Aps 20170421
Aps 20170421
AROMATICS ($/mt)
FOB Korea CFR Taiwan CFR SE Asia CFR India CFR China China Domestic^
Benzene 801.50–802.50* 799.00–801.00* 802.50–803.50 FOB* 798.00–799.00
H1 May 803.00–805.00 1
H2 May 803.00–805.00 1 794.00–796.00
H1 Jun 799.00–801.00 1 801.00–803.00
H2 Jun 799.00–801.00 801.00–803.00
H1 Jul 789.00–791.00 794.00–796.00
Benzene Paper Swaps:
Bal month Apr NA–NA
May 797.00–799.00
Jun 788.00–790.00
Jul 784.00–786.00
Toluene 642.50–644.50 FOB* 673.50–675.50** 674.00–676.00** 697.50–699.50 663.50–664.50** 5464–5466**
666.50–667.50++
H1 May 640.00–642.00 642.50–644.50 FOB* 662.00–664.00**
665.00–667.00++
H2 May 640.00–642.00 662.00–664.00**
665.00–667.00++
H1 Jun 645.00–647.00 664.00–666.00**
667.00–669.00++
H2 Jun 645.00–647.00 664.00–666.00**
667.00–669.00++
H1 Jul 662.00–664.00 664.00–666.00**
667.00–669.00++
SOL–MX 554.00–556.00** – 639.00–641.00 CFR** – 589.00–591.00++
ISO-MX 666.50–667.50# 687.50–688.50***
H1 May 663.00–665.00 684.00–686.00
H2 May 665.00–667.00 686.00–688.00
H1 Jun 667.00–669.00 688.00–690.00
H2 Jun 667.00–669.00 688.00–690.00
OX 704.00–706.00** 694.00–696.00 CFR** 689.00–691.00** 709.00–711.00**
PX 816.00–818.00* 836.00–838.00+ 829.50–831.50+ –
H1 May 812.00–814.00 832.00–834.00
H2 May 812.00–814.00 832.00–834.00
H1 Jun 818.00–820.00 838.00–840.00
H2 Jun 818.00–820.00 838.00–840.00
Styrene 1103.00–1104.00 * 1129.00–1131.00 1162.00–1163.00 CFR** 1149.50–1150.50** 1130.00–1131.00++ 9180–9200
H1 May 1105.00–1107.00 1132.00–1134.00
H2 May 1105.00–1107.00 1132.00–1134.00
H1 Jun 1100.00–1102.00 1127.00–1129.00
H2 Jun 1100.00–1102.00 1127.00–1129.00
H1 Jul 1100.00–1102.00 1127.00–1129.00
Methanol 319.00–321.00 CFR 292.00–294.00 314.00–316.00 CFR 259.00–261.00 277.00–279.00** 2549–2551*
Methanol CP CFR Asia (Apr) 390.00
MTBE 675.00–677.00 FOB Singapore MTBE factor: 1.234 –
Weekly Averages
*LC at sight, **LC 0-30 days, ***0-30 days for Asia origin cargoes and 0-60 days for deep-sea origin cargoes. +LC 30-45, #LC 30 days, ++LC 90 days. Note: Paraxylene CFR assessments are basis CFR
Taiwan/China. Styrene CFR assessments are basis CFR Taiwan/China. Credit differentials calculated using 1 month LIBOR +1.5%. No balance-month assessments from 16th of each month. PTA CFR China
assessments reflect Friday’s MOC assessment. ^in Yuan/mt
OLEFINS ($/mt)
Commentaries
FOB Korea CFR Taiwan CFR SE Asia FOB Japan CFR China CFR NE Asia
Ethylene** 1159–1161 1059–1061 1204–1206
Propylene** 804–806 859–861 779–781 804–806 829–831
Butadiene** 1224–1226 1284–1286 1274–1276 1274–1276
Weekly Averages
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Weekly Average
Ethylene CFR NE Asia 1179–1181 1199–1201 1199–1201 1204–1206 1204–1206 1197.00–1199.00
Ethylene CFR SE Asia 1049–1051 1059–1061 1059–1061 1059–1061 1059–1061 1057.00–1059.00
Propylene FOB Korea 814–816 809–811 809–811 804–806 804–806 808.00–810.00
Propylene CFR China 839–841 834–836 834–836 829–831 829–831 833.00–835.00
Butadiene CFR China 1349–1351 1299–1301 1299–1301 1299–1301 1274–1276 1304.00–1306.00
Butadiene FOB Korea 1299–1301 1249–1251 1249–1251 1249–1251 1224–1226 1254.00–1256.00
**LC 0–30 days, +LC 30–45, #LC 30 days, ++LC 90 days. Credit differentials calculated using 1 month LIBOR +1.5%.
Weekly Averages
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Weekly Average
PTA CFR China 634–636 634–636 629–631 627–629 627–629 630.20–632.20
PTA China Domestic^ 4930–4950 4920–4940 4850–4870 4830–4850 4810–4830 4868.00–4888.00
MEG CFR China 694–696 686–688 689–691 704–706 689–691 692.40–694.40
MEG China Domestic^ 5820–5840 5740–5760 5790–5810 5890–5910 5770–5790 5802.00–5822.00
^in Yuan/mt
Benzene down about 10,000 mt from last week at about 100,000 mt,
inventory levels in China of benzene and SM were both considered
June demand emerges from NE Asia
high, thus had capped import demand. In Taiwan, June-arrival
USGC prices rebound, East China remains stable
discussions were expected to start next week after a state-owned
company had closed its June buy tender next Tuesday. Offers were
Asia benzene dropped $20-$31.50/mt from last Thursday under heard at premiums of plus $22-$23/mt to the FOB Korea
weak demand due to closed arbitrage windows. Spot prices in the assessment this week, but buyers were not keen to conclude this
FOB Korea market this week showed mixed trends, as prices earlier week at premiums above plus $20/mt. In Southeast Asia, spot
this week fell amid the downtrend in the US Gulf Coast market and discussions were thin amid the oversupply of H2 May cargoes. While
a weaker downstream styrene monomer. Sentiments earlier this there were no firm negotiations, buy ideas were heard at premiums
week were also suppressed on lower domestic East China prices, around plus $15-$16/mt to the FOB Korea assessment, against sell
down around Yuan 200/mt from last week. FOB Korea discussion ideas kept in the low-$20s/mt.
levels, however, picked up from Wednesday onwards, mainly to
track rebounds in the downstream SM market, and firmer USGC Rationale
benzene prices. FOB Korea sellers also held back for better netback FOB Korea benzene was assessed at $802/mt Friday, rose $20/
on the expectation of firmer prices in the USGC market after mt from Thursday. The marker takes the average of the third and
turnaround season, hence prompted for higher bids as buyers were fourth half-month laycans, H2 May and H1 June. Offscreen during
keen for June FOB Korea cargoes amid some Chinese import the MOC process, June was best bid at $795/mt against the best
demand. June FOB Korea discussions were heard at $788-$805/mt offer at $805/mt. Both June laycans were assessed between the
earlier Friday, and at $795-$805/mt in the afternoon before the bid and offer at $800/mt. Amid weaker demand for May cargoes,
Platts Market on Close assessment process. July FOB Korea talks the May/June spread was narrowed from plus $6/mt to plus $4/
was kept stable at around $775-$790/mt Friday. The FOB USG Q3 mt. Based on the May/June spread at plus $4/mt, both May laycans
price rose 7 cents/gallon to 276 cents/gallon ($825.24/mt) Thursday, were assessed at $804/mt. The CFR China marker increased
but was at 264 cents/gallon ($789.36/mt) last Friday. Arbitrage $13.50/mt over the same period to be assessed at $798.50/mt
opportunities into China had opened up briefly earlier this week, Friday. May CFR China laycans were assessed at $795/mt, between
with tradeable levels heard at $770-$790/mt CFR China, but import the bid heard at $785/mt and an offer at $800/mt. Earlier selling
demand was soon dampened by uptrend in the FOB Korea prices, indications for June CFR China were heard at $800/mt, but the
while East China prices were left stable. Domestic prices in East latest offscreen bid during the MOC process was at $800/mt. Both
China was heard stable day on day at Yuan 6,400-6,500/mt Friday, June CFR China laycans were assessed above the latest bid at
or $779-$791.40/mt on import parity basis. Although inventory $802/mt. The above rationale applies to the following market data
levels at the East China main port had dropped this week, heard code: “PHASM05”.
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ASIAN PETROCHEMICALSCAN APRIL 21, 2017
maintenance from mid-May to mid-June. The unit has a design CHINA TOLUENE, MX, STYRENE INVENTORY LEVELS
capacity of 130,000 mt/year of benzene, 70,000 mt/year of toluene and Product Inventory level (mt) Prior week(mt) Change on week(%)
50,000 mt/year of solvent MX. Solvent-MX supply is likely to be tight
from May as the producer will be supplying only on a contract basis East China:
and have no additional spot material, according to a major South Toluene 80000 90000 -11.11
Korean producer. Mixed Xylenes 60000 83000 -27.71
Styrene 147500 160900 -8.33
Rationale South China:
Solvent-MX was assessed down $30/mt week on week at $555/mt Toluene 10000 7000 42.86
FOB Korea and $590/mt CFR China Friday for cargoes with letters Mixed Xylenes 10000 6000 66.67
of credit of 90 days. The lowest offer was heard at $560/mt FOB Styrene 6200 6200 0.00
Korea. In China, an offer was heard at $595/mt CFR, versus no bids. In
Southeast Asia, offers were heard at $650-$660/mt CFR. There were
no bids. Southeast Asia was assessed at $640/mt CFR, below the offer ASIAN AROMATICS SHIPPING ROUTES
at $650/mt CFR Southeast Asia.
Spot freight to/from Korea & USGC
Paraxylene From: Korea Korea USGC
To: 2-3kt 5kt 5-12kt
H2 May trades at $833/mt CFR
Korea 57-62 (SM, PX,MX)
May PTA futures fall Yuan 12, Sept falls Yuan 10
Taiwan 28-31 (BTX, SM) 17-20 (PX) 58-63 (PX, MX)
East China 23-26 (BTX, SM) 16-19 (PX) 59-64 (SM, PX,OX)
Ending a week of relative stability from the previous weeks in April, South China 23-26 (SM, Tol) 18-21 (PX) 59-64 (PX)
Asian paraxylene prices were unchanged on the day at $817/mt FOB India 49-52 (Tol)
Korea and $837/mt CFR Taiwan/China Friday, with selling sentiment USGC 40-45 (10kt Bz, Tol)
stable from Thursday amid marginal movements upstream and Spot freight from Southeast Asia
downstream. May and September purified terephthalic acid futures on
the Zhengzhou Commodities Exchange were trading slightly higher in From: Pasir Gudang Map Ta Phut Indonesia
To: 3kt 3kt 3kt
the morning, although a slight downturn in the afternoon saw the
markets close Yuan 12/mt and Yuan 10/mt lower, respectively, from Singapore 15-18 (Bz) 24-26 (Bz) 25-28 (Bz)
Indonesia 24-27 (Tol)
Thursday’s settlement prices at Yuan 4,850/mt and Yuan 5,010/mt,
East China 36-39 (SM)
respectively, in the afternoon trade. The late declines saw three offers
Korea 36-39 (Bz)
during the Platts market on Close assessment proces for June cargo,
Taiwan 29-34(Tol)
although none of them traded, in spite of all three offers falling to India 39-43 (OX) 44-49 (OX)
$840/mt CFR. Upstream June ICE Brent crude futures were 23 cents/b Al-Jubail 60-65 (Bz)
lower at $52.94/b at 0830 GMT. At least five deals were recorded over
the week for H2 May cargo, starting at $840/mt on Monday, with the Spot freight from Middle East
last deal heard at $833/mt Thursday, and with the other deals in that
From: Middle East Middle East
range. But June spot cargo traded at least six times, with the last deal To: 2-3kt 5-7kt
heard at $837/mt Friday. Meanwhile, India’s Reliance Industries Ltd. has Singapore 34-44 (SM, MTBE)
commissioned the second phase of its PX plant in Jamnagar, the Korea 47-52 (PX)
company said in a statement filed with National Stock Exchange of Taiwan 55-57 (SM)
India late Thursday. This follows the successful commissioning of the East China 58-60 (SM, OX)
first phase in late-December 2016. A source close to the company South China 54-56 (SM)
earlier told S&P Global Platts that operating rates in the second phase India 32-37 (SM, OX)
Southeast Asia 32-37 (PX)
was now at a “fairly high rate.” RIL’s No. 2 aromatics unit in Jamnagar
has a nameplate production capacity of 2.2 million mt/year of PX and Spot freight from India
500,000 mt/year of benzene. The startup of the second phase of the
PX plant will more than double RIL’s PX production capacity to 4.2 From: India India India
To: 3kt 5-7kt 10kt
million mt/year, making it the world’s second-largest PX producer, with
Singapore 37-42 (Bz)
9% of global PX capacity and 11% share in the global production, the
Indonesia 30-35 (PX)
company said in a statement announcing the commissioning the first
East China 47-52 (OX) 40-45 (PX) 38-42 (PX)
phase of the plant last December. The CFR Taiwan/China marker was South China/Taiwan 36-40 (PX)
67 cents/mt lower from the last weekly assessment on Thursday. Pakistan 15-18 (PX)
Middle East 20-24 (Bz)
Rationale *Key: BTX = Bz, Tol, xylenes (OX, MX, solvent-MX); Bz = benzene, Tol = toluene, SM = styrene
Asian PX was assessed unchanged from Thursday at $817/mt FOB monomer, MX = isomer-mixed xylenes, PX = paraxylene, OX = orthoxylene, Sol-MX = solvent-mixed
xylenes, MTBE = methyl tertiary-butyl ether
Korea and $837/mt CFR Taiwan/China Friday. The markers take the *Please refer to the methodology guide for details on port locations
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ASIAN PETROCHEMICALSCAN APRIL 21, 2017
average of the H2 May, H1 and H2 June laycans. The H1 and H2 June FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES
laycans were assessed at $839/mt CFR Taiwan/China, below offers AUD/USD 0.75/0.75
from BP Singapore, AFCO Energy and Oman Trading International for EUR/USD 1.07/1.07
GBP/USD 1.28/1.28
June at $840/mt CFR, against no MOC bids. The H2 May laycan was
USD/JPY 109.22/109.23
assessed at $833/mt, maintaining the H2 May/June contango from USD/HKD 7.78/7.78
the previous assessment at minus $6/mt. The above rationale applies USD/MYR 4.40/4.40
to the following market data codes: “PHASS05” for FOB Korea and USD/SGD 1.40/1.40
“AAQNE00” for CFR Taiwan/China. USD/YUAN 6.8823
Bids/offers/trades
CONTRACT PRICES ($/mt)
MOC deal Summary: -None
MOC Outstanding Interest: Paraxylene
MOC bids: -None PX average CP settlements (Apr) 835 CFR Asia
MOC offers: ExxonMobil 835 CFR Asia
PX: S1) BP Singapore offers Any June at $840/mt CFR TND (Yisheng Idemitsu 835 CFR Asia
JX Nippon 835 CFR Asia
Dalian delivery excluded), 5kt, LC 30/45/60 days
S-Oil 835 CFR Asia
PX: S2) AFCO Energy offers Any June at $840/mt CFR TND (Yisheng SKGC 835 CFR Asia
Dalian delivery excluded), 5kt, LC 30/45/60 days PX producer CP nominations (Apr)
PX: S3) OTI offers Any June at $840/mt CFR TND (Yisheng Dalian ExxonMobil 835 CFR Asia
delivery excluded)/Hai/Zhu/Xia/Zha/Jy/Gu/LYG, 5kt, LC 30/45/60 days Idemitsu 860 CFR Asia
JX Nippon 835 CFR Asia
(max 25 kDWT) S-Oil 870 CFR Asia
Exclusions: No MOC market data was excluded from the April 21, 2017 SKGC 855 CFR Asia
assessment process Sinopec CP nomination (Apr): 852
Sinopec CP settlement (Mar): 894
Isomer - MX Sinopec CP nomination (Apr):
Sinopec CP settlement (Mar):
Yuan 7000
Yuan 7350
Asian isomer-grade mixed xylene prices tumbled $24/mt from last MEG
Thursday to $667/mt FOB Korea and slipped $8/mt to $688/mt CFR Producer CP nominations (MAY)
Taiwan Friday, while day on day, the prices moved up $1/mt and $10/ MEGlobal 920 CFR Asia
Sabic 965 CFR Asia
mt, respectively. China gasoline blending demand was heard Shell 910 CFR Asia
supporting prices in May, on top of maintenance shutdowns over that
period in Northeast Asia. However, it was June that received most firm
buying intention Friday, as Shell International Eastern Trading Co. bid Orthoxylene
for an H1 June cargo, traded at $688/mt with Samsung C & T outside
of the Platts Market on Close assessment process, and continued to Sinopec reducess offer another Yuan 300/mt
bid. Gasoline blending demand may also be a supporting factor for MX China port inventories remain ample
during the summer months in the northern hemisphere. In related
markets Friday, paraxylene was stable day on day at $837/mt CFR Asian orthoxylene fell $15/mt this week on low demand amid ample
Taiwan/China, while naphtha tumbled $17.63/mt day on day to $470.50/ supply. Market participants said some carbide-based polyvinyl
mt CFR Japan. chloride plants had been shut down by Chinese authorities for non-
compliance with environmental regulations, making downstream
Rationale demand for OX weak. OX is the primary feedstock for phthalic
Isomer-MX was assessed up $1/mt day on day at $667/mt FOB Korea anhydride, which is used to make dioctyl phthalate, a plasticizer for
and up $10/mt at $688/mt CFR Taiwan Friday. The markers currently PVC. Another factor cited was curbs by Chinese authorities on
take the average of the H2 May and H1 June laycans. During the MOC excessive borrowing, which affected end-user cashflows. Also,
process, Sietco bid on H1 June at $688/mt CFR Taiwan, also after a naphthalene-based PA was preferred by DOP producers as it was
trade at the same level outside of the MOC process. The June laycans cheaper at Yuan 5,588/mt, compared with Yuan 6,500/mt for
were assessed above the bid at $689/mt. H2 May was assessed at OX-based PA. It was also more profitable for PA producers to make
$687/mt CFR Taiwan. FOB Korea H2 May was bid at $665/mt, and and sell naphthalene-based PA as margins were wider. Tradable
assessed above the bid at $666/mt. There were no bids or offers indications for naphthalene were currently around Yuan 3,400-3,500/
for June cargoes and the June FOB Korea laycans were assessed at mt. In response to the bearish conditions in the OX market, Sinopec
$668/mt, unchanged day on day. The above rationale applies to the further lowered its ex-works orthoxylene offers in East China by Yuan
following market data code: PHAUV00 for FOB Korea and PHAUT00 300/mt last Monday, trade sources said. Yangzi-BASF and Sinopec
for CFR Taiwan. Zhenhai, the company’s subsidiaries in East China, are currently
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ASIAN PETROCHEMICALSCAN APRIL 21, 2017
lowest level since November 25, 2016, when the price was assessed at Rationale
$257/mt. Market sources said India’s methanol market would likely Asian MTBE was assessed up $2/mt day on day at $676/mt FOB
remain weak due to persisting supplies from the Middle East, notably Singapore Friday. No bids or offers were registered during the Platts
from Iran. On Friday, the CFR China price fell $13/mt from last Thursday, Market on Close assessment process. The MTBE factor was assessed
hitting the lowest level since November 16, 2016, when the price was at 1.234, unchanged from Thursday. The H1 May and H2 May laycans
assessed at $275/mt. Despite the $13/mt decline, some market were assessed at $676/mt FOB Singapore. The above rationale applies
sources said spot methanol demand was seen to be picking up in line to the following market data code:”PHALF11”.
with firmer ethylene price. On Friday, the CFR Northeast Asia ethylene
price rose $35/mt from last Thursday to be assessed at $1,205/mt, S&P Bids/offers/trades
Global Platts data showed. But some others said methanol-to-olefins MOC Bids/offers/trades:
margin was still negative, widely due to bearish polypropylene price. On MOC deal Summary: None
Friday, the CFR Far East Asia PP price dropped $15/mt from last MOC Outstanding Interest:
Thursday to be assessed at $985/mt, Platts data showed. Platts data MOC bids: None
also showed that MTO margins for PP production remained negative at MOC offers: None
minus $49/mt Friday, compared with minus $73/mt last Thursday, Exclusions: No MOC market data was excluded from the April 21, 2017
while PE margins were calculated at plus $96/mt, compared with plus assessment process.
$57/mt last Thursday.
Ethylene
Rationale
The CFR China methanol price fell $13/mt from last Thursday to Firmer sentiment maybe capped by weak derivatives
be assessed at $278/mt CFR China on Friday. The latest deal done Japan’s March steam cracker runs 96.1%
levels were heard at $275/mt CFR China and $287/mt CFR China.
The CFR Southeast Asia methanol price fell $10/mt to $315/mt Asian ethylene market was assessed unchanged day on day Friday.
during the same period, with an offer was heard at $320/mt CFR From a week earlier, Asian ethylene market marked a $10-$35/mt price
SEA this week. On a CFR South Korea basis, spot price inched increase. Trading activities were quiet this week but firmer market
down $5/mt from last Thursday to be assessed at $320/mt Friday, sentiment pushed up spot ethylene prices. Only one deal was heard to
with a tradable level was heard in a range of $320-$325/mt CFR have been done at $1,160/mt FOB Northeast Asia for second-half May
Korea this week. Meanwhile, the CFR India dived $38/mt from last arrival. Market sources said some spot demand continued to emerge
Thursday to $260/mt Friday. A buyer’s idea was heard at $240/mt amid ethylene supply shortfall from lower methanol-to-olefins plant
CFR India, versus seller’s idea heard at $275-$280/mt CFR India. operations in China as well as steam cracker turnaround in Asia.
A market level was quoted in the $250-265/mt CFR India range. Ethylene supplies from the Middle East were seen to be well but
Platts did not publish its price assessments last Friday due to a market sources said some supplies from the Middle East are moving to
public holiday in Singapore. Europe instead. On Thursday, the CIF NWE ethylene price inched up $3/
mt day on day to be assessed at $1,198/mt, according to S&P Global
MTBE Platts data. But a price increase in the Asian ethylene market is seen to
be limited, as profitability of most ethylene derivatives is currently
MTBE buying interest weak in China
shrinking. On Friday, the CFR China styrene monomer price rose $5/mt
Gasoline demand seen in Middle East
day on day to be assessed at $1,130/mt, but SM margin was calculated
at minus $22.60/mt Friday, compared with minus $11.60/mt, S&P
Asian MTBE prices edged up $2/mt day on day to $676/mt FOB Global Platts data showed. Spot polyethylene price was also not
Singapore Friday amid a rise in gasoline prices. No bids or offers were strong, with high density PE price was assessed unchanged day on day
registered during the Platts Market on Close assessment process. at $1,145/mt CFR Far East Asia, Platts data showed. In related statistics
MOPS 92 RON gasoline moved up 20 cents/b over the same period to news, Japan’s naphtha-fed steam crackers ran at an average of 96.1%
$64.85/b. The MTBE factor, which measures the ratio between the capacity in March, down from 96.6% from a month earlier but higher
daily FOB Singapore MTBE and Mean of Platts Singapore 92 RON than 95.2% a year earlier, the Japan Petrochemical Industry
gasoline assessments, stood at 1.234, flat from Thursday. Market Association said late Thursday.
participants said the Asian gasoline market remained stable Friday,
with notable demand in the Middle East, while one source said MTBE Rationale
buying interest in China was weak. “There is not much buying at the Ethylene was assessed flat day on day at $1,205/mt CFR Northeast
moment as the costs of blending components like MTBE are high,” the Asia Friday. A buying idea was heard at $1,200/mt CFR NEA, against a
source said. In tender news, China’s CNOOC is offering 14,000 mt of 92 sell idea at $1,250/mt CFR NEA. Meanwhile, on a CFR Southeast Asia
RON gasoline for May 24-26 loading at Huizhou. The tender closes April basis, ethylene was stable day on day at $1,060/mt Friday, with a bid
21 with same-day validity. ICE June Brent crude futures fell 25 cents/b was heard at $1,050/mt CFR SEA, while no offers were heard. In other
day on day to $52.94/b at the 0830 GMT close of Asian trade Friday. areas, the FOB Korea ethylene price rose $30/mt from last Thursday to
The inter-octane gasoline spreads widened from Thursday: 95/92 by be assessed at $1,160/mt Friday. A deal was heard to have been done
23 cents/b to $3.02/b, 97/92 RON by 28 cents/b to $4.33/b and 97/95 at $1,160/mt FOB NEA for H2 May this week. Platts did not publish its
RON by 5 cents/b to $1.31/b. price assessments last Friday due to a public holiday in Singapore.
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ASIAN PETROCHEMICALSCAN APRIL 21, 2017
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ASIAN PETROCHEMICALSCAN APRIL 21, 2017
on discussions heard at that level. The CFR South Asia marker was PP
down $10/mt at $1,210/mt based on tradeable indications heard at that
level. C6 mLLDPE normalized to a dutiable origin was assessed $30/ China domestic price hits 7-month low
mt lower at $1,330/mt CFR Far East Asia and $1,350/mt CFR Southeast Possible arbitrage for Chinese PP to India
Asia, below an offer heard at $1,350/mt CFR SEA.
On Wednesday, the CFR Far East Asia polypropylene raffia marker
HDPE declined by $15/mt week on week, on the back of sluggish demand.
The marker was assessed at $995/mt on Wednesday. The last time the
Some markers up $10/mt, others down $10-$25/mt
marker was at this level was in November 2016. Over the same period,
Injection grade assessed stable across Asia
China domestic prices plunged by Yuan 300/mt to reach Yuan 7,700/
mt, ar about $900/mt on an import parity basis. Industry sources
Asian high density polyethylene price movements were mixed this largely attributed the fall to firmer levels of PP, as well as lacklustre
week in thin trade as participants waited for major suppliers to sales of downstream products. “Other commodities have also slowed
release fresh offers next week. Quite a few inquiries were seen from down, especially after the Chinese New Year holidays, but the market
China this week, but no deals were confirmed done, traders said. is in a wait-and-see mode,” a local trader said. “The futures market has
More deepsea import cargoes will be arriving at China’s ports during also been falling,” noted another trader. For the most active September
this period, cargoes that end-users had bought in January and futures contact on the Dalian Commodity Exchange, the contract
February from the US and Latin America that typically take four to six settled at Yuan 7,648/mt on Wednesday, down from Yuan 7,651/mt a
weeks to arrive, traders said. While the outlook for global PE demand day ago. In other regions, PP prices were notably better. The CFR
was generally bearish for the entire year, the forward market Southeast Asia marker was assessed at $1,085/mt, up $5/mt from last
structure in Asia was possibly in contango for the moment due to week. Sources said that buying interest was healthy, especially in
upcoming plant turnarounds and unplanned outages. But this also Vietnam. “But falling Chinese prices has encouraged buyers to expect
made substantial arbitrage attempts tricky, according to traders. lower offers,” said a third trader. “Bearish and bullish factors are
Demand for import cargoes in China this week was thin as most end- present together, and it depends which one is stronger,” according to
users would prefer to buy domestic cargoes as prices have fallen. another source. In India, market sources agreed that demand was
Chinese domestic prices for HDPE film fell Yuan 200/mt to Yuan firmer, amid tightening supply, due to local outages. The CFR South
9,800/mt this week, equivalent to $1,145.40/mt on an import parity Asia marker was assessed at $1,120/mt, up $5/mt from one week ago.
basis. Chinese traders said they were also investigating moving “Product availability is a concern, and inventory levels are low,” said a
cargoes into Southeast Asia as the arbitrage has also opened market source. While some industry participants said that it was
between China and Southeast Asia. Chinese prices are around $70/ possible to move surplus Chinese PP cargoes to India, a source said
mt cheaper than in Southeast Asia, but demand has been weak. that freight and tax costs would not make the arbitrage economical.
Traders in Thailand also said they were well supplied locally, and had
no current need to import. Prices for film in India have risen slightly Rationale
on healthy demand and active trading, with more activity also seen in The PP raffia was assessed down $15/mt week on week to $995/
the domestic market. Also in India, Reliance is on track to start mt CFR Far East Asia on Wednesday, based on a tradable indication
commercial production at its new Jamnagar PE complex by May. The heard at $990-$1,000/mt, from industry sources. A buying indication
complex consists of a 550,000 mt/year HDPE/linear low density was heard at $980-$990/mt. The China domestic raffia was assessed
polyethylene swing plant and a 400,000 mt/year LDPE plant. The down Yuan 300/mt week on week at Yuan 7,700/mt, based on
ethane-based PE plants will use refinery offgas as feedstock. indications heard at Yuan 7,700-7,750/mt from industry sources. The
CFR Southeast Asia raffia was assessed up $5/mt week on week
Rationale at $1,085/mt, based on a buying indication heard at $1,070-$1,080/
Film-grade HDPE with a melt flow index of 0.07-0.18 was assessed mt and an offer heard at $1,090/mt. The CFR South Asia raffia was
down $10/mt week on week at $1,145/mt CFR Far East Asia assessed up $5/mt week on week to $1,120/mt, based on an offer
Wednesday, below offers heard at $1,150-$1,160/mt CFR China. Buying heard at $1,140/mt. IPP Film, BOPP and block copolymer assessments
indications were heard at $1,120/mt. No deals were heard. The CFR were based on spreads tracking against the PP raffia, according to
Southeast Asia marker was assessed down $10/mt at $1,150/mt, industry sources.
below an offer heard at $1,160-$1,170/mt. Film grade was assessed
up $10/mt at $1,170/mt CFR South Asia, based on tradable indications PS
heard at that level. Yarn grades were assessed down $25/mt week
on week at $1,165/mt CFR China and $1,185/mt CFR Southeast Asia. Feedstock styrene falls $85.50/mt on week
In China, a trade was concluded at that level while in Southeast Asia, East China SM stocks slip 8% on week
the marker was brought down in line with the CFR China marker.
Injection grade was assessed stable week on week at $1,140/mt CFR Polystyrene prices dropped $40-$50/mt from a week ago, depending
Far East Asia. The CFR Southeast Asia and CFR South Asia markers on the grade, on the back of plunging feedstock costs. Week on week,
were also stable at $1,160/mt CFR and $1,180/mt CFR respectively, styrene monomer costs fell $85.50/mt and was assessed Wednesday
with freight differentials to Far East Asia steady at $20/mt and $40/ at $1,122.50/mt CFR China. SM inventory levels in East China dropped
mt respectively. 13,400 mt, or 8%, week on week at an estimated 147,500 mt
© 2017 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 10
ASIAN PETROCHEMICALSCAN APRIL 21, 2017
Wednesday, according to sources. Domestic SM prices for May and recovery in the May and September PTA futures market on the
June rose by Yuan 70-Yuan 100/mt day on day. On an import parity Zhengzhou Commodities Exchange saw a mitigation in declines,
basis, that translates to a day-on-day change of about $10-$15/mt. closing Yuan 12/mt and Yuan 10/mt lower, respectively, from last
Meanwhile, demand for polystyrene was lackluster, according to Thursday’s settlement price, at Yuan 4,850/mt and Yuan 5,010/mt,
sources. “Buyers are still waiting, expecting prices to fall much lower ... respectively, in the afternoon trade on Friday. In Southeast Asia, a Thai
traders are very silent at the moment,” one supplier said Wednesday. source said that trading sentiment was muted in the immediate
Related markets like arylonitrile-butadiene-styrene fell $30/mt week aftemath of the national holidays there, and that demand would
on week and was assessed at $1,720/mt CFR China Wednesday, also increase in the days ahead. Producer Siam Mitsui is planning a
tracking drops in all three of its feedstock costs. turnaround at one of its two operational plants in Rayong, although a
firm schedule has not been finalised yet. In plant news in Northeast
Rationale Asia, Yisheng Dahua restarted its 3.75 million mt/year PTA line at Dalian
GPPS was assessed $40/mt lower week on week at $1,260/mt CFR April 20, a source close to the company confirmed Friday, completing a
China Wednesday, below a $1,280/mt CFR China offer and in line with turnaround that was supposed to have ended April 15, but was
a tradable indication heard at $1,260/mt CFR China. HIPS dropped $50/ extended amid poor production margins. Additionally, Taiwan’s CAPCO
mt over the same period at $1,330/mt CFR China, below an offer at plant with a capacity of 760,000 mt/year is expected to restart in the
$1,380/mt CFR China. There was also a sell indication heard at $1,370/ first week of May, a company source said. The turnaround began on
mt CFR China. GP-grade EPS fell $40/mt week on week at $1,290/ April 17. Meanwhile, a market source in India said that a technical glitch
mt FOB Northeast Asia, below an offer at $1,300/mt FOB NE Asia. has forced the shutdown of Indian Oil Corp.’s Panipat PTA plant on
FR-grade EPS was also down by $40/mt during the same period at Thursday. Attempts to reach the company were unsuccessful. The PTA
$1,340/mt FOB NEA Wednesday. That was below the offer at $1,350/ plant has a nameplate capacity of 553,000 mt/year.
mt FOB NEA. Lower feedstock styrene monomer costs were also
considered in the assessment. Rationale
Asian PTA was assessed unchanged on the day and $2/mt lower on
ABS from the last weekly assessment on Thursday, at $628/mt CFR China
on Friday, amid relatively stable sentiment in the Chinese markets this
Styrene falls $85.50/mt, butadiene falls $100/mt
week. The spread from the CFR India marker was assessed widened
Demand from end-users seen stable
by $1/mt from the previous assessment to $21/mt week on week at
$649/mt, based on a plant outage in India and a turnaround in Taiwan.
Acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene fell $30/mt this week to be assessed The CFR Southeast Asia marker was assessed at a spread unchanged
at $1,720/mt CFR China Wednesday tracking a sharp decline in from the previous assessment at $646/mt, in line with the fall in the
feedstock costs. Styrene monomer posted a $85.50/mt week-on-week CFR China marker.
plunge to be assessed at $1,122.50/mt CFR China Wednesday, while
butadiene tumbled $100/mt over the same period to be assessed at
$1,300/mt CFR China. Acrylonitrile fell $20/mt week on week to be NEWS
assessed Tuesday at $1,570/mt CFR Far East Asia. One ABS producer
said ABS demand from end-users was still good at the moment, and
China’s Qingdao Lidong targets aromatics plant
stable from a week ago, although demand from traders was “not so
good”. Margins for ABS remained healthy at $209/mt after accounting restart on Apr 25
for feedstock costs and operational costs of about $280/mt. China’s Qingdao Lidong Chemical aims to restart its aromatics plant in
northern Shandong province on April 25, after a month of
Rationale maintenance work, a source close to the company said on Tuesday.
ABS was assessed down $30/mt week on week at $1,720/mt CFR The plant is able to produce 1 million mt/year of paraxylene and about
China Wednesday. This was below an offer heard at $1,780/mt CFR 270,000 mt/year of benzene, after it completed debottlenecking in
China Wednesday. Declines in the three feedstock costs were also 2013 to raise PX capacity by about 200,000 mt/year. Qingdao Lidong is
considered in the assessment. 65% owned by GS Aromatics, a subsidiary of South Korea’s GS
Holdings, which is also the parent company of South Korean refiner
PTA and PX producer GS Caltex.
© 2017 S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 11
ASIAN PETROCHEMICALSCAN APRIL 21, 2017
announced on April 9 that the shutdown period was extended due to Diversified. The proposed complex will have production capacity of up
some technical issues. Samapco is a 50:50 joint venture between to 5,000 mt/d of methanol, said Sarawak’s chief minister Amar Abang
Sahara Petrochemicals and Saudi Arabian Mining Company, better Johari Tun Openg.
known as Ma’aden.
Taiwan’s Nan Ya shuts one of four PA lines for
Asian MEG margin hits 6-month low on high stocks catalyst change
Asian monoethylene glycol margins hit a six-month low of minus Taiwan’s Nan Ya Plastics shut one of its four phthalic anhydride lines
$183/mt Tuesday as MEG prices tumbled amid ample supply in from mid-April to early May to change the catalyst, a company source
China and a rise in feedstock ethylene costs. The margin was last at said Thursday. Once that is completed, Nan Ya will shut another PA line
minus $183/mt on October 5 last year and has remained in negative for the whole month of May, also for a catalyst change. Nan Ya owns
territory since February 14, S&P Global Platts data showed. MEG and operates four PA lines at Mailiao, each with a capacity of 60,000
plummeted $48/mt week on week to be assessed at $687/mt CFR mt/year. The catalyst change is not expected to affect supply, as the
China Tuesday, while feedstock ethylene rose $30/mt over the company plans to stockpile PA to fulfill its contract requirements and
same period to $1,200/mt CFR Northeast Asia, according to Platts also sell in the spot market, the source added. Nan Ya is mulling a
data. The MEG production margin is calculated as the CFR China catalyst change for a third line, if the PA import price in China
MEG price minus production costs. The production cost is continues on its downward trend. Last week, PA fell $30/mt to be
calculated by multiplying the CFR Northeast Asia ethylene price by a assessed at $920/mt CFR China, while the CFR Southeast Asia marker
conversion factor of 0.6 and adding $150/mt for production. The was down $30/mt at $1,050/mt. Domestic prices for PA also dropped
sudden fall in MEG prices since late last week has caught market Yuan 300/mt to Yuan 6,300/mt in East China last week.
participants by surprise, as downstream polyester demand is
generally seen as healthy and its high demand season typically runs
Reliance to ship first term PX from new plant to
from April to June.
China end April
India’s Reliance Industries Limited or RIL will make its first term
Malaysia’s Sarawak to build $800 million methanol
paraxylene export to China from the second phase of its new 2.2
complex at Bintulu million mt/year plant at Jamnagar at end April, industry sources said
The Malaysian state of Sarawak plans to build an $800 million Wednesday. The first phase of the plant was commissioned last
methanol and methanol derivatives complex at Bintulu, near Samalaju December. Of the 35,000 mt of PX due to load from Sikka in Gujarat on
Industrial Park, by 2021, the state government said on its website the MT Bunga Angelica, 15,000 mt will be discharged at Dalian in China
Wednesday. A memorandum of understanding for engineering, under term contracts, sources said. The rest will form part of
procurement, construction and commissioning work was signed Reliance’s regular shipments to the region. In addition, 10,000 mt of
Tuesday between Sarawak government entity Yayasan Hartanah benzene output from the plant was heard to have been sold on a spot
Bumiputera Sarawak and a consortium comprising China Huanqiu basis for May loading, industry sources said, although further details
Contracting and Engineering and MACfeam, a subsidiary of Pegasus could not be verified.
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