7 Inflation
7 Inflation
RS
Consumer Price 4.7% 26.0%
Index (CPI)
Rs
(FY2025)* (FY2024)*
Urban Rural
Core: 8.8% (FY2025)* 11.6% (FY2025)* Rs
FY 2025 has witnessed a significant decrease in interventions by the State Bank of Pakistan
inflation, reflecting the government's tireless (SBP), and exchange rate stability. Despite
efforts to tackle this complex issue that creates various external factors contributing to inflation,
uncertainties and affects the households and the government's concerted efforts have
businesses alike. By implementing the mitigated these pressures, bringing much-
administrative, relief, and policy measures, the needed relief to the people.
government has successfully stabilized prices
and ensured food and energy affordability for the Since the start of the current fiscal year, the
masses. Thus, Consumer Price Index (CPI) economy has witnessed a marked decline in
inflation decreased to 4.7 percent during inflationary pressures, reflecting a notable
July-April FY 2025, down from 26.0 percent in stability in the economy. CPI inflation, which
the same period last year. The drop in inflation stood at 11.1 percent year-on-year in July 2024,
from 23.4 percent in FY 2024 and 29.2 percent marked a significant decline from 28.3 percent
in FY 2023 is a testament to the government's in July 2023. This downward trend persisted,
effective strategy. These efforts demonstrate the with inflation hitting as low as 1.5 percent in
government's commitment to improving February 2025, the lowest since September
citizens' lives and fostering a stable 2015. The trend continued, with inflation further
macroeconomic environment. This remarkable easing to 0.7 percent by March 2025 and
decline is a direct result of the government's remarkably dropping to 0.3 percent in April
balanced policy framework, which effectively 2025, a multi-decade low.
combines fiscal discipline, targeted
25
29.7
29.2
28.3
28.3
27.4
26.8
20
23.1
15
20.7
%
11.1
17.3
10
9.6
7.2
6.9
5
4.9
4.1
2.4
1.5
0.7
0.3
0
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
This sharp decline in inflation in Pakistan can easing of inflation is also influenced by the
also be attributed to several factors, including decline in commodity prices globally, primarily
improved food availability, decreased energy driven by improved energy supplies and food.
prices, and excess production capacity. The
117
Pakistan Economic Survey 2024-25
The year-wise trend of inflation from FY 2018 next two years, eventually returning to the levels
to July-April FY 2025 shows a steady rise up to observed in FY 2018 as shown in Fig-7.2.
FY 2023, followed by a gradual decline over the
20
12.2
%
15
10.7
10 6.8 8.9
4.7
5 4.7
0
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
(Jul-Apr)
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Reduced inflationary pressures ease input cost services came next with 12.8 percent inflation,
burdens, enabling firms to expand production though it dropped sharply from 30.6 percent,
capacity more efficiently. Additionally, as showing significant improvement in price
inflation declines and price stability is restored, stability within this diverse category. Education
investor confidence strengthens, encouraging also experienced relatively high inflation at 11.6
capital formation and contributing to broader percent, nearly stable compared to 12.4 percent
economic stability. last year, reflecting persistent increases in tuition
fees and educational expenses. The category of
URAAN Pakistan initiative supports price Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas, and Other
stability by reducing production costs through Fuels remained an important contributor, posting
energy sector reforms and promoting export-led 8.5 percent inflation due to its large weight in the
growth, which strengthens the currency and CPI basket, despite a sharp fall from 28.4 percent
lowers import-driven inflation. These measures, a year earlier. Similarly, Restaurants and Hotels
combined with fiscal discipline and structural registered 8.2 percent inflation, down
reforms, help stabilize prices and build investor considerably from 28.3 percent, reflecting
confidence. reduced pressure on hospitality prices.
7.1 Consumer Price Index (National) – Both Communication and Recreation & Culture
Period Analysis recorded inflation of 7.3 percent and 8.0 percent
During July-April FY 2025, the headline CPI respectively. While inflation in communication
inflation was 4.7 percent, compared to 26.0 eased slightly from 11.1 percent, the recreation
percent during the same period last year (Table category saw a dramatic drop from 40.8 percent.
7.1). The decline in inflation was broad based, Inflation for Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco
with single-digit inflation observed in all slowed drastically to 6.6 percent from a high of
categories of CPI. In FY 2025, Clothing and 59.8 percent, which may reflect the waning
Footwear recorded the higher inflation among all impact of earlier tax hikes. Likewise, inflation in
CPI components at 14.4 percent though it Furnishing and Household Equipment
marked a decline from 19.8 percent in FY 2024. Maintenance dropped to 6.0 percent from 31.5
This suggests that price pressures in this percent, suggesting easing in consumer durable
category remain elevated. Following this, Health and maintenance-related costs.
saw a notable inflation of 14.5 percent, down Among food items, Perishable food inflation
from 22.1 percent, indicating continued cost
remained modest at 1.0 percent, down from 18.5
pressures in medical goods and services, though
at a slower pace. Miscellaneous goods and percent, likely influenced by supply
118
Inflation
improvements. In contrast, the Transport Perishable Food Items fell by 1.7 percent,
category entered deflation of 1.1 percent, reversing from a sharp rise of 26.7 percent. This
reversing from 21.4 percent inflation the shift likely reflects improved food supply chains,
previous year, possibly due to a decline in fuel stable commodity prices, and government price
prices or stabilized transport fares. The most control measures. Table 7.1 compares the
significant deflation was observed in Food and percentage change in the disaggregated CPI-
Non-Alcoholic Beverages, with prices declining National Inflation for the period July-April of the
1.3 percent overall, compared to a 25.5 percent current fiscal year with that of the previous fiscal
increase in FY 2024. Within this, Non- year.
CPI Inflation-Urban increased by 0.5 percent increases of 11.3 percent and 25.6 percent,
on a YoY basis in April 2025 compared to an respectively, in the same month last year. During
increase of 1.2 percent in the previous month and July-April FY 2025, CPI Inflation-Urban was
19.4 percent in April 2024. The Urban Food recorded at 5.7 percent against 26.3 percent in
recorded a decline of 1.9 percent and Non-Food the previous year.
inflation increased by 2.2 percent, compared to
30 CPI-Urban
25
% Contribution
20
15
10
5
0
-5
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Jun-24
Apr-21
Apr-22
Apr-23
Apr-24
Apr-25
Dec-20
Aug-21
Dec-21
Aug-22
Dec-22
Aug-23
Dec-23
Aug-24
Dec-24
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Oct-24
Feb-21
Feb-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Feb-25
119
Pakistan Economic Survey 2024-25
Figure 7.3 shows that from mid-2022 to mid- government’s efforts to bring relief through
2023, CPI-Urban inflation rose sharply, mainly price controls, energy subsidies, better supply of
because food and energy prices went up a lot. essentials, and tighter economic policies. These
But starting in late 2023, things began to steps helped ease pressure on households and
improve as food and energy prices started to brought overall inflation down to much more
ease, and by early 2025, even pulling inflation manageable levels. Group-wise details of
down to negative. This big change reflects the inflation are given in Table 7.2.
Table 7.2: Disaggregated CPI-Urban Inflation (July-April)
Percent change on Average Basis
Group Weights
2023-24 2024-25
CPI Urban 100.0 26.3 5.7
Food Group 38.7 26.8 1.1
Food Products, Beverages and Tobacco, Textiles
Apparel and Leather Products 30.4 25.7 0.0
i) Non- perishable 26.0 27.0 -0.3
ii) Perishable 4.5 18.2 1.8
Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco 0.9 58.0 6.6
Restaurant & Hotels 7.4 27.9 6.8
Non-Food 61.3 25.9 9.1
Clothing & Footwear 8.0 16.9 14.9
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuel 27.0 32.4 10.5
Furnishing & Household, Equipment Maintenance 4.1 29.5 5.1
Health 2.3 23.5 15.8
Transport 6.1 18.9 -0.9
Communication 2.4 12.1 6.3
Recreation & culture 1.7 39.9 6.0
Education 4.9 11.0 8.4
Miscellaneous 4.8 29.2 11.3
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
While overall inflation declined significantly, ten months of FY 2025, core inflation, which
the reduction in core inflation which excludes excludes food and energy, fell to nearly half the
volatile food and energy prices was more level seen in the same period last year. In urban
moderate and gradual (Table 7.3). Inflation areas, this downward trend has been consistent
expectations among businesses and consumers since December 2023. In recent months, the
remained unanchored. However, as the effects of narrowing gap between overall and core
past shocks, especially from high food and inflation confirms that the earlier shocks to food
energy prices, began to fade, core inflation also and energy prices are gradually subsiding.
started to slow down noticeably. During the first
CPI Inflation-Rural declined by 0.1 percent Non-Food inflation increased by 4.4 percent,
YoY in April 2025 compared to 0.02 percent in compared to 9.5 percent and 20.0 percent,
the previous month and 14.5 percent in April respectively, in the same month last year. During
2024. July-April FY 2025, CPI Inflation-Rural was
recorded at 3.3 percent, as against 25.5 percent
While Food recorded a decline of 4.6 percent, during the same period the previous year.
120
Inflation
This sharp disinflation was broad-based, energy prices, underutilized production capacity
affecting various groups within both urban and in the economy due to still subdued domestic
rural consumption baskets. It was driven by a demand, and generally stable global commodity
combination of factors, including improved prices.
availability of key food items, a reduction in
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
Feb-21
Feb-22
Feb-23
Feb-24
Feb-25
Aug-21
Aug-22
Aug-23
Jun-21
Oct-21
Jun-22
Oct-22
Jun-23
Oct-23
Aug-24
Jun-24
Oct-24
Dec-20
Apr-21
Dec-21
Apr-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Dec-23
Apr-24
Dec-24
Apr-25
Figure 7.4 shows that from December 2020 inflation, especially in 2022–23. After May
onward, food became the dominant driver of 2023, food and energy contributions sharply
rural inflation, contributing increasingly to declined, leading to a sharp decline in overall
overall CPI-Rural. Its contribution rose from 6.3 rural CPI. By April 2025, total CPI-Rural
percentage points in December 2020 to a peak of inflation turned negative (-0.1 percentage point),
24.6 percentage points in May 2023, accounting with food (-2.2 percentage point) and energy (-
for over half of the inflation during that period. 1.7 percentage point) dragging inflation down,
Core inflation also grew rising from 3.2 while core (3.8 percentage point) remained
percentage points in December 2020 to 11.3 positive, indicating inflation persistence in non-
percentage points in May 2023, showing broad- volatile components despite overall disinflation.
based price pressures. Energy’s role was more The group-wise details are given in Table 7.4.
volatile but added meaningfully to overall
121
Pakistan Economic Survey 2024-25
Table 7.5 shows that prices in rural areas April 2025, inflation dropped to 9 percent,
(excluding food and energy) were very high last showing a big improvement. On average, rural
year, especially around September 2023. But inflation was much lower this year compared to
since then, things have been getting better, with the last year.
prices slowly coming down every month. By
Table 7.5: Core Inflation – Rural (percent)
Months Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Jul-Apr
2023-24 24.6 25.9 27.3 26.7 25.9 25.1 24.6 21.9 20.0 19.3 24.0
2024-25 16.9 14.4 12.1 11.7 10.9 10.7 10.4 10.4 10.2 9.0 11.6
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
7.2 Wholesale Price Index (WPI) Inflation supply chain disruptions, or increased
production costs. In contrast, FY 2025 shows a
The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) collects prices
steep decline in WPI across the same months.
of 419 items from 19 major cities. The WPI
Starting at 10.4 percent in July, the index
reflects the average change in prices at the
continues to fall each month, turning negative in
wholesale level, serving as a key indicator of
February (-0.7 percent), March (-1.6 percent),
inflation from the producers’ perspective. In FY
and April (-2.2 percent).
2024, the WPI remained consistently high
throughout the year, peaking at 27.3 percent in The overall Wholesale Price Index (WPI)
December and staying above 20 percent for most inflation fell sharply from 22.4 percent in July–
months. This indicates that inflation at the April FY 2024 to just 2.2 percent in FY 2025,
wholesale level was significantly elevated indicating significant easing of wholesale price
during that period, which may have been driven pressures. The group-wise comparison can be
by factors such as high commodity prices, found in Table 7.6.
122
Inflation
The Agriculture Forestry & Fishery group, with required, immediate measures are taken to
a large weight of 25.8 percent, saw a major drop control price fluctuations. The figures show a
in inflation from 16.5 percent to 0.8 percent, comparison of the SPI for fiscal years FY 2025
reflecting improved supply and stable input and FY 2024 on a monthly basis from July to
costs. The Ores, Minerals, Electricity, Gas & April. This downward trend continued
Water group remained inflationary but eased throughout the fiscal year, dropping to negative
significantly, from 47.4 percent to 9.3 percent, territory from February to April FY 2025.
due to lower global energy prices and tariff
adjustments. The Food, Beverages, Textiles, and Fig 7.5: SPI Year on Year SPI FY 25
%
12
inflation to 4.4 percent deflation, largely due to 8
reduced costs of fuels, chemicals, and related 4
0
goods. Finally, Metal Products, Machinery & -4
Equipment inflation dropped from 31.7 percent -8 -3.2
Jan
Sep
Feb
Mar
Jul
Aug
Nov
Dec
Apr
Oct
development sectors.
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
7.3 Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) inflation
SPI is computed weekly to assess the price The annualized increase in SPI during July-April
movements of essential commodities at a shorter FY 2025 was recorded at 4.9 percent against
interval of time. SPI comprises 51 essential 30.2 percent in the same period last year.
items, and the prices are collected from 50 Twenty-four (24) major food items, including
markets in 17 cities/urban centers of the country wheat, wheat flour, rice, tomatoes, onions,
(Table 7.7). masoor pulse, moong pulse, mash pulse,
chicken, sugar, red chilies, etc., weighting 57
The trend of SPI is monitored regularly, and, if percent, influenced SPI by (-) 0.7 percent.
123
Pakistan Economic Survey 2024-25
7.4 Trend of Global Prices sugar, crude oil, wheat, rice, and tea, recorded
In the global market, Palm oil, soybean oil, Urea declines of 11.1 percent, 24.9 percent, 8.3
and DAP showed increases of 6.2 percent, 16.4 percent, 31.3 percent and 4.0 percent,
percent, 20.9 percent and 16.5 percent, respectively, compared to April 2024. Table 7.8
respectively, in April 2025 compared to the depicts the international prices of primary
corresponding month last year. Meanwhile, commodities.
Apr-24 450.0 936.0 959.0 90.1 272.3 578.0 3030.0 545.0 320.0
May-24 420.0 859.0 988.0 82.0 289.4 606.5 3200.0 522.0 284.8
Jun-24 430.0 874.0 1011.0 82.6 265.6 613.3 3220.0 543.0 336.3
Jul-24 430.0 896.0 1079.0 85.3 260.3 570.9 3300.0 539.4 342.5
Aug-24 410.0 933.0 1031.0 80.9 250.9 566.7 3220.0 546.0 342.5
Sep-24 450.0 983.0 1044.0 74.3 269.7 564.3 3270.0 554.8 337.5
Oct-24 460.0 1077.0 1095.0 75.7 272.9 504.8 3150.0 573.4 374.8
Nov-24 450.0 1169.0 1145.0 74.4 253.8 489.6 3090.0 574.5 352.3
Dec-24 440.0 1190.0 1064.0 73.8 252.2 501.9 2960.0 568.3 352.0
Jan-25 400.0 1070.0 1048.0 79.2 254.1 464.2 2780.0 582.7 380.5
Feb-25 420.0 1067.0 1069.0 75.2 264.6 419.1 2690.0 603.8 436.5
Mar-25 420.0 1068.0 1011.0 72.6 255.4 404.1 2690.0 615.1 394.5
Apr-25 400.0 994.0 1116.0 67.7 249.6 396.9 2910.0 635.0 386.9
Percent Change
Apr 25/ -11.1 6.2 16.4 -24.9 -8.3 -31.3 -4.0 16.5 20.9
Apr 24
Apr 25/ -4.8 -6.9 10.4 -6.7 -2.3 -1.8 8.2 3.2 -1.9
Mar 25
Source: Commodities Price Pink Sheet, WB
7.5 FAO Food Price Index increase from March. This rise was driven by
higher prices in cereals, dairy, and meat, which
In April 2025, the FAO Food Price Index
outweighed declines in sugar and vegetable oils.
averaged 128.3 points, marking a 1.0 percent
124
Inflation
Although the index was 7.6 percent higher than the peak seen in March 2022.
a year ago, it remained nearly 20 percent below
Source: FAO
Cereal prices rose by 1.2 percent compared to than a year ago, largely due to reduced
March, reflecting increases across all major availability from the Black Sea region.
grains. Wheat prices edged up slightly due to
tighter export supplies from Russia, steady Meat prices rose 3.2 percent, with increases
exports from key suppliers, and a weaker U.S. across all types. Beef prices firmed due to
dollar. Maize prices also climbed up, supported limited global supply and solid demand,
by low seasonal stocks in the U.S. and recent especially from markets like Brazil and
trade policy changes, including tariff Australia. Lamb prices also surged amid strong
adjustments that favoured key importers like interest from major importers, while poultry
Mexico. Barley and sorghum followed similar prices climbed moderately as strong demand and
upward trends. Rice prices rose modestly as holiday-related processing slowdowns tightened
demand strengthened, especially for fragrant supply, particularly in Brazil.
varieties, while harvest supplies in Viet Nam
began to dwindle. Dairy prices went up by 2.4 percent, led by
butter, which hit a record high. Finally, sugar
Vegetable oil prices, in contrast, fell by 2.3 prices dropped 3.5 percent in April, continuing
percent in April compared to March. The decline their downward trend. The decline was
was mainly due to lower palm oil prices, as influenced by concerns over a weakening global
Southeast Asian producers entered a season of economy, which could reduce demand from the
higher output. Meanwhile, soy and rapeseed oil food and beverage sectors. Stronger-than-
prices went up, driven by strong global demand expected sugar production in Brazil, along with
and tightening supplies. Sunflower oil prices a weaker Brazilian currency and lower oil prices,
held steady but remained significantly higher also contributed to the fall.
125
Pakistan Economic Survey 2024-25
126
Inflation
committee auction proceedings and periodic these stalls to ensure adherence to quality
reviews of essential commodities, contributing and pricing standards. Additionally, five
to overall market stability. Ramzan Bazaars were set up at weekly
market locations to supply essential
Therefore, in view of the above, ICT commodities at notified rates under strict
administration has adopted/implemented the regulatory oversight.
following measures for ensuring price stability:
Relief measures also included setting up
Assistant Commissioners and Magistrates subsidized sugar stalls in collaboration with
conduct routine inspections across various the Industries Division, offering sugar at Rs
markets and retail outlets to ensure 130/kg compared to the prevailing market
compliance with notified prices and address rate of Rs 165-170/kg. Special discounted
consumer grievances through the DC stalls for ghee, eggs, and poultry were
Office's 24/7 Control Room and digital established through direct engagement with
complaint platforms. leading brands, ensuring affordability for
consumers without any financial burden on
Assistant Commissioners and Magistrates the public exchequer.
monitor daily auction proceedings to
maintain transparency and price stability. Additionally, the Committee has stalled
discounted chicken stalls operational at two
The price-setting mechanism includes major Ramzan Bazaars from March 8, 2025,
market committee auction proceedings and further strengthening the administration's
periodic reviews of price regulations, commitment to market stabilization and
ensuring regular assessment of essential
consumer relief.
commodity prices to maintain market
stability. Punjab
During the month of Ramzan, intensified The Government of Punjab has implemented
monitoring efforts led to 2,812 inspections, several measures to combat inflationary
resulting in 229 arrests and fines amounting pressure:
to Rs 325,000. Similarly, in the 15 days
preceding Ramzan, 6,421 inspections were District Price Control Committee (DPCC):
conducted, leading to 376 arrests and Rs Conducts regular meetings to assess and fix
343,500 in fines. These enforcement actions prices of essential commodities.
have served as a deterrent against price Monthly Market Analysis Report: "Food in
manipulation and contribute to the Focus" prepared for comprehensive analysis
availability of quality products at regulated of supply and price situation.
rates and ensuring price stability.
The Punjab Government has tasked the
The Food Department, in collaboration with Urban Unit for Third Party Validation
the DC Office, held pre-Ramzan meetings (TPV) of spot prices in the open market.
with wholesalers and suppliers to address
supply chain challenges and prevent market Special Branch of Police regularly submits
distortions. These proactive efforts ensured reports on spot prices as well as hoarding of
the availability of essential commodities, essential commodities, and these reports are
including sugar and wheat, aligned with utilized in progress review meetings at the
consumption patterns during Ramzan, Provincial and District levels.
yielding positive outcomes. There is indeed issue of over-charging by
20 Ramzan Fair Price Stalls were retailers. In order to curb this practice,
established in high-footfall areas to provide around 2100 price magistrates are working
fruits and vegetables at regulated prices in the province. They have been given
without any subsidy burden on public special instructions to curb over-charging
finances. Magistrates closely monitored with iron hand.
127
Pakistan Economic Survey 2024-25
128
Inflation
129
TABLE 7.1 (A)
PRICE INDICES
A. COMBINED CONSUMER PRICE INDEX BY GROUPS\
Groups/ (Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
Fiscal General Food & Beverages Clothing Housing, Household Health Transport Commu- Recreation Education Restaurant Miscellan-
Year Non & & Water, Equipment & nication & & eous
2010-11 146.45 164.10 151.64 133.35 135.27 135.59 123.79 149.01 122.47 134.62 128.17 164.04 152.45
2011-12 162.57 182.20 165.01 153.45 146.17 160.28 137.97 171.39 122.94 145.35 143.83 185.82 181.47
2012-13 174.53 195.18 191.02 175.58 151.34 179.87 156.56 186.43 126.16 169.07 156.69 203.63 199.49
2013-14 189.58 212.74 223.38 198.01 164.60 195.85 167.15 195.15 129.76 183.77 172.57 228.61 210.15
2014-15 198.16 220.20 269.93 213.82 174.93 208.68 176.19 187.22 130.09 190.29 196.40 244.58 221.13
2015-16 203.82 219.42 329.25 224.18 183.90 217.38 182.69 174.25 130.56 194.21 213.02 256.79 228.22
2016-17 212.29 226.59 368.88 233.36 192.91 223.90 201.82 172.93 131.79 196.31 235.72 256.79 240.23
2017-18 220.62 232.95 310.09 244.45 202.50 233.06 218.13 182.18 133.26 200.24 264.79 285.88 254.99
2018-19 236.81 242.62 345.33 260.88 221.07 251.44 235.29 211.50 141.29 215.90 289.97 302.04 276.48
Base Year 2015-16=100
General Food & Alcoholic Clothing Housing, Furnishing Health Transport Commu- Recreation Education Restau- Misc.
Non- Beverages and Water, Elec., and Household nication & ants and goods and
2016-17 104.81 104.27 110.76 105.29 105.98 102.34 107.97 99.26 100.03 102.26 110.83 106.04 104.39
2017-18 109.72 107.49 100.83 110.94 111.23 106.00 114.98 108.04 100.65 104.91 123.88 113.14 109.93
2018-19 117.18 112.24 112.26 118.13 120.08 114.00 122.92 125.31 103.28 111.53 134.72 119.11 118.85
2019-20 129.76 129.59 135.80 129.56 128.33 125.70 136.81 138.71 106.84 118.70 141.90 127.76 132.96
2020-21 141.31 146.74 143.36 142.61 136.35 136.23 148.36 140.28 107.62 123.99 143.71 138.66 148.35
2021-22 158.48 166.46 149.57 157.47 151.01 153.40 162.29 174.06 110.23 134.71 150.58 156.09 164.07
2022-23 204.73 231.34 248.83 187.06 172.14 202.70 189.60 259.72 114.00 191.59 165.17 207.01 212.44
2023-24 252.66 279.39 364.62 223.40 222.70 259.25 230.67 310.19 127.17 256.80 186.64 259.45 270.83
July-April
2023-24 252.11 282.43 363.13 219.96 219.56 257.53 228.23 309.90 125.72 255.04 184.11 257.96 268.23
2024-25 264.03 278.66 386.96 251.64 238.26 273.00 261.30 306.51 134.84 275.53 205.45 279.22 302.65
(Contd.)
Note: On the adoption of each new base year the data for the common periods may not be matched
79
TABLE 7.1 (B)
PRICE INDICES (HEADLINE & CORE INFLATION)
Indices Headline & Core Inflation
80
TABLE 7.1 (C)
PRICES INDICES
81
TABLE 7.2
Months 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
Sep 0.79 -0.29 0.35 -0.10 0.20 0.63 -0.06 0.42 0.69 -0.03 0.77 1.54 2.12 -1.15 2.00 -0.52
Oct 0.38 1.97 0.21 0.49 0.81 0.75 2.33 0.93 1.09 2.12 1.82 1.70 1.90 4.71 1.01 1.23
Nov -0.39 1.27 -0.51 0.59 0.21 0.37 0.11 0.47 0.66 -0.12 1.34 0.82 2.98 0.76 2.70 0.49
Dec 0.23 -1.32 -1.01 -0.57 -0.68 -0.10 -0.41 -0.58 -0.03 -0.30 -0.34 -0.68 -0.02 0.49 0.82 0.06
Jan 1.67 0.49 0.08 0.21 0.18 0.03 1.00 0.43 0.08 0.25 1.97 -0.21 0.39 2.88 1.83 0.20
Feb -0.34 -0.32 -0.92 -0.25 0.28 -0.31 0.64 0.48 -0.26 0.87 -1.04 1.80 1.15 4.32 0.03 -0.83
Mar 0.41 0.96 0.23 0.15 0.84 0.31 1.42 1.05 0.22 2.00 0.04 0.36 0.79 3.72 1.71 0.89
Apr 1.09 1.70 1.32 1.55 1.40 1.82 1.26 0.72 1.08 0.73 -0.84 1.03 1.61 2.41 -0.43 -0.84
May 0.51 -0.26 0.76 -0.21 0.01 0.51 0.78 -0.52 0.46 0.60 0.32 0.10 0.44 1.58 -3.24
Jun 0.72 0.61 0.62 0.64 -0.41 0.56 0.36 0.17 0.83 0.48 0.82 -0.24 6.34 -0.26 0.46
Base Year 2015-16=100
Jul - - - - - - - - 0.59 1.41 1.98 2.15 1.29 4.46 3.57 2.03
URBAN CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (U.C.P.I)
Aug - - - - - - - -0.46 0.20 -0.31 1.46 0.81 0.48 2.62 1.60 0.27
Sep - - - - - - - 0.32 0.42 -0.08 0.75 1.26 2.01 -2.06 1.67 -0.53
Oct - - - - - - - 0.79 0.89 2.23 1.59 1.27 1.67 4.50 1.07 1.05
Nov - - - - - - - 0.47 0.63 -0.09 1.00 0.64 2.86 0.38 4.34 0.49
Dec - - - - - - - -0.59 0.05 -0.32 -0.37 -0.35 0.32 0.35 0.73 -0.10
Jan - - - - - - - 0.82 0.18 0.43 1.68 -0.16 0.06 2.36 1.81 0.19
Feb - - - - - - - 0.51 -0.15 0.86 -1.09 2.27 0.93 4.54 0.24 -0.65
Mar - - - - - - - 1.01 0.28 1.87 0.13 0.27 0.65 3.90 1.43 0.78
Apr - - - - - - - 0.96 1.37 0.83 -0.68 1.34 1.60 2.00 -0.09 -0.70
May - - - - - - - -0.32 0.53 0.68 0.30 0.19 0.31 1.50 -2.80
Jun - - - - - - - 0.21 0.72 0.34 0.69 -0.37 6.19 0.10 0.58
Base Year 2015-16=100
Jul - - - - - - - - 0.54 1.67 1.60 3.02 1.40 4.17 3.30 2.20
Aug - - - - - - - -0.21 0.07 -0.30 1.91 0.35 0.72 2.19 1.88 0.55
Sep - - - - - - - 0.57 1.10 0.04 0.79 1.95 2.29 0.18 2.46 -0.50
RURAL PRICE INDEX (R.P.I)
Oct - - - - - - - 1.15 1.40 1.96 2.17 2.35 2.25 5.01 0.92 1.49
Nov - - - - - - - 0.48 0.72 -0.17 1.86 1.09 3.15 1.30 0.40 0.48
Dec - - - - - - - -0.56 -0.14 -0.29 -0.30 -1.17 -0.51 0.70 0.96 0.29
Jan - - - - - - - -0.14 -0.07 -0.02 2.41 -0.29 0.89 3.62 1.87 0.22
Feb - - - - - - - 0.45 -0.45 0.87 -0.97 1.12 1.48 4.01 -0.25 -1.10
Mar - - - - - - - 1.12 0.13 2.19 -0.10 0.51 1.00 3.48 2.13 1.05
Apr - - - - - - - 0.36 0.64 0.58 -1.08 0.57 1.63 2.97 -0.93 -1.05
May - - - - - - - -0.82 0.35 0.47 0.34 -0.03 0.65 1.69 -3.89
Jun - - - - - - - 0.12 1.01 0.70 1.02 -0.06 6.57 -0.76 0.27
Base Year 2007-08=100 Base Year 2015-16=100
Jul 0.36 1.65 0.54 -0.38 2.34 -0.24 2.41 - -0.70 3.69 3.05 5.41 2.28 1.99 2.51 2.28
Aug 1.02 2.65 -0.48 -0.49 -0.03 0.33 0.79 0.06 0.19 0.55 1.25 1.27 1.17 3.14 4.16 0.30
B. WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX (W.P.I.)
Sep 0.35 0.71 0.15 -0.46 -0.53 0.06 -1.52 -0.40 0.28 -1.51 0.07 1.05 3.17 1.43 3.15 -1.05
Oct 0.11 1.13 -0.31 0.53 -0.04 0.61 4.17 -0.09 0.88 4.40 2.03 2.88 4.24 -0.47 -1.87 0.00
Nov -0.37 0.25 -0.99 0.01 -0.21 0.36 0.70 0.54 1.05 1.04 -0.82 -0.94 3.79 -0.02 1.44 -0.12
Dec 0.43 -0.99 -1.89 -0.65 -0.14 0.36 -0.88 0.20 0.49 -1.34 -0.30 0.34 -0.24 -0.71 -0.02 -0.37
Jan 1.25 0.53 -1.03 -0.53 0.51 1.81 -0.21 0.83 2.60 -0.82 1.83 2.50 0.65 1.77 1.47 0.18
Feb 0.34 -0.14 -1.09 -0.59 0.47 -0.15 0.90 0.81 0.41 1.62 -0.80 2.20 1.91 8.19 1.12 -0.18
Mar 0.26 0.34 0.01 -0.40 0.66 0.25 1.70 0.42 -0.08 2.23 -0.88 3.72 3.86 4.67 1.25 0.29
Apr 0.77 0.10 0.86 1.30 0.89 1.27 2.33 0.43 1.28 1.76 -2.04 -0.36 3.16 0.09 -0.70 -1.29
May -0.43 -0.08 1.10 0.55 -0.20 1.28 1.43 -0.15 2.02 1.47 -2.08 0.30 1.44 0.96 -2.55
Jun 1.00 1.37 1.18 1.38 -0.46 1.48 0.33 -0.08 2.46 0.25 -0.32 0.91 8.18 -0.25 0.37
Base Year 2007-08=100 Base Year 2015-16=100
Jul 0.51 2.27 1.95 0.34 1.32 -0.45 1.17 - 0.00 1.39 1.03 3.03 1.80 7.27 2.81 2.03
Aug 1.29 1.54 0.83 -0.19 0.23 0.54 0.22 -0.25 1.06 -0.20 2.72 0.92 0.70 5.25 4.12 -0.29
C. SENSITIVE PRICE INDEX (S.P.I.)
Sep 1.25 0.06 0.24 0.46 0.11 2.13 -0.06 0.21 2.06 -0.42 1.87 2.09 2.72 -1.42 1.72 0.22
Oct -0.45 1.17 -0.03 1.18 0.67 0.86 1.15 0.49 0.94 2.27 2.66 3.36 2.15 -1.47 0.15 0.60
Nov 0.03 3.22 -1.13 1.00 0.33 0.34 0.26 0.68 0.20 -0.69 3.71 1.10 3.58 6.11 3.30 1.04
Dec 0.05 -2.54 -1.52 -0.71 -0.78 -0.67 0.02 -1.25 -0.88 -0.25 -1.97 -2.71 -0.43 0.15 3.75 0.77
Jan 1.92 -2.54 -0.87 -0.67 -0.80 -1.04 0.61 -1.00 -1.52 0.36 0.45 -0.82 -0.79 1.35 2.02 -1.45
Feb 0.07 -0.09 -0.99 -0.52 0.21 -1.21 1.48 0.42 -1.16 2.45 -0.79 3.14 1.27 3.66 -0.79 -1.62
Mar 0.78 2.15 0.00 -0.15 1.79 -0.60 1.56 2.75 -0.91 2.13 -0.31 5.70 0.64 5.77 2.11 -0.07
Apr -0.29 0.07 0.39 -0.12 -0.91 0.45 0.89 -0.69 0.86 0.48 -1.77 0.41 1.48 2.70 -0.75 -1.66
May 0.07 -1.51 1.31 -0.96 -0.89 -0.15 1.24 -0.38 0.71 0.58 2.15 0.79 0.64 1.25 -4.00
Jun 2.45 1.11 0.99 1.12 0.14 1.78 1.57 0.00 1.45 0.90 1.37 -0.44 6.19 0.20 1.33
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Note: On the adoption of each new base year the data for the common periods may not be matched
82
TABLE 7.3 (A)
83
TABLE 7.3 (B)
i) The base year period of Price Indices has been updated from 2007-08 to 2015-16
ii) The base for prices have been changed and different new groups have been included
Therefore, data may differ from the previous one
84
TABLE 7.4
i) On the adoption of each new base year the data for the common periods may not matched
ii) In the new base year 2015-16, prices are disseminated w.e.f July, 2019
* : Wheat Flour price in Base year 2015-16 = 100 is quoted of 20 Kg bag
85
TABLE 7.4 (A)
86
TABLE 7.4 (B)
(Rs/unit)
Fiscal Cigarettes Long Cloth Georgerette Shoes Firewood Match Washing Life-
Year (Pkt) (Mtr.) (Mtr.) Gents (Kikar/ Box (40/ Soap buoy
Concord Babul 50 Sticks) (707/555 Soap
Bata* 40 Kgs.) Each Cake) (Cake)
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 27.44 148.57 72.35 499.00 354.29 1.00 15.14 25.47
2011-12 29.10 111.21 88.07 499.00 441.74 1.06 18.39 30.50
2012-13 32.34 151.14 101.61 549.00 491.55 1.10 21.00 32.29
2013-14 38.45 176.59 112.40 671.92 538.12 1.42 23.34 35.86
2014-15 45.85 200.22 122.90 699.00 566.85 1.74 24.33 36.06
2015-16 57.75 203.29 123.29 699.00 593.42 1.99 24.74 36.16
2016-17 64.85 206.13 124.12 699.00 604.81 2.14 25.74 38.06
2017-18 50.86 215.80 127.34 699.00 621.24 2.24 26.39 40.67
2018-19 57.29 268.31 154.69 699.00 566.61 2.42 36.35 46.66
Base Year 2015-16=100
2019-20 81.24 306.67 146.50 899.00 668.45 2.51 45.13 44.66
2020-21 83.42 359.53 165.77 1013.60 716.92 3.11 53.78 47.04
2021-22 85.60 396.01 182.26 1260.33 787.06 3.58 72.75 54.77
2022-23 142.89 463.91 216.38 1572.67 989.78 4.67 109.00 86.90
2023-24 222.49 568.18 261.61 2298.72 1141.76 5.93 129.09 109.79
July-April
2023-24 221.86 560.81 258.59 2260.64 1132.39 5.88 129.09 109.67
2024-25 233.69 620.03 291.02 2499.00 1264.48 6.22 130.46 107.52
(Contd.)
Note: In the new base year 2015-16, dissemination of prices started w.e.f July, 2019.
*: Prices of Gents Sandal Bata has been quoted in base year 2015-16 instead of prices of Shoes Gents Concord
Bata in previous base year.
87
TABLE 7.4 (C)
(Rs/unit)
Fiscal Energy Cooked Cooked Rice Masoor Mash Garlic Cooking Vegetable
Year Saver Beef Dal Irri-6 Pulse Pulse (Kg) Oil Dalda Ghee
(14-W) (Plate) (Plate) (Kg) (Kg) (Kg) (2.5 Ltr*) (2.5 Kg)
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 124.75 52.88 33.65 38.87 117.72 163.16 198.92 435.88 435.98
2011-12 139.93 60.54 37.27 45.68 102.64 145.82 107.89 502.66 501.91
2012-13 151.82 68.55 40.16 49.90 100.39 132.72 123.18 535.55 519.06
2013-14 162.69 77.84 45.46 54.05 120.49 134.21 129.71 538.73 511.77
2014-15 165.49 82.86 48.41 51.99 135.32 163.82 139.00 513.55 495.00
2015-16 166.95 87.19 52.62 47.16 146.36 238.59 200.32 457.61 448.92
2016-17 167.79 92.56 56.70 48.71 140.36 223.70 273.46 460.79 452.68
2017-18 168.98 101.49 58.83 51.53 118.44 164.91 166.10 471.26 464.46
2018-19 173.40 113.60 64.17 54.59 107.55 152.18 157.72 497.94 483.96
Base Year 2015-16=100
2019-20 185.73 133.64 68.75 62.54 141.16 211.13 280.43 1199.22 586.30
2020-21 199.66 148.96 75.60 71.09 156.48 250.28 216.42 1374.94 690.38
2021-22 211.44 170.33 84.54 75.18 201.24 262.50 289.44 2038.51 1015.00
2022-23 264.53 224.01 113.88 113.16 284.32 390.82 354.16 2967.22 1430.10
2023-24 352.01 272.13 140.93 165.12 320.39 530.09 518.54 2810.06 1345.28
July-April
2023-24 347.41 270.30 139.38 165.38 320.91 524.97 520.29 2841.93 1356.04
2024-25 380.24 295.40 160.16 160.25 305.59 518.12 587.13 2781.92 1396.57
(Contd.)
Note: In the new base year 2015-16. Prices are disseminated w.e.f July, 2019.
*: The unit of cooking oil Dalda has changed from 2.5 Ltr. to 5 Ltr. in base year 2015-16.
88
TABLE 7.4 (D)
(Rs/Unit)
Fiscal Curd Tea Pre- Banana Lawn Shirting Shoes Chappal Bread Milk Pow-
Year (Kg) pared (Doz.) Hussain Hussain Lady Gents Plain der Nido
(Cup) (Mtr.) (Mtr.) Bata Spang (M.Size) (400 grams*)
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 58.41 12.66 49.16 150.31 88.80 397.33 139.00 28.24 204.38
2011-12 68.19 14.25 65.10 166.26 108.37 399.00 152.08 31.23 247.85
2012-13 75.74 15.30 68.83 166.52 124.22 449.00 179.00 34.23 289.78
2013-14 81.88 16.97 70.63 198.05 144.91 499.00 179.00 39.17 310.50
2014-15 89.48 18.70 76.77 239.61 157.72 499.00 179.00 40.78 251.69
2015-16 92.10 19.36 75.70 244.90 162.32 500.61 179.02 40.82 372.70
2016-17 94.66 20.28 78.87 251.98 164.85 502.39 179.09 41.11 378.43
2017-18 99.15 21.23 81.04 260.65 171.58 524.53 183.65 42.07 379.46
2018-19 101.24 22.28 77.11 316.04 206.01 599.00 199.00 44.10 401.08
Base Year 2015-16=100
2019-20 108.22 25.81 78.82 355.16 201.32 599.00 199.00 47.82 448.85
2020-21 121.53 28.35 86.09 389.20 234.43 599.00 218.48 55.55 478.05
2021-22 133.44 32.70 90.98 420.28 264.98 650.41 277.80 63.55 507.25
2022-23 175.15 43.68 138.31 475.16 317.37 714.75 409.04 89.74 637.79
2023-24 215.67 56.87 136.52 560.31 415.53 822.91 599.00 113.60 819.69
July-April
2023-24 214.65 56.36 133.33 554.13 406.98 808.48 599.00 113.55 813.52
2024-25 229.99 60.91 144.42 616.06 476.88 1146.55 599.00 109.19 1030.26
(Contd.)
Note: In the new base year 2015-16, dissemination of prices started w.e.f July, 2019.
* : The unit has changed from 400 gms to 390 gms in base year 2015-16.
89
TABLE 7.4 (E)
90
TABLE 7.5
Fiscal Wheat Rice Gram Sugar Vegetab- Tea Meat Vegeta- Fresh Cotton* Motor
Year (Whole) Refined le Ghee bles Milk Spirit
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 159.53 123.39 169.24 251.13 118.21 165.31 174.86 173.43 157.40 171.48 126.84
2011-12 163.44 149.45 - 229.24 141.37 192.23 214.40 211.52 190.29 189.55 155.00
2012-13 188.52 165.42 - 201.93 141.75 203.24 228.80 216.66 213.81 168.92 168.70
2013-14 227.13 177.67 - 206.98 141.51 215.49 238.93 254.41 225.98 185.58 184.99
2014-15 209.29 172.20 - 189.35 147.13 145.16 236.14 255.40 249.87 208.86 167.79
2015-16 209.07 147.58 - 237.16 119.85 242.82 267.79 258.45 255.23 249.16 120.71
2016-17 208.21 154.49 - 242.70 124.63 243.24 282.23 280.77 266.08 268.07 115.52
2017-18 202.02 172.15 - 201.60 127.22 261.70 311.25 294.16 275.05 262.92 134.99
2018-19 211.14 191.38 - 226.24 135.10 285.16 348.60 293.46 287.20 269.50 164.47
(Base Year 2015-16=100)
2019-20 119.09 145.34 - 123.16 138.46 126.36 139.45 178.87 116.22 127.20 150.35
2020-21 158.62 166.97 - 150.78 167.12 129.72 162.32 161.91 141.12 138.85 148.00
2021-22 175.16 182.90 - 153.61 262.71 142.24 192.37 195.68 149.26 146.49 206.78
2022-23 292.61 268.05 - 161.41 358.83 209.91 226.09 271.31 193.85 176.07 347.49
2023-24 338.58 355.83 - 237.32 321.53 266.69 275.99 347.61 226.88 178.55 399.13
July-April
2023-24 359.12 357.82 - 237.65 323.62 266.05 271.05 361.95 225.77 178.28 401.78
2024-25 225.67 333.15 - 239.33 348.76 275.67 316.89 336.16 247.22 194.19 362.46
-: Not available (Contd.)
*: In the base year 2015-16 prices of Cotton Seeds has been quoted instead of Cotton prices.
91
TABLE 7.5
Fiscal Kerosene Fire Cotton Matches Soaps Ferti- Trans- Leather Timber Cement
Year Oils Wood Yarn lizers port
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 141.73 151.43 182.87 110.37 130.52 174.65 116.77 107.07 127.27 140.80
2011-12 166.98 190.47 196.06 118.84 151.04 258.65 - 109.08 139.00 162.19
2012-13 177.67 215.48 208.38 132.57 167.01 261.38 - 111.60 149.51 185.77
2013-14 178.30 238.11 213.03 143.20 180.26 266.33 - 168.48 170.36 203.42
2014-15 179.03 252.59 246.11 175.76 160.21 235.83 - 216.67 200.60 225.95
2015-16 162.08 263.90 173.44 162.62 183.87 260.00 - 220.42 214.44 212.15
2015-16 161.99 263.88 173.41 162.62 183.87 260.10 - 220.40 214.35 212.23
2016-17 178.77 272.97 198.86 165.53 189.10 219.37 - 222.98 225.62 214.45
2017-18 186.98 282.43 216.99 171.36 191.32 222.52 - 215.78 233.96 217.99
2018-19 232.43 290.68 267.72 172.07 198.37 258.49 - 224.79 243.08 236.62
Base Year 2015-16 = 100
2019-20 169.85 111.12 164.90 1164.79 110.25 101.84 - 106.04 111.87 113.42
2020-21 141.77 124.41 179.14 1172.40 113.18 102.06 - 108.77 152.12 122.71
2021-22 230.78 132.99 232.48 1228.39 130.05 142.37 - 119.84 162.32 151.50
2022-23 369.05 159.31 239.61 1970.70 175.97 203.96 - 147.14 196.21 204.11
2023-24 384.14 181.44 239.61 3309.90 226.05 251.46 - 179.74 223.08 238.19
July-April
2023-24 392.31 181.04 239.61 3307.09 225.46 246.66 - 179.17 221.76 236.25
2024-25 330.52 200.83 239.61 3332.20 235.71 275.39 - 176.46 238.17 286.08
-: Not available Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
In the new Base Year 2015-16, prices are disseminated w.e.f July, 2019.
92