009
RISK MANAGEMENT & TRADE PLANNING
Risk Management tc ge ,d Option Trader ds :i esa ekdsZV esa Entry djrs gS rc
Risk Management ugha dj ikrs gS ges ;s ugha irk fd Risk gksrk D;k gSA ge Risk dks
Manage dSls dj ik;sx
a s] Risk dks Manage djuk cgqr eqf”dy gSA
rks lcls igyk Focus djrs gS Risk / Reward Ratio is blesa Multiple phts
Involve gSA
Risk / Reward Ratio dk igyk Terminology gksrk gS fd ge fdlh Hkh VªsM esa
Enter djrs gS rks mldk Risk mldk Qty Decide djrk gSA
For Example vxj geus 50 QTY vxj geus 50 QTY fy;k rks de Risk, 100 QTY
fy;k rks T;knk Risk. rks lcls igys ge QTY ysrs dSls gSA D;k ges jkr esa liuk vk;k
Fkk\ tc rd ge bls ugha le>sx
a s rc rd Celerity ls VªsM dks le> ugha ik;sxsaA
Position gksrk D;k gS\ tc geus dgk fd geus Position cuk fy;k ;k rks Long esa Buy
dj ds Position ;k rks Short esa Sell dj ds Position.
Buying and selling in Financial in Market Know is position cuk fy;kA
Buying and selling any products equity Market, Commodity Market, Forex
Market what legal / illegal you doing.
vki Buy djks ;k Sell djks tks Hkh vki igys djrs gS fdlh Hkh pht dks Hold
djrs gSA dksbZ Hkh pht vkids ikl vk x;k as it is 1 Min, as it is 1 Hly, As it is One
day, 1 Month, ges D;k irk fdrus fnuks ds fy,A That is know is fd geus Position
cuk fy;kA
Size gekjs Order esa fNik gksrk gS Size. ge fdruk Units ys jgs gS (Unit ys ldrs gS
No of Shares esa Lots esa ys ldrs gS] KG esa ys ldrs gS] LTR esa ys ldrs gSA)
For Ex :- If you trade into copper rks copper ;gk¡ ij FkksM+s uk No of Share esa VªsM
djsxkA If you trade into Aluminum, Aluminum dk izkbZl rks KG esa gksxk] Vu esa
gksxkA rks gj ,d pht dk ,d Price gSA
Cost :- Capital Reveres to open a position. vkidk Broker vkids fdruk ns jgk gS
ml ls dksbZ QdZ ugha iM+rk ml position dks open djus ds fy, fdruk Captial dk
Requirement gSA That is know as a cost.
Margin :- ekftZu eryc Total collateral amount. collateral eryc fdlh product dk
price 100 dk gS Broker cksyrk gS fd eSa vkidks 10X dk ekftZu nwxk rks 100: ds
Product dks [kfjnus ds fy, vkidks 10 :i;s dh vko’;drk gS vkSj 10X dh ekftZu
broker ns jgk gSA The amount of collateral fdruk amount vkidk collect djsxk rc
Broker vkidks mlesa position nsxkA The amount of collateral as known as Margin.
Leverage :- Leverage Means fdruk Multiply gksrk gS] cgqr lkjs yksx Nifty, Bank
Nifty, Option, Forex esa flQZ blfy, tkrs gS uk fd cgqr T;knk leverage pkfg, VªsM
dks Multiply djuk gSA Levrage is a sweet position. ge VªsfMx dks Business dh rjg
ys jgs gSA
tc Hkh fdlh dke dks As a Business ysrs gSA rks Business esa fdlh dke dks ,sls
ys ldrs gS ugha ,sls ugha ys ldrs gS Business esa ysus ls igys ges ml Business
ds lkjs Up and down, lkjs call vkSj position irk gksuk pkfg,A
As a trader we can learn trading as a business vkSj tc ge VªsfMax dks as a business
adopt djrs gS rks Business dks nks ewM gksrk gS igyk eksM gksrk gS business dk
Startup mode vkSj nwljk ewM gksrk gS scale up mode.
tc ge Business start djrs gS rks Start djrs time lkjs experiment djrs gS gekjs lkFk
Broker Hkh ets ys ysrk gS] gekjs lkFk Advisor Hkh ets ys ysrk gSA ge News Based
trade Hkh dj ysrs gS] ge dqN Event Based trade Hkh dj ysrs gSA ftrus Hkh iki ds dke
gS ge Startup mode esa dj ysrs gSA bl oDr ges irk ugha gS fd lgh D;k vkSj xyr
D;kA
This is your experiment bl Experiment ds nkSMk+ u vkidks D;k Leverage pkfg,\
Leverage dk ge ckr djs rks Levrage gksrk gS yksuA ge yksu dc ysrs gsA yksu
dg dHkh Hkh Startup Mode esa ugha ysrs gSa D;ksfd Start up mode esa ges vius Product
ds output is HkM+kslk ugha gksrk gSA vHkh vkidks irk gh ugha gS fd D;k ;s Trade pysxk
D;k ;s VªsM ugha pysxk] ;s VªsM dke djsxk ;k VªsM dke ugha djsxkA lcls igys ml
startup mode esa ;s Experiment Mode gSA
vxj eSa dgw fd Demand vkSj Supply dke egkjs fy, dke djrk gSA Demand
vkSj Supply vkids fy, rHkh dke djsx
a k tc Demand vkSj Supply dks iwjh rjg ls
le>saxsA tcrd Demand vkSj Supply le>saxs ugh arc rd Market dSls cksy ldrs gS
fd eq>s yksu nksA Business “kq:vkr esa bl otg ls Qsy gksrk gS fd egs yxrk gS fd
vki ges yksu nsx
a sA
lcls T;knk yksx Interested jgrs gS fd eq> Intraday Trade djuk gSA
Intraday trade blfy, djuk gS fd esjs ikl 1]00]000 dk dSfiVy gS rks eSa blfy,
djuk gS fd esjs ikl 1]00]000 dk dSfiVy gS rks eSa 1X20 ds ekftZu ds lkFk 20]00]000
dk Product ysdj pyk tkÅxkaA vkidk Broker Yes Bank esa Margin D;ks ugha nsrk]
vkidk Broker Unitech esa Margin D;ks ugha nsrk] vkidk Broker TTM esa Margin D;ks
ugha nsrk gSA
vkidk Broker TCS ij ekftZu nsrk gS Tata Motors ij ekftZu nsrk gSA SBI ij
ekftZu nsrk gSA oks Hkh mlh stocks ij ekftZu nsrk gS tks Stocks Quality stocks gS vxj
stocks Quality Stocks ugha gksrk rks vkidks Broker ekftZu ugha nsrkA
Leverage :- yksu dks ges’k nwj jf[k;s yksu rd fy;k tkrk gS fd vc eq>s viuk tks
Business Model gS mls Scale up djuk gSA
D;k ge Entraday Trader gS] Daily Trader gS] Weekly Trader gS] Monthly Trader gSA
1%5 Hkh fn;k 1%10 Hkh fn;kA
lcls T;knk yksx Forex esa illegal rjhdk ls iSlk Mkysrs gS vkSj illegal rjhdk ls iSlk
xokrs Hkh gS D;ks D;ksfd mudk Broker cksyrk gS fd 1%1000 dk ekftZu nsx
a sA
Regulated Broker tcrd 3 lky dk izkQ
s s”kuy VªsMj ugha gS rc rd 1%30 ls T;knk
ugha nsrkA 1%100 ls T;knk nqcbZ ds Hkh regulated Broker ekftZu ugha nsrk gSA vxj
vkids ikl Professional trading certificate ugha gS rks A
vki [kqn lksfp;s fd vkidks 1%1000 dSls fey jgk gS eryc ,d yk[k :I;k ykvks vkSj
10 djksM+ dk Position cuk dj tkvksA ;s ,d scame Hkh rks gks ldrk gSA Leverage is
all Bout as scame. vkidk czkd
s j dHkh ugha pkgsxk fd vki de qty esa VªsM fdft,A
vkidk Broker ges”kk pkgsxk fd vki T;knk ls T;knk Qty esa VªsM fdth,A
yksu dk mi;ksx vxj esjk Model vPNk gS rks bls cM+k dkus esa blds scale dks
up djus esa fd;k tkrk gSA uk fd “kq:vkrh nkSM+ esAa “kq:vkrh nkSj esa vkidks ;s ugha irk
fd weekly trade esa Qal x;s rks dc fudysaxsA “kq:vkrh vkSj esa Leverage dk bLrseky
ugha djuk pkfg,A
Risk :- The less incurred when closing the trade at stop loss point. tc ,d ykWl
ds lkFk vki fdlh Hkh VªsM dks close djrs gS rks mlesa tks loss gqvk that is risk , rks
risk 0.5% gSA
Every Assets nqfu;k ds gj leifRRk esa tc vki trade djrs gs rks mldk Position size
ij djrs gS ij mldk rjhdk vyx&vyx gks ldrk gS Crude ij djus dk rjhdk vyx
gksxk] Natural Gas dk rjhdk vyx gksxkA Indian Market ij vyx gksxk] Gold ij
vyx gksxk] Silver ij vyx gksxk] lcdqN ij vyx gksxk vkidks ;s le>uk gS How
exactly I am going to applied in our market.
rks lcls igys fdlh Hkh Trades
esa tcrd vki Position sizeing
ds lkFk NsM+&NkM+ djrs jgsaxs] rc
rd vkidk VªsM Risk esa pyk
tk;sxkA
Chart Oil India LTD (2H)
vxj ;s VªsM gS eS ekurk gw fd ;s Trade
loss ugha fn;k tc Hkh bl VªsM esa ge
enter djrs gS what exactly we have
to look for when we plan to enter trade.
nqfu;k ds fdlh Hkh VªsM esa ge entery
djus dk Plan cukrs gS rks ge ml VªsM esa D;k ns[krs gSA
50]000 djksM+ ls uhps fdlh Stock dk izkbZl gS rks ugha ys ;s Problem gS vkids VsªM ds fy,A
Trade Planning
Trade Planing esa lcls Important role play djrk gS oks play djuk gS vkidk Stock
Selection.
fdlh Hkh Stock dk Market Cap 50,000 djksM+ ls uhps fdlh Hkh
lqjr esa ugha gksuk pkfg,A ugha means ugha gksuk pkfg,A
NksVk stocks vkidks cgqr bZ/kj&m/kj ?kqek dj ys tk;sxkA vkidks cM+k stock <+w<uk gSA
cM+h eNyh leqnz esa feysxh u fd swimming pool esa
Time Frame :- Stock Selection ds ckn vkidks decide djuk gS Time Frame. Time
Frame eryc ;s gS fd gjoDr vki ;s Decide dj cS<+s gS fd eq>s Swing trade djuk
gSA rks Swing VªsM esa vki Frustrated gks tk;sxsA Because of loosing Money :- No
vki Frustrated blfy, gks tk;sx
a s fd No of Trade de feysxkA Quality bldk High
gks tk;sxk vkSj blesa Risk / Reward Hkh T;knk gksxkA Frustrated vki blfy, ugha gks
jgs fd loosing Money, Frustrated vki blfy, gks jgs fd vki cgqr tYnckth esa gSA
Frustrated ds nkSM+ esa vkidks dksbZ HkVdk;sxk fd ,d dke djks uk 5 feuV ds pkVZ ij
pyksA vki vHkh rd Practis dj jgs Fks vxy VsªM dk fQj oks Hkh dke ugha fd;k] fQj
fdlh us dgk ,d dke djks 15 feuV ds pkVZ ij pyks vki gj fnu vius VªsM dk
Cycle cnyrs jgsaxs vkSj fdlh Hkh ,d VªsM ds Master ugha gks ik;sx
a saA
vxj vius vkidks VªsUM djuk gS rks 5 feuV ds pkVZ ij pfy;s] if you are make
wealth if you are generate wealth then exam of tools only only swing trade.
Time frame is know as Time the trade fdlh Hkh VªsM dks Time nsaxs fd bl VªsM esa
vkus ds ckn ges fdruk Time nsuk iM+sxkA
lcls igys ,d VªsM gksrk gS Hourly, Hly trade indicate the after journey, Our
Maximum exit Time is one hour. Hour trade dks dgsx
a s HTF, HTF eryc ftl time
ij ge VªsM dj jgs gS oks gS HTF, HTF is not execution time frame.
HTF ds uhps LTF gksrk gS fd mldks Pices-Pices esa Break djsx
a s rks tks vk;sxk ogk¡
zone feysxkA
fdlh Hkh Time Frame ij tksu ekdZ fdth,A ml time frame dks 25 ls Hkkxk fnft,
mlds uhps tks time vk;sxk mlh ij vkidks feysxk Zone
That is Know is 25 X Time Frame
geyksx Qlrs blfy, FkksM+h gS fd Trade ugha vkrk] ge Qlrs blfy, gS fd fdruh nsj
esa gesa exit djuk gS ;gha irk ugha gSA
25X
,d :y gS ftldk uke gS 25X, 25X dk eryc gksrk gS vxj vki Hly Trader gSA
Hly VsªfMx ds fy, ge Pules vkSj Trend ns[krs gS 75 feuV isA 75 ÷ 25 = tksu ekdZ
djsx
a s 3 @ 5 feuV is A
vxj fdlh Hkh pkVZ esa vki 3 feuV vkSj 5 feuV ij tksu ekdZ dj jgs gS rks
Maximum Time 75 feuV ls T;knk yx x;k rks le> tkbZ;s vki Qal x;sA 75 feuV
dk pkVZ ugha [kqyrk rks 1 ?kaVs ds pkVZ ij djsAa
REC LTD 10%25 esa Touch fd;k 10%45 esa Target ns fn;kA
Same day cuk gqvk VªsM Hkh ge vxys ?kaVs ys ldrs gSA bl VªsM esa Maximum 75 feuV
esa target ugha feyrk rks Trap gSA
1:00 PM ds ckn Hourly Trade ugha djsaA
dqN yksx dgrs gS fd REC LTD gh D;ks rks scrnner ij psfd fdth, %& 1]22]035
djksM+ dk Market Cap gS] FII & DII More than 25 % and public is very less.
blesa Target 3-50 vkSj Stoploss ek= 70 iSlk FkkA ;s VªsM reward 1:20 rd x;k vkSj
Target 13.40 dk gks x;k] ijUrq Stoploss ek= 70 iSlk Fkk] fdlh Hkh lqjr esa Stoploss
psUt ugha gksxkA
fdlh Hkh stock esa 5 feuV ds pkVZ ij tksu cus rks Hourly VªsM gSA
Daily Trade esa vki Enter fd;s vki dgrs gS fd blesa eSa 5 lky ls Qalk gqvk g¡w Arks
vki fdl rjg ds VªsMj gSA
nqfu;k esa lcls T;knk Loss lgrs gS oks gS Long Time Investor. eSua 3 yk[k dk fy;k
Fkk 4 lky ckn 4 yk[k dk gks x;kA blesa 30% rks income tax gh gks x;k vkSj czkd
s j
dk vyx ls rks vids 4 yk[k esa fdruk cpkA
Daily dk eryc ;g trade ,d fnu esa [kRe ugha gqvk rks vki Qal pqds gSA rks Msyh VsªM
ds fy, gj gky esa vki vxj entry ysrs gS rks vxj vkt 11 cts fy, rks dy 11 cts
fudyk gSA vPNs VsªM esa dqN feuVks esa Target fey tkrk gSA
Daily Trade dk eryc gS 375 feuV 9%15 ls 3%30 = 375
375 ÷ 25 = 15 , ftrus Hkh tksu dks 15 feuV vkSj 10 feuV ij ekdZ djsx
a s that is know
as Daily trade. bl VªsM esa gj gky esa Trade same day close djsAa
12% 30 ds ckn Daily Trade u ysA ekdsZV dks le; dgka feyk fd VkxsZV nsaA
Swing
lcls vPNk Quality dk tksu swing esa
curk gSA
Swing cgqr difficult gS vkSj ,d ckj
u”kk p<+ x;k rks mrjsxk ugha
Wealth & Peace of Mind ds fy,
swing djsa
Godrej dk pkVZ %& bl VsªM esa same day target nsuk pkfg,A 1%5 lse Ms ugha fn;k rks
Qal x;sA
Swing dk ,d dialog gS Swing is king.
Swing dks cksyrs gS weekly Trade vkSj weekly Trade Pro lcls T;knk Preferred
djrs gSA
Weekly eryc gksrk gS 375 X 5 = 1875 feuVA 1875 ÷ 25 = 75 feuV vkSj 120
feuV ij tks tksu feyrk gS oks lcls T;knk accurate gksrk gSA
blesa entry ysuk gS Monday to Thursday (Any Time) ysfdu Friday 12:30 ds ckn
entry ugha ysuk gSA Friday 12:30 ckn entry ysaxs rks vkids ikl Risk involb gksxk ml
risk dk uke gS overnight risk. Overnight dk eryc gS Friday dks Market Close gqvk
vkSj ;gk¡ is Friday evening / Saturday / Sunday rhu fnu vki lks jgs gS vkSj global
Market open gSA vkSj vki lksdj mBsaxs rks irk pysxk fd ekdsZV Gap up ;k Gap
Down Open gqvk gS rks vkidks dSlk yxsxkA
vxj 7 fnuks ds vanj ;s Trade vkidks Target ugha fn;k Means There is a Big
Problem vxj vPNk VªsM gS rks 6 candle esa ns nsxk 1%5
7 fnu de ls de iqjkuk VsªM gksuk pkfg,A
1 VsªM 3 ckj rd py ldrk gSA
nsf[k;s NMDC chart nsuk jgsxk rks rqjar nsxk pkgs Stoploss gks ;k Target
Bajaj -2 Chart tc Demand esa Target fn;k rks NMDC ds 3 cksfjax okyk esa Hkh VkxZsV
nsxkA 3 cksfjax dSUMy okyk VªsM vk/ks fjDl ds lkFk ys A
Trade Book
Time ds ckn rhljk lcls cM+k Problem gksxk fd vki Trade Book yxkbZ;s
Trade Book dk eryc ;s gksrk gS tc Hkh fdlh Business dk [kkrk cgh cukrs gSA
Trade Book esa lcls cM+h ckr gS fd VªsM ugha feys rks lcls cM+k Problem fey ugha
jgk gSA
lj ds xq#nso cksyrs gS fd
vxj nqfu;k ds fdlh dke esa Entry vklkuh ls fey jgk gS rks
mldk Exit cgqr Difficult gksxkA
Zone Mark djus ds ckn 5 Frustration vkrk gSA
dgh tksu ugha fn[ksxk] Lost ds ckn zone feyk vkSj vkius dnz ugha fd;kA tc tksu dk
dnz ugha djsx
a s rks zone vk;sxk vkSj fel dj tk;sxkA Miss ds ckn Stoploss] mlds
ckn Target.
Zone Marking ds ckn Risk ls Mj yxrk gSA
COIN
Coin :- flDdk mNky dj ds VªsM djukA flDdk mNky dj VªsM djuk dkSu lk ,slk
Point gS tks vkidks xyr VªsM djus ls ugha jksdrk gSA
lj dgrs gS xyr VsªM fdft, But lgh stoploss ds lkFkA
vxj esjk Captial 2,00,000 gS vkSj Risk 0.5%
Risk per trade = 1000
Reward per trade = 50000
lj us eksfVHksV fd;k rks geus VsªM yxk;k vkSj mlesa 7x1000= 7000 ykWl vkSj 3 x
5000 = 15000 izkfQV gqvk VksVy gqvk 15000&7000= 8000