The document discusses critical reforms needed in Pakistan, highlighting the urgent need for population control, educational access, and administrative restructuring to address the country's challenges. It emphasizes the importance of citizen advocacy to push for these reforms, as government initiatives are unlikely to materialize on their own. The author argues that without addressing these fundamental issues, Pakistan risks a future marked by chaos and poverty.
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Editorial Dawn 04 March
The document discusses critical reforms needed in Pakistan, highlighting the urgent need for population control, educational access, and administrative restructuring to address the country's challenges. It emphasizes the importance of citizen advocacy to push for these reforms, as government initiatives are unlikely to materialize on their own. The author argues that without addressing these fundamental issues, Pakistan risks a future marked by chaos and poverty.
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF or read online on Scribd
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BY NAEEM SADIQ
== Ignored challenge
IT is the season of mindlessness.
Seminars on climate change are in, while
family planning services are out. Taking
joans is in, while thinking with one’s own
brain is out. Danish schools are in, while
the 26.2 million out-of-school children in
the country are out.
Pakistan has travelled too far in the
wrong direction and seems in no mood to
course correct.
‘There are at least four fundamental
reforms that are needed for a turna-
round. These include: addressing our
burgeoning population; creating at least
25 administrative units, instead of con-
tinuing with the existing four huge and
unmanageable provinces; putting an
end to foreign loans; and placing every
youngster from five to 16 years in a
child-friendly school. Not undertaking
these reforms is akin to opting for a mis-
erable, chaotic, poverty-stricken, and
insecure futur
It is best to follow Mark ‘Twain’s advice
and begin by ‘eating the frog’ and upgrad-
ing our most critical, most uncomfortable,
and the least talked-about issue to the top
of our ‘things to do’ list. Here are some
harsh statistics that describe our popula-
tion: 40 per cent of the people live on or
below the poverty line, and face a further
decline in per capita income and an
increase in the poverty rate. Over 26m of
our children do not attend schools, while
those who do are unable to read or under-
stand a simple text even by the age of 10.
Over 3m children are involved in
Jabour, 1.2m beg on the streets, 12m are
malnourished, and 17,554 more arrive
every day — including during holidays
and weekends. (‘This calls for building 87
new schools every single day.) While the
average global Total Fertility Rate has
dropped to 2.2 and all 35 countries classi-
fied as developed economies have brought
their TFR to well below 2.0, Pakistan
remains mindlessly stuck at 3.6.
‘To expect any government in Pakistan
to undertake a population planning pro-
gramme on its own isa statistical improb-
ability. The only option is for concerned
citizens to initiate a dialogue and an advo-
cacy movement to push the rulers for
urgent and specific population control
reforms. Begin by modifying the National
Finance Commission Award, which cur-
rently incentivises provinces to boost
their population in order to receive a big-
ger share of the 82pe fund allocated on
the basis of population. This counterpro-
ductive incentive could be offset by
retaining, say, 50pc of funds for the size of
the population and 32pe for a reduction in
the TFR achieved by each province.
‘The contraceptive prevalence rate in
Pakistan is 34pe, while it is 67pe in India,
63pe in Bangladesh, and 77pe in Iran.
There is a huge unmet need, and an esti-
mated 17pe additional couples would
want to use contraceptives if they were
easily and inexpensively available.
Pakistan should eliminate the 17pe ‘lux:
ury goods’ tax imposed on imported con-
traceptives, and simultaneously encour-
age their local production and
availability at subsidised rates — espe-
cially in urban slums and rural areas.
The excellent Lady Health Workers pro-
gramme ought to be revitalised and
expanded with better training and
wages. The government could encourage
and ensure that every Basic Health Unit
and private clinic across Pakistan also
provides family planning information,
counselling and services.
Family planning cannot be divorced
from the social, cultural and economic
conditions of our society. The poor wish
to get their daughters married as soon as
possible and to have sons as old-age
insurance. A wise
government could
The state financially motiv-
ate the people by
must = = creating incenti
prioritise its ves for a) families
< that comply with
population the" condition that
problem. girls must be at
least 18 years bef-
ore they get mar-
ried (a law still to be enacted by three
provinces); b) girls completing 10 years
of education; ¢) couples who space their
children and limit their offspring to two.
The state could help reduce poverty by
ensuring a minimum legal wage for all
workers — currently, only 40pc of work-
ers receive a minimum wage — and old-
age pension EOBI— currently provided
only to 10pe of workers
Initiating an open discourse, effective
use of media, premarital counselling and
well-designed incentive programmes, as
well as promoting girls’ education,
expanding family planning services and
seeking support from religious scholars,
intellectuals and healthcare profession-
als are some of the lessons we ought to
have learnt by now. However, none of this
shall happen unless citizens speak up and
the state shifts its focus and resources
from raising parliamentarians’ salary
and purchasing cars for bureaucrats to
the grave issue of a galloping population
within its boundaries. m
The wnter is an industrial engineer and a
volunteer social activist.
naeemsadiq@ gmail.comBY NIAZ
MURTAZA
A year of misrule
AS the PML-N set-up marks one year
in power today, I review its outcomes via
a detailed framework that I have used for
several past set-ups. It says the quality of
an administration’s outcomes depends on
the quality of its strategies, which, in
turn, depends on the quality of its team.
The outcomes occur in five domains
(economic, political, social, security,
and external) and functions (legislation,
policy, projects, services, and institu-
tional reform). Just by looking at the
team, one can predict early how the gov-
erning set-up will do in five years.
Looking at its weak team last year, [had
said that the PML-N will do poorly. A
year has validated this view. I focus on
the federal set-up.
Politically, the year has been our annus
horribilis since 1947 for a civilian set-up.
Coming to power via rigged polls with
the help of the establishment, the cur-
rent set-up has unleashed an assault on
key institutions, causing more damage in
just one year than others did in a full
term. This includes dubious legislative
tweaks like the 26th and Peca amend-
ments, disruption of social media and
abuses against opposition groups like the
PTI, PTM, and BYC. The aim seemingly
is to deliver the real power wielders a
docile set-up and society based on a mis-
placed view that this will deliver pro-
gress. The poor outcomes belie the view.
Economically, progress means eco-
nomic stability, durable growth, equity,
and sustainability. So far, we have only
regained economic stability after the
2022 crisis, with low inflation and higher
dollar reserves. But past regimes, too,
gave us similar stability. Regaining eco-
nomic stability after a crisis is not diffi-
cult, Under IMF-led reforms, it can
achieve be achieved via administrative
fiat in a few months. The State Bank chief
ups interest rates and devalues the rupee.
The finance guru cuts development out-
lays, ups import tariffs, and begs and bor-
rows from Gulf countries and China, All
this shrinks the twin deficits to contain
the crisis — however, it also cuts growth
and enhances the misery of the poor.
Durable growth comes from deep
reforms in sick state units, the energy
sector, subsidies, tax and tariff realms,
and the bureaucracy, as well as develop-
ing a creative vision for a pro-poor econ-
omy to increase investment, productiv-
ity, sectoral growth and exports. Thus,
higher-level progress goals require dif.
ferent tasks and skillsets than those
linked to economic stability. If a set-up
achieves the latter, it doesn’t mean it can
also achieve the former. Like past admin-
istrations, the PML-N is failing to achieve
durable growth. Reforms have largely
stalled and its vision is limited to distrib-
uting patronage-driven services such as
different cards and laptops, which will
only increase the fiscal deficit and not
ignite equitable or durable growth. As
Khurram Husain noted astutely on these
pages, it may have already achieved peak
stability and things may go downhill now
given the lack of reforms.
The same is true externally. Ties have
improved a bit with China, the US and
the Gulf states, but haven’t gone beyond
that. So, while loans have been rolled
over, we have yet to see the inflow of the
billions the set-up was hoping for —
which would have allowed it to defer ser:
ous reforms by loosening the current
account binding constraint. Security ten-
sions persist with India and Afghanistan,
as both refuse to play ball.
Overall, too, the security statusremains
fragile, and groups like the BLA and TTP
have launched several attacks. Parachinar
is the latest flashpoint. Despite threats,
———— attacks and visits, the
‘Afghan Taliban have so.
Reforms _ farnot stopped the TTP
from operating from its
have soil. As with the eco-
largely nomic and external sit-
stalled uation, the PML-N and
its patrons remain clue-
under the _ less on how to improve
things. Finally, there
current have been no major ini-
set-up. tiatives in the social
sector.
So, the status is prac-
tically the same in all domains — pla-
teaus with no chances of major gains
soon, given the lack of team capacity. The
size of the cabinet has doubled but not its
capacities, as new appointees are seen by
many to be inept, political choices.
Neither the PML-N nor the establishment
seem to want deep economic change, as it
may unfurl major political and social
changes in society that they can’t control,
leading to their political demise. So, their
aim is to crush societal dissent and fever-
ishly look for funds from big states that
will allow them to postpone reforms as
long as possible and maintain their politi-
cal fiat. But this strategy may not work for
much longer. So, if our rulers don’t wake
up soon, we may be headed towards eco-
nomic and security chaos. m
The wniter is a political economist with a PhD
from the University of California, Berkeley,
and has senior-level work experience across
50 countries.
murtazaniaz@ yahoo.com
X: @NiazMurtaza2BY
= Gambling with World War III
TOO many opposite and unyielding opinions
are ranged on the subject, which requires an
‘explanatory note before coming tothe point, The
tungainly White House. spat between Donald
‘Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky has eripped
everyone's attention. But let me make @ small
point here.
anything, the wordy duel reminds one of
‘ld Chinese saying: Don't interruprthe enemy it
he is making a mistake” ‘Think about it If
‘Trump's controversial actions at home help to
dismantle the glabal snooping menace of
yes the sobriquet for the dark club of intelli
gence agencies of the US, UK, Australia, Canada
land New Zealand, is it not a matter of relief for
the rest of the world? Cynies may consider the
views af Edward Snowden on the subjact. Irwas
his revelations about the Five Eyes intelligence
alliance that exposed how the US and its allies
Spy on eitizens-and share their information.
‘On the diplomatic circuit, if Trunap's actions
the war in Ukraine stop the meat grinder from
‘wasting more human lives and also helps ander.
Imine the corrosive transatlantic military’ all
nce of old colonial powers, should the rest ofthe
‘World rejoice or uo into depression?
‘Some diseussants on the subject see Vladimir
Purinasa greater threat to peace. Zelonsky calls
hhim terrorist. Ukraine's constitution forbids
hhim to talk to Putin. Airy:fairy duels don’t lead
anywhere. In fact, a most crucial obser vatio
that was made in the Oval Office on Friday
boon buried in the rush to take sides betwoen
Zelensky and his host and Putin.
The point We may have missed was Trump's
sound advice to Zelensky showing lim the door:
“You aro gambling with World War IIL” I'shard
to remember an American president confessing
to anally he had been arming in-a brutal war (0
be wary of the conflict turning into 4 nuclear
war Anyone can describe Trump as a threat 10
‘America, to democracy and so forth. No one is
taking away the import of that criticism, But
valid as it is, the timing of the eriticism masks
the distress of Jack Nicholson's complaint in As
Good As feGers. “Lam drowninghere, and you are
deseribing the water.”
‘Trump, in fact, made another self-appraisal
JAWED NAQVI
for Zelensky to ponder. He said the Ukrain
Russia war should never have happened. Iria
fratricidal war, indeed, just as the Afghans were
made to range against oach other with this or
that ruse, only tobe abandoned because of impe-
Hallas srvention defieir, We saw pretty mach
the same thing in Vietnam, pitting brother
against brother. The Iraq war wasas contrived as
the Ukeainian conflict. The modus operandi was
also the same: give the quarry the kiss of death.
April Glaspie did to Saddam Hussein what years
Tater Victoria Nuland would do ra Zelensky. Hot
were seduced into ruinous wars and then pre:
{ented svith the bill for reparations,
Before the ‘current stand-off, ordinary
Russians and Ukrainians were invested In each
other a members ofa larger Slavic family. They
The point we may have
missed was Trump’s sound
advice to Zelensky showing
him the door.
shared a common history, most notably of jointly
Sefeating Hitler, although Ukraine had its ow
Variants of Nazi sympathisers too. The two pe
ples shared the same church, thoir cuisine, and
uch ‘of their culture
Soviet leaders tad Ukr:
Khrushehew, Leonid Brezhnev,
Chernenko were born or raised in Ukraine,
‘Why was Trump speaking to Zelenskey shout
the spectre ‘of a nuclear. holocaust should
Ukraine continue 10 rib Russia with foreiz
weapons? It's possible, as some analysts believe,
that he was warning European partners as much
Zelensky about the perils of persisting with a
fruitless and calamitous conflict, Now that
Russia and the US appear to be on the same page
in the stand-off, where could the triguer for a
catastrophe be lying?
‘There are several triggers, not least in the
Middle Bast, while the South China Sea contin.
yes 19 be another volatile region. But the real
Russian roulette that ‘Trump. was cautloning
about 1s being played out in London by none
thor than the usual suspects. A“coalition of the
2" is being hustled topether. Keir Starmer
Emmanuel Macron, both areugaling with
terrible popularity ratings at home, insist they
Wane to put ‘boots on the ground’ in Ukraine,
Ostensibly to strengthen Zelensky's Nand in the
‘vent of a ceasefire. Credible analysts sce this 38
4 poisoned chalice for Putin. After all, Russia
waded into Ukraine to vacate the possibility of
having Nato members on its borders, European
Teaders know Putin wold never acespt them a
neighbours.
‘Moreover, as implied by Trump in his second
term in office, the West, more specifically Nato,
hhad deliberately provoked Putin. The UK has
been stressing that a Russian vietory would pose
a'threat to Furope. Does the claim have’ any
basis in fact? Or lait rooted in Beitai’'shistory of
Russophobia? Ever since Churehill's iron cur
tain speech andthe rise of James Bond,
Russophobia has only prospered. The chorus in
the Biden days was that Russia had lost the war
‘Trump pookepoohied the claim and effectively
said it ian’ happening. His predatory Tangs are
‘out for Ukrainian minerals instead. He won't be
tunaware that the Ukraine war is aiso known a
Hillary Clinton’srevenge for Putin's indiseretion
of stalling her dismantling of Syria ila Libya in
‘Antony Blinkon’s company.
“The businessman in Trump makes him instine
tively averse to needless risks. He should have
been rattled lase month when a allicary hellcop-
fer etashed midair int a commercial airliner
over Washington airport. The helicopter was
enrrying out a mock drill to evactate am ima
hary POTUS to safety during. an imaginary
hhuclear attack. To make it ecrien, Anmia
Jacobsen, in her insightful book called Nuclear
War, had only recently described a helicopter
crash involving the US president who was being
rescued to a safchouse but ended up with mult
ple fractures and no one alive to help.
‘The writer's Dawn's comespondent in Delhi.
Jawednaqvi@gmail.comBY ARIFA NOOR
Is all well?
The government let its jitters turn a low-profile event into a successful effort of resistance.
IT’S been a good week for the government.
Ietruly has.
Tt completed a year with great fanfare (and
advertising). There seems to be no immediate
threat on the horizon, leading everyone in power
‘or close to them to boast of a long run. No won
‘der, then, sat the Fedaral government has so
‘expanded the cabinet, indueting friends, allies,
‘and enomics alike. ‘The parliamentarians also
gave themselves pat on the back and a raise to
‘nisire everyone realised howe happy they were
with their on performance,
‘There was criiciam here and chere — of the
raise, of the advertising that wa
the expansion that seomed to hi
with governance. This was water off a duck’s
ack. After all, the IMF programme is on track,
tho rupee is stable, inflation is slowing down,
land there has been no call from the US either
‘The horse and cattle show vas also 4 success
Te truly isa case of ‘all lz well, array chacIu,
cll iz el
‘And why wouldn't it be well? Not just for the
ses recounted above but alo the victory
judicial front, The new judges have been
inducted and, by coincidence’, their placements
‘ethey nthe Supreme Court or the Islamabad
High Couet — will ensure that none of the “lit
cult’ judges will get to dominate now. There is
nnow little chance of any instability due to judge:
sments'ss such,
Elsesshere, too, another institution, has been
tamed. For why else would government officials,
while pitching Peca, claim that the law would
‘only target those working on social media? In
this assurance is the assumption that main
stream media is hardly a challenge (or dare one
hreat). I's only the ‘out of contro social
imodia which has to be tamed. And for this, Peea
is simply the newest tool in the government's
Indy it also has the defamation law passed by.
Punjab and the mythical firewall handy.
‘ut if aa ize well, and we believe the govern
ment when it says aalf 22 well, then Why was @
Vanilla event of the opposition stopped?
"For once, the PTI wasn't protesting. It wasn’t
threatening to mareh an to Islamabad. Tt wasn't
promising @ neverending dharna (hich would
Ghd'in a trek by a health-conscious cite minis:
{en This time around, there were no claims or
slogans or preparations. In fact, the PTT was
doing what everyone has been advising them t0
Stallto and with other politicos
And hence, the PTland other senior, old-style
politicians ware going to sit In an auditorium in
Islamabad and give speeches. It doesn't get more
Vanilla than this, And it doesn’t get more routine
that this because Islamabad is ust not the seat of
government but also the capital of NGOs,
Everyone in this town has attended a sominar
andfor spoken at one. The hotels in Islamabad
Fun on the gas produced by the long specehes
‘everyone nives
Thdeed, seminars are about as common in
Islamabad as the boars that populate it (The
fourlegged ones have kind of disappeared, but
I'm sure most readers know what | mean.) But
‘someone, somewhere got hot under their collar
atthe thought of speeches, despite the rains.
So, the opposition kepe getting ditched by the
people whose venues it had booked. ‘The first
Vente, it was told, was too close to the route
Gricketers. took’ as they wont to play their
matches. The second one wasn't going to crass
the cricketers” path but apparently a kaa bil
(black eat) did, because the security precautions
‘were just as stringent everywhere In the city —
people cannot collect in a group because the
Gricketcrs Ware going back and forth In some
part of the city. The third also changed its mind
(do the reasons even matter’). Finally, the fourth
fone turned oat fo be a charm. But only for a day
“by the second day, the management had a
‘change of heart leading to the NGO-type event
taking inspiration from the Occupy Wall Street
event — they climbed gates, forced pen doors,
land delivered thundering speeches. All in the
hotel lobby because the Asma Jahangir
‘Aasditorinm had been locked to keep the polit
clans out. The irony of something named after
‘Asma Jahangir being inaccessible 10 politicians
hhaai’t been lost on anyone
‘And in the process, the politicos got much
projection.
So the confident government let ts jitters turn
a low-profile event Into a successful effort of
Fesistance, and frankly, no one was surprised
because shooting themselves in the foot Is what
those on Constitution Avenue excel at
‘Bat was it just a jittery government?
As an aside, most journalists in Pakistan do
tum into conspiracy theorists at the best of
times. So one wonders if the Noontes got jittery,
bf did someone else just want them toppear jit
tery? And embarrass it?
Gr worse still, the objective wasn't to make
the government look jittery but just to make i
look bad. Inthe latter ease, the PML-N should be
worried, very worried. The time to look over
their shoulder has beste
Postscript I's been five days since the cabinet
expansion happened and the shentanis were
taken out of the closets and donned so that the
baths could be talcen, But the portfolios have yet
tobe male oficial. The new contingent of minis
ters, which we were told was needed to run the
country, is here, but it seems no one knows what
tasks it is to perform. Pervez Khattak, Mustafa
Kamal and the less Important Noonies are still
waiting —asare we.
Ts it because there is much lobbying and jock
eying at play ot is there mote at play? Two plus
two is not adding up to four. But then, polities is
Hot math iit?
The wnteris a joumalstPolio politics
HE dispute between the centre and Punjab over the
I detection of polio cases in Mandi Bahauddin is unnecessary
and dangerous. While Punjab officials argue that the
child in question does not meet the clinical criteria for polio,
the National Institute of Health has confirmed the presence of
the virus in her stool sample. At a time when Pakistan remains
one of two countries still battling the disease, such discord
hampers progress. The controversy surrounding the case in
question highlights complacency. When health authorities
contest scientifically confirmed diagnoses and present videos of
children running about as ‘evidence’ against polio’s presence,
they misunderstand the nature of the disease. Mild cases, where
children retain some mobility, are actually indicators of progress
in immunisation efforts — not proof that diagnoses are incorrect.
Detection of such cases represents a success of our surveillance
system, not a failure of our vaccination drives. As the NIH
epidemiologist rightly noted, “What may seem like bad news today
is actually good news for tomorrow.” This scientific approach must
prevail over political considerations and provincial pride.
The path to eradication requires accepting hard facts. Each
confirmed case — whether in Punjab, Sindh, or elsewhere —
demands immediate response, not denial. Our surveillance
systems must remain vigilant enough to detect even atypical
presentations, especially as we approach the endgame of
eradication. Moving forward, both federal and provincial
authorities must prioritise unity over division. The centre should
ensure transparent communication of test results and diagnostic
criteria, while provinces must accept scientific findings without
defensiveness. Joint training of healthcare workers on recognising
varying presentations of polio will boost our detection capabilities.
Pakistan’s children deserve protection from a preventable disease
that continues to threaten their futures. This requires putting
aside jurisdictional disputes and embracing collaborative action.
Only through acknowledging every case — mild or severe — can
we develop targeted strategies to finally put polio behind us.Diplomatic protocol
Tis a fact that KP — which shares a long border with
Afghanistan — is directly affected by cross-border terrorism,
while people on both sides of the frontier share centuries-
old tribal, cultural, and linguistic links. Yet where the conduct
of foreign policy is concerned, while the federating units,
particularly those sharing borders with neighbouring states, ought
to give their input, bilateral negotiations with foreign powers
should be the sole prerogative of the centre. This should be kept
in mind as the PTI-led KP government seeks to open dialogue
channels with the Afghan Taliban regime. While meeting the
consul-general of the ‘Islamic Emirate’ on Sunday, KP Chief
Minister Ali Amin Gandapur reiterated that negotiations with
the Afghan side through a tribal jirga would start once the terms
of reference were approved by the federal government. While
there can be little disagreement with Mr Gandapur’s assertion
that negotiations are key to establishing lasting peace, how these
parleys are conducted, and by whom, needs further attention. The
KP administration has been pushing the idea of direct talks with
Kabul for some time now; the chief minister had mentioned the
need for ‘tribal diplomacy’ at a meeting two weeks ago, while a
similar proposal was also floated last year.
Considering our frigid ties with Kabul, and the fact that dialogue
is preferable to confrontation, the Afghan Taliban should be
engaged. But the centre must continue to lead this effort, with
significant input from KP. Foreign policy should not be allowed
to become a victim of political differences. At this time, different
parties are in power in all four provinces and the centre; if all
provinces were to pursue independent relations with neighbouring
states, it would have a negative effect on the cohesion of our
foreign policy. That is why external relations should remain the
preserve of the centre, with all four provinces providing their
input regarding the direction of ties with neighbours. The KP
government has reiterated that talks with the Afghan Taliban will
remain “aligned with security and foreign policies”. The best way
to maintain this alignment is for the peace initiative to be led by
the foreign ministry, where professional diplomats aware of the
on-ground situation are advised by elected representatives and the
provincial administrations concerned. It would be inadvisable for
the provinces to take solo flights on foreign policy.IME scrutiny
N IMF delegation is in Islamabad to assess progress on
A the Fund’s ongoing $7bn funding programme amidst
hopes that the review will not encounter any serious
obstacles that could delay the next tranche. The mission will
evaluate how Pakistan has done on quantitative performance
criteria, structural benchmarks and indicative targets for the first
half of the current fiscal year. There have been some “technical
slippages”, such as delays in meeting the deadlines for certain
goals, like legislation on agriculture tax. Officials insist that
they have covered all the bases, although the failure to meet the
tax target will likely remain a major source of worry. Yet, the
officials are confident that the IMF will ignore the slippages in
the tax target because of a “higher-than-targeted primary budget
surplus and greater-than-estimated revenue-to-GDP ratio”. The
FBR attributes the shortfall largely to reduced tax collection
from imports, sluggish LSM growth and an unexpected drop
in inflation. The IMF’s response to the tax shortfall remains to
be seen. However, the stock market’s decline betrays investors’
anxiety at the anticipated contingency measures under the
Fund’s pressure to pull off the actual tax target.
‘The investors’ anxiety notwithstanding, the IMF’s scrutiny
of Pakistan’s performance is most likely to progress smoothly
without any harsh new conditions for the second half of the
present fiscal year, or punitive demands from the lender for
tax slippages. That said, the ongoing review will be critical in
determining how the economy moves forward. On its success
depend the strengthening of economic stability, official flows
from other multilateral agencies, and upgradation of the
sovereign credit rating, which is crucial to IsLamabad’s plans to
raise funds from international bond markets. Any hiccups in
the programme would put paid to these plans and lead to anew
wave of uncertainty and volatility. For now, the macroeconomic
indicators suggest a temporary reprieve: the rupee has held
steady, inflation has plunged to 1.4pc, the current account is
running a surplus of over $600m, remittances have jumped to
over $3bn a month, and exports are showing resilience.
These improvements are mostly due to financial support
from the IMF and bilateral lenders, as well as stability in the
global commodity markets. The price for this fragile stability
has been massive though: a sharp slowdown in domestic growth
as well as rising unemployment and poverty. With the second
Trump presidency in the US shaking up the global economic
and political order, the need for freeing the economy from the
clutches of the forces of status quo and restructuring it to get it
back on its feet has never been so compelling. The current IMF
bailout could be the last opportunity to avoid a repeat of the past.FC soldier
martyred in
Kalat suicide
bombing
By Saleem Shahid
QUETTA: A Frontier
Corps man was martyred
and four others were
injured in a suicide attack
carried out by a woman on
a convoy near Kalat on
Monday, officials said.
The attack came a day
after Chief Minister Mir
Sarfraz Bugti expressed
alarm over the security
situation prevailing in the
province.
Officials said the sui-
cide blast took place when
the FC convoy was passing
through the Mughalzai
area.
Attack by militants
on Punjab border
areas foiled: Page 2
“An FC soldier was mar
tyred and four others were
wounded in the attack car
ried out by a female sui
cide bomber,” Kalat Dep-
uty Commissioner Bilal
Shabbir confirmed, adding
that soon after the attack
security forces and police
cordoned off the area and
shifted the body and the
injured to hospital.
The banned Baloch
Liberation Army (BLA-
Azad) claimed responsi-
bility for the assault.
Reports said the tar
geted FC vehicle was badly
damaged in the attack, but
other vehicles in the con-
voy remained safe.
“An FC commandant
travelling in the convoy
also escaped unhurt in the
suicide attack,” a senior
security official said.
Sources said the FC con-
voy was on its way to a
Continued on Page 11CB urged to send civilians’ cases to ATCs
Continued from Page 1
if he had challenged Section 94 of
the Pakistan Army Act, which
deals with cases that can be tried in
both civilian and military courts.
“When a criminal court and a
court martial have each jurisdic
tion in respect of a civil offence, it
shall be in the discretion of the pre-
scribed officer to decide before
which court the proceedings shall
be instituted...”
The section alsostates that if
“[an] officer” decides that the case
will be tried in military court, the
accused should be taken into mili-
tary custody.
The counsel replied that the
offence, which falls under the
Army Act, was not determined
when the custody of the accused
was transferred to military courts,
He added that he had also chal-
lenged the “unlimited discretion”
of Section 94 in his petition.
‘The authority of the officer who
decides the transfer of custody to
military courts should not be
unlimited,” Mr Siddiq contended.
When the discretion enjoyed by
the prime minister is subject to cer-
tain limits, why the authority of the
commanding officer to decide the
transfer of custody was unlimited,
the counsel argued,
He also emphasised the need for
“structuring the power” to transfer
the custody to military courts.
During the hearing, Justice Syed
Hasan Azhar Rizvi observed
whether investigations conducted
by the police were slow and the ones
by military authorities were swift.
He also questioned the evidence
available at the time of transfer
ring the custody.
The counsel, however, argued
that the root cause was not the
availability of evidence on record
but the “unlimited power” exer
cised by the commanding officer in
relation to the transfer of custody.
Justice Jamal Khan Mandokhail
remarked whether the executive's
discretion ended after Article 175
of the Constitution — outlining the
jurisdiction of courts — underscor
ing the judiciary’s independence
from executive influence.
‘The counsel argued that the mili-
vary trial of civilians was chal
lenged before the Supreme Court
under Article 245, which pertains
to the deployment of armed forces
in aid of civil power.
Justice Khan observed that
when the events of May 9 took
place, Article 245 had not been
invoked by the government.
The counsel replied that Article
245 was in the field when the mili-
tary trials were challenged before
the Supreme Court. The hearing
will recommence today (Tuesday)‘Torkham tensions mount
as forces trade fire
¢ Six security men, two civilians injured; man dies of cardiac
arrest as locals forced to flee hail of bullets ¢ Taliban fighter
reportedly killed, two wounded in exchange of fire
By Ibrahim Shinwari
KHYBER: At least
eight people, including
six troops, sustained
minor injuries on Sunday
night after Pakistan and
Afghan Taliban forces
traded fire at the Torkham
border, forcing civilians
to flee for their lives
besides causing one death
due to ‘cardiac arrest’.
Sources said the firing
started around midnight,
with both sides initially
using light weapons and
later resorting to heavy
weaponry, which dam-
aged several buildings in
the area.
A number of official and
private buildings were hit
by bullets and mortar
shells overnight. While the
guns fell silent around
liam, the situation
remained tense on the bor-
der and troops on both
sides remained entrenched.
Four security men
martyred in North
Waziristan attack:
Page 3
Reuters quoted _ the
Afghan interior ministry
as saying that one Taliban
fighter had been killed and
two injured in the firing.
Panic in area
The intense firing cou-
pled with artillery fire
caused panic among resi-
dents in the Bacha Maina
residential compound (a
community of about 100
houses) who had to flee
their homes in the middle
of the night.
Sabir Khan, a resident,
told Dawn that they had to
take shelter in the British-
era railway tunnels to
escape the bullets and rain.
They moved to safer locali-
ties in Landi Kotal early in
the morning. He said that
most of the fleeing resi-
dents could not even take
their Sehri due to the chaos.
Khiyali Shah, another
resident, said that several
vehicles collided with each
other as residents were in a
hurry to leave the locality
amid intense gunfire.
He claimed a number of
houses were also hit by
Continued on Page 5Inflation drops
to lowest in
nearly a decade
* Consumer Price Index eases 0.8pe month-on-month;
falls to 1.5pe year-on-year
¢ Falling food prices contribute to slowdown;
decline exceeds even ministry’s expectations
« PM credits economic team, says macroeconomic
gains reaching people
By Mubarak Zeb Khan
ISLAMABAD: Annual inflation
continued its downward trend, falling
to a nearly decade-low of 1.5 per cent
year-on-year in February, primarily
driven bya decline in perishable food
prices, especially wheat flour.
The decline even exceeded the
Ministry of Finance’s expectations,
which had projected inflation to
remain between 2pe and 3pe. In its
February report, the ministry also
predicted that the figure would rise
to between 3pc and 4pe by March.
The slowdown in inflation is pri-
marily driven by lower prices of
wheat and its by-products, perisha-
ble items like onions, certain pulses,
and a slight reduction in electricity
charges. These products hold signifi-
cant weight in inflation calculations,
making even minor price changes
impactful in reducing the overall
inflation rate.
In contrast, sugar and edible oil pri-
ces are rising in the domestic market
despite their declining rates globally.
‘The government has permitted sugar
exports, particularly to Afghanistan,
citing surplus stock as the reason.
The headline inflation, measured
by Consumer Price Index (CPI),
eased by 0.8pe in February on a
month-on-month basis, according to
data released by the Pakistan
Bureau of Statistics on Monday.
The inflation rate in February
2025 was the lowest since November
2015, mainly due to the high base
effect from the previous year
(February 2024 — 23.1pe). The CPI
inflation dropped to 9.6pe in August
2024, marking the first single-digit
figure in over three years, and the
downward trend continued in the fol-
lowing months.
The CPI inflation surged above
10pe in November 2021 and
remained in double digits for 33 con-
secutive months until July 2024. In
between, it peaked at 38pe in May
2023, driven by unprecedented food
and energy prices.
Shehbaz to review govt’s
one-year performance
today: Page 3
Pakistan is currently experienc
ing disinflation, indicating a slow-
down in inflation. In contrast, defla-
tion refers to a decline in overall
price levels.
According to the Pakistan Bureau
of Statistics (PBS), average cumula-
tive inflation over the past 49 months
increased by 83pc, impacting the
retail prices of all consumer items.
This decline in inflation does not indi-
cate a reduction in the cost of living.
‘Economic team’s efforts”
Ina statement, Prime Minister
Shehbaz Sharif expressed satisfac-
tion over the continuous decline in
the CPI inflation. “This is very good
news on this occasion as the current
government completes its first year,”
the premier remarked.
He attributed the decline to his
economic team’s efforts, saying that
economic indicators are improving
with each passing day. He claimed
that the benefits of macroeconomic
improvement have started reaching
Continued on Page 5TRUMPS RECORD-BREAKING
FLURRY OF EXECUTIVE ORDERS