Rename
Rename
Real GDP
Year-over-year growth rate
Year (based year 2015)
2000 3.99 #VALUE!
2001 4 0.25062656641604
2002 4 0
2003 4.07 1.75000000000001
2004 4.15 1.96560196560197
2005 4.23 1.9277108433735
2006 4.29 1.41843971631205
2007 4.35 1.39860139860139
2008 4.3 -1.14942528735632
2009 4.05 -5.81395348837209
2010 4.22 4.19753086419753
2011 4.22 0
2012 4.28 1.42180094786731
2013 4.36 1.86915887850467
2014 4.38 0.45871559633027
2015 4.44 1.36986301369864
2016 4.48 0.9009009009009
2017 4.55 1.56249999999999
2018 4.58 0.65934065934067
2019 4.56 -0.4366812227074
2020 4.38 -3.94736842105263
2021 4.49 2.51141552511416
2022 4.53 0.89086859688196
2023 4.61 1.76600441501104
Observations:
Inflation Trends:
The CPI-based inflation rate follows a relatively stable pattern, with
fluctuations over the years.
The GDP deflator-based inflation rate shows more fluctuations, showing
and decreases.
Unemployment Trends:
The unemployment rate started at approximately 5% in 2000, rose sli
2000s, and then declined over the year of late 2000s
A significant rise in unemployment rate occurred around 2008-2010
global financial crisis.
Post-2010, unemployment declined steadily because of the recovery per
Unemployment Trends:
The unemployment rate started at approximately 5% in 2000, rose sli
2000s, and then declined over the year of late 2000s
A significant rise in unemployment rate occurred around 2008-2010
global financial crisis.
Post-2010, unemployment declined steadily because of the recovery per
lowest levels around 2018-2019
From 2020-2023, the COVID-19 outbreake damaged Japan's whole economy, whi
growth rate.
GDP deflator Inflation rate Year-over-year growth rate
124.561403509 #VALUE! #VALUE!
109.25 -12.29225352113 0.250626566416035
104.5 -4.347826086957 0
111.056511057 6.2741732598192 1.75000000000001
117.831325301 6.1003305256424 1.96560196560197
114.184397163 -3.095041262382 1.9277108433735
107.226107226 -6.093906093906 1.41843971631205
105.287356322 -1.808095952024 1.39860139860139
118.837209302 12.869401848279 -1.14942528735632
130.617283951 9.9127829721437 -5.81395348837209
136.492890995 4.4983380965606 4.19753086419753
147.630331754 8.1597222222222 0
146.495327103 -0.768815349305 1.42180094786731
119.495412844 -18.43056348126 1.86915887850467
111.872146119 -6.379547585868 0.458715596330265
100 -10.61224489796 1.36986301369864
111.607142857 11.607142857143 0.900900900900902
108.351648352 -2.916923076923 1.56249999999999
110.043668122 1.5616003968219 0.659340659340665
112.280701754 2.0328599275968 -0.436681222707434
115.525114155 2.8895547945205 -3.94736842105263
112.026726058 -3.028248985449 2.51141552511416
94.0397350993 -16.05598198886 0.890868596881961
91.1062906725 -3.119366960985 1.76600441501104
(Source: World Bank)
(Source: Satistics Bereau of Japan)
Infla
15
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-5
-10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-5
-10
-15
-20
Inflation rate
(calculated by GDP d
Explanation of the
e Inflation Rate:
blue line) fluctuates significantly, showing sharp The CPI measures price c
in 2009, 2012, 2016, and 2021. Meanwhile, the the GDP price index and
mains relatively stable, with gradual upward consumers, businesses, g
. This indicates that price changes in the
ger swings compared to consumer goods and - The inflation rate based
goods and services produ
This explains why inflati
disruptions, and changes
r growth rate
6
Year-over-year grow
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2
-2
2
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2
-2
-4
-6
-8
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2
World Bank)
Relationship (Phillips C
2008-2010 (Financial C
ively stable pattern, with moderate There was an increa
This aligns with econ
s more fluctuations, showing sharp increases and higher unemploymen
2011-2019 (Recovery P
Unemployment decl
mately 5% in 2000, rose slightly in the early stable and inflation rate calcul
000s This partially suppor
urred around 2008-2010, associating with the unemployment).
2020-2023 (Pandemic &
ly because of the recovery period, reaching its A small rise in unem
Unemployment decl
mately 5% in 2000, rose slightly in the early stable and inflation rate calcul
000s This partially suppor
urred around 2008-2010, associating with the unemployment).
2020-2023 (Pandemic &
ly because of the recovery period, reaching its A small rise in unem
shutdowns.
d Japan's whole economy, which declined the YOY Inflation started dec
and recovery-driven dema
=> This follows the Phillip
we can say this could be support
unemployment")
rld Bank)
Inflation rate
7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
PI measures price changes in goods and services purchased out of pocket by urban consumers, w
DP price index and implicit price deflator measure price changes in goods and services purchased
mers, businesses, government, and foreigners, but not importers.
nflation rate based on the GDP deflator fluctuates more because it measures price changes across
and services produced in the economy, including investment goods, exports, and government spe
xplains why inflation associated with GDP deflator is sensitive to economic shocks, supply chain
ions, and changes in global trade.
nflation rate based on CPI is more stable because it only tracks the prices of a fixed basket of con
and services, such as food, housing, and transportation. Since consumers' spending patterns chan
lly, CPI inflation tends to be less volatile compared to the GDP deflator.
9 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
9 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
%)
15
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2
-5
-10
-15
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
-20
ations:
mic.
Inflation rate
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 202
lower inflation
d relatively
to 2016.
en inflation and
h economic
d relatively
to 2016.
en inflation and
h economic
ain disruptions
n, vice versa) ( or
tween inflation and
018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Switzerland
Question 1
Year Nominal GDP (Billion USD)
2000 279.2
2001 286.6
2002 309.3
2003 362.1
2004 403.9
2005
Thi
s
418.3
2006
Ph 441.6
ot
2007
o 490.7
2008
by
Un
567.3
2009
kn 554.2
ow
2010
n 598.8
2011
Au 715.9
th
2012
or 686.4
is
2013
lic
706.2
2014
en 726.5
se
2015
d 694.1
un
2016
de
687.9
2017
r 695.2
CC
2018
BY- 725.6
2019
SA 721.4
2020 742
2021 813.4
2022 818.4
2023 884.9
Question 2
Year CPI
2000 94
2001 95
2002 95.6
2003 96.2
2004 97
2005 98.1
2006 99.1
2007 99.9
2008 102.3
2009 101.8
2010 102.5
2011 102.7
2012 102
2013 101.8
2014 101.8
2015 100.6
2016 100.2
2017 100.7
2018 101.7
2019 102
2020 101.3
2021 101.9
2022 104.8
2023 107
Question 3
20
17.1143581705233
15
12.457509
10
8.61425840059051
8.00071470520227
6.93472945678748
Axis Title
2.4024024
1.43962496282864
1.1340206185567
1.06382978723404
1.04830491961424 0.831600831600829 1.01936799184506
0.79035502912357 0.80726538849648
0.631578947368415
0.627615062761515
0 -0
8.00071470520227
6.93472945678748
Axis Title
5
2.4024024
1.43962496282864
1.1340206185567
1.06382978723404
1.04830491961424 0.831600831600829 1.01936799184506
0.79035502912357 0.80726538849648
0.631578947368415
0.627615062761515
0 -0
-0
-5
-10
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 200
Question 4
There are three factors that lead to the differences in the inflation rate
Question 5
Year Real GDP (Billion 2015 USD)
2000 529.8
2001 538.2
2002 537.8
2003 537.6
2004 552.1
2005 567.3
2006 590.4
2007 613.5
2008 630.7
2009 616.2
2010 636.2
2011 647.8
2012 655.4
2013 667.2
2014 682.8
2015 694.1
2016 708.4
2017 718.1
2018 738.7
2019 747.1
2020 739
2021 760.2
2022 775.8
2023 780
Question 6
Year Unemployment Rate (%)
2000 2.66
2001 2.49
2002 2.92
2003 4.12
2004 4.32
2005 4.44
2006 4
2007 3.64
2008 3.35
2009 4.11
2010 4.81
2011 4.41
2012 4.49
2013 4.75
2014 4.83
2015 4.8
2016 4.92
2017 4.8
2018 4.71
2019 4.39
2020 4.82
2021 5.1
2022 4.3
2023 4.05
Sources:
Nominal GDP: World Bank
Real GDP: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
CPI: Federal Statistical Office, RI
Unemployment Rate: Macrotrends
Real GDP (Billion 2015 USD)
GDP Deflator Index (2015=100)
Inflation Rate (%)
529.8 52.70
538.2 53.25 1.05
537.8 57.51 8.00
537.6 67.35 17.11
552.1 73.16 8.61
567.3 73.74 0.79
590.4 74.80 1.44
613.5 79.98 6.93
630.7 89.95 12.46
616.2 89.94 -0.01
636.2 94.12 4.65
647.8 110.51 17.41
655.4 104.73 -5.23
667.2 105.85 1.07
682.8 106.40 0.52
694.1 100.00 -6.02
708.4 97.11 -2.89
718.1 96.81 -0.30
738.7 98.23 1.46
747.1 96.56 -1.70
739 100.41 3.98
760.2 107.00 6.57
775.8 105.49 -1.41
780 113.45 7.54
1.06
0.63
0.63
0.83
1.13
1.02
0.81
2.40
-0.49
0.69
0.20
-0.68
-0.20
0.00
-1.18
-0.40
0.50
0.99
0.29
-0.69
0.59
2.85
2.10
17.414921434925
12.4575095831135
51
6.93472945678748
4.65097995348825
2.40240240240239
1.43962496282864
0206185567
29 1.01936799184506
5502912357 0.80726538849648 1.06501337391624
0.687622789783893 0.524154874301897 0.499001
-0.01038989987303690.195121951219515 -0.1960784313725520 -0.303920
6.93472945678748
4.65097995348825
2.40240240240239
1.43962496282864
0206185567
29 1.01936799184506
5502912357 0.80726538849648 1.06501337391624
0.687622789783893 0.524154874301897 0.499001
-0.0103898998730369 0.195121951219515 0
-0.488758553274682 -0.196078431372552 -0.303920
-0.3976143141153
-0.681596884128532
-1.17878192534381
-2.89384528514964
-5.23250106574824
-6.01514108740538
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2
Axis Title
Recent Inflation
Surge (2021–2023):
The post-pandemic
Deflationary Periods (2012–
period saw inflation
2016): Deflation was observed,
2008 Financial Crisis (2008- rise due to global
especially in 2015–2016, when
2009): A sharp inflation spike supply chain
the Swiss National Bank
with the GDP deflator rising disruptions and rising
abandoned the Euro peg, leading
more sharply than the CPI. energy prices.
to a currency appreciation and a
However, Swiss
decline in price levels.
inflation remained
moderate compared to
other economies.
Weighting Difference
CPI gives more weight to
consumer essentials (housing,
food, transport), while the GDP
deflator reflects broader
economic activities.
If investment prices or
government spending change
significantly, the GDP deflator
may show inflation trends that
differ from CPI.
1.59 5
-0.07
-0.04
4
2.70
2.75
4.07 3
2.75
2.69717261
3.91
2.80 2
-2.30 1.58550396375993
3.25
1
1.82
1.17
1.80 0 -0.037188545927841
-0.0743218134522651
2.34
1.65 -1
2.06
1.37
-2
2.87
1.14
-1.08 -3
2.87 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
2.05
0.54
3.98293350060194
2.84592737978409
2.09923664122138
1.46221482301116
0.99304865938431
97 0.499001996007984 0.29498525073746 0.592300098716692
-0.303920602288758
7.54339612000901
6.56555127002327
3.98293350060194
2.84592737978409
2.09923664122138
1.46221482301116
0.99304865938431
97 0.499001996007984 0.29498525073746 0.592300098716692
-0.303920602288758
-0.3976143141153 -0.686274509803924
8192534381 -1.40848445156161
-1.69667071367613
-2.89384528514964
4108740538
4.07191961924908
3.91260162601626
3.24569944823109
2.8035859820701 2.868681242166
2.75312443397934
2.69717261904762
2.33812949640286
2.06022187004754
1.82332599811379
1.80042722001832
6375993 1.65495020503809
1.36928289102203
1.17320160543378 1.137132
-0.0371885459278415
43218134522651
-1
-2.29903282067544
1 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 20
)
2.86868124216683 2.86874154262518
22187004754 2.05209155485397
03809
1.36928289102203
1.13713280086638
0.541376643464816
-1.0841922098782
Canada
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 200
-2
-4
2
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 200
-2
-4
Inflati
15
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 201
-5
-10
-15
06 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20
06 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20
economic uncertainty, but as - Imports: CPI includes imports (e.g., oil, electronic
her. it. The GDP deflator excludes imports, focusing onl
especially impacting oil and gas), goods.
Public Policy
2 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 - The COVID-19 pandemic led to a
response, Canada introduced large-s
Canada reduced interest rates to stim
nt in Canada (2001-2023):
Public Policy
- From 2001 to 2007, Canada’s economy experienced strong growth due to favorable global
conditions, especially in exports and resource prices, alongside pro-business policies and fiscal
Public Policy
- From 2001 to 2007, Canada’s economy experienced strong growth due to favorable global
conditions, especially in exports and resource prices, alongside pro-business policies and fiscal
responsibility. However, the 2008-2009 global financial crisis caused a sharp contraction, with a
decline in 2009. The government responded with stimulus measures like infrastructure projects a
interest rate cuts to support recovery.
- From 2010 to 2015, growth was slower, influenced by declining oil prices and global economic
challenges. Policies during this time aimed at diversification, including trade agreements and eff
stabilize the oil sector.
- The COVID-19 pandemic led to a severe economic downturn in 2020, with a -5.7% contractio
response, Canada introduced large-scale support programs like CERB and CEWS, and the Bank
Canada reduced interest rates to stimulate recovery.
-The recovery in 2021 saw a strong rebound (12.5%), but this was followed by slower growth an
inflationary pressures in 2022-2023, prompting the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates.
Public policy has focused on fiscal stimulus, social safety nets, and diversification away from re
dependency. Moving forward, policies are likely to emphasize innovation, sustainability, housin
affordability, and economic resilience.
favorable global
policies and fiscal
favorable global
policies and fiscal
p contraction, with a -9.6%
rastructure projects and
h a -5.7% contraction. In
CEWS, and the Bank of
Question 2:
Country Name Series Name
China Consumer Price Index
China Inflation Rate (%)
Question 3:
Choosing 2020 as the base year.
Series Name 2000
Normalized CPI 63.20
Normalized GDP Deflator 52.20
CPI Inflation Rate (%)
GDP Deflator Inflation rate (%)
8
Inflation rate (%)
0
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 20
-2
Year
Question 4:
In terms of the GDP deflator inflation rate of China economy, there were sharp fluctuations during th
reached the top in 2008 with values exceeding 7% after experiencing a slight drop from 2004 to 200
however, there was a bounce in the inflation rate resulting in the peak at over 8% in 2011 indicating
4% between 2012 and 2022 suggesting a period of relative economic stability, followed by a fall to t
In terms of the GDP deflator inflation rate of China economy, there were sharp fluctuations during th
reached the top in 2008 with values exceeding 7% after experiencing a slight drop from 2004 to 200
however, there was a bounce in the inflation rate resulting in the peak at over 8% in 2011 indicating
4% between 2012 and 2022 suggesting a period of relative economic stability, followed by a fall to t
Turning to the CPI inflation rate, it underwent the same pattern but with lower percent than the GDP
consumer goods compared to overall economic prices. It is noticed that the peak of the inflation rate
approximately -0.7% in the next year. From 2010, CPI inflation stabilizes in the range of 1-3% revea
especially between 2020 and 2023, which may reflect differences in how consumer prices react to C
The difference in inflation rates calculated in sentence (1) and (2) arises because they measure price
- GDP deflator measures the overall price level of all final goods and services produced within a cou
part of domestic production. GDP deflator covers the whole economy rather than just consumer cost
- CPI focuses only on the cost of a fixed basket of consumer goods and services, making it more rele
government purchases, or exports, meaning it may not fully capture price changes in the broader eco
Question 5:
Series Name 2000
Year over year growth rate (%)
14
12
10
0
200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 201 201 201 201 201 201
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5
Year
Question 6:
Country Name Series Name
China Unemployment rate (%)
Data from database: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS?end=2023&locations=
The relationship between inflation rate and unemployment rate over the year:
1) Phillips Curve Theory:
The Phillips Curve indicates an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment—when inf
2) The relationship between inflation rate and unemployment rate from 2000 - 2023 in China:
2001-2006: Whereas there was a continuous oscillation in the inflation rate from 0 - 7%, the unempl
2007-2008: Inflation spiked to 7.75% and 7.80%, while unemployment remained around 4.3%-4.6%
These suggest that higher inflation did not strongly correlate with a drop in unemployment, deviating
2009: Inflation dropped to -0.21%, but unemployment rose a little by 0.1%.
2010-2011: Inflation reached 6.88% and 8.08%, but unemployment remained at 4.5%.
2012-2015: Inflation fell to 0% whereas unemployment rate was steady at about 4.6%.
2016-2017: While the inflation rate experienced a jump by about 3%, the unemployment rate
2018-2019: The inflation fall from 3.50% to 1.29%, but the unemployment rate underwent the
2020 (COVID-19 impact): Inflation was 0.49%, and unemployment reached the peak at 5%.
2021-2023: Inflation dropped to relatively low while unemployment remained
*Conclusion:
China’s inflation rate and unemployment rate have a weak negative relationship.
2000 2001 2002
¥19,209,192,472,300 ¥20,810,419,560,100 ¥22,711,166,448,500
¥10,028,013,925,300 ¥11,086,312,304,600 ¥12,171,742,474,800
52.20 53.27 53.59
2.05 0.60
world-development-indicators#
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
Year
y, there were sharp fluctuations during the period. Initially, the inflation rate climbed considerably to the poin
eriencing a slight drop from 2004 to 2005. Negative inflation rate is seen obviously in 2009, likely reflecting t
n the peak at over 8% in 2011 indicating economic activities with strong price pressures. It is also noticed that
economic stability, followed by a fall to the lowest point at below 0% in the end.
y, there were sharp fluctuations during the period. Initially, the inflation rate climbed considerably to the poin
eriencing a slight drop from 2004 to 2005. Negative inflation rate is seen obviously in 2009, likely reflecting t
n the peak at over 8% in 2011 indicating economic activities with strong price pressures. It is also noticed that
economic stability, followed by a fall to the lowest point at below 0% in the end.
ern but with lower percent than the GDP deflator inflation rate between 0 and 4% from the beginning to 2007
noticed that the peak of the inflation rate had occured by 2008 reaching nearly 6% before declining rapidly to
tion stabilizes in the range of 1-3% revealing better control of consumer price levels. There is several divergen
ences in how consumer prices react to COVID-19 shocks.
00 200 200 200 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 202 202 202 202
6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3
Year
n 2001:
nto the global economy, leading to a sharp growth in trade and foreign direct investment. The nation’s trade su
06, up from an average of about 3% between 2000 and 2004. This policy not only bolstered China’s export-led
tributing to rapid industrialization and economic development during the peroid 2001 - 2007.
i.htm
mber 2008):
ate underwent a drop from 2007 to 2009. In November 2008, in response to the global financial crisis, China a
ut 12.5% of its GDP at the time. This initiative aimed to counteract the economic recession and sustain growth
ulus was allocated to infrastructure projects, including transportation, energy, and telecommunications, to enh
building areas affected by the May 12 Sichuan earthquake, facilitating recovery and improving resilience again
esources were allocated to environmental initiatives and technological advancements to promote sustainable d
impacts of the global financial crisis, it also led to concerns about increased local government debt and the eff
uments/CLM28BN.pdf
Xi Jinping in 2013, is an ambitious effort to boost regional cooperation and connectivity on a trans-continental
ort projects aimed to decrease shipping times for East Asia Pacific countries by an average of 2.31% globally.
d result in a corresponding reduction in trade costs and enhancing the trade efficiency.
developing East Asia Pacific countries by approximately 2.6% to 3.9%.
40306960489/pdf/131211-Bri-MTI-Practice-Note-4.pdf
ese government in 2015, is a long-term plan aimed at transforming China into a global leader in advanced man
ating the virus through strict measures including mass testing and quarantines. This helped maintain relatively
ugh the growth rate of at only nearly 3%. As the Omicron variant spread, there was increasing public pressure
oals with economic and social stability.
2.05
0.60
2.60
6.95
3.90
3.93
7.75
7.80
-0.21
6.88
8.08
2.33
2.16
1.03
0
1.41
4.23
3.50
1.29
0.49
4.55
1.82
-0.58
n inflation and unemployment—when inflation is high, unemployment tends to be low, and vice versa.
ment rate from 2000 - 2023 in China:
he inflation rate from 0 - 7%, the unemployment rate was just around 4%.
mployment remained around 4.3%-4.6%.
e with a drop in unemployment, deviating from the traditional Phillips Curve.
a little by 0.1%.
loyment remained at 4.5%.
was steady at about 4.6%.
about 3%, the unemployment rate declined by 0.1%.
unemployment rate underwent the opposite pattern by 0.3%.
loyment reached the peak at 5%.
ployment remained high.
government purchases, and exports). It excludes imports because they are not
includes imports but does not account for price changes in investment,
ntines. This helped maintain relatively low infection rates but caused
d, there was increasing public pressure for policy adjustments. By late 2022,
%.
urve.
2006 2007 2008
¥34,553,501,474,600 ¥39,470,762,217,000 ¥43,279,958,745,600
¥21,943,847,481,700 ¥27,009,232,371,800 ¥31,924,461,277,900
63.51 68.43 73.76
3.93 7.75 7.80
2022 2023
102.97 103.22
106.46 105.84
1.97 0.23
1.82 -0.58
2022 2023
2.95 5.25
2021 [YR2021] 2022 [YR2022] 2023 [YR2023]
4.5 5 4.7