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GS Fositek富世達

Fositek's September revenue increased 58% YoY, aligning with estimates and indicating strong demand for liquid cooling components and hinges. The company anticipates continued growth in 4Q25, driven by new AI server models and a major smartphone brand's upcoming foldable phone launch. Goldman Sachs maintains a 'Buy' rating with a 12-month price target of NT$1,551, reflecting a positive outlook on Fositek's performance amid rising trends in liquid cooling and foldable phones.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
88 views7 pages

GS Fositek富世達

Fositek's September revenue increased 58% YoY, aligning with estimates and indicating strong demand for liquid cooling components and hinges. The company anticipates continued growth in 4Q25, driven by new AI server models and a major smartphone brand's upcoming foldable phone launch. Goldman Sachs maintains a 'Buy' rating with a 12-month price target of NT$1,551, reflecting a positive outlook on Fositek's performance amid rising trends in liquid cooling and foldable phones.

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Equity Research

12 October 2025 | 9:32PM HKT

Fositek (6805.TW): 3-month preview: Liquid cooling ramp up, and new
foldable phones to drive 4Q25 growth; Sep in line; Buy

Monthly revenue preview: Fositek’s Sep revenue was up 58% YoY / 3% MoM to Verena Jeng
+852-2978-1681 | verena.jeng@gs.com
NT$1.2bn, in line with our estimate, leading its 3Q25 revenues up 79% YoY and Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.

reflecting the strong momentum of liquid cooling components and hinges’ shipments Allen Chang
+852-2978-2930 |
in 3Q25. For the coming months, we expect Fositek to enjoy the sequential growth in allen.k.chang@gs.com
Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.
4Q, with monthly revenues up 6% / 10% / 13% MoM in Oct / Nov / Dec 2025, driven
by (1) ASIC AI servers newly in liquid cooling, supporting Fositek’s 4Q25 revenues
growth. The numbers of QDs (quick disconnects) equipped per rack is more than the
GPU-powered rack-level AI servers, positive to Fositek, (2) rack-level AI servers
shipment ramp up in 4Q25 post the model transition in 3Q25, supporting liquid
cooling penetration rate, (3) major smartphone brand customer’s new foldable
phone model is expected to be launched in Nov 2025, supporting Fositek’s hinges
shipments growth. Overall, we expect Fositek’s 4Q25 revenues to grow at 56% YoY /
21% QoQ to NT$4.3bn. Maintain Buy.

Exhibit 1: Fositek monthly revenues preview


Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 (E) Nov-25 (E) Dec-25 (E) 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25E
Rev (NT$m) 1,162 1,183 1,221 1,294 1,423 1,604 2,620 3,566 4,321
YoY 89% 97% 58% 42% 41% 88% 52% 79% 56%
MoM/ QoQ 28% 2% 3% 6% 10% 13% 16% 36% 21%
GS estimates (NT$m) 955 1,162 1,208 2,685 3553
Act. vs. GS 22% 2% 1% -2% 0%

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

We expect the global foldable penetration rate to reach 2.5% / 3.4% / 4.1% in
2025-27E in our Global Smartphone TAM Updates, and Huawei’s, as the leading
foldable phone brand, foldable phone shipments was up 99% YoY in 1H25, echoing

e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8
our positive view. We remain positive on rising foldable phone trend and with more
leading brands joining the camp in 2026E, we expect it could further attract more
end consumers to purchase foldable phones, positive to Fositek.

Earnings revision: We factor in Fositek’s Sep revenue and keep our 2025E estimates
largely unchanged. Our 2026-27E revenues are revised up by 2% / 3%, reflecting our
positive view on Fositek benefiting from server liquid-cooling and foldable phone
trends. With 2026-27E GMs and opex ratios largely unchanged, our 2026-27E net
incomes are revised up by 2% / 3%. We still model a GM uptrend in the following
years, mainly on rising contribution from liquid cooling components, which carries a
higher GM than other product lines.

Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors
should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report.
Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC
certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to
www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Analysts employed by non-US affiliates are not registered/qualified as research
analysts with FINRA in the U.S.
Goldman Sachs Fositek (6805.TW)

Exhibit 2: Earnings revision


2025E 2026E 2027E
NT$m Old New Diff % Old New Diff % New Diff %
Revenues 12,728 12,759 0% 19,778 20,183 2% 27,261 3%
GP 3,207 3,206 0% 5,466 5,559 2% 7,777 3%
OP 2,516 2,527 0% 4,299 4,369 2% 5,951 3%
Net income 2,100 2,109 0% 3,466 3,521 2% 4,736 3%
Margins
GM 25.2% 25.1% 27.6% 27.5% 28.5%
OPM 19.8% 19.8% 21.7% 21.6% 21.8%
NM 16.5% 16.5% 17.5% 17.4% 17.4%
Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Valuation: We continue to use near-term P/E to derive our 12m TP, and update our
target P/E to 30.2x 2026E EPS (vs. 28.3x 2026E EPS previously). Our target P/E is derived
from peers’ correlation of 2026E P/E to 2027E EPS YoY (vs. peers’ correlation of 2026E
to 2026E-27E avg. EPS YoY previously), as FX loss in 2Q25 could lead to overly robust
2026E EPS YoY growth (due to the low base in 2025E). With the updated earnings and
target multiple, we raise our 12m TP to NT$1,551 (vs. NT$1,430 previously). Maintain
Buy.

Exhibit 3: Fositek peers’ 2026E P/E vs. 2027E EPS YoY Exhibit 4: Fositek 12M forward P/E

30 x (x)
FII 60
25
50

20 AAC 40
+1stv 37x
2026E P/E

Quanta
15 30
Compal avg 27x
y = 70.826x + 5.7453 20
10 Pegatron R² = 0.8115 -1stv 17x
10
5
0
Feb-21

Feb-22

Feb-23

Feb-24

Feb-25
Aug-22

Aug-23

Aug-24

Aug-25
May-21
Aug-21
Nov-21

Nov-22

May-23

Nov-23

May-24

Nov-24

May-25
Nov-20

May-22

-
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
2027E avg. EPS growth

e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8
Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Refinitiv Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Refinitiv
Eikon Eikon

12 October 2025 2
Goldman Sachs Fositek (6805.TW)

Exhibit 5: Fositek P&L summary


Rmb mn 2022 2023 2024 2025E 2026E 2027E 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24 4Q24 1Q25 2Q25 3Q25E 4Q25E
Income statement
Revenue 5,014 5,644 8,188 12,759 20,183 27,261 1,711 1,719 1,988 2,770 2,252 2,620 3,566 4,321
Gross profit 1,166 1,318 1,827 3,206 5,559 7,777 414 398 484 532 498 631 894 1,183
OP income 775 881 1,197 2,527 4,369 5,951 270 253 332 343 366 497 719 945
Net income 564 628 1,227 2,109 3,521 4,736 224 256 334 413 357 330 616 806
EPS (Rmb) 9.33 10.18 17.90 30.78 51.38 69.10 3.27 3.74 4.87 6.02 5.20 4.82 8.99 11.77
Margins
Gross margin 23.3% 23.3% 22.3% 25.1% 27.5% 28.5% 24.2% 23.1% 24.3% 19.2% 22.1% 24.1% 25.1% 27.4%
Operating mar 15.5% 15.6% 14.6% 19.8% 21.6% 21.8% 15.8% 14.7% 16.7% 12.4% 16.2% 19.0% 20.2% 21.9%
Net margin 11.3% 11.1% 15.0% 16.5% 17.4% 17.4% 13.1% 14.9% 16.8% 14.9% 15.8% 12.6% 17.3% 18.7%
Ratios
Opex ratio -8% -8% -8% -5% -6% -7% -8% -8% -8% -7% -6% -5% -5% -6%
Tax rate 32% 31% 18% 20% 21% 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
YoY
Revenue 0% 13% 45% 56% 58% 35% 93% 21% 27% 56% 32% 52% 79% 56%
Gross profit -2% 13% 39% 75% 73% 40% 101% 27% 34% 22% 21% 58% 85% 122%
OP income -4% 14% 36% 111% 73% 36% 132% 25% 32% 10% 36% 97% 117% 175%
Net income 6% 11% 95% 72% 67% 34% 194% 44% 69% 135% 59% 29% 84% 95%
QoQ
Revenue -4% 0% 16% 39% -19% 16% 36% 21%
Gross profit -5% -4% 22% 10% -6% 27% 42% 32%
OP income -13% -6% 31% 4% 7% 36% 45% 32%
Pretax income 26% -2% 20% 26% -12% -6% 86% 31%
Net income 28% 14% 30% 24% -14% -7% 86% 31%

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Price Target Risks and Methodology - Fositek


Valuation methodology: We are Buy rated on Fositek. Our target price is based on a
near-term P/E, consistent with our Greater China Hardware coverage. We base our 12m
TP of NT$1,551 on a target P/E multiple of 30.2x on our forward-year EPS (2026E). Our
target P/E of 30.2x is derived from the correlation between P/E and EPS growth of its
peers in technology hardware.

Key downside risks: 1) Slower-than-expected foldable phone penetration; 2) Potential


competition from more suppliers; 3) Soft smartphone market demands.

e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8
6805.TW 12m Price Target: NT$1,551.00 Price: NT$1,185.00 Upside: 30.9%

Buy GS Forecast
12/24 12/25E 12/26E 12/27E
Market cap: NT$81.3bn / $2.7bn Revenue (NT$ mn) New 8,187.7 12,759.3 20,182.7 27,261.0
Enterprise value: Revenue (NT$ mn) Old 8,187.7 12,727.7 19,778.3 26,350.3
NT$75.0bn / $2.5bn EBITDA (NT$ mn) 1,393.6 2,820.1 4,685.8 6,266.5
3m ADTV: NT$2.9bn / $95.6mn EPS (NT$) New 17.89 30.76 51.35 69.06
Taiwan EPS (NT$) Old 17.89 30.62 50.54 66.77
Greater China Technology P/E (X) 42.5 38.5 23.1 17.2
M&A Rank: 3 P/B (X) 9.4 12.0 9.2 7.0
Leases incl. in net debt & EV?:
Dividend yield (%) 1.0 1.1 1.8 2.4
Yes
CROCI (%) NM 232.8 NM NM

6/25 9/25E 12/25E 3/26E


EPS (NT$) 4.82 8.98 11.76 11.98

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, FactSet. Price as of 9 Oct 2025 close.

12 October 2025 3
Goldman Sachs Fositek (6805.TW)

Disclosure Appendix

Reg AC
We, Verena Jeng and Allen Chang, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect our personal views about the subject
company or companies and its or their securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the
specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are analysts in Goldman Sachs’ Global Investment Research division.

GS Factor Profile
The Goldman Sachs Factor Profile provides investment context for a stock by comparing key attributes to the market (i.e. our universe of rated stocks)
and its sector peers. The four key attributes depicted are: Growth, Financial Returns, Multiple (e.g. valuation) and Integrated (a composite of Growth,
Financial Returns and Multiple). Growth, Financial Returns and Multiple are calculated by using normalized ranks for specific metrics for each stock. The
normalized ranks for the metrics are then averaged and converted into percentiles for the relevant attribute. The precise calculation of each metric may
vary depending on the fiscal year, industry and region, but the standard approach is as follows:
Growth is based on a stock’s forward-looking sales growth, EBITDA growth and EPS growth (for financial stocks, only EPS and sales growth), with a
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stocks, only ROE), with a higher percentile indicating a company with higher financial returns. Multiple is based on a stock’s forward-looking P/E, P/B,
price/dividend (P/D), EV/EBITDA, EV/FCF and EV/Debt Adjusted Cash Flow (DACF) (for financial stocks, only P/E, P/B and P/D), with a higher percentile
indicating a stock trading at a higher multiple. The Integrated percentile is calculated as the average of the Growth percentile, Financial Returns
percentile and (100% - Multiple percentile).
Financial Returns and Multiple use the Goldman Sachs analyst forecasts at the fiscal year-end at least three quarters in the future. Growth uses inputs
for the fiscal year at least seven quarters in the future compared with the year at least three quarters in the future (on a per-share basis for all metrics).
For a more detailed description of how we calculate the GS Factor Profile, please contact your GS representative.

M&A Rank
Across our global coverage, we examine stocks using an M&A framework, considering both qualitative factors and quantitative factors (which may vary
across sectors and regions) to incorporate the potential that certain companies could be acquired. We then assign a M&A rank as a means of scoring
companies under our rated coverage from 1 to 3, with 1 representing high (30%-50%) probability of the company becoming an acquisition target, 2
representing medium (15%-30%) probability and 3 representing low (0%-15%) probability. For companies ranked 1 or 2, in line with our standard
departmental guidelines we incorporate an M&A component into our target price. M&A rank of 3 is considered immaterial and therefore does not
factor into our price target, and may or may not be discussed in research.

Quantum
Quantum is Goldman Sachs’ proprietary database providing access to detailed financial statement histories, forecasts and ratios. It can be used for
in-depth analysis of a single company, or to make comparisons between companies in different sectors and markets.

Disclosures
The rating(s) for Fositek is/are relative to the other companies in its/their coverage universe: AAC, ACM Research, AMEC, ASMPT, AVC, AccoTest,
Anji Micro, Arcsoft, Asus, Auras, BOE, BYDE, CR Micro, Cambricon, Chenbro, China Mobile (HK), China Telecom, China Tower Corp., China Unicom, China
United Network Comm, Chinasoft Intl, Compal, Desay SV, E Ink, E-Town Semis, EHang, Empyrean, Eoptolink, Fositek, Foxconn Industrial Internet,
GalaxyCore, Gigabyte, Gigadevice, Glodon Co., HG Tech, HTC Corp., Hengtong, Hikvision, Hon Hai, Horizon Robotics, Hua Hong, Huaqin Technology,
Hwatsing, Innolight, Inspur, Inventec, JCET, Kematek, King Slide, Kingdee, Kingsoft Office, LandMark, Largan, Lenovo, Lingyi, Luxshare, Maxscend, Mitac,
Montage, NAURA, NSIG, Nexchip, OmniVision, Pegatron, Piotech, Pony AI Inc., Quanta, Ruijie Networks, SG Micro, SICC, SMIC (A), SMIC (H), SZS, Sangfor,

e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8
SenseTime, Shennan Circuits, SinoWealth, StarPower, Sunny Optical, TFC Optical, Thundersoft, Transsion, UMT, UNIS, VPEC, Vanchip, Venustech,
VeriSilicon, WNC, Wistron, Wiwynn, YJ Semitech, YOFC (A), YOFC (H), Yonyou, ZTE (A), ZTE (H), ZWSOFT, iFlytek

Company-specific regulatory disclosures


The following disclosures relate to relationships between The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (with its affiliates, “Goldman Sachs”) and companies covered
by Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research and referred to in this research.
There are no company-specific disclosures for: Fositek (NT$1,185.00)

Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships


Goldman Sachs Investment Research global Equity coverage universe

Rating Distribution Investment Banking Relationships


Buy Hold Sell Buy Hold Sell
Global 49% 34% 17% 63% 58% 42%

As of October 1, 2025, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research had investment ratings on 3,014 equity securities. Goldman Sachs assigns stocks as
Buys and Sells on various regional Investment Lists; stocks not so assigned are deemed Neutral. Such assignments equate to Buy, Hold and Sell for the
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banking services within the previous twelve months.

12 October 2025 4
Goldman Sachs Fositek (6805.TW)

Price target and rating history chart(s)

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e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8
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12 October 2025 5
Goldman Sachs Fositek (6805.TW)

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e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8
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