Rastaw Proposal
Rastaw Proposal
June,2025
Shinille, sitt_zone,thiopia
Contents
TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE
I. Table of Contents……………………………………………………………………….....2
II. Lists of Abbreviation………………………………………………………………………4
III. Grand Summary of the Project……………………………………………………5
1. Introduction and Overview of the Project………………………………………………...6
1.1. Introduction………………………………………………………………………
…...6
1.2. Ethiopia’s Restructuring Economy………………………………………………........6
1.3. Economic Liberalization………………………………………………………………6
1.4. The Foreign Investment Policy………………………………………………………..7
1.5. Guarantees to
Investor………………………………………………………………...7
1.5.1. Repatriation of Capital and Profit……………………………………………..7
1.5.2. Guarantees Against Expropriation…………………………………………...7
1.6. Measure Investment Incentives……………………………………………………….8
1.6.1. Customs Import Duty………………………………………………………...8
1.6.2. Exemptions for Payment of Export Customs Duties…………………….......8
1.7. An overview of Ethiopia’s
Performance……………………………………………...8
1.8. Background of the
Project…………………………………………………………….9
2. Objectives of the project………………………………………………………………….11
2.1. General Objectives…………………………………………………………………...11
2.2. Specific Objective......................................................................................11
3. Product Descriptions and Applications…………………………………………………..11
4. Market Study and Plant Capacity………………………………………………………..12
4.1. Market Study…………………………………………………………………….........12
4.1.1. Past Supply and Present Demand…………………………………………...12
14.2. Ratios………………………………………………………………………………25
14.3. Break-even Analysis………………………………………………………………..25
14.4. Pay-back Period………………………………………………………………….....25
Since 1991, the new Democratic Government coming into power and soon after it adopted the
market oriented Economic policy in 1992. The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia
(FDRE) was set up under a new constitution in 1995. The FDRE came with new Federal
governmental system that has a bicameral parliament, with the House of people's Representative
being the highest authority of the Federal Government and House of federation which account as
the second chamber with its only federalism character that empowered with the interpretation of
the country’s constitution and representatives of all nation nationalities of Ethiopia, while the
members of both councils are democratically elected for five years.
I.2. Ethiopia’s Restructuring Economy
A prevailing agricultural economy financial records for about 42% of Ethiopia’s Gross Domestic
product (GDP), 62% of total exports and 85% of employment. Coffee alone contributes over
30% of total agricultural exports. Agriculture is supplemented by Industry, mining, trade,
tourism, construction, services, etc. Make the remaining 58% of GDP. About 13% of GDP
comes from the Industrial sector supplying important consumer goods to the domestic and
international markets. The main manufactured export products include textiles, food stuffs,
tobacco, beverages, leather and leather products, wood, metallic and non-metallic products,
paper plastic products, canned and frozen meat, sugar and molasses and oil cakes products.
I.3. Economic Liberalization
Since the new market oriented Economic policy adopted in 1992, a number of policy measures
and reforms have been undertaken to change the structure of the economy and encourage radical
economic growth and development. The reforms include, among others, the following short-term
economic Liberalization and structural adjustment measures:
Ethiopia has endorsed a liberal Investment code. This encourages both domestic and foreign
investors to play a protuberant role in the economic development of the country. The code
provides a wide of incentives including tax holidays, duty exemptions, and free remittance of
founds and retention of foreign exchange earnings.
I.5. Guarantees to Investor
Ethiopia provides the following guarantee to foreign investors:-
I.5.1. Repatriation of Capital and Profit
Capital repatriation and remittance of dividends and interest is guaranteed to foreign investors
under the investment proclamation. Any foreign investor has the light, in respect of an approved
investment, to make the following remittances of Ethiopia in convertible currency at the
prevailing rate of exchange on the date of remittance:
• Profit and dividends accumulating from an investment,
• Principal and interest payments on external loans,
• Payments related to technology transfer or management agreements,
• Proceeds from sale or liquidation of an enterprise,
• Proceeds from the sale of transfer of shares or assets,
• Compensation paid to a foreign investor.
I.5.2. Guarantees Against Expropriation,
The constitution of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia protects private property. The
investment proclamation provides investment guarantees against measures of expropriation and
nationalization and nationalization that only may occur with the requirements of the law.
Where such expropriations are made, the government guarantees to provide adequate
compensation corresponding to the prevailing market value of property and such payment shall
be reflected promptly.
Other guarantees in Ethiopia are a member of the World Bank, affiliated Multilateral Investment
guarantee Agency (MIGA) that issues guarantees against none, commercial risks to enterprise,
which invest in signatory countries. Ethiopia is at any time ready to conclude bilateral
Investment promotion and protection treaties with any country and is in fact currently concluding
such agreements with a number of developed countries. Ethiopia has also signed the World Bank
Treaty "The Convention on settlement of Investment disputes between States and nationals of
other States (ICSlD). Investors are protected against expropriation and nationalization. Ethiopia
has ratified the convention establishing the multilateral investment guaranteed Agency (MIGA).
It has also signed bilateral investment promotion and protection agreements with a number of
OECD countries. The Investment offices serve as a one stop shop for foreign investors securing
investment certificates, company registration certificates and operating licenses.
Ethiopian products and services intended for exports are exempted from the payment of any
export tax other taxes and levied on export.
I.7. An overview of Ethiopia’s Performance
It is widely known that the ancient country of Ethiopia underwent a period of turmoil economic
stagnation and famine during the 1970s and 1980s. What is less well known is that since the
demise of the military dictatorship in 1991, a new Ethiopia has emerged which is politically
stable and making good economic progress. The achievements of this rapid economic turnaround
rest on solid foundations of political and economic reform, sound management of the economy
and an ongoing partnership with external donor and investors. Ethiopia has been at peace with
itself since the establishment of a federal system of government and parliamentary democracy.
Simultaneously, it has firmly moved from a command to a market economy.
Macroeconomic stability has been secured by careful sequencing of economic reforms, coupled
with tight fiscal and monetary policy. The progress on policy reform to date has secured the
foundations for future growth, creating a favorable climate for foreign and local investment in
Ethiopia. This will be further enhanced by the consolidation of continuous market reforms and
investment code reforms.
Ethiopia offers investors a wide array of opportunities. Ethiopia's proximity to Middle Eastern
and European markets, its abundant natural resources, land, livestock, minerals and a population
of 86 million potential consumers are just some of its key advantages.
In addition, its wealth of unique tourist sites, unoccupied attractive beauty and the authority’s
commitment to upgrade infrastructure, all under lined the country's determination and potential
to work with private investors. A fuller appreciation of the improved environment can be gained
by looking at four factors.
The broad picture of transition from a command to a market economy,
Its record of economic growth and stability,
Improvements in infrastructure,
Ethiopia's specific investment strategic/ incentives (both foreign and local).
It is with this in mind that the promoter, has intended to establish steel production Industry plant
(project) so as to satisfy the growing demand of the surrounding population for the project out
puts in utilizing long years’ experience in different business.
I.8. Background of the Project
As per the analysis carried out by different institutions on the political, economic, socio- cultural
and technological developments (PEST), Ethiopia offers a stable political and economic
environment as well as security; exceptional climate; almost complete absence of routine
corruption; continuously improving public service delivery which makes it potentially an ideal
destination for investment.
The macroeconomic performance in the past seven years has been very positive and the GTP
indicates a very good prospect, with a minimum of 11% GDP growth per-annum, for the future.
Although the incentive packages that are currently given seem to be adequate, the government is
planning to give additional incentives for the Industry sector, particularly to export oriented and
import substituting projects. Priorities will be given to the Industry sector in support provision in
the areas of licensing, land and finance allocation, training and the like.
The expansion of Universities as well as Technical, Vocational Education and Training (TVET)
in all parts of the country provides good opportunity in the supply of skilled and semi-skilled
technical personnel. Health service provision and development of infrastructures such as roads,
energy and communication are also showing a rapid improvement in the country. The
advancement of science and technology in the world and the spread of same in the country will
favorably influence the smooth operation of the envisaged project.
To encourage investment a number of incentives are granted to investors which include;
exemption of customs duty for importing capital goods and spare parts for investment and raw
materials for production of export goods, income tax holidays and the permission of losses to
carry forward during tax holiday period. Ethiopia also provides different guarantees with respect
to repatriation of capital, profit and against expropriation and nationalization. Accordingly, it
can be concluded that Ethiopia is ideal for investment.
Indeed the Feasibility Study for a plant for the production of nail is prepared by the Industrial
Projects Service (IPS), the Consultant, as per the consultancy agreement concluded with the
Ministry of Industry (MoI), the Client. This profile envisages consists of market, technical and
financial analyses components on the feasibility study of the envisaged plant.
This profile envisages the establishment of a plant for the production of corrugated iron sheet
with a capacity of 25,700 tons per annum. Corrugated iron sheet is used for roofing of houses
and other construction.
The demand for steel and corrugated iron sheet is met through both local production and import.
The present (2012) demand for corrugated iron sheet is estimated at 705,195 tons. The demand
for corrugated iron sheet is projected to reach 1,418,399 tons and 2,852,906 tons by the year
2017 and 2022, respectively. The principal raw materials required is plain iron sheet which has to
be imported.
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at Birr 84.01
million. From the total investment cost the highest share (Birr 52.61 million or 62.62%) is
accounted by initial working capital followed by fixed investment cost (Birr 24.61 million or
29.29%) and pre operation cost (Birr 6.79 million or 8.09%). From the total investment cost Birr
13.29 million or 15.83% is required in foreign currency.
The project is financially viable with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 34.48% and a net present
value (NPV) of Birr 116.59 million discounted at 10%.
The project can create employment for 252 persons. The establishment of such factory will have
a foreign exchange saving effect to the country by substituting the current imports. The project
will also create forward linkage with the construction sub sector and also generates income for
the Government in terms of tax revenue and payroll tax.
As can be seen from Table 4.1, the total supply or apparent consumption of corrugated iron sheet
during the period 2002 – 2011 reveals a growth trend specially beginning from year 2007. The
annual average total supply or apparent consumption which was 61,095 tons during the period
2002-2006 has increased to an annual average of 634,611 tons during the period 2007-2011.
Considering the nature of the trend in the apparent consumption of corrugated iron sheet it is
assumed that the growth rate registered in the past will also continue in the near future. During
the period 2002 – 2011 total supply of corrugated iron sheet has registered an average annual
growth rate of 76.65% which is on the high side. Hence, in order to be conservative a growth rate
of 10% is considered.
Accordingly, taking the average apparent consumption during the period 2009-2011 as a base
and applying a growth rate of 10% the present effective demand (2012) for corrugated iron sheet
is estimated at 705,195 tons.
1Local production data for 2011 is not available. Hence the average production during the previous three years
(2008-2010) is considered as the production level in 2011
The construction sector of the country has undergone tremendous changes and development in
recent years. The contribution of the construction sector to the GDP during the period 2001 –
2010 have been growing at annual average growth rate of 13 percent which is above the
average annual growth rate of real GDP during the period under consideration (11.4 %),
indicating a rise in the share of the construction sector within the overall economy. Moreover,
during the GTP period (2010 – 2015), the construction sector is expected to grow at annual
average growth rate of 20%.
On the other hand, among the factors that influence the demand for corrugated iron sheet one of
the critical factor is identified to be economic growth leading to growth of the construction
sector. According to the government’s “Growth and Transformation Plan” during the period
2010 – 2015 the GDP of the country is expected to grow at a minimum average annual growth
rate of 11.2%.
Accordingly, based on the above discussion a growth rate of 15% which is slightly higher than
the expected growth rate of the country’s GDP during the GTP period (2011 – 2015) is used.
Moreover, it is assumed that the highest local production during 2002 – 2011 indicates the
current local production capacity of corrugated iron sheet.
Based on the above assumption and using the estimated present demand as a base the projected
demand for steel and corrugated iron sheet and demand supply gap is shown in Table 4.2.
Table 4.2 Projected Demand for Corrugated Iron Sheet and Demand Supply Gap (Tons)
Year Projected Demand Existing Capacity Demand Supply Gap
2013 810,974 786,000 24,974
2014 932,620 786,000 146,620
2015 1,072,513 786,000 286,513
2016 1,233,390 786,000 447,390
2017 1,418,399 786,000 632,399
2018 1,631,158 786,000 845,158
2019 1,875,832 786,000 1,089,832
2020 2,157,207 786,000 1,371,207
2021 2,480,788 786,000 1,694,788
2022 2,852,906 786,000 2,066,906
2023 3,280,842 786,000 2,494,842
2024 3,772,969 786,000 2,986,969
2025 4,338,914 786,000 3,552,914
Thus, the total annual raw and auxiliary materials cost at full production capacity of the plant is
estimated at Birr 188,516.50 million.
5.2. Utilities
Utilities are another important category of inputs required for the envisaged process, which
mainly includes electric power, compressed air, furnace oil, gasoil and water with different
consumption rate at different operational points of the process.
Basically, required important utilities cost is following the actual status of the country’s decided
cost of these services.
Accordingly, the annual utilities consumption for plant at full capacity operation is estimated at
about Birr 3,360,000.00 in local currency.
5.3.2. Site
Site is a plot of land within the selected location sufficient and suitable for installation and
operation of the plant. The project site is near the vicinity of Shinille where infrastructure
facilities like supply of power, water, Road transport, Communication services, banking etc. are
better organized and available for smooth operation of the plant. Moreover, almost all
beneficiaries of the product are located in and around Shinille which is a short distance from the
project site.
Future own raw material development is also farsighted in this project. For collecting waste
papers (damaged cartons and related products) from different industries for reusing this waste
paper and carton, therefore the plant location is also appropriate for collecting the raw material.
6.1. Technology
6.1.1. Process Description
The production process of making steel and corrugated iron sheet consisted of cleaning the rust
and other ingredients from the plain iron sheet, then drying by dry, hot air. Then the iron sheet is
passed into the molten lead to attain the required thickness. It is then dried by forced air from
where it is fed to feeding table by a suitable hoist or crane. Then they are conveyed to the
corrugating machine. After corrugation, the product is passed to correcting machine where
deformation is corrected. The product is then cut to standard size and trade mark of the
company is printed.
6.1.2. Environmental Impact
Since the raw material used by the plant is pre coated steel sheet the production process does not
have negative environmental impact.
6.2. Engineering
6.2.1. Machinery and Equipment
The total cost of machinery and equipment is estimated at Birr 13.95 million, of which Birr 13.58
million is required in foreign currency, and the remaining Birr 0.375 million is in local currency.
The machinery & equipment required for the envisaged plant and corresponding cost is depicted
in Table 6.1.
Table 6.1 Machinery and Equipment Requirement & Cost
Sr. No. Description Qty. No. Cost (‘000
FC Birr)
LC TC
1 Crane (10 tons) for loading and 2 4,200 8,2000,00
2 unloading
Feeding conveyor 2 900 1,800
3 Feeding table 2 90 180
4 Corrugating machine 1 1,800 1,800
5 Correcting machine 1 1,350 1,350
6 cutting (rimming) machine 4 900 3,600
7 Furnace (oil fired) 2 180 360
8 Boiler (oil fired) 3 330 990
9 Other auxiliary equipment Req. 90 90
Sub-total 9,840 12,570
Bank, customs and insurance charges, 375 375
transport and handling costs
Total Landed Cost 9,840 375 12,945
6.2.2. Vehicle
The investment cost of transportation facilities for material handling and public transport service
is estimated to be Birr 4,200,500.00 [5%] required in local currency;
For the transportation of raw materials and finished products one mini truck will be procured.
For the project manager and administrative work one double cabin pick up (4WD), one Mini
Trucks and one Ambulance are purchased.
To estimate the construction cost of buildings the prevailing contractors average unit cost of the
project area. Accordingly, building and construction cost is estimated as follows.
Table 7:1 Land use plan; Cost of Building and Construction:
No Description Unit Qty. Rate Amount
1 Site clearing and leveling M2 10,080 40.58 402,871.00
2 Factory Buildings m.2 4000 3,095.40 18,039,077.60
3 Office building M2 600 3,095.40 1,773,835.00
4 Raw Material, Finished product Store and M2 2,200 3,095.40 6,494,040.00
showroom/Rig Metal/
5 Guardhouse.Shower and Toiler M2 60 180,390.00
3,095.40
,
6 Other supportive functions like Parking area, M2 3,140 1,142,440.00
internal roads, Greenery area etc/
, ,
7 Fencing mL 1,082,340.00
Ground Total 32,091,820.00
A. Training Requirement
On the job training of the operators would be enough for workers with technical back ground.
For this purpose an amount of Birr 150,000 would be required to train for all professionals and
other workers.
9. Financial and Economic Analysis
The financial analysis of the project (benefits and costs) is computed over seventeen years
assuming 18 months implementation period and 15 years of operation. In addition depreciation
and amortization, customs duty and income tax, repair and maintenance costs, terminal (salvage)
values well as working capital have been worked out based on the existing laws of the country
and standard assumptions. Accordingly, the major findings of the financial analyses are given
below.
The total investment cost of the project is estimated at Birr 120,000,000.00. From the total
investment cost the highest share (Birr 102,660,000 or 85.55%) is accounted by fixed investment
cost followed by initial working capital ((Birr 17,340,000 or 14.45%) and pre operation cost
(Birr 13,360,000 or 11.14%). The total annual cost of production and revenue at 100% capacity
utilization (year 4) is estimated at Birr 84.47 million and Birr 105.84 million respectively.
The project will generate a profit throughout its operation life. Annual net profit after tax will
increase from 8,401,000 during first year of operation to Birr 21,002,500.00 during the last year
of the project life.
The projected cash flow of the envisaged project shows that the project would generate positive
net cash flows throughout the operation years. Based on a 10% discount rate the Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) and Net Present Value (NPV) are computed to be 34.48% and Birr 116.59
respectively, indicating the viability of the project.
The initial investment cost of the project will be fully recovered within six years, which is a
reasonably short period of time. Other measures of profitability net profit as a % of sales
revenue, net profit to equity and net profit to total investment are also attractive.
The efficiency ratios like current assets to current liabilities and net cash flow to sales calculated
from the balance sheet show that the project is highly liquid with sound financial performance.
The breakeven point for sales and capacity utilization is computed at Birr 34,200,000.00 and
47% which are reasonable. Moreover, the sensitivity analysis carried out indicates that the
project could be viable at adverse conditions i.e. either a decrease of 16% in sales price or
increase of 22% in production cost or an increase of 40% in investment cost. In addition to its
financial viability the project has a number of economic and social benefits. The establishment of
the project has a foreign exchange saving effect to the economy.
Moreover, as a profitable venture it will contribute to the increase of Regional and Federal
government revenue through corporate, payroll and other taxes. The project will create direct
employment opportunities for about 304 persons. Furthermore, it creates conducive environment
for the rapid growth of service and trade sectors around the project site which in turn create
employment opportunity for a substantial number of persons. Moreover, the project will also
create forward linkage with the manufacturing sector.
Table 9:1 Summery of Fixed Costs
Item No. Description Estimated Cost (Br)
1 Building and construction 32,091,820.00
2 Machinery and equipments 27,010,400.00
3 Vehicle . 4,200,500.00
Total 63,302,7200.00
Table 9:2 Repair and Maintenance
The financial analysis of the aluminum frames and profiles project is based on the data presented
in the previous chapters and the following assumptions:-
Construction period 1 year
Source of finance 30 % equity & 70% loan
Tax holidays 5 years
Bank interest 10%
Discount cash flow 10%
Accounts receivable 30 days
Raw material local 30 days
Raw material imported 120 days
Work in progress 1 day
Finished products 30 days
Cash in hand 5 days
Accounts payable 30 days
Repair and maintenance 5% of machinery cost
* N.B Pre operating cost include project implementation cost such as installation, startup,
commissioning, project engineering, project management etc and capitalized interest during
construction.
** The total working capital required at full capacity operation is Birr 59.63 million. However,
only the initial working capital of Birr 41.76 million during the first year of production is
assumed to be funded through external sources. During the remaining years the working
capital requirement will be financed by funds to be generated internally (for detail working
capital requirement see Appendix 9.A.1).
10.2. Ratios
In financial analysis financial ratios and efficiency ratios are used as an index or yardstick for
evaluating the financial position of a firm. It is also an indicator for the strength and weakness of
the firm or a project. Using the year-end balance sheet figures and other relevant data, the most
important ratios such as return on sales which is computed by dividing net income by revenue,
return on assets (operating income divided by assets), return on equity (net profit divided by
equity) and return on total investment (net profit plus interest divided by total investment) has
been carried out over the period of the project life and all the results are found to be satisfactory.
10.3.Break-even Analysis
The break-even analysis establishes a relationship between operation costs and revenues. It
indicates the level at which costs and revenue are in equilibrium. To this end, the break-even
point for capacity utilization and sales value estimated by using income statement projection are
computed as followed.
Break Even Sales Value = Fixed Cost + Financial Cost = Birr 36,685,633
Variable Margin ratio (%)
Break Even Capacity utilization = Break even Sales Value X 100 = 14%
Sales revenue
10.4.Pay-back Period
The pay -back period, also called pay-off period is defined as the period required for recovering
the original investment outlay through the accumulated net cash flows earned by the project.
Accordingly, based on the projected cash flow it is estimated that the project’s initial investment
will be fully recovered within 5 years.
Depreciation 2,179 2,179 2,179 2,179 2,179 225 225 225 225 225
Cost of Finance 0 3,517 3,078 2,638 2,198 1,759 1,319 879 440 0
Total Production Cost 95,085 111,825 124,608 137,390 136,968 134,574 134,134 133,694 133,255 132,815
Appendix 9.A.3 NET INCOME STATEMENT (in 000 Birr)
Item Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year Year
10 11
Sales revenue 105,00 135,00 150,00 150,00 150,00 150,00 150,00 150,00 150,00 150,00
Less variable costs 092,556 0105,77 0119,00 0132,22 0132,22 0132,22 0132,22 0132,22 0132,22 0132,22
VARIABLE MARGIN 12,444 829,222 130,999 317,777 317,777 317,777 317,777 317,777 317,777 317,777
in % of sales revenue 11.85 21.65 20.67 11.85 11.85 11.85 11.85 11.85 11.85 11.85
Less fixed costs 2,529 2,529 2,529 2,529 2,546 592 592 592 592 592
OPERATIONAL MARGIN 9,915 26,692 28,470 15,248 15,231 17,185 17,185 17,185 17,185 17,185
in % of sales revenue 9.44 19.77 18.98 10.17 10.15 11.46 11.46 11.46 11.46 11.46
Financial costs 3,517 3,078 2,638 2,198 1,759 1,319 879 440 0
GROSS PROFIT 9,915 23,175 25,392 12,610 13,032 15,426 15,866 16,306 16,745 17,185
in % of sales revenue 9.44 17.17 16.93 8.41 8.69 10.28 10.58 10.87 11.16 11.46
Income (corporate) tax 0 0 0 3,783 3,910 4,628 4,760 4,892 5,024 5,155
NET PROFIT 9,915 23,175 25,392 8,827 9,123 10,798 11,106 11,414 11,722 12,029
in % of sales revenue 9.44 17.17 16.93 5.88 6.08 7.20 7.40 7.61 7.81 8.02
Appendix 9.A.4 CASH FLOW FOR FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT ( in 000
Birr)
Item Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8
YearYear 9
Year Scrap
TOTAL CASH 15,074 138,831 135,004 150,004 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 10 11
150,000 150,000 49,965
INFLOW
Inflow funds 15,074 33,831 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Inflow operation 0 105,000 135,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 0
Other income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49,965
TOTAL CASH 15,074 126,738 118,415 131,197 147,763 143,097 143,374 143,066 142,758 142,450 137,746 0
OUTFLOW
Increase in fixed assets 15,074 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Increase in current assets 0 30,634 4,372 4,372 4,372 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Operating costs 0 92,556 105,778 119,001 132,223 132,240 132,240 132,240 132,240 132,240 132,240 0
Marketing and 0 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 0
Distribution cost
Income tax 0 0 0 0 3,783 3,910 4,628 4,760 4,892 5,024 5,155 0
Financial costs 0 3,198 3,517 3,078 2,638 2,198 1,759 1,319 879 440 0 0
Loan repayment 0 0 4,397 4,397 4,397 4,397 4,397 4,397 4,397 4,397 0 0
SURPLUS (DEFICIT) 0 12,094 16,589 18,806 2,237 6,903 6,626 6,934 7,242 7,550 12,254 49,965
CUMULATIVE CASH 0 12,094 28,683 47,489 49,726 56,629 63,256 70,190 77,432 84,982 97,236 147,202
BALANCE
Appendix 9.A.5 DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (in 000 Birr)
Item Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9
Year Year 11 Scrap
TOTAL CASH INFLOW 0 105,000 135,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 10
150,000 150,000 49,965
Inflow operation 0 105,000 135,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 0
TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 58,807 97,274 110,497 123,719 136,358 136,500 137,218 137,350 137,482 137,614 137,746 0
Operating costs 0 92,556 105,778 119,001 132,223 132,240 132,240 132,240 132,240 132,240 132,240 0
Marketing and Distribution cost 0 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 0
Income (corporate) tax 0 0 0 3,783 3,910 4,628 4,760 4,892 5,024 5,155 0
NET CASH FLOW -58,807 7,726 24,503 26,281 13,642 13,500 12,782 12,650 12,518 12,386 12,254 49,965
CUMULATIVE NET CASH FLOW -58,807 -37,956 -13,453 12,828 26,470 39,971 52,753 65,403 77,921 90,307 102,562 152,527
Net present value -58,807 7,023 20,251 19,745 9,318 8,383 7,215 6,492 5,840 5,253 4,725 19,264
Cumulative net present value -58,807 -38,658 -18,408 1,337 10,655 19,038 26,253 32,745 38,584 43,837 48,562 67,826