Cps Brazil
Cps Brazil
BRAZILIAN STATE
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1964 1984 1988 1992 2010 2015
A military coup Diretas Já!, A new Collor is Dilma Rousseff, The “car wash”
places power a mass constitution impeached; Lula’s former (Lava Jato)
in the hands mobilization grants new Vice President 2002 chief-of-staff, is corruption
of successive campaign, social and Itamar Franco 1998 Lula da Silva elected Brazil’s investigation
authoritarian calls for direct political assumes Cardoso is is elected first woman engulfs much
regimes. elections. rights. presidency. reelected. president. president. of the political class.
leaders and the executives of some of the most successful companies have benefited
from systemic graft, popular revulsion has raised questions concerning the quality of
Brazil’s democracy. Is Brazilian democracy failing, due to systemic corruption, and is
it becoming more ungovernable as so many members of the political class are investi-
gated? Or is Brazilian democracy moving through an important transition in which
the strength of accountability-enhancing institutions secure a less corrupt and more
responsive form of government in the future?
Geographic Setting
Larger than the continental United States, Brazil occupies two-thirds of South
America. Its 206 million inhabitants are concentrated in the urban southern and
southeastern regions; the vast northern Amazon region, with 5.3 million, is sparsely
populated.
Brazil includes thick rain forest in the Amazon valley, large lowland swamps (the
pantanal) in the central western states, and vast expanses of badlands (the sertão) in
the north and northeast. The country is rich in natural resources and arable land. The
Amazon has an abundance of minerals and tropical fruit; the central and southern re-
gions provide iron ore and coal; and offshore sources of petroleum are significant and
will become even more so as they are exploited. Brazil’s farmlands are highly fertile.
The Amazon’s climate is wet, the sertão is dry, and the agricultural areas of the cen-
tral, southeastern, and southern regions are temperate. Natural resource e xploitation
make the fragile ecology of the Amazon a matter of international concern.
Immigration of Europeans and Africans has contributed to an ethnically mixed
society. Approximately 48 percent of the population is white, 43 percent mulatto
(brown), 8 percent black, and 0.5 percent Asian.1 These numbers probably ignore
people of mixed race, who are sometimes classified erroneously as being white or mu-
latto. The indigenous people of the Amazon basin are estimated to number 250,000.
The Asian population, which numbers just over 1 million, is dominated by people of
Japanese descent who immigrated from 1908 through the 1950s.
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372 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
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© Cengage
Regime History Democratic since 1946 with periods of military authoritarianism, especially
1964–1985.
Administrative Federal, with twenty-six states plus the Federal District, which also functions as a
Structure state. Subnational legislatures are unicameral. State governments have multiple
secretariats, the major ones commonly being economy, planning, and infrastructure.
The states are divided into municipalities (about 5,570), with mayors and councillors
directly elected.
Executive President, vice president, and cabinet. The president and vice president are directly
elected by universal suffrage in a two-round runoff election for 4-year terms. Since
1998, the president and vice president may run for a second term.
Legislature Bicameral: The Senate is made up of three senators from each state and from the
Federal District, elected by plurality vote for an eight-year term; the Chamber of
Deputies consists of representatives from each state and from the Federal District,
elected by proportional vote for a four-year term.
Judiciary Supreme Court, High Tribunal of Justice, regional courts, labor courts, electoral
courts, military courts, and state courts. Judiciary has financial and administrative
autonomy. Supreme Court justices are subjected to mandatory retirement at 75.
Party System Multiparty system including several parties of the right, center-right, center-left,
and left. Elections are by open-list proportional representation. New parties must
register with the Superior Electoral Court after having acquired sufficient signatures
to meet a minimal threshold in at least nine states.
postcolonial Latin American states, which suffered numerous conflicts among ter-
ritorially dispersed strongmen (caudillos).
Imperial Brazil enjoyed several features of representative democracy: regular elec-
tions, alternation of parties in power, and scrupulous compliance with the constitution.
Liberal institutions only regulated political competition among rural, oligarchical elites;
most Brazilians, who were neither enfranchised nor politically organized, were left out.
© Cengage
governing principles that were limited to a privileged few, but no longer determined
by the hereditary rights of the emperor. The states gained greater authority to formu-
late policy, spend money, levy taxes, and maintain their own militias.
Although the constitution expressed liberal ideas, most Brazilians lived in rural
clientelism areas, where the landed oligarchy squashed dissent. As in the southern United
An informal aspect of
States and in Mexico, landed elites manipulated local politics. In a process known
policy-making in which as c oronelismo, these elites, or colonels, as they were known, manipulated their poor
a powerful patron (for workers so they would vote to elect officials favored by the elite.
example, a traditional These ties between patron (landowner) and client (peasant) became the basis of
local boss, government modern Brazilian politics. In return for protection and occasional favors, the client
agency, or dominant
political party) offers
did the bidding of the patron. As cities grew, and the state’s administrative agencies
resources such as land, expanded, the process of trading favors and demanding political support in return
contracts, protection, became known as clientelism.
jobs, or other resources In contrast to the centralized empire, the Old Republic consecrated the power
in return for the support of local elites. Governors and mayors were empowered to control areas of economic
and services (such as
labor or votes) of lower-
policy delegated by the federal government.
status and less powerful
clients. Corruption,
preferential treatment,
The 1930 Revolution
and inequality are As world demand for coffee plummeted during the Depression of the 1930s, the cof-
characteristic of clientelist
politics.
fee and ranch elites faced their worst crisis. Worker demonstrations and the Brazilian
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SECTION 1 The Making of the Modern Brazilian State 375
Communist Party challenged the legitimacy of the Old Republic. Among the discon- interventores
tented political elites, a figure emerged who transformed Brazilian politics forever: In Brazil, allies of
Getúlio Vargas (see “Profile: Getúlio Dornelles Vargas” in Section 3 of this chapter). Getúlio Vargas (1930–
Vargas came to power as the head of a new “revolutionary government,” but it 1945, 1950–1952),
favored a dissident elite. That is why Vargas swiftly crushed middle-class and popu- who were chosen by
the dictator during his
lar dissent. He built a political coalition around a new project of industrialization first period of rulership
led by the central government and based on central state resources. Unlike the Old to replace opposition
Republic, Vargas controlled regional governments by replacing all governors with governors in most
handpicked allies (interventores). The center of gravity of Brazilian politics swung states. The interventores
back to the national state. represented a shift of
power from subnational
Vargas believed he could win the support of landed elites, commercial interests, bu- government to the
reaucrats, and the military by answering their demands in a controlled way. They were central state.
allowed to participate in the new political order, but only as passive members of state- state corporatism
created and state-regulated unions and associations. This model of state corporatism
A system of interest
rejects the idea of competition among social groups by having the state arbitrate all con- representation in which
flicts. For instance, when workers requested increases in their wages, state agencies deter- the constituent units
mined to what extent such demands would be met and how business would pay for them. are organized into
By 1937, Vargas had achieved a position of virtually uncontested power. During a limited number of
singular, compulsory,
the next eight years, he consolidated his state corporatist model by establishing labor
noncompetitive,
codes, creating public firms to produce strategic commodities such as steel and oil, hierarchically ordered,
and pursuing paternalistic social policies. These policies were collectively called the and functionally
New State (Estado Nôvo). differentiated categories,
recognized or licensed
(if not created) by
The Populist Republic (1945–1964) the state. These
organizations are granted
The increasing mobilization of segments of the working and middle classes, and U.S. a representational
diplomatic pressure forced Vargas to call for full democratic elections to be held in monopoly within their
1945. Three political parties competed in these elections: The Social Democratic respective categories in
exchange for limiting
Party (PSD) and the Brazilian Labor Party (PTB) were pro-Vargas, while the National
their demands and
Democratic Union (UDN) stood against him. The PSD and the PTB, which oper- allowing the state to
ated in alliance, were both creations of the state, while the UDN brought together recruit their leaders.
regional forces that wanted a return to liberal constitutionalism. The campaign was
so bitter that the military forced Vargas to resign, two months before the general
election.
The turn to democracy in 1946 did not break with the past. The new constitu-
tion guaranteed periodic elections, but the most important economic and social poli-
cies were still decided by the state bureaucracy, not by the national legislature.
Populism, but not democracy, defined the new political order. In Brazil, the
terms populist and populism refer to politicians, programs, or movements that seek
to expand citizenship to previously disenfranchised sectors of society in return for
political support. Populist governments grant benefits to guarantee support, but dis-
courage lower-class groups from creating their own organizations. Populists do not
consider themselves accountable to the people.
Brazilian workers supported Vargas for his promises to improve the social insurance
system, and elected him in 1950. However, economic limitations and opposition claims
that he was preparing a new dictatorship made Vargas politically vulnerable. He was soon
swept up in a bizarre scandal involving the attempted assassination of a popular journalist.
During the crisis, intense accusations of Vargas’s complicity in the assassination increas-
ingly wore him down, and he committed suicide on August 24, 1954. Under Vargas’s
democratic successor, Juscelino Kubitschek (1956–1960), the economy improved due to
a post-war boom in manufacturing. Kubitschek was a master of political symbolism and
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376 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
nationalism nationalism, promoting images of a new, bigger Brazil that could create “fifty years of
An ideology seeking to development in five.” This was symbolized by his decision to move the capital from Rio
create a nation-state for a de Janeiro to a planned city called Brasília—a utopian city. The project rallied support for
particular community; a Kubitschek’s developmentalist policies.
group identity associated The presidents who followed Kubitschek proved much less competent. João
with membership is such
Goulart, for instance, began an ill-fated campaign for structural reforms, mainly
a political community.
Nationalists often in education and agriculture. In response to what they perceived as threats to their
proclaim that their state interests, peasant league movements, students, and professional organizations orga-
and nation are superior to nized protests, strikes, and illegal seizures of land. As right-wing organizations bat-
others. tled leftist groups in the streets of the capital, the military ended Brazil’s experiment
with democratic populism in March 1964.
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SECTION 1 The Making of the Modern Brazilian State 377
of liberalization gradually slipped from military hands and was captured by organi-
zations within civil society. In elections in 1974, the opposition party, the MDB,
stunned the military government by increasing its representation in the Senate from
18 to 30 percent, and in the Chamber of Deputies from 22 to 44 percent. Although
the party did not have a majority in congress, it did capture a majority in both cham-
bers of the state legislatures in the most important industrialized southern and south-
eastern states.
In the following years, the opposition made successive electoral gains and ob-
tained concessions from the government. The most important were the reestablish-
ment of direct election for governors in 1982, political amnesty for dissidents, the
elimination of the government’s power to oust legislators from political office, and
the restoration of political rights to those who had previously lost them. In the gu-
bernatorial elections of November 1982, the opposition candidates won landslide
victories in the major states.
The military wanted to maintain as much control over the succession process as
possible and preferred to have the next president selected within a restricted electoral
college. But mass mobilization campaigns demanded the right to elect the next presi-
dent directly. The Diretas Já! (“Direct Elections Now!”) movement, comprising an
array of social movements, opposition politicians, and labor unions, expanded in size
and influence in 1984. Although the movement failed to achieve its goal of making
the founding elections of the new democracy direct, the effort inspired a genera-
tion of movement leaders with gender, racial, religious, and issue-based orientations.
More immediately, the military lost supporters, who backed an alliance (the Liberal
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378 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
Front) with Tancredo Neves, the candidate of the opposition PMDB (Party of the
Brazilian Democratic Movement, the successor to the old MDB). Neves’s victory in
1984, however, was marred by his sudden death on the eve of the inauguration. Vice
President José Sarney became the first civilian president of Brazil since 1964.
The process leading to Sarney’s presidency disappointed those who had hoped
for a clean break with the authoritarian past. Most of the politicians who gained posi-
tions of power in the new democracy hailed from the former ARENA or its mislead-
ingly named successor, the Democratic Social Party (PDS). Most of these soon joined
Sarney’s own PMDB or its alliance partner, the Party of the Liberal Front (PFL).
A political transition that should have produced change led to considerable continuity.
A chance for fundamental change appeared in 1987 when the national Constituent
Assembly met to draft a new constitution. Given the earlier success of the opposition
governors in 1982, state political machines became important players in the game of
constitution writing. The state governments petitioned for the devolution of new au-
thority to tax and spend. Labor groups also exerted influence through their lobbying
organizations. Workers demanded constitutional protection of the right to strike and
the right to create their own unions without authorization from the Ministry of Labor.4
Soon after Sarney’s rise to power, annual rates of inflation began to skyrocket.
The government sponsored several stabilization plans, but without success. Dealing
with runaway inflation and the removal of authoritarian politicians became the key
issues in the 1989 presidential elections, the first direct contests since the 1960s.
Once again, Brazilians would be disappointed. Fernando Collor de Mello,
became president after a grueling campaign against Lula da Silva, the popular
left-wing labor leader and head of the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores,
or PT), who would lead the leftist opposition for another decade before rising to
the presidency himself. Collor’s administration embraced structural reform, such as
privatization of state e nterprises and deregulation of the economy, but it failed to
solve the nagging problem of inflation. Collor was eventually impeached in late 1992
due to his involvement in bribery and influence peddling.
Collor’s impeachment brought Itamar Franco to the presidency. Franco’s most
important decision was naming Fernando Henrique Cardoso, his finance minister.
Cardoso, who was a renowned sociologist before entering politics in the 1970s, rose
to prominence as one of the key leaders within the PMDB and later the Party of
Brazilian Social Democracy (PSDB) during the democratic transition. In July 1994,
Cardoso’s Real Plan finally stopped inflation by creating a new currency, the real that
would be managed closely by the Central Bank (see Section 2).
Cardoso rode the success of the Real Plan to the presidency, beating out Lula
and the PT in 1994 and again in 1998. He proved adept at keeping inflation low and
consolidating some of the structural reforms first started by Collor. But Brazil’s bud-
get and trade deficits increased, and financial crises in Asia and Russia in 1997 and
1998 eventually led to a crisis in the Real Plan. In January 1999, although the value
of the real collapsed, the currency soon stabilized, and hyperinflation did not return.
The Cardoso administration was also able to pass the Law of Fiscal Responsibility in
2000, which limited spending by state and municipal governments and even made
it a crime to submit inaccurate budgets to auditors. It was a violation of this law that
became the basis for Dilma Rousseff’s impeachment in 2016.
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SECTION 1 The Making of the Modern Brazilian State 379
to destabilize the recovery of the real. Meanwhile, Washington’s war on terror threat-
ened to displace social and economic priorities in Brazil’s relations with the United
States. Diplomacy with Washington became particularly bitter over the Bush admin-
istration’s insistence on going to war with Iraq and its heavy-handed approach to
dealing with foreigners.
The election of Lula da Silva as president in October 2002 reflected how far
Brazilian democracy had come. This former industrial worker-turned-party organizer
and opposition agitator, succeeded in capturing the presidency and then launch-
ing an expansion of social welfare and economic promotion policies that produced
high growth with lower levels of inequality and poverty. He did so while embracing
Cardoso’s anti-inflation policies. But like his predecessor, he faced a congress prone
to gridlock. Major social security reforms were watered down in 2004. Worse still,
PT-led municipal governments, once a model of good governance in Latin America,
were accused of procuring kickbacks to fund electoral activities. PT leaders sur-
rounding Lula were implicated in a second scandal (known as the monthly retainer,
or mensalão) involving the purchase of votes in the congress for reform legislation.
However, Lula won reelection in 2006 anyway, and he continued to garner high pres-
idential approval ratings well into his second term. He expanded public expenditures
on infrastructure and industry as part of his Plan for the Acceleration of Growth.
Lula’s successor in 2010 was his chief of staff, Dilma Rousseff. Rousseff became
Brazil’s first woman president. A former militant against the authoritarian regime,
Rousseff was jailed and tortured in 1970 and 1972. After obtaining her degree in
economics, she ventured again into politics during the New Republic but as an
appointee in municipal and state government in Rio Grande do Sul and its capital,
Porto Alegre. She joined the PT late in her career, in 2000, and was plucked from
obscurity by Lula in 2002 to become his Minister of Energy and later his chief of
staff. Having no real experience in elected office, her first experience as an elected
leader was the presidency.
As much as Rousseff’s government sought to build on the successes of Lula, nei-
ther the economy nor political institutions proved so accommodating. Growth slowed
after 2011 due to decreasing commodity prices and China’s own slowdown, plunging
Brazil into a near depression with rising unemployment and high interest rates to keep
inflation at bay. The euphoria of hosting the 2014 World Cup and the 2016 Summer
Olympic Games was squashed by an expanding corruption investigation known as
“Operation Car Wash” (Lava Jato). As part of a routine investigation focused on a
notorious money-launderer and car-wash owner, Alberto Yousseff, federal prosecutors
uncovered a broader ring involving a cartel of construction companies and the state
oil company, Petrobras. Cartel members would overcharge Petrobras for products and
services in return for contracts, while proceeds from the extra payments would be
laundered and distributed to the professional and personal accounts of political parties
and their leaders involved in the graft. Most of these parties were allied to Rousseff’s
government, including the Workers’ Party. Led by the telegenic federal judge, Sérgio
Moro, and Deltan Dallagnol, a lawyer for the Federal Public Ministry, the investiga-
tions have uncovered the involvement of more than half of the sitting members of con-
gress and scores of executives in the largest construction companies. The top executive
of the biggest of these firms, Marcelo Odebrecht of the Odebrecht Company, received
a 19-year sentence in 2016. Along with dozens of other executives and former politi-
cians, Odebrecht continues to offer plea-bargained testimony in return for a reduced
prison term. Such plea bargaining, which was made legal only in 2013, has provided a
treasure trove of evidence sufficient to convict many of the accused politicians before
the Supreme Court, the only venue that can try politicians for such crimes.
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380 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
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SECTION 1 The Making of the Modern Brazilian State 381
carnival, soccer, samba, bossa nova, and a common language. Even though these
symbols have become more prevalent, they have lost some of their meaning because
of commercialization. Catholicism is a less unifying force today, as Pentecostalism and
evangelism have eaten into the church’s membership. Women have improved their
social position and political awareness as gender-based organizations have become
important resources of civil society. Yet even here, Brazil remains extremely patriar-
chal: women are expected to balance motherhood and other traditional roles in the
household, even while economic needs pressure them to produce income.
Race remains the most difficult issue to understand. Racial identity continues
to divide Brazilians, but not in the clear-cut manner it divides blacks and whites in
the United States. Categories are multiple, with nonwhites adopting variations of
racial identities, including white. Afro-Brazilians see themselves in complex ways as
members of different classes, status groups, and mixed races that are neither strictly
white or black.
Class continues to separate Brazilians due to high income inequality. Like India,
Brazil’s social indicators consistently rank near the bottom in the world, although
these indicators are improving. Income disparities mirror racial differences. The poor
are mostly blacks and mulattos while the rich are mostly white.
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382 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
2
SECTION
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SECTION 2 Political Economy and Development 383
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384 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
informal economy Economists estimate that the informal economy could be as large as 20 percent of
That portion of the Brazil’s gross domestic product ($420 billion). It may employ 40 to 60 million people,
economy largely outside and may represent a loss of $70 billion annually in forgone tax revenues.
government control, in The new constitution of 1988 allowed states and municipalities to expand their
which employees work collection of taxes and to receive larger transfers of funds from Brasília. Significant
without contracts or
gaps then emerged in tax collection responsibilities and public spending. Although
benefits and employers
do not comply with the central state spent less than it collected in taxes between 1960 and 1994,
legal regulations or Brazil’s 5,570 municipal governments spent several times more than they collected.
pay taxes. Examples Subnational governments also gained more discretion over spending, since the fed-
of those working in eral government required few earmarks. State governors also used public banks held
the informal economy
by the state governments to finance expenditures, thus expanding their debt.
include casual employees
in restaurants and hotels, The Cardoso administration had the most success in recovering federal tax rev-
street vendors, and day enues and reducing the fiscal distortions of Brazil’s federal structure. The Fiscal
laborers in construction Responsibility Law of 2000 set strict limits on federal, state, and municipal expen-
or agriculture. ditures. A combination of improved tax collection and an expansion of economic
growth during the 2000s kept public debt in check, but debt exploded with the
end of the commodity boom, pressuring the post-impeachment presidency of Michel
Temer to pursue more austere fiscal policies (see Figure 9.2).
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SECTION 2 Political Economy and Development 385
percent, which is slightly worse than the average in developing countries. Low and
even negative growth combined with high interest rates kept inflation in check.
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386 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
to improve their health and the education of their children, Cardoso also targeted
the rural poor. The Family Health Program, for instance, provides community health
workers for areas that have historically been underserved. Some studies have shown that
this program accelerated the decline in infant mortality and improved prenatal care and
family reproductive medicine, including reductions in the rates of HIV/AIDS.8
The Lula administration focused even more on social reform. In the fall of 2003,
the government passed a social security reform that raised the minimum retirement age,
placed stricter limits on benefit ceilings, reduced survivor benefits, and taxed pensions
and benefits. Issues including the taxation of social security benefits for judges and mili-
tary officers and the reduction of survivor benefits for the latter group became stum-
bling blocks in cross-party negotiations. The government made concessions on these
and other issues, but the total annual savings were less than half of the original target.
The most notable social reform is Bolsa Família (the Family Grant Program),
which consolidated three programs started by the Cardoso government. Lula ex-
panded the funding of Bolsa Família, which grants modest monthly sums to families
that keep their children in school and see the doctor for regular vaccinations and
checkups. Since 2003, 11.1 million families or 20 percent of the Brazilian population
(46 million people) have benefited from Bolsa Família, both in terms of improved
household incomes and legal certifications of births, and the program consumes less
than 3 percent of total social spending.9 Poverty rates have fallen as a result and both
incomes and literacy have improved. Low growth, higher unemployment in recent
years, and the Temer government’s embrace of fiscal austerity with proposed deep
cuts to social programs threaten this track record.
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SECTION 2 Political Economy and Development 387
Agrarian Reform
Landownership is highly concentrated in Brazil with only 1 percent of landown-
ers (about 58,000 individuals) holding an amount of land equal to the size of
Venezuela and Colombia combined; that is half of all arable land in Brazil. The
poorest farmers survive on 2 percent of the country’s land, but these number over
3 million people.
The Cardoso administration expropriated some unproductive estates and set-
tled 186,000 families on them. Despite Lula’s earlier rhetoric concerning land re-
form, his administration failed to initiate anything close to a land reform. The issue
was one that energized the presidential campaign in 2010 of a former PT member,
Marina Silva, of the small Green Party, whose 19 percent share of the first-round
vote dramatically suggested that neglected social issues involving land and ecology
still remain salient issues in Brazilian politics. If Silva returns as a major candidate in
2018, these issues may become salient again.
The landless poor have swelled the rings of poverty around Brazil’s major cities.
During the 1950s and 1960s, the growth of industry in the south and southeast
enticed millions to migrate in the hopes of finding new economic opportunities. By
2015, 86 percent of Brazil’s population was living in urban areas. The pressures on
Brazilian cities for basic services and limited housing have overwhelmed local budgets
and led to extensive squatting on public land. In the largest cities, squatters have built
huge shantytowns called favelas that house a majority of the poor, most of whom favelas
work formally and informally in the metropolitan economy.10 A Portuguese-language
Regional disparities in income have remained stark. The nine states of the term for the shantytowns
Northeast have a per capita GDP half of the national average. The Northeast has 28 that ring many of the
percent of the national population but accounts for only 13.8 percent of the GDP. By main cities in Brazil. The
favelas emerge where
contrast, the Southeast has 42.6 percent of the population and 55.2 percent of the
people invade unused
GDP. The agglomeration of industry in the South and Southeast and the persistence land and build domiciles
of poverty in the Northeast have created pressures for land reform or at least poverty- before the authorities can
alleviating policies. remove them. Unfinished
public housing projects
can also become the
sites of favelas. They
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388 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
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SECTION 2 Political Economy and Development 389
GLOBAL CONNECTION
Governing the Economy in a World of States: The Rise of China
and Brazilian Trade
Although no more than 14 percent of Brazil’s GDP is repre- from 0 to 23 percent of imports by nonmembers. As Brazil’s
sented by exports, the roles of trade and foreign economic trade with China and other parts of the world have in-
policy have become more central elements of Brazil’s creased, trade with MERCOSUL partners declined after
development. Soon after China joined the World Trade 2006. This strengthened Lula’s and Rousseff’s efforts to
Organization (WTO) in October 2001, it became Brazil’s diversify trade relations by cultivating more South–South
largest trade partner, surpassing the United States and trade in South Asia, Africa, and East and Southeast Asia.
the European Union. Brazilian exports of soy, oil, and iron Brazil currently supplies 37 percent of all Latin American
ore have proven strategic to China’s economic boom and exports to Asia.
Chinese demand, in turn, helped sustain the longest pe- MERCOSUL remains active, but the signatories have
riod of economic growth in Brazil since the 1970s. Total failed to deepen it into a more effective common mar-
Brazilian exports to China increased from $7.7 billion in ket along the lines of the European Union due, in part, to
2005 to $46.5 billion by 2011 or 18 percent of Brazil’s total Brazil’s greater interest in cultivating ties to Asia. This
exports, though that has leveled down to $35 billion in 2015 strategy has also made Brazil more likely to defend its own
as Chinese growth has slowed and the real has lost value interests in trade disputes before the WTO against hemi-
during the current recession. spheric partners such as the United States.
The expansion of trade with China coincided with a re-
orientation of Brazil’s foreign economic policy. During MAKING CONNECTIONS Does the linkage between
the 1990s, Brazil led its neighbors, Argentina, Paraguay, Brazilian growth and the rise of China empower or limit the
and Uruguay, to create the Common Market of the South capacity of the Brazilian government to control the economy?
(MERCOSUL). Under the Treaty of Asunción (1995), the
partners agreed to reduce tariffs on imports from signa- Source: Alfred P. Montero, Brazil: Reversal of Fortune (Cambridge: Polity
tories and impose a common external tariff (CET) ranging Press, 2014), Chapter 7.
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390 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
Brazilians like to say that the size of their economy gives Brazil the right to exercise its
influence around the world. Do you agree?
3
SECTION
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SECTION 3 Governance and Policy-Making 391
PROFILE
Getúlio Dornelles Vargas
Getúlio Dornelles Vargas Vargas’s position as governor of Rio Grande do Sul cata-
(1883–1954) came from a pulted him into national prominence in 1929. The interna-
wealthy family in the cattle- tional economic crisis forced several regional economic
rich southernmost state of oligarchies to unite in opposition to the coffee and pro-
Rio Grande do Sul. Vargas’s export financial policies of the government and in favor of
youth was marked by politi- efforts to protect their local economies. The states, includ-
cal divisions within his fam- ing the state of São Paulo, divided their support between
ily between federalists and two candidates for the presidency: Julio Prestes, who
republicans, conflicts that was supported by President Luis, and Vargas, head of the
separated Brazilians during opposition. The two states of Minas Gerais and Rio Grande
Getúlio Vargas as presi-
the Old Republic. Political do Sul voted as a bloc for Vargas, but he lost the 1930 elec-
dent in 1952.
violence, which was common tion. Immediately afterward, a coup by military and politi-
Keystone/Getty Images
in the state’s history, also af- cal leaders installed Vargas in power.
fected Vargas’s upbringing. The reforms of Vargas’s corporatist and authoritarian
His two brothers were both New State after 1937 established the revised terms that
accused of killing rivals. After a brief stint in the military, linked Brazilian society to the state. Even today, his politi-
Vargas attended law school in Porto Alegre, where he ex- cal legacy continues in the form of state agencies designed
celled as an orator. to promote economic development and laws protecting
After graduating in 1907, he became a district attorney. workers and raising living standards for families to prevent
Later, he served as majority leader in the state senate. In suffering from poverty and hunger.
1923, Vargas was elected federal deputy for Rio Grande do
Sul, and in 1924, he became leader of his state’s delegation MAKING CONNECTIONS In what ways did the rise of
in the Chamber of Deputies. In 1926, he became finance Vargas respond to the perils of fragmented power in Brazil?
minister. He served for a year before winning the governor-
ship of his home state. Never an ideologue, Vargas prac- Source: Robert M. Levine, Father of the Poor? Vargas and His Era (New York:
ticed a highly pragmatic style of governing that made him Cambridge University Press, 1998).
one of Brazil’s most popular politicians.
The Executive
Although the adoption of a parliamentary regime was briefly considered following the
1987 National Constituent Assembly, Brazil remained a presidential system. Even so,
rules designed to rein in the federal executive found their way into the 1988 constitu-
tion. Partly in reaction to the extreme centralization of executive authority during mili-
tary rule, the delegates restored some powers to congress from before 1964, and they
granted congress new ones, including oversight of economic policy and the right to be
consulted on executive appointments. Executive decrees, which allowed the president to
legislate directly, were replaced by “provisional measures” (also known as “emergency
measures”). Provisional measures authorized the president to legislate for sixty days, at
the end of which congress can pass, reject, or allow the provisional law to expire. But
consistent with the assertion of congressional power, new restrictions on provisional
measures passed both houses of congress in 2001. Especially since Fernando Henrique
Cardoso’s presidency, presidents and the leaders of the largest parties in the congress
have haggled over the details of legislation, with each branch demanding patronage
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392 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
from the other to secure passage. Nevertheless, Brazilian presidents, through their pre-
rogative in initiating annual budgets and employing provisional measures for other
legislation, retain considerable powers to legislate.12
The president is elected for a four-year term with the opportunity to stand for
reelection in a consecutive term and the right to run for a nonconsecutive term af-
terward. The major presidential candidates since the Cardoso presidency have tended
to be prominent government ministers or governors. These elites often capture party
nominations with the help of organizations with which they are already affiliated,
making national conventions nothing less than coronations. Political allies then shift
resources to those candidates whom they calculate are most likely to win and shower
patronage on supporters once in government. Though there are parallels with the
U.S. presidency, Brazilian presidents have different institutional powers (see “The
U.S. Connection: The Presidency”).
U.S. CONNECTION
The Presidency
Along with the U.S. president, the Brazilian president is Similar to the U.S. president, the Brazilian president is the
the only executive directly elected by all voters through- commander-in-chief of the armed forces. In practice, how-
out the country, making him or her the head of government ever, the military branches have retained some prerogatives
and head of state. The Brazilian president has powers over internal promotion, judicial oversight, and development
that exceed those of the U.S. president. Over 85 percent of new weapons systems. Brazilian presidents since Collor
of all bills before congress emerge from the Palácio do have exerted their authority over the military, restricting the
Planalto, the president’s offices in Brasília. The most autonomy of the armed forces in some of these areas.
important bill is the annual budget, which is crafted by the U.S. presidents can be removed from office by Congress
chiefs of the economic bureaucracy and the presidency through the process of impeachment, which requires
and then sent to congress. The Senate and the Chamber the House of Representatives to approve articles of im-
of Deputies may amend legislation, but that is usually peachment by a majority vote and the Senate to convict
done with an eye to what the president will accept. Like the president by a two-thirds majority. The i mpeachment
the U.S. president, the Brazilian president maintains a process in Brazil is similar. First the Chamber of Deputies
pocket veto and, like forty-four U.S. state governors but initiates the process with a two-thirds vote to accept
not the U.S. president, also has a line-item veto. Brazilian the charges of impeachment. Then the Senate tries the
presidents may also impound approved funds, which president, with the chief justice of the Supreme Court
makes legislators mindful of enacting policies in ways not overseeing the procedures. The president must step
favored by the president. Brazilian presidents can issue down for up to 180 days during the trial and, if impeached
executive orders with the force of law, but they expire on a two-thirds vote of the Senate, must do so perma-
if they are not taken up by the congress within 60 days. nently. Collor stepped down before the Senate trial, but
“Provisional measures,” as they are called in Brazil, are Rousseff was convicted in 2016 and removed from office
employed regularly and with little judicial oversight, for a “crime of responsibility” involving a violation of the
though they are often the focus of negotiations with con- Law of Fiscal Responsibility that requires the president
gressional leaders who, since 2001, have more of a say in to submit a balanced budget. Rousseff used loans from
their ratification. public banks to cover shortfalls, violating the spirit of
The president has the power to appoint upward of the law at the very least. Michel Temer then replaced
48,000 civil servants, eight times more than the 6,000 her.
appointed by U.S. presidents. Of these, only ambassa-
dors, high court justices, the solicitor general, and the MAKING CONNECTIONS How is the Brazilian presidency
president of the Central Bank are subject to Senate stronger than the U.S. presidency and in what ways is it
approval. weaker?
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SECTION 3 Governance and Policy-Making 393
Since the beginning of the military governments, the ministry of economy has
had more authority than any other executive agency. These powers grew in response
to the economic problems of the 1980s and 1990s. As a result of their control of the
federal budget and the details of economic policy, recent ministers of the economy
have had levels of authority typical of a prime minister in a parliamentary system.
This power is shared somewhat with the Central Bank, which coordinates monetary
authority and financial regulations with the presidency.
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394 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
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SECTION 3 Governance and Policy-Making 395
corruption investigations that have upended the political establishment. These inves-
tigations brought down the president of the Chamber, Eduardo Cunha, who oversaw
Rousseff’s impeachment. Some of the largest political figures in Brazil, including
Lula and Michel Temer, remain in the crosshairs of prosecutors.
Subnational Government
Like Germany, Mexico, India, and the United States, the Brazilian state has a fed-
eral structure. The country’s twenty-six states are subdivided into 5,564 municipal
governments. The structure of subnational politics in Brazil consists of a governor;
his or her chief advisers, who also usually lead key secretariats such as economy
and planning; and a unicameral legislature often dominated by supporters of the
governor. Governors serve 4-year terms and are limited to two consecutive terms
in office.
By controlling patronage through their powers of appointment and spending,
governors and even some mayors can wield extraordinary influence.14 The 1982 elec-
tions were the first time since the military regime when Brazilians could elect their
governors directly. This lent legitimacy to the governors’ campaign to decentralize
fiscal resources. In recent years, key elements of reforms have been watered down
in order to curry favor with this influential constituency. Political decentralization
further fragmented the Brazilian polity, but it also empowered some subnational
governments to sponsor innovative new policies.15 The 1988 constitution accelerated
this process by giving the states and municipalities a larger share of tax revenues.
During the early to mid-1990s, this process went too far, and it allowed states and
cities to go deeply into debt. The Cardoso administration went the farthest to halt
this unsustainable process of debt-led subnational spending. The federal government
required states and municipalities to finance a larger share of social spending. The
Central Bank took over bankrupt state banks and privatized most of them. The Fiscal
Responsibility Law of 2000 introduced new penalties for profligacy by subnational
governments.
Nevertheless, governors and mayors remain significant actors in policy-making.
These politicians remain party leaders as they are key hubs for distributing patron-
age to lower-ranked politicians. At the same time, these leaders have sometimes
demonstrated the capacity for good government. A study of one state demonstrated
that even the most underdeveloped subnational governments can promote industrial
investment, employment, and social services.16
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396 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
such as the ministries of the armed forces and the nuclear program. Most impor-
tant, the military succeeded in securing amnesty for its human rights abuses com-
mitted during the preceding authoritarian regime. In an effort to professionalize
the armed forces, the Collor government slashed the military budget, thereby
reducing the autonomy that the military enjoyed during the authoritarian period.
Collor also replaced the top generals with officers who had few or no connections
to the authoritarian regime and were committed to civilian leadership. Cardoso
introduced a new security strategy that thoroughly professionalized the armed
forces, leaving them out of civilian processes controlling the defense budget.
In recent years, there has been a militarization of local police forces. The
state police consists of two forces: the civil police force, which acts as an investi-
gative unit, and the uniformed military police force, which maintains order. The
military police do not regulate only military personnel but civilians as well. They
often partake in specialized commando-type operations in urban areas, especially
in the favelas, and they engage in riot control. These forces are only nominally
controlled by state governors; they are, in fact, trained, equipped, and managed
by the armed forces, which also maintain a separate judicial system to try officers
for wrongdoing.
Rising urban crime rates produced a movement to “pacify” and control areas
that had once been ceded de facto to drug gangs. “Pacification units” of specialized
police forces routinely invade and patrol favelas in Rio, São Paulo, Recife, and other
major cities with destitute urban rings. The specter of criminal violence has shocked
Brazilians into voting for politicians who promise better police security. But voters
have learned that police forces themselves are often part of the problem. Despite of-
ficial oversight of police authorities, the military and civil police forces in many cities
of the northeast, São Paulo, and Rio de Janeiro often act abusively. Cases of arbitrary
detention, torture, corruption, and systematic killings by Brazilian police have been
the focus of human rights investigations.17 The police are also targets of violence,
as organized crime syndicates, especially in São Paulo, have become more brazen in
their attacks on police installations.
The federal police force is a small unit of approximately 3,000 people. It
operates like a combined U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation, Secret Service, Drug
Enforcement Agency, and Immigration and Naturalization Service. Despite its lim-
ited size, the federal police force has been at the center of every national investiga-
tion of corruption. Thanks to the federal police and the Public Ministry, the official
federal prosecutor with offices in each of Brazil’s states and the federal district, the
federal government’s capacity for investigation and law enforcement has expanded
considerably.
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SECTION 3 Governance and Policy-Making 397
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398 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
4
SECTION
The Legislature
The national legislature is composed of an upper house, the Senate, with 81 members,
and a lower house, the Chamber of Deputies, with 513 members. Every state and the
federal district elect three senators by simple majority. Senators serve for eight-year
terms and may be reelected without limit. Two-thirds of the Senate is elected at one
time, and the remaining one-third is elected four years later. Senatorial elections are
held at the same time as those for the Chamber of Deputies, all of whose members are
elected on a four-year cycle. Federal deputies may be reelected without limits. Each
state is allowed a minimum of eight and a maximum of seventy deputies, according
to population. This procedure introduces severe malapportionment in the allocation
of seats. Without the ceiling and floor on seats, states with large populations, such as
São Paulo, would have more than seventy deputies, and states in the underpopulated
Amazon, such as Roraima, would have fewer than eight.
The two houses of the legislature have equal authority to make laws, and both
must approve a bill for it to become law. Each chamber can propose or veto legislation
passed by the other. When the two chambers pass bills on a given topic that con-
tain different provisions, the texts go back and forth between houses without going
through a joint conference committee, as in the United States. Once a bill is passed by
both houses in identical form, the president may sign it into law, reject it as a whole,
or accept some parts of it and reject others. The legislature can override a presiden-
tial veto by a majority vote in both houses during a joint session, but such instances
are rare. Constitutional amendments must be passed twice by at least three-fifths of
the votes in each house of congress. Amendments may also be passed by an absolute
majority in a special constituent assembly proposed by the president and created by
both houses of congress. The Senate is empowered to try the president and other top
officials, including the vice president and key ministers and justices, for impeachable
offenses. It also approves the president’s nominees to high offices, including justices of
the high courts, heads of diplomatic missions, and directors of the Central Bank.
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SECTION 4 Representation and Participation 399
Most legislators view their service primarily as a means to enhance their own income,
thanks to generous public pensions and kickbacks earned from dispensing political fa-
vors. Election to the federal legislature is often used as a stepping stone to even more
lucrative, especially executive, posts. After the presidency, the most coveted positions are
the governorships of industrialized states. Most members of congress come from the
middle or upper-middle classes; they have much to gain if they can step into well-paid
posts in the executive and the parastatal enterprises following their congressional service.
A mere 3 percent of seats in congress are held by Afro-Brazilians. Only 9 percent of the
seats in the Chamber and 14 percent of those in the Senate are held by women.
The deficiencies of the Brazilian legislature were highlighted in recent years
by several corruption scandals. Partly due to the fragmentation of the party sys-
tem (see below), the Lula government bought the votes of deputies in smaller par-
ties. Kickback schemes from public contracts are a common way of financing these
forms of political coordination. The Lava Jato investigation unveiled the largest such
scheme in Brazilian history, with indictments and leaks from plea bargaining testi-
mony leading the news each day.
Congress is often criticized for its lack of accountability. One response to legislative
corruption has been to use parliamentary commissions of inquiry to review allegations
of malfeasance by elected officials. Although these temporary committees have demon-
strated some influence, they have rarely produced results. The temporary committees
work alongside sixteen permanent legislative committees that treat issues as diverse as
taxation and human rights. These committees, however, are not nearly as strong as com-
mittees in the U.S. Congress. Legislative committees, both temporary and permanent,
often fail to conclude an investigation or find solutions to persistent dilemmas in policy.
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400 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
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SECTION 4 Representation and Participation 401
Centrist Parties
Populist/Leftist Parties
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402 CHAPTER 9 Brazil
Elections
The Brazilian electorate stands at 142 million with an aver-
age turnout of about 80 percent. These figures make it the
largest and most participatory electorate in Latin America.
Compulsory voting, improved literacy, and efforts by political
parties, especially on the left, to educate citizens on the value
of participation have expanded the electorate impressively.
Yet given the multiplicity of parties, unbalanced appor-
FIGURE 9.5 Share of Seats of the Major tionment of seats among the states, and sheer size of some
Parties in the Senate, as of February 2016 state-sized electoral districts, candidates often have few in-
Source: Data from final TSE numbers. centives to be accountable to their constituencies. In states
with hundreds of candidates running in oversized electoral
districts, the votes obtained by successful candidates are often widely scattered, limit-
ing the accountability of those elected. In less-populated states, there are more seats
and parties per voter; the electoral and party quotients are lower. As a result, candi-
dates often alter their legal place of residence immediately before an election in order
to run from a safer seat, compounding the lack of accountability.
With the abertura, political parties gained the right to broadcast electoral pro-
paganda on radio and television. All radio stations and TV channels are required to
carry, at no charge, two hours of party programming each day during a campaign
season. The parties are entitled to an amount of time on the air proportional to
their number of votes in the previous election. But some candidates gain more access
through private channels and community radio stations that family members may
own.
Despite the shortcomings, Brazilians have voted in larger numbers and have
avoided the kinds of antisystem protests seen in other Latin American countries.
Nevertheless, participation is not enough. Relatively few Brazilians identify with a
political party. (The vast majority of those who do are aligned to the PT). Most
Brazilians have no clear left-right ideology, so there is little to align political repre-
sentatives and voters other than material interests.
Not surprisingly, Brazilians remain disappointed with the results of democracy.
The weakness of political parties, coupled with the persistence of clientelism and
accusations of corruption against even previously squeaky clean parties such as the
PT, have disillusioned average Brazilians and have generated support for occasional
protests that call attention to systemic problems without calling for a change of the
regime itself.
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