IMPACT of COVID-19
on
   COMMERCE
    By Manpreet Singh
       14/05/2020
         Trade and Commerce
• Imports
• Exports
• Domestic trade
  – Manufacturing
  – Wholesale / distribution
  – Retail
  – Service Industries
Effect of COVID-19 on Sectors
Domestic Trade Impact
Global Trade Impact
Immediate Impact on India
Financial Impact on sectors
Effect on Imports / Exports
Loss / Opportunity??
Effect on Exports
Effect on Imports
Traditional Consumption pattern
What people are doing….
Spending pattern
               Food Security
• The country is now planning for the next crop
  season i.e., kharif
• Availability of labor for agriculture and agro
  processing units
• DBT to farmers and registered labor
• self-reliance and even self-sufficiency in food
• APMC and MANDI sanitization and SOP
             Manufacturing
• Supply chain of raw materials and finished
  goods
• Automation
• Transportation /warehousing and marketing
  support
• Fresh WC & TL limits
• Rationalization of GST rates
• Conserve: A little goes a long way
                  Services
• Services are dependent on other industries
• Maximum employment generation
• Directly affects Electronics, hardware and
  software industries, commercial real estate
• Work from home
IT Sector
                                   MSME
•   The Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) are literally the backbone of all
    Indian sectors and often engaged in manufacturing and export activities — two
    key drivers of the Indian economy.
•   Today, almost all MSMEs are out of action due to the lockdown, chocking all
    production activities at major firms across sectors. There are several reports that
    indicate how MSMEs are reeling under crisis and have no money to pay their
    employees, complete pending orders or pay their suppliers.
•   The MSME sector, which contributes to over 30 per cent of India’s GDP and from
    leaders to experts and industry bodies, everyone has appealed the government to
    increase its relief package.
Use DATA
                    MSME Statistics
• Number of SMEs in India: The number is estimated to be at 42.50 million,
  registered & unregistered together. A staggering 95% of the total
  industrial units in the country.
• SME & Employment opportunity: Employs about 106 million, 40% of
  India’s workforce. Next only to the agricultural sector.
• Products: produces more than 6000 products.
                     MSME Statistics
• GDP Contribution: Currently around 6.11% of the manufacturing GDP and
  24.63% of Service sector GDP.
• SME Output: 45% of the total Indian manufacturing output.
• SME Exports: 40% of the total exports.
• Bank Lending: Accounts for 16% of bank lending.
• Fixed Assets: Current fixed assets at INR 1,471,912.94 crore.
• SME Growth Rate: Has maintained an average growth rate of over 10%.
How Govt. is supporting
Setbacks
Restart problems
               What NEXT !!
• Food security
• Pump up Manufacturing
• Supporting existing industries in addition to
  benefits for new ones.
• Direct benefit to PAN card holders that are
  liked to AADHAR and Bank accounts.
• Buy LOCAL, Support your first circle
• Renegotiate your deals
           Key points for Trade
•   Managing Cash flows
•   Managing HR
•   Utilize Government schemes for assistance
•   Being a good leader
International trade BOOST
FTA and other New Markets
Recovery curve
Self Help is best Help
Way forward for Trade
Looking to the FUTURE
                    Contacts
•   Mobile:     +91 9821026996
•   Email:         president@icib.org.in
•   Website:    www.icib.org.in
•   Twitter:      https://twitter.com/chamber_indian
•   Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/icib.mumbai
•   Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/icibindia