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The document presents a series of outputs related to selected Global Climate Models (GCMs) and their corresponding best mean differences and global means for varying values of K from 0 to 12. The global mean remains constant at 212.3719, while the best mean difference fluctuates with different K values, indicating changes in model selection. The selected GCMs vary with each K, showcasing a diverse range of climate models used in the analysis.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
4 views5 pages

Choose GC Mok

The document presents a series of outputs related to selected Global Climate Models (GCMs) and their corresponding best mean differences and global means for varying values of K from 0 to 12. The global mean remains constant at 212.3719, while the best mean difference fluctuates with different K values, indicating changes in model selection. The selected GCMs vary with each K, showcasing a diverse range of climate models used in the analysis.

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eyalconsultas7
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K= NULL

> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "ACCESS-CM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "FIO-ESM-2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_FIO-ESM-2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "UKESM1-0-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_UKESM1-0-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[4] "IPSL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0.002969203
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719
K=3
> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "EC-Earth3-Veg_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_EC-Earth3-Veg_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "FIO-ESM-2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_FIO-ESM-2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "INM-CM5-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_INM-CM5-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0.1650226
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719

K =4
> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "ACCESS-CM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "FIO-ESM-2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_FIO-ESM-2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "UKESM1-0-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_UKESM1-0-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[4] "IPSL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0.002969203
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719

K =5
> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "ACCESS-CM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "GISS-E2-1-G_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_GISS-E2-1-G_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "UKESM1-0-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_UKESM1-0-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[4] "EC-Earth3-Veg_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_EC-Earth3-Veg_ssp585_2041-2060"
[5] "CMCC-ESM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0.00672629
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719

K =6
> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "ACCESS-CM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "FIO-ESM-2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_FIO-ESM-2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "UKESM1-0-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_UKESM1-0-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[4] "IPSL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[5] "INM-CM5-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_INM-CM5-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[6] "EC-Earth3-Veg_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_EC-Earth3-Veg_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0.01094705
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719

k= 7
> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "EC-Earth3-Veg_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_EC-Earth3-Veg_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "HadGEM3-GC31-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_HadGEM3-GC31-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "UKESM1-0-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_UKESM1-0-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[4] "MRI-ESM2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[5] "ACCESS-CM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[6] "GISS-E2-1-G_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_GISS-E2-1-G_ssp585_2041-2060"
[7] "MIROC6_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MIROC6_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0.01719088
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719
K= 8
> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "ACCESS-CM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "MPI-ESM1-2-HR_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MPI-ESM1-2-HR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "UKESM1-0-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_UKESM1-0-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[4] "HadGEM3-GC31-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_HadGEM3-GC31-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[5] "MRI-ESM2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[6] "CMCC-ESM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[7] "FIO-ESM-2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_FIO-ESM-2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[8] "IPSL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0.006452499
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719

K= 9
> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "EC-Earth3-Veg_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_EC-Earth3-Veg_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "HadGEM3-GC31-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_HadGEM3-GC31-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "UKESM1-0-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_UKESM1-0-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[4] "MRI-ESM2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[5] "ACCESS-CM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[6] "GISS-E2-1-G_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_GISS-E2-1-G_ssp585_2041-2060"
[7] "MIROC6_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MIROC6_ssp585_2041 -2060"
[8] "IPSL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[9] "INM-CM5-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_INM-CM5-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0.118992
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719

K=10
> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "ACCESS-CM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "MPI-ESM1-2-HR_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MPI-ESM1-2-HR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "UKESM1-0-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_UKESM1-0-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[4] "HadGEM3-GC31-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_HadGEM3-GC31-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[5] "MRI-ESM2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[6] "CMCC-ESM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[7] "FIO-ESM-2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_FIO-ESM-2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[8] "IPSL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[9] "INM-CM5-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_INM-CM5-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[10] "GISS-E2-1-G_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_GISS-E2-1-G_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0.08706838
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719
K=11

> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "ACCESS-CM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "MPI-ESM1-2-HR_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MPI-ESM1-2-HR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "UKESM1-0-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_UKESM1-0-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[4] "HadGEM3-GC31-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_HadGEM3-GC31-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[5] "MRI-ESM2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[6] "CMCC-ESM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[7] "FIO-ESM-2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_FIO-ESM-2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[8] "IPSL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[9] "INM-CM5-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_INM-CM5-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[10] "GISS-E2-1-G_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_GISS-E2-1-G_ssp585_2041-2060"
[11] "EC-Earth3-Veg_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_EC-Earth3-Veg_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0.4414323
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719

K=12
> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "BCC_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_BCC-CSM2-MR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "HadGEM3-GC31-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_HadGEM3-GC31-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "UKESM1-0-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_UKESM1-0-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[4] "ACCESS-CM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[5] "MRI-ESM2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[6] "MIROC6_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MIROC6_ssp585_2041-2060"
[7] "GISS-E2-1-G_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_GISS-E2-1-G_ssp585_2041-2060"
[8] "FIO-ESM-2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_FIO-ESM-2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[9] "CMCC-ESM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[10] "IPSL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[11] "MPI-ESM1-2-HR_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MPI-ESM1-2-HR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[12] "INM-CM5-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_INM-CM5-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0.5188506
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719

K=13
> print(selected_gcms)
[1] "ACCESS-CM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_ACCESS-CM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[2] "BCC_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_BCC-CSM2-MR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[3] "INM-CM5-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_INM-CM5-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[4] "MPI-ESM1-2-HR_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MPI-ESM1-2-HR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[5] "EC-Earth3-Veg_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_EC-Earth3-Veg_ssp585_2041-2060"
[6] "FIO-ESM-2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_FIO-ESM-2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
[7] "GISS-E2-1-G_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_GISS-E2-1-G_ssp585_2041-2060"
[8] "UKESM1-0-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_UKESM1-0-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[9] "MIROC6_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MIROC6_ssp585_2041-2060"
[10] "IPSL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_IPSL-CM6A-LR_ssp585_2041-2060"
[11] "CMCC-ESM2_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_CMCC-ESM2_ssp585_2041-2060"
[12] "HadGEM3-GC31-LL_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_HadGEM3-GC31-LL_ssp585_2041-2060"
[13] "MRI-ESM2-0_85/wc2.1_2.5m_bioc_MRI-ESM2-0_ssp585_2041-2060"
> print(best_mean_diff)
[1] 0
> print(global_mean)
[1] 212.3719
Tabela de Resultados Comparativos
k best_mean_diff Eficiência (%) Performance Recomendação
3 0.1650 99.922% ⚠️ Aceitável Muito poucos GCMs
4 0.0030 99.9986% ✅ EXCELENTE ÓTIMO
5 0.0067 99.997% ✅ Excelente Muito bom
6 0.0109 99.995% ✅ Excelente Bom
7 0.0172 99.992% ✅ Muito bom Aceitável
8 0.0065 99.997% ✅ Excelente Bom (mas complexo)
9 0.1190 99.944% ⚠️ Aceitável Performance irregular
10 0.0871 99.959% ⚠️ Aceitável Performance irregular
11 0.4414 99.792% ❌ Ruim Performance degradada
12 0.5189 99.756% ❌ Ruim Performance degradada
13 0.0000 100.000% ✅ Perfeito* Todos os GCMs (sem redução)

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