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Scs RF Estimation - 5

The document outlines the process of checking the reliability and consistency of rainfall data over a 30-year period, using statistical methods such as calculating mean, standard deviation, and skewness coefficients. It details the analysis of outliers and the application of various statistical distributions to estimate maximum probable rainfall for a 50-year return period. The findings indicate that the log-normal distribution provides the highest estimated point rainfall depth, and the goodness of fit for the distributions is evaluated using the D-index test.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
22 views19 pages

Scs RF Estimation - 5

The document outlines the process of checking the reliability and consistency of rainfall data over a 30-year period, using statistical methods such as calculating mean, standard deviation, and skewness coefficients. It details the analysis of outliers and the application of various statistical distributions to estimate maximum probable rainfall for a 50-year return period. The findings indicate that the log-normal distribution provides the highest estimated point rainfall depth, and the goodness of fit for the distributions is evaluated using the D-index test.

Uploaded by

Hussen Mohammed
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Data reliability checking

Before proceeding to the other analysis, the adequacy of rainfall data series should be checked and it
should be realized. The data series could be considered and adequate if relative standard error, e10%,
where eis the relative standard error, A 30 years data checking using arithmetic mean and outlier test is
shown below.

S/no. Year Heaviest Rainfall (mm/day)=Xi

1 1953 55.3
2 1954 54.6
3 1955 59
4 1956 41
5 1957 61.9
6 1958 53.6
7 1959 63
8 1960 41.2
9 1961 54.5
10 1962 51.4
11 1963 51.2
12 1964 76
13 1965 34.2
14 1966 41
15 1967 65
16 1968 53.5
17 1969 47.6
18 1970 59.5
19 1971 45.1
20 1972 43.4
21 1973 15
22 1974 58.1
23 1975 94.5
24 1976 39.5
25 1977 60.7
26 1978 48.9
27 1979 56.4
28 1980 38
29 1981 62.3
30 1982 58
31 1983 82.8
32 1984 49.6
33 1985 62.4
34 1986 42.8
35 1987 50.5
36 1988 67.9
37 1989 74.8
38 1990 59
39 1991 42.2
40 1992 52.4
41 1993 52.4
42 1994 58.5
43 1995 33.8
44 1996 42.7
45 1997 54.3
46 1998 68.4
47 1999 61.2
48 2000 50.6
49 2001 71.6
50 2002 64.4
51 2003 60.9
52 2004 46.8
53 2005 70.4
54 2006 64.8
Sum 2968.6
Mean 54.97407
Standard deviation 13.23526

Statistical series analysis

For normal series

x=
∑ xi =2968 .6 =54 . 97407
Mean = n 54
Standard deviation, Sx


S x= ∑
n−1
=
54−1 √
( xi−x ) 2 9284 . 124
=13 . 23526
For log transformed series

y=
∑ yi =1 .725756
Mean n

Standard deviation, Sy= √ ∑ ( yi− y )2 =


n−1 √ 0 .767642
53
=0 . 120348707

Se Sx
e= ∗100 ,Where Se= , standard error
Xm √N
13.23526 1.8011
Se= =1.8011, e= ∗100 =3.27627 % < 10% ok!
√ 54 54.97407

Therefore the data is reliable and adequate.

Data consistency testing

Outliers are data points that depart significantly from the trend of the remaining data. Procedures for
treating outliers require judgment involving both mathematical and hydrologic consideration. The
retention and deletion of these outliers can significantly affect the magnitude of statistical parameters
more significantly in small samples. Therefore according to US Water resource council (1981), If the
station skeweness coefficient is greater than +0.4 tests for higher outliers should be done first; If the
station skeweness coefficient is less than -0.4 tests for lower outliers should be done first and if the
station skeweness is between -0.4 and+0.4 tests for both high and lower outliers should be applied before
any elimination from the data set. The station skeweness coefficient is computed as follows:

Skeweness coefficient is given by:

n ∑ ( yi− y )3
3
= 54∗(−0 . 15396 ) =−1 .73065942
Csy= ( n−1 ) ( n−2 ) Sy 53∗52∗0 . 000174311

Where, n=sample size

Yi = log transform value

y = Log transformed mean


Sy = Standard deviation of data log units

Since the station skeweness coefficient is less than -0.4 tests for lower outliers should be done first.

Here table of log transfored


Determination of the threshold value of lower outlier:

Lower outlier is given by: YL = Ym – Kn*Sy

YL= 1.725756- *0.120348707 =

Minimum rainfall(X) = 10YL = 10

Lower outlier is = 10 = mm

 The lowest recorded data i.e. 15 mm is not lower than the lower outlier therefore no data will be
eliminated and the fifty four years recorded data is used for storm analysis.

Determination of the threshold value of lower outlier:

Lower outlier is given by: YL = Ym – Kn*Sy

YL= 1.7950- 2.2008*0.1001 =1.5387

Daily heaviest rainfall

Areal rain fall


After checking the consistency of the data for higher and lower outlier, the 30 years data is obtained as
representative for the analysis. The probability of occurrence of maximum probable rain fall is estimated
as follow: We have taken the return period (T) is 50 years, (Subramanian K., 1984)

Statistical Parameters for normal series

x=
∑ xi =2968 .6 =54 . 97407
Mean = n 54
Standard deviation, Sx


S x= ∑
n−1
=
54−1 √
( xi−x ) 2 9284 . 124
=13 . 23526

Coefficient of skewness, Csx

n ∑ ( xi−x )3 54∗10680 . 47
3
=
Csx = ( n−1 ) ( n−2 ) Sx 53∗52∗13 .23526 3 = 0.090263

Coefficient of kurtosis, Ckx


n 2 ∑ ( xi−x )4 54 2∗6241584 . 04
Ckx=
( n−1 ) ( n−2 )( n−3 ) Sx 4 =53∗52∗51∗13. 23526 4 = 4.687129

Statistical Parameters for log transferred series

y=
∑ yi =1 .725756
Mean n

Standard deviation Sy= √ ∑ ( yi− y )2 =


n−1 √ 0 .767642
53
=0 . 120348707

Coefficient of skewness ,Csy

n ∑ ( yi− y )3
3
= 54∗(−0 . 15396 ) =−1 .73065942
Csy= ( n−1 ) ( n−2 ) Sy 53∗52∗0 . 000174311

Coefficient of Kurtosis, Cky

( y− y )4
n ∑
2
=
2916∗0 .103106
4 =10 .19661
Cky= ( n−1 ) ( n−2 ) ( n−3 ) sy 53∗52∗51∗0 .00021

The design daily point rainfall of a certain return period in this case, 50 years, is assumed to follow different
types of distribution as discussed below.

Frequency analysis

Frequency method may be used for drainage basin of any size. The reliability of the frequency estimates
depends on the lengths of the observed record rather than the method of probability analysis. The return
period or recurrence interval (T) is the average number of year during which a flood of given magnitude
will be equaled or exceeded once and computed by; Wilbur method (1939) as;

T = n+1/m , where n=number of event ,m=order or rank of the event , T=recurrence interval (year)

For determining extreme events, the following techniques are carried out for analysis

1. Normal distribution
XT = Xm + KT *Sx where, For T = 50 years, p = 1/50 = 0.02

W = (ln(1/p2))0.5 = (ln(1/0.022))0.5 = 2.7971


2
2.51557+ 0.608486∗w+0.01033 ¿ w
Kt =w− 2 3
1+1.143279∗w+ 0.1992 ¿ w +0.00131 ¿ w

KT = 2.054

From the above table we have, Xm = 54.9407 and Sx = 13.23526

By substituting these values on the formula , XT = Xm + KT *Sx

X50 = 54.97407 + 2.054*13.23526

X50 = 82.1259mm

2. Log normal distribution

XT = 10 (Ym + KT *Sy) ,where Ym = 1.725756 , Sy = 0.120348 and KT =2.054 since it is the same as the
calculated value on normal distribution.

XT = 10 (1.725756 + *2.054 0.120348) = 93.962mm

3. Extreme value- I distribution

XT = U + α * YT , U = Xm – 0.5772 α , α = (√6/∏) * Sx , KT = (YT – Yn)/Sn

YT = -ln(-ln(1-1/T))= -ln(-ln(1-1/50)) = 3.902

KT = (3.902 – 0.5485)/1.1607 = 2.8892

U = 54.9407- 0.5772*10.3195 = 48.9843, α = (√6/∏) *13.23526 = 10.3195

X50= U + α * YT = 48.9843 + 10.3195*3.902 = 89.251mm

4. Pearson type III

XT = Xm + KT *Sx ,where Xm = 54.9407 , Sx = 13.23526

KT= z+(z2-1)k +1/3(z3-6z)k2 –(z2-1)k3 + zk4+1/3k5 , where k = Csx/6 = 0.09026/6 = 0.01504 and z is
obtained from the table values of Cs and return period. But Csx = 0.09026251 and a return period of 50
years then we obtain z value through interpolation. 0→2.054

0.09→z

0.1→2.107 from this we get z = 2.1017

KT= z+(z2-1)k +1/3(z3-6z)k2 –(z2-1)k3 + zk4+1/3k5 , by substituting z= 2.1017 and k = 0.01504


KT= 2.1528

XT = Xm + KT *Sx

X50 = 54.9407+ 2.1528 *13.23526 = 83.4335mm

5. Log pearson type III distribution

XT = 10(Ym + KT *Sy) , where Ym = 1.725756 , and Sy = 0.120349

KT= z+(z2-1)k +1/3(z3-6z)k2 –(z2-1)k3 + zk4+1/3k5 , where k = Csy/6 = -1.730659/6 = -0.28844 and z is
obtained from the table values of Csy and return period. But Csy = -1.730659 and a return period of 50
years then we obtain z value through interpolation. -1.7→1.116

-1.730659→z

-1.8→1.069 from this we get z = 1.10159

KT= z+(z2-1)k +1/3(z3-6z)k2 –(z2-1)k3 + zk4+1/3k5 , , by substituting z= 1.10159 and k = -0.28844

KT = 1.0614

XT = 10(Ym + KT *Sy)

X50 = 10(1.725756 + 1.0614 *0.120349) = 71.366mm

Normal distribution 82.1259mm

Log normal distribution 93.962mm

Extreme value- I distribution 89.251mm

Pearson type III 83.4335mm

Log pearson type III distribution 71.366mm

Therefore, from the above calculation Log normal distribution (type II) gives the highest value of point
rainfall depth.

Testing the goodness of fit

The D-index tests for the comparison of the fit of various distributions in the upper tail are given by:

D-index = (1/Xm)* ∑Abs (Xi-Xical)

The validity of a probability distribution function proposed to fit the empirical frequency distribution of a
given sample may be tested graphically or analytically. Graphical methods are usually based on visual
comparison which may make decisions a bit subjective and the procedure require a specially designed paper
such as Gamble, log- log etc. However, the paper is not available for all distributions in practice. Graphical
approach for dialoging, how well distribution fits the data are subjective. A number of analytical tests are in
practice now a day at global level. Some of the commonly used tests are :- Dindex test, K-s test , X2 test

How ever, for the sake of simplicity and for power and flexibility of the test Dindex test is applied in our case.

Dindex = / where: - is mean of normal data

Xi is the ith observed data

Xic is the ith computed data

The distribution giving the least D-index is considered to be the best fit distribution.

Table . statistical results for both nomal and log transformed data

Statistical parameter Normal data Log transformed data

Mean 54.97407 1.725756

Standard deviation 13.23526 0.120348707

Skwness.coefficient 0.090263 -1.73065942

Variation coefficient 0.24090085 0.0697368

Normal distribution

Xical=Xi+Kt*σx
2
2.51557+ 0.608486∗w+0.01033 ¿ w
Kt =w− 2 3 The answer is found in the table 3.2 below.
1+1.143279∗w+ 0.1992 ¿ w +0.00131 ¿ w

W= (ln (1/pr) ^2) ^0.5

Table 3.2 Normal distribution

Xi rank P=m/n+1 KT Xi cal Abs(Xi – X


ical)
94.5 1 0.142857 1.043192 108.3069 13.8069
82.8 2 0.285714 0.525359 89.75327 6.95327
76 3 0.428571 0.126265 77.67115 1.67115
74.8 4 0.571429 -0.24479 71.5601 3.2399
71.6 5 0.714286 -0.63756 63.16177 8.438234
70.4 6 0.857143 -1.12864 55.46219 14.93781
SUM 49.047264

1
D-index = ∗∑ |( xi− Xical )|
Xm

= 49.047264/54.97407 = 0.8922

2. Log normal distribution

Yical=Yi+Kt*σy

Table 3.3 Log normal distribution

Yi Rank P=m/n+1 Kt Yi cal Abs(Yi-Yi cal)


1.975432 1 0.142857 1.043192 1.851303 0.124129
1.91803 2 0.285714 0.525359 1.788982 0.129048
1.880814 3 0.428571 0.126265 1.740952 0.139862
1.873902 4 0.571429 -0.24479 1.696296 0.177606
1.854913 5 0.714286 -0.63756 1.649026 0.205887
1.847573 6 0.857143 -1.12864 1.589926 0.257647
SUM 1.034179

1
D-index= ∗∑ |( Yi−Yical )|
Ym

=1.034179/1.725756 = 0.5993

Pearson Type III Distribution Method

Kt=Z+(Z^2-1)*k+1/3*(z^3-6*Z)*K^2-(Z-1)*k^3+Z*K^4+1/3*K^5

Where K=Cs/6 =0.0529


2
2.51557+ 0.608486∗w+ 0.01033¿ w
Z=w− 2 3
1+ 1.143279∗w+0.1992∗w +0.00131 ¿ w

Where W= (ln(1/pr)^2)^0.5

Table 3.4 Pearson Type III Distribution Method

Xi Rank P=m/n+1 Kt X ical Abs(Xi-Xical)


94.5 1 0.142857 1.044133 108.3194 13.8194
82.8 2 0.285714 0.514245 89.60617 6.80617
76 3 0.428571 0.111411 77.47455 1.47455
74.8 4 0.571429 -0.25881 71.37452 3.425483
71.6 5 0.714286 -0.64621 63.04722 8.552785
70.4 6 0.857143 -1.12411 55.52208 14.87792
SUM 48.956

1
D-index= ∗∑ |( xi− Xical )|
Xm

= 48.956/54.97407 = 0.8905

Gambel EVI Distribution method

Table 3.6 Gambel EVI Distribution method

xi Rank P=m/n+1 kt Xi cal Abs(Xi-Xical)


94.5 1 0.142857 1.138387 68.27997 26.22003
82.8 2 0.285714 0.465875 60.22472 22.57528
76 3 0.428571 0.027575 54.97483 21.02517
74.8 4 0.571429 -0.3298 50.69426 24.10574
71.6 5 0.714286 -0.66671 46.65878 24.94122
70.4 6 0.857143 -1.04612 42.1143 28.2857
SUM 147.1531

XT = U + α * YT , U = Xm – 0.5772 α , α = (√6/∏) * Sx ,

KT = (YT – Yn)/Sn

YT = -ln(-ln(1-1/T))

U = 54.9407- 0.5772*10.3195 = 48.9843, α = (√6/∏) *13.23526 = 10.3195

Xi cal = U + α * YT

1
D-index = ∗∑ |( xi− Xical )|
Xm

= 147.1531/54.97407 = 2.6768

Log Pearson Type III Distribution Method

Kt=Z+(Z^2-1)*k+1/3*(z^3-6*Z)*K^2-(Z-1)*k^3+Z*K^4+1/3*K^5

Where K=Cs/6 =0.0529


2
2.51557+ 0.608486∗w+ 0.01033¿ w
Z=w− 2 3
1+ 1.143279∗w+0.1992∗w +0.00131 ¿ w

Where W= (ln(1/pr)^2)^0.5

Yi Rank P=m/n+1 Kt Yi cal Abs(Yi-Yical)


1.975432 1 0.142857 1.044133 2.`83125 0.20769
1.91803 2 0.285714 0.514245 2.125723 0.20769
1.880814 3 0.428571 0.111411 2.088507 0.20769
1.873902 4 0.571429 -0.25881 2.081595 0.20769
1.854913 5 0.714286 -0.64621 2.062606 0.20769
1.847573 6 0.857143 -1.12411 2.055266 0.20769
SUM 1.24617

1
D-index = ∗∑ |( Yi−Yical )|
Ym

= 1.24617/1.725756 = 0.7221

Dindex is minimum in case of log normal distribution hence on the bases of this test log normal
distribution best fits the data, as result X50=93.962mm is taken as design point rainfall .therefore, the
average depth over the catchment area should be adjusted for the whole size of the watershed.

Areal Rainfall

A point rainfall X=93.962mm is taken as a point design rain fall and it has to be distributed over the area
using area reduction factors (ARF) given as;

The area reduction factor (ARF) is introduced to account for the spatial variability of point rainfall over
the catchment. This is not significant for small catchments but becomes so as catchment size increases.

ARF = 1- 0.044(A) 0.275 , where ARF= areal reduction factor, A = catchment area(km2)
= 1- 0.044(73)0.275 = 0.8568

As it is known for catchment greater than 25 square km, the point rain fall has to be multiplied with areal
reduction factor.

Then the areal rainfall =0.8568 * 93.962mm = 80.51mm, therefore areal rainfall value of 80.51mm is
used to determine the peak discharge.

Peak discharge determination

Step Designation/formula Symbol Unit Results


1 Area of the catchment(This can be determined from A Km2 73
1:50,000 scale topographical maps or aerial
photographs)

2 Length of main watercourse from watershed divide L m 17000


to proposed diversion or storage site(topographical
map)

3 Elevation of watershed divide opposite to the head of H1 M 2384.02


the main watercourse (topographical map)

4 Elevation of streambed at proposed or storage site H2 M 1199.26


(topographical map)

5 Slope of the main watercourse, S=(H1-H2)/L S m/m 0.0697

6 Time of concentration ,Tc = 1/3000(L/S)0.77 Tc hr. 1.681

7 Rainfall excess duration D=Tc/6 if Tc<3hrs D hr. 0.28

D= 1 , if Tc ≥3hrs

8 Time to peak ,tp=0.5D+0.6Tc tp hr. 1.1486

9 Time base of hydrograph, tb= 2.67tp tb hr. 3.067

10 Lag time,te=0.6Tc te Hr 1.0086

11 Peak rate of discharge created by 1mm runoff excess qp m3/s/mm 13.347


on whole of the catchment,qp=(0.21A)/tp

12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Duration Daily point Rainfall Rainfall Area to Areal Incremental Descending


rainfall for profile Profile point rainfall
return rainfall rainfall Order
period 50 ratio
years

Hr mm % mm % mm mm No

0.0 – 0.28 80.51 19 15.297 32.1 4.91 4.91 1. 8.315

0.28 -0.56 28 22.5 58.52 13.167 8.257 2. 8.257

0.56 -0.84 39 31.4 68.413 21.482 8.315 3. 4.91


0.84 -1.12 46 37.035 69.856 25.87 4.388 4. 4.388

1.12 – 1.4 51 41.06 73.282 30.09 4.22 5. 4.22

1.4 – 1.68 54 43.48 71.569 31.12 1.03 6. 1.03

12 Fill in 0-D hr, D-2D hr,… 5D-6D hr.

13 Determine the magnitude of the daily rainfall with the given recurrent interval by applying
statistical method.

14 Read from (Appendix Fig.A-2) the rainfall profile (%) occurring in D, 2D, 3D…6D hours, and
enter in 14.

15 Multiply 13 and 14 to find the rainfall profile (mm) and enter in 15.

16 From (Appendix Table A-3), read areal to point rainfall ratio for different duration and particular
catchment area. The method is based on research conducted in India and influenced by return
period, magnitude of storm shape and orientation of area etc.

17 Multiply 15 and 16 and file in 17

18 Calculate incremental rainfall by deducting the current areal rainfall from the preceding areal
rainfall as listed in (18)

19 Assign order to the rainfall depths in descending order 1 to 6

20 21 22 23 24 25

Rearranged Rearrange Cumulative Times of increamental hydrogragh


incremental rainfall
Order rainfall Time of Time to peak Time to end
beginning

No. mm mm Hr Hr Hr

6 1.03 1.03 0 1.149 3.067

4 4.388 5.418 0.28 1.429 3.347

3 4.91 10.328 0.56 1.709 3.627

1 8.315 18.643 0.84 1.989 3.907

2 8.257 26.9 1.12 2.269 4.187


5 4.22 31.12 1.4 2.549 4.467

20 From 19, mention the rearranged order as 6,4,3,1,2,5(arbitrarily) but considering ascending
and descending feature of the hydrograph or lines, where peak value is around the middle
of the hydrograph.

21 Fill in the corresponding incremental rainfall value to the rearranged order of 20 from 18

22 Fill in the cumulative rainfall values of 21 by adding with the rainfall values in the
preceding duration.

23 Fill in the time of beginning of hydrograph as 0,D,2D,…5Dhr.

24 Fill in the time to peak as tp,D+tp,2D+tp…5D+tp or add tp in every value of 23 and fill in
24.

25 Add tb in every value of 23 and fill in 25.

26 27 28 29 30 31

Land use cover Area ratio Hydrologic Curve WEIGHED Sum of weighed
condition no”CN” “CN” “CN’

Cultivated land Good ,D AMC CN

Forest land Good ,D I

Pasture or range (grazing Good, D II


land)

Shrub grass land Good, D III 92.115

26 Identify all type of land use cover such as cropped area, follow land, pastures,
meadow forest etc. from the catchment map or aerial photo.

27 Find ratio of each type of land use cover to the total catchment area and enter in
27.

28 Ascertain treatment practice of each type of land use cover, hydrologic


condition corresponding to it from the catchment map and enter in 28.

29 Ascertain hydrologic soil groups for each type of land use cover as below:

Group A:low run off potential

Group B:Moderate runoff potential


Group C:soil having runoff potential

Group D:soil having very high runoff potential

Find the corresponding curve number “CN” from (Appendix table A-4)

30 Multiply 27 and 29 and enter in 30.

31 Add 30. This curve number is corresponding to antecedent moisture condition II


(AMC-II). Find ”CN” for AMC III from tables A-1

The curve number of a given land use/ land cover can be calculated through this steps. But in our case it
is given as CN= 92.115

No Descriptions/Formula Symbol Unit Results

32 Find Maximum potential S Mm 21.74


difference between
rainfall(P), which is given by
the following formula:

25400
s= −254 , where
CN

CN= value corresponding to


AMC III as found in 31

33 Substitute the value of “S” in Q Mm = (P-4.348)2/(P+17.392)


the following formula, giving
the relation between Direct
Runoff(Q) and rainfall(P)

Q=(P-0.2S)2/(P+0.8S)

34 Substitute values of P1 as 22 34
mentioned in 22, in the above
formula and find the X(mm) Q(mm)
corresponding values of
1.03 0.598
Q(34).
5.418 0.05
Enter the value of Q in 36
10.328 1.29

18.643 5.671
26.9 11.483

31.12 14.774

35 36 37 38 39 40

Duration Cumulativ Incrementa Peak runoff 23 24 25


e run off l Runoff for
increment Time of Time to Time to Composite
beginnin peak end hydrograph
g

hr mm mm m 3/s hr hr mr t-Q

0-0.28 0.598 0 0.00 0 1.149 3.067 Triangular

0.28-0.56 0.05 -0.548 0.00 0.28 1.429 3.347 Hydrograph

0.56-0.84 1.29 1.24 16.55 0.56 1.709 3.627 Synthesis

0.84 –1.12 5.671 4.381 58.473 0.84 1.989 3.907

1.12 – 1.4 11.483 5.812 77.573 1.12 2.269 4.187

1.4- 1.68 14.774 3.291 43.925 1.4 2.549 4.467

35 Enter the same time as in 12 i.e.


0-D,D-2D,……5D-6D
36 There are the values of Q as found out in 34 corresponding to the value of P.
37 Find incremental runoff by reducing the values of36from preceding values.
38 Multiply 37with peak rate of runoff corresponding to mm runoff excess as found at 11.
39 Plot triangular hydrograph, (fig.2.2) with time of beginning, peak time and time to end as mentioned
in 23, 24, 25 and peak runoff as mentioned in 38.
40 Plot a composite hydrograph,( Fig.2.3) by adding all the triangular hydrographs. The resultant
hydrograph will be composite hydrograph of desired return period. The coordinate of peak of this
hydrograph will give the peak runoff with desired return period.
Plot of triangular hydrographs

Q Q

16.55

58.473

0.56 1.709 3.627 t 0.84 1.989 3.907

Y3 = 14.44(t3 – 0.56), t3 = 0.56 1.709 Y4 = 50.89(t4 – 0.84), t4 = 0.84 1.989

Y3* = 8.63( 3.627 - t3* ), t3* =1.709 3.627 Y4* = 30.49( 3.907 - t4* ), t4* =1.989 3.907

Q Q

77.573 43.925

1.12 2.269 4.187 1.4 2.549 4.467

Y5 = 67.51(t5 – 1.12), t5 = 1.12 2.269 Y6 = 38.23(t6 – 1.4), t6 = 1.4 2.549

Y5* = 40.44( 4.187- t5* ), t5* =2.269 4.187 Y6* = 22.9( 4.467 - t6* ), t6* =2.549 4.467

Figure 1. triangular hydrograph for peak discharge determination


90 Triangular Hydrograph

80

70
Y1
60 Y2
50 Y3
Y4
40 Y5
Y6
30 base flow
20

10

0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5

Table 2. composite hydrograph


Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Base total
flow
0 0 0.15 0.15
0.28 0 0 0.15 0.15
0.56 0 0 0 0.15 0.15
0.84 0 0 4.403 0 0.15 4.193
1.12 0 0 8.086 14.25 0 0.15 22.486
1.149 0 0 8.505 15.725 1.958 0.15 26.338
1.4 0 0 12.13 28.498 18.903 0 0.15 59.681
1.429 0 0 12.55 29.974 20.861 1.109 0.15 64.644
1.709 0 0 16.55 44.22 39.763 11.83 0.15 112.496
1.989 0 0 14.136 58.473 58.67 22.52 0.15 153.949
2.269 0 0 11.72 49.94 77.573 33.22 0.15 172.603
2.549 0 0 9.303 41.405 66.241 43.925 0.15 161.024
3.067 0 0 4.83 25.61 45.293 32.06 0.15 107.943
3.347 0 2.42 17.074 33.97 25.648 0.15 79.252
3.627 0 8.537 22.646 19.236 0.15 50.569
3.907 0 11.323 12.824 0.15 24.297
4.187 0 6.412 0.15 6.562
4.467 0 0.15 00.15
composite Hydrograph
200
172.603m 3 /s
180
d 160
i
s 140
c
h 120
a
r 100 composite Hydrograph
g
e 80
m
3
/ 60
s
40

20

0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5duration,
3 3.5 hr 4 4.5 5

Figure 3.Composite hydrograph

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