2021
GLOBAL HUNGER INDEX
                                 KENYA POLICY BRIEF	   June 2022
© Jonas Wresch/Welthungerhilfe
 Kenya in the 2021 GHI                                                                                 What explains Kenya’s high GHI score? Each year, Kenya’s GHI score
 In the 2021 Global Hunger Index report, Kenya ranks 87 out of                       th                 depends on its recent performance in four indicators:
116 countries with sufficient data to calculate GHI scores. With a                                       Æ        undernourishment – the share of the population who do not get
 score of 23.0, Kenya has a level of hunger that is serious.                                                      enough calories
                                                                                                         Æ        child wasting – the share of children under five who are too thin
  KENYA’S GHI SCORES, 2000–2021                                                                                   for their height
             40
                                                                                                         Æ        child stunting – the share of children under five who are too short
                         36.7
                                                                                                                  for their age
                                          31.2                                                           Æ        child mortality – the share of children who die before their fifth
             30
                                                               25.4                                               birthday
                                                                                   23.0
GHI score
             20
                                                                                                      These four indicators reflect the overall trend in Kenya’s GHI scores.
                                                                                                       Undernourishment, at 24.8%, is considered medium, and this rate has
             10                                                                                        hardly changed since 2012. This means that one-quarter of Kenyans
                                                                                                        do not consume enough calories to live a healthy and productive life.
               0                                                                                       Child wasting, an indicator of acute malnutrition, has steadily declined
                         2000             2006                2012                 2021
                                                                                                       and reached the low rate of 4.8%.
            Alarming                                    Serious                                                   At 25.0%, child stunting, which reflects chronic malnutrition, is
  Source: 2021 Global Hunger Index authors. Note: Data for the GHI score for 2000 are from              considered high. Though it fell sharply between 2000 and 2012, it
  1998–2002; for 2006, from 2004–2008; for 2012, from 2010–2014; and for 2021, from
  2016–2020.
                                                                                                       has stagnated since then. Child mortality is at 4.3%, considered
                                                                                                       medium, after a slowing decline.
 Kenya has made important progress against hunger in the past two                                       UNDERNOURISHMENT IN KENYA, 2000–2021 (%)
  decades. Since 2000, the country’s GHI score has declined by 13.7
                                                                                                                    40
 points – a percentage decrease of 37%, representing a significant
                                                                                                                                 32.2
 improvement from alarming to serious. Most of that improvement,
                                                                                                                    30
 however, occurred between 2000 and 2012. Since 2012 Kenya’s                                                                                      26.1             24.9                24.8
 GHI score has fallen by only 2.4 points, showing that its progress in
                                                                                                      GHI score
                                                                                                                    20
 the fight against hunger has slowed.
            Although Kenya’s GHI score of 23.0 exceeds the world average,
 it is lower than average for Africa South of the Sahara and third-low-                                             10
  est in East Africa.
                                                                                                                     0
                                                                                                                                 2000             2006             2012                2021
                                                                                                        Source: 2021 Global Hunger Index authors. Note: Data for the GHI score for 200 are from
                                                                                                        2000–2002: for 2006, from 2005–2007; for 2012, from 2011–2013; for 2021,
                                                                                                        from 2018–2020.
  GHI SCORES FOR EAST AFRICA, 2021
                        50.8
              50
              40
                                      36.3
                                                      31.3
GHI score
              30                                                      27.4             26.4                 25.1               24.7                      Africa South of the Sahara = 27.1
                                                                                                                                           24.1          23.0          21.3
              20
                                                                                                                                                                                World = 17.9
                                                                                                                                                                                     12.2
              10
               0
                       Somalia   Madagascar Mozambique               Djibouti        Rwanda              Sudan              United Rep.   Ethiopia       Kenya          Malawi         Mauritius
                                                                                                                            of Tanzania
            Extremely alarming                                                                                    Serious
            Alarming                                                                                              Moderate
  Source: 2021 Global Hunger Index authors. Note: Burundi, Comoros, Eritrea, South Sudan, Uganda, Zambia, and Zimbabwe are in the East Africa subregion but are not shown, owing to insuf-
  ficient data for the calculation of GHI scores. Existing data and Provisional indicator values for these countries were included in the calculation of regional and global GHI sores. See Box 1.3
  regarding provisional designations of hunger severity for countries with incomplete data.
                                                                                                  2
  CHILD WASTING IN KENYA, 2000–2021 (%)                                                             National averages for the relevant indicators point to the scale of
             10                                                                                  the issue, but hunger and undernutrition vary widely by region and
                                                                                                 county in Kenya. Much of the rural population living in the arid and
                        7.4                                                                      semi-arid lands (ASAL) of northern Kenya is highly vulnerable to food
                                         6.9
                                                            6.3                                  insecurity. Child stunting, for example, is highest in Kitui and West
GHI score
              5                                                                 4.8              Pokot, whereas child wasting is highest in Turkana and Marsabit.
                                                                                                 Overall, the people who are most vulnerable to hunger are children
                                                                                                 and women.
                                                                                                 The Challenge: A Toxic Cocktail of Conflict, Climate
               0
                        2000            2006                2012               2021
                                                                                                 Change, and COVID-19
  Source: 2021 Global Hunger Index authors. Note: Data for the GHI score for 2000 are from       As the 2021 GHI shows, globally and in Kenya, progress toward
  1998–2002; for 2006, from 2004–2008; for 2012, from 2010–2014; and for 2021, from
                                                                                                 Zero Hunger by 2030 is slowing, driven by multiple crises, such as
  2016–2020.
                                                                                                 climate change, the COVID-19 pandemic and its consequences, and
                                                                                                 increasingly severe and protracted violent conflicts.
                                                                                                    Kenyans are particularly vulnerable to climate change. Seventy
                                                                                                 percent of Kenyans earn all or part of their income from agriculture,
                                                                                                 and most farmers rely on rainfed farming. Over the past three years,
  CHILD STUNTING IN KENYA, 2000–2021 (%)                                                         rains have failed, been delayed, or been below average, leading to
              50                                                                                 massive crop failures. Pastoralists are highly resilient and self-reliant,
                        40.8             40.3                                                    but climate change and the consequent inconsistent rainfall patterns
              40                                                                                 have also led to huge losses of livestock in their communities. As a
                                                                                                 result of the ongoing drought, more than 2.8 million Kenyans in the
              30                                            26.3
GHI score
                                                                               25.0              country’s 23 counties in arid and semi-arid lands (ASAL) go to bed
              20                                                                                 hungry.
                                                                                                    At the same time, measures taken to control the spread of
              10                                                                                 COVID-19 in urban areas jeopardize the incomes, and in turn the
                                                                                                 food security, of poor urban households. In December 2021, at least
               0
                        2000            2006                2012               2021              one in five urban households was in food crisis.
  Source: 2021 Global Hunger Index authors. Note: Data for the GHI score for 2000 are from          Conflict is also a factor. Competition over increasingly scarce
  1998–2002; for 2006, from 2004–2008; for 2012, from 2010–2014; and for 2021, from
  2016–2020.
                                                                                                 rangelands and water is leading to civil strife and loss of life – a
                                                                                                 situation that overlaps with and exacerbates hunger. Internal and
                                                                                                 cross-border displacement is common owing to both drought and
                                                                                                 conflict over natural resources, creating additional hardships for
                                                                                                 affected populations.
  CHILD MORTALITY IN KENYA, 2000–2021 (%)                                                        The Way Forward: Getting to Zero Hunger
              15                                                                                 The Kenyan government has recently made several important
                                                                                                 commitments to advance food security and nutrition. At the 2021
                         9.9                                                                     United Nations Food Systems Summit, it reinforced its aspiration to
              10
                                                                                                 achieve Zero Hunger by 2030. Three months later, at the Nutrition for
                                         7.2
GHI score
                                                                                                 Growth Summit, it pledged to continue implementing its multisectoral
                                                             5.5
                                                                                                 country action plan on child wasting, which is aligned with planned
               5                                                                4.3
                                                                                                 outcomes in health, food, social protection, and water, sanitation,
                                                                                                 and hygiene (WASH) systems. But are these efforts enough in the
                                                                                                 face of current headwinds?
               0
                        2000            2006                2012               2021                 In the short term, it is crucial for government, donors, and
  Source: 2021 Global Hunger Index authors.                                                      development partners to work collectively to provide coordinated
                                                                                                 humanitarian assistance to those at risk of starvation. This assistance
                                                                                                 will not only save lives but also ensure that those communities can
                                                                                                 build back in a sustainable and resilient way. Increased public invest-
            Very high                                 Medium                                     ment in social security and targeted social safety nets would help
            High                                      Low                                        vulnerable groups to absorb shocks and avoid falling into crisis.
                                                                                             3
Nutrition-sensitive social protection programs should be directed to       The challenges posed by the risk of violent conflict, climate change,
the most vulnerable, such as children, to boost their life chances by   extreme weather events, economic shocks, and the lingering conse-
ensuring their food security and nutrition.                             quences of the COVID-19 pandemic will surely continue. To bolster
   In the longer term, national and county governments must             community resilience, therefore, we must transform food systems to
prioritize policies and programs that increase productivity, food      become sustainable and equitable. Integrating a peace-building lens
security, nutrition, and the resilience of small-scale farmers and     into the creation of resilient food systems, as well as a food security
pastoralists. This will include investments in a shift toward
                                                                       lens into peace building, can help advance both sustainable food and
climate-smart agriculture and water management, a timely flow of       nutrition security and durable peace.
funds for basic services to counties, and investment in drought and         Fundamentally, all actions must put vulnerable communities,
famine early action mechanisms, as described in the Ending Drought      including women and children, at the center of food systems and
Emergencies Framework. Farmers need support to secure access to         policies and must be anchored in human rights and meaningful
land, water, seeds, information, agricultural inputs, financing,        participation.
extension services, and transport. Government should also introduce
insurance schemes to help protect farmers from catastrophic losses.
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