Making A Maradona: Meat Consumption and Soccer Prowess: Julio de 2022
Making A Maradona: Meat Consumption and Soccer Prowess: Julio de 2022
Julio de 2022
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Citar como:
Rossi, Martín A. y Christian A. Ruzzier (2022). Making a Maradona: Meat
Consumption and Soccer Prowess. Documento de trabajo RedNIE N°161.
Making a Maradona: Meat Consumption
and Soccer Prowess
July 2022
Abstract
We provide novel evidence that poor individuals born in countries with high
consumption of meat are more likely to show soccer prowess. Our findings are robust
to controlling for population, per capita income, and interest in soccer. We posit that
the combination of relatively cheap meat and low opportunity costs of engaging in a
career in professional soccer can explain this association between meat consumption,
low socioeconomic status, and soccer prowess. Access to cheap meat implies a higher
quality diet, which allows for the development of the cognitive functions required to
excel in soccer. Poverty implies a low opportunity cost of putting those improved
cognitive functions to use in soccer.
Martín A. Rossi (email: mrossi@udesa.edu.ar) and Christian A. Ruzzier (corresponding author; email:
cruzzier@udesa.edu.ar; address: Vito Dumas 284, B1644BID, Victoria, Buenos Aires, Argentina; phone:
+54 11 7078 0400 ext. 4570) are at the Department of Economics, Universidad de San Andres. Sebastián
Einstoss Mastracchio and Pascuel Plotkin provided excellent research assistance.
1
1. Introduction
What do Maradona, Pelé, Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo, and Cruyff have in common,
other than being consistently ranked amongst the best soccer (association football)
players of all times? They were all born and raised in countries of high per capita
We posit that the combination of relatively cheap meat and low opportunity costs
of engaging in a career in professional soccer can explain the association between meat
consumption, low socioeconomic status (SES), and soccer prowess. Being raised in a
country where meat is relatively cheap implies that, even if poor, individuals have
easier access to a high-quality diet, crucial for the development of the brain, in general,
and of the cognitive skills required to excel in soccer, in particular. Being relatively
poor, on the other hand, means that the opportunity cost of pursuing a career in
professional soccer is relatively low (see Rossi and Ruzzier, 2018, for related evidence
Soccer is indisputably the most popular sport in the world. According to the 2006
Big Count, a FIFA survey of its 207 member associations, 265 million players
(professional, registered, and occasional) were actively involved in this sport (Rossi
and Ruzzier, 2018). Soccer is also the number one sport for global audience, TV
Vecchi, 2020), and research (Reilly et al., 2000). As in many other domains, the key
resource in soccer is talent (Kuper and Szymanski, 2014), and identifying talent is of
2
We begin by unpacking the main ingredients of the meat-brain-talent argument
robust, positive correlation between meat consumption and soccer talent (measured by
the number of players, born in the country, nominated to the Ballon d'Or in 2016-19),
conditional on wealth, size, and interest in soccer. Last, we go down to the individual
level of the most talented players, and look at their personal life stories to classify
players along the two dimensions of interest: SES of the family and meat consumption.
We find that a disproportionate fraction of the most talented players does come indeed
2. You play how you eat: the underappreciated link between meat, mind, and
soccer prowess
requires superior physical abilities and motor coordination, there is also a recent surge
of interest in the cognitive (and creativity-related) processes that are important for
soccer, as physical skills and coordination alone have been shown to have a low
predictive value (Vestberg et al., 2012; 2020). Executive functions – a family of top-
down mental processes needed for the cognitive control of behavior (Diamond, 2013)
– have been associated with talented soccer players, even after controlling for training
hours and competitive level (see Voss, 2010; Vestberg et al., 2012, 2017, 2020; Wright
et al., 2013; Verburgh et al., 2014; Huijgen et al., 2015; Memmert, 2017; Fink et al.,
predicts success in the sport (Vestberg et al., 2012; 2017; 2020; Sakamoto et al., 2018;
3
Executive functions include core functions – such as working memory, cognitive
problem solving, and planning (Diamond, 2013). All of these cognitive abilities are
intelligence” in that context (Vestberg et al., 2017; Sakamoto et al., 2018). In an open
skill sport like soccer, successful players are required to react in a dynamically
circumstances (Vestberg et al., 2017). Inhibitory control and cognitive flexibility are
key to this ability to adapt quickly to new demands in the face of rapidly changing
situations (Huijgen et al., 2015). Working memory, on the other hand, may be useful
for choosing positions and mentalizing possible options in the game (Verburgh et al.,
2014).
Successful solutions in soccer are “often original and surprising, characterized by the
flexible production of novel, unexpected passes, and moves” (Fink et al., 2018: 1), and
the evidence shows that creativity is a key factor for success in soccer (Kempe and
While adequate nutrition is important for normal brain development (Prado and
Dewey, 2014) in general, the role of nutrition in the development of these cognitive
functions, in particular, has been the focus of much behavioral work recently
(Wainwright and Colombo, 2006). The cumulating evidence points in the direction of
a positive association between food quality and executive functioning (see the review
by Cohen et al., 2016). Growing evidence also associates early-life undernutrition (like
4
with permanent negative effects on cognitive skills, likely supporting a causal effect
(Bryan, 2004; Engle et al., 2007; 2011; Grantham-McGregor et al., 2007; Walker et al.,
2007; Hoddinott et al., 2008; 2013; Isaacs et al., 2008; Victora et al., 2008; Maluccio
et al., 2009; Macours et al., 2012; Puentes et al., 2016; Cheatham, 2019). Early
childhood is a crucial period for the development of cognitive functions, since the brain
develops most rapidly at this stage (Huttenlocher, 1979; Georgieff, 2007; Gertler et al.,
energy, and micronutrients like iron, zinc, and vitamins of the B group. Improving
access to and utilization of meat and other animal source foods has been advocated as
a sensible way of promoting social and economic development (Neumann et al., 2002).
Increased consumption of meat early in life has been shown to improve cognitive
performance, both in childhood and later in life (Sigman et al., 1989a; 1989b; 1991;
Neumann et al., 1992; 2003; 2007; Whaley et al., 2003, Gewa et al., 2009; Hulett et al.,
Low SES correlates with low-quality diets because, among other things, poor
households are priced out from high-quality foods like meat (Neumann et al., 2002;
Woldemichael et al., 2022), which are regarded as too expensive. Poverty, actually, is
the top reason given for the absence of meat in the diet (Neumann et al., 2002). Access
to relatively cheap meat can mitigate the negative impact of low SES on cognition, and
this is more likely when poor households are located in a country where meat is
relatively inexpensive.
Finally, cognitive functions are necessary for soccer talent, but talent must also
be found, developed, and nurtured (Kuper and Szymanski, 2014). Many factors mediate
5
wealth), country size (since more populous countries tend to have a larger supply of
talented people), and interest in soccer in the country are natural candidates (see, e.g.,
Kuper and Szymanski, 2014; The Economist, 2018). We wish to emphasize here a
Ruzzier, 2018). Individuals from low-SES households arguably have lower opportunity
costs, and actually most of the world’s best soccer players started life poor (see, e.g.,
Kuper and Szymanski, 2014; and section 4.2 below). Boys from poor households are
less likely to go to college (Perna, 2006; Fack and Grenet, 2015). Living in crowded
homes, they tend to spend more time outdoors, playing. Being poor, they have less
The main prediction stemming from this line of reasoning is that countries with
a high per-capita consumption of meat should produce more soccer talent on average,
even after controlling for things like country wealth, size, and interest in soccer. We do
not observe meat consumption by SES, but we can look at the personal backgrounds of
the most talented players to assess their families’ SES when growing up, and assign
them the per-capita meat consumption of their country of origin at the time of their
childhood. If our argument is correct, we predict that most players will come from low-
describe our data and present evidence consistent with these predictions.
6
3. Data
Our outcome of interest is Soccer Prowess, which counts the number of players,
born in a given country, nominated to the Ballon d’Or in the period 2016 to 2019.1 59
players (from 25 different countries) were nominated to the Ballon d’Or in this period.
The countries that contribute more players are France (11 players), Brazil, Netherlands,
Spain, Portugal (4 players each), Argentina, Belgium, England, Germany, and Uruguay
(3 players each).
We obtained data on meat and protein consumption by country from the Food
and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations.2 Meat Consumption is the
per capita consumption of meat, in kilograms, in 2000. Protein consumption is the per
capita consumption of proteins (in grams, per day) in 2000. We choose the year 2000
to measure meat consumption because it is within our 2016-19 Ballon d’Or nominees’
early childhoods. As discussed in the previous sections, the preschool years (i.e. 0–5
years of age) is a time of rapid and dramatic brain development, and of fundamental
control) – see, e.g., Victora et al. (2008), Rosales et al. (2009), and Jackson (2015).
Following Kuper and Szymanski (2014), we control for population and wealth in
our regressions. A larger population means a larger supply of talented people in the
country, and richer countries are better at finding, training, and developing talent. The
data on countries’ population and income comes from the World Bank.3 Population is
the total population of the country in 2000, in millions. It counts all residents regardless
of legal status or citizenship. GNI per capita, our measure of wealth, is the gross
1
The Ballon d’Or is the most prestigious soccer award, presented annually (since 1956) by France
Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/ballon-d-or/).
2
https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/.
3
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/.
7
national income in 2000, converted to thousands of U.S. dollars using the World Bank
To proxy for a country’s interest in soccer (see, e.g., The Economist, 2018), we
rely on the 2006 FIFA Big Count, a survey conducted by FIFA (Fédération
its 207 member associations. The 2006 FIFA Big Count reports the number of people
Table 1 presents summary statistics of the main variables used in our analysis.
where Soccer Prowess is the number of players born in country 𝑖 that were nominated
to the Ballon d'Or in the period 2016 to 2019, Meat consumption is the per capita
consumption of meat in country 𝑖 in 2000, and 𝜀 is an error term. The vector of control
variables, 𝑋, includes Population and, depending on the specification, GNI per Capita,
Interest in Soccer, and a set of continent fixed effects. The coefficient of interest is 𝛽,
Table 2 reports Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimates of equation (1). The
significant at the 1 percent level, indicating that countries with a higher per capita
8
consumption of meat are more likely to breed soccer talent. The magnitude of the
Soccer Prowess.
controlling for GNI per Capita, Interest in Soccer, and continent dummies. The
estimated coefficient on Meat Consumption is smaller when we include the full set of
control variables, but remains positive and statistically significant. In all cases, the
Table 3 shows our findings are robust to using Protein Consumption instead of
Meat Consumption as the main explanatory variable in equation (1). In all cases, the
soccer prowess, we now move to explore the role of the opportunity cost of time. To
do so, we study the early lives of each of the 59 players nominated to the Ballon d’Or
in the period 2016 to 2019, and classify them according to their SES during childhood.
class, and low (including middle-low) class. Among the 59 players, 33 were raised in
9
a low- or middle-low-income family, 16 in a middle-income family, and 10 in a high-
or middle-high-income family.4
We call the first tercile “countries of high meat consumption”, the second tercile
“countries of middle meat consumption”, and the third tercile “countries of low meat
consumption”.
For example, Lionel Messi (Argentina) and Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) were
Neymar Júnior (Brazil), Luis Suarez (Uruguay), and Kylian Mbappé (France) in low-
income families from countries with high meat consumption; Gianluigi Buffon (Italy)
and Kevin De Bruyne (Belgium) in high-income families from countries with high meat
consumption; and Sadio Mané (Senegal) and Edin Džeko (Bosnia and Herzegovina) in
nominated to the Ballon d’Or in the period 2016 to 2019 were raised in a low or middle-
low income family, in countries with a high consumption of meat – a 47.46 percent,
5. Concluding remarks
This paper provides novel evidence that poor individuals born in countries with
high consumption of meat are more likely to have soccer prowess. More meat
4
To obtain the information we conducted extensive Google searches in pages such as
https://lifebogger.com/. Two research assistants independently classified all players, with 100%
coincidence in their choices.
10
consumption implies a higher quality diet, which allows for the development of the
cognitive functions required to excel in soccer. Poverty implies a low opportunity cost
potential among national teams. The Economist (2018) builds a model that attempts to
predict soccer goal differences through a country’s wealth, size, interest in soccer, and
home advantage. As it turns out, the top overachievers (countries performing above the
predictions of the model) are countries of high per capita consumption in our database
transforming his country into a soccer superpower by 2050 (The Economist, 2018). To
that end, 50,000 schools will be teaching soccer by 2025 in China and 20,000 new
training centers are being built. The funds committed to the program are impressive.
The largest training center alone, located in Guangzhou, will cost $185 million. Yet,
China does not have much to show for all this spending, failing to qualify for the 2018
and 2022 World Cups (The Economist, 2018). Our results suggest that perhaps some
of that money would be better spent in improving the nutrition of Chinese toddlers to
support Mr. Xi’s goals. More generally, the children most behind on executive
functions would benefit the most from any intervention that improves these functions
(Diamond, 2013).
11
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Table 1. Summary statistics
N Mean Standard Minimum Maximum
Deviation
Soccer Prowess 221 0.335 1.166 0.000 11.000
Meat Consumption 170 43.732 31.366 3.525 125.131
Protein Consumption 171 74.516 20.706 36.460 123.650
Population 217 34.948 129.650 0.044 1262.645
GNI per Capita 184 6.921 10.253 0.130 45.650
Interest in Soccer 198 0.059 0.036 0.006 0.266
Notes: Soccer Prowess is the number of players nominated to the Ballon d’Or in the
period 2016 to 2019. Meat Consumption is the per capita consumption of meat, in
kilograms, in 2000. Protein consumption is the per capita consumption of proteins (in
grams, per day) in 2000. Population is in millions. GNI per capita is in thousands of
US dollars. Interest in Soccer is the ratio between the number of people in the country
that are actively involved in soccer and the country’s population (in millions).
23
Table 2. Meat consumption and soccer prowess
Dependent variable: Soccer Prowess
(1) (2) (3) (4)
24
Table 3. Robustness check: protein consumption and soccer prowess
Dependent variable: Soccer Prowess
(1) (2) (3) (4)
25
Table 4. Players’ socioeconomic status and meat consumption
Consumption of meat
High Middle Low
Socioeconomic High &
status Middle High 15,25% 1,69% 0,00% 16,95%
Middle 22,03% 5,08% 0,00% 27,12%
Middle low
& Low 47,46% 5,08% 3,39% 55,93%
84,75% 11,86% 3,39% 100,00%
Note: Figures in each cell correspond to the percentage of players nominated to the
Ballon d’Or in the specific combination of SES and meat consumption.
26