Aviation-Benefits 2017 Web
Aviation-Benefits 2017 Web
2017
This report makes use of material by ACI, CANSO, IATA, ICAO and
ICCAIA, as well as the publication of the Air Transport Action Group
(ATAG) entitled Aviation: Benefits Beyond Borders (ABBB). While
every effort has been made to ensure the quality and accuracy of
information in this report, it is made available without any warranty of
any kind.
Aviation
Benefits
  2017
Commercial aviation first took flight over a century ago. The very first commercial aircraft
embarked on just a short, 34-kilometre journey, but today the sector has grown remarkably,
with passengers and cargo being carried no less than 49 billion kilometres annually, or 10
times the distance from Earth to Neptune.
With over 1,400 scheduled airlines, 26,000 aircraft in service, 3,900 airports and 173 air
navigation services providers1, aviation has established an unmatched global network at
the service of travellers and businesses in every corner of the world. It is also the safest and
fastest means of transportation available; overcoming oceans and borders to connect
people and support sustainable economic growth wherever aircraft fly.
A strong and affordable global air transport network transcends continents, greatly
expands local access to foreign supplies and markets, provides invaluable opportunities for
cultural and social exchange and enhances emergency and humanitarian response
capabilities during crises and public health emergencies.
Current forecasts indicate that air traffic volumes will double by 2032, characterized by a
4.6 per cent annual growth rate for passenger traffic and 4.4 per cent for freight traffic2. By
spurring tourism and trade as it continues to grow, aviation contributes to increasing
consumer benefits and choices, creating jobs and generating numerous socio-spin-offs.
The increased connectivity that it delivers leads to further re-investment in aviation, creating
a healthy cycle of aviation development and economic prosperity in those countries and
regions which set out suitable planning and investment commitments.
This very healthy dynamic of investment and economic development has helped aviation to
become a truly global economic force. If it were a country, its gross domestic product (GDP)
would be similar to that of Switzerland's at around USD 660 billion (with the total economic
impact of USD 2.7 trillion), and the 62.7 million jobs it supports directly and indirectly is
comparable to the United Kingdom's current population3.
The challenge going forward is to ensure that future air traffic growth is managed safely,
securely and efficiently, with due respect for our sector's concrete environmental
commitments. By doing so, we realize sustainable air transport solutions, ensuring that
aviation and its many benefits leaves no one, and no country, behind.
Jan Pie
Chairman
International Coordinating Council
of Aerospace Industries Associations
                                                                                         AVIATION BENEFITS   7
      Executive
      Summary
  8    AVIATION BENEFITS
Aviation Is a Major Contributor                             The air transport industry also supported a total of 62.7
                                                            million jobs globally. It provided 9.9 million direct jobs.
to Global Economic Prosperity                               Airlines, air navigation service providers and airports
                                                            directly employed over three million people. The civil
Aviation provides the only rapid worldwide transportation   aerospace sector (the manufacture of aircraft, systems and
network, which makes it essential for global business. It   engines) employed 1.1 million people. A further 5.5 million
generates economic growth, creates jobs, and facilitates    worked in other on-airport positions. 52.8 million indirect,
international trade and tourism.                            induced and tourism-related jobs were supported by
                                                            aviation6.
According to recent estimates by the cross-industry Air
Transport Action Group (ATAG), the total economic impact    These estimates do not include other economic benefits of
(direct, indirect, induced and tourism-connected) of the    aviation, such as the jobs or economic activity that occur
global aviation industry reached USD 2.7 trillion, some     when companies or industries exist because air travel
3.5 per cent of world’s gross domestic product              makes them possible, the intrinsic value that the speed and
(GDP) in 20145.                                             connectivity of air travel provides, or domestic tourism and
                                                            trade. Including these would increase the employment and
                                                            global economic impact numbers several-fold.
                                                                                              AVIATION BENEFITS    9
One of the industries that relies most heavily on aviation is
tourism. By facilitating tourism, air transport helps
                                                                             SAFELY
generate economic growth and alleviate poverty. Currently,                                             HEALTH AND
                                                                           CONNECTING
approximately 1.2 billion tourists are crossing borders                                               HUMANITARIAN
every year, over half of whom travelled to their destinations              PEOPLE AND
                                                                                                           AID
by air. In 2014, aviation supported over 36 million jobs                    BUSINESS
within the tourism sector, contributing roughly USD 892
billion a year to global GDP7.
Air transport is a driver of global trade and e-commerce,
allowing globalization of production. The small volumes of
air cargo amount to big values in world trade. In 2014, USD                                             IMPROVING
                                                                          EDUCATIONAL
6.4 trillion worth of goods were transported internationally                                              QUALITY
                                                                         OPPORTUNITIES
by air, representing 35 per cent of world trade by value,                                                 OF LIFE
despite representing only 0.5 per cent by volume8.
Aviation’s advantage over other modes of transport in
terms of speed and reliability has contributed to the market
for “same-day” and “next-day” delivery services and
transportation of urgent or time-sensitive goods.                 Supporting Sustainable
Some 87 per cent of business-to-consumer (B2C)
e-commerce parcels are currently carried by air. The
                                                                  Development Goals
e-commerce share of scheduled international mail tonne
                                                                  The United Nations (UN) adopted the Transforming our
kilometres (MTKs) grew from 16 per cent to 74 per cent
                                                                  World: 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development in
between 2010 and 2015 and is estimated to grow to 91 per
                                                                  2015. This Agenda is a plan of action for people, planet and
cent by 20259.
                                                                  prosperity and seeks to strengthen universal peace in
                                                                  larger freedom. The world should aim to achieve the 17
Aviation Provides Significant                                     Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and 169 targets
                                                                  by 2030. Aviation contributes to achieving many of the
Social Benefits                                                   SDGs directly and indirectly.
 10     AVIATION BENEFITS
                                     Total passenger traffic: history and forecast
This growth holds tremendous economic potential which             jobs) and the contribution of the air transport sector to
will support all States in achieving the UN's 2030 Agenda         world GDP would drop by some 12 per cent (USD 690
for Sustainable Development. In 2034, aviation will provide       billion12 ).
99 million jobs and generate USD 5.9 trillion in GDP, a 122
per cent increase from 201411.                                    To encourage this projected growth in a sustainable
                                                                  manner and produce inclusive and productive develop-
The future growth of air transport will likely depend on          ment and employment, aviation must continue to develop
sustainable world economic and trade growth, as well as           coherent policies with tourism, trade and other transport
declining airline costs and ticket prices. Other factors,         sectors. A national or regional policy framework consistent
including regulatory regimes (such as liberalization of air       with ICAO's standards and policies, and with globally
transport), technological improvements and fuel costs will        accepted good regulatory practices, can unlock the full
also impact future growth.                                        value of aviation. New technologies and procedures should
If traffic growth were to slow by just 1 per cent annually, the   also be adopted to further improve connectivity and
total number of jobs supported by the air transport sector        modernize infrastructure while minimizing any possible
would diminish by over 10 per cent (more than 10 million          adverse impacts of this growth on the environment.
                                                                                                    AVIATION BENEFITS   11
Aviation
Overview:
From Past
to Present
Exponential Growth of Air Traffic
From a long-term historical perspective, air transport has      In 2016, airlines worldwide carried around 3.8 billion
doubled in size every fifteen years and has experienced         passengers annually, logging 7.1 trillion revenue
greater growth than most other industries. Since 1960,          passenger-kilometres (RPKs). Fifty-three million tonnes of
increasing demand for passenger and freight services,           freight were transported by air, reaching 205 billion freight
technological progress and associated investment have           tonne-kilometres (FTKs). Every day, aviation moves over 10
combined to multiply the output of the aviation industry by a   million passengers and around USD 18 billion worth of
factor of more than 30. This expansion of air transport         goods on more than 100,000 flights13.
compares favourably with the broadest available measure
                                                                Asia/Pacific remained the largest region of activity with 33
of world output (global GDP), which, when measured in real
                                                                per cent of world traffic, followed by Europe and North
terms, has multiplied by more than five times over the same
                                                                America with 27 per cent and 24 per cent, respectively. The
period.
                                                                Middle East region represented 9 per cent of world traffic.
It is no mystery why air traffic growth has so consistently     The Latin America and Caribbean region accounted for 5
defied recessionary cycles. The air transport sector            per cent while the remaining 2 per cent of world traffic was
resisted these recessions precisely because it served as        undertaken by African airlines14.
one of the most effective tools for ending them – an
important consideration for governments at every level in a
challenging economic environment.
 14    AVIATION BENEFITS
Air Travel Affordability
A key driver in the growth of passenger traffic has been the
steady decrease in the real cost of air travel — over                A family trip from Milan to Paris in 1992 would have
60 per cent reduction since 197015. This decrease in cost            cost 25 times more than in 2017 - the minimum price
has led to an increase in accessibility of air travel —              for a ticket on this route has dropped from over € 400
democratization (from a pursuit reserved for the wealthy to          to about € 15 today.
a part of normal middle-class lives). Air travel is no longer a
luxury commodity. It is becoming increasingly accessible in                  Source: EU Aviation: 25 years of reaching new heights
the developing world, with various low-cost travel options
available to more and more people.
                                                                                                        AVIATION BENEFITS      15
                                                                                                             Source: ICAO
 16     AVIATION BENEFITS
agreements, including “open skies” agreements, to allow           continuous liberalization of international air transport to the
the industry to do business in a more favourable operating        benefit of all stakeholders and the economy at large. We will
environment and expand into new markets.                          be guided by the need to ensure respect for the highest
                                                                  levels of safety and security and the principle of fair and
In 2015, ICAO adopted the long-term vision for interna-
                                                                  equal opportunity for all States and their stakeholders 21.”
tional air transport liberalization, which states that “We, the
Member States of the ICAO, resolve to actively pursue the
                                                      Is Aviation Special?
     Aviation may be considered as “special” due to safety and security requirements and possibly the existence of
     environmental externalities. According to various economic studies, however, there is little or no evidence that
     aviation has unique economic characteristics, compared to other modes of transport and service industries.
     Nevertheless, more than a majority of bilateral air services agreements still include the 70-year-old traditional
     provisions partially because there is a significant cost in each State to change the well-established regulatory
     framework.
     The key to addressing the dynamic and rapid transformations shaping the aviation sector is the establishment and
     application of good regulatory practices and, more broadly, good governance – the institutional, regulatory, and
     policy frameworks in which air transport is designed, implemented and managed. For example, States should
     comply with ICAO’s global standards and policies; adhere to international air law instruments; separate their
     oversight functions from the operations of airports and air navigation services; enhance the transparency of relevant
     States’ policies and practices; take a data-driven approach, including an assessment of the impacts and results of
     the regulation, etc.
                                                                                                      AVIATION BENEFITS      17
Value of
Aviation:
Economic
Benefits
T    he growing availability of affordable air transport has considerably widened
     aviation's role in the modern global economy. Generating wealth and
employment from aviation is supported through its own activities and supply chains
                                                                                            The contribution of aviation
                                                                                            to the global economy is
                                                                                            approximately equivalent
(direct and indirect) and is an enabler of other industries (induced and tourism-
                                                                                            to the overall GDP of the
catalytic).
                                                                                            United Kingdom.
The total economic impact of the aviation industry is some 3.5 per cent of the
world's GDP, USD 2.7 trillion, which supports 62.7 million jobs worldwide 22.
                                                                                              23
                            Aviation's global employment and GDP impact, 2014
Direct Impacts
The aviation industry itself is a source of considerable         Aviation is also one of the most efficient sectors measured
economic activity, creating jobs that directly serve             in terms of GDP per worker. At USD 65 per worker per year,
passengers at airlines, airports and air navigation services     this is around three and a half times the average across the
providers. These include check-in, baggage handling, on-         world economy as a whole, exceeding most other sectors
site retail, cargo and catering facilities. Moreover, aviation   of the economy. Air transport employees are considered to
directly enables jobs in the manufacturing sector (those         be highly skilled, trained and experienced.
companies that produce aircraft, engines and other vital
technologies).
In order to transport 3.8 billion passengers to destinations
all over the globe and carry 53 million tonnes of freight, the
aviation industry generated 9.9 million direct jobs and
added USD 664.4 billion to world GDP (0.87%) 24. This is
about 70 per cent of the size of the automotive industry,
which accounts for 1.2 per cent of global GDP 25.
 20     AVIATION BENEFITS
Indirect Impacts                                                 Induced Impacts
The economic benefits of aviation extend much further            The spending of those directly or indirectly employed in the
than the industry’s direct impacts. The indirect impacts         aviation sector supports additional jobs in other sectors
include employment and economic activity generated by            such as retail outlets, companies producing consumer
suppliers to the aviation industry: aviation fuel suppliers;     goods and a range of service industries (for example,
construction companies that build airport facilities;            banks, telecommunication providers and restaurants).
suppliers of sub-components used in aircraft; manu-              Worldwide, over five million induced jobs are supported
facturers of goods sold in airport retail outlets; and a wide    globally through employees in the aviation industry
variety of activities in the business services sector (such as   (whether direct or indirect) using their income to purchase
call centres, information technology and accountancy).           goods and services for their own consumption.
Over 11 million indirect jobs are supported globally through     Furthermore, aviation's impact on other industries im-
the purchase of goods and services by companies in the           proves the efficiencies in a wide spectrum of economic
aviation industry. These indirect jobs contributed               activities, for example: offers just-in-time delivery systems
approximately USD 761 billion to global economic activity        in the supply chains; enables international investments into
in 2014 26.                                                      and out of countries and regions; and supports innovations
                                                                 by encouraging effective networking and collaboration
                                                                 between organizations located in different parts of the
                                                                 globe. Good air transport links influence where companies
                                                                 choose to invest. According to a survey, 56 per cent of
            Shared Value - Nuestra Huerta                        companies consider international transport links to be an
                                                                 essential factor in where to locate a business in Europe 27.
   “Nuestra Huerta” (Our Garden) is a programme
   initiated by Mariscal Sucre International Airport,
   Quito, Ecuador, which aims to integrate the area's
   small agricultural producers in a chain of virtual
                                                                 Aviation Supports Tourism
   community commercialization. Currently, 16 pro-               Air transport activities
   ducers and their families, residing in parishes around        affect multiple sect-
   the airport, are participating in Our Garden. Four            ors of the economy,
   hundred airport employees consume 36 local                    especially tourism. The
   products of Our Garden, including fruits, dairy               connectivity brought
   products, vegetables, bread, desserts, cooked                 by air transport is at
   grains, and prepared food. In 2016, Our Garden                the heart of tourism
   generated 1,069 transactions, a 45 per cent                   development, provid-
   increase from 2015.                                           ing substantial econ-
   The programme involves training for producers in              omic benefits for all
   areas such as sound agricultural and manufac-turing           those involved in the tourism value chain. Currently,
   practices, industrial safety, social responsibility,          approximately 1.2 billion tourists are crossing borders
   entrepreneurship and innovation, accounting                   every year, over half of whom arrived at their destinations
   management, and customer service. With the                    by air 28.
   technical and financial advice of the Inter-American          In 2016, tourism supported a total of 292.2 million direct,
   Development Bank, the airport has started to turn             indirect and induced jobs globally and made up 10.2 per
   Our Garden into a shared value programme. The                 cent of world GDP, a total of USD 7.6 trillion29. Through a
   implementation phase is underway.                             synergetic relationship, aviation supports over 36 million
                         Source: Annual Report, 2016, Quiport    jobs within the tourism sector, contributing roughly USD
                                                                 892 billion a year to global GDP. Tourism-related GDP is
                                                                 projected to grow 4.0 per cent annually over the next
                                                                 decade, compared to 2.7 per cent growth of global GDP 30.
                                                                                                    AVIATION BENEFITS    21
Spending by international tourists is classified as visitor                        Projected growth in tourism
exports and accounted for over 5 per cent of world trade 31.                   facilitated by aviation, contribution
Tourism in many countries is a main source of foreign                               to global GDP, 2014-2025 34
exchange earnings. Particularly for Least Developed
Countries (LDCs), Landlocked Developing Countries
(LLDCs) and Small Island Developing States (SIDS),
tourism is often one of the few activities, for which their
location, coupled with exceptional natural and cultural
resources, is a strong competitive advantage. Part of
foreign exchange earnings do trickle down to different
groups of a given society. If tourism is managed with a
strong focus on poverty alleviation, it can have a positive
impact on reducing poverty levels through employment of
local people in tourism enterprises, goods and services
provided to tourists, or the running of small and
community-based enterprises, etc.32 The graduation of
Cabo Verde (2007), Maldives (2011) and Samoa (2014)
from LDC status was driven by the strong growth and
performance of tourism33.
 22    AVIATION BENEFITS
Business tourism, specifically meetings, incentives,                 transportation. Air cargo ser-                  Air freight, as a propor-
conferences and exhibitions (MICE) activity, relies signifi-         vice routes are regarded as                     tion of global trade, by
cantly on the availability of air travel and can generate a          regional lifelines for these areas.             volume and by value,
bigger economic impact because business travellers                                                                   2014
                                                                     Although the demand for air
spend more, at least per day, than leisure visitors do. In
                                                                     freight is limited by cost, which is
addition to the expected benefits in the hotel, restaurant,
                                                                     typically 4 to 5 times that of road
and retail sectors, tourism also fosters growth in industries
                                                                     transport and 12 to 16 times
as varied as agriculture, business services, construction,
                                                                     that of sea transport 35 , the
and real estate.
                                                                     commodities shipped by air are
                                                                     those that have high value per
                                                                     unit density. Air freight consti-
                Air Connectivity Supports                            tutes 34.6 per cent of world
                    Caribbean Tourism                                trade by value, and total value of
                                                                     transported goods of USD 6.4
   The Caribbean region is heavily reliant on tourism for
                                                                     trillion, despite representing only
   its economic health. In many markets such as Cuba,
                                                                     0.5 per cent by volume36. In
   Guyana, Martinique (France), Saint Lucia, Trinidad
                                                                     2016, air freight carried on
   and Tobago, and Dominican Republic, over 90 per
                                                                     scheduled services grew to 34
   cent of tourists arrive by air. Although for some, such
                                                                     million tonnes internationally and
   as Bahamas and Saint Kitts and Nevis, the share of
                                                                     53 million tonnes overall 37, in line
   arrivals by air is much lower (around 20 per cent),
                                                                     with improving economic pros-
   this can be explained by the importance of the cruise
                                                                     p e c t s , g re a t e r i n d u s t r i a l
   industry and limited direct international air
                                                                     production, and more confident
   connectivity. In 2014, aviation supported USD 27
                                                                     consumers.
   billion in tourist spending across the region, of which
   USD 24.3 billion was leisure tourism and USD 2.7
   billion was business tourism. This amount would be
   sufficient to cover public spending on healthcare
   and education in the entire region.                                                 Flowers from Small Growers
      Source: A Blueprint for Maximizing the Social and Economic
                                     Value of Aviation, 2016, IATA
                                                                                        Around the World - Kenya
                                                                          In Kenya, over 100,000 jobs (and 500,000 livelihoods)
                                                                          depend on the cut flower industry, which supports 1.6
                                                                          per cent of the national economy, generating around
A Driver of Global Trade and                                              USD 1 billion in foreign exchange each year.
                                                                          Horticulture is Kenya’s fastest growing sector and is
E-commerce                                                                ranked third after tourism and tea as a foreign
                                                                          exchange earner. Over 90 per cent of fresh
As a trade facilitator, aviation increases the global reach of
                                                                          horticultural products are transported by air freight.
businesses, enabling them to get products to market in a
                                                                          An estimated 70 per cent of the flowers are grown at
more convenient and quicker way. It allows businesses to
                                                                          the rim of Lake Naivasha, northwest of Nairobi. There
be more responsive to the needs of customers and
                                                                          are good road network connections between the
improves communication between buyers and sellers,
                                                                          Lake Naivasha growing area and Nairobi’s Jomo
including just-in-time inventory management and build-to-
                                                                          Kenyatta International Airport, a distance of about 80-
order production.
                                                                          100 kilometres. Flowers picked in the morning reach
Lower transport costs and improved connectivity have                      markets in Amsterdam by evening.
boosted trade flows by globalizing supply chains and                             Source: Kenya Flower Council website and Air Freight: A
associated investments. The availability of air transport                        Market Study with Implications for Landlocked Countries,
allows especially LDCs, LLDCs and SIDS to overcome                                                                  2009, The World Bank
infrequent boat services or poor infrastructure for ground
                                                                                                                    AVIATION BENEFITS    23
Aviation’s speed and reliability has contributed to the
market for “same-day” and “next-day” delivery services           In 2016, air freight carried 53 million tonnes of goods
and transportation of urgent or time-sensitive goods, giving     worth USD 6.4 trillion – almost twice the total GDP of
it an advantage over other modes of transport. High value        Germany!
electrical components and perishable products such as                Source: United Nations Statistics Division – December 2016
food and flowers, are transported all over the world through
the efforts of cargo integrators, providing steady
employment and economic growth to regions benefiting           to the formal sector and from domestic to international
from such trade.                                               markets.
Driven by advances in internet business, electronic            Some 87 per cent of B2C (business-to-consumer) e-
commerce (e-commerce) is increasingly influencing the          commerce parcels are currently carried by air. The e-
way enterprises interact among themselves, and with            commerce share of scheduled international mail tonne
consumers and governments 38. It can be a catalyst for the     kilometres (MTKs) grew from 16 per cent to 74 per cent
transition of trade transactions involving micro, small        between 2010 and 2015 and is estimated to grow to 91 per
and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) from the informal         cent by 2025 39.
 24    AVIATION BENEFITS
Regional
Economic
Impact of
Aviation
                          Regional Economic Impact of Aviation     40
AFRICA
Of all global regions, the African aviation market is probably
the one with the most potential for growth. This is because
of its emerging industrial sector and its potential in servicing
a large and developing population. The economic activity of
the continent is improving but is still catching up to other
regions of the world.
Air transport supports 6.8 million jobs and USD 72.5
billion in GDP in Africa.
EUROPE
Europe has one of the most liberalized and integrated
markets in the world. The single aviation market created by
the European Union (EU) was subsequently expanded to
the European Common Aviation Area (ECAA). Over 40 per
cent of seats are offered by LCCs, which is the highest
among all regions.
Air transport supports 11.9 million jobs and USD 860
billion in GDP in Europe.
 26     AVIATION BENEFITS
LATIN AMERICA AND THE
CARIBBEAN
Latin America and the Caribbean aviation sector has been
growing in recent years, with expansion expected to
continue over the next two decades. However, infrastruc-
ture deficiencies and higher taxes on the sale or use of air
transport are constraints to creating jobs and generating
economic benefits.
Air transport supports 5.2 million jobs and USD 167
billion in GDP in Latin America and the Caribbean.
MIDDLE EAST
The Middle East region continues to strengthen its hub
position, connecting the European and Asia-Pacific
markets in line with the west to east shift of the geograph-
ical centre of gravity of air transport operations. The region
now ranks third in international passenger traffic, having
overtaken North America since 2012.
Air transport supports 2.4 million jobs and USD 157.2
billion in GDP in the Middle East.
NORTH AMERICA
North America is, along with Europe, a very mature,
consolidated and liberalized market in need of new
technology implementation to improve efficiency in aircraft
operations. Much of the growth of the region can be
attributed to the status of North America as a manufac-
turing powerhouse.
Air transport supports 7.6 million jobs and USD 791
billion in GDP in North America.
                                                                 AVIATION BENEFITS   27
Value of
Aviation:
Social
Benefits
A       viation creates unique possibilities for empowering
        nations and peoples, regardless of their geographic
location. It is a means of allowing people to access what they
                                                                  In addition, aviation supports the provision of humanitarian
                                                                  aid to areas facing natural disasters, famine and war –
                                                                  through cargo deliveries, refugee transfers or the evacuation
need: improved livelihoods, food, healthcare, education,          of people. Natural disasters often cut off whole comm-
safe communities and spaces, etc. Whether it be responses         unities. Humanitarian assistance in such circumstances can
to crises in hours of dire need, humanitarian aid, or leisure     only reach those in need through the use of airports and air
activities like vacations and visiting friends and relatives,     services. In 2015, the World Food Programme (WFP)
aviation plays a vital role in promoting social causes and        delivered 62,500 tonnes of food and commodities by air to
satisfying needs around the world. For all vulnerable groups,     relieve victims of floods, conflict and disease 43.
as well as for migrant communities and people living in
remote and low density rural areas, air transport services are
a lifeline to enhance their social inclusion 41.                                       Air Ambulances
                       Safely Connecting People and                 People living in rural and remote areas may face
                       Businesses is of paramount imp-              particular challenges. Sourcing food and socialization
    SAFELY
                       ortance in the operation of approxi-         can be difficult, and one of the biggest obstacles that
  CONNECTING
                       mately 100,000 daily flights. Today,         has to be overcome is healthcare.
  PEOPLE AND           aviation is by far the world’s safest
   BUSINESS                                                         One example of this is in Norway, where residents of
                       and most efficient mode of long-
                                                                    rural towns benefit from Air Ambulance Services, a
                       range mass transportation.
                                                                    programme put in place in 1988 to provide prompt and
Over the last ten years, the world’s commercial aviation            easy access to healthcare. With a budget of around
industry has improved overall safety performance by 54 per          800 million Norwegian kroner (USD 91 million) and
cent, with an accident rate of 1.61 accidents per million           20,000 patients helped annually, this service allows
sectors in 2016, compared to 3.53 in 200742. The safety             remote areas in Norway to maintain their population
levels that global air transport enjoys today represent an          and assure the urgent care of their medical needs.
achievement built on the determination and efforts of the                                         Source: luftambulansetjenesten
entire aviation community.
                       Aviation provides the only possible
                       transportation means for certain
    HEALTH AND         Health and Humanitarian Aid. A                                    Ensuring inclusive and equitable
  HUMANITARIAN prime example of how aviation                                             Educational Opportunities and
                       contributes to public health is the
          AID                                                       EDUCATIONAL promoting lifelong learning are funda-
                       rapid delivery of medical supplies
                       and organs for transplantation
                                                                   OPPORTUNITIES mental needs in a society. The
                                                                                         number of students who chose to
                       worldwide. Not only are these vital                               study abroad increased from 2.1
medical supplies time-sensitive, making other modes of                                   million in 2000 to 4.6 million in 2015,
transport unviable over long distances, but their                                        indicating a new generation of mobile
destinations are often remote areas where other transport         young people eager to learn and expand their horizons 44.
modes are limited. The
role of aviation is also                                          For many, access to higher quality education necessitates
critical in pandemic re-     In 2012, UPS transported             travelling abroad, sometimes to another region of the globe.
sponse. When a viral         over   375,000 influenza             Without air transport, these opportunities would not be
outbreak occurs in one       vaccines  in prefilled syringes      feasible, particularly for shorter-term university exchange
part of the world, the air   from  the   United States to         programmes such as the European Erasmus system. For
transport sector can         Lao   People’s    Democratic         students from developing countries, the opportunity to
work quickly with gov-       Republic,     maintaining        a   travel to established universities for higher education is
ernments and inter-          temperature   of 2°C  to 8°C.        invaluable. Not only does this promote individual personal
national organizations to         Source: UPS, The logistics of   development, but it also delivers consequential benefits for
ensure that it does not                            saving lives   the home country, since these students return home armed
travel further.
 30     AVIATION BENEFITS
with the knowledge and skills to contribute to their home                                    Aviation contributes to Improv-
economy 45.                                                              IMPROVING           ing Quality of Life by broadening
The aviation industry itself also champions quality education              QUALITY          people’s leisure and cultural exper-
for its own employees in areas such as engineering, air traffic            OF LIFE          iences. It provides an affordable
management and pilot training. The manufacturing sector,                                    means to visit distant friends and
in particular, is working hard to promote education in                                      relatives. Low-cost and more
science, technology, engineering and mathematics. ICAO                                      frequent access to air travel has
launched the Next Generation of Aviation Professionals                increased the range of potential holiday destinations.
(NGAP) initiative to ensure that adequate qualified aviation          As people move for employment, educational or lifestyle
professionals are available to operate, manage and maintain           reasons, many families are now located in different regions
the future international air transport system going forward.          around the world. These movements have resulted in far
                                                                      greater cross-border ties between individuals and States.
                                                                      The International Labour Organization (ILO) estimates that
                Top 10 destination countries
                                                                      migrant workers make up 4.4 per cent of all workers
              for international students, 2015
                                                                      globally, and that one in six workers in high-income
                                                                      countries travelled there from another country46. Many of the
                                                                      host countries of migrant workers, particularly in Europe,
                                                                      have aging populations, making the international labour
                                                                      market essential for their long-term economic well-being
                                                                      and to support those of pensionable age.
                                                                                                           AVIATION BENEFITS       31
                                                 Essential Air Services
The assurance of “essential services” has generally been considered to be a major responsibility of States. Although
there is no uniform definition of essential services, such services may be described as basic economic services of
general interest, which are necessary for the efficient functioning of society. They consist of those which are
indispensable to life and health (for example, water, electricity and gas supplies) and those which are vital for the
assurance of social participation (for example, postal, telecommunication and transport services), with some variations
reflecting different economic, social, political and cultural developments among States. The term “public service” is
often used to describe an essential service in the energy, transport, and certain broadcasting sectors, while the term
“universal service” is used in relation to the health, postal and telecommunication sectors.
Since many air services to remote or peripheral destinations may not be commercially viable (i.e. rendering any
operation unprofitable), mainly due to a very low traffic volume, they would not be provided by the market in the absence
of government intervention or some kinds of subsidies and incentives. The result here is that choice may be limited or
non-existent. Theoretically, if such air services could be supported by the State concerned in a way that would not
distort the normal working of the market, welfare (economic and social benefits) would be maximized with the continued
provision of an adequate level of services. An additional dimension is that in several instances the responsible authorities
clearly recognize the socio-political value of such initiatives both in terms of public satisfaction or the need to secure
“widespread buy-in” to a specific programme such as liberalization initiative.
Another objective of assurance of essential air services is to facilitate and even drive economic development, primarily
through stimulating inward tourism and investments. Tourism is increasingly being recognized by the international
community and its institutions as a focal instrument for development, with special emphasis on the capacity of the
sector to assist poverty alleviation. For many LDCs, LLDCs and SIDS, in particular, tourism is often, or has the potential
to be, their major export and offers one common comparative advantage that these States share in the services-
dominated global marketplace.
                                  Source: A Study of an Essential Service and Tourism Development Route Scheme, 2005, ICAO-UNWTO
32   AVIATION BENEFITS
Sustainable
Air Transport
Solutions
I n September 2015, world leaders gathered at the UN and
  adopted the Transforming our World: 2030 Agenda for
Sustainable Development 47. This Agenda is a plan of action
                                                                  between air transport and tourism, aviation directly
                                                                  contributes to SDG Target 8.9: devise and
                                                                  implement policies to promote sustainable tourism
for people, planet and prosperity and seeks to strengthen         that creates jobs and promotes local culture and
universal peace in larger freedom. The world should aim to        products by 2030.
achieve the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
                                                               • SDG 9, building resilient infrastructure, promoting
and 169 targets by 2030.
                                                                 inclusive and sustainable industrialization and
Attainment of the SDGs relies on advances in sustainable         fostering innovation, is a prerequisite to the mobility
air transport, which is a driver of sustainable development.     of people and goods. Aviation is one of the most
Needs for assistance and capacity-building, including            innovative industries in the world. The manufac-
infrastructure, should be mapped out and prioritized in line     turing sector is continually developing new
with the SDGs. All stakeholders must make a genuine              technology and creates significant urban infrastruc-
commitment to transforming the transport system in terms         ture through the construction of airports and
of individual travel and freight into one that is “safe,         navigational infrastructure 51.
affordable, accessible, efficient, and resilient while
minimizing carbon and other emissions and environmental
impacts”48.
                                                                Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme
                                                                   for International Aviation (CORSIA)
                                                               The social and economic benefits of aviation come
                                                               with an environmental cost. For aviation to grow
                                                               sustainably, it is vital to improve the environmental
                                                               performance of air transport, and in particular to
                                                               tackle climate change, which is a global problem
                                                               and requires global efforts.
                                                               In October 2016, the 39th Session of ICAO's
                                                               Assembly reached a historic agreement on a global
                                                               market-based measure to address CO2 emissions
                                                               from international aviation, referred to as the
Affordability is key, most especially if transportation        Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for
networks in the 21st century are to be truly inclusive, and    International Aviation (CORSIA). This agreed
fulfil their promise to provide the practical mobility that    scheme is the first GMBM that addresses CO2
is so urgently needed today. Accessibility is another fund-    emissions from any industry sector. It complements
amental requirement, because only 30 per cent of the           the many other efforts to mitigate CO2 emissions,
world’s over 7.5 billion people have access to an              including driving greater innovation in aircraft
international airport within 100 kilometres radius 49 .        technologies, more streamlined operational
Resiliency also helps to highlight that the massive            procedures and sustainable alternative fuels.
investments required for quality aviation infrastructure
and modernization worldwide must be directed to well-          To accommodate the special circumstances and
managed projects and products with dedicated account-          respective capabilities of States, the implement-
ability and quality assurance mechanisms.                      ation of CORSIA will begin with a pilot phase from
                                                               2021 through 2023, followed by a first phase from
Many of the SDGs are directly and indirectly connected to      2024 through 2026. Participation in both of these
sustainable air transport. Besides the aforementioned          early stages will be voluntary and the next phase
social and economic benefits, aviation contributes to the      from 2027 to 2035 would see all States on board.
SDGs 50 in the following ways:                                 Some exemptions were accepted for LDCs, LLDCs
    • SDG 8 calls on governments to promote inclusive          and SIDS and States with very low levels of
      and sustainable economic growth, employment and          international aviation activity.
      decent work for all. Through policy convergence
 34    AVIATION BENEFITS
• SDG 11 aims at making cities inclusive, safe,                     global CO 2 emissions produced by human activity;
  resilient and sustainable. Aviation plays a funda-                international aviation is responsible for approximately
  mental role in overcoming the social exclusion of                 1.3 per cent of global CO2 emissions 53.
  vulnerable groups because aviation-related
                                                             Progress towards the goals needs to be monitored and
  infrastructure is a major part of urban and rural
                                                             evaluated by adequate and quality data. ICAO is a
  communities worldwide and contributes to the
                                                             custodial agency responsible for collecting traffic data and
  connectivity of populations through integrated
                                                             sharing the information with the UN system to support the
  transport links 52.
                                                             agreed global indicator (passenger and freight volumes by
• SDG 13, urgent action to combat climate change             mode of transport) of the SDG target 9.1 – Develop quality,
  and its impacts, is a key priority for every responsible   reliable, sustainable and resilient infrastructure with a focus
  citizen or organization today. According to most           on affordable and equitable access for all 54. This global
  recent figures from the Intergovernmental Panel on         indicator helps States to take a data-driven approach and
  Climate Change (IPCC), aviation (domestic and inter-       address infrastructure gaps through appropriate policy and
  national) accounts for approximately 2 per cent of         financing interventions.
                                                                                                 AVIATION BENEFITS    35
Modernizing
Aviation to
Maximize
its Benefits
A    ccording to the latest long-term traffic forecasts, by
     2034, both air passenger traffic and air freight traffic
are expected to more than double, compared to 2016.
                                                                If this projected growth is achieved, then in 2034, aviation
                                                                will provide a total of 99 million jobs consisting of 14.9
                                                                million direct jobs, 39.6 million indirect and induced jobs,
Passenger traffic is expected to be over 14 trillion RPKs       and 44.6 million tourism-catalytic jobs. It will also generate
with a growth of 4.5 per cent per annum, and freight will       a total of USD 5.9 trillion in GDP, a 122 per cent increase
expand by 4.2 per cent annually over the same time period,      from 2014, consisting of direct contribution of USD 1.5
reaching 466 billion FTKs 55.                                   trillion, indirect and induced contributions of USD 3.9
                                                                trillion, and tourism-catalytic contribution of 0.5 trillion 56.
 38    AVIATION BENEFITS
                                                                   (2005-2013). In comparison, road transport was allocated a
Funding, Financing and                                             share of 54.7 per cent, which amounts to USD 60.9 billion58.
Investment                                                         Unlike other modes of transport, the aviation industry has
                                                                   been paying for a vast majority of its own infrastructure
To foster this projected growth in a sustainable manner, a         costs (runways, airport terminals, air traffic control), rather
large number of investments in the modernization and               than being financed through taxation, public investment or
expansion of quality aviation infrastructure are required          subsidies. Infrastructure costs are covered through
over a long period. The global investment needs for airport        payments of user charges, most of which are added to
expansion and construction, for example, are estimated at          airfares. In 2016, airlines and passengers were estimated
USD 1.8 trillion from 2015 to 2030 57. Investment in aviation      to have paid USD 125.9 billion to airports and air navigation
infrastructure ensures that the capacity of the global
aviation system can meet future demand; generate gains
such as reductions in travel time and improvement of
service predictability and reliability; and, at the same time,
maintain public confidence that aviation is safe, secure and
environmentally responsible.
Although aviation's socio-economic benefits, its cross-
cutting nature and multiple links to other economic sectors
are widely recognized, this has rarely translated into the level
of investment which is necessary to truly derive these
benefits. It is noteworthy that air transport received a mere
4.2 per cent (USD 4.6 billion) of the total Official
Development Assistance (ODA) provided by all donors for
economic infrastructure and services for the past decade
                                                                                                       AVIATION BENEFITS    39
services providers59. In addition, airlines and their cust-
                                                                      Airport operators have moved beyond being mere
omers were estimated to generate USD 117 billion in tax
                                                                      infrastructure providers for aeronautical activities, to
revenues in 2016, which is equivalent to 45 per cent of the
                                                                      varied and far-reaching enterprises. Non-aeronautical
industry’s gross value added (firm-level equivalent to
                                                                      and non-operating revenues make up 39.8 and 4.2
GDP)60, paid to local, provincial and national authorities
                                                                      per cent, respectively. These revenues contribute to
through passenger duties, domestic value-added tax,
                                                                      the diversification in an airport's income portfolio.
customs and immigration levies, etc.
                                                                                                                           Source: ACI
To build a transparent, stable and predictable investment
climate, it is necessary for States to take pragmatic
measures, for example, by engaging multi-stakeholders,                                     Investments into
diversifying funding sources and elevating the role of the                                 infrastructure and
private sector, including through private investment,                                          technology
business reform, private finance initiatives, public-private
partnerships (PPP) and various incentive schemes.                           Sustainable
                                                                                                                    Improved
                                                                             economic
                                                                                                                air connectivity
                                                                              growth
Airport Development and                                                    Opportunities
                                                                                                                Better end-user
Expansion                                                                   for import
                                                                            and export
                                                                                                                  experience
Airports are capital intensive businesses. If airport                             Improved flow          Global market
infrastructure improvements cannot keep pace with the                              of goods and         access & traffic
projected demand growth, then in 2030, congestion at the                             products               growth
100 largest airports in the world will result in as much as
1,200 million passengers (i.e. around 20 per cent of the
demand) lost or redirected to less attractive airports. As          The key consideration is whether value is created both for
these airports represent 85 per cent of the global demand           investors, relative to overall airport costs, and for
in 2030, the number of passengers affected by congestion            passengers and other airport customers. Value creation
amounts to 17 per cent of all traffic 61.                           not only helps generate returns but also ensures the future
                                                                    availability of capital to fund operations and future
Airport development projects are very large in scope and
                                                                    innovations. Many airports have dedicated themselves to
have a long time horizon from planning to completion,
                                                                    delivering a stellar customer experience. Promoting a
usually with multiple adjustments to the original plan along
                                                                    culture of continuous service improvement has become a
the way. They are also complex because of the involvement
                                                                    matter of gaining competitive advantage, building business
of a wide variety of stakeholders and revenue sources.
                                                                    confidence and optimizing non-aeronautical revenue
Airport operators have moved beyond being mere
                                                                    performance.
infrastructure providers for aeronautical activities, to varied
and far-reaching enterprises. Non-aeronautical and non-             In addition, through their community outreach efforts,
operating revenues make up 39.8 and 4.2 per cent,                   airports continue to foster closer links to local residents and
respectively. These revenues contribute to the diversif-            neighbourhoods. Successful cases of airport-community
ication in an airport's income portfolio.                           cooperation have led to decreased crime rates, greater
                                                                    employment, and an increase in the number of successful
Airports no longer operate as a homogeneous group of
                                                                    firms in and around the airport.
public utilities. Instead they are a heterogeneous group with
ownership structures ranging from government-owned, to
partially or fully privatized. Even government-owned and
government-managed airports are increasingly required to
                                                                    Integrated Transport Planning
have a commercial focus. Nevertheless, most of the private
                                                                    The work of the UN Secretary-General’s High-Level
investment typically flows to airports with a sufficient critical
                                                                    Advisory Group on Sustainable Transport (2016) 62 and the
mass of traffic to guarantee an expected return for investor
                                                                    Global Sustainable Transport Conference (Ashgabat,
outlay.
                                                                    2016)63 highlighted the need to integrate all sustainable
 40     AVIATION BENEFITS
                                                                  freight and people, it is important that standards and
                 Belt and Road Initiative                         procedures are harmonized across countries and modes of
  The Belt and Road initiative is a development strategy          transport. Whether a shipment is crossing a national
  proposed by China that aims to promote the                      border, or a passenger is transferring from an aircraft to
  connectivity of Asian, European and African                     train or car, the infrastructure and operational links among
  continents and their adjacent seas, establish and               modes should be well-conceived and as seamless as
  strengthen partnerships among over 65 countries                 possible 64.
  along the Belt and Road. The identified 65 countries            Increased connectivity, combined with ever advancing
  jointly account for 62 per cent and 30 per cent of the          technological capabilities like high-speed rail, can create
  world’s population and GDP, respectively. In the next           competition for airlines. Such alternatives will, however,
  five years, China is estimated to invest up to USD 150          remain limited to short-haul routes. They are less flexible
  billion in Belt and Road countries and regions.                 than the connectivity offered by aviation because of the
  The initiative calls for the integration of the region into a   vast investment required in “locked” infrastructure on the
  cohesive economic area through building infrastruc-             ground.
  ture, increasing culture exchanges, and broadening              The strategic placement of quality intermodal infrastructure
  trade. On the basis of respecting each other’s                  does not only enhance the connectivity of airports but also
  sovereignty and security concerns, countries along              supports the sustainable social, economic and environ-
  the Belt and Road should improve the connectivity of            mental development of the region. For example, several
  their infrastructure construction plans and technical           airports have structured their development with the
  standards systems, jointly push forward the                     aerotropolis concept (airport city) which integrates airports
  construction of international trunk passageways, and            with business centres and local communities, providing far
  form an infrastructure network connecting all sub-              reaching benefits for many stakeholders. Land-use
  regions in Asia, and between Asia, Europe and Africa            planning and management is also a vital instrument in
  step by step.                                                   ensuring that the activities nearby airports are compatible
  Countries need to improve the region’s infrastructure,          with aviation, and that the gains achieved by the reduced
  and put in place a secure and efficient network of land,        noise of the latest generation of aircraft are not offset by
  sea and air passages, lifting their connectivity to a higher    further residential development around airports.
  level to further enhance trade and investment facilitation.
  For air transport, the initiative calls for expansion and
  building platforms and mechanisms for comprehensive
                                                                  Optimizing Air Traffic
  civil aviation cooperation, and quickening the pace in
  improving aviation infrastructure.
                                                                  Management
                                                                  The optimization and im-
                                                                  provement of the overall            Upgrading air traffic
                                                                  aviation system generates           systems would add
                                                                  substantial economic and            an estimated USD
transport planning efforts with a balanced development of
                                                                  environmental gains in the          300 billion per year to
transport modes. Intermodal or multi-modal connectivity
                                                                  face of dramatic traffic growth     the global economy.
with air transport should encompass all modes of
                                                                  projections and the pressing                  Source: Boeing
transportation flows to, from and within the airport.
                                                                  need for more determined
Policies to promote intermodal transport connectivity aim         and effective climate related
to enhance the mobility of people and businesses travelling       stewardship.
or transporting goods through airports by creating efficient
and comprehensive transport systems.                              In Europe, the Single European Sky Air Traffic Management
                                                                  Research (SESAR) project aims to consolidate fragmented
Close cooperation between the airport, city and govern-           European airspace into a single zone. This will enable far
ment is a precondition to link the airport infrastructure with    more efficient routing for civil aircraft, resulting in savings
the road and railway networks, and to enable other urban          between 8 and 14 minutes of flight time, 300 to 500
planning initiatives to further increase connectivity and user    kilograms of fuel, and 948 to 1,576 kilograms of CO2 per
satisfaction. Especially in the long-range movement of
                                                                                                      AVIATION BENEFITS    41
flight. The implementation of the SESAR project requires a
total of € 3.7 billion investment from 2008 to 202465.           Engine of Growth: Innovation
There are parallel initiatives in other regions. In the United   and Exploration
States, the Next Generation Air Transportation System
(NextGen) is the ongoing transformation from a ground-           Today’s aerospace and aircraft manufacturing industry
based system of air traffic control to a satellite-based         seeks to produce more efficient aircraft which safely
system of air traffic management, resulting in an overall        accommodate increasing demand. Modern aircraft
benefit-to-cost ratio of 3-to-166. In the Asia and Pacific       produced today are about 80 per cent more fuel efficient
region, upgrading air navigation services would increase the     per passenger kilometre than in the 1960s, and each new
overall aviation contribution to regional GDP from USD 470       generation of aircraft continues this downward trend.
billion in 2010 to USD 2,358.76 billion by the year 2030 67.
 42     AVIATION BENEFITS
aerospace manufacturers generated close to 30 per cent
of overall Canadian manufacturing R&D and the industry                    How Safety Affects Air Traffic
was six times as R&D intensive (18%) as the manufacturing
industry average70.                                             The growth of air traffic depends on various factors
                                                                such as airfares, relative prices, real income, level of
Aviation’s focus on technological innovation generates          output, etc. Although there is not a clear
consequential benefits for wider society. The benefits to       understanding of how safety performance affects
society of research and development spending by the             traffic demand, public safety reputation might affect
aerospace industry are estimated to be much higher than in      travellers’ choice of destinations and airlines. Acci-
manufacturing as a whole. Every USD 100 million of              dent and incident might lead to an immediate decline
spending on research eventually generates additional GDP        of demand to travel with the particular airline. For
benefits of USD 70 million, year after year71. Aerospace also   airlines and States with already high safety records,
drives the development of technologies that can be used in      further improvement of safety performance might be
other sectors.                                                  less significant for their traffic growth.
The continued demand for new technology nurtures the            A potential impact of safety on traffic demand can be
development of specialized parts manufacturing clusters         estimated using the econometric model, which uses
worldwide. In turn, the growth of these clusters creates an     an effective Implementation (EI) score measured by
increasing demand for highly-skilled technicians and            the ICAO Universal Safety Oversight Audit Pro-
designers from local communities. This improves the             gramme Continuous Monitoring Approach as a proxy
educational, career and wage prospects of residents, as         to each State’s safety performance. With all other
well as their quality of life.                                  factors affecting traffic being constant, this
                                                                hypothetical analysis suggests that 10 per cent
                                                                improvement of the EI of a State’s safety oversight
                                                                system might generate, on average, an additional 1.8
                                                                per cent of aircraft departures from the State
                                                                concerned.
                                                                                                            Source: ICAO
                                                                                                 AVIATION BENEFITS   43
Leading
Aviation
for a Better
Future
A     viation makes the dream and desire of being able to fly
      a reality. As we see in this report, it is in the business of
connecting people, overcoming oceans and borders, and
                                                                        by just 1 per cent annually, the total number of jobs to be
                                                                        supported by the air transport sector would be over 10 per
                                                                        cent less (more than 10 million) and the contribution of the
creating significant economic benefits. At the same time,               air transport sector to world GDP would be around 12 per
aviation has vastly enhanced the safety of flight, and                  cent less (USD 690 billion lower)73.
addressed ever-changing security challenges.
                                                                        So, can we say that the current air transport system is
Other means of access that are available — telecomm-                    sustainable? The quick answer is not yet, and that one of
unication, e-commerce, and perhaps, 3-D printing, may, in               the main impediments to sustainability is fragmen-
the near future, substitute some air travel or impact the               tation—fragmentation of the industry along national and
growth and nature of the demand. Nonetheless, moving                    regional lines, fragmentation of the economic value chain.
people and goods over short and long distances remains                  Whether the fragmentation is geographic or economic—or
vital to sustainable development. The key is meeting the                a combination of the two — barriers posed to the air
needs of people in their personal and economic lives while              transport system impede efficiency, generate friction and
respecting the ability of future generations to meet their              hinder growth. Removing operational and/or regulatory
needs: the essence of sustainable development 72 .                      barriers and deficiencies is of fundamental importance to
                                                                        ensure and promote sustainable air transport and
                                                                        maximize its contribution to economies.
   “The desire to fly is an idea handed down to us by our               For example, air transport suffers from a fragmented
   ancestors who... looked enviously on the birds                       regulatory system, which proved its value in the past but
   soaring freely through space... on the infinite highway              needs to be profoundly adapted for the demands of today
   of the air.”                                                         and, most assuredly, tomorrow. That fragmentation could
                                                                        increase if countries move away from global practices,
                        Wilbur Wright, inventor and aviation pioneer
                                                                        creating a fundamental challenge for the industry.
                                                                        Regulations should facilitate transformation and new
                                                                        technologies. Efforts in this respect must focus on the
The future of aviation is dependent upon a vibrant                      establishment and application of good regulatory practices
economy, which, in turn, relies on a strong international               and governance for air transport, including modernization,
community and healthy environment capable of supporting                 harmonization and convergence of regulatory approaches
over seven billion people. Other factors, such as regulatory            and regimes of States, and the promotion of connectivity,
regimes, technological improvements and fuel costs will                 competition, transparency and choice for consumers.
also impact future growth.
                                                                        Needless to say, aviation can only be sustainable if
Forecasts suggest that, in 2034, aviation will provide 99               it does not compromise
million jobs and generate USD 5.9 trillion in GDP, a 122 per            the environment. Techno-
cent increase from 2014. By any measure, these numbers                  logical progress and oper-
are impressive. However, if the traffic growth were to slow             ational improvements
                                                                        continue but the rate of
                                                                        traffic growth will result in a
                                                                        net increase in aircraft
          Economic Benefits of Liberalization                           noise and aviation emiss-
  Since the signature of the Air Transport Agreement                    ions without taking addit-
  between the European Union (EU) and the United                        ional measures. Even as
  States in 2007, 52 new routes have been opened, and                   early as 2010, ICAO and its
  6 million additional passengers have been flying                      Member States adopted
  between both sides of the Atlantic. The agreement                     the ambitious aspirational
  generated savings of € 230 per passenger compared                     goals for the international
  to ticket prices before the agreement was signed.                     aviation sector of “improv-
                                                                        ing fuel efficiency by two
      Source: Fact Sheet: An Ambitious International Aviation Policy,
                                     2017, European Commission          per cent per year and from
                                                                        2020 keeping net CO 2
                                                                        emissions at the same
 46     AVIATION BENEFITS
levels”. The more States join the Carbon Offsetting and
Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA),                             Check List:
which was adopted in October 2016, the higher                          Maximizing the Benefits of Aviation
environmental integrity can be achieved. Each State
participating in the CORSIA brings us closer to meeting the      The check list below provides a guide for maximizing
aspirational goal of carbon neutral growth from 2020.            aviation benefits in a sustainable manner. The
                                                                 implementation of this check list will require leadership
For sustainable air transport development, another               and concerted, coordinated actions from public
aspirational goal or long-term ambition will be “no              authorities at all levels, together with aviation
constraints of infrastructure capacity, technology and           stakeholders, financial sectors, and international and
financial resources for aviation development”. Quality           regional organizations.
aviation infrastructure should safely accommodate the
increase in air traffic demand, and respond to the diversified   Economic Development Planning – Mainstream
needs of providers, users and consumers, global                  the priorities of the aviation sector in States’ economic
environmental concerns, and other issues inherent in the         development planning so that aviation can be used as
current air transport systems.                                   an economic development driver.
In this regard, States should, in partnership with               Air Transport Regulatory Framework – Establish
international and regional organizations, the industry, as       and apply good governance for air transport, i.e. the
well as multi-lateral development banks and other financial      institutional, regulatory, and policy frameworks, in
institutions, inter alia:                                        which air transport is designed, implemented and
                                                                 managed.
  • diversify funding and financing sources with the
    elevation of the role of the private sector and the          Aviation Infrastructure – Develop quality aviation
    effective use of domestic resources and international        infrastructure (including air navigation systems and
    development funding;                                         airports) commensurate with the level of predicted
                                                                 traffic growth and based on ICAO’s global plans.
  • create enabling institutional, legal and regulatory
    frameworks to encourage investments;                         Resource Mobilization – Promote diversified
                                                                 funding and financing sources in partnership with
  • reflect the priorities of the aviation sector in             States, international and regional organizations, the
    national/regional development plans;                         industry, as well as multi-lateral development banks
  • integrate air transport and urban planning (including        and other financial institutions.
    land-use planning) initiatives with an appropriately-        Safety and Security – Comply with ICAO’s global
    balanced development of transport modes;                     standards and policies, as well as the industry
  • establish strategic infrastructure targets and               standards to continue enhancing civil aviation safety
    monitoring and evaluation frameworks using a data-           and security.
    driven approach; and                                         Environmental Protection – Reinforce efforts
  • design public awareness campaigns and education              toward minimizing the environmental effects from civil
    programmes to raise business confidence and foster           aviation activities, especially the achievement of the
    an informed and engaged public as a crucial partner.         aspirational goals of carbon neutral growth from
                                                                 2020.
We urge all stakeholders to pledge the highest level of
commitment to maximizing the benefits of aviation in a           Public Engagement – Foster an informed and
sustainable manner that is safe, affordable, accessible,         engaged public as a crucial partner to advance
efficient, resilient and environmentally responsible.            sustainable air transport solutions.
                                                                                                  AVIATION BENEFITS    47
Appendix:
Regional
Summary
AFRICA
The growth of passenger traffic (measured in revenue
passenger-kilometres (RPKs)) and load factors achieved by
African airlines has been systematically below the world
average since 2011. Few airlines in the region are able to
turn a profit due to lower load factors and higher costs than
the world average.
While the African States are in the process of implementing
the Yamoussoukro Decision concerning the liberalization of
access to air transport markets in Africa, the most notable
progress was made at the sub-regional group level,
especially led by Regional Economic Communities (RECs)
of the African Union (AU).
                                                                Total jobs and GDP supported
                                                                  by aviation in Africa, 2014
Benefits of Aviation                 74
 50    AVIATION BENEFITS
                                                                    However, it remains difficult for African States and aviation
Outlook                                                             stakeholders to access funds and/or ensure financing for the
                                                                    modernization and expansion of their infrastructure (such as
The African aviation market probably has the most potential         airports, runways, telecommunication equipment, air cargo
for growth out of all global regions. This is because it is a       warehousing, meteorology facilities, etc.). For example, the
young industry with a large and increasing population.              infrastructure and investment required for the aviation sector
However, this potential may not be fully translated into real       is not well covered by the Programme for Infrastructural
air traffic growth. According to ICAO's long-term traffic           Development for Africa (PIDA) and the New Partnership for
forecasts, passenger traffic for the Africa region is expected      Africa's Development (NEPAD), including the Move Africa
to grow by around 3.8 per cent annually up to 2032 but be           initiative. Of the over 50 projects under the PIDA, no more
slightly slower than world total growth. For freight traffic, the   than three projects involve civil aviation, despite the
region is projected to grow by 2.1 per cent annually for the        predication that 17 airports on the African continent will be
same period as passenger traffic, the slowest growth rate           saturated by 2020 77.
among all regions75.
                                                                    International assistance platforms for infrastructure develop-
This increase will, in turn, drive growth in the economic           ment in Africa, such as the Tokyo International Conference on
output and jobs that are supported by air transport in the          African Development (TICAD) and the Forum on China-Africa
next decade. By 2034, it is forecasted that the impact of air       Cooperation (FOCAC), have also paid limited attention to the
transport and the tourism it facilitates in Africa will have        aviation sector.
grown to support 12 million jobs (78 per cent more than in
2014) and a USD 198 billion contribution to GDP (a 173 per          In addition, the slow implementation of the Yamoussoukro
cent increase)76.                                                   Decision creates regulatory impediments to operational
                                                                    freedom and investments in aviation, and therefore results in
                                                                    lower connectivity in the continent and less competitiveness of
Challenges                                                          African airlines. Only 20 African States committed to
                                                                    implementing the Single African Air Transport Market (SAATM)
The first and most obvious condition to realizing aviation's        established in the framework of the Yamoussoukro Decision.
benefits and, consequently, supporting the attainment of the
                                                                    In the region, skills shortages are also posing a considerable
AU Agenda 2063 is to improve compliance with ICAO's global
                                                                    short-term obstacle to growth, with a lack of adequately
standards. It is necessary to establish and/or align
                                                                    trained pilots, air traffic controllers, engineers, as well as
infrastructure programmes and plans at the national/regional
                                                                    tourism industry personnel. Africa needs more and better
level that are consistent with the ICAO global strategic plans
                                                                    trained personnel to meet not only current requirements but
for aviation, and stimulate common and interoperable air
                                                                    also the needs for future growth and new technologies.
transport systems.
                                                                                                        AVIATION BENEFITS     51
ASIA AND PACIFIC
Airlines of Asia and Pacific have consistently recorded
passenger traffic growth higher than the world average
since 2009. In 2010, Asia and Pacific overtook North
America in RPK traffic and became the world's largest
region. Today, one third of worldwide RPKs are performed
by airlines registered in Asia and Pacific. Five of the top ten
countries in terms of tourism are located in Asia and Pacific.
The region also carries the largest share of freight traffic
with 40 per cent of the world freight (measured in freight
tonne-kilometres (FTKs)).
States in Asia and Pacific have the most diversified policies
on air transport, ranging from very liberal open skies
policies to traditional protectionist approaches. Neverthe-                      Total jobs and GDP supported
less, a majority of States have embarked on the road to                       by aviation in Asia and Pacific, 2014
liberalization in the past two decades, which led to rapid
growth of air traffic, especially in major markets such as
Australia, China, India, Japan, the Republic of Korea and
States belonging to the Association of Southeast Asian
Nations (ASEAN). Governments have also put significant
effort into upgrading and improving the quality of these
networks, with the region boasting a number of world class
aviation hubs.
Benefits of Aviation 78
Air transport supports 28.8 million jobs and USD 626 billion
in GDP in the Asia and Pacific region.
Besides the USD 133.3 billion of direct impact in GDP, the
sector impact reaches further through the Asia and Pacific
region economies. The effect of the procurement of goods          billion of economic impact. Direct, indirect and induced,
and services through the supply chain has an impact of            respectively, contribute USD 364 billion to the Asia and
USD 158.2 billion. The benefits that arise when employees         Pacific GDP. In addition, the spending of foreign tourists in
of the industry and its supply chain spend their wages in the     the region accounts for USD 261.8 billion of the total
local consumer economy account for another USD 72.9               economic impact.
 52     AVIATION BENEFITS
                                                                    massive investment in new infrastructure projects and for
Outlook                                                             the adequate maintenance and upgrading of those already
The wider trend of liberalization is likely to provide a further    in place. The investment needs for airport expansion and
boost to the region's expanding tourism industry, trade             construction in the region are estimated at USD 6.51 billion
connections, and air connectivity. According to ICAO's              per year till 202082.
long-term traffic forecasts, Asia and Pacific is expected to        With regard to public finance, governments must consider
be the fastest growing region in terms of passenger traffic,        how to mobilize greater domestic resources, access new
at an annual rate of 6.4 per cent up to 2032. For freight           external resources and improve public expenditure
traffic, the region is projected to grow 5.1 per cent annually      management. Concerning private finance, public-private
for the same period as passenger traffic, the second                partnerships have already become a key mechanism for
highest growth rate among all regions79.                            channelling private resources for infrastructure develop-
This increase will, in turn, drive growth in the economic           ment in the Asia and Pacific region83.
output and jobs that are supported by air transport in the          The projected expansion of the aviation sector in the region
next decade. By 2034, it is forecasted that the impact of air       will also bring the need for effective regulatory oversight
transport and the tourism it facilitates in Asia and Pacific will   that keeps pace with this growth, as well as the recruitment
have grown to support 44.3 million jobs (54 per cent more           and training of the necessary skilled manpower. The most
than in 2014) and a USD 1.7 trillion contribution to GDP (a         likely scenario is that airlines in the Asia and Pacific region
171 per cent increase)80.                                           will need to train an average of 13,983 pilots a year until
                                                                    2030 while the industry is only able to train 4,935 pilots a
                                                                    year 84.
Challenges                                                          In addition, the Asia and Pacific region has yet to achieve a
Aviation infrastructure improvements may not keep pace              kind of “seamless connectivity” that would allow countries
with the faster demand growth. Due to airport capacity              to make the optimal use of air transport, and thereby bring
constraints, in 2030, around 33 per cent of traffic at the          down transport and logistics costs. The facilitation of
region's 22 busiest airports will be lost or redirected to less     transport and the improvement of logistics performance
attractive airports81. Closing infrastructure gaps requires         would enhance the competitiveness of the region's
                                                                    developing countries85.
                                                                                                        AVIATION BENEFITS    53
     EUROPE
     Europe is one of the most liberalized regions in terms of air
     transport policies and activities led by the Member States
     of the European Union (EU). The EU single aviation market
     was originally created in 1997. By integrating neighbouring
     States into the single aviation market, a European
     Common Aviation Area (ECAA) was formed in 2006,
     covering 36 contracting parties.
     Today, half of international passengers worldwide are
     carried by European airlines. Europe overtook North
     America in 2012 and ranks second in total RPKs. European
     airlines have achieved load factors consistently higher than
     the world average since 2011. Within Europe, over 40 per
     cent of seats are offered by low-cost carriers (LCCs), which                    Total jobs and GDP supported
     is the highest among all regions.                                                by aviation in Europe, 2014
     Benefits of Aviation
     Air transport supports 11.9 million jobs and USD 860 billion
     in GDP in Europe86.
     Besides the USD 192.8 billion of direct impact in GDP, the
     sector impact reaches further through European
     economies. The effect of the procurement of goods and
     services through the supply chain has an impact of USD
     233.4 billion. The benefits that arise when employees of the
     industry and its supply chain spend their wages in the local
     consumer economy account for another USD 105.2 billion
     of economic impact. Direct, indirect and induced,               of 1.7 million people, earning a total of € 68.5 billion in 2013.
     respectively, contribute USD 531 billion to the GDP in          In addition, € 101.6 billion in GDP was generated, equal to
     Europe. In addition, the spending of foreign tourists in the    0.6 per cent of the GDP of Europe. Once European
     region accounts for USD 328.1 billion of the total economic     airports’ Direct, indirect, induced and catalytic (including
     impact87.                                                       tourism, trade, investments, etc.) economic impacts are
                                                                     taken into account, they supported roughly 4.1 per cent (€
     According to the estimate by the ACI-Europe study88,            647.5 billion) of total European GDP and 12.3 million jobs,
     European airports directly contributed to the employment        earning € 356 billion in income annually.
54     AVIATION BENEFITS
                                                                 three hours per day. In the most-likely scenario, this will
Outlook                                                          climb to 30 airports in 2035. Congestion in the network
                                                                 affects day-to-day delays but it also influences the ability to
Although the relative maturity and limited airport capacity in
                                                                 respond to an unusual event 91.
Western Europe leads to slower traffic growth, emerging
economies in the east are contributing to the overall growth     The economic impact associated with the gap between
in the region. According to ICAO’s long-term traffic             capacity and demand is estimated to be two million jobs
forecasts, total passenger traffic of Europe is expected to      and USD 132 billion (€ 96.7 billion) in GDP, including direct
grow by around 3.0 per cent annually up to 2032, the             activity at the airport, indirect and induced impacts, and the
slowest growth among all regions. For freight traffic, the       lost tourism, trade and investment due to low connectivity
region is projected to grow 2.6 per cent annually for the        growth. Furthermore, the majority of this loss is in the
same period as passenger traffic, slower than total world        general economy, not the airports or aviation sector 92.
growth89.
                                                                 Slower growth is a threat to aviation's long-term ability to
This increase will, in turn, drive growth in the economic        provide mobility in the region. For example, competition
output and jobs that are supported by air transport in the       with hubs in the Middle East region for connecting traffic
next decade. By 2034, it is forecasted that the impact of air    between West and East will result in slower growth of
transport and the tourism it facilitates in Europe will have     transferring passengers at European hubs on the long-haul
grown to support 17 million jobs (41 per cent more than in       traffic flows. Capability to continually improve cost
2014) and a USD 1.6 trillion contribution to GDP (an 86 per      efficiency will be restrained in a market with slower rates of
cent increase)90.                                                growth93.
                                                                 Moreover, as the geographic centre of gravity of air
Challenges                                                       transport operations and technology gains is increasingly
                                                                 outside Europe, the benefits that Europe has derived from
The restrictions of infrastructure development across the        being at the forefront of aviation could diminish. There is an
continent are leading to capacity shortfalls. According to       increasing probability that investors will be fatigued by the
EUROCONTROL's analysis, in the summer period 2012,               lack of return on investment in some portions of the
six airports were considered “congested” in the sense of         industry, and thus divert their focus away from Europe to
operating at 80 per cent or more of their capacity for over      regions where aviation will grow faster 94.
                                                                                                     AVIATION BENEFITS    55
LATIN AMERICA AND THE
CARIBBEAN
The air transport sector in Latin America and the Caribbean
is characterized by the liberalization of several domestic
and regional markets, combined with a consolidation of
airlines. Regional air transport liberalization initiatives have
resulted in the adoption of agreements by the Andean
Community (CAN), the Caribbean Community (CARICOM),
the Southern Common Market (MECROSUR) and the
Association of Caribbean States (ACS). All of these
initiatives aim to harmonize air transport policies and to
liberalize the granting of traffic rights and market access at
the regional level.
With sporting events such as the Olympics and the football                 Total jobs and GDP supported by aviation
World Cup providing an additional boost, passenger traffic                 in Latin America and the Caribbean, 2014
growth and load factors achieved in the past years are in
line with the world average.
Benefits of Aviation 95
Air transport supports 5.2 million jobs and USD 167 billion
in GDP in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Besides the USD 40 billion of direct impact in GDP, the
sector impact reaches further through Latin America and
the Caribbean economies. The effect of the procurement of
goods and services through the supply chain has an
impact of USD 45.9 billion. The benefits that arise when
employees of the industry and its supply chains spend their
wages in the local consumer economy account for another
USD 21.3 billion. Direct, Indirect and Induced, respectively,
contribute USD 107 billion to the GDP in Latin America and         in the region accounts for USD 60 billion of the total
the Caribbean. In addition, the spending of foreign tourists       economic impact.
 56     AVIATION BENEFITS
                                                                address these issues, relief is years away at best. In the
Outlook                                                         meantime, there will be lost opportunities for creating jobs
                                                                and spurring economic growth.
In addition to continuous economic growth, air travel
demand will be stimulated by increasing airline competition     The projected expansion of the aviation sector in the region
across the region. According to ICAO's long-term traffic        will also bring the need for effective regulatory oversight
forecasts, total passenger traffic of Latin America and the     that keeps pace with this growth, as well as the recruitment
Caribbean region is expected to grow by around 3.5 per          and training of the necessary skilled manpower. The most
cent annually up to 2032, faster than total world growth.       likely scenario is that airlines in Latin America and the
For freight traffic, the region is projected to grow 2.9 per    Caribbean region will need to train an average of 6,250
cent annually for the same period as passenger traffic,         pilots a year until 2030 while the industry is only able to train
slower than total world growth96.                               1,945 pilots a year 99.
This increase will, in turn, drive growth in the economic       It is a matter of great concern that taxes on the sale or use
output and jobs that are supported by air transport in the      of air transport are increasingly being imposed by Latin
next decade. By 2034, it is forecasted that the impact of air   America and Caribbean States. There are 130 different
transport and the tourism it facilitates in Latin America/      ticket taxes and fees in place across the region100, most of
Caribbean will have grown to support 9.7 million jobs           which are not intended to cover costs of aviation-related
(88 per cent more than in 2014) and a USD 430 billion           services and infrastructure but are a means to generate
contribution to GDP (a 157 per cent increase)97.                additional government revenue. The share of these taxes
                                                                as a percentage of ticket price varies between 15 and 20
                                                                per cent101.
Challenges                                                      The past decade has also seen the proliferation of tourism
                                                                taxes in the region, ranging from USD 1.50 to USD 55. In
Infrastructure deficiencies have long been an issue in the
                                                                many cases, revenues from the tourism taxes such as
region. Major airports in Argentina, Colombia, Ecuador,
                                                                Tourism Enhancement Fee and Travel Promotional levies
Mexico and Peru face growth constraints. Among the
                                                                are not being reinvested in tourism development.
world's 134 economies analysed by the World Economic
Forum, for example, Panama ranks 6th, Ecuador 39th,             States are strongly encouraged to observe ICAO's policies
Chile 47th and Mexico 61st in quality of air transport          on charges and taxation102 because the imposition of high
infrastructure, but Argentina (86th), Brazil (94th), Colombia   taxes is counterproductive. In many cases, the revenue
(76th), El Salvador (74th), Peru (80th) and Venezuela           raised is far outweighed by the economic benefits that are
(127th) are below average98. While plans are in place to        relinquished as a result of reduced demand for air travel and
                                                                air cargo shipments.
                                                                                                      AVIATION BENEFITS    57
MIDDLE EAST
The varying growth potential of different parts of the word
has resulted in the steady movement of the geographic
centre of gravity of air transport operations from the middle
of North Atlantic to the east of Mediterranean for the last
four decades. Operating at the crossroads of trade and
transportation between east and west, airlines in the
Middle East are well positioned to consolidate traffic
connecting these regions through their hubs and to offer
one-stop services between them. The rapid expansion of
some Middle Eastern airlines was also spurred by a more
liberal policy adopted unilaterally by some States in the
region.
Middle East has been the fastest growing region for passenger                Total jobs and GDP supported by
and cargo traffic since 2011 and airlines in this region have                aviation in the Middle East, 2014
posted double-digit passenger traffic growth every year since
2012. The region now ranks third in international passenger
traffic, overtaking North America in 2012.
 58    AVIATION BENEFITS
                                                                   the level of predicted traffic growth should be increased
Outlook                                                            through improved airspace design and organization.
                                                                   Moreover, individual developments in ATM and airspace
With the further movement of the air transport centre of           capacity are not enough: harmonization, integration and
gravity from West to East, the geographic position of the          collaboration among aviation stakeholders is essential to
Gulf hubs will continue to offer a strategic advantage to          realize the full potential of national projects106.
several airlines in the region. According to ICAO long-term
traffic forecasts, total passenger traffic of the Middle East      This region is in need of political commitment to market
region is expected to grow by around 5.2 per cent annually         liberalization. Although the Middle East is home to some of
up to 2032, the second fastest growth among all regions            the world's largest hub airports, the relations between
after Asia and Pacific. The Middle East is expected to be the      States are still mostly bound by bilateral air services
fastest growing region in terms of freight traffic growth, and     agreements that limit market access to each other. The
is projected to grow at 7.1 per cent annually up to 2032104.       Agreement on Liberalization of Air Transport between the
                                                                   Arab States, more commonly known as the Damascus
This increase will, in turn, drive growth in the economic          Agreement, was accepted by only eight States since its
output and jobs that are supported by air transport in the         entry into force in 2007. As States often have a direct
next decade. By 2034, it is forecasted that the impact of air      influence in aviation projects, the functioning of market
transport and the tourism it facilitates in the Middle East will   economies and business transparency may be hampered
have grown to support 5.2 million jobs (119 per cent more          by political complexity, tight national control and restricted
than in 2014) and a USD 489 billion contribution to GDP (a         air services agreements107.
211 per cent increase)105.
                                                                   The projected expansion of the aviation sector in the region
                                                                   will also bring the need for effective regulatory oversight
Challenges                                                         that keeps pace with this growth, as well as the recruitment
                                                                   and training of the necessary skilled manpower. The most
The growth in air transport activities in the Middle East          likely scenario is that airlines in the Middle East region will
region is causing significant airspace congestion. The             need to train an average of 2,458 pilots a year up till 2030
overall efficiency of the ATM system commensurate with             while the industry is only able to train 860 pilots a year108.
                                                                                                       AVIATION BENEFITS    59
NORTH AMERICA
North America is characterized by a high volume of
domestic traffic: domestic passenger traffic is more than
twice the international passenger traffic in terms of RPKs. It
is the only region where airlines have a larger domestic than
international market. Because of the maturity of the market,
passenger and cargo traffic has been growing more slowly
than the world average since 2011. Although the region
ranked first in total RPKs in 2007, it now ranks third.
Nevertheless, airlines in the region generated more than
half of the total industry net profits in both 2015 and 2016,
and achieved the highest load factors.
North America is, along with Europe, a fully-liberalized and
very consolidated market. Much of the growth of the region                   Total jobs and GDP supported by
is attributed to the status of North America as a manufact-                  aviation in North America, 2014
uring powerhouse and to the high purchasing power of
consumers.
Benefits of Aviation
Air transport supports 7.6 million jobs and USD 791 billion
in GDP in the North America109 .
Besides the USD 252 billion of direct impact in GDP, the
sector impact reaches further through North American
economies. The effect of the procurement of goods and
services through the supply chain has an impact of USD
271.1 billion. The benefits that arise when employees of the
industry and its supply chain spend their wages in the local
consumer economy account for another USD 131 billion.
Direct, indirect and induced, respectively, contribute USD
                                                                 (including general aviation and the domestic tourism
654 billion to the GDP in North America. In addition, the
                                                                 markets) accounted for 5.1 per cent of the United States’
spending of foreign tourists in the region accounts for USD
                                                                 economy in 2014. The total output of civil aviation-related
136.8 billion of the total economic impact110.
                                                                 goods and services amounted to USD 1.6 trillion and
According to the estimate by the Federal Aviation                generated 10.6 million jobs, with earnings of USD 447
Administration of the United States111, civil aviation           billion.
 60     AVIATION BENEFITS
                                                                 serve the travelling public and maintain high levels of
Outlook                                                          customer service. They also hurt productivity and
                                                                 economic competitiveness. Unnecessary flight delays that
North America has been a mature market for years, with           are often the result of outdated technology and procedures
mass usage and price sensitivity. Travellers and shippers        cost the United States an estimated USD 25 billion in 2016
have had ample time to adjust to liberalization.                 alone114.
Consequently, traffic stimulated by income growth and
market liberalization will be lower than in other regions.       NextGen is a long-term initiative in the United States,
According to ICAO long-term traffic forecasts, total             aiming to transform the current radar-based air transport-
passenger traffic of North America is expected to grow by        ation system into one that uses satellite navigation,
around 3.3 per cent annually up to 2032, slower than total       automated aircraft position reporting, and digital commun-
world growth. For freight traffic, the region is projected to    ications. The total benefits of NextGen improve-ments will
grow more slowly than the world total at 2.5 per cent            be USD 160.6 billion, at a cost of USD 35.8 billion115.
annually for the same period as passenger traffic112.            However, there are potential issues related to NextGen
                                                                 implementation. For example, delays and cost increases in
This increase will, in turn, drive growth in the economic        individual programmes that was initiated prior to NextGen
output and jobs that are supported by air transport in the       and, upon which NextGen is dependent, could affect the
next decade. By 2034, it is forecasted that the impact of air    timelines and goals for NextGen implementation116.
transport and the tourism it facilitates in North America will
have grown to support 11 million jobs (43 per cent more          In order to further boost their air traffic and economies in
than in 2014) and a USD 1.5 trillion contribution to GDP (a      general, both Canada and the United States will rely more
91 per cent increase)113.                                        on the potential of the travel and tourism sector. The key to
                                                                 maximizing the outcome is to improve marketing and
                                                                 branding activities, as well as to prioritize the sector more in
Challenges                                                       its development strategy. According to the analysis of the
                                                                 World Economic Forum, Canada could further improve on
The growth in air transport activities in North America          this dimension by easing its visa policy, which currently
requires improved traffic flow and reduced congestion.           ranks 120th117.
High airport delays hurt the aviation industry's efforts to
                                                                                                      AVIATION BENEFITS    61
LDCs, LLDCs and SIDS                                             Benefits of Aviation (SIDS)                       120
Least Developed Countries (LDCs) represent the poorest           Air transport supports 1.4 million jobs and USD 25.3 billion
and weakest segment of the international community.              in GDP in SIDS.
These 48 States comprise more than 880 million people
                                                                 Besides the USD 2.3 billion of direct impact in GDP, the
(about 12 per cent of world population) but account for less
                                                                 sector impact reaches further through the SIDS econ-
than 2 per cent of world GDP and about 1 per cent of global
                                                                 omies. The effect of the procurement of goods and services
trade in goods118.
                                                                 through the supply chain has an impact of USD 1.1 billion.
Landlocked Developing Countries (LLDCs) are developing           The benefits that arise when employees of the industry and
countries that are landlocked. These 32 States are at a          its supply chain spend their wages in the local consumer
significant economic disadvantage due to geographic              economy account for another USD 1.1 billion. Direct,
remoteness, lack of direct access to the sea, higher than        indirect and induced, respectively, contribute USD 4.5
average transport costs for both exports and imports, and        billion to the GDP in SIDS. In addition, the spending of
limited integration into the world economy.                      foreign tourists in the region accounts for USD 20.9 billion
                                                                 of the total economic impact.
Small Island Developing States (SIDS) consist of 38
maritime developing countries (and 20 non-UN Members
and Associate Members) facing specific social, economic
and environmental vulnerabilities.
                                                                 Outlook (SIDS)              121
For such counties in special situations, aviation represents     Given the long distance from the main tourist-generating
an essential lifeline and air traffic from these countries has   markets, foreign tourists mainly travel and arrive by air.
tended to grow faster than the world average. For example,       According to ATAG’s long-term traffic forecasts, total
the volume of passenger traffic in LLDCs rose by 58 per          passenger traffic of SIDS is expected to grow by around 4.9
cent from 20.0 million in 2010 to 31.7 million in 2016,          per cent annually up to 2034, faster than total world
compared to the world average of 44 per cent during the          growth, due mainly to rapid urbanization, population
same period. However, passenger traffic in LLDCs repre-          growth and tourism development.
sents only a 0.83 per cent share of the world's passenger        This increase will, in turn, drive growth in the economic
volume. Similar trends hold for freight volume, which            output and jobs that are supported by air transport in the
increased for LLDCs from 340.6 thousand tonnes in 2010           next decade. By 2034, it is forecasted that the impact of air
to 648.2 thousand tonnes in 2016 but still account for just      transport and the tourism it facilitates in SIDS will have
1.23 per cent of global freight volume119.                       grown to support 2.3 million jobs (66 per cent more than in
                                                                 2014) and a USD 51.6 billion contribution to GDP (a 104
                                                                 per cent increase).
             Total jobs and GDP supported by
                   aviation in SIDS, 2014
                                                                 Challenges
                                                                 Most airports in LDCs, LLDCs and SIDS receive only a
                                                                 limited number of flights a week, and costs of air travel are
                                                                 disproportionally high. The potential uncertainty about
                                                                 continuation of air services might have an adverse effect on
                                                                 a travel industry’s inward investment and the opportunity
                                                                 for inbound tourism, and thus the actual loss of a service
                                                                 could have a much greater cost. Without reliable, attractive
                                                                 air services and harmonized aviation and tourism policies,
                                                                 the benefits of aviation and tourism simply cannot be
                                                                 realized or are constrained at best.
                                                                 Improvements in airport infrastructure, installation of
                                                                 advanced air traffic control and air navigation systems,
 62     AVIATION BENEFITS
better safety and security services, and liberalization of air   The latest estimate indicates that tourism now represents 7
transport are all important measures to be considered by         per cent of the LDCs’ total exports of goods and services,
LDCs, LLDCs and SIDS to break a vicious circle of                and for non-oil exporters, the figure stands at 10 per
economic and logistical disadvantages and enhance                cent123. However, over-dependence on international
structural transformation122 .                                   tourism is not risk-free. Tourism demand is very sensitive to
                                                                 economics, security, political events and natural disasters,
The needs, characteristics and economic vulnerabilities are
                                                                 and is of a seasonal nature. A “smart product mix”, i.e. the
different for each country. Some LDCs, LLDCs and SIDS
                                                                 establishment of good integration between aviation and
are too small or remote to achieve structural transformation
                                                                 other service and commodity sectors, is required. For
through industrialization (i.e. achieving higher levels of
                                                                 example, developing state-of-the-art air transport facilities
added value in manufacturing) but have significant unused
                                                                 would not only be a sensible move for competitiveness in
natural and cultural tourism potential and opportunities in
                                                                 international tourism, it could also serve as a powerful
the area of trade in services. To open new economic
                                                                 incentive for foreign direct investors to explore economic
development prospects, these countries are encouraged
                                                                 opportunities in other economic sectors124.
to incorporate the aviation sector into their tourism master
plans.
                                                                                                    AVIATION BENEFITS    63
                                                      REFERENCES
This report has been developed based on the existing ACI, CANSO, IATA, ICAO and ICCAIA reports, as well as the report of
the Air Transport Action Group (ATAG) entitled Aviation: Benefits Beyond Borders (ABBB), July 2016.
1  Aviation: Benefits Beyond Borders (ABBB), 2016, Air           28 World Tourism Barometer, Vol.15, January 2017,
   Transport Action Group (ATAG),                                   World Tourism Organization (UNWTO),
   https://aviationbenefits.org/downloads/                          http://cf.cdn.unwto.org/sites/all/files/pdf/unwto_barom
2 ICAO Economic Development                                         17_01_january_excerpt_.pdf
3 ABBB, 2016, ATAG                                               29 Global Benchmarking Report, 2017, WTTC
1 3 ICAO Economic Development                                       Landlocked Countries, 2009, The World Bank Group,
1 4 ICAO Economic Development                                       http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/transport/publicati
1 5 IATA Economics                                                  on/air-freight-study
                                                                 36 IATA Economics
1 6 ICAO Economic Development
                                                                 37 ICAO Economic Development
1 7 ABBB, 2016, ATAG
                                                                 38 Electronic commerce (e-commerce) refers to “the
18 https://www.icao.int/sustainability/Pages/Connectivity.aspx
19 https://www.icao.int/publications/Pages/doc7300.aspx
                                                                    production, advertising, sale and distribution of
                                                                    products via telecommunications networks” (World
20 The major elements of good regulatory practices are
                                                                    Trade Organization, WTO). Electronic shopping (e-
    currently under review by ICAO. Please see:                     shopping) refers to “the advertising, sales, payment
    https://www.icao.int/sustainability/Pages/regulatory_pr         and delivery of products and services via the Internet,
    actices.aspx                                                    covering the whole supply chain from the seller to the
21 https://www.icao.int/sustainability/Pages/economic-              buyer” (UPU).
    policy.aspx                                                  39 Estimates jointly by ICAO, UPU and UNCTAD
    64   AVIATION BENEFITS
45 ABBB, 2016, ATAG                                          65 http://www.sesarju.eu/
46 Promoting Fair Migration, 2016, International Labour      66 https://www.faa.gov/nextgen/
   Office (ILO),                                             67 Economic Analysis of Seamless Air Traffic
50 More detailed information on how ICAO supports the           2017, Innovation, Science and Economic Development
   SDGs is available at: https://www.icao.int/about-            Canada, https://www.ic.gc.ca/eic/site/ad-
   icao/aviation-development/Pages/SDG.aspx                     ad.nsf/eng/h_ad03964.html#a2
51 ABBB, 2016, ATAG                                          71 ABBB, 2016, ATAG
62 https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/topics/
                                                                maintenance Personnel, Air Traffic Controllers (Doc
                                                                9956), 2011, ICAO
   sustainabletransport/highleveladvisorygroup               85 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the
63 https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/Global-
                                                                Pacific 2015, 2015, ESCAP
   Sustainable-Transport-Conference-2016                     86 ABBB, 2016, ATAG
64 Mobilizing Sustainable Transport for Development,
                                                             87 ABBB, 2016, ATAG
   2016, UN
                                                                                               AVIATION BENEFITS   65
88 Economic Impact of European Airports: A Critical             107 Securing the Prize for the Middle East, 2011,
   Catalyst to Economic Growth, 2015, InterVistas for ACI           Amadeus
   Europe, http://www.intervistas.com/downloads/                108 Doc 9956, 2011, ICAO
America and the Caribbean, 2016, IATA, 121 ABBB, 2016, ATAG
 66    AVIATION BENEFITS
This report makes use of material by ACI, CANSO, IATA, ICAO and ICCAIA, as
well as the publication of the Air Transport Action Group (ATAG) entitled Aviation:
Benefits Beyond Borders (ABBB). While every effort has been made to ensure
the quality and accuracy of information in this report, it is made available without
any warranty of any kind.