HMC Model Complete
HMC Model Complete
ASSETS
Non-current assets
Property Plant And Equipment 4,793 5,786 5,551 5,354 5,159 5,213 5,219 5,924
Capital Work In Progress 385 205 236 149 122 127 105 105
Right Of Use Of Assets - 519 511 518 481 476 483 483
Other Intangible Assets 160 168 318 321 519 544 580 0
Intangible Assets Under Developments 188 187 259 368 332 357 382 382
Equity Accounted Investments In Associates 1,705 2,098 2,408 2,203 2,619 3,084 2,981 2,981
Financial Assets
Investments 1,234 1,551 1,949 2,455 4,600 5,362 4,767 4,767
Loans 60 68 53 17 20 21 25 25
Other Finacial Assets 34 - - 42 206 189 47 47
Income Tax Assets(Net) 856 322 378 358 271 336 254 254
Other Non Current Assets 676 122 63 120 153 129 112 112
Total non current assets 10,090 11,025 11,726 11,906 14,481 15,837 14,956 15,081
Current Assets
Inventories 1,250 1,282 1,789 1,472 1,756 1,756 2,013 2383
Investments 3,174 4,709 6,223 5,870 3,672 4,305 6,636 6,636
Trade Receivables 2,745 1,512 2,275 2,158 2,719 2,630 3,381 3972
Cash And Cash Equalents 208 305 275 181 226 605 384 Err:522
Bank Balance Other Than Above 96 130 122 119 197 92 191 191
Loans 25 24 40 23 24 25 27 Err:522
Other Financial Assets 654 364 366 475 572 424 340 397
Other Current Assets 262 323 279 273 269 480 462 530
Total Current Assets 8,413 8,649 11,369 10,572 9,435 10,315 13,434 Err:522
Total assets 18,503 19,674 23,095 22,478 23,917 26,152 28,390 Err:522
Current Liabilities
Financial Liabilities
Borrowings 184 166 285 317 293 363 457 532
Lease Liabilities 33 30 36.2 34.6 44 47 55
Trade Payables 3,438 3,128 5,264 4,343 4,759 5,623 5,700 6,639
Other Financial Liabilities 227 261 179 146 170 255 283 330
Other Current Liabilities 501 531 571 496 562 604 768 895
Provisions 60 160 176 179 193 159 221 258
Total Current Liabilities 4,409 4,279 6,505 5,518 6,012 7048 7476 8708
Total Equity And Liabilites 18,504 19,674 23,095 22,478 23,916 26,153 28,390 Err:522
40 40 40 40 40 40
Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
132 132 132 132 132 132
Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
PV of FCFF 55,610
PV of TV 44,912
Total Firm value 100,522
Add: cash 574
Les: Debt 340 Terminal Growth
Equity value 100,756.18 5,037.41 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0%
no.of shares O/S 200015708 13.0% 5,152 5,413 5,733 6,132
Value 5,037.41 13.5% 4,984 5,216 5,497 5,845
CMP (30th July) 4,256.00 14.0% 4,832 5,039 5,288 5,592
14.5% 4,694 4,880 5,101 5,368
Terminal growth rate 4% 15.0% 4,569 4,736 4,933 5,170
WACC 15% WACC 15.5% 4,454 4,605 4,782 4,992
Share Price
>>Share
Price Data
>>Hero
MotoCorp
Date Close -Unit Sensex return of return of
Ltd (Curr. in Curr stock index
7/21/2025
Crores ) 4,409.70 82,200.34 0.3% 0.5%
7/18/2025 4,396.90 81,757.73 4.4% -0.9% Beta 1.098566 cost of debt
7/11/2025 4,211.15 82,500.47 -3.1% -1.1% MCLR 9%
7/4/2025 4,346.00 83,432.89 0.6% -0.7% spread for -0.20%
6/27/2025 4,320.85 84,058.90 -0.5% 2.0%
6/20/2025 4,340.60 82,408.17 0.2% 1.6% Cost of deb 8.800%
6/13/2025 4,330.55 81,118.60 1.4% -1.3%
6/6/2025 4,268.90 82,188.99 -0.8% 0.9%
5/30/2025 4,304.80 81,451.01 -0.1% -0.3% Cost of equRFR 6.37%
5/23/2025 4,307.60 81,721.08 -0.7% -0.7% Risk free retrun Market ret 14% mkt
5/16/2025 4,338.55 82,330.59 12.6% 3.6% MRP 7.6300%
5/9/2025 3,854.30 79,454.47 3.1% -1.3% Cost of equ 14.75%
5/2/2025 3,737.85 80,501.99 -3.9% 1.6%
4/25/2025 3,888.40 79,212.53 3.0% 0.8%
4/17/2025 3,773.45 78,553.20 2.9% 4.5%
4/11/2025 3,665.85 75,157.26 0.2% -0.3% Weight of equity
4/4/2025 3,659.90 75,364.69 -1.7% -2.6% Mkt cap as on 30th July INR crores 86552.8
3/28/2025 3,722.10 77,414.92 2.5% 0.7% Mkt debt (NA) so book 457
3/21/2025 3,631.80 76,905.51 2.9% 4.2% Total 87010
3/13/2025 3,531.15 73,828.91 -3.3% -0.7%
3/7/2025 3,651.55 74,332.58 -1.0% 1.5%
2/28/2025 3,686.90 73,198.10 -4.3% -2.8%
2/21/2025 3,853.50 75,311.06 -0.1% -0.8% WACC
2/14/2025 3,859.20 75,939.21 -9.8% -2.5%
2/7/2025 4,278.10 77,860.19 -2.8% 0.5%
2/1/2025 4,402.90 77,505.96 8.7% 1.7%
1/24/2025 4,050.75 76,190.46 -1.1% -0.6%
1/17/2025 4,096.85 76,619.33 -0.6% -1.0%
1/10/2025 4,122.50 77,378.91 -2.8% -2.3%
1/3/2025 4,242.95 79,223.11 0.1% 0.7%
12/27/2024 4,239.50 78,699.07 -2.3% 0.8%
12/20/2024 4,339.85 78,041.59 -5.1% -5.0%
12/13/2024 4,572.90 82,133.12 -1.2% 0.5%
12/6/2024 4,630.50 81,709.12 -2.7% 2.4%
11/29/2024 4,758.65 79,802.79 -0.7% 0.9%
11/22/2024 4,791.20 79,117.11 4.1% 2.0%
11/14/2024 4,604.30 77,580.31 -3.3% -2.4%
11/8/2024 4,762.75 79,486.32 -5.1% -0.3%
11/1/2024 5,019.50 79,724.12 0.9% 0.4%
10/25/2024 4,973.55 79,402.29 -4.6% -2.2%
10/18/2024 5,214.70 81,224.75 -4.8% -0.2%
10/11/2024 5,476.55 81,381.36 -0.7% -0.4%
10/4/2024 5,513.85 81,688.45 -7.4% -4.5%
9/27/2024 5,954.15 85,571.85 -1.0% 1.2%
9/20/2024 6,013.80 84,544.31 3.8% 2.0%
9/13/2024 5,795.05 82,890.94 0.9% 2.1%
9/6/2024 5,741.40 81,183.93 5.3% -1.4%
8/30/2024 5,451.05 82,365.77 1.2% 1.6%
8/23/2024 5,387.30 81,086.21 5.1% 0.8%
8/16/2024 5,125.80 80,436.84 -1.5% 0.9%
8/9/2024 5,206.30 79,705.91 -1.3% -1.6%
8/2/2024 5,272.25 80,981.95 -3.7% -0.4%
7/26/2024 5,475.45 81,332.72 1.0% 0.9%
7/19/2024 5,423.80 80,604.65 -2.2% 0.1%
7/12/2024 5,546.40 80,519.34 -0.3% 0.7%
7/5/2024 5,563.10 79,996.60 -0.3% 1.2%
6/28/2024 5,580.80 79,032.73 2.4% 2.4%
6/21/2024 5,451.90 77,209.90 -6.2% 0.3%
6/14/2024 5,810.80 76,992.77 4.3% 0.4%
6/7/2024 5,573.65 76,693.36 8.9% 3.7%
5/31/2024 5,119.60 73,961.31 0.1% -1.9%
5/24/2024 5,116.35 75,410.39 0.3% 1.9%
5/18/2024 5,102.75 74,005.94 4.6% 1.8%
5/10/2024 4,877.25 72,664.47 7.3% -1.6%
5/3/2024 4,546.90 73,878.15 1.2% 0.2%
4/26/2024 4,491.85 73,730.16 6.6% 0.9%
4/19/2024 4,215.15 73,088.33 -5.1% -1.6%
4/12/2024 4,442.35 74,244.90 -1.8% 0.0%
4/5/2024 4,523.85 74,248.22 -4.1% 0.8%
3/28/2024 4,717.20 73,651.35 0.7% 1.1%
3/22/2024 4,685.30 72,831.94 2.2% 0.3%
3/15/2024 4,583.35 72,643.43 -1.5% -2.0%
3/7/2024 4,652.10 74,119.39 1.5% 0.4%
3/2/2024 4,581.85 73,806.15 1.4% 0.9%
2/23/2024 4,518.55 73,142.80 -7.7% 1.0%
2/16/2024 4,895.00 72,426.64 -0.3% 1.2%
2/9/2024 4,908.50 71,595.49 4.1% -0.7%
2/2/2024 4,715.90 72,085.63 6.1% 2.0%
1/25/2024 4,445.25 70,700.67 1.0% -1.0%
1/20/2024 4,402.75 71,423.65 0.4% -1.6%
1/12/2024 4,384.15 72,568.45 9.9% 0.8%
1/5/2024 3,989.40 72,026.15 -3.6% -0.3%
12/29/2023 4,138.20 72,240.26 5.1% 1.6%
12/22/2023 3,936.10 71,106.96 1.0% -0.5%
12/15/2023 3,895.95 71,483.75 4.9% 2.4%
12/8/2023 3,715.40 69,825.60 -1.1% 3.5%
12/1/2023 3,758.55 67,481.19 6.0% 2.3%
11/24/2023 3,546.90 65,970.04 6.4% 0.3%
11/17/2023 3,335.10 65,794.73 7.6% 1.4%
11/10/2023 3,100.50 64,904.68 0.3% 0.8%
11/3/2023 3,090.80 64,363.78 -0.7% 0.9%
10/27/2023 3,111.95 63,782.80 -3.0% -2.5%
10/20/2023 3,207.95 65,397.62 3.5% -1.3%
10/13/2023 3,098.95 66,282.74 2.1% 0.4%
10/6/2023 3,035.75 65,995.63 -0.7% 0.3%
9/29/2023 3,056.95 65,828.41 1.2% -0.3%
9/22/2023 3,021.75 66,009.15 -1.4% -2.7%
9/15/2023 3,063.75 67,838.63 1.8% 1.9%
9/8/2023 3,008.55 66,598.91 2.8% 1.9%
9/1/2023 2,927.05 65,387.16 0.5% 0.8%
8/25/2023 2,911.25 64,886.51 -0.6% -0.1%
8/18/2023 2,927.60 64,948.66 -2.3% -0.6%
8/11/2023 2,995.20 65,322.65 1.7% -0.6%
8/4/2023 2,944.25 65,721.25 -7.2% -0.7%
7/28/2023 3,172.00 66,160.20
MCLR https://www.indianbank.in/lending-rates/
zero coouphttps://tradingeconomics.com/india/government-bond-yield
Weight Cost
99.5% 14.75%
0.5% 8.800%
14.7%
FY 26 FY 27 FY 28 FY 29 FY 30 FY 31 FY 32
Net Profit Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
Add: depn 700 728 757 787 826 875 911
less: change in nwc -173 -265 -203 -242 -204 -318 -357
less : capex 825 700 728 757 977 1,226 895
Add: net debt raised Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
INCOME
Revenue from operations 33,972 29,255 30,959 29,551 34,158 37,789
Other income 687 731 558 555 569 855
Total Income 34,659 29,986 31,517 30,106 34,727 38,643
Expenses
Cost of material consumed 23,503 20,004 21,999 20,846 24,060 24,837
Change in inventories of finished goods traded goods and workin progress (59) (173) (255) 29 (164) 188
Employee benefit expensess 1,778 1,889 1,951 1,996 2,250 2,472
Other expenses 3,730 3,473 3,165 3,190 3,871 4,458
Total Expenses 28,952 25,193 26,860 26,061 30,017 31,955
Earnings Before Interest Depreciation and Tax (EBITDA) 5,707 4,793 4,657 4,046 4,710 6,688
Finance Cost 37 47 46 53 105 76
Depreciation and amortisation expense 624 846 715 690 697 757
Earnings Before Associate's share of profit and Exceptional Items and Tax 5,045 3,900 3,896 3,303 3,908 5,855
Share of profit(loss) of associates 61 35 (47) -199.05 3.11 -120.25
Gain in dilution of interest associate
Exceptional Item 678 - -199.05 3.11 -120.25
profit before tax 5,106 4,613 3,849 2,905 3,914 5,614
Tax expense
Current tax 1,609 1,097 931 805.44 947.69 1,264.18
Deffered tax 29 (145) (18) -76.38 116.03 83.86
Total tax expensess 1,638 952 913 729 1,064 1,348
Profit for the year 3,468 3,661 2,936 2,176 2,850 4,266
0 - - - - - - -
5,933 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
1,448.02
109.73
1,558 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
Industry Data
Domestic
2-wheelers Units 21,180,000 17,416,432 15,120,783 13,570,008 15,862,771 17,974,365 19,607,332
-18% -13% -10% 17% 13% 9%
Exports
2-wheelers Units 2,865,851 3,519,405 3,282,786 4,443,131 3,652,122 3,458,416 4,198,403
23% -7% 35% -18% -5% 21%
Capacity
Dharuhera Units 2,100,000 2,100,000 2,100,000 2,100,000 2,100,000 2,100,000 2,100,000
Gurgaon Units 2,100,000 2,100,000 2,100,000 2,100,000 2,100,000 2,100,000 2,100,000
Haridwar Units 2,700,000 2,700,000 2,700,000 2,700,000 2,700,000 2,700,000 2,700,000
Neemrana Units 800,000 800,000 800,000 800,000 800,000 800,000 800,000
Halol Units 800,000 800,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000
Chittoor Units 400,000 400,000 400,000 400,000 400,000 400,000 400,000
Colombia Units 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000
Bangladesh Units 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000
Total Units 9,130,000 9,130,000 9,530,000 9,530,000 9,530,000 9,530,000 9,530,000
Sales
Domestic Sales Units 7,610,000 6,220,000 5,599,930 4,643,526 5,156,247 5,420,532 5,611,758
Exports Units 210,000 180,000 191,609 300,624 172,753 200,923 287,429
Total 7,820,000 6,400,000 5,791,539 4,944,150 5,329,000 5,621,455 5,899,187
Growth
Domestic -18% -10% -17% 11% 5% 4%
export -14% 6% 57% -43% 16% 43%
Market Share
Domestic 35.9% 35.7% 37.0% 34.2% 32.5% 30.2% 28.6%
Exports 7.3% 5.1% 5.8% 6.8% 4.7% 5.8% 6.8%
Revenue INR Crore 33,972 29,255 30,959 29,551 34,158 37,789 40,923
Change in Revenue -13.9% 5.8% -4.5% 15.6% 10.6% 8.3%
COST DRIVER
Material cost INR crores 23,444 19,831 21,744 20,874 23,897 25,025 26,911
RM per vehicle sold INR 29,980 30,986 37,544 42,220 44,843 44,517 45,618
Material cost /avg realisation 69% 68% 70% 71% 70% 66% 66%
Current Liabilities
Borrowings INR Crore 184 166 285 317 293 363 457
lease liabilities INR Crore 0 33 30 36 35 44 47
Trade Payables INR Crore 3438 3128 5264 4343 4759 5623 5700
Other Financial Liabilities INR Crore 227 261 179 146 170 255 283
Other Current Liabilities INR Crore 501 531 571 496 562 604 768
Provisions INR Crore 60 160 176 179 193 159 221
Revenue per day INR Crore 94.37 81.26 86.00 82.09 94.88 104.97 113.68
Current Assets
Inventories 13 16 21 18 19 17 18
Trade Receivables 29 19 26 26 29 25 30
Loans 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Financial Assets 7 4 4 6 6 4 3
Other Current Assets 3 4 3 3 3 5 4
Current Liabilities
Borrowings 2 2 3 4 3 3 4
lease liabilities 0 0 0 0 0 0
Trade Payables 36 38 61 53 50 54 50
Other Financial Liabilities 2 3 2 2 2 2 2
Other Current Liabilities 5 7 7 6 6 6 7
Provisions 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
Working Capital INR Crore 526 -774 -1,756 -1,115 -671 -1,734 -1,252
Change in Working Capital -1,301 -982 641 444 -1,063 482
FY 26 FY 27 FY 28 FY 29 FY 30 FY 31 FY 32
11% 15% 8% 8% 6% 9% 9%
1% 18% 21% 17% 14% 13% 10%
18 18 18 18 18 18 18
30 30 30 30 30 30 30
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 3 3 3 3 3
4 4 4 4 4 4 4
4 4 4 4 4 4 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50 50 50 50 50 50 50
2 2 2 2 2 2 2
7 7 7 7 7 7 7
2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Accumulated Depreciation 3,376 3,936 4,516 4,993 5,494 5,962 10,868 11,568
Accumulated Amortization 3,633 3,763 3,829 3,881 3,950 4,081
Net Fixed Assets 4,478 5,562 5,551 5,354 5,159 5,213 5,219 5,924
Net Intangible Assets 141 140 318 321 519 544 580
Capital Work in Progress 385 205 236 149 122 127 105
Intangible Assets Under Development 188 187 259 368 332 357 382
Gross Assets Per Vehicle Capacity 13,364 15,107 15,435 15,810 16,343 17,087 18,001 18,000
Total capaity 9,130,000 9,130,000 9,530,000 9,530,000 9,530,000 9,530,000 9,530,000 9,530,000
Capacity utilisation 86% 70% 61% 52% 56% 59% 62% 69%
New Capacity 0
Depreciation and Amortization 624 846 715 690 697 757 825 700
Depreciation as % of GFA 5.4% 6.3% 5.0% 4.7% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 4.00%
FY 27 FY 28 FY 29 FY 30 FY 31 FY 32
- - - 190 400 20
700 728 757 787 826 875
700 728 757 977 1,226 895
Debt 125 252 403 407 436 377 340 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
Equity 13,237 14,547 15,559 15,995 16,781 17,835 19,404 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
Debt equity ratio 0.009 0.017 0.026 0.025 0.026 0.021 0.018 0.018 0.018 0.018
20%
FY 29 FY 30 FY 31 FY 32