Cause of Global Warming
《Point》 Global warming is caused by anthropogenic activities.
                          7000
                                        Gas
                                                                                                                               CO2 Emission by fuel
                          6000
                                        Oil
                                                                                                                             Fossil fuel consumption is increasing
                                                                                                                             rapidly to satisfy growing energy demand
CO 2 emissions (MtC/yr)
                          5000
                                        Coal                                                                                 after the Industrial Revolution, which
                          4000
                                                                                                                             started at the end of the 18th century.
                          3000                                                                                               Fossil fuel combustion :
                          2000                                                                                                            C   +    O2 → CO2
                                                                                                                                              (Carbon in     (Oxide in
                          1000                                                                                                                  Fossil fuel)   Atmosphere)
                                                                                                                    375                                                                          1
                            0
                                                                                                                               Historical CO2 record from the Siple Station ice core
                            1750              1800       1850          1900       1950      2000
                                                                                                                               Atmospheric CO2 record from Mauna Loa
                                                                Year
                                                                                                   concentration
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Global mean temperature change
                                                                                                                    350        Global mean temperature relative to the mean of 1961-1990         0.5
                                 Source: Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, ORNL
                                                                                                                    (ppmv)
                                                                                                     2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    (℃)
                                                                                                   Atmospheric CO   325                                                                          0
   Atmospheric CO2 Concentration
    and Global mean Temperature                                                                                     300                                                                          -0.5
                          Atmospheric CO2 concentration and
                          global mean temperature increase with                                                     275
                                                                                                                      1750         1800            1850             1900               1950
                                                                                                                                                                                                 -1
                                                                                                                                                                                              2000
                          the rapid increase of CO2 emission.                                                                                               Year
                                                                                                                                      Source: Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, ORNL
          Carbon Cycle
《Point》 Carbon(C) circulates on the Earth.
                        The carbon (C) circulates among
                        terrestrial plants, the atmosphere
                        and the ocean, undergoing various
                        reactions.
                        For example,
                           Solution
                                      : CO2 + H2O ⇄ 2H+ + CO32-
                           Photosynthesis
                                      : 6CO2 + 6H2O → 6O2 + C6H12O6
                        However, anthropogenic activities
                        like fossil fuel burning and
                        deforestation have released carbon
                        (C) to the atmosphere and have
                        increased the carbon in the
                        atmosphere.
                          Burning : C + O2 → CO2
                        This carbon increase in the atmosphere
                        leads to the global warming.
             Greenhouse Effect
《Point》 CO2(carbon dioxide) plays an important role
             to keep the earth warm.
                                   Greenhouse gases, e.g., CO2,
                                   absorb infrared radiation,
                                   while solar radiation passes
                                   through gas layer.
                                 Certain amounts of greenhouse
                                 gases (CO2 etc) are necessary to
                                 keep the earth warm.
                 Global Warming
《Point》 However, increase in atmospheric concentration
           of CO2 causes global warming.
                                       CO2 increase in the
                                       atmosphere “thickens”
                                       the infrared radiation
                                       absorption layer.
                                    The “thicker” absorption layer
                                    keeps the earth warmer.
                               Projection of Climate Change
     《Point》 CO2 concentration increase causes the rises of
             the global temperature and sea level.
                                                                             Temperature rise of 1.4 deg.C at
                                                                             the lowest and 5.8 deg.C at the
                  Temperature Change                                         highest is projected in case of no
                                                                             CO2 emission reduction.
                                                                                          Sea level Change
Source: The Third Assessment Report by Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change(IPCC)
 Sea level rise of 0.1m at the lowest
 and 0.9m at the highest is projected
 in case of no CO2 emission reduction.
                                                           Source: The Third Assessment Report by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC)
       Global Warming Impacts
《Point》 Extraordinary weather is projected to occur
             in various world regions.
                              CO2 Emission
         《Point》 CO2 emissions vary widely across countries.
・CO2 emissions and per capita emissions are large at present for developed countries.
・CO2 emissions in developing countries are projected to increase with the population
 and the economic growths.
Global Warming Mitigation
                  《Point》
                  We have various
                  mitigation options to
                  reduce CO2 emissions.
                  A cost-effective
                  combination of the
                  options is required.
                                                   Global Warming Mitigation Scenario
《Point》 Economic consideration is important to
        select a combination of the options.
                                                   25
                                                           Energy Saving                   Without CO2 mitigation policy ...
                                                           Fuel Switching among Fossil Fuels                                                   Energy Saving
                                                           Nuclear Power
CO 2 emission and reduction (Gton of carbon eq.)
                                                                                                                                                                    Effective CO 2 reduction by these technologies.
                                                           Renewable Energy                                                                Fuel Switching among
                                                   20
                                                                                                                                                Fossil Fuels
                                                           Geological Sequestration (Depleted Gas Well)
                                                                                                                                               Nuclear Power
                                                           Geological Sequestration (Aquifer)
                                                           Ocean Sequestration
                                                                                                                                            Renewable Energy
                                                   15      Forestation
                                                           Net CO2 Emission
                                                                                                                                         Geological Sequestration
                                                                                                                                           (Depleted Gas Well)
                                                                                                                                         Geological Sequestration
                                                   10                                                                                            (Aquifer)
                                                                                                                                          Ocean Sequestration
                                                    5
                                                              The CO2 emission level is required to stabilize the double of the                  Forestation
                                                              pre-industrial atmospheric CO2 concentration (550 ppmv).
                                                    0
                                                    2000     2010     2020     2030     2040    2050      2060    2070     2080   2090    2100
                                                                                                 Year