Hikkake Chart Pattern —— Andriy Moraru                                         翻译:Newage 六道流浪觀
Hikkake Chart Pattern
                                         Hikkake 形態
原文地址:http://www.earnforex.com/blog/hikkake-chart-pattern/
Introduction to Hikkake
Hikkake 簡介
I am currently reading the Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader by Peter Brandt and among
other good things found a mention of a hikkake pattern there. Hikkake is often called a Japanese
candlestick pattern, but in reality it can be used with the common bar chart too as it doesn’t rely on
the Open and Close levels.
我目前正在讀由 Peter Brandt 所寫的專業商品交易者的日記,并在其中發現了關於 hikkake 形態的記載 。
Hikkake 通常被稱為日本蠟燭形態,但在現實中,它其實也可以運用在普通的柱狀圖上,因為它並不依賴於
開盤和收盤水平。
Hikkake was first described by the famous commodities trader Daniel Chesler in April 2004 article in
the Active Trader magazine. Hikkake translated from Japanese means “to trap” or ”to ensnare”. It’s a
false breakout pattern that tries to work out the failed inside day pattern. It’s both continuation and
reversal pattern in terms that it can be met inside a bullish/bearish trend and offer a buy/sell trade
opportunity; it can also be met inside a bullish/bearish trend and offer a sell/buy trade opportunity.
對 Hikkake 的最早記載是由著名的大宗商品交易師 Daniel Chesler 在 2004 年 4 月的活躍交易者雜誌的文
章中提出。 Hikkake 從日語所翻譯的意思是圈套、陷阱或者誘捕,是一個日內破敗所形成的假突破形態。無
論在牛市還是熊市里都既可以是持續形態也可以是反轉形態,並且提供給你買入或賣出的機會。
Hikkake Details
Hikkake 詳細說明
The pattern consists of 2 bars (though the first one also relies on a previous bar). The first bar (blue
one, on the images below) is the inside bar — its high should be lower than the previous bar’s high
and its low should be higher than the previous bar’s low. The second bar (magenta) should have
either higher high and higher low for a bearish hikkake or lower low and lower high for a bullish
hikkake. These two bars offer a hikkake setup, which is triggered if any of the next 3 bars breaks
through the high of the inside bar (for a bullish hikkake) or through its low (for a bearish hikkake):
此形態由 2 根燭線(雖然第一根還是要參考於之前的一根)組成。第一根蠟燭(下圖藍色)是一根內含線—
—它的高點比前一根的高點低,低點比前一根的低點高。第二根(洋紅色)作為空頭信號就該有更高的高點
和更高的低點;作為多頭信號則要有更低的低點和更低的高點。這兩根蠟燭構成了 Hikkake 形態組合,在往
後出現的 3 根燭線中哪一根實現對內含線的高點(多頭市)或低點(空頭市)的實際突破,此就為交易的觸
發點。
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Hikkake Chart Pattern —— Andriy Moraru                                           翻译:Newage 六道流浪觀
                   多頭 Hikkake 形態                               空頭 Hikkake 形態
The shown patterns demonstrate a breakout line (dashed), which is violated by the second bar after the
pattern is completed, triggering the trade signals.
圖例中已標示出突破線(虛線),當第二根蠟燭完結并確立形態之後,往後的任何燭線一旦與第二根蠟燭方
向相反並且突破此虛線水平收盤,即觸發交易信號。
As you see on the chart, the direction of the bars (Open/Close relation) doesn’t matter. Hikkake pattern is
particularly good for Forex traders because it doesn’t take into account the Open/Close of the candles,
which offers unspoiled performance in the foreign exchange market, which closes and opens only once a
week.
如圖所見,蠟燭的方向(開盤/收盤關係)其實並不重要。 Hikkake 形態能很好地應用在外匯交易上,因為
它並不需要依賴於蠟燭的開盤與收盤價,在外匯市場里,它具有良好的效果,開盤和收盤在一週只有一次。
Trading
交易
Trading strategy involving the hikkake pattern is evident from the above examples. A trader sets up a
pending stop entry order near the inside bar’s high or low. The stop-loss is set to the high (for a bearish
hikkake) or to the low (for the bullish one) of the pattern’s second bar. Take-profit level can be set
according to the trader’s preference. Increments of the stop-loss value (1×SL, 2×SL or 3×SL) work well,
and trailing stop is another option.
從上述的例子來看,涉及 Hikkake 的交易策略是顯而易見的。交易者可以在內含線的高點或低點設置 buy
stop 或 sell stop 交易單。止損放在形態的第二根蠟燭的高點(空頭時)或低點(多頭時)。 止盈可以根據
交易者的個人偏好設置。止損的推進可以以 1 倍、2 倍、3 倍於原始止損值步步推進,另外跟蹤止損也是另一
個選擇。
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Hikkake Chart Pattern —— Andriy Moraru                                             翻译:Newage 六道流浪觀
Hikkake Trading Examples
Hikkake 交易范例
Let’s look at some real life examples of the hypothetical hikkake trades. The inside bars are colored blue,
the second hikkake bars are colored with magenta. Bright green bars are the inside bars that weren’t
followed by a higher high + higher low or lower low + lower high bars and thus didn’t form a valid
hikkake.The examples shown on the first chart are from the November 2006 — March 2007. I didn’t try to
hand-pick the best patterns — they represent the average species of the chart pattern. Patterns A and D
are not triggered by any of the three bars following the hikkake formation. Pattern B is triggered on the next
bar and in two days reaches its target of 1×SL (stop-loss). Pattern C was triggered by the second post-
formation bar and after 5 days it has reached a target of 1×SL.
我们來看一些關於 Hikkake 交易的現實例子。內含線標示爲藍色,緊跟着的 hikkake 燭線則標示爲洋紅色。
亮綠色的內含燭線並不符合一個更高的高點+更高的低點,或者更低的低點+更低的高點這樣的規則,因此
並不能形成一個有效的 Hikkake。 第一張圖表所展示的是從 2006 年 11 月到 2007 年 3 月的鎊/美日線圖。我
並沒有去精心挑選出那些最佳最標準的形態——因此案例中的情況在實際交易當中並非絕無僅有。形態 A 和
D 都沒有因爲有跟隨在後的符合 Hikkake 條件的第三根燭線而被觸發。形態 B 被下一根燭線所觸發並在兩天
內到達一倍於止損距離的目標。形態 C 被後來的燭線所觸發並在 5 天後到達一倍於止損距離的目標。
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Hikkake Chart Pattern —— Andriy Moraru                                             翻译:Newage 六道流浪觀
The second chart shows examples from March-June 2007 period. This chart is actually rich on hikkake,
especially those that never trigger. Patterns A, C, D, G, H, I and J fail to trigger. Pattern B shoots on the
second day and the 1×SL target is fulfilled on the fourth day. Pattern E turns out to be a long-term one —
although it’s triggered on the first day, the take-profit level isn’t reached until day 13. Pattern F is quite
unlucky — it gets both triggered and stopped out on the day #1. It’s the only loser (with a rather tight stop-
loss, I must say) in all two charts.
第二張圖表所展示的是 2007 年 3 月到 6 月的鎊/美日線圖。這張圖表里有衆多的 Hikkake,特別是那些沒有
被觸發的。 形態 A、C、D、G、H、I 和 J 都是沒被觸發的。 形態 B 在第二天被觸發並在第四天到達一倍於止
損距離的目標。形態 E 是一個較爲長期的例子,雖然在第一天就被觸發,但獲利點遲遲未能到達,直到 13
天之後。 形態 F 則是一個十分背運的例子,它在第一天里同時經歷了觸發和止損。這是兩張圖表里唯一的一
個失敗例子(我必須強調交易都應該伴有嚴格的止損)。
Conclusion
結論
Hikkake is far from being a bullet-proof pattern. It also doesn’t offer too much trading opportunities.
Nevertheless, it’s a flexible chart figure that offers a chance to trade using pending orders and it haв
proved to be reliable enough to be looked for.
Hikkake 絕對不是一個無敵的形態。它甚至沒有提供給你太多的可交易機會。 然而它是一個靈活的圖表形態
可以提供給你一個掛單交易的機會,而且它被證明是可靠的信號,值得你去發現它。
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