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/figs/CockrellSchool
Beirut Solar Map
Sara Najem
National Center for Remote Sensing- CNRS
February 17, 2017
Outline ./figs/CockrellSchool
Energy Demand/Supply in Lebanon
Introduction
Solar Radiation
Algorithm
City Scale Computation of Solar Irradiance
Model Parameters and Assumptions
Results
Ongoing Work
Energy Demand/Supply
./figs/CockrellSchool in Lebanon
I ≈ 95% of the energy needs are imported in the form of
fuel.
I National production ≈ 5% .
I Yearly growth in energy demand ≈ 3 − 7% .
salem2009.
salem2009.
chedid2002.
Demand/Supply
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Electricty Demand and Supply (Million TWh)
15
10
5
Supply Volume
Demand Volume
0
2008 2010 2012 2014
Year
Figure : Evolution of the production and supply from 2008 to 2014
Demand/Supply
./figs/CockrellSchool
I The cost of electricity generation is around 23 cents/kWh
I Subscribers are charged 2.33 to 13.33 cents/kWh.
Energy Crisis ./figs/CockrellSchool
With 3 hours of electricity rationing in Beirut and up to 8
elsewhere in the country we’re particularly interested in
estimating the solar energy.
Energy Crisis ./figs/CockrellSchool
Lebanon’s target for 2020: 12 percent of the energy produced
from renewables (Copenhagen 2009).
Lebanon also committed to a target of 15% in its Intended
Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC) submitted to the
COP21 conference.
Solar Maps ./figs/CockrellSchool
I Solar maps are produced in major cities in the United
States: Boston, Boulder, Cambridge, NY, San Francisco,
Washington County, Wellfleet
I Internationally: Lo Barnechea (Chile), Vitacura (Chile)
Solar Maps ./figs/CockrellSchool
I Regionally, Beirut is the first city to be mapped. It is DSS
application designed for National Center ofo Remote
Sensing- CNRS as part of Local-Sats.
Solar Radiation./figs/CockrellSchool
I Direct radiation.
I Diffuse radiation.
I Reflected radiation.
Solar Radiation./figs/CockrellSchool
Basic Definitions
./figs/CockrellSchool
I Irradiance is understood as instantaneous density of solar
radiation incident on a given surface, typically expressed in
W /m2 .
I Irradiation is the sum of irradiance over a time period (e.g.
1 hour, day, month, year, etc.) expressed in J/m2 .
Irradiation ./figs/CockrellSchool
Irradiation is then affected by the sun’s position and cloud
coverage and both of which are related to the location’s
latitude.
Sun Path ./figs/CockrellSchool
The sun path changes on hourly and monthly scales; this has
an effect on the amount of irradiation a surface gets.
Illustrative Animation of the Solar Path
./figs/CockrellSchool
City solar irradiation
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For a city things become more complex as overshadowing of
rooftops from neighboring buildings comes to play.
./figs/CockrellSchool
Model Parameters and Assumptions
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I Flat roof-tops (LIDAR imagery or any 3D data would
improve the model’s predictions)
I With water tanks mounted on rooftops only a fraction of
the rooftops is usable ≈ 30%
Model Parameters and Assumptions
./figs/CockrellSchool
I The fraction of diffuse radiation is taken to be 0.3
throughout the year.
I Panel efficiency is 10%
sfeir80.
./figs/CockrellSchool
Comparison with Climatic Zoning
./figs/CockrellSchool
I The climatic zoning Average Daily Global Horizontal
Irradiation (ADGHI) 4854.6Wh/m2
I (ADGHI) is ≈ 2000Wh/m2
I Our computation is carried out in an urban setting taking
into consideration overshadowing form neighboring
buildings; this explains the discrepancy
Results ./figs/CockrellSchool
I Generation Potential 394 GW/year assuming the whole
rooftop area is usable
I 30% usable rooftop yields 118 GW/year.
Results ./figs/CockrellSchool
I Subsequently the savings could range from around $9.8 M
to nearly $39.3 M
I CO2 emissions saving could range from 75,920 tCO2 to
322,660 tCO2
Ongoing Work ./figs/CockrellSchool
I The results are now being drafted as a policy paper in
collaboration with the Director of the Energy Policy
Program at Issam Fares Institute Dr. Ali Ahmad
Ongoing Work ./figs/CockrellSchool
I We are carrying out a study to model Beirut Energy hourly
consumption
I Alaa Krayem is our PhD student; she is co-supervised by
Dr. Haitham Zaraket of LU and Dr. Issam Lakkis of AUB.
Ongoing Work ./figs/CockrellSchool
Figure : Boston’s Energy Model
Thank you! ./figs/CockrellSchool