16-0
Financial Statement Analysis
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-1
Main groups of financial ratios
Liquidity ratios
Leverage ratios
Efficiency ratios
Profitability ratios
Market value ratios
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
1
16-2
Liquidity Ratios
Current ratio (Rc)
Current Assets
Rc
Current Liabilities
Case of ABT (2006)
Rc = 1.94
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-3
Liquidity Ratios
Quick ratio (Rq)
Current Assets - Inventory
Rq
Current Liabilities
Case of ABT (2006)
Rq = 1.47
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
2
16-4
Liquidity Ratios
Cash ratio (Rq)
Cash Marketable Securities
CR
Current Liabilities
Case of ABT (2006)
CR = 0.11
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-5
Leverage Ratios
Total Debt Ratio
Total Debt
TDR
Total Assets
Case of ABT (2006)
TDR = 0.39
MeanVN: 0.54
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
3
16-6
Leverage Ratios
Long-term Debt Ratio
Long-term Debt
LDR
Total Assets
Case of ABT (2006)
LDR = 0.008
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-7
Leverage Ratios
Long-term Debt/Equity Ratio
Long-term Debt
LD/E R
Equity
Case of ABT (2006)
LD/E R = 0.013
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
4
16-8
Efficiency Ratios
Total Asset Turnover
Sales
TAT
Total Assets
Case of ABT (2006)
TAT = 2.81
MeanVN: 1.77
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-9
Efficiency Ratios
Fixed Asset Turnover
Sales
FAT
Net Fixed Assets
Case of ABT (2006)
FAT = 14.37
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
5
16-10
Efficiency Ratios
Average Collection Period
Accounts Receivable
ACP
Average Sales per day
Case of ABT (2006)
ACP = 40 (days)
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-11
Efficiency Ratios
Inventory Turnover
Cost of Goods Sold
IT
Inventory
Case of ABT (2006)
IT = 12.86
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
6
16-12
Profitability Ratios
Profit Margin
Net Income Interest
PM
Sales
Case of ABT (2006)
PM = 0.09
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-13
Profitability Ratios
Return on Assets (ROA)
Net Income Interest
ROA
Total Assets
Case of ABT (2006)
PM = 0.25
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
7
16-14
Profitability Ratios
Return on Equity (ROE)
Net Income
ROE
Equity
Case of ABT (2006)
PM = 0.35
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-15
Market Value Ratios
Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
Price per share
P/E
Earnings per share
Case of ABT (2006)
P/E = 18
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
8
16-16
Market Value Ratios
Market-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
Price per share
P/B
Book value per share
Case of ABT (2006)
P/B = 6.4
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-17
Ratio Analysis – Case of ABT
Benchmark 2006
2004 2005 2006 AGF SJ1 TS4 Mean
Current Ratio 1,16 1,07 1,94 1,65 3,15 2,07 2,20
Quick Ratio 0,49 0,71 1,47 1,07 0,95 1,58 1,27
Cash Ratio 0,06 0,10 0,11 0,08 0,11 0,03 0,08
Total Debt Ratio 0,70 0,70 0,39 0,36 0,28 0,43 0,36
Long-term Debt Ratio 0,05 0,06 0,01 0,00 0,00 0,09 0,03
Long-term Debt/Equity Ratio 0,16 0,18 0,01 0,00 0,00 0,16 0,04
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
9
16-18
Ratio Analysis – Case of ABT
Benchmark 2006
2004 2005 2006 AGF SJ1 TS4 Mean
Total Asset Turnover 2,38 3,03 2,81 2,54 3,61 1,62 2,65
Fixed Asset Turnover 9,97 13,84 14,37 6,37 27,49 5,92 13,54
Average Collection Period 42,78 47,10 40,10 41,63 18,49 111,37 52,90
Inventory Turnover 5,03 11,49 12,86 10,84 5,44 8,46 9,40
Profit Margin 0,03 0,04 0,09 0,04 0,04 0,04 0,05
Return on Assets (ROA) 0,08 0,12 0,25 0,11 0,14 0,06 0,14
Return on Equity (ROE) 0,20 0,28 0,35 0,16 0,20 0,11 0,20
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-19
Du Pont Analysis
Net Income
ROE =
Equity
Net Income Total Assets Sales Net Income + Interest
ROE = x x x
Equity Total Assets Sales Net Income + Interest
Asset Profit
Leverage Turnover Margin
Total Assets Sales Net Income + Interest Net Income
ROE = x x x
Equity Total Assets Sales Net Income + Interest
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
10
16-20
Du Pont Analysis – Case of ABT
Year 2004 2005 2006 Benchmark 2006
Return on Equity (ROE) 0,20 0,28 0,35
1/ Total Assets / Equity (Leverage ) 3,34 3,30 1,63 1,58
2/ Sales / Total Assets (Asset Turnover ) 2,38 3,03 2,81 2,65
3/ (Net Income + Interest)/ Sales (Profit Margin ) 0,03 0,04 0,09 0,05
4/ Net Income / (Net Income + Interest) 0,74 0,69 0,87 0,94
5/ (1)*(4) 2,46 2,29 1,42 1,49
P/E 16,41 17,34
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-21
Analysis of Price-Earning Ratio (P/E)
No growth assumption
Stock A Stock B
EPS 5$ 5$
Payout ratio 100 % 100 %
r 12.5 % 12.5 %
Number of outstanding shares 3M 3M
D1 5
PA PB 40 ($)
r 0.125
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
11
16-22
Analysis of Price-Earning Ratio (P/E)
Growth assumption
Firm A engages in projects generating ROE of 15%
Plowback ratio: 60%; Payout ratio: 40% (D0 = 2 $ per share)
Added earnings: 1.35 M (growth rate: 9%)
D0 1 g 2 1.09
PA 62.29 ($)
rg 0.125 0.09
Present value of growth opportunities = 62.29 – 40 = 22.29 ($)
E P 1 PVGO
P0 PVGO 0 1
r E r E/r
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
16-23
Analysis of Market-to-Book Ratio
(P/B)
D E d E0 1 g d
P 1 1
0
rg rg rg
E0
B0 1 g d
B0 ROE B0 1 g d
rg rg
P0 ROE 1 g d
B0 rg
Financial Statement Analysis Associate Prof. Nguyen Viet Dzung, PhD
12