ChaosControlledBetting Book
ChaosControlledBetting Book
The
Chaos Controlled
Betting System!
A Powerful New Way to Use Chaos
Theory to Beat the Casinos!
The material contained in this book is intended to inform and educate the reader and in no
way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally.
This publication is designed to provide an independent viewpoint and analysis of the
subject matter. The publisher and the author disclaim all legal responsibility for any
personal loss or liability caused by the use of any of the information contained herein.
Questions about this publication may be addressed to:
orders@silverthornepublications.com
Published in the United States of America
Table of Contents
Introduction
34
Betting Strategies
37
Betting Progressions
47
58
60
66
PPB Betting
72
79
Sample Games
81
90
93
Skilful Play
99
106
118
Casino Etiquette
128
Keeping Records
131
135
141
144
147
Introduction
It is based on patterns that occur in every casino game. As the professor who developed
this system told me, Patterns exist. Patterns can be discovered. And, once they are
discovered they can be exploited. Orderly disorder exits.
If you are not quite sure what this statement means, just hang on. You are about to open
a door to a new opportunity that few will ever experience.
You are invited to become one of a handful of players worldwide who will be given the
chance to learn and profit from Chaos Controlled Betting the betting system that
overcomes the house edge!
It discovers patterns and then uses this knowledge to overcome the house edge in
roulette.
Once the house edge is overcome, the game rules change as the game becomes a
player favorable game that throws off high profits to the player!
Because it gains an advantage over the casinos, it is possible to win with a very
small bankroll. For example, all that is needed to win at online roulette is $48!
By discovering and exploiting patterns, it is able to win at a very high rate. Our
studies have shown that the Chaos Controlled Betting System returns $3.74 in
winnings per hour for every dollar invested!
We have developed a highly simplified version of this system that can be played
without using a computer, tracking spins, counting decisions or any of the tedious
stuff normally associated with math-based systems!
Patterns exist. Patterns can be discovered. And, once they are discovered they can be
exploited. Orderly disorder exits.
While the cause in this example is a physical one of a ball dropping into a slot, it could
just as well be a random number generated outcome.
Once we know the outcome of a certain number of spins, we know that chaotic patterns
will be formed that favor one outcome over another for the short-term.
So, the professor replied, You want to deal with the actual outcomes such as a number
or a color at roulette.
Precisely. The outcomes reflect the results of balls bouncing or outcomes being
determined by algorithms. Instead of looking at the bouncing balls, we will look at the
results of spins and then look for a pattern.
Ah. Now I understand. We will be looking at patterns for predictability based on chaosbased patterns. And, we will keep it short-term.
Yes, very short term. We only need to predict the outcome of one bet Our next one!
When the cause of an event is a ball dropping into a slot, or even an event simulated by a
computer, it can be a chaotic pattern which is discoverable.
I have to admit I was pretty excited when I drove over. I felt like a kid who had been
waiting for Christmas to arrive and was just about to start opening his presents.
The first thing the professor showed me was a summary of the accuracy of his new
simplified approach to predicting the outcome of wagers.
His hit rate was 53.8%, even better than he had done with using more data.
This looks wonderful. But how can you achieve a better win rate using so little data?
Come here. Ill show you.
Any system which wins a higher percentage than the house offers the possibility of player
advantage play.
10
He was talking about wins or losses. Anyone could track this using casino chips or by
writing them down.
It sounds really good. In fact it looks like a wonderful solution to the problem of
predicting roulette spins. But, I am puzzled. How can you reduce the input from twenty
or thirty or even more decisions to just the last three spins and actually improve your
predictability?
He nodded. My thoughts were the same as yours at first. Usually scientists want more
data. In this case more data doesnt add to our knowledge.
I am still not following you.
Have you heard of the gamblers fallacy?
Sure, I responded. Thats where gamblers expect decisions to even out eventually. If
red has shown nine times in a row they will bet on black, expecting that it must show
eventually and that it is overdue in fact.
Thats correct. But, as you know it doesnt work like that with games of chance even
when the effect of chaos is figured in.
I still dont understand. How can you use a much smaller number of inputs and still
improve your success rate?
Its because past decisions have no effect on future decisions. However, if we look at a
very small number of decisions . . .
Like the last three, I interrupted.
Exactly. Like the last three. We have all of the useful information needed to predict the
outcome of the next spin with the knowledge of what just happened and a brief history of
outcomes.
I am still a little confused. Is this the way chaos theory works?
11
He gave me a little history of chaos theory. In 1962, Edward Lorenz discovered some of
the effects of chaos while trying to predict the weather. The curve generated by his
chaos-based model exhibited a bizarre characteristic. He noticed that two points located
very close to each other on his curve would inevitably take widely divergent paths. The
Lorenz-Butterfly effect is often presented as an example of chaos: a butterfly flaps his
wings in Japan and a tornado later hits Texas.
So you are saying that knowing about the butterfly doesnt do you any good at
predicting weather elsewhere, like in Texas.
Its a little more complex than that. However, with roulette or other games of chance,
you can think of the outcome ten decisions ago as the butterfly flapping its wings.
Something will happen because the butterfly flew at that place at that time, but it is
unpredictable.
So the more recent decisions give you more predictability?
In a sense yes. We can use a simple model to make very accurate short-term predictions
that would be useless for the long-term.
I smiled. We only need to predict one decision the next one. And, it looks like youve
got it figured out.
One example of chaos theory: A butterfly flaps his wings in Japan and a tornado later
hits Texas.
12
The System Wins Betting Flat, But It Was a Little Slow For My Taste.
We started testing the professors highly simplified three-outcome, one-bet model of bet
prediction. In addition to the professors millions of simulations I wanted to add my own
testing. I played roulette online using his system.
There was no question that it worked. With a $100 bankroll, I could win $7 to $9 an hour
making $5 bets.
I played enough games online to prove to myself that this was a realistic estimate of the
systems potential.
I shared my results with the professor.
He said, This is wonderful. This shows how effective the bet prediction model is
Instead of praising his system I pointed out that it was winning at too slow a rate.
He countered with the suggestion that I bet $100 per bet. If you make $100 bets, you
will make $140 to $180 an hour. This is very good, yes?
I did some quick calculations. I would need a bankroll of $2,000 in order to win an
average of about $160 an hour. I pointed this out to him.
So there is something wrong with our prediction model?
No. There is nothing wrong with the prediction model. I am still amazed that you can
beat roulette outright using flat bets
Then what is wrong? We have succeeded, is this not true?
Its true, but we can do a whole lot better. I explained to him about betting systems.
We talked about comparisons of using positive and negative progressions with flat
betting.
13
Betting systems, based on sound money management principles, can be used to increase
the win rate of any winning system.
14
progressions ability to rapidly recover from losses. However, we would want to avoid
the downside of losing large amounts when they fail.
Yes, and how do we do that?
We limit the amount of money used to play. We need a way to win very high amounts
using small bankrolls.
He took some notes. And, you have more?
Yes. Negative progressions arent the best way to bet when the game is going your way.
Since they are basically defensive in nature, they have no way to go on the offense when
you are winning.
So, how do we correct that?
I explained an idea I had. Thirty minutes later we had outlined a rough idea of a betting
system.
He summarized his understanding. We want to win high amounts using a small bankroll
by combining our ability to predict outcomes with a new money management system.
I nodded yes.
Chaos Controlled Betting Turns Our Slow Winning System Into a Screamer!
The professor went to work on developing a more powerful way of betting. His objective
was to improve the performance of his highly effective Three-Bet Outcome, One-Bet
model of bet prediction.
15
He decided early on that the most effective path to success was to determine the size of
each bet using a proven money-management system combined with his bet prediction
model.
He explained it to me this way. With stock trading we use a combination of position
sizing and leverage to increase or decrease our profits based on risk. We can use the
same approach with roulette betting by looking at the probability of an outcome based on
recent wins or losses and then determining the best size of the bet.
I couldnt completely follow what he was saying. Do you have to use an equation to
figure out how much to bet? Remember, we ultimately want something practical here.
No equations. Just a really simple string of numbers. Ill show you. Look at these
possible bets.
He explained his system to me. Now I understood what he was doing. Seven numbers,
adjusted for risk and control, could represent the basic system. Under certain
circumstances these numbers could be modified. But, the procedures were really simple.
What are your results using this approach?
Very high wins with almost no losses. Here, Ill show you.
I reviewed his test results for the next thirty minutes. This certainly looked like the real
thing. I told him to keep on testing and tweaking. Meanwhile, I wanted a chance to try
my approach to testing.
A Chaos Controlled Betting System can consist of a simple set of numbers which are
matched with chaotic patterns.
16
I Put the Revised System Through the Same Tests As The Earlier Version. This Time I
Was Overwhelmed By The Profits!
I played roulette online starting with $100 just like I did when I tested the Three-Bet
Outcome, One-Bet Model of Bet Prediction.
And, just like the first time, I easily won.
However, now with the new Chaos-Controlled Betting System I was winning huge
amounts.
On my first test I bet $5 bets without variation and won from $7 to $9 an hour.
Now I started with $5 bets, but, instead of betting the same amount each time, I used the
Chaos-Controlled Betting System.
I played two hours at the five-dollar betting level. I averaged winning over $842 an hour.
Then I decided to refine my testing. Each time I doubled my bankroll I would double the
size of my starting bets. I did this for the next hour and won $1,651!
For the fourth hour I increased my starting bet to $25. In one more hour of play I pulled
in an earthshaking $3,872 in profits.
Heres the tally
I deposited $100 in an online casino. In four hours play I won $6,365 in net profits. I
ordered a withdrawal of $6,000, leaving $365 for my next session.
This is irrefutable evidence of the power of adding Chaos-Controlled Betting to the
already potent Three- Bet Outcome, One-Bet model of bet prediction!
Combined, they pulled in profits at rocket-like speed.
And, on top of that, the system was easy to use and lots of fun!
17
18
We divided the students into groups with assignments to go out and beat roulette.
19
Nicks Story
Ive never played roulette before. My gambling experience has been limited to football
pools and a little poker.
Fortunately, playing roulette using the CC Betting System [Chaos Controlled Betting] is
really easy.
I used a CC Betting Tracking Form and a CC Betting Player Card and I had no problem
using the system.
I asked him, What do you think of this system?
I really like this system. It has an awesome way of betting the right way at the right
time.
What about the betting system? What do you think of that?
It took me a little longer to get the betting system down. However, the Player Cards
make it really easy as they summarize the seven core bets. Once you learn them it is
pretty easy to launch into the high-profit betting mode.
Youve played two weeks now. Can I see your play record?
He handed it over to me and I studied it for a few minutes.
You played 38.5 hours online over two weeks. Is that right?
Yeah. I kept careful track of my time.
I wanted to be sure that his winnings were accurate as well. And, your summary shows
you won $19,684. Can you tell me about that?
20
Sure. I started out with $48 making $1 bets. I stayed at this level my first two days and
won over $900. You can see it in my summary.
I looked and saw that he was up $921 by the end of the second day. Your winnings
jumped up much higher on day three and continued that way for the rest of the time you
played. What happened?
After two days betting low I decided to see what this system could do with higher bets.
I moved up to $2 bets next and after one day at this level winning about $800 more, I
decided to move up to making $5 bets.
Just so we are clear, that was the largest minimum bet you used in this controlled test,
right?
It was. I would have liked to have moved up to $10 and then $25 bets because of the
high profit potential, but I stuck to the rules.
Good. And you won $19,684. This completes the test. You are free to use the Chaos
Controlled Betting System any way you want. Do you have any ideas?
Nick had never played roulette. Yet, with the Chaos Controlled Betting System, he won
$19,684 in his first two weeks.
Sure do. I am moving up to $10 bets immediately and then right on up to making $25
bets.
Just one word of advice. Continue playing just like you have where you keep records of
each game. My experience shows you will do better when you keep close tabs on your
play.
Ill do that. Oh, and, er, thanks. I really appreciate your letting me work with you.
21
22
You played your first week at Planet Hollywood. Did you like it?
Oh yes. They are very nice.
And I see you didnt do too badly. You worked your way up to $25 betting and cleared
$9,689 by the end of the first week.
Yes. Then I decided to switch to Paris. I wanted a change for the second week.
I looked at her record for the second week. You really went to town your second week.
Your record shows that you won $24,974. Tell me about it.
At Paris I started making $25 bets and then quickly moved up to $50 and finally $100
bets.
I see that you were strictly a $100 bettor on your last day. And, you pulled in $8,579 for
the day. Thats actually a little low for this level of play.
She blushed. I know. I didnt put in my hours. I had a spa comp and I took the
afternoon off. I hope thats ok.
Sure. I think you deserved a break. I turned to Frank. How did you do?
Franks Story
Frank had moved around a lot as he played. He started playing at the Stratosphere, then
moved to Caesars Palace.
23
Next he played at Green Valley Ranch and finished up splitting his time between Caesars
and Paris.
However, I was more interested in his numbers than where he played.
I see you won $14,956 the first week and then pulled in $32,980 the second week. Any
comments?
Frank won $32,980 his second week using Chaos Controlled Betting.
24
I Was Curious. How Long Would It Take a $1 Bettor to Win $1,000 Playing
Online?
After we finished the testing, I met with a few of the students for a round of drinks.
While I was talking to Frank I got an idea.
Would you be up for one more round of testing?
Sure. You cant beat the pay. [Each of the student testers kept all of their winnings.
This kept their level of commitment very high.]
Heres what I would like for you to do.
I told Frank what I wanted him to do. It was a new test. I wanted to see just how fast a
player could turn $48 into $1,000.
Frank verified that he understood what I wanted. You want me to start with $48 online
and see how long it takes to win $1,000? And, I cant increase the size of my bets as I
win. Have I got it?
I think so. The purpose of this test is simple. We want to see how long it takes you
making $1 bets online to win $1,000. Remember, no bet increase allowed.
Ive got it. Ill give you the results later.
25
We ran a test to see how long it would take to win $1,000, starting with less than $50.
The answer 77 minutes.
Ref
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Plays
14
21
16
22
19
16
24
22
13
Won
+38
+56
+39
+74
-146
+123
+81
+52
+55
Cumulative Win
$38
$94
$133
$207
$61
$184
$265
+317
$372
26
Ref
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
Plays
12
11
15
14
22
17
17
18
12
25
19
17
17
383
Won
+45
+69
+51
+38
+43
+51
+65
+73
+41
+44
+47
+33
+43
+1015
Cumulative Win
$417
$486
$537
$575
$618
$669
$734
$807
$848
$892
$939
$972
$1015
This record is pretty easy to follow. It shows that he played 22 games of roulette online
using the Chaos Controlled Betting System.
He won 21 out of 22 games which is close to our long-term average.
All of these games were played using $1 starting bets.
What is most impressive is how little bankroll is needed to do what Frank did.
All that is needed to win $1,000 in less than a couple of hours is $48!
I asked Frank for any comments he had.
Sure. Dont try to play the games straight through. I took breaks about every six or
seven games.
I asked him. How did you track these games?
27
I stuck the Player Card for $1 bets next to the keyboard. And I used the CC Betting
Tracking Form to keep track of my bets.
Did they work okay? Is there anything we should do to improve the system?
Nada. It is just about perfect as it is.
Player Cards and Chaos Controlled Bet Tracking Forms made winning super easy!
I have one final thing to ask you. We have just finished a manual for the Chaos
Controlled Betting System. Will you read it and tell me if we need to make any
changes?
You bet. Its the least I can do.
28
Because this system constantly adapts, it cant be defeated by anticipating its plays!
This means that even if an online casino were tracking your betting pattern, if you were
using the Chaos Betting System they wouldnt discover your pattern.
It may sound strange that a system based on uncovering underlying patterns in a game of
chance has no patterns of its own.
You can think of it this way
Since Chaos Controlled Betting is designed to find chaotic patterns that no one else can
see, its own betting system resembles chaos and is undetectable!
As strange as it may seem, Chaos Controlled Betting creates its own chaotic betting
pattern.
29
If all you ever do with Chaos Controlled Betting is play $1 roulette a few hours a week,
you can earn a pretty nice income.
If you were interested in buying a business that threw off $120,000 a year in profits that
were virtually guaranteed, you might expect to pay $250,000 or more for it!
Even dollar bettors pull in big wins with the power of Chaos Controlled Betting
Heres what you can expect to make playing roulette online (based on documented
winnings from thousands of games).
Minimum Bets
$1
$2
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
Average Hourly
Net Winnings
$149
$300
$747
$1494
$2241
$2988
$3734
Game
Bankroll
$48
$83
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1000
Most of the players using this strategy will start out small and increase the size of their
minimum bets as their winnings grow.
For example, as a $1 bettor you will win $600 in your first four hours of play. You could
easily move up to making $2 bets.
Play another four hours at this level and you would bring in $1,200 in winnings. Then
you would move to the next level.
30
Players Using Chaos Controlled Betting Are Winning a Fortune Off the
Land-Based Games!
I dont want you to get the idea that Chaos Controlled Betting is strictly a system for
online roulette.
It is deadly in land-based games!
Lets assume that you decide to play in a game accepting $5 minimum bets. With Chaos
Controlled Betting all you need to play at this level is $200.
As a $5 bettor youll pull in $149 an hour in winnings. We know this because we have
played hundreds of games in online casinos, kept careful records and documented
average net winnings of $149 an hour for $5 play.
While this is not bad, youll want to increase your bets as soon as your winnings will
support this.
Heres what you can expect to make playing roulette on single-zero wheels in land-based
games:
Minimum Bets
$5
$10
$25
$50
$75
$100
$200
$500
Average Hourly
Net Winnings
$149
$298
$747
$1494
$2241
$2988
$5975
$14,943
Game
Bankroll
$200
$400
$1000
$2000
$3000
$4000
$8000
$20,000
31
32
33
Most players never realize what an advantage these offer. The casino cannot be
flexible. It must continue to offer the same games, with the same rules, without the
ability to react to changing conditions. The nimble player can weave and dodge and
even choose not to play a particular game. Let's elaborate on the player's edge:
1. When you are losing, you can quit. You can always control your losses while
the casino must continue to offer its games regardless of the outcomes. I have seen
hot baccarat tables where the casino lost over a hundred thousand dollars in less than
an hour. All the casinos can do is order in more chips and hope that the hot streak
will end.
2. When you are winning, you can walk out with the casino's money. As a
player you can always control when you stop playing. While the casino must
continue offering its games twenty-four hours a day, you can jump in, grab a win and
pull off. You have ultimate flexibility while the casino does not.
34
3. You can vary the size of your wagers. One approach a player can use is to
increase the size of his wagers when he is winning and reduce them when losing. He
may also choose to raise his wagers after losses so that only a win or two out of
many wagers will put him ahead. A player can set up options where he doesn't have
to win the majority of his bets. Using these techniques effectively goes a long ways
towards minimizing the house edge and even turning it into a player edge!
4. You can pick where to play. You can play at tables offering the best situations
for you. You can choose to play at tables that are almost empty by playing during
slack periods. This can significantly increase your hourly win rate. You can also
make it your business to know where the best payoffs are. The casinos, which pay
triple on a field roll of 12, turn this wager from a weak one to one with acceptable
risk.
If you are looking for certain table conditions, you can scout for the right table before
you play. You have numerous options while the house must offer the game to
anyone who is old enough to play, conforms to fairly lax casinos standards and has
some money to begin play.
5. You can modify your strategy based on table results and conditions. Every
table develops different trends at different times. Some tables favor bettors who play
numbers, while others favor players who bet from the dark side, wagering on the
don't pass or don't come. Most tables are choppy, favoring neither right nor wrong
betters. You can adjust to the changing playing conditions as they occur. If the table
is repeating numbers, you can modify your strategy to take advantage of this trend.
If the table is ice cold, you can make still different moves. In short, you have the
ability to bob and weave, duck and thrust, parry and counter punch. The table can't
react to anything. Every casino table game is like an inanimate object that must
endlessly grind out numbers, while you circle and pounce.
6. You can use discipline to develop a winning plan and then stick to it. The
house has ultimate discipline. The very structure of the casino games and
35
atmosphere exhibit a carefully planned approach designed to transfer funds from the
players' pockets into the casino coffers in the shortest time possible. Of course, to a
large extent this relies on most players' lack of discipline. Once you gain the
discipline to set up a winning game plan and then follow it, you can effectively
neutralize much of the casino's edge over the crowd of players.
I played a couple of hours of baccarat in a local casino last night. I played for low
stakes, buying in for $500. I used the Chaos Controlled Betting System. The table
varied from choppy to cold the whole time I was there. I don't believe that anyone
else at the table won any money but me. The difference between the rest of the
players and me was that I had a plan for the evening and I stuck to it. With a $500
buy-in, I set $350 as my profit goal. After less than two hours of play I checked
my chips, found I was up $361 and cashed in.
The player's edge comes from all of the points listed above, plus the ability to hide
your wins from the casinos. There is really no reason that anyone other than you
and your significant other should know about your casino prowess. There are
people who would kill you for fifty bucks. Casinos really don't like winners.
That's why a number of Las Vegas casinos still bar blackjack card counters. It
may not be fair, but even with all of its advantages, if you somehow manage to
win, the casino can deny you access to their games.
The book How to Survive and Prosper as a Professional Gambler available from
Silverthorne Publications offers some excellent suggestions on how to consistently
beat the casinos and still stay on the bosses' good side. I recommend it to you.
The net effect of applying all of the elements of the player's edge is to neutralize
and even overcome the casino's advantage. Your biggest edge will come from
your discipline. Interestingly, this is the same kind of discipline the casinos
expect from their dealers, floor bosses and staff. If it works for them, you know
that it will work for you too!
36
Betting Strategies
Nearly every gambler uses some kind of system even if his system merely consists of
guessing what to do next. In July 1891, Charles Wells, an Englishman, arrived at the
casino at Monte Carlo with 10,000 francs. Within a few days he had won over a
million. He retired for a few months to relish his accomplishment, then returned and
proceeded to win another million francs. His exploits inspired the song "The Man
Who Broke the Bank at Monte Carlo."
Unfortunately, he would not quit while he was ahead. He returned the next year and
lost it all. Later he resorted to illegal shenanigans, was imprisoned and eventually
died in poverty. But his play gave Monte Carlo worldwide fame. Many studied his
play and tried to emulate him. He finally confessed before he died that he had no
system. His winnings were attributable to an amazing run of luck!
Betting systems or betting progressions have been devised for every gambling game.
Many of them had their origins in eighteenth and nineteenth century roulette played
on the French Riviera. While the particulars of different betting systems vary
greatly, the systems fall into three broad categories:
1. Flat: Keep bets constant, waiting for a streak of successes.
2. Negative progressions: raise bets after losses, trying to recover an eventual win.
3. Positive progressions: raise bets after wins, hoping to use the "house money" to
create a large win.
Each of these systems has positive and negative characteristics, but the approach,
which catches the most flack from gaming experts, is the negative progression. The
advocates of positive progressions don't think much of increasing your wager after a
loss. By their thinking, increasing a bet after you have lost amounts to throwing
37
good money after bad, with the probable outcome being that you will just lose more
money. However, as we shall see, in the short run just the opposite is likely to be
true.
Assume that we are going to bet player for eight decisions. Three different players
will help us in this illustration.
Player A does not believe in ever changing the size of his bet. He bets flat, that is the
same amount on every hand, regardless of the outcome of his preceding hand. In our
example, he will bet $10 a hand.
Player B likes to follow the system many experts recommend and he will press or
double his bet after each win, gradually betting more and more as he uses the house's
money. He will start with a $10 bet, increase it to $20 after a win, then wager $40 if
he wins again. If his bet reaches as high as $160, he will stay at this level until he
loses a wager. After any loss, he will drop back to betting $10.
Player C has heard that increasing his bets after losses is the "surest way to win." He
will start with a $10 bet. If he loses this bet he will wager $20. If this bet loses, he
will increase his bet to $40, then $80, followed by $160 if this wager also loses. His
maximum wager is $160. If he reaches this level he will continue to wager $160
until he has a win. After any win, he will regress to a $10 bet.
The following table compares the results of eight decisions, consisting of six losses
and two wins.
38
Decisions
Bet
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
Win (loss)
-10
-10
+10
-10
-10
-10
-10
+10
Net Win
-10
-20
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
-40
Bet
10
10
10
20
10
10
10
20
Win (loss)
-10
-10
+10
-20
-10
-10
-10
-20
Net Win
-10
-20
-10
-30
-40
-50
-60
-50
Bet
10
20
40
10
20
40
80
160
Win (loss)
-10
-20
+40
-10
-20
-40
-80
+160
Net Win
-10
-30
+10
-0-
-20
-60
-140
+20
Player A
Player B
Player C
39
Positive progressions, like the progression used by Player B, offer more likelihood of
an adverse than a favorable session, with intermittent large wins. In this example,
increasing wagers after wins caused this player to lose $50, a greater loss than the
one realized betting flat.
Negative progressions, like the one used by Player C, offer a greater chance of
winning any given session but have the characteristic of generating many small wins
with occasional large losses.
The exact result of sessions played in casinos depends on the details of each game
and on variations applied to systems by individual players. However, by ignoring
variations, using each system in its rawest form, we can test how each system
performed against the same set of decisions and comment on general characteristics
of each approach to wagering.
A test was created assuming that wagers are made on pass line only. Each game was
100 decisions long. Limits on the progressions were imposed which required any
progression to end immediately if the next bet required in the series exceeded 256
units.
The following systems were tested. Please note that these are not presented as
practical systems but are used to emphasize the differences you can expect in each
approach to wagering.
1. Flat Betting: Single units are bet and the amount never varies.
2. Positive Progression: In this parlay type of progression, bets are doubled after
every win and reduced to one unit after every loss. Assuming a string of nine
consecutive wins, this progression would be: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256.
40
41
Betting
System
Outcomes
Percent of
Sessions
Average
Amount Won
or Lost
Equivalent
Amount
Won or
Lost
1.45%
Won
38.70%
37
Lost
59.85%
48
0.05%
Won
9.60%
56
56
Lost
90.35%
412
412
0.00%
Won
85.35%
359
492
Lost
14.65%
43
59
There are a number of variables which affect your ability to avoid losing your
bankroll. These variables include the type of betting system used, the size of your
bankroll, the games you play, the length of time you play, and your luck at winning
any given gaming contest.
Let's compare the effects of using different betting systems on our ability to play
without losing our bankroll. The betting systems we will use are:
1. Flat betting. We will bet $25 regardless of previous outcomes.
42
2. Positive Progression. We will start with a $10 base bet. After each win we will
double our bet with a maximum wager of $80. If we reach the $80 betting level we
will continue to wager $80 until we lose a wager. After any losing wager we will
drop back to betting $10. The bets we would make in a winning streak would be:
$10, $20, $40, $80, $80, until we have a loss.
3. Negative Progression. Again we will use a $10 base bet. After each loss we will
double our bet, with our maximum bet to be $80. If we reach the $80 bet, we will
continue to wager $80 until we have a win. After any win we will drop back to
betting $10. A losing series would consist of: $10, $20, $40, $80, $80, until we
have a win.
Here's the game we will face. We will play in a coin-tossing contest and we will
always wager heads. Heads wins even money less a 2 percent house commission.
When tails shows we lose the wager. The chances here are 50-50 and the house edge
is 1 percent.
The next table shows how each betting system fares, varying the size of our bankroll
and the number of games played. Each game consists of 100 bets.
Flat betting offers the least chance of losing your bankroll. If you are willing to use a
bankroll of $2,000 in playing this coin-tossing game, you will have a 99% chance of
not losing your bankroll if you flat bet.
Using a positive progression gives you almost as good a chance of keeping your
bankroll intact as flat betting. A $500 bankroll offers a 94% chance of not losing all
of your bankroll as compared to 96% for flat betting and only 83% for the negative
progression at this level.
43
Number
of Games
Played
Flat
Bets
Positive
Progression
Negative
Progression
250
100
69%
66%
56%
500
100
96%
94%
83%
750
250
93%
87%
80%
1,000
500
90%
81%
76%
2,000
750
99%
98%
94%
Increasing your bets after losses greatly increases your chance of losing all of your
bankroll. Using the negative betting progression, the chance of keeping your
bankroll is only 56% using a $250 bankroll, playing for 100 games. The pattern of
much higher risk of losing your bankroll with a negative progression continues until
we increase our bankroll to $2,000. With a $2,000 bankroll, we can play the cointoss game for 750 rounds with only a 6% chance of losing our bankroll (94% chance
of keeping it as shown in the table). This compares favorably with the flat bettor's
percentage of 99% and the positive progression bettor's percentage of 98% at this
level.
44
45
a higher percentage of the time than chance would explain. With baccarat,
advantage seekers look to precision shooting to alter the casino's edge against the
players.
The second approach to gambling, almost universally recommended by the experts,
is to use a positive betting progression. That this is the best system for capitalizing
on winning streaks is the number one reason cited for using this system. Almost
never mentioned by the experts is that this system has a dismal winning rate, losing
about 9 out of every 10 sessions. As we have seen, the betting strategy with the
greatest chance of winning is the negative progression. With an adequate bankroll,
the risk of loss can be reduced to a reasonable amount.
The examples and simulations used in this chapter were for games of chance, rather
than a game of skill like blackjack. The examples also assumed games where the
house had an edge over the player. Our examples serve to illustrate the varying
characteristics of betting flat versus using either a positive or negative betting
progression.
In the next chapter we will take a look at different betting systems. Several of these
approaches are over one hundred years old. Let's see if our not so dumb ancestors
had any meaningful insights on how to beat the baccarat game!
46
Betting Progressions
Betting systems fall into the broad categories of betting the same after each decision,
known as flat betting, raising wagers after wins, called positive progressions, and
raising money after losses, named negative progressions.
There are also systems which have characteristics of one or more of these types, such
as the Baccarat Attack Strategy Betting System which we will encounter in a few
more chapters. Many of the classical betting systems were developed for roulette in
the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, but can be used for other games with evenmoney wagers such as craps, baccarat and blackjack. Although none of these
systems in its pure form is a winning system, it is worthwhile to study the efforts of
our ancestors as these betting systems are the grandparents of every modern betting
system.
Martingale
Martingale is one of the oldest betting systems using a negative progression. It is
named after Henry Martingale, an English casino owner in the 1700s who is reputed
to urge losing punters to "double 'em up" with their wagers.
This system is very simple. You will use a betting series where each bet in the series
is twice as large as the preceding one, as with 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32. So long as you win a
bet, you will continue to bet at the lowest level, e.g. wager 1. If you lose a bet, you
will move up to the next wager, doubling the amount of the previous wager. Use of
the system ensures that whenever your wager eventually wins, you will win the
amount of the original wager, in this instance 1.
One of my gambling friends once told me about an amazing system he had
developed for craps. He had gone to Las Vegas on two consecutive trips and
returned a winner. He was wagering only on don't pass at casino craps using a
betting series starting with a $1 bet and doubling his bet after each loss. He was
47
certain that his risk of loss was very small and planned to continue to use the system.
He was reluctant to share the system with me but he finally confessed that he was
using the following betting series, increasing his wager one level following a loss: 1
2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256. He correctly pointed out that he would have to lose nine
times in a row to lose the betting series, and he just didn't think that this was possible.
I pointed out to him that there was a very real possibility that he could lose nine
decisions in a row; in fact, this would happen once about every 500 pass line - don't
pass decisions. With craps decisions averaging fifty to sixty per hour, a loss of all
nine wagers could happen once every eight to ten hours. I asked him to consider
whether he was winning enough to sustain a loss of $511.00 (the total amount he was
risking) in order to win the sum of $1. This must have impressed him as I don't think
he ever used this system again (or at least he didn't tell me about losing with it).
The Martingale system would be just about unbeatable if you could continue to
double your wagers until you finally won a bet. Modern casinos are very aware of
Martingale, and they know that the easiest way to thwart the system is to narrow the
spread between maximum and minimum bets allowed. In other words, the minimum
wager must be high enough and the maximum wager low enough that no more than
eight or nine doublings can occur. If you find a table with a low minimum, such as
$1 and a high maximum, such as $3,000, you may wish to try using a Martingale
system against the table.
You could use the following series of wagers: 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1,024
2,048. With 12 bets in the series, you would be an odds-on favorite to win any
weekend gambling contest involving even-money wagers. However, you might
want to consider one thing. If you try this, sooner or later you will lose bet number
11, for $1,024. You will now have lost $2,047 and will be called on to bet $2,048 in
order to win the grand sum of $1. Are you willing to risk it? If you win, you will be
up exactly one buck for your efforts. However, if you lose your last wager of
$2,048, you will have lost $4,095 in the gaming contest. While the risk of loss is
48
low, it will happen at some time if you continue to wager this way, and there is no
guarantee that it won't happen during your first casino excursion using this system.
Mini-Martingale
Martingale in its purest form is too risky for the amount of reward offered. Nearly
every gambling expert likes to cite Martingale as an example of a losing system and
then jump into a gloating mode and proclaim that all betting systems are losers.
However, a Martingale system can be used with very good results if it is used on a
spot basis. Assume that you are wagering on an even-money game and that you have
lost the last four consecutive wagers. Usually, a three-stage Martingale against this
trend continuing for three more decisions will be quite profitable and the reward will
be reasonable as compared to the amount risked.
A five-stage Martingale progression can be used very profitably when it is used
against a betting pattern which is less likely to occur than would normally be
expected.
Grand Martingale
One criticism of Martingale is that too much is risked as compared to the potential
return. For example, in the first Martingale series shown, you would have had to
wager $256 in order to win a net $1. With Grand Martingale, additional chips are
added to each increased wager, so that when a win finally occurs, the amount
won will be greater than just the amount of the first wager. A typical Grand
Martingale series is: 1 3 5 15 35 75.
Martingale in all forms risks a lot to win a little. When the losses come, they will
wipe out hours of profits. Another twist to using a Martingale series is to play
Martingale in reverse, called an "Anti-Martingale" betting series. With this system,
winning wagers will be pressed (doubled). Whenever you encounter a long winning
streak this system can produce phenomenal profits. Assume we use the following
49
Labouchere
With Labouchere, also known as the Cancellation System, the player sets up a series
of numbers which will add up to the profit he will make if he wins this betting series.
If he picks 1 2 3 as his series, his expected profit for winning this series is 1 + 2 + 3 =
6. Like the variations of Martingale, this series is used with even-money bets.
To start the series, a player will wager the sum of the two outside numbers, in this
case 4 (1 + 3 = 4). If he wins this wager, he will cancel the two outside numbers by
scratching them out, and wager the sum of the next two outside numbers. In this
simple series, only the single number of 2 is left, so the player would wager 2. If
he also wins this wager, he will have won the series, having won 4 on the first round
and 2 for the second wager, for a total of 6, the total of all bets in the series.
Any time the player loses a wager, he will add the amount lost to the series and
continue to wager the sum of the two outside wagers. Let's assume the player lost
the first bet of 4. He would add this wager to the series, which would now become:
1 2 3 4. His next wager would be for 5, the sum of the two outside wagers. We will
assume that this bet wins. Having won the bet, our players cancels the outside
numbers of 1 and 4 leaving the series as: 2 3. He next wagers the sum of these two
numbers, betting 5. If this wager wins the series is completed. If he loses this wager,
the losing bet of 5 will be added to the series and he will continue the series.
50
The principal appeal of this system is that it appears to be a two for one proposition
in that each win cancels two numbers while a loss only adds one number to the
series. However, this isn't the case, as the player is not paid two for one on winning
bets.
In testing this system, I have had bets escalate to wagers of hundreds of dollars all
too frequently. This is probably the most insidious of the old time roulette systems.
It is said to have been responsible for more suicides on the French Riviera than any
other system. Part of the problem with this system is that the small stream of steady
wins tends to lull the player into believing that the system can't lose. Unfortunately,
a long enough losing streak will occur that the wagers called for will either be larger
than the player's bankroll or will exceed the house limits and not be allowed. In
either case, the series will be over with the end result that the player suffers a
substantial loss.
This system can also be played in reverse, known as Reverse Labouchere. With
Reverse Labby, as many punters call it, the amount of each win is added to the
series, and the two outside numbers are canceled whenever a loss occurs. Each
wager is still the sum of the two outside numbers. This system produces many small
losses in exchange for an occasional win over 1,000 times the amount at risk.
Use of this approach is recounted in Norman Leigh's fascinating account of
his successful effort to beat the casino in Monte Carlo by playing Labouchere in
reverse (Thirteen Against the Bank, William Morrow & Co., 1976). Norman Leigh
theorized that the reason so many players lose with Labouchere is that they run into
the house limits or lose their playing capital and are unable to recoup losses. Since
the bank has almost unlimited capital in comparison to the players, the bank can out
wait most player assaults, knowing that either the house betting limit or the player's
own limited financial resources will bring about the player's demise.
In using the reverse betting strategy, Leigh reasoned that this approach would most
closely resemble the bank's approach to most other players. He would wait out the
51
small losses until a large win occurred. Leigh spent months recruiting and training a
team to play against the casino. His trials in pulling off this coup make for
fascinating reading. I believe that one of the reasons he was eventually able to beat
the casino in Monte Carlo was that his starting wagers were fairly low and the house
maximums large in comparison. Consequently, he was able to keep his losses fairly
low while his team played on, waiting for the monster win.
It is doubtful that this system could be used successfully now, as the spread between
minimum and maximum wagers is not large enough in most casinos. The losses
realized while waiting for the large win would be enormous, with the house limits on
maximum wagers limiting the systems' ability to ultimately recoup the losses.
D'Alembert
This system was invented by a French mathematician, based on the
assumption of equilibrium in gaming contests. D'Alembert reasoned that since
winning and losing bets must eventually equal one another, a system of adding one
chip after each losing bet and subtracting a chip after a winning bet would ultimately
result in a win as winning wagers would always be greater than losing ones.
It is not unusual to win only ten of the first thirty wagers in an even-money betting
contest. With d'Alembert's system, the player will wager higher and higher amounts
until he eventually runs into our old nemesis, the house limit.
D'Alembert can be fairly successful if it is modified to include no more than nine or
ten bets in a series of wagers, so that potential losses are limited. An additional
modification to improve the system is to space the bets so that the win of two
consecutive wagers will offset prior losses. A series which accomplishes this is 1 2 3
4 7 11 18. With this series, a player would drop back to the lowest bet after winning
two consecutive wagers, such as 7 and 4. This system can be fairly successful if
used by two partners betting the opposite in roulette, craps or baccarat.
52
Contra-d-Alembert
Like Reverse Labouchere, the idea behind Contra-d'Alembert is to reduce the
amount risked while allowing profitable runs to rise to great heights. With this
strategy we will increase our wager one level after a win and reduce it a level
following a loss.
The only positive aspect to the strategy is that when you hit a prolonged losing streak
the size of your wagers is quickly reduced. In this respect this system can help
protect your bankroll.
However, the upside of using any system requiring increasing your wager following
wins is limited. Trends of long, uninterrupted winning streaks are fairly rare in
gaming and a system relying on piling up win after consecutive win is not going to
win very often.
Here's an example. Your first bet is for one unit. You win and move up to betting
two units. With another win, you wager three units and have a loss. You have won
two out of three bets and have absolutely nothing to show for it. All of your profit
evaporated with that single loss.
If you could always pick your spots, this system would have merit. Of course, if pigs
could fly . . . well, you get the idea. It is just about impossible to know in advance
when a three-wager consecutive win might occur so that you could jump in with a
Contra-d'Alembert. Like so many systems, this one sounds good on paper, but is
difficult to squeeze profits out of in real world gaming.
Ascot
This is another of the old time roulette systems that can be adapted to any
game offering even-money bets. With Ascot, winning wagers are increased one unit
at a time in a predetermined series of wagers while losing bets are lowered one step
53
using the same betting series. An Ascot betting series can be from seven to eleven
numbers. A typical series is: 2 3 5 8 13 20 30. The player's first wager would be a
middle number such as 8. If this wager wins, the next wager would be 13. If this
wager also won, the succeeding wager would be for 20, and so on, with each win
followed by an increase of one level in the betting series. The series would end with
the win of the last bet in the series. For a win, that would be a win of 30. A losing
series would be terminated with the loss of the lowest bet of 2.
The greatest problem with Ascot is that alternating wins and losses at the higher
levels of wagers will destroy the profit potential of the series. This can be a serious
flaw in any system calling for a large reduction in the amount wagered following a
loss.
The Fibonacci System
Fibonacci was a mathematician who discovered a series of numbers where the sum
of each two numbers in the series equals the number which follows. A Fibonacci
series with twelve levels of bets would look like: 1 2 3 5 8 13 21 34 55 89 144 233
for a total risked of $608.
This is a very low risk system for use with even-money bets at craps, roulette and
baccarat. To use it, you will increase your bet one level following a loss. After any
win, you drop your next wager one level. If you win two bets in a row, or win two
out of three bets, you drop back to the first bet in the series.
This system was sold many years ago for $100 a copy with instructions to use it
betting don't pass in craps. This is a good system for partners to use betting
opposites. With roulette, for instance, one partner could bet red while the other
wagered black. With craps, one would wager on pass line and the other on don't
pass. With baccarat, one partner would bet banker and the other on player hands.
An adaptation of this system has been used to successfully win at craps The
Silverthorne System, Silverthorne Publications.
54
55
progression for blackjack is to modify the progression so that it allows for splitting
and doubling opportunities.
Oscar's Grind
If you want to use a system with very little risk of loss, here's the one you want.
Oscar has a target of winning one unit at the end of any successful betting series.
That's it. One unit. Here are the rules:
1. Increase your bet by one unit after every win; provided that winning the
wager won't result in a series gain larger then one unit.
2. Never change the size of your bet following a loss.
Assume that your betting unit is $5 and you are betting don't pass. You find yourself
fighting a hot streak and you have lost six bets in a row for a cumulative loss of $30.
You continue to bet $5 since you never change the size of your wager following
losses. You bet $5 again and win. Now, with one win and six losses, you are down
a net $25. Following the win, you raise your bet one unit and wager $10. This
wager also wins. You have reduced your net loss to $15. You raise your next wager
one more unit to $15 and win. You are now even. Your final wager will revert to
$5. Why? Because of the rule limiting the size of a wager to one which will not
result in a gain larger than one unit.
Your last bet of $5 wins. You now have a net win of $5, having lost six bets and
won four.
Even this system can take you to high levels on occasion. If you find yourself in a
situation where you have occasional wins followed by multiple losses, the size of
your wagers will continue to grow. If you run into this situation, you will be forced
to stop the series at some point and accept a loss, rather than risking larger and larger
amounts of money.
56
Patrick's System
John Patrick, a professional gambler turned writer, presented another positive betting
system for blackjack, which can also be used for baccarat. In his John Patrick's
Blackjack (Carol Publishing Group, 1995) he describes his system. He uses a system
with both progressive and regressive attributes. With his system, you will start with
a wager at least twice as large as the table minimum so that you have room to reduce
the size of your bet after wins. After your first win, your next wager will be one-half
the size of the first winning wager. For instance, if your base bet is $10 and you win,
you will wager $5 next. After any net loss you will revert to the original starting bet.
However, if you can manage to win the second bet in a series, you will return to the
two-unit bet and increase the amount wagered after any additional win.
A series of six wins at a $10 minimum table would look like: 20 10 20 30 40 50 for
a total of $170 won.
Patrick suggests a way to limit losses by quitting if you lose the first four hands in a
shoe or deck.
57
58
While none of the games are quite 50-50 propositions like flipping a coin, it is
helpful to think of them as similar to coin flipping.
With Chaos Controlled Betting each wager consists of two decisions:
How much do we bet? And,
Where do we place our bet?
We have a chapter devoted to each aspect how much to bet and where to bet.
59
60
playing roulette and betting on Red (R) and Black (B), if the last three decisions were B
B R, you would bet on b next.
Other systems look for wagers to balance out. If you were looking for decisions to
balance out and you encountered the decisions B B R in roulette, you would bet on r,
expecting that the red decisions (R) will catch up with the black.
Another method of betting is to bet chop. Here you will always bet the opposite of the
last decision. If you were playing craps and the last decision was a Pass Line win, you
would bet Dont Pass next.
There are many variations of these bet selection systems. All of them try to use past
decisions to forecast future trends.
We tested all of these methods plus many more before coming up with the CCPR System.
The CCPR System has a number of advantages. With it we only have to track the last
decision. This makes it very easy to use and it can be used without having to write down
the outcomes of previous decisions.
In developing this system, we determined that bet selection does not improve by using
two, three, four of more previous decisions in determining where to bet. Basing your
next bet on the outcome of the previous wager is all that is needed to have the optimum
betting strategy.
With the CCPR System we will change our pattern of bet selection as often as needed to
set up wins.
With the CCPR System, our goal is to match whatever the table is doing and to quickly
react to changing conditions.
If decisions are repeating, we will bet for a repeat.
If decisions are alternating (chopping), we will bet on a chop.
61
And, if either of these patterns fails three times in a row, we will change to a ReverseRepeat Pattern for the next wager.
This approach is what the professor called a three-outcome, one-bet model of bet
prediction. Only the outcomes of our last three wagers and the betting pattern used on
our last bet are used to determine where to place the next wager.
62
63
Decision
Pattern
Bet
On
$
Bet
1
2
3
4
5
R
R
R
B
R
T
T
T
C
R
R
R
R
5
5
5
5
W
W
L
W
+5
+10
+5
+10
6
7
R
B
C
T
B
R
5
5
L
L
+5
-0-
-5
-10
10
R-T
-5
11
12
13
B
R
B
T
T
C
B
B
B
5
5
5
W
L
L
-0-5
-0-
14
15
16
17
18
R
B
R
R
R
C
C
C
C
T
R
B
R
B
R
5
5
5
5
5
W
W
W
L
W
+5
+10
+15
+10
+15
19
20
B
R
T
C
R
R
5
5
L
W
+10
+15
21
22
23
R
R
R
C
C
T
B
B
R
5
5
5
W
L
W
+20
+15
+20
24
+25
W/L
Cum
Win
Comments
Observe first decision.
T pattern, bet on R to repeat.
With win, continue T pattern.
With win, continue T pattern.
After loss, change to C pattern, bet opposite of
previous decision.
With win, continue C pattern.
After loss, change to T pattern, bet same as
previous decision.
After loss, change to C pattern, bet opposite of
previous decision.
After loss, change to T pattern, bet same as
previous decision.
After three consecutive losses, change to R pattern
and keep previous pattern. Use T pattern again
and bet for B to repeat.
With win, continue T pattern.
With win, continue T pattern.
After loss, change to C pattern, bet opposite of
previous decision.
With win, continue C pattern.
With win, continue C pattern.
With win, continue C pattern.
With win, continue C pattern.
After loss, change to T pattern, bet same as
previous decision.
With win, continue T pattern.
After loss, change to C pattern, bet opposite of
previous decision.
With win, continue C pattern.
With win, continue C pattern.
After loss, change to T pattern, bet same as
previous decision.
With win, continue T pattern.
64
In this game there were 24 roulette spins with wagers made on 23 of them.
We won 13 out of 23 bets for a net win of +25.
We used the T pattern 12 times and the C pattern 11 times so that no one pattern of
decisions dominated this game.
We only made one bet using the R pattern. We lost our bets on spins 7, 8 and 9. On spin
10 we used the Reverse-Repeat pattern and repeated the T pattern used for the previous
losing bet. We won the bet and continued using the T bet selection pattern. If we had
lost this bet we would have changed to the C pattern per our normal bet selection process.
The purpose of this sample game is to illustrate how we use the CCPR System to
determine where to place each bet. The amounts bet in this example are irrelevant for the
Chaos Controlled Betting System as we use a different betting system.
Before reading the next chapter you should understand how to use the CCPR Bet
Placement System.
65
66
Bet
Level
Bets
13
20
35
50
75
Total of
Bets
Game
Bankroll
$206
$200
Here are the betting rules used for this betting series, which is called the Chaos
Controlled Bet Sizing System.
67
68
Ref
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
Dec
R
R
R
B
R
R
B
R
B
B
B
R
B
R
B
R
R
R
B
R
R
R
R
R
CCPR
Pattern
Bet
On
$
Bet
Bet
Level
W/L
Net Per
Round
Cum
Win
T
T
T
C
C
T
C
T
R-T
T
T
C
C
C
C
C
T
T
C
C
C
T
T
R
R
R
R
B
R
B
R
B
B
B
B
R
B
R
B
R
R
R
B
B
R
R
8
5
5
8
5
8
13
20
35
20
2
3
4
3
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
3
4
5
4
8
13
20
13
5
5
8
5
8
5
5
8
5
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
+8
+5
-5
+8
-5
-8
-13
-20
+35
+20
-8
-13
+20
+13
+5
-5
+8
-5
+8
+5
-5
+8
+5
+8
+13
+8
+16
+11
+3
-10
-30
+5
+25
+17
+4
+24
+37
+42
+37
+45
+40
+48
+53
+48
+56
+61
69
It is interesting to see how much our performance was improved using the CCBS System
to determine the size of each bet. The next table compares the amount won when we
made flat bets of $5 as compared to using the CCBS System.
In either case we won 13 out of 23 wagers using the CCPR System to determine where to
place each bet.
With flat bets of $5 per round we won +25 for this series of wagers.
70
When we used the CCBS System to determine the size of each bet, we won +61 for the
same series of plays.
This is a clear illustration of how the CCPR and CCBS Systems work in tandem to
produce wins.
In the next chapter we will discuss adding one more layer of betting to the Chaos
Controlled Bet Sizing System that can improve profits even more.
71
PPB Betting
There is one final betting strategy we want to add to the Chaos Controlled Betting
System. And, that is Profit Participation Betting (PPB System)
The PPB System is a variation of the Chaos Controlled Bet Sizing System that is used to
increase the profits generated by the system whenever we have a streak of consecutive
wins.
It is designed to create additional profits without increasing the risk of losses.
The CCBS System is a conservative system designed to win consistently during periods
of choppy to mildly trending tables It also wins when a table is strongly trending, but it
does not win as much as other systems which increase the size of bets when they are
winning.
With the PPB System we are looking to profit by increasing the size of our bets during a
winning streak without the higher risks normally entailed by systems that increase the
size of bets following wins.
Lets take a look again at the CCBS Betting Series for $5 bets.
CCBS Betting Series for $5 Base Bets
Bet
Level
Bets
13
20
35
50
75
Total of
Bets
Game
Bankroll
$206
$200
72
Sample Game 2
Sample Series of Bets Using Standard CCBS $5 Betting Series
Ref
Dec
CCPR
Pattern
Bet
On
W/L
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
R
R
R
B
R
B
R
R
B
R
B
R
B
T
T
T
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
R
R
R
R
B
R
B
B
R
B
R
B
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
8
5
5
8
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
+8
+5
-5
+8
+5
+5
+5
+5
+5
+5
+5
+5
+8
+13
+8
+16
+21
+26
+31
+36
+41
+46
+47
+52
In the series of bets shown above, we encounter a winning streak from spins 5 to 13.
Using the CCBS System after winning spin 5 we drop to our lowest bet and continue to
make this bet throughout this series of wins.
We end up with a win of +52 after winning nine consecutive wagers.
We had a run of nine consecutive wins yet failed to take advantage of it.
This is an inherent weakness in the CCBS System. It has no provision for participating in
long winning streaks. Thats where the PPB System shines.
To the rules for the CCBS System, we add the following rules which govern PPB Betting
and allow us to participate in long winning streaks, locking up most of our profits as we
go.
73
74
Starting
PPB Bet
8
8
8
8
8
13
NA too
high
Bet Made
After Losing
Any PPB Bet
13
13
13
13
13
20
NA
Lets replay Sample Game 2 using the PPB Betting System. Sample Game 2 replayed
using PPB Betting rules follows:
Sample Game 2
Using PPB Betting Rules
Ref
1
2
3
4
5
Dec
R
R
R
B
R
CCPR
Pattern
Bet
On
W/L
$ Bet
T
T
T
C
R
R
R
R
W
W
L
W
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
B
R
R
B
R
B
R
B
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
B
R
B
B
R
B
R
B
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
Net Per
Round
Cum
Win
8
5
8
13
+8
+5
-8
+13
+8
+13
+5
+18
8
8
5
5
5
5
5
5
+8
+8
+13
+18
+23
+28
+32
+37
+21
+29
+42
+60
+83
+111
+143
+180
Comments
CCBS Betting
CCBS Betting
Start PPB Betting
Stop PPB Betting. Up1 level after
loss
Down 1 level after win
Start PPB Betting
Increase winning PPB Bet by 5
Increase winning PPB Bet by 5
Increase winning PPB Bet by 5
Increase winning PPB Bet by 5
Increase winning PPB Bet by 5
Increase winning PPB Bet by 5
75
We won $180 for these 13 rounds of play using PPB Betting. Playing the same rounds
using CCBS Betting netted us a $52 win. By using PPB Betting we increased our win by
$128.
The next table shows a comparison of bets for CCBS and PPB Betting for Sample Game
2.
76
Sample Game 2
Comparison of CCBS and PPB Betting
Ref
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Dec
R
R
R
B
R
B
R
R
B
R
B
R
B
CCPR
Pattern
T
T
T
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
Bet
On
R
R
R
R
B
R
B
B
R
B
R
B
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
$
Bet
Net Per
Round
Cum
Win
$
Bet
8
5
5
8
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
+8
+5
-5
+8
+5
+5
+5
+5
+5
+5
+5
+5
+8
+13
+8
+16
+21
+26
+31
+36
+41
+46
+47
+52
8
5
8
13
8
8
5
5
5
5
5
5
CCBS With
PPB Betting
Net
Cum
Per
Win
Round
+8
+5
-8
+13
+8
+8
+13
+18
+23
+28
+32
+37
+8
+13
+5
+18
+21
+29
+42
+60
+83
+111
+143
+180
77
Summary:
The Chaos Controlled Betting System is very powerful It generates high profits using a
low bankroll. It achieves a higher win rate, which includes a system that participates in
winning streaks. In the next chapter we take a look at actual games played using this
strategy.
78
Total Bankroll
You will need a Total Bankroll three times the size of the Game Bankroll. As a $5 bettor
you will use a Game Bankroll of $200 and your Total Bankroll will be $600.
Target Win
Extensive testing of the Chaos Controlled Betting System has shown that the system
performs best when a Target Win is set for each game. The object of any game becomes
to reach or exceed the Target Profit for that level of play. Once the Target Win is
reached, you will call a game completed. If you wish to keep playing, you will set your
winnings aside and start the betting series over as if it were a new game. This technique
is especially useful when playing online as many times you will reach your Target Win in
five minutes or less.
79
Using a Target Win is primarily useful for games where the bets stay in CCBS System
mode. If you are in a winning streak, betting in PPB System mode, I dont stop the game
until you lose a PPB bet. If you want to pull some profits off the table as you play, you
can pull back the size of the next bet in the PPB System. Lets assume you have won
these bets in PPB Mode: $8 $13 $18 $23. Increasing the bets by increments of 5, your
next bet would normally be $28. However, you can reduce the size of the next bet as a
conservative move. For example, you might decide to pull back the next bet to $13 and if
you win, continue increasing the size of your bets from there.
Game
Bankroll
48
83
200
400
1000
2000
4000
20000
Bets
1 2 3 5 8 10 15
2 3 5 9 14 20 30
5 8 13 20 35 50 75
10 16 26 40 70 100 150
25 40 65 100 175 250 375
50 80 130 200 350 500 750
100 160 260 400 700 1000 1500
500 800 1300 2000 3500 5000 7500
Total
Bankroll
144
250
600
1200
3000
6000
12000
60000
Target
Win
9
18
40
80
200
400
800
4000
80
Sample Games
Before you risk any money on this strategy, make sure that you completely understand it.
We present three Sample Games in this chapter with detailed explanations of each round
of play.
You should review each game to make sure you understand why we placed each bet on a
certain spot and how we determined the amount bet.
All games were played using the Betting Series for $5 Base Bets.
Sample Game 3
Explanation of Table Columns:
Ref - The round of play. In this example, where the game was roulette, it can be thought
of as the spin number. In other games, such as baccarat or craps, think of it as the round
of play.
Dec The decision outcome. Playing roulette we are wagering on Red (R) or Black (B)
and the outcome of each spin in shown in this column.
CCPR Pattern The betting pattern used is shown. T = Trend Betting, C = Countertrend
Betting and R = Reverse Repeat.
Bet On Where each wager is placed, where R = red and B = black.
$ Bet The amount bet.
W/L The outcome of each bet, where W = win and L = loss.
Net Per Round The amount won or lost on each play.
81
Cum Win The cumulative win. This is a running total of our winnings.
Sample Game 3
Game Played: Roulette
Decisions: R = Red, B = Black, 0 = Zero
Game Bankroll: $200
Target Win: $40
Bet Level: Number indicates level in betting Series. A c indicates using the Controlled
Betting System
Ref
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Dec
R
R
B
B
B
R
B
R
R
R
B
B
B
B
CCPR
Pattern
T
T
T
C
T
T
C
C
C
T
T
C
T
T
Bet On
R
R
R
R
B
B
B
R
B
R
R
R
B
B
$ Bet
8
5
8
13
20
13
20
8
8
13
8
13
20
13
Bet
Level
2
1
2c
3
4
3
4
2
2c
3
2
3
4
3
W/L
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
Net Per
Round
+8
+5
-8
-13
+20
-13
+20
+8
-8
+13
-8
-13
+20
+13
Cum Win
+8
+13
+5
-8
+12
-1
+19
+27
+19
+32
+24
+11
+31
+44
82
3. Two consecutive wins signal us to try PPB betting. Continuing the T bet selection
pattern we bet on R again. We make an $8 bet as our first Controlled-Profit-Bet.
This bet is designated 2c, indicating a Level 2 bet played according to PPB rules.
The bet loses.
4. With a loss we change our CCPR pattern to C and wager on R. With the loss of the
PPB bet we revert to the CCBS Betting series and raise our bet one level. We make a
$13 wager and lose.
5. With a loss we change our bet selection pattern back to T and bet on B. We increase
our bet one level and bet $20. We win the bet.
6. With a win we continue using the same bet selection pattern of T and bet on B. We
drop our bet one level and bet $13. The bet loses.
7. With a loss comes a change in bet pattern selection from T back to C. We bet on B,
the opposite of the last decision. We raise our bet one level to $20 and win
8. We keep the same bet selection pattern of C and bet on R. Following a sequence
showing two out of three wins, we drop our bet two levels and wager $8. Our bet
wins.
9. With a win we keep the same bet selection pattern of C and bet on B. After two
consecutive wins we start PPB betting, wagering $8. We lose the bet.
10. The loss triggers a change in bet selection back to T and we bet on R. We
discontinue PPB betting and increase our bet one level to $13. We win the bet.
11. With a win we stick with the T bet selection pattern and wager on R. We drop our bet
one level to $8 and lose.
12. Changing bet selection patterns from T to C we bet on B. We raise our bet to $13 and
lose.
83
13. We change our bet selection pattern from C to T and bet on B. We increase our bet
to $20 and win.
14. We stick with the T bet selection pattern and bet on B. We drop our bet one level to
$13. Our bet wins. Our winnings are now +44 greater than our Target Win of 40.
We quit with a $44 win.
The longest win streak in Game 3 was only two wins. We were unable to get a winning
streak which is so profitable for PPB Betting.
Sample Game 4
Sample Game 4 uses the same format at Sample Game 3. However, this game was
played against baccarat instead of roulette.
Game Played: Baccarat
Decisions: P = Player, B = Banker, Ti = Tie
Game Bankroll: $200
Target Win: $40
Bet Level: Number indicates level in betting Series. A c indicates using Controlled
Betting System
84
Sample Game 4
Ref
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Dec
Ti
B
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
P
P
CCPR
Pattern
C
C
T
T
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
Bet
On
P
P
B
B
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
$ Bet
8
13
20
13
20
8
8
13
18
23
28
35
45
55
65
Bet
Level
2
3
4
3
4
2
2c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
W/L
T
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
Net Per
Round
-0-13
+20
-13
+20
+8
+8
+13
+18
+23
+28
+35
+45
+55
-65
Cum Win
-0-13
+7
-6
+14
+22
+30
+43
+61
+84
+112
+147
+192
+247
+182
This game shows how rapidly our winnings can grow when we hit a winning streak and
PPB Betting shows its stuff.
1. We start this game without any previous observed decisions. We wager $8 on P using
the C pattern. The decision is a Tie.
2. We repeat the first bet. This time we lose the wager.
3. After a losing bet, we change our bet selection from C to T and bet on B. We raise our
bet to $20 and our wager wins.
4. With a win we stick with the T bet selection pattern and bet on B. We drop our bet to
$13 and lose the bet.
5. Following a loss we change back to the C bet selection pattern wagering on B. We
raise our bet to $20 and win the wager.
85
6. We stick with the C bet selection pattern. Since we won two out of the last three bets
we drop our bet to $8 and win the wager.
7. We continue with the C bet selection pattern and bet on B. With two back-to-back
wins, we start PPB betting and bet $8 which wins.
8. We continue with the C bet selection pattern and bet on P. We are now in the PPB
Betting mode. We raise our wager $5 and bet $13. Our bet wins.
9. We continue with the C bet selection pattern and bet on B. We increase our PPB bet
by $5 and wager $18. We win!
10. We continue with the C bet selection pattern and bet on P. We increase our PPB bet
by $5, wager $23 and win.
11. We continue with the C bet selection pattern and bet on B. We increase our PPB bet
by $5, wager $28 and win. We are now up $112, well above our Target Win of $40.
Since we are in a winning streak using PPB betting, we continue the game.
12. We continue with the C bet selection pattern and bet on P. We decide to increase our
PPB bet by $7 and raise it to $35. We win again!
13. The streak continues. We stick with the C bet selection pattern and bet on B. We
increase our bet by $10 to $45 and win.
14. We stick with the C bet selection pattern and bet on P. We increase our bet by $10
and bet $55. Our bet wins. We are now up $247. At this point I will usually drop the
next bet back and lock up some profits. For example, I might drop our bet back to $35
and then ratchet up again from there. However, in this case I increase the next bet by $10
and wager $65. We lose the bet and this streak comes to an end.
After the streak ends in Round 15, we revert to normal game rules. With a win of $182,
which is much larger than the Target Win of $40, we stop the game.
This game is a good example of how effective the PPB Betting System can be played in a
86
winning streak. Keep in mind this is a real game, so that what you are seeing is
representative of what you can expect every so often when you hit a long winning streak.
Sample Game 5
Sample Game 5 uses the same format at Sample Game 4. This game was played at minibaccarat.
Game Played: Mini-baccarat
Decisions: P = Player, B = Banker, Ti = Tie
Game Bankroll: $200
Target Win: $40
Bet Level: Number indicates level in betting Series. A c indicates using the Controlled
Betting System
Sample Game 5
Ref
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Dec
P
Ti
B
Ti
P
B
P
B
B
B
B
B
B
B
CCPR
Pattern
T
T
T
C
C
C
C
C
C
T
T
T
T
T
Bet
On
P
P
P
P
P
B
P
B
P
B
B
B
B
B
$ Bet
8
5
5
8
8
5
8
13
18
20
13
13
18
23
Bet
Level
2
1
1
2
2
1
2c
c
c
4
3
2c
c
c
W/L
W
Ti
L
Ti
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
Net Per
Round
+8
-5
+8
+5
+8
+13
-18
+20
+13
+13
+18
-23
Cum Win
+8
+8
+3
+3
+11
+16
+24
+37
+19
+39
+52
+65
+83
+60
87
In Game 5 we got a small boost from using PPB Betting even without a long winning
streak.
Here is a detailed review of this game by round of play.
1. We start the game with no previous decisions available. We place an $8 bet on P
using the T pattern selection method and win the bet.
2. After winning this bet we keep the same bet selection pattern of T and bet on P. We
reduce our bet to $5. The decision is a Tie.
3. We repeat the same wager following a Tie. We lose the bet.
4. Following a loss we change to the C bet selection pattern, betting on P. We increase
our bet to $8 and get a Tie decision.
5. We repeat the same wager following a Tie. We win the bet.
6. With a win we keep the same pattern selection method of C. We bet on B. We drop
our bet to $5 and win.
7. We stick with the C bet selection pattern, betting on P. Following two wins we move
into PPB Betting mode. We wager $8 on P and win.
8. Keeping the C bet selection pattern, we bet on B. We bet $13 and win.
9. Sticking with the C bet selection pattern we bet on P. We increase our PPB bet to $18
and lose the bet.
10. Following the loss we change to the T bet selection pattern and wager on B. We
increase our bet to $20 in the CCBS Betting Series (the original betting series). We win
the bet.
11. With a win we stick with the T pattern and wager on B. We bet $13 and win.
88
12. Keeping the T bet selection pattern we bet on B. With two consecutive winning bets
we make a PPB bet of $13 and win.
13. With a win, we keep the same patter of T and wager on B. We increase our PPB bet
by $5, wager $18 and win.
14. We continue using the T bet selection pattern and bet on B. We increase our PPB bet
to $23 and lose the wager. We see that our net win is now +60, above our Target Win of
$40, so we call the game completed.
89
Blackjack
Game
Bankroll
60
100
240
480
1200
2400
4800
24000
1 2 3 5 8 10 15
2 3 5 9 14 20 30
5 8 13 20 35 50 75
10 16 26 40 70 100 150
25 40 65 100 175 250 375
50 80 130 200 350 500 750
100 160 260 400 700 1000 1500
500 800 1300 2000 3500 5000 7500
Blackjack
Total
Bankroll
180
300
720
1440
3600
7200
14400
72000
Target
Win
9
18
40
80
200
400
800
4000
You will use a different Basic Strategy than standard basic strategy. You will use the
Modified Playing Strategy shown on the next page.
90
91
92
93
Bet
Level
Bets
13
20
35
50
75
Total of
Bets
Game
Bankroll
$206
$200
Players adjusted equivalent bankroll levels were $200 Game Bankrolls, and $600 Total
Bankrolls.
No player lost his total bankroll. The largest drawdown after a losing game was 8% of
the Total Bankroll at the time of the loss.
The following table summarizes the results of playing 5,104 games.
Our testers recorded the results of each game, including the highest bet, the number of
rounds of play, and the net win or loss for each game.
We had several players who kept detailed statistics of every round of play. The Sample
Games shown in this book come from these records of actual games played.
94
5,104
4872
232
95.45%
88,856
$221,560
$2.493 per round
$43.41 per game
$269,352
5,104
$55.29
$206
17.41 rounds per game
We believe that this test reliably reflects what you can expect in long-tern play using the
Chaos Controlled Betting System.
If you had to pick a single best game to play, you should choose mini-baccarat. The
game has low house odds and is fast.
Our second choice is to play craps. The odds are not quite as favorable to the players as
baccarat and the game is slower. Online craps is recommended as this game can be
played at a reasonable speed and offers excellent results.
Our third choice is playing roulette. Its biggest disadvantage is that when a zero shows
all bets are lost. There is no equivalent event in baccarat or craps and that is the main
reason we rate these games higher than roulette.
95
Even though we didnt test it, Sic Bo is rated last because it has the highest odds in favor
of the house.
We mixed the results in our summary because there is not significance difference in
results of play in baccarat, craps and roulette to warrant breaking them out separately.
Our testers documented 5,102 games. They won 4,872 of these games, for a documented
win rate of 95.45%.
The net amount won (after deducting losses) was $221,560, which works out to average
winnings of $43.41 per game.
If we exclude losing games and just take a look at winning games, we find that the
average amount won per winning game was $55.29.
Keep in mind that a Target Win amount of $40 was used by our players. The higher
average amount won of $55.29 per game reflects the influence of using Controlled-ProfitBetting.
The average loss per losing game was $206. However, the win to loss ratio was 21
winning games for every losing one so that losing games did not overwhelm the winning
games.
The average game lasted just 17.41 rounds of play. If we assume a play rate of 60 rounds
per hour for land-based games, then a $5 bettor would net about $149.40 an hour using
the Chaos Controlled Betting System.
Online games are much faster than land-based games. At a rate of 300 rounds of play per
hour, a player would net $747.00 an hour using this system.
Lets take a look at our bang for the buck measurement.
The bang for the buck measurement computes the rate of return for each hour of play
compared to the size of the Game Bankroll used.
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Where Played
Winnings
per Hour
Game Bankroll
Percentage
Return on Bankroll
per Hour Played
Land-based game
Online game
$149.40
$747.00
$200
$200
74.7%
373.5%
A return of 74.7% per hour for land-based play is very impressive. Four hours of play
using a $200 bankroll will net you $597.60, a return of 298.80% on your investment.
Online returns are extraordinary. With a return of 373.5% per hour, you can play four
hours using a $200 bankroll and win $2,988, which is a return of 1494% on your
investment.
The following table shows the Base Bets, Bets, Total of Bets, Game Bankroll, Total
Bankroll, Net Winning per Play, and Hourly Winnings in both Land-based and Online
Games.
Summary of Betting Levels, Bankrolls and Hourly Winnings
Base
Bet
Bets
Total
of
Bets
Game
Bankroll
Total
Bankroll
Amount
Won
per Play
Hrly Win
at 60 Plays
per Hour
$1
$2
$5
$10
$25
1 2 3 5 8 10 15
2 3 5 9 14 20 30
5 8 13 20 35 50 75
10 16 26 40 70 100 150
25 40 65 100 175 250
375
50 80 130 200 350 500
750
100 160 260 400 700
1000 1500
500 800 1300 2000 3500
5000 7500
44
83
206
412
1030
44
83
200
400
1000
132
250
600
1200
3000
$0.50
$1.00
$2.49
$4.98
$12.45
$30
$60
$149.40
$298.80
$747.00
Hrly Win
at 300
Plays per
Hr
$150
$300
$747.00
$1494.00
$3735.00
2060
2000
6000
$24.90
$1494.00
$7470.00
4080
4000
12000
$49.80
$2988.00
NA
20400
20000
60000
$249.00
$14940.00
NA
$50
$100
$500
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You can estimate your hourly win rate very quickly using this table. For instance, if you
make $10 Base Bets and play online you will average winning about $1494 an hour.
If you are a $100 bettor, playing in a land-based game, such as mini-baccarat, you can
expect to win close to $3,000 an hour.
These win rates are very impressive.
Please remember these are net win rates after deducting for losses. Based on our longterm testing we believe that you should average close to these amounts using the Chaos
Controlled Betting System over the long-term.
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Skilful Play
There are a number of decisions you need to make to become a successful Chaos
Controlled Betting System player. For example, you must decide where to play and
whether you will tip or not.
You will also need to make decisions on setting up and using a casino credit line as
well as having your play rated. How you handle these situations can have a great
bearing on your long-term success as a winning gambler.
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Besides table limits, I also consider the atmosphere of a casino. I absolutely refuse
to play in casinos with rude dealers. I can tolerate slow dealers, dealers still in
training and dealers who don't talk much. But I refuse to put up with dealers who
make sarcastic remarks to other players or criticize my play. Life is too short.
Change tables or, if necessary, change casinos.
Fortunately, casino employees are reasonable people and problematic dealers are
not seen too often.
Some casinos have other annoying quirks. Can you tolerate a lot of smoke? Some
casinos have poor ventilation systems so that a dull cloud of smoke seems to
permeate the casino area. If this bothers you, don't play there.
Other casinos are dirty or have crowded, uncomfortable playing conditions. For
several years there was a casino less than ten minutes from my house where I
absolutely refused to play because the place resembled a dump (it has been updated
and is now acceptable).
These are choices you must make. If you play in Las Vegas, you have just about
every choice you can imagine available. If you want to play in a real players' joint,
try Binion's Horseshoe downtown. Would you like some real elegance? You'll like
the Venetian or Bellagio's.
One thing I don't do is discuss my system while I play. Some dealers will comment
on it; most don't. You may get questions from other players. If you decide to
discuss your system, keep it simple. You might state that you like to raise bets when
you are winning, but sometimes you raise them after a loss as well.
If you start talking about the system, you will undoubtedly lose your concentration.
In addition, it is almost a given that if you are trying to demonstrate the system to
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someone, you are going to have a loss. Call it bad luck or bad karma, but you can
believe that discussing the system while you are playing is not a good idea.
Tipping
If you don't like to tip, most international play will suit you fine. Most casinos in
Asia, Europe and Commonwealth countries like England, Australia and New
Zealand forbid tipping the dealers.
In the U.S., you really have no choice but to tip. Many players refuse to tip, arguing
that tips come right off their bottom line. I can't argue with the logic, but I will
question the results of a no-tipping policy.
I personally have a great deal of respect for most casino personnel and especially
dealers. I enjoy tipping them in exchange for good service, and once it is
established that I am a "George" (slang for a good tipper), the level of service
increases appreciably.
When I tip, I never just give the dealer the tip. I only tip by making bets for the
dealer.
I tip by making a bet for the dealers if I have been winning. If I continue to win I
will make another bet for the dealer about every twenty to thirty hands of play.
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If you have a nice win and a floor person comments on it, you can casually mention
that you dropped a bundle at craps last night and you are still not close to even. But
don't do this if you never play craps. Make your story plausible.
Hide Chips
As a winning player, you will want to look for ways to disguise the amount you are
winning. The easiest way to do this is to pocket chips.
This is harder to accomplish if you are playing alone, and is easiest to accomplish if
you have a playing partner.
How to Survive and Prosper as a Professional Gambler, published by Silverthorne
Publications, has some excellent suggestions on chip hiding routines. With a female
accomplice, it is easy to slip chips to her and let her hide them in her purse.
Sometimes my wife carries a shopping bag with her which is a great place to stash
chips and offers additional cover to help us look like a pair of happy, typical
tourists.
If you are a black chip player, you are better off hiding green chips, as the bosses are
more concerned with watching your stack of black chips. If you commonly wager
$500 or more, then you can get away with hiding $100 chips, but don't try to stash
the $500 chips as the bosses may catch on.
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verified. If you show up on a Saturday hoping to cash a cashier's check, you will be
out of luck until your bank reopens on Monday and can verify the check.
Another advantage to establishing credit is that when you use casino credit, you get
to sign markers at the table. You will look like a gambler, since most gamblers who
play with black chips have casino credit lines.
I'll let you in on a dirty secret. Casinos are not in the business of loaning money to
gamblers, at least not now. If you have a bad gambling habit and a weak bank
account, your local friendly loan shark is more likely to accommodate you than your
not-so-friendly casino.
When you establish a credit line, the casino is agreeing to advance you no more than
the average balance in your checking account for the last six months.
Your creditworthiness has nothing to do with getting casino credit. These guys
don't care whether you are employed, just filed for bankruptcy or are dodging your
other creditors. Casino credit is based on how much bread you keep in your
checking account.
Do you feel a little better about the high rollers signing the markers? They are
signing magnetically coded checks which can be run through their checking
accounts. Normally markers are not handled this way as the casino prefers to be
paid by check, but if necessary, the casino markers can and will be deposited by the
casino and will be presented for payment at your bank just like any other check you
have written.
If you are a black chip player, casino credit is almost mandatory unless you want to
carry a large amount of cash with you, which I don't recommend. If you know
where you will be playing, you can arrange to have cash deposited with the casino
cashier and sign markers against your own front money on deposit with the casino.
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Rated Players
Once you start playing with green or black chips, you are going to be asked by a
floor person if you want to be rated. Many novice gamblers resent the intrusion of a
floor person and answer evasively or even negatively. This is a big mistake. By
rating your play, the casino is evaluating your ability to receive comps or freebies
from the casino. Comps can really add to your bottom line and can be very
profitable once you learn to play the comp game. Another reason to become rated is
that being rated and receiving comps from the casino is what gamblers normally do.
And you want to look like just another gambler.
Even if you are a low to mid-range player and want to get full RFB, which stands
for Room, Food and Beverages comped, there are many casinos which will
accommodate you.
Using casino comps, you can travel just about anywhere and get full VIP treatment.
Many casinos will even pay your airfare. But you have to know how to work the
system to maximize these benefits. I suggest that you learn how to get the
maximum amount of comps and let a casino pay for all of your gambling
excursions.
As a Chaos Controlled Betting System player, you are in the perfect position to get
and benefit from comps. No matter what your level of play, you can increase your
enjoyment and profits by availing yourself of casino comps.
Learn to play another casino game
I highly recommend that you learn to play at least one other table game besides
roulette. My number one choice of the game to learn is craps.
Craps is still a favorite game of many high rollers. Just by making pass line bets
with double odds you can play almost even with the house. If you add a winning
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strategy on top of learning craps, such as the unique betting system revealed in the
Power Craps Strategy, then you are on the way to having a second casino game you
can beat.
Craps, using the Power Craps Strategy, is an excellent game for using hit and run
tactics. If you have been playing roulette and are tired of concentrating on your
wagers, craps may give you just the break you need. This can't hurt your reputation
with the casino. Because many high rollers now favor craps, you will enhance your
appearance as a high roller when you add this game to your repertoire. By mixing a
little craps play in with your roulette play, you will look more and more like another
gambler to the casino bosses.
You may be surprised how well you do at craps. On a typical casino visit, I usually
make almost as much money playing craps as I do playing roulette. Silverthorne
Publications is the premier publisher for winning craps systems. You can check out
the Power Craps Strategy at www.silverthornepublications.com/PowerCraps
And so, you are almost ready to start beating the casinos, but . . .
You are almost ready to take on the casinos. I have presented a complete strategy
which has been proven to win against casino roulette. Perhaps you have been
practicing the Optimzer. You have figured out how to put together your bankroll.
However, the greatest battle still awaits you. The casinos have even more powerful
weapons at their disposal than the house edge. They are masters at a whole number
of psychological traps set to ensnare you, with the end goal of relieving you of as
much of your money as they can in the shortest and most pleasant way possible.
Let's take at look at the casino's battery of weapons and see what you can do about
them.
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much to wager, and when to quit. You know about how your bankroll determines
the size of your wagers and about using Game Bankrolls. You should have some
definite ideas about how you want to interact with casino personnel. You have
learned some ways to improve playing conditions by interacting with and tipping
the dealer. You also have been introduced to the idea of playing on casino credit and
playing for comps.
Now you have to deal with the largest obstacle to your success. The greatest single
threat to your success is not the casino personnel. It is not a bad run at the tables. It
is not the risk of consecutive losses eating up your bankroll. It is not the wine, the
women, and the atmosphere. The greatest single threat to your playing career will be
you. Surprised? Read on.
Self Control
Ultimately, success at casino gambling, business, romance or life, for that matter,
largely depends on self-control. Winning at gambling is all about self-control. It is
about controlling the amount of money used for gambling. It's about reducing
losses. It's about limiting the amount of money used for any session of play. And
ultimately, it's about walking out the door a winner.
Gamblers are a lot like fishermen. They like to talk about the one that got away.
How many times have you been in a casino winning and ended up leaving a net
loser? In the real world, the only wins that count are the ones you go home with.
Actually, it is no great feat to get ahead playing roulette. Probably over 75% of all
roulette players are ahead sometime in their play. But do they walk out the door
winners? No. Probably close to 95% of all roulette players end up losing money.
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The typical casino hold is about 25% for a roulette table. Hold is a term referring to
the amount the casino keeps as its win out of the money dropped at the table e.g.
the drop. If you buy in for a hundred dollars, and play for thirty minutes and leave
with $85, you have lost $15 out of $100. Your contribution to the drop was $100
and your loss gave the casino a hold rate of 15%.
Winning at gambling is first about controlling yourself. It is about accepting
responsibilities for your own actions. In the long run, you don't win because you
were lucky, and you don't lose because you had a string of bad luck. Using the
Chaos Controlled Betting System will help you create your own luck. Used properly,
you will be able to play at an advantage over the casino and be a net winner.
If you think about the times you were ahead in a casino and ended up giving it all
back plus whatever additional cash you scrounged, who is to blame? The casino?
The game? The house edge?
Don't get angry with me for pointing this out. What is wrong with setting aside your
winnings when you are ahead? And what is wrong with limiting your losses when
you hit a losing streak? And what is wrong with leaving a losing table?
I hope you answered "nothing." Doing these things requires self-control. They are
easy to think about doing but may be much harder to actually accomplish. I am a
former smoker. I always thought I could quit smoking when I wanted to. But I
failed to quit a number of times. When I finally quit, I realized how difficult the
process really was. It was easy to think about quitting smoking but doing it was
quite challenging. Now that I have quit, I am out of the woods, right? Well, not
quite. I believe that smoking is much like a drug addiction, and as a former addict, I
am never cured. I am only one cigarette away from becoming a smoker again.
Control in a casino may require much the same discipline as that of a reformed
smoker. Having a large monetary loss only requires a temporary loss of control.
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Trust me, winning is habit forming. Losing, especially at a game like roulette
when you know you are using a winning strategy, is tough. Some professional
gamblers, especially traditional blackjack card counters, will lose for months at a
time. I am not sure that I could continue to play blackjack under those
circumstances. The documented losing streaks for the Chaos Controlled Betting
System tend to be fairly short. If you play roulette regularly using this strategy, it is
highly unlikely that you will ever encounter two back-to-back losing casino visits.
But it can happen.
Once you are in a losing streak, you will be hard pressed to continue with your set
game plan. You will begin to question everything about the strategy. You may feel
like the dealer has it in for you. You will start to think that no matter how you
wager, your bets will lose. When your larger bets lose, you will begin to question
the betting strategy.
Trends are a dominant factor in gambling. Every roulette or baccarat table has
streaks. If you are in a winning streak, you may begin to feel omnipotent.
However, when a losing streak hits, you may start to question every aspect of your
playing strategy.
Perhaps the best thing you can do whenever you encounter losing tables is to first
change tables. Your next option is to quit playing roulette for a time. Depending
on your feelings, you should either quit gambling altogether during your break, or if
you are still in the mood to play, switch casino games. I have found on many
occasions that a switch of games was exactly what I needed to improve my mood.
Many players seem to become chained to a particular table at some point in their
play. This may be fine when the table is winning, but could spell disaster during a
prolonged losing spell.
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While losing is tough, winning may be even tougher for some people. Many
players subconsciously feel that gambling winnings are "ill begotten gains." Many
times people raised with a strong work ethic cannot adjust to the reality that winning
at gambling requires a great deal of effort too. Gambling winnings may not seem
real or may even seem shameful. Many people feel guilty when they win. For these
people, walking out with some of the casino's money doesn't feel right.
Gamblers never cease to amaze me. Gambling falls into some special category of
human behavior that escapes the normal rules we usually live by. People change
their behavior dramatically in casinos. Consummate misers can't wait to throw their
money away in casinos. People who clip coupons every week to save ten bucks on
groceries think nothing of dropping a hundred, five hundred or even a thousand in a
casino.
Discipline is all about the ability to develop a winning plan. Control is about being
able to follow it.
Ego Needs
We all share a need for recognition. We like to talk about our triumphs. Once you
become a successful, consistent winner at roulette, you are going to feel the need to
talk about it occasionally.
You need to curb the urge to discuss the fact that you are a winner, especially while
you are in a casino. If you have a big win at the craps table, feel free to comment on
your success. The casino is not concerned with craps winners, because they do not
believe that anyone can gain an advantage over them in this game, at least not
without cheating.
Obviously, you should never discuss your roulette winnings with any casino
employees. Your goal is to look as much like another losing gambler as possible.
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Casinos don't like winners, and you are much more likely to get the royal treatment
if you look like another losing gambler.
Occasionally, outside of the casino, I have been asked about how my strategies
work. When I first learned to beat the casinos, I was quite enthusiastic and wanted
to share my enthusiasm with other people. The typical reaction when I have
revealed that I have a winning roulette system is total disbelief. I am simply not
believed. My best advice is to act like the vast majority of casino patrons who don't
have a clue as to how to win.
Play the Part
I have given a number of suggestions about looking like a gambler. Everyone has
his (or her) own style, and I am not suggesting that you disguise yourself physically
or change your identity. However, individuals who look serious, never drink, never
tip, or don't talk to dealers or floor personnel do not look like gamblers and will not
get the full benefit of casino generosity, including comps.
I have tried to give you as much ammunition as I can, but you can add your own
finishing touches. Using casino credit is a must if you are a black chip player. You
simply don't want to walk around with ten thousand dollars or more on your person.
Not only are you literally risking your life should a mugger decide to target you, but
you could run afoul of U.S. laws if you leave the country with more than $10,000 in
cash on you and don't declare it. Using the casino's credit and signing markers will
make you look much more like a gambler, and it actually is a very convenient way
to play.
You should also play for comps. Once you are playing with black chips, you will
have comps offered to you and you might as well enjoy them. Even mid-range
gamblers and low rollers can avail themselves of substantial comps.
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You don't need this kind of aggravation. If you have a bad feeling about the table,
trust your instincts and leave.
I also refuse to play with rude players.
Drinking
You've been waiting for this part, haven't you? I have yet to read a book on
gambling where the author does not admonish the reader not to drink. Professional
roulette players, I guess, are too engrossed in observing the game to even lift a glass
to their beleaguered lips. If they do manage a drink, it has to be Evian water. For the
bosses and for most players, having a drink while you play is part of the fun.
Gamblers do it for sure. And you want to look like a gambler, right?
I generally have a few drinks while I gamble. I also drink straight orange juice,
coffee, iced tea and even ice water at the tables.
Drinking something alcoholic at the roulette table is one more signal to the pit that
you are not a threat. I generally go slow on the alcoholic drinks and time my
drinks. In general, the fact that you are a roulette player will go a long way
towards enhancing your reputation as a gambler.
Superstitions
Superstitions really have no effect on the outcome of cards or dice or little balls
spinning around inside of larger wheels or do they? Most gamblers and many pit
personnel are superstitious. Gambling itself seems to breed superstitions.
What happens is that we remember certain events that occurred prior to, or in
connection with other events, and we assume that there is a causal relationship
between two seemingly unrelated occurrences.
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The dice game is rift with superstitions. Lady shooters are lucky, as are virgin
shooters, who have never rolled the dice before. If a die or the dice fly off the table,
many old pros call their odds, place and buy bets off on the next roll, as everyone
knows that sevens come after the dice fall on the floor..
Poker players may wear their lucky hats, and where would a slots player be
without her lucky charm bracelet?
Many casino bosses have lucky and unlucky dealers. A craps crew which loses too
much money may find itself fired, or at least broken up and the members rotated
into different crews. If a roulette player is winning too much money, a boss may
bring in a lucky dealer. In the good old days when Vegas was mobbed up, the lucky
dealer may well have been dealing seconds, with a real reason behind the luck. In
this day of corporation controlled casinos, a cheating dealer is unlikely, as a casino
is not willing to risk its license over one winning player. However, many bosses
believe certain dealers are lucky for the house, just as other dealers are unlucky. If a
boss decides a dealer is unlucky, the hapless dealer is not likely to have a fruitful
career with that casino.
Because gamblers and bosses are superstitious, it makes sense for you to at least
appear to be superstitious too. If you lose, it is because the table is too cold, or in
the alternative, if you win, you are on a hot streak. Hot and cold streaks do occur,
and it doesn't hurt to play them up.
In addition to enhancing your conversation with bosses, you can use your
superstitions to influence dealers as well. More than once I have told a dealer that I
feel that the next wheel spin will be lucky and placed a larger bet when the floor
person was watching.
Use superstitions to justify certain plays when you are talking to the bosses. Just
don't get caught up in believing too many casino superstitions yourself. Your lucky
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hat is not likely to have been responsible for your last win, nor is a particular casino
necessarily unlucky.
I will admit that I partially subscribe to the "unlucky casino syndrome." There are
some casinos where I never seem to do well. I have no rational explanation for
this. However, since I tend to play in Las Vegas where dozens of casinos vie for my
attention, I can easily avoid the casinos that are unlucky for me.
Moving Up Your Betting Levels
If you devote much time to roulette using the Optimzer, at some point you will want
to increase the size of Base Bets jumping from a betting series with a $5 Base
Bet to a higher level, for example. Many players find that an emotional adjustment
is required to make these moves.
Of course, you must adhere to all of the requirements I have described before you
decide to increase the size of your base wagers. You never want to over-bet your
bankroll, and you should only increase the size of your wagers when your bankroll
is large enough to justify it. If you are undercapitalized, then you clearly are out of
your league to jump from green chip to black chip play.
However, once you have built the prerequisite bankroll, you should be able to
increase the size of your wagers. To acclimate yourself to making larger wagers, try
moving in steps. You might increase from being a $5 Base Bet bettor to using $10
wagers as your starting point.
Probably your biggest hurdle will be moving up to black $100 chip play. You will
receive a great deal more attention from the casino than when you were a red chip or
green chip player. Most of the attention will be positive. When you play with black
chips, you automatically join an exclusive club with significant casino comps to be
made available. However, your play will also be under greater scrutiny, and this
bothers many players.
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In addition to being showered with comps, you will also find that black chip play
has other privileges. It is usually much easier to find uncrowded tables as a black
chip player.
I suggest that you start wagering at a comfortable level for you. Your comfort level
may be as a $3, $5 or a $10 player. Stay at this level until you have thoroughly
mastered, not only the technical side of playing correctly, but the emotional side of
dealing with players, bosses and dealers. When you are ready, both psychologically
and with adequate bankroll, try moving up just one step and then playing at this
level for awhile. Continue to hone your casino people skills at each new level and
don't forget to look and act the part. Black chip players do act differently than
nickel chip players.
The Casino As Your New Office
Walking up to a roulette tables the first time can be an intimidating experience. If
you have not played much, you will not fully understand the roles of the dealer, the
floor person, the pit boss, the other casino personnel, and the eye-in-the-sky cameras
following your every move.
If you are unfamiliar with casino surroundings, you may want to progress into your
new role as a winning roulette player on a step-by-step basis.
You can first play using a lower level of play. This is an excellent approach, and
you will win plenty of money using this approach.
Once you feel very comfortable playing roulette, you can gradually increase your
betting level, using casino profits to build your bankroll. It may take a number of
trips before you feel confident enough to move up to higher-level play.
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Only after you have completely mastered the Chaos Controlled Betting System
should you consider moving up to black chip status. At this point, you should feel
that the casino is your new office, and the casino personnel are your fellow workers.
Remember that the casino is not your enemy. The primary functions of modern
casino personal, including bosses, are to make sure the casino patrons have a good
enough experience that they will become repeat customers.
Once you become known in a casino, you will find yourself interacting with the
casino personnel even more. Dealers will welcome you by name. Cocktail
waitresses will remember your favorite drink. Bosses will invite you to coffee. A
casino host will work with you to make sure that you get all of the comps to which
you are entitled.
Once you sense that everyone in the casino is genuinely rooting for you to win, you
will know that you have done your job well.
In order to reach this level, there is no substitute for putting in your hours. You will
need to demonstrate that you are not only friendly, but reliable, honest and
consistent in your fair treatment of all you encounter.
Too many players complain to bosses, dealers and anyone else who works in the
casino. Grumpy players are all too common, and you want to make sure that you
don't present this face to your "fellow workers." If you are tired or grumpy, don't
play. It is important to take breaks frequently and use the time to relax. You should
be at your peak emotionally when you play, and this includes having a positive
mental attitude and interacting with players and casino personnel on a friendly and
helpful basis.
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Eventually the casino will recognize you as congenial, reliable and dependable.
And, if you decide to make playing roulette your new profession, your relationship
with your new associates will serve as the foundation for your new business.
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won't comment on his approach to gambling. Quite frankly, it stinks. Anyway, the
subject is comps.
Believe it or not, he doesn't get any. He stays at a different casino every trip. I
think he believes the constant changes might improve his luck. This is not
necessarily bad, if he would play at the casino where he stays. He invariably
changes casinos every hour or two and ends up playing in ten to twelve different
establishments over the course of two or three days.
Because of the size of his buy-ins, he is constantly asked if he wants to be rated. He
always declines. He confesses that he doesn't want the casinos to know how much
he is losing. I think that he is trying to kid himself about his losses.
I have explained the comp system to him. As long as he is losing, he might as well
have the casinos kick in $750 to $1,000 per trip. This money is there for the asking
if he would only pick a primary casino and give it a reasonable amount of play.
I can't convince him to change his ways. But, maybe I can influence you.
There are many other benefits to playing more in a primary casino. The first benefit
is the application of the old saw, "If you scratch my back, I'll scratch yours."
The casino will accelerate the rewards offered you the more you play. Some
casinos formalize this process and actually accelerate the comps to slot club
members as their total number of points increases. Many casinos offer more and
more free rooms and entertainment the more you patronize them.
The key to maximizing your benefits from this whole process is to find a casino that
matches your needs and then start playing there. If you have picked correctly, your
loyalty will be well rewarded.
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booths. If you want brochures on the slot clubs or general information on the slot
club, talk to the clerks at the booth. If you want a particular comp, ask the slot host.
Casino hosts, catering to the table game players, are at the top of the casino pecking
order for granting comps. Their top priority is to cultivate new customers and to
keep the current customers happy.
The casino hostesses are the persons working for VIP Services who help you check
in, arrange your limo service, make dinner and show reservations and so forth.
The hostesses will handle most of your scheduling and reservation needs. The
casino hosts are the people you need to talk to to arrange RFB and airfare
reimbursement.
You can meet a casino host a number of ways. One way is to call a casino before
coming and ask to speak to a host. This is a good way to ask about the casino's
comp policy and to tell the host that you are interested in playing there.
If you are playing with front money, you should meet your host after depositing
your money with the cage but before you begin play.
If you are a cash player and make a large enough buy-in, you may have a chance to
meet a host when the casino sets you up with a VIP card.
After you have played in a casino, you can make reservations through the casino
host. Making a reservation through a host who knows you is a good way to get a
room even if the front desk claims that no rooms are available. Casinos always
reserve a block of rooms for their best customers, and a casino host can get you a
room when a reservation clerk can't.
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You can't always control how dealers and other customers act. If I join a table
where no one is talking, and the dealer barely grunts when spoken to, I will make
my departure very quickly. Usually a few cheerful words followed by a toke for the
dealer will turn the atmosphere around. However, if this fails, you can't be faulted
for not trying. Life is too short to play under miserable conditions. It is always
better to change tables than to continue to play with an out of sorts dealer and
crabby complaining customers. Under these conditions, you should just leave.
Visit the casino at off times.
I nearly always schedule my casino trips for the middle of the week. I will typically
arrive on a Monday afternoon and stay until Thursday afternoon. The benefits of
visiting during the week are many. If there are any drawbacks to avoiding the
weekend crowds, I haven't found them.
I don't like waiting and I hate lines. By timing my visits to the middle of the week, I
can usually walk into any coffee shop, make reservations for a gourmet restaurant
just about any time I chose and get show tickets to the shows I want to see.
If you want to really reduce the size of the crowds, travel in the middle of the week
during off-season. Las Vegas is slower during the middle of summer when it is hot
and in the late fall and early winter when it's colder. The slowest time in Vegas is
usually between Thanksgiving and Christmas. But watch out for conventions. If a
large convention is in town, it may be impossible to get a room (unless you are a
rated player or belong to a slot club).
If you like to visit Atlantic City, try visiting during the middle of the week in the
dead of winter. You'll not only avoid the larger crowds, but you'll find that the
minimum wagers on many tables have been reduced.
Visiting during an off time is also an excellent way to get noticed for purposes of
getting rated and getting your comp career off to a roaring start.
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With fewer players to contend with, a host or a floor person is easier to meet and to
visit with. Also, during slow times, casinos tend to be more generous with comps.
After all, they are more likely to have a slew of vacant rooms just waiting to be
given away to qualified players on a Wednesday night in December.
Ask for comps.
If you play $1000 a hand at roulette, you do not have to ask for comps. The casino
will shower you with them. If you are like the rest of us wagering anywhere from
$5 to several hundred a hand, you need to ask for comps.
Slot players have the more systematic approach as the card readers on the machines
are tied into a centralized computer system, and comps are based on points. If you
are a slots or video poker player, getting a comp is pretty straightforward with this
system.
Table game players have to deal more with people. And unless you are a whale, a
boss will almost never offer you a comp unless you have just won big in a smaller
casino which watches every loss. Facing a player who might walk out with their
money in hand, some casinos will start throwing comps at the player. But most of
the time, even rated players can play and play and never be offered a comp unless
they ask for it.
My advice? Always ask for the comp. I have given you several examples of how to
do it.
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casino you want to make sure that the casino has a reasonable comp policy and that
it has beatable games. You should also like the casino, as you will be receiving a lot
of invitations there once you get into their comp system.
After picking your primary casino, you need to join its slot club and get a VIP card.
I usually do both. Some casinos, like Rio in Las Vegas, combine rating slot, video
poker and table players on one card. Others track machine and table action
separately. However, it usually pays to join the slot club, even if you are mostly a
table game player.
In many ways, slot club players have an advantage over the table game players.
Their rating is automatic; they don't have to get the attention of some boss. By
joining the slot club, they start receiving mailing from the casino. I have received
offers of free rooms from casinos where I had never played a slot machine, but had
joined their slot club.
If you are just establishing your rating and want to get a room on a crowded
weekend, your slot club membership can be invaluable. After the reservation clerk
tells you there are no rooms available, tell her you are a member of the slot club or
ask to speak to a slot host. Chances are, the casino will find a room for you.
Getting to know the casino personal is critical. The more the casino personnel know
and like you, the more comps are likely to flow your way. This is even true for slot
players with their automated rating system. A slot host can easily "bump up" your
comp from a buffet for two to a coffee shop comp for two, even if your rating is not
quite there.
With table players, interacting with the pit personnel is critical. A boss can make or
break you in terms of your rating. If your average wager is $25, your goal is to be
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rated as at least a $50 to $75 player. It is not enough to increase your wagers when
the boss is looking; you need to be a nice person.
Playing with front money gives the casino a real shot at beating you. When you
deposit the money in the cage, the casino knows that they have a shot at winning all
of your front money. If you are willing to risk $10,000, this will open the door to
full RFB at most establishments.
When you play with front money, be sure to put it all in play. If you deposit
$10,000, draw markers for the full ten grand. This doesn't mean you should lose the
money. If you look like a loser and the casino sees that you have put all of your
front money into play, your rating will increase.
Remember to look like a loser. You can save your bragging for when you get
home. Appear to lose, but lose gracefully. Dealers and bosses hear players gripe
about losing every day. Look like a loser but don't complain.
If you run into a fantastic winning streak, don't worry about disguising the fact that
you are a winner. The bosses will know that you are winning. If you try to hide
enough chips to turn a big win into a loss, they'll know. When you have a big win,
act like a winner. Go ahead and tip a little more. If you are playing craps, shouting
is not out of line. I have had some of my best comps come out of big wins as
casinos hate to see winners walk out the door with their money.
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When you combine getting the maximum number of comps with the Chaos
Controlled Betting System, you are in the best position to maximize your profits from
casino gambling.
If you at least break even, then the comps you receive constitute a profit for your
play. If you are able to win money at the casino games, then your profit will be
even greater.
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Casino Etiquette
If you know how to dine in a fine restaurant without making a scene, or
automatically open doors for others and say thanks when someone holds open a
door for you, you will probably not have any trouble knowing how to conduct
yourself in a casino. I normally don't think much about etiquette until I see some
jerk raising hell with a dealer about his losses, or chewing out a cocktail waitress
for taking too long with an order. Then I have to wonder how the concept of
manners has escaped him completely.
I said him, because boorish, obnoxious behavior nearly always comes from males,
with very few females managing to become the perfect asses that males seem to
delight in being.
Casinos seem to attract a higher than normal number of persons with a need to
blow off at some unfortunate casino employee. The times I have somehow gotten
in the middle of these disputes, I nearly always take the side of the dealer or floor
person, especially if a male patron is unjustifiably berating a female employee for
no reason other than he has poor control over his gambling, managed to lose much
more than that should have, and is now looking for a scapegoat.
For most persons who visit casinos, etiquette is simply a matter of common
courtesy. It's okay to get a little wild in a casino. These are supposed to be places
of fun, and drinking a little too much may be part of the entertainment. But for a
successful Chaos Controlled Betting System player, the rules are not quite the same.
The casino is your place of employment and drinking should be limited. It goes
without saying, courteous behavior should be practiced at all times.
At all casino table games, the rules of etiquette are pretty simple. Treat the dealers
and other players with respect and avoid being loud, pushy or belligerent. If you
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get into a disagreement with a dealer, stay calm and be gracious even if the dealer
really is wrong. It does not make sense to win an argument over a single payoff.
Here are some guidelines for casino play.
1. When you have finished playing, you can ask the dealer to color you up before
leaving the table. If you are playing with the special chips used at roulette
tables only you must exchange those chips for regular casino chips before you
leave the table.
2. Watch your own bets at all times. Your bets are easy to track as you handle the
bets yourself and place them directly in front of you.
3. Don't force your way into a crowded table. If the table is crowded ask the
nearest player if he minds if you join them.
4. Don't slow down the game by constantly asking the dealer basic questions
about how the game is played or how bets are made. There are hundreds of
books on how to play roulette including this one. You should learn the correct
payoffs for the bets you will be making.
5. Try to be discrete about your wins and losses. No one really cares to know
how much you are winning, and it doesn't do you any good to advertise that
you are a consistent winner.
6. While playing, conduct yourself courteously at all times. If you drink, refrain
from overdoing it and never get drunk. You will need to stay alert to correctly
make the wagers required by the Chaos Controlled Bet Sizing Strategy, and
contrary to the opinion of some drunks, alcohol does not make you think clearer.
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7. Toke the dealers. Dealers call tips "tokes" as in a token of appreciation. Many
players don't realize that dealers are not paid much more than minimum wage.
Roulette dealers try very hard to please the public. Most dealers want the players
to win and have a good time. They know that if the players enjoy themselves and
win, they will get toked. I always toke the dealers. If I win more I will toke them
more, but even if I lose, I will make several bets for the dealer. This is not only
the right thing to do but will pay you off in spades if you do it consistently. Even
floor personnel know who the tippers are, and my experience has been that if you
tip, you will be more than repaid by hard working dealers, who will watch out for
your bets and by casino complimentaries, controlled by and large by pit
personnel who rate your play.
___________
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Keeping Records
Along with all of the new habits I am asking you to form, I am going to add one
more. I want you to start keeping written records of how you do playing roulette.
Actually, you want to keep a written record of all of your gambling, but since this
book is about how to win at roulette, well just focus on this game.
There are a couple of reasons you will want to keep records. One is to honestly
measure how well (or how badly) you are doing. Most players wince at this
suggestion. They know that they have been long-term losers.
I am going to ask you to be honest and start writing down how you actually do.
You dont have to show this to anyone else. But, arent you at least a little curious
about your roulette wins and losses?
Another reason I am suggesting that you start keeping written records is that you
will eventually need them for income tax reporting. Ill tell you more about this
later.
I have given you a couple of good reasons to start keeping written records of your
gambling. They are
First, to honestly measure how well (or badly) you are dong, and
Second, to have a record for income tax reporting.
How you set up your records is up to you. You may want to purchase a small
notebook which fits in your pocket or purse. I like to keep records on individual
sheets of standard size 8.5 x 11 accounting paper. I usually carry one sheet with
me, neatly folded in my pocket. After each session of play, I will update the
information I like to record on the piece of paper. Eventually, after I have
returned home, the sheet will be filed in a loose-leaf notebook.
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Whatever system you use is fine; just make sure that you use some kind of
recording system.
Before I start a gambling excursion, I like to record some basic information about
what I plan to do. This information will outline my strategy and would look like
this:
Location
Las Vegas
Profit Goal $1,200
Gambling Bankroll $1,800
Base Bet Size
$10
Game Buy-in
$600
Days of Play 2 days
Number of Sessions 7-8 a day
Target Profit per Game
$100
Loss Limit per Game
$600
The results of each session should be recorded as soon as possible after finishing
play. The following information should be recorded:
Location: (City, casino, etc.)
Date and Time Played
Table Number.
Base Bet Size
Won (Lost): Amount that you won or lost for the session.
Total Won (Lost): A running total of the amount you have won or lost.
Your actual record might look like the record shown below:
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Location
LV Golden
Nugget
LV Golden
Nugget
LV
Orleans
LV
Orleans
LV Orleans
Table
No.
31
Base Bet
Size
$10
Amount
Won (Lost)
$205
Cumulative
Won
$205
31
$10
$237
$442
27
$10
$189
$631
27
$10
$203
$834
27
$10
$194
$1028
For US players, the basic rules for gambling are that all gambling winnings should
be reported on your tax return as other income. Gambling losses are deductible
only to the extent that you report gambling winnings and then only as an itemized
deduction. Home ownership with the attendant home mortgage interest is usually
the deductible expense which allows people to itemize their deductions. If you
dont own a home, or if your home mortgage interest is too low, or you have paid
off your mortgage, you may not have enough expenses to itemize deductions.
This could mean that you end up reporting gambling winnings as income but are
not allowed to deduct gambling losses.
As a practical matter, most folks ignore their gambling wins and losses when
filling out their tax returns because all they have is losses, and they couldnt
document them if their lives depended on it. Because of the skill you now have
with the Optimzer you are more likely than ever to have reportable gambling
income.
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The easiest way to meet the IRS guidelines for documentation is to keep a daily
record of roulette play, as well as invoices, receipts and other documentation from
your trip. File this information in an envelope, a file folder or a notebook.
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135
These methods of bet selection can be applied to the following games and betting spots:
Even-Money Wager
Craps
Roulette
Baccarat
Sic Bo
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Bet
Level
Bets
13
20
35
50
75
Total of
Bets
Game
Bankroll
$206
$200
Here are the playing rules for using this betting series (we often refer to this betting series
as the CCBS Betting Series). The playing rules are the same whether you are using a $1
or a $500 version of this betting series.
Here are the playing rules for the CCBS System:
1. Always begin a game making a Level 1 or 2 bet. I usually start with a Level 1 bet
when playing roulette and a Level 2 bet when playing baccarat or craps.
2. If you lose a bet, you will increase your bet one level for the next wager. If you lose a
Level 2 bet for $8, your next wager will be a Level 3 bet for $13.
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3. If you win a bet you will drop your bet one level for the next wager If you win a
Level 3 bet for $13, your next wager will be a Level 2 bet for $8.
4. If you win two bets in a row, or win two out of three bets, you will reduce your next
bet two betting levels.
If these rules are not yet clear you should review Sample Game 1 which shows these
rules in action. You should also play online in practice mode to make sure you have
mastered both the CCPR and CCBS Systems.
138
PPB bet of $8 and win. You add +5 for the next PPB bet, wager $13 and bet. You add
+5 to this bet and bet $18 and the next spin. You lose this bet. You will revert to making
a CCBS System bet of $13 which is one level higher than your starting PPB Bet of $8.
6. Below are summarizes bets leading up to a PPB Series, the size of the Starting PPB
bet and the size of the CCBS bet to be made following the loss of any PPB bet.
Rule: Largest possible Starting PPB Bet is $13 (Level 3 bet)
Summary of PPB Starting Bets
Starting
PPB Bet
8
8
8
8
8
13
NA too
high
If you dont understand how to use the PPB betting rules, you should review the sample
games and the bets made using the PPB rules.
139
Game
Bankroll
48
83
200
400
1000
2000
4000
20000
Bets
1 2 3 5 8 10 15
2 3 5 9 14 20 30
5 8 13 20 35 50 75
10 16 26 40 70 100 150
25 40 65 100 175 250 375
50 80 130 200 350 500 750
100 160 260 400 700 1000 1500
500 800 1300 2000 3500 5000 7500
Total
Bankroll
144
250
600
1200
3000
6000
12000
60000
Target
Win
9
18
40
80
200
400
800
4000
140
141
Controlled Betting System Tracking Forms included with this manual to record the
games as you play.
4. Keep good records of your actual play. As a minimum you should record information
about each game played. The following format will work well for keeping track of your
play:
Location
Game
Bankroll
Target
Win
Game
Net
Cumulative
Net
Comments
5. Play with an adequate bankroll. Each level of play has its own bankroll requirements.
As a $5 bettor you need a Game Bankroll of $200. To move up to making $10 Base Bets
you need a Game Bankroll of at least $400.
6. Dont ignore Total Bankroll requirements. Your Total Bankroll should be at least
three times the size of your Game Bankroll. Dont try to overplay your bankroll level. If
you dont have enough for $10 play, you should drop back to $5 play or wait until you
have a large enough bankroll for $10 betting.
7. If you lose a game take a break. You should never pull out more cash and continue
playing if you lose your Game Bankroll. Losses are never much fun and you never want
to compound a loss by playing more aggressively to win your loss back.
8. Watch your winnings as you play. As soon as you are near your Target Win you
142
should be looking to quit. The exception is when you are in PPB betting mode in the
middle of a hot roll. If you hit your Target Win and are not in PPB betting mode, you
should call the game over, or immediately reduce the size of your bets and quit with the
first losing bet.
9. Dont fight a losing game. If your Game Bankroll is depleted, you can stop with a
loss. Losses are rare enough with the Chaos Controlled Betting System that an
occasional loss is not going to hurt you that badly. Just dont get stubborn. Some games
you are just not going to win.
10. Increase your playing level as you build your bankroll using winnings. Take the
increases one step at a time. For example, you can move from $5 betting to $10 betting
and play there for a while before increasing your level of play again. Dont be afraid to
take small steps. You can go from $5 to $10 and then $15 betting. If you like, try $20
betting before moving up to $25 bets. Too many players jump their play to match the
size of casino checks and jump from $5 to $25 play. Take it a little slower. Youll be a
lot more comfortable moving up in smaller steps.
Good luck in your play!
143
$1 Base Bets
Chaos Controlled Betting $1 Bets
Base Bet = 1
Bets: Up one after loss,
Game Bankroll = 48
down one after win.
Total Bankroll = 144
If win 2 in row or 2 out
Target Win = 9
of 3, down two levels
Bet Selection: Same till loss, Opposite till loss. Lose 3
in row, repeat current pattern.
2
3
4
5
6
7
Level 1
1
2
3
5
8
10
15
Bets
$2 Base Bets
Chaos Controlled Betting
$2 Bets
Base Bet = 2
Bets: Up one after loss,
Game Bankroll = 83
down one after win.
Total Bankroll = 200
If win 2 in row or 2 out
Target Win = 16
of 3, down two levels
Bet Selection: Same till loss, Opposite till loss. Lose 3
in row, repeat current pattern.
2
3
4
5
6
7
Level 1
2
3
5
9
14
20
30
Bets
$5 Base Bets
Chaos Controlled Betting $5 Bets
Bets: Up one after loss,
Base Bet = 5
Game Bankroll = 200
down one after win.
Total Bankroll = 600
If win 2 in row or 2 out
Target Win = 40
of 3, down two levels
Bet Selection: Same till loss, Opposite till loss. Lose 3
in row, repeat current pattern.
2
3
4
5
6
7
Level 1
5
8
13
20
35
50
75
Bets
144
145
146
Ref
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Dec
Ti
B
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
P
P
CCPR
Pattern
C
C
T
T
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
Bet
On
P
P
B
B
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
P
B
$ Bet
8
13
20
13
20
8
8
13
18
23
28
35
45
55
65
Bet
Level
2
3
4
3
4
2
2C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
W/L
T
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
Net Per
Round
-0-13
+20
-13
+20
+8
+8
+13
+18
+23
+28
+35
+45
+55
-65
Cum Win
-0-13
+7
-6
+14
+22
+30
+43
+61
+84
+112
+147
+192
+247
+182
147
148
Dec
CCPR
Pattern
Bet
On
$
Bet
W/L
Cum
Win
149