Advance Report On Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders May 2013
Advance Report On Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders May 2013
M3-1 (13)-05
CB13-115
Inventories
Unfilled Orders
Revised April Data
Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in
May, up three of the last four months, increased $8.1
billion or 0.8 percent to $1,004.7 billion. This increase
followed a 0.3 percent April increase.
Transportation equipment, also up three of the last four
months, led the increase, $5.0 billion or 0.8 percent to
$616.6 billion.
Figures in text are adjusted for seasonality, but not for inflation. Figures on new and unfilled orders exclude data for
semiconductor manufacturing. For data, call (301) 763-4673 or go to <http://www.census.gov/m3>.
Revised and more detailed estimates, plus nondurable goods data, will be published on July 2, 2013, at 10:00 a.m. EDT. The
advance report on durable goods for June is scheduled for release on July 25, 2013, at 8:30 a.m. EDT. See back page for survey
description. To receive the latest updates on the Nation's key economic indicators, download the America's Economy app for
Apple and Android smartphones and tablets.
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders Survey.]
Monthly
Seasonally Adjusted
Percent Change
Year to Date
Item
May
2013 2
Apr
2013 r
Mar
2013
Apr May 2
Mar Apr r
Feb Mar
May
2013 2
Apr
2013 r
May
2012
2013
2012
Percent
Change
2013/2012
DURABLE GOODS
Total:
Shipments..
New Orders4
229,739
231,030
226,909
222,988
228,342
215,267
1.2
3.6
-0.6
3.6
0.9
-5.9
236,591
234,438
227,744
218,395
229,889
217,760
1,123,247
1,111,305
1,094,886
1,088,250
2.6
2.1
Excluding transportation:
Shipments..
New Orders4
160,489
156,761
160,096
155,617
160,932
153,033
0.2
0.7
-0.5
1.7
0.1
-1.6
164,376
160,642
161,702
157,242
163,437
155,794
790,707
781,715
784,841
772,113
0.7
1.2
217,758
220,586
215,090
213,084
215,724
207,790
1.2
3.5
-0.3
2.5
0.7
-4.5
224,704
226,841
216,830
210,886
217,555
208,778
1,065,383
1,065,232
1,036,638
1,030,963
2.8
3.3
161,815
169,891
158,683
161,941
160,052
154,464
2.0
4.9
-0.9
4.8
0.9
-8.0
166,708
170,225
156,979
156,052
164,137
158,158
787,003
808,487
781,481
807,703
0.7
0.1
Primary metals:
Shipments..
New Orders
24,491
25,530
24,708
25,312
24,561
24,731
-0.9
0.9
0.6
2.3
-1.2
-5.5
26,018
26,170
25,986
26,342
27,135
24,414
127,364
130,296
131,048
129,486
-2.8
0.6
28,989
29,461
29,111
29,738
28,451
29,364
-0.4
-0.9
2.3
1.3
-1.8
-0.8
30,273
30,539
29,560
30,612
29,736
30,208
142,811
154,153
141,845
149,317
0.7
3.2
Machinery:
Shipments..
New Orders
34,611
34,732
34,220
34,331
35,078
33,982
1.1
1.2
-2.4
1.0
0.7
-1.5
35,434
35,802
34,771
35,610
33,516
33,798
170,533
175,181
162,388
168,467
5.0
4.0
27,533
22,130
27,583
21,557
28,438
20,595
-0.2
2.7
-3.0
4.7
3.3
-0.6
25,725
20,877
26,705
19,656
27,816
21,603
131,396
101,505
137,377
110,235
-4.4
-7.9
2,362
2,387
2,337
2,363
2,482
2,454
1.1
1.0
-5.8
-3.7
11.9
-0.4
1,939
1,964
1,691
1,717
2,263
2,270
10,040
10,296
10,970
10,975
-8.5
-6.2
Communications equipment:
Shipments..
New Orders
4,106
5,116
3,961
4,544
3,936
4,061
3.7
12.6
0.6
11.9
0.6
2.2
3,956
4,890
3,489
4,013
3,828
3,810
18,636
21,244
17,751
19,767
5.0
7.5
10,423
10,496
10,197
10,349
10,273
10,351
2.2
1.4
-0.7
0.0
-1.1
-0.2
10,771
10,971
10,111
10,087
10,728
11,132
50,653
51,751
51,050
52,396
-0.8
-1.2
Transportation equipment:
Shipments..
New Orders
69,250
74,269
66,813
67,371
67,410
62,234
3.6
10.2
-0.9
8.3
3.0
-15.0
72,215
73,796
66,042
61,153
66,452
61,966
332,540
329,590
310,045
316,137
7.3
4.3
44,466
44,622
45,167
45,168
44,162
44,109
-1.6
-1.2
2.3
2.4
0.6
0.1
47,708
47,677
46,233
45,988
43,996
43,576
224,086
224,247
204,204
203,672
9.7
10.1
12,650
18,630
9,702
12,339
10,783
10,431
30.4
51.0
-10.0
18.3
13.9
-43.3
12,283
17,181
8,519
7,149
10,237
9,029
50,136
60,150
47,738
57,517
5.0
4.6
4,763
4,263
4,624
4,112
5,102
2,875
3.0
3.7
-9.4
43.0
9.2
-7.5
4,639
2,878
4,069
2,880
4,711
3,311
22,350
15,618
22,831
23,730
-2.1
-34.2
34,442
34,412
34,277
34,330
34,131
34,010
0.5
0.2
0.4
0.9
-0.4
-0.6
36,155
36,283
34,569
34,935
34,506
34,639
167,950
168,829
161,133
162,212
4.2
4.1
Capital goods3:
Shipments..
New Orders
85,326
91,865
81,021
83,849
84,143
79,517
5.3
9.6
-3.7
5.4
2.7
-12.0
85,446
88,959
77,975
77,347
82,283
78,546
402,348
419,473
396,160
418,311
1.6
0.3
75,758
83,519
71,457
76,397
74,005
73,795
6.0
9.3
-3.4
3.5
2.5
-8.9
75,849
82,580
68,995
71,737
72,313
71,472
355,216
382,378
349,349
372,547
1.7
2.6
Shipments
66,358
65,227
66,592
1.7
-2.0
0.6
66,508
63,621
65,307
321,497
317,569
1.2
New Orders..
68,293
67,554
66,734
1.1
1.2
1.1
68,362
67,324
66,337
338,995
332,318
2.0
9,568
8,346
9,564
7,452
10,138
5,722
0.0
12.0
-5.7
30.2
3.8
-39.1
9,597
6,379
8,980
5,610
9,970
7,074
47,132
37,095
46,811
45,764
0.7
-18.9
Excluding defense:
Shipments..
New Orders4
Excluding aircraft:
Estimates of shipments and new orders are for the duration of the period, while estimates of unfilled orders and total inventories are for the end of the period. Not seasonally adjusted estimates of
shipments and new orders include adjusted data for non-calendar reporters. Seasonally adjusted estimates include concurrent adjustments for holiday and trading-day differences, where appropriate,
as well as seasonal variation, based on the results of the latest annual review of the model parameters. Estimates are not adjusted for price changes.
Based on advance sample. Estimates of manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders are subject to survey error and revision. One major component of survey error is nonsampling error, which
includes errors of coverage, response and nonreporting. Since the survey panel is not a probability sample, estimates of sampling error cannot be calculated. For further details on survey design,
methodology, and data limitations, see http://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3.
The Capital Goods Industries include Nondefense : small arms and ordnance; farm machinery and equipment; construction machinery; mining, oil, and gas field machinery; industrial machinery; vending,
laundry, and other machinery; photographic equipment; metalworking machinery; turbines and generators; other power transmission equipment; pumps and compressors; material handling equipment; all
other machinery; electronic computers; computer storage devices; other computer peripheral equipment; communications equipment; search and navigation equipment; electromedical, measuring, and
control instruments; electrical equipment; other electrical equipment, appliances, and components; heavy duty trucks; aircraft; railroad rolling stock; ships and boats; office and institutional furniture; and
medical equipment and supplies.
Defense Capital Goods include : small arms and ordnance, communications equipment, aircraft; missiles, space vehicles, and parts, ships and boats, and search and navigation equipment.
Estimates of shipments for the semiconductor industry are no longer shown separately. Estimates and percent changes of shipments and inventories for the semiconductor industry are included
in computers and electronic products, and all other applicable aggregate totals. Estimates and percent changes for new orders and unfilled orders exclude semiconductor industry data.
Percent
Change
2013/
2012
DURABLE GOODS
Total:
Unfilled Orders4.
Total Inventories..
1,004,706
377,952
996,630
377,489
993,372
376,534
0.8
0.1
0.3
0.3
-0.6
-0.1
1,012,348
381,295
1,008,831
379,846
981,196
370,428
3.2
2.9
388,098
261,543
385,041
261,362
382,341
261,770
0.8
0.1
0.7
-0.2
-0.1
-0.2
395,769
263,997
393,833
262,973
397,299
263,623
-0.4
0.1
806,499
349,789
796,886
349,589
791,713
348,951
1.2
0.1
0.7
0.2
-0.1
0.0
813,785
353,046
805,978
351,803
783,002
344,163
3.9
2.6
1,004,706
309,071
996,630
308,413
993,372
307,473
0.8
0.2
0.3
0.3
-0.6
-0.1
1,012,348
312,174
1,008,831
310,688
981,196
301,889
3.2
3.4
Primary metals:
Unfilled Orders.
Total Inventories..
34,493
34,710
33,454
35,000
32,850
35,560
3.1
-0.8
1.8
-1.6
0.5
-2.1
35,059
35,126
34,907
35,415
36,395
37,002
-3.7
-5.1
86,642
47,157
86,170
47,227
85,543
47,309
0.5
-0.1
0.7
-0.2
1.1
0.7
90,294
47,623
90,028
47,605
81,075
47,490
11.4
0.3
Machinery:
Unfilled Orders.
Total Inventories..
104,634
66,580
104,513
66,345
104,402
66,125
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.3
-1.0
0.0
106,438
67,398
106,070
66,913
120,525
66,879
-11.7
0.8
133,356
46,465
131,974
46,102
130,821
45,900
1.0
0.8
0.9
0.4
-0.3
-0.2
134,197
46,795
133,375
46,017
129,131
46,553
3.9
0.5
3,483
4,496
3,458
4,365
3,432
4,161
0.7
3.0
0.8
4.9
-0.8
-4.8
3,483
4,666
3,458
4,315
2,748
4,637
26.7
0.6
Communications equipment:
Unfilled Orders.
Total Inventories..
32,896
7,475
31,886
7,477
31,303
7,660
3.2
0.0
1.9
-2.4
0.4
0.5
33,038
7,445
32,104
7,346
28,555
7,533
15.7
-1.2
21,769
16,598
21,696
16,645
21,544
16,890
0.3
-0.3
0.7
-1.5
0.4
0.0
22,072
16,864
21,872
16,897
22,379
16,594
-1.4
1.6
Transportation equipment:
Unfilled Orders.
Total Inventories..
616,608
116,409
611,589
116,127
611,031
114,764
0.8
0.2
0.1
1.2
-0.8
0.1
616,579
117,298
614,998
116,873
583,897
106,805
5.6
9.8
16,804
25,152
16,648
25,215
16,647
25,178
0.9
-0.2
0.0
0.1
-0.3
-1.5
16,946
25,130
16,977
25,081
17,345
25,240
-2.3
-0.4
441,358
62,513
435,378
62,436
432,741
61,225
1.4
0.1
0.6
2.0
-0.1
1.1
441,370
63,459
436,472
63,306
407,087
54,689
8.4
16.0
65,860
13,924
66,360
13,705
66,872
13,789
-0.8
1.6
-0.8
-0.6
-3.2
-1.6
65,627
13,919
67,388
13,678
66,421
12,811
-1.2
8.6
7,204
50,033
7,234
50,043
7,181
49,986
-0.4
0.0
0.7
0.1
-1.7
0.2
7,709
50,191
7,581
50,126
7,794
49,105
-1.1
2.2
Capital goods3:
Unfilled Orders.
Total Inventories..
752,978
194,189
746,439
193,529
743,611
192,261
0.9
0.3
0.4
0.7
-0.6
0.0
758,339
196,312
754,826
194,763
728,094
185,790
4.2
5.7
585,642
171,469
577,881
171,101
572,941
170,138
1.3
0.2
0.9
0.6
0.0
0.1
590,433
173,501
583,702
172,165
560,684
164,745
5.3
5.3
Excluding aircraft:
Unfilled Orders..
Total Inventories.
220,323
120,237
218,388
119,897
216,061
120,118
0.9
0.3
1.1
-0.2
0.1
-0.3
225,337
121,361
223,483
120,097
224,804
120,468
0.2
0.7
167,336
22,720
168,558
22,428
170,670
22,123
-0.7
1.3
-1.2
1.4
-2.5
-1.3
167,906
22,811
171,124
22,598
167,410
21,045
0.3
8.4
Excluding transportation:
4
Unfilled Orders .
Total Inventories..
Excluding defense:
Unfilled Orders4
Total Inventories..
Survey Description
This report is compiled from results of the U.S. Census Bureaus Manufacturers Shipments, Inventories,
and Orders (M3) survey. This survey provides statistics on manufacturers' value of shipments, new
orders (net of cancellations), end-of-month order backlog (unfilled orders), end-of-month total inventory
(at current cost or market value), and inventories by stage of fabrication (materials and supplies, work-inprocess, and finished goods). The M3 includes approximately 4,300 reporting units. Units may be
divisions of diversified large companies, large homogenous companies, or single-unit manufacturers in 89
industry categories. Due to the small monthly sample, these 89 categories have been combined into 65
publication levels. The survey methodology assumes that the month-to-month changes of the total
operations of those companies in the monthly survey effectively represent the month-to-month
movements of all establishments that make up the category. The current coverage levels in the survey
show that reported data in the monthly survey represent approximately 60 percent of the shipments
estimates at the total manufacturing level. Data published represent manufacturing in a calendar month.
The data collection is based on a voluntary survey authorized by Title 13 of the United States Code.
The data presented in this release are based on data obtained from a panel of 4,300 reporting units and
provide an indication of the activity within the manufacturing sector. The results differ from what would
be obtained from a complete enumeration of all manufacturing companies. In addition, a different panel
of 4,300 companies would yield different results. The M3 panel is comprised of companies with $500
million or more in shipments and a limited number of smaller companies. From a statistical perspective,
the panel is not a probability sample; therefore, the sampling errors that are normally provided with
sample surveys cannot be measured. Nonsampling errors are attributable to many sources. The use of
company or divisional reports to estimate the monthly change for establishments is one source of
nonsampling error. The use of primarily large companies to represent the month-to-month movement of
all companies is another potential source. Any corrections will be published in the full report.
Corrections received after the full report will be released in the next months advance report. Any
revisions made later than two months will be reflected in the annual benchmark publication.
Additional survey documentation can be found on our web site: http://www.census.gov/m3.