CHAPTER 4
THE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
                                                           Chapter Outline
A. Market Characteristics
   1. Population
   2. Infrastructure
B. Impact of the Economic Environment on Social Development
C. Regional Economic Integration
   1. Levels of Economic Integration
   2. Other Economic Alliances
   3. Economic Integration and the International Marketer
D. Emerging Markets
   1. Adjust Entry Strategy
   2. Manage Affordability
   3. Invest in Distribution
E. Developing Markets
   1. Research
   2. Creating Buying Power
   3. Tailoring Local Solutions
   4. Improving Access
   5. Shaping Aspirations
                                                        Chapter Objectives
      This chapter introduces the most basic variables that international marketers use in screening
      foreign markets for both short-term and long-term opportunity. These are economic
      variables relating to the individual market's characteristics: (1) population, (2) income, (3)
      consumption patterns, (4) infrastructure, (5) geography, and (6) attitudes towards foreign
      involvement in the economy. Apart from the major variable groups discussed above; a
      number of others exist, as even the most casual perusal of any statistical handbook will
      reveal. They form the basis for the analysis on two critical questions for the international
      marketer: (1) what is the (potential) size of the market, and (2) what are the unique
      characteristics of each of the markets and how might they be similar. These variables are
      easily accessible from secondary databases provided by both individual countries, such as the
      Statistical Abstracts, as well as larger entities such as World Bank and the United Nations.
      Data are available on past developments as well as on projections of broader categories such
      as population and income. Since the volume of these data is overwhelming, the international
      marketer has to decide which groups of variables to use in order to facilitate decision-
      making. It is also important to realize that they usually have to be used in conjunction with
      other data which allow their proper interpretation. The chapter focuses on economic
      integration highlighting the challenges faced by international marketers as well as possible
      reactions to these challenges. While the focus is on the European Union (EU) and on
      (NAFTA), discussions on other integrative efforts are also included. Furthermore, the
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      implications of the "triad" consisting of the Americas, Asia, and Europe forming the major
      three trading blocs are presented. Since the 1997 Asian currency crisis, similar situations
      have emerged in Argentina, Brazil, and Russia. Marketer adjustments to the challenge of
      lower consumer buying power are highlighted.
                                                      Suggestions for Teaching
      Of the environmental issues, economic dimensions form the most concrete ones along which
      individual markets can be analyzed and compared. The chapter by necessity features a
      considerable amount of numbers which may make for what the student considers boring
      reading. One of the best approaches to this dilemma is assign exercises for this section in
      class. This can take several formats: (1) updating the tables presented in the case and
      discussing the significance of the changes that may have emerged, (2) developing
      country/product specific exercises of the kind featured in discussion questions 1 and 3, or (3)
      assigning one specific market (and product) for class discussion and assigning different
      groups to collect different economic data pertinent to the issue. Especially with this chapter's
      material it is very important indeed to get the students involved and let them see for
      themselves what data are available and what they can do with them.
      Students can be asked to provide innovative suggestions for marketing a particular product in
      developing countries which vary in terms of population, income, consumption patterns and
      infrastructural developments. The intent of this exercise is to reiterate the various aspects that
      an international marketer must consider to take advantage of and thrive in developing
      markets. Also, differences in the degree of urbanization of target markets in lesser-developed
      countries influence international marketers’ product strategies.
      Rather than trying to accomplish too much in one session, it is worthwhile to concentrate on
      one data set; e.g., exhibit 4.6, which shows the percentage of households owning selected
      appliances. Critical issues to the international marketer are that the data may not be available
      for each and every market considered, as well as the fact that the data may not be current.
      For the students who are getting their education in a developed, industrialized country the
      availability of, and access to, data may seem evident. As a matter of fact, marketing
      educators very often get the answer of "let's collect the data" for a number of their questions.
      The fact may well be that not all the desired data even exist; some countries have not had a
      census for twenty or thirty years!
      Another rude awakening that has to be delivered at this stage is that terminology used in a
      particular country may very from those used elsewhere. The text refers to the example of an
      urban area; other definitional differences are usually discussed in statistical resource books;
      e.g., "household" for most Northern Americans means the parents and their children.
      In most of the world the concept refers to an extended family. Similarly, age does not
      necessarily correlate with similar product usage patterns worldwide. An excellent (however,
      quite involved) case that makes this point is the "Choufont Salva" case (available from the
      ICCH) in which the target market in terms of age categories has to determined for the
      marketing of oral contraceptives in the Philippines. Most students assign age groups that
      might be consumers in their own market without consideration of unique market factors.
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      Data abound on economic integration, especially on the EU and its development and
      expansion as well as the NAFTA process. It is a worthwhile exercise to show one of the
      available videos (for example, "The Single Market") on economic integration in Europe and
      follow that with a discussion of how international marketers, especially those outside of the
      EU, are adjusting to the development. Given the current discussion of economic integration
      in the Western Hemisphere, the instructor can discuss NAFTA specifically in terms of the
      arguments for and against it as well as how companies are adjusting to it. The video case on
      NAFTA is highly applicable at this stage of the class to debate topics beyond traditional
      marketing; e.g., the need for social marketing.
      The instructor may also want to selectively introduce students to some of the data sources
      available for the international marketer (which are discussed in detail in Chapter 8).
                                                                Key Terms
Group of Five: Five industrialized nations regarded as economic superpowers: The United
States, Britain, Germany, France, and Japan.
Group of Seven: Seven industrialized nations regarded as economic superpowers: The
United States, Britain, France, Germany, Japan, Italy, and Canada.
Group of Ten: Ten industrialized nations regarded as economic superpowers: The
United States, Britain, France, Germany, Japan, Italy, Canada, the Netherlands, Belgium,
and Sweden.
Household: All the persons, both related and unrelated, who occupy a housing unit.
Urbanization: The concept has different meanings depending on where one operates;
descriptions of urbanization range from a densely-populated city’s built-up areas to small towns
with proclaimed legal limits.
Purchasing Power Parities (PPP): A measure of how many units of currency are needed in
one country to buy the amount of goods and services that one unit of currency will buy in
another country.
Inflation: The increase in consumer prices compared with a previous period; it affects the
ability of both industrial customers and consumers to buy and also introduces uncertainty
into both the marketer’s planning process and consumers’ buying habits.
Physical Quality of Life Index (PQLI): A composite measure of the level of welfare in a
country, including life expectancy, infant mortality, and adult literacy rates.
Free trade area: The least restrictive and loosest for of economic integration among nations;
here all barriers to trade among member countries are removed; goods and services are freely
traded .
Customs union: A group of nations committed to removing all barriers to the free flow of
goods and services between each other; it also establishes a common trade policy with respect to
nonmembers..
Common market: Goods and services, including labor, capital, and technology, are freely
exchanged among member countries; restrictions are removed on immigration and
cross-border investment; member countries adopt common trade policies with nonmembers.
Factor mobility: The loosening of restrictions on the trade of capital, labor, and technology
among nations.
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Single European Act: Ratified in 1987 by twelve European countries to allow free exchange
of goods, services, capital, and people among countries.
Economic union: Integration of economic policies among member countries; harmonization of
monetary policies, taxation, and government spending.
Political union: Unification of policies among member nations and establishment of
common institutions.
European Union: Effective January 1, 1994; formed by the ratification of the Maastricht
Treaty; set the foundation for economic and monetary union among member countries and
the establishment of the euro (€), a common currency.
Fortress Europe: Term expressing the fear that unified European nations will raise barriers
to trade with other nations, including setting rules about domestic content restricting imports.
Maquiladoras: Mexican plants that make goods and parts or process food for export to the
United States.
Import substitution: A policy that requires a nation to produce goods that were formerly
imported.
Microfinance: A program which allows consumers without collateral property to avail loans
averaging $100 to make purchases and utilize retail banking services..
                                                   Questions for Discussion
1. Place the markets in the framework that follows:
      Income level: Low, Middle, High
      Trade structure: Industrial, Developing (semi-industrial, oil-exporting, primary producing,
      populous S. Asia, least developed)
    GNP p/c                          Income         Trade structure
1. Indonesia                             909        middle to low oil-exporting, populous
2. Mozambique                             86        low income least developed
3. India                                 328        low income semi-industrial
4. Bangladesh                            219        low income populous S. Asia
5. Niger                                 156        low income least developed
6.Brazil      3,730                     middle-income industrial
7. Turkey                              2,144        middle income semi-industrial
8. Spain                              12,335        middle to high industrial
9. Singapore                          23,259        middle to high semi-industrial
10. Nigeria                              434        middle income oil-exporting
11. Algeria                            1,478        middle income oil-exporting
12. Zambia                               346        low income primary producing
13. Peru                               2,164        middle income semi-industrial
14. Jamaica                            1,576        middle income primary producing
15. Poland                             2,405        middle to high industrial
16. U.K.                             17,572         high income industrial
17. Iraq                                 841        middle income oil-exporting, embargoed
18. S. Arabia                         6,886         high income oil exporting
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2. Using available data, assess the market potential for a) power generators and b) consumer
   appliances in (1) the Philippines, (2) Jordan, (3) Portugal.
      As per the country level data available in NationMaster
      (http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/eco_hou_fin_con_exp_etc_cur_us-consumption-
      expenditure-etc-current-us&date=2005), final consumption expenditure on household
      durables for the fiscal 2005, in terms of U.S. $ was the highest in Portugal ($120 billion),
      followed by Philippines ($79 billion), and Jordan ($13 billion). This is indicative of the fact
      that Portugal had the largest market potential for consumer appliances, while Jordan had the
      lowest for the same. Marketers can also study the overall market size for the product with
      reference to population and per capita income.
      Gross electricity production in kWh, for the fiscal 2005, was maximum in Philippines, thus,
      possessing the highest market potential for electric generators. Portugal ranked second in this
      respect. Data used for this exercise can be found in NationMaster
      (http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/ene_ele_gro_pro_pub_amp_sel-production-public-amp-
      self-producer&date=2005).
      Based on 1997 figures, in order of volume of consumer spending, Portugal would have the
      highest market potential for consumer appliances, the Philippines the second, and Jordan the
      third. In Portugal, consumption expenditures per capita were $5,656, with $340 (6%) of that
      spent on household durables. For the population of 10 million, total expenditures on
      household durables were approximately $3.4 billion. Consumption expenditures per capita
      in the Philippines were $712, with $71 going to household durables, and total expenditures
      on household durables were $3.3 billion. Jordan’s per-capita expenditures on household
      durables was $42, and the resulting total expenditures on household durables were
      approximately $225 million, the least of the three countries.
      In the power generator market, Portugal seems to have the greatest potential in view of the
      electricity production (in kWh).
      Data needed in this exercise can be secured from, for example, Crossborder Monitor’s annual
      compilation of economic data. Euromonitor also publishes World Consumer Income &
      Expenditure Patterns, which covers 49 countries around the world.
3. From the international marketer's point of view, what are the opportunities and problems
   caused by increased urbanization in developing countries?
      Increased urbanization in developing countries is advantageous for international marketing
      because it centralizes the potential market, thereby centralizing the market research area and
      advertising area. Urbanization also simplifies the logistics of product distribution. The
      greater ease of distribution to urban areas brings down the costs of the product, and the
      savings may be passed on to consumers, thereby potentially increasing consumption. One
      phenomenon of marketing that occurs in urban areas is that consumers are influenced by
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      other consumers around them. This can result in advertising affecting more people than it
      directly reaches, through the demonstration effect. In contrast, in rural areas where there are
      few stores and products are not displayed, consumers are not as aware of what is available to
      satisfy their existing needs.
      Newly urban environments in developing countries are different than urban settings in
      developed countries, and marketers must adjust their techniques accordingly. For example,
      in developing countries people who are entering the urban environment often have left poor
      economic situations and are looking for new opportunities in the city. Thus, they often have
      very little money and might not buy many things other than subsistence items for a few
      years. They may also send most of their income to family members outside of the urban
      setting in order to support them. Another difference is that the infrastructure needed in order
      to use certain products may not be in place. For example, China's per capita energy
      consumption increased by 6.6 per cent over the fiscal 2004-05, whereas that of U.S. dropped
      by 0.12 per cent. This would have a large impact on a company planning to market electrical
      appliances or any energy related product there.
      It has to also be noted that explosive urbanization may bring problems that complicate the
      operations of international marketers, not only in the country of question but elsewhere as
      well. An excellent example of this is the infant formula controversy which involved 25 large
      multinational companies with Nestlé getting most of the negative publicity. In this case,
      urbanization meant less breast feeding and more reliance on substitutes such as infant
      formula, the proper preparation of which may be difficult if not impossible in developing
      countries.
4. Comment on this statement: "A low per-capita income will render the market useless."
      For relatively low cost products, a market can be profitable even if the per capita income is
      low. As in the example of the market potential of the Philippines for household durables, the
      large size of the market makes it profitable even though the per capita income is low, if the
      product is generally affordable. Population is a weighty factor in marketing low cost staple
      goods, while income is more important in marketing more expensive goods.
      The lack of income in a market may preclude the marketing of a standardized product but, at
      the same time, provide an opportunity for an adjusted product. By substituting cheaper parts
      and materials, successful international marketers can make both consumer and industrial
      products more affordable in less affluent markets and therefore reach a wider target audience.
      Although a country's per capita income may be low, there is usually a certain percentage of
      wealthy consumers who buy expensive products. Research on individual countries to
      determine the size of this upper class is required of the international marketer
      Consider, for example, the market for personal computers in China. While China's Per-
      capita income is low and ownership of PCs is low (1 in 6,000), the country's GNP growth in
      the 1990s has been 12-13 percent annually and will make the market quite attractive.
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5. What can a marketer do to advance regional economic integration?
      A marketer can use a three-pronged strategy. The first approach focuses on executives
      working with government representatives from the United States, European Union, and Japan
      to dismantle the greatest flaws. Especially larger companies can use their clout in this regard
      but also smaller companies through associations can have a similar effect. On the second
      level, the marketer should work within existing frameworks to balance the effects of
      nationalistic policies. Finally, by their very activities and investments marketers can
      “reward” countries pursuing free-trade policies.
6. Explain the difference between a free trade area and a common market. Speculate why
   negotiations were held for a North American Free Trade Agreement rather than for a North
   American Common Market.
      A free trade area allows for free trade among members. No discriminatory taxes, quotas,
      tariffs, or other barriers are allowed. However, each member sets its own trade policies with
      nonmembers. The customs union, on the other hand, establishes a common external trade
      policy with regard to nonmembers. This is mostly in the form of a common external tariff,
      whereby imports from nonmembers are subject to the same tariff when sold to any member
      country. The Southern African Customs Union is an example of economic integration in
      Africa.
      Many argue that economic integration is much more likely to be viable among countries at
      common levels of economic development. In fact, most successful integrative efforts have
      taken place among the industrialized countries.
      Although the North American Common Market has been discussed at various levels for the
      last 30 years, its implications of free movement of things beyond goods is not meeting with
      interest in the potential member countries. Also, the significant size (physical and economic)
      in favor of the United States makes Canada and Mexico hesitate.
                                                             Internet Exercises
1. Compare and contrast two different points of view on expanding trade by accessing the Web
   site of The Business Roundtable—an industry coalition promoting increased to and from
   world markets (http://www.businessroundtable.org), and the AFL-CIO, American Federation
   of Labor—Congress of Industrial Organizations (http://www.aflcio.org).
    The Business Roundtable is an organization that develops positions on
    international trade and investments in order to improve the United States
    competitiveness in the world market. Other objective of the Business
    Roundtable includes promoting worldwide economic growth as well as
    promoting initiatives to address bilateral issues with major U.S. trade partners such as China,
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    Japan, India and Europe. The American Federation of Labor—Congress of Industrial
    Organizations (AFL-CIO), which is a voluntary federation of 56 national and international
    labor unions, discourages the expansion of trade globally because of a growing U.S. trading
    deficit and unfair competitive advantages by other countries. AFL-CIO believes that China
    systematically violates worker’s rights and unfairly manipulates it’s currency to get an unfair
    advantage over the United States.
    The Business Roundtable supports economic expansion, while AFL-CIO discourages
    economic trade. AFL-CIO believes that expanding trade will lead to an increased U.S. deficit
    and a continuation of unfair trading by other countries. The Business roundtable firmly
    believes that expanding trade will give the U.S. an improved competitive advantage while
    simultaneously improving the global economy. They do share a common goal in resolving
    issues with China and other countries in which a trading relationship exists. The goal of both
    of these organizations is to improve the United States economic position; however the method
    in which to achieve this task is still in question.
2. Why do marketers engage in major projects in developing countries, such
   as            Hewlett-Packard’s                 e-inclusion            project           (
   http://www.hp.com/e-inclusion/en/project/dikhotole1.html). Outline both the short-term and
   long-term benefits.
    A lack of access to computers and internet connectivity prevents more than four billion
    individuals to experience the benefits of social and economic development. Hewlett
    Packard’s e-inclusion project is aimed at improving their competitiveness globally while
    simultaneously closing the digital divide and stimulating economic growth in developing
    countries.    The short-term benefits include introducing technology to improve the
    effectiveness, efficiency, and productivity of developing countries. Introducing this new
    technology to developing countries will open up a new market for HP, which will
    potentially mean huge profits down the road. HP’s social responsiveness from this project
    will also improve HP’s competitiveness domestically and globally. In the long-term, HP will
    increase their market share, profits, and ability to continue spending money on research and
    development. Closing the digital divide is a task no other firm could achieve in the past,
    which will give them instant credibility and trust in untapped global markets.
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