Ricci 2015
Ricci 2015
PII: S1547-5271(15)00815-2
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.hrthm.2015.06.041
Reference: HRTHM6340
Cite this article as: Renato P Ricci M.D., Giovanni Luca Botto M.D., Juan M Bénézet M.
D., Jens Cosedis Nielsen M.D., Luc De Roy M.D., Olivier Piot M.D., Aurelio Quesada
M.D., Raffaele Quaglione M.D., Diego Vaccari M.D., Lorenza Mangoni M.S., Andrea
Grammatico Ph.D., Milan Kozák M.D., on behalf of the PreFER MVP Investigators,
Association between Ventricular Pacing and Persistent Atrial Fibrillation In Patients
Indicated to Elective Pacemaker Replacement: Results of the Prefer for Elective
Replacement Mvp (Prefer Mvp) Randomized Study, Heart Rhythm, http://dx.doi.org/
10.1016/j.hrthm.2015.06.041
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Association between ventricular pacing and persistent atrial fibrillation in patients
1 San Filippo Neri Hospital, Rome, Italy; 2 S. Anna Hospital, Como, Italy; 3 Hospital General
de Ciudad Real, Ciudad Real, Spain; 4 Aarhus University Hospital, Skejby, Aarhus N, Denmark;
Montebelluna, Italy; 10 Medtronic EMEA Regional Clinical Centre, Rome, Italy; 11 Fakultni
Short title: Ricci - Atrial fibrillation and ventricular pacing after cardiac device replacement
Conflict of interest: Renato Ricci received modest consultant honoraria from Biotronik and
Dr Renato Pietro Ricci, Department of Cardiology San Filippo Neri Hospital, Via Martinotti, 20
Abstract
Background. Pacing in the right ventricle can cause a variety of detrimental effects, including
1
atrial tachyarrhythmias (AT/AF).
Objective. To evaluate incidence and predictors of persistent AT/AF in patients with long term
Methods. In a multi-center international trial, 605 patients (75±11 years, 240 females), referred
high percentage (>40%) ventricular pacing, were randomly allocated to standard dual-chamber
pacing or Managed Ventricular Pacing (MVP), a pacing modality which minimizes ventricular
pacing. Main end point of this secondary analysis of the PreFER MVP randomized study was
persistent AT/AF, defined as ≥7 consecutive days with AT/AF or AT/AF interrupted by atrial
Results. Persistent AT/AF was observed in 71 patients (11.7%) after 2 years of follow-up. At
multivariable Cox regression analysis, prior AT/AF (hazard ratio (HR)=2.85, 95% confidence
intervals (CI)=1.20-6.22, p=0.017) and ventricular pacing percentage, estimated in the first 3
persistent AT/AF. MVP was associated with persistent AT/AF risk (HR=3.41, CI=1.10-10.6,
p=0.024) in the subgroup of patients with a baseline long PR interval (PR>230 ms), but not in
Conclusion. In pacemaker and ICD replacement patients, high percentage of ventricular pacing
is associated with higher risk of persistent AT/AF. The use of algorithms which minimize right
ventricular pacing may benefit patients with normal spontaneous AV conduction but should be
Keywords: Cardiac pacing; Managed Ventricular Pacing; Randomized controlled trial; Atrial fibrillation; PR interval.
Abbreviations
AF=atrial fibrillation
2
AAI=single-chamber atrial pacing mode
AT/AF=atrial tachyarrhythmia
HF=heart failure
IQR=interquartile range
SD=standard deviation
Introduction
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a frequent condition in patients with implantable cardiac devices, being
present in about one fourth of patients at first device implant and in up to half of patients during
follow-up (1-2). AF has been associated with increased mortality and morbidity and with
The best pacing modality to reduce AF incidence is still being debated (4-10). A number of
clinical studies (4-9) have shown that, in patients with intact AV conduction, unnecessary
chronic right-ventricular pacing can cause a variety of detrimental effects, including AF and
congestive heart failure (HF). These effects are believed to result from the mechanical
3
dyssynchrony and ventricular chamber dysfunction that occurs with chronic, single-site, apical
ventricular stimulation.
Managed Ventricular Pacing (MVP), has been designed to give preference to intrinsic ventricular
dual-chamber pacing mode that provides functional single-chamber atrial (AAI) pacing with
ventricular monitoring and automatic switch from AAI to dual-chamber (DDD) pacing during
episodes of AV block.
The PreFER MVP study (13) was designed to compare standard DDD pacing with MVP in
patients with pacemaker or implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) who needed device
replacement. This population is of particular interest because of its long pacing history and
because it represents an important portion of the total implants, ranging from 13% to 21%. (14)
The results of PreFER MVP study in terms of primary end point, showed no significant
difference in cardiovascular hospitalizations between the two study groups (15). Aim of this
predefined secondary analysis of PreFER MVP study was to evaluate the incidence of persistent
Methods
The design of the PreFER MVP study has been previously described (13, 15). In brief, the study
A total of 630 patients, planned to have their dual-chamber pacemaker or ICD replaced, were
enrolled in 76 centers in Europe, Canada, Australia, Israel, Kuwait, Hong Kong and South
Korea. Enrollment took place between February 21, 2006, and August 19, 2009.
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The trial was conducted in accordance with the Helsinki Declaration. The Institution Review
Board or Medical Ethic Committee approved the study protocol and all patients provided their
informed consent.
Inclusion criteria required that patients had been implanted with a dual-chamber device for a
minimum duration of 2 years, received more than 40% ventricular pacing as detected by the
device over a period of >4 weeks before replacement and that there was no clinical need to
Exclusion criteria are detailed elsewhere (see ref 13) and included cardiac resynchronization
therapy indication, permanent AF, permanent 3rd degree AV Block, age less than 18 years, and
Randomization was provided by an electronic database and was stratified by left ventricular
Clinical information was retrieved at baseline and at scheduled follow-up visits at 1 month, 12
months and 24 months. After the 2 years follow-up visit, patients remained in the study and
clinical and device data were collected until the last enrolled subject reached 24 months of
follow-up.
Daily total AT/AF duration as detected by the device was retrieved from device memory.
The main objective of this secondary analysis was to identify predictors of persistent AT/AF
among baseline patient characteristics and pacing modalities. The primary end point was
persistent AT/AF, defined as either longer than 7 consecutive days with device diagnostics
5
showing 20 or more hours in AT/AF or AT/AF interrupted by atrial cardioversion or AT/AF
present at 2 consecutive follow-up visits. This analysis was pre-specified in the study protocol
We also measured other AT/AF-related end points such as the first occurrence of at least 5
minutes, 1 hour and 6 hours of AT/AF, and permanent AT/AF defined as one of the following: 7
consecutive days with device diagnostics showing AT/AF for ≥20 hours and either failed
Device Programming
Once a patient was randomized, the following programming requirements were defined: patients
in the DDD arm should be programmed as in the exchanged device, without a change in sensed
and paced AV intervals, and no features switched on which had not been available or switched
on in the previous device, while patients in the MVP arm should be programmed in
AAI(R)<=>DDD(R) pacing mode, with Sensed AV interval, Paced AV interval and Rate
adaptive AV left to physician discretion. Mode switch and AT/AF detection were required to be
Medical Treatment
Medical treatment was left to physician discretion and investigators were requested to treat HF
patients with the optimal medical therapy available as described in the ESC Guidelines for the
Statistical analysis
Descriptive statistics were reported as mean and standard deviation for normally distributed
continuous variables, or median with 25th-75th percentile interquartile range (IQR) in the case of
skewed distribution. The incidence of end points at 2 years follow-up was estimated by the
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Kaplan–Meier method and compared with the log-rank test. Cox regression was used to calculate
hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Univariable and multivariable Cox
regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for persistent AT/AF occurrence. Two Cox
regression models were estimated, one using the median PR interval and one using the upper
quartile PR interval value. Beside baseline patient’s characteristics, also ventricular pacing
percentage, as retrieved from device memory, was tested as a predictor of persistent AT/AF. We
chose to use ventricular pacing percentage as estimated in the first 3 months of each patient
observation period, in order to characterize the patient with a variable measured in a follow-up
period as near as possible to baseline evaluation. Patients were deemed to have high ventricular
pacing percentage if their ventricular pacing percentage was equal or higher than 10% and were
compared with patients with ventricular pacing percentage lower than 10%.
The main analysis considered all occurrences of persistent AT/AF. A sensitivity analysis was
also performed excluding persistent AT/AF events which occurred in the first 3 months, to
account for the fact that baseline ventricular pacing was estimated in the first 3 follow-up months
after implant.
The 2 year incidence of persistent AT/AF was estimated also in patients sub-groups selected as a
Statistical tests were two-tailed, and p<0.05 was considered significant. The analysis adhered to
the intent-to-treat principle. All the statistical analyses were performed using SAS 9.3.
Results
All 605 patients randomized in the PreFER MVP study were included in the analysis. Baseline
patient characteristics are described in table I. In total, 186 (30.7%) patients had a known history
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Mean follow-up was 2.2 ± 1.0 years.
Clinically defined persistent AT/AF was observed in 71 patients (actuarial incidence: 13.2%,
significantly associated with prior AF, coronary artery disease, cardiomyopathy, use of
antiarrhythmic drugs, LVEF, ventricular pacing percentage and PR interval, but not with the
randomization group, as shown in table II. In particular, the risk of developing persistent AT/AF
for the whole study population increased by a factor 4.09 (HR=4.09, CI=2.11-7.94, p<0.001) in
patients with ventricular pacing percentage higher than 10%. These patients represent two third
of the whole patient population as shown in the ventricular pacing percentage distribution (figure
1). Median ventricular pacing percentage was 53.4% (lower-upper quartile 2.7%-96.0%) in the
whole population, 88.0% (lower-upper quartile 44.5%-98.4%) in the DDD arm and 5.1% (lower-
upper quartile 0.5%-64.2%) in the MVP arm. The association between persistent AT/AF and
baseline PR interval was found for PR intervals longer or equal to 230 ms, corresponding to the
upper quartile PR value in the studied population (HR =1.84, CI=1.00-3.37, p=0.049) while it
was not significant (HR =1.35, CI=0.71-2.56, p=0.355) for PR≥210 ms, corresponding to the
Figure 2 shows time to first persistent AT/AF for the entire population in patients with
ventricular pacing percentage ≤10% (continuous line) and >10% (dotted line).
Figure 3 shows time to first persistent AT/AF in patients with PR interval < 230 ms (continuous
Multivariable Cox regression analysis (table II) demonstrated that only a history of prior AT/AF
(HR =2.85, CI=1.20-6.22, p=0.017) and high ventricular pacing percentage (HR =3.24, CI=1.13-
8
9.31, p=0.029) were independent predictors for persistent AT/AF. No qualitative differences
In the first 2 years post randomization 44.3% of the patients experienced 1 or more days with at
least 5 minutes of device-detected AT/AF, 35.7% with at least 1 hour of AT/AF, 18.8% with at
least 6 hours of AT/AF, while 7.9% of the patients had AT/AF longer than 7 days and 3.5% of
The randomization arm was not associated with statistically significant differences for any of the
described AT/AF conditions when evaluating the whole study population. In the subgroup of
patients with long PR interval (PR≥230 ms) MVP was related to a higher incidence of persistent
AT/AF when compared with DDD pacing (HR 3.41, CI=1.10-10.6, p=0.024). In the subgroup of
patients with shorter PR interval (PR<230 ms), patients randomized to MVP mode and having a
ventricular pacing percentage lower than the median pacing percentage were associated with
lower incidence of persistent AT/AF either when compared with patients randomized to DDD
pacing and having a ventricular pacing percentage lower than the median pacing percentage (HR
0.25, CI=0.067-0.900, p=0.034) or when compared with patients randomized to MVP pacing
and having a ventricular pacing percentage higher than the median pacing percentage.
In patients randomized to the MVP arm, the median (IQR) ventricular pacing percentage
was 50.5 % (10.9%-97.2%) in patients who developed persistent AT/AF and 2.7% (0.4%-
Main results
The main result of this secondary analysis of PreFER MVP study was that in patients referred for
replacement of an implanted pacemaker or ICD, prior AT/AF and high ventricular pacing
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percentage were independent predictors of persistent AT/AF during the follow-up. In patients
with long PR intervals (PR≥230 ms) MVP mode was associated with higher risk of persistent
AT/AF compared with DDD mode. In patients with shorter PR intervals (PR<230 ms) MVP
mode was associated with lower risk of persistent AT/AF compared with DDD mode, in patients
Our data confirm previous findings about the high prevalence of AT/AF in pacemaker and
defibrillator patients [1-3]. A history of AT/AF was present in 37.8% of patients at baseline and
these arrhythmias were documented in the device memories in 44.3% of patients during the 2-
year observation period; in real clinical practice AT/AF prevalence has to be estimated even
higher when including permanent AT/AF which was an exclusion criterion in our study.
In our patient population the development of persistent AT/AF was significantly associated with
high ventricular pacing percentage (table II and figure 2). This finding confirms results of
previous studies (4-7, 9). Some small clinical studies (4-6) and the post-hoc analyses of the
MOST trial (7) suggested the association between the risk to develop AT/AF and high
ventricular pacing percentage. The SAVEPACe trial (9), in 1065 patients with sinus-node
disease, intact atrioventricular conduction, and normal QRS interval, compared conventional
dual-chamber pacing with dual-chamber minimal ventricular pacing using pacemaker features
The results showed that the incidence of persistent AT/AF was significantly reduced by 40%
(p=0.009) in the group of patients assigned to minimal ventricular pacing compared with the
DDD arm, in which the mean right ventricular pacing was 99%.
10
In our study, persistent AT/AF was not reduced in the MVP arm of the PreFER MVP trial,
despite the fact that the MVP mode significantly reduced ventricular pacing percentage
compared with DDD mode. This represents an intriguing issue, for which we propose the
following possible explanations. First, PreFER MVP (15), by study design, selected a population
of patients who were paced more than 40% of time by previous pacemaker or ICD and who
survived their first implant without developing permanent AF and were therefore more
predisposed to tolerate long term ventricular pacing. Secondly, risk for persistent AT/AF
strongly increased for ventricular pacing percentage higher than 10%, and in the MVP arm of the
study, in spite of a median value of 5.1%, a proportion of patients continued to be highly paced
in the ventricle (upper quartile was 64.2%). Interestingly, in patients randomized to the MVP
arm, the median ventricular pacing percentage was 50.5 % in patients who developed persistent
AT/AF and 2.7% in patients who did not develop persistent AT/AF. Finally, persistent AT/AF
was significantly associated with long PR (PR≥230 ms) and this finding may have overwhelmed
the benefits of ventricular pacing reduction in MVP patients. As a matter of fact, in the
DANPACE trial (10, 17), which randomly assigned 1415 sick sinus syndrome patients referred
for first pacemaker implantation to AAIR (707) or DDDR (708) pacing, followed for a mean of 5
years, an excess of AF was observed in patients paced with single lead atrial pacing as compared
with those paced in DDD mode, in particular in patients with prolonged intrinsic PR interval.
Clinical implications
As reported by Botto et al. (15), the PreFER MVP study aimed to compare MVP and DDD
pacing modes in patients indicated to elective pacemaker or ICD replacement with high prior
ventricular pacing percentage. The main analysis showed that in these patients, with clinically
well tolerated long term exposure to more than 40% pacing in the ventricle, a strategy to
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minimize ventricular pacing is not superior in reducing incidence of cardiovascular
Findings of the present analysis showing the association between ventricular pacing percentage
greater than 10% and persistent AT/AF confirms the favorable role of pacing modalities to
conduction. Reducing ventricular pacing below 10% may require dedicated algorithms and may
be difficult to obtain by simply programming long AV interval. Indeed, subgroup analyses in our
study showed that patients with long baseline PR interval (PR≥230 ms) had a higher incidence of
persistent AT/AF if programmed in MVP compared with DDD pacing. We hypothesize that
enabling very long intrinsic atrioventricular conduction times, as in the MVP arm, may cause
AT/AF in patients with long PR intervals who were used to being chronically paced in the
ventricle for a long time. As reported earlier (17-18), a long PR interval could be responsible for
a higher incidence of AF, either in patients with or without history of AF. The actual reason of
this association remains still hypothetical. Conversely, patients with shorter PR interval (PR<230
ms) randomized to MVP mode and having a ventricular pacing percentage lower than 5.1%
(median pacing percentage in MVP mode) showed lower persistent AT/AF either compared with
patients in DDD mode and low ventricular pacing percentage or patients in MVP mode and high
ventricular pacing percentage. These data suggest that MVP is an effective pacing mode in
patients with normal or only slightly prolonged PR interval, while pacing at a relatively short AV
When comparing MVP and DDD pacing, clinical benefit may derive from the balance of two
conflicting factors, AV synchrony and ventricular pacing percentage. Although DDD pacing
guarantees AV synchrony, unnecessary pacing in the right ventricle may cause ventricular
remodeling due to the consequent change in electrical activation and contraction pattern of the
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ventricles. Conversely, MVP preserves a normal ventricular contraction pattern, which is
In patients undergoing pacemaker or ICD replacement with high percentage ventricular pacing
history, the choice of the best pacing mode should be guided by careful evaluation of several
clinical factors, including ventricular pacing percentage in the previous device and spontaneous
PR interval. Our data suggest that programming the MVP mode is of major importance in
reducing the percentage of ventricular pacing and hence the incidence of AF. Only in patients
with a prolonged PR interval (≥ 230 ms) a DDD mode, with pacing at a relatively short AV
Study limitations
We report results of secondary analyses of the PreFER MVP study. The statistical methods of the
analyses on the main endpoint, persistent AT/AF, were pre-specified in the study protocol and in
the statistical analysis plan, with the only exemption of the ventricular pacing percentage cut-off
used to evaluate the association of this variable with persistent AT/AF. In particular, the cut-off
(10%) used to divide the patient population between patients with low vs. high ventricular pacing
percentage was chosen since it was the distribution tertile and possibly a good candidate to
differentiate pacing modes devoted to minimize ventricular pacing from standard DDD pacing
based on the observation of the skewed distribution of ventricular pacing percentage as measured
The primary end point, persistent AT/AF, consists of three components, new-onset persistent
AT/AF in patients without previous history of AT/AF, persistent AT/AF in patients with history
of paroxysmal AT/AF, and recurrence of persistent AT/AF in patients with history of persistent
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AT/AF. We cannot exclude that different mechanisms are responsible for the development of
The use of antiarrhythmic drugs could have interfered with arrhythmia occurrence.
The results of our analyses should be regarded as characteristics of the studied population of
pacemaker and ICD replacement patients, with clinically well tolerated long term exposure to
more than 40% pacing in the ventricle. In particular the results refer to conventional right atrial
appendage pacing. We can not exclude that different results might have been observed in case of
Conclusions
In pacemaker and ICD replacement patients, high percentage of ventricular pacing is associated
with higher risk of persistent AT/AF. The use of algorithms which minimize unnecessary right
ventricular pacing may benefit patients with normal spontaneous AV conduction but should be
Funding
The PreFER MVP study was supported and sponsored by Medtronic Bakken Research Center.
Acknowledgements
The authors thank Bart Gerritse and Lidwien Vainer for contributing to and reviewing scientific
Disclosures
Renato Ricci has received consultant honoraries from Biotronik and Medtronic, and speaker fees from
Biotronik. Giovanni Luca Botto has received research grants from Boston Scientific, St. Jude Medical,
Bayer Healthcare, Gilead, Sanofi, Medtronic, consultant honoraries from Biotronik, Boston Scientific,
St. Jude Medical, MSD, Bayer Healthcare, Sanofi, Medtronic, and speaker fees from Boston
14
Scientific, St. Jude Medical, Bayer Healthcare, Boheringer, Sanofi, Sorin, Pfizer, MSD and
Medtronic. Juan M Bénézet has received consultant honoraries and speaker fees from Medtronic. Jens
Cosedis Nielsen has received speaker fees from Biotronik and Biosense Webster, consultant
honoraries from Boston Scientific, and research grants for the MANTRA-PAF trial from Biosense
Webster. Luc De Roy received research and/or fellowship funds or consultant fees from Medtronic,
St Jude, Boston, Sorin and Biotronic. Olivier Piot has received consultant honoraries from St Jude
Medical, Sorin, Biotronik and Medtronic. Aurelio Quesada has received research grants from Sorin
and Medtronic. Diego Vaccari has received research grants from St. Jude Medical, and speaker fees
from Biotronik. Milan Kozak received consultant honoraries from Boston Scientific, Medtronic and
Biotronik. Lorenza Mangoni and Andrea Grammatico are employee of the Medtronic EMEA
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Clinical perspectives
This secondary analysis of the PreFER MVP clinical trial provides new evidence about the
18
ventricular pacing is associated with higher risk of developing persistent AT/AF. Our data
suggest that the use of algorithms minimizing unnecessary right ventricular pacing is
evaluated with caution in patients with long PR interval. These finding have clinical
importance because patients undergoing pacemaker or ICD replacement who have a high
percentage ventricular pacing history, represent a relevant portion of total implants. So far no
data have been published about the choice of the best pacing mode in this specific
patientpopulation.
19
Table I: Baseline patients characteristics
20
Table II Cox regression model for predictors of persistent AT/AF
Univariate Multivariate
Randomization
1.35 0.88-2.05 0.167 2.43 0.95-6.22 0.063
[MVP ON / MVP OFF]
Ventricular pacing
percentage
4.09 2.11-7.94 <0.001 3.24 1.13-9.31 0.029
(estimated in the first 3
months – cut off ≥10%)
Figure legend
21
Figure 2 Time to first persistent AT/AF in patients with ventricular pacing percentage ≤ 10%
(continuous line) and > 10% (dotted line) in the whole population, for the subgroup
Figure 3 Time to first persistent AT/AF in patients with PR interval < 230 ms (continuous
line) and ≥ 230 ms (dotted line) in the whole population, for the subgroup of 353
22
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3