AUDIT SAMPLING
The professional standards require the Auditor to obtain sufficient appropriate
evidence to be able to draw reasonable conclusions on which to base the audit
opinion. Auditors usually draw conclusions about the account balance or
transaction class by examining only a SAMPLE of EVIDENCE.
 PSA 530 defines audit sampling as,
   The application of audit procedures to less than 100% of the items within an
   account balance or class of transactions such that all sampling units have a
   chance of selection.
   Audit Sampling is performed on the assumption that the sample selected for
   testing is the representative of the population. The auditor may decide that it
   would be appropriate to examine the entire population (100% examination)
   of items that make up an account balance since the population constitutes
   a small number of large value items. Likewise, the auditor may decide to
   apply audit procedures only to those items which have particular
   significance (selective testing). The auditor needs to be satisfied that
   sufficient appropriate evidence is obtained to meet the objectives of the test.
 Risks in Sampling
       Uncertainty of not detecting material errors in an account balance or
          class of transactions may arise because of sampling and non-sampling
          risks.
      Sampling Risk
        Refers to possibility that the auditor’s conclusion, based on a sample
         may be different from the conclusion reached if the entire population
         were subjected to the same audit procedures. This exist because the
         sample selected for testing may not be truly representative of a
         population.
          a. Alpha Risk is the risk that the auditor will conclude,
              In the case of test of control, that internal control is not reliable
                when in fact it is effective and can be relied upon (risk of under
                reliance);
              In the case of substantive test, the material misstatement exists
                in an account balance or transaction class when in fact such
                misstatement does not exist (risk of incorrect rejection).
             This type of audit risk affects audit efficiency.
          b. Beta Risk is the risk the auditor will conclude,
              In the case of test of control, that internal control is reliable
                when in fact it is not effective and cannot be relied upon (risk
                of overreliance); or
              In the case of substantive test, the material misstatement does
                not exists in an account balance or transaction class when in
                fact such misstatement does exist (risk of incorrect
                acceptance).
              This type of audit risk affects audit effectiveness.
      Non-sampling Risk
        Refers to the risk that the auditor may draw incorrect conclusions
         about the account balance or class of transactions because of
         human errors. This includes all aspects of audit risk that are not due to
         sampling.
 Controlling the Risks
   The only way to eliminate sampling risk is to examine the entire
    population. Accordingly, auditors do not normally attempt to eliminate
    sampling risk. Instead, auditors control sampling risk by:
     Increasing the sample size; and
     Using an appropriate sample selection method.
      Non-sampling risk, on the other hand, is something that cannot be
       eliminated even if the auditor examines the entire population. This risk,
       however, can be minimize by:
        Proper planning; and
        Adequate direction, review, and supervision of the audit team.
 General Approaches to Audit Sampling
     There are two sampling approaches that can be used; the statistical
       and non-statistical sampling.
        Statistical Sampling is a sampling approach that
            Uses random based selection of sample; and
            Uses the law of probability to measure sampling risk and
              evaluate sample results.
             Non-statistical Sampling in contrast, is a sampling approach that
              purely uses auditor’s judgement in estimating sampling risks,
              determining sample size, and evaluating sample results.
      The only difference between the two methods is that statistical sampling
      allows auditors to measure or quantify the sampling risks by using
      mathematical formula. Thus, statistical sampling helps the auditor to:
           Design an efficient sample;
           Measure the sufficiency of evidence obtained; and
           Objectively evaluate the sample results.
      However, these benefits cannot be obtained without additional cost.
 Audit Sampling Plus
     Audit sampling may be used when performing test of controls or
         substantive test. When statistical sampling is used, the auditor may use
         either attribute or variable sampling plan.
          Attribute Sampling
              This is a sampling plan used to estimate the frequency of
                occurrence of a certain characteristic in a population
                (occurrence rate).
              It is generally used when performing test of controls to estimate
                the amount of misstatements in the financial statements.
          Variable Sampling
              This is a sampling plan used to estimate a numerical
                measurement of a population such as peso value.
              It is generally used in performing substantive test to estimate the
                amount of misstatement in the financial statements.
 Basic Steps in Audit Sampling
      Basic steps on audit procedures:
                                 Determine
                  Determine
    Define the                      the         Select the    Apply the      Evaluate
                     the
    Objective                     Sample         Sample       Procedure     the Results
                  Procedure
                                    Size
      1. Define the objective of the test
         The audit objective largely determines the audit procedures to be
         applied. Hence, before deciding on the nature of the audit
         procedures to be performed, the auditor must define the specific
         objective of the test.
      2. Determine the audit procedures to be performed.
           After defining the audit objective, the next step is to determine the
           specific audit procedure that will be performed to satisfy the
           objective. This step also involve defining the population and the
           characteristics to be tested.
       3. Determine the sample size
          Once the auditor has decided to apply a certain audit procedure to a
          sample of items in a population, the auditor must decide how many
          sampling units to include in the sample.
       4. Select the sample
          A sample selection technique must be designed in such a way that all
          items in the population will have an opportunity to be selected.
          Statistical sampling requires the sample items be selected at random
          so that each sampling unit has a known chance of being selected.
       5. Apply procedures
          After the sample items have been selected, the auditor applies the
          planned audit procedure to the sample.
       6. Evaluate the sample results
          Once audit procedures have been performed on all sample items, the
          results must be evaluated to determine whether sufficient evidence
          has been obtained to satisfy the objective.
       It is to be emphasized that steps (1), (2), (5), and (6) will be performed
       whether the auditor uses audit sampling or not. Hence, the only
       difference between audit sampling and 100% examination is that audit
       sampling involves steps (3), (4), and (6)
 Sampling for Test of Control
  Audit sampling for test of control is generally appropriate when application of
  the control leaves evidence of performance. For those controls that leave no
  documentary evidence of performance, non-sampling procedures would be
  more appropriate.
      Determination of Sample Size
       Three factors affecting the determination of sample size for test of control:
          a) Acceptable sampling risk;
          b) Tolerable deviation rate; and
          c) Expected deviation rate
          Acceptable sampling risk
    Sample risk is inherent in an audit sampling application. The size of the
    sample is affected by the level of sampling risk the auditor is willing to
    accept.
    There is an inverse relationship between the acceptable sampling risk
    and sample size. The smaller the sampling risk the auditor is willing to
    accept, the larger the sample size to be (and vice versa).
   Tolerable deviation rate
    Tolerable deviation rate is the maximum rate of deviation the auditor is
    willing to accept, without modifying the planned degree of reliance
    on the internal control.
    The tolerable deviation rate is inversely related to the sample size.
    Therefore, a decrease in the tolerable deviation rate will cause the
    sample size to increase.
    Establishing tolerable deviation rate and the acceptable sampling risks
    requires professional judgment and involves consideration of:
         The importance of the control; and
         The degree of reliance to be placed on such control.
    If the control is important in providing reliable financial statements, the
    auditor would most likely decrease the acceptable level of sampling
    risk and tolerable deviation rate to obtain more evidence that such
    control is working effectively.
   Expected deviation rate
    The rate of deviation the auditor expects to find in the population
    before testing begins. The expected deviation rate has a direct effect
    on the sample size.
    The expected population deviation rate should not exceed the
    tolerable deviation rate. If it is exceeded, the auditor generally omits
    testing of that control procedures and either seeks to obtain assurance
    by testing other relevant internal control policies and procedures, or
    asses control risk at a higher level.
     Sample            Acceptable           Tolerable           Expected
       Size           Sampling Risk       Deviation Rate      Deviation Rate
      Small               High                High                 Low
           Larger               Low                Low                High
 Sample Selection Method
  PSA 530 has identified three principal methods of selecting samples namely,
  (a) random number selection, (b) systematic selection, and (c) haphazard
  selection.
        Random number selection
         Under this method, the auditor selects the sample by matching
         random numbers with the population numbering system. An
         advantage of this selection technique is that it gives each item in the
         population an equal opportunity to be selected.
        Systematic selection
         This method involves determining a constant sampling interval and
         then selects the sample based on the size of that interval. When using
         systematic selection, the auditor should determine that the population
         is not structured in such manner that the sampling interval corresponds
         with a particular pattern In the population.
         An advantage of this type of selection is that it is easy to use.
         Furthermore, the population do not have to be pre-numbered in order
         for the auditor to use this technique.
        Haphazard selection
         When using this method, the sample is selected without following an
         organized or structured technique. This selection is useful for non-
         statistical sampling but it is not used for statistical sampling.
     In selecting the sample and applying the appropriate audit procedures,
     the auditor may encounter the following situations:
         a) Voided documents
            If the document that has been selected is properly voided, such
            document should be replaced by another sample item.
         b) Missing documents
             If the auditor encounters missing documents and he is unable to
             determine whether the control has been properly performed such
             item should be treated as a deviation for the purpose of evaluating
             sample results.
 Evaluation of Results
   When evaluating sample results, both the qualitative and the quantitative
   factors of deviations should be considered. Here are some general
   guidelines:
      1. Determining the sample deviation rate
         The sample deviation rate is computed by dividing the number of
         deviations found in the sample by the sample size.
      2. Compare the sample deviation rate with the tolerable deviation rate
         and draw an overall conclusion about the population.
         This comparison may result to the following situations:
                The sample deviation rate exceeds the tolerable deviation rate.
                 This means that the sample results do not support the auditor’s
                 planned degree of reliance on internal control. Hence, control
                 risk will be assessed at a high level and more extensive
                 substantive tests should be performed.
                The sample deviation rate is less than the tolerable deviation
                 rate.
                 If the sample deviation rate is less than the tolerable rate, the
                 auditor should consider the allowance for sampling risk- that is,
                 the possibility that these sample results could have occurred
                 even if the actual population deviation rate is higher than the
                 tolerable rate. As the sample deviation rate approaches the
                 tolerable deviation rate the allowance for sampling risk
                 decreases.
                      a) If the sample deviation rate is considerably lower than
                         the tolerable deviation rate, there is a low risk that the
                         actual population deviation rate will exceed the
                         tolerable deviation rate.
                    b) If the sample deviation rate is barely lower than the
                       tolerable deviation rate, there is a high possibility that
                       the actual deviation rate will exceed the tolerable rate.
OTHER SAMPLING APPLICATIONS FOR TEST OF CONTROLS
   Sequential Sampling
       - can be used as an alternative form of testing controls when an
         auditor expects every few deviations within the population.
     Under this method:
         the auditor does not use fixed sample size
         it is sometimes called stop-or-go sampling; after testing the sample
            the auditor makes a decision whether to stop or go on with the
            sampling plan.
         Thus, if no deviations are found in the sample, the auditor may
            conclude that the internal control procedure is reliable and
            therefore may stop the sampling plan. Also if the auditor observes
            many deviations, the auditor may also terminate the sampling plan
            and conclude that the planned degree of reliance on internal
            control is not justified.
            On the other hand, if one or few deviations are found, the auditor
            may decide to go on with the examination of another set of sample
            in attempt to obtain more evidence to support the planned
            assessed level of control risk.
   Discovery Sampling
       - this form of attribute sampling is most appropriate when no
          deviations are expected in the population and therefore even
          deviation would cause concern.
       - it is normally used when the auditor suspects that an irregularity
          might have been committed.
       - under this method, the auditor determines the sample size efficient
          to discover at least one deviation to confirm whether an irregularity
          has occurred.
   Sampling for Substantive Tests
       Analytical procedures that involve comparison of the financial
        statements with the auditor’s expectation do not involve sampling.
       Audit sampling is appropriate when performing Test of details to
        estimate the amount of misstatements in the financial statements.
 Determination of Sample Size
  When determining sample size for substantive tests, the following factors
  must be considered.
 Acceptable Sampling Risk
  When determining the acceptable level of sampling risk for substantive
  tests, the auditor should consider the components of audit risk- inherent,
  control, and detection risks.
      For practical purposes, the auditor uses the acceptable level of
         detection risk as the acceptable sampling after giving adequate
         consideration to the risk that analytical procedures may fail to detect
         material misstatement in account balance.
      There is an inverse relationship between the acceptable sampling risk
         and the sample size: the lower the risk the auditor accepts, the larger
         the sample size must be.
 Tolerable Misstatement
  Tolerable misstatement is the maximum amount of misstatement the
  auditor will permit in the population to and still be willing to conclude that
  the balance is fairly stated. This is determined in the planning stage of the
  audit and it is related to the auditor’s preliminary estimate of materiality.
      There is an inverse relationship between the tolerable misstatement
        and the sample size. A smaller measure of tolerable misstatement will
        cause the sample size to increase.
 Expected Misstatement
  Expected misstatement is the amount of misstatements that the auditor
  believes exists in the population.
     Like the expected deviation rate in test of controls, the expected
        amount of misstatements may be determined based on the results of
        prior year’s substantive tests or pilot sample. As the expected
        misstatement draws near the tolerable misstatements, the auditor
        needs more precise information from the sample.
     There is a direct relationship between the expected misstatement
        and the sample size. An increase in the amount of the misstatement
        that the auditor expects to be present in the population will cause
        the sample size to increase.
    
 Variation in the Population
   The peso amount included in the population tends to vary significantly.
   When using statistical sampling, this variability is measured by the standard
   deviation.
   When a population consists of highly variable recorded amounts, it is
   difficult to select a representative sample. Consequently, a larger sample
   size is required as the degree of variability within the population increases.
   The auditor can estimate the variation based on the prior year’s test results
   or a pilot sample.
 Sample Selection Method
  When selecting a sample for substantive tests, the auditor may use any one
  of the sample selection methods mentioned earlier.
 Stratified Sampling
  The auditor may divide or stratify the population into meaningful groups in
  order to decrease the effect of variance within the population. When
  selecting a stratified sample, the sample size should be determined for
  each stratum and selected from that stratum.
      It is useful to the auditor when performing substantive tests because
            a) It decreases the effect of variance in the population and as a
               result, decreases the sample size, and
            b) It allows the auditor to give more emphasis to those items with
               higher monetary value.
 Value Weighted Selection
  It also gives each item in the population an opportunity to be selected.
  However, the probability of an item to be selected is directly proportional
  to the monetary value of such item. This is the reason why this type of
  sampling is sometimes called probability proportional to size sampling.
      Each peso is treated as one sampling unit. That is why, it is also called
         monetary unit sampling.
      This method is similar to stratified sampling in that large monetary
         values are given greater representation in the sample and it is
         appropriate when the auditor anticipates overstatements in an
         account, the greater the probability that the account will be
         selected.
EVALUATING THE RESULTS
   1. Project the misstatements to the population.
          Projecting misstatements can be accomplished using:
             a. Ratio estimation
             b. Difference estimation
          The only difference between the two methods is that ratio estimation
             uses the book values of the population size and sample size to
             project the misstatements, while difference estimation uses the
             number of customers to project the misstatements to the population.
             Hence, the use of ratio estimation is appropriate when the amount
             of misstatements found is approximately proportional to the client's
             book amount.
   2. Compare the projected misstatements together with the tolerable
      misstatements and draw an overall conclusion.
      If the projected misstatements is greater than the tolerable misstatement,
      the auditor will conclude that the account balance is materially misstated.
      If the projected misstatement is less than the tolerable misstatement, the
      auditor should consider the allowance for sampling risk. The auditor should
      recognize that sampling risk increases as the projected misstatement
      approaches the tolerable misstatement.
A summary of the essential audit sampling steps is presented on the next page
                           Test of Controls           Substantive tests
    1. Define the          Specify the control        Specify the purpose of
       objective of the    procedures to be tested    the test and its
       test                                           relationship to the
                                                      financial statements
                                                      assertions
    2. Determines the      Determine the              Determine the
       procedures to be    appropriate audit          appropriate audit
       performed           procedures to be           procedures to be
                           performed to satisfy the   performed to satisfy the
                           objective                  objective
                           Define the population      Define the population
                           and the conditions that    and its characteristics
                           constitute a deviation
    3. Determine the       Consider the effects of    Consider the effects of
       sample size         the following factors in   the following factors in
                           determining the sample     determining the sample
                           size                       size
                            Acceptable                Acceptable
                             sampling                   sampling
                             risk(Inverse)              risk(Inverse)
                            Tolerable               Tolerable
                             Deviation                  Deviation
                             rate(inverse)              rate(inverse)
                            Expected                Expected
                             Population                 Misstatement and
                             Deviation                  Population
                             Rate(Direct)               Variation
                                                        Rate(Direct)
4. Select the sample Use any of the following   Use any of the following
                     techniques:                techniques and stratify
                         Random Number         the population when
                           Selection            appropriate:
                         Systematic                 Random Number
                           Selection                    Selection
                         Haphazard                  Systematic
                           Selection                    Selection
                                                     Haphazard
                                                        Selection
                                                     Valuated
                                                        Selection
5. Apply the audit    Apply the audit           Apply the audit
   procedures         procedures to the         procedures to the
                      sample items              sample items
6. Evaluate the       Decide whether the        Decide whether to
   sample results     results supported the     accept the account
                      planned degree of         balance as fairly stated
                      reliance on internal      or to require further
                      control                   actions