Technology Platform Nanoelectronics
Strategic Research Agenda
Executive Summary
Brussels, April 27, 2005
Content
Industrial landscape
ENIAC vision
Society needs / application domains
Technology requirements
Research priorities
Infrastructure and partnerships
Conclusions
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 2
Industrial landscape
Telecom,
Services € 5,000B
Internet, Broadcast
Electronics € 1,100B Consumer, Medical,
Transport, Security, Space
Semiconductors € 200B
Materials and equipment € 50B
Cornerstone of
2004 worldwide market figures
high-tech economy
Source: Medea+
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 3
Pervasive presence
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 4
Power on a thumbnail
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 5
Leading in research
Largest R&D spending in industry
Major driver for ICT, Ambient Intelligence, Nanotechnology
Source: Technology Review, Dec 2004
Semiconductors
Biotechnology
Computer software
Pharmaceutical/medical
Telecommunications
(R&D as % of sales) 0 5 10 15 20 25
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 6
A success story for European industry
Ranking of the World Top 10
Semiconductor Companies
1 EU
2
3
1
1 Korea
6
4
3
Japan
3 3 3
USA
1990 2000 2004
Source: WSTS
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 7
Top supply in key application areas
Example: Automotive
1 Infineon
2 Bosch
3 Motorola
4 ST
5 Philips
6 TI
7 Intel
8 NEC European Automotive
9 Renesas Semiconductors
10 Atmel 2003 market figures
Source: Strategy Analytics
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 8
Technology market leadership
Example: Lithography
Canon
Perkin Canon
Elmer
Hitachi
ASET
GCA
ASML
Nikon
Ultratech
Eaton
1984 total market Nikon
$550 million
Source: ASML MCC 2003 total market > $3,000 million
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 9
Established through R&D ecosystems
•Thousands of
jobs created
•Large indirect
impact on
local economies
•Local networks
with SMEs and
Universities
Nijmegen/ Dresden
Eindhoven/
Leuven
Crolles/
Grenoble
Catania
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 10
ENIAC vision
Master the revolutionary transition from Microelectronics
to Nanoelectronics
– Serve the future demands of European society
– Increase high-skilled employment
– Reinforce competitiveness of European industry
– Secure global leadership in high-tech research
Make the 2020 Information Society technologically
feasible and economically affordable
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 11
The pervasion is far from its end!
Average semiconductor content
as % of product value
30%
20%
10%
Micro Nano
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Source: Medea+
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 12
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Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 13
ENIAC SRA objectives
Serve the European Semiconductor value chain
– Including suppliers / producers / users
Connect European high-quality competencies
– Enabling critical knowledge, including SMEs
Identify disruptive technologies to solve blocking points
– Guided by SRA Domain Teams
Focus on research leading to industrial innovation
Enhance cooperation between industry and academia
– Strong R&D ecosystems for each SRA domain
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 14
Society needs / application domains
Society Needs
Safety and Education &
Communications Health Mobility
Security Entertainment
Personal Learning Seamless wired The Doctor in your
100% Safety on
Emergency anywhere, and wireless Pocket
the Road
Systems anytime access
Protection against Content with Mobile Services Real-Time Integrated
Crime and Terrorism best Quality without Diagnostics Transport
. (e.g. HDTV) compromise Systems
Secure Home Content Protection of Bio-chips,
Prevention of
Environment Protection privacy and Body-Sensors
pollution
content
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 15
Intelligence applied: safety cocoon
77 GHz Infrared Video Ultra sonic Video
Radar
Long range Night Vision Mid range Short range Rear
≤ 150 m ≤ 150 m ≤ 60 m ≤3m zone
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 16
Intelligence applied: personal comfort
Personal Map
-Compass
Personal Health Monitor -GPS
-Heart activity -Altitude
-Blood pressure
-Glucose level Personal Weather Station
-Humidity
Gaming -Pressure
-Ozone
Mouse -UV exposure
Identification Decibel Meter
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 17
Intelligent systems compute and interact
baseline HV sensors bio
CMOS memory RF Power passives actuators fluidics
More Moore More than Moore
Interact with user and
Compute
environment
Digital content Non-digital content
Lots of software Lots of processes
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 18
The market is very demanding
System functionality must go up, cost per function down
Area x 1/100 in 15-20 years!
Micro Nano
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 19
Expected evolution of key parameters
100 Hard work
Hard work
needed
needed!
10
Computing
power and
data rate
1 Storage
density
2005 = 1
0.1
This is
not enough! Power
dissipation
per element
1990 2000 2010 2020
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 20
Research priorities
Complex technology landscape, partitioning required
Organized by technology domain, with mutual interaction
Each domain sets strategic directions and roadmaps
Common view: research infrastructure and partnerships
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 21
Application-driven technology domains
Society Needs
Technology
Application Domains Domains
Design
Automation
Heterogeneous
Integration
Beyond
CMOS
‘More ‘More than
Moore’ Moore’
Equipment and
Materials
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 22
Application-driven technology domains
Complex digital circuits Enabling technology into Non-digital functions and
(compute)
Society Needs
manufacturing human interface (interact)
Exploring the physical Effective platform-based Total system integration
limits of scaling Application Domains
system design (“System-in-Package”)
Design
Automation
Heterogeneous
Integration
Beyond
CMOS
‘More ‘More than
Moore’ Moore’
Equipment and
Materials
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 23
More Moore
Enabling complex digital circuits
Baseline CMOS silicon processing
Very small dimensions, very large scale
Main challenges
– New substrates and core devices
– New memories
– New optical and mask-less lithography processes
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 24
More Moore:
Baseline CMOS technology roadmap
Critical dimension (nm)
250
180
Micro 130
90
Nano 65
45
32
22
Year of risk production 2000 2010 2020
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 25
More than Moore
Enabling non-digital functions and human interface
Diversified semiconductor technologies
Multiple competencies, linked with application
Main challenges
– New radio-frequency systems
– New high-voltage / power systems
– New sensors and actuators
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 26
More than Moore:
Heterogeneous technologies
GSM frontend RF-ID tag sensors &
high-voltage actuators
fluidics
passives
RF
Wheel speed Phone camera 3D accelerometer RF-MEMS switch
Inkjet head Ultra-filter Lab-on-a-Chip Nano-syringe
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 27
Heterogeneous Integration
Enabling total system integration (System-in-Package)
Integrating CMOS and diversified technologies
Main challenges
– Extreme system miniaturization
– Multi-function / multi-scale (micro and nano) integration
– Novel packaging for new functionalities (e.g., medical)
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 28
Heterogeneous Integration:
Nanoelectronics plus microsystems
Interface / interaction with environment
(optical, mechanical, biological, chemical)
Heat dissipation, Shielding, Mechanical protection …
ICs Big passives Discretes Other…
Bump? Wire? Solder/Glue? Stacked wafer/die?
Chip
Embedded ICs Substrate
Board
High-density Insulated Redistribution Conductive Low-density
RLC zone vias RLC
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 29
Equipment and Materials
Enabling technology concepts into manufacturing
Innovation driven by integration schemes and ITRS
– More Moore, More than Moore, Hetero Integration
Main challenges
– New lithography and metrology
– New substrates, layers, and patterning
– Micro-machining / nano-manipulation
– Multi-functional materials
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 30
Design Automation
Enabling effective platform-based system design
Addressing high circuit density and function diversity
– More Moore, More than Moore, Hetero Integration
Main challenges
– New platform-based design and verification
– Design for manufacturability, reliability, and testability
– Multi-technology / multi-functional / multi-disciplinary
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 31
Design Automation:
The designer crisis
25,000
person years per circuit ???
50
person years
?
per circuit
2005 2015
Design automation breakthroughs
mandatory to win the design race!
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 32
Beyond CMOS
Exploring the physical limits of technology scaling
Nanoscience elements complementing conventional logic
Expected incidence at 32-22nm technology node
Main challenges
– Disruptive architectures
– Nanotubes and nanowires
– Molecular electronics
– Self-organizing circuits
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 33
Beyond CMOS:
This could be nanotube devices
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 34
Technology roadmap summary
10µm
More than Moore
1µm Mi
cro
Hi me
Ra gh ch
d -V an
M io- o lt
ag
ics
100nm
or Fr
eq e
e ue
M nc
oo y
re
10nm
Beyond CMOS
1nm
1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 35
Technology and applications are linked:
Some examples
Car cocoon Mobility
– Radar, infrared, ultrasound – Safety on the road
Personal network Education & Entertainment
– Broadband wireless – Learning anywhere, anytime
Terabit infrastructure Communications
– Optical transmitters – Seamless network access
Personal monitor Health
– Mobile sensors – The doctor in your pocket
Intelligent smartcard Safety & Security
– Low-cost mass memory – Protection against crime
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 36
Infrastructures and partnerships
Each technology domain has specific requirements
Common view: leveraging heterogeneous competences
Essential: firming up industry-academia collaboration
Cross-learning from European world class best practices
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 37
Industry-academia R&D collaboration
Past Academia research
model
Industry research
Product innovation
New Academia research
Model
Industry research
Product innovation
SRA
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 38
More Moore:
A world-class R&D ecosystem
More Moore (CMOS) has a world-class R&D ecosystem
Best practice of industry-academia collaboration
Need continuous upgrading to maintain leadership
Significant efforts in Equipment and Materials
Extensive partnerships to leverage investments (300mm)
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 39
Next step in R&D ecosystems:
More Than Moore / Hetero Integration
More than Moore and Hetero Integration are diverse
Extensive partnerships needed to gain critical mass
Build R&D ecosystems along More Moore best practice!
Enabled by modular processes and unified design flow
Driven by core group of industry and academia
Close networking with Nanoelectronics research centers
Combining competences from large players and SMEs
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 40
Next step in partnerships:
Design Automation / Beyond CMOS
Design Automation must realize breakthrough efficiency
Platforms / standards definition and coordination are key
Beyond CMOS explores the boundaries of scaling
Many novel ideas, mostly at academia
But no clear main direction, parallel evaluation required
Selection and filtering of ideas is a challenge in itself
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 41
To realize the 2020 vision, R&D efforts
in Europe must be strongly enhanced
Nanoelectronics continues to grow with ~10% per year
Challenges increase, both technical and in resources
Long term trends
– From captive development to open innovation
– From CMOS to beyond CMOS
– From downstream R&D to upstream research and infrastructures
Need to regain balance in public-private partnerships
Learn from existing R&D ecosystems, build new ones
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 42
Regaining the balance in ENIAC R&D
effort in public-private partnerships
2005 2015
Includes
Includingoperational
operationalcosts
of infrastructures
costs of researchfor
and pilot
research and pilot lines
infrastructures Private Public Private Public
Advanced research 80 175 140 420
Technology integration 490 325 780 780
Application development 1980 0 3390 0
Prototyping 850 0 1290 0
Million euro per year 3400 500 5600 1200
Public-private ratio to be
Including operational increased
costs significantly,
of research and pilote.g.,
advanced research 75/25, technology integration 50/50
infrastructures
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 43
New directions in public-private
partnerships required
Connect and leverage sponsoring mechanisms
– European programs
– Transnational programs (EUREKA, e.g., MEDEA+, PIDEA)
– National programs
Strengthen European R&D ecosystems
– Know-how / human resources
– Research infrastructures
Focus solutions on supporting both technology pillars
– More Moore (‘Compute’: the Brains)
– More than Moore (‘Interact’: the Arms, Legs, Ears and Eyes)
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 44
European partnership alignment is
possible using existing guidelines
European Transnational
Past model FP6 EUREKA
Coordinated
sponsoring
SRA
European Transnational
New model FP7 EUREKA
European Research
Infrastructures
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 45
Nanoelectronics ecosystems worldwide
We are
not alone!
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 46
The Far East challenge
Transfer of commodity volume production is inevitable
– Many products will eventually become a commodity
– Largest growth in consumer markets is in the Far East
– Low cost of labor
But manufacturing in Europe continues to be needed
– Any outsourcing requires in-house knowledge
– Rapid prototyping in multidisciplinary domains
– IP-sensitive technologies, high-quality / smart products
– Learning environment for academic and industrial researchers
Innovative technologies help European manufacturing
– Providing competitive advantages versus low Far East labor cost
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 47
Conclusions
Nanoelectronics is the essential enabler to make the
Europe 2020 Information Society feasible and affordable
European Nanoelectronics research and industry is
world-class, allowing Europe to master its own destiny
The ENIAC SRA provides guidance for public-private
partnerships, identifying key domains and blocking points
Fragmented academic research must be integrated in
focused ecosystems, joining large industry and SMEs
Rebalancing of national and European sponsoring is
required to timely realize breakthrough innovations
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 48
Next steps
Technology Domain Teams continue to detail the SRA
– Through gap analysis of present status versus future needs
– Common format: critical priorities, key parameters and roadmaps
– Assessing infrastructures, ecosystems, and regulations
Maximize synergy with related activities
– EUREKA (e.g., MEDEA+, PIDEA), FP, ITRS, …
– Continuous exchange with other Platforms (e.g., ARTEMIS)
Full SRA to be presented at first ENIAC Workshop
– Planned on 16th September 2005, in Grenoble
– In conjunction with the ESSDERC-ESSCIRC conference
Strategic Research Agenda – Executive Summary – p 49
Technology Platform Nanoelectronics
Strategic Research Agenda
Executive Summary
Brussel, April 27, 2005