disease reappears.
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           3. Sentinel surveillance
• Sentinel surveillance uses a pre-arranged
  sample of reporting sources to report all
  cases of one or more conditions.
 Usually the sample sources are selected to
  be those most likely to see cases.
 Particularly in developing countries, sentinel
  surveillance provides a practical alternative to
  population-based surveillance
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       Surveillance Activities
1. Data collection and recording
2. Data compilation, analysis and
 interpretation
3. Reporting and notification
4. Dissemination of information
    Data collection and recording
• Critical Information in Surveillance
  – Person: Age, sex
  – Time: onset of disease, reporting period
  – Place: woreda, region
  – Risk factors
  – Number of cases (magnitude)
  – Treatment     outcome:      deaths,    recovery
    (seriousness)
  – Mode of treatment: inpatient/outpatient
     Analysis of Surveillance Data
Descriptive analysis:
   Distribution by time, place and person
   Frequency of events
   Calculate rates- need proper denominator
 Observe trends
 Compare current data with expected value,
  identify differences, and assess the relevance of
  the difference
 Draw graphs to show long term (secular) trends
  Disseminate surveillance data
To all stakeholders;
 Those who provide the reports (health providers)
 The community – affected/potentially affected
 Decision makers
 Disseminate report locally, nationally or globally; as
  deemed necessary
 Disseminate report timely and regularly
 Disseminate through appropriate media:
  newsletter or bulletin (paper or electronic)
      Attributes/qualities of surveillance
• Surveillance systems can be judged using a list of attributes
  (CDC 1988).
• This list can be used to evaluate an existing system or to
  conceptualize a proposed system. These attributes are:
          Sensitivity
          Timeliness
          Representativeness
          Predictive value
          Accuracy and completeness
          Simplicity
          Flexibility
          Acceptability
     Attributes of surveillance
A. Sensitivity
• To what extent the system identify all of the
  events in the target population?
B. Timeliness
• Refers to the entire cycle of information flow,
  ranging    from   information   collection   to
  dissemination
   Attributes of surveillance…
C. Representativeness
 To what extent do events detected through the
  surveillance system represent persons with the
  condition of interest in the target population?
 A lack of representativeness may lead to
  misallocation of health resources
      Attributes of surveillance…
D. Predictive value
 To what extent are reported cases really cases?
 To what extent are measured changes in trends
  truly reflective of events in the community
        Attributes of surveillance…
E. Accuracy and completeness of descriptive
  information
 To what extent are the sections of forms completed?
 Is the information sufficiently reliable?
F. Simplicity
 Are forms easy to complete?
 Are procedures difficult?
 Is data collection kept to a necessary minimum?
        Attributes of surveillance…
G. Flexibility
• Can the system change to address new questions?
• Can it adapt to evolving standards of diagnosis or
  medical care?
H. Acceptability
• To what extent are the participants in a surveillance
  system enthusiastic about the system?
• Does the effort they invest yield useful information?
Reporting (Surveillance) requirements
The disease to be reported in Ethiopia should lie
under one of the following three categories
I.   Epidemic Prone diseases
II. Diseases targeted for elimination/eradication
III. Diseases of public health importance
      I. Epidemic prone diseases
•   Cholera
•   Dysentery
•   Measles
•   Meningitis
•   Plague
•   Viral Hemorrhagic Fever * Avian flu
•   Yellow Fever
•   Typhoid fever
•   Relapsing Fever
•   Epidemic typhus
•   Malaria
II. Diseases targeted for eradication
and elimination
 • Polio/ acute flaccid paralysis
 • Dracunculiasis
 • Neonatal Tetanus
 • Leprosy
III. Other Diseases of public health
importance
•   Pneumonia (in children <5 years of age)
•   Diarrhea (in children <5 years of age)
•   New AIDS cases
•   Onchocerciasis
•   Sexually Transmitted Infections
•   Tuberculosis
•   Rabies
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